allposters

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MONDAY 29 MAY: POSTER SESSION 1

1.

Goodness-of-fit based on measures of surprise

M.E. Castellanos Nueda, Universidad Miguel Hernàndez, me.castella@umh.es

(with M.J. Bayarri)

2.

On goodness of fit for time series models

Cathy W S Chen, Taiwan, chenws@fcu.edu.tw

3.

Satisfying comonotonic book-making with non-additive probabilities

Enrico Diecidue, Tilburg University, e.diecidue@kub.nl

(with Peter Wakker)

4.

Introduction to Bayesian methods for inventory models

Emre Berk, Bilkent University, eberk@Bilkent.edu.tr

5.

The use of Bayes' factors for flood protection policy

E.H. Chbab, h.chbab@riza.rws.minvenw.nl

(with J.M. van Noortwijk, M.T. Duits, and P.H.A.J.M. van Gelder)

6.

Stochastic optimisation for cost-effective Bayesian quality assessment in health

Dimitris Fouskakis, University of Bath, d.draper@maths.bath.ac.uk

(with David Draper)

7.

Comparisons of methods for constructing Bayesian trees

Blaise Egan, Goldsmiths College, blaise.egan@bt.com

(with L Pettit)

8.

Multiresolution autoregressions and Markov random fields

Marco Ferreira, Duke University, marco@stat.duke.edu

(with Herbie Lee, David Higdon and Mike West)

9.

Bayesian mixture modeling with an unknown number of components

Rainer Fischer, Max-Planck-Institut fuer Plasmaphysik, Rainer.Fischer@ipp.mpg.de

10.

Bayesian cost-effectiveness analysis for setting medical treatment policy

Dennis G. Fryback, University of Wisconsin-Madison, dfryback@facstaff.wisc.edu

11.

Bayesian semi-parametric modelling for improved "league-table" quality monitoring in health and education

Mark Gittoes, University of Bath, d.draper@maths.bath.ac.uk

(with David Draper)

12.

Local approaches to Bayesian model building

James Griffin, NCR Knowledge Lab., james.griffin@ncr.com

(with Clive Hoggart)

13.

Applying Bayesian methodology to the single period inventory model

Ulku Gurler, Bilkent University, ulku@Bilkent.edu.tr

14.

Title TBA

Nick Heard, NCR Knowledge Lab., nh162000@exchange.UnitedKingdom.NCR.COM

15.

Criteria for some multivariate tests of homogeneity with applications in multisample clustering

Helena Jelenkowska, University of Agriculture Poland, jelen@ursus.ar.lublin.pl

16.

Multivariate autoregressions and decompositions with model order uncertainty

Gabriel Huerta, CIMAT, Mexico, ghuerta@spin.com.mx

(with Raquel Prado)

17.

A non-parametric method for long-term forecasting of interest rates

Vladimir Ladyzhets, Ernst & Young, Vlad.Ladyzhets@ey.com

18.

Optimal problems in credibility

Zinoviy Landsman, University of Haifa, landsman@stat.haifa.ac.il

(with U. Makov)

19.

An (S, s) Inventory model with Bayesian updating of the demand distribution

Richard Levine, University of California at Davis, ralevine@ucdavis.edu

20.

Multidimensional item response model: A Bayesian approach

Michalis Linardakis, Athens University of Economics and Business, michalis@aueb.gr

(with P. Dellaportas)

21.

Bayesian analysis of multivariate futures in commodity markets

Viridiana Lourdes, Duke University, vl@stat.duke.edu

(with Mike West and James Smith)

22.

Estimating heritability of twin data by incorporating historical information:

Variance components approach

Amita K Manatunga, Emory University, amanatu@sph.emory.edu

(with Ming-Hui Chen and Chris Williams)

23.

Bayesian dynamic modelling of stock-recruitment relationships

Renate Meyer, University of Auckland, meyer@stat.auckland.ac.nz

24.

Delaying rejection in reversible jump Metropolis-Hastings

Antonietta Mira, University of Pavia, anto@ipvaim.unipv.it

(with P.J. Green and L. Tierney)

25.

New criteria for outlier identification

J. Morales, Universidad Miguel Hernàndez, j.morales@umh.es

(with M.J. Bayarri)

26.

Inference under partial prior information on observable random variables

Elias Morena, University of Granada, emoreno@goliat.ugr.es

27.

Bayesian inference on regional processes of infants and child undernoutrition and mortality in Africa

Kandala Ngianga-Bakwin, University of Munich, kandala@stat.uni-muenchen.de

28.

Bayesian inference using MCMC for diffusion models where the volatility is a shotnoise stochastic process

Omiros Papaspiliopoulos, University of Lancaster, o.papaspiliopoulos@lancaster.ac.uk

(with Gareth Roberts)

29.

Classical and Bayesian methods in meta-analysis

George Petrakos, Liaison, Greece, George.Petrakos@liaison.gr

30.

Analysis and classification of ECG signals via hierarchical mixture priors on wavelet based models

Raquel Prado, Universidad Simón Bolívar, raquel@cesma.usb.ve

(with Irene Garcia and Pedro Gomis)

31.

Randomized Polya trees

Susan Paddock, RAND Corp., susan@stat.duke.edu

(with Mike West and Fabrizio Ruggeri)

32.

TBA

Wolfgang Polasek, University of Basel, wolfgang@iso.iso.unibas.ch

(with A. Gelfand and S. Banejeree)

33.

Bayesian estimation of joint survival functions in life insurance

Arkady Shemyakin, University of St.Thomas, a9shemyakin@stthomas.edu

(with H Youn)

34.

Using Bayesian analysis to estimate turkey hunter success rates spatially

Steven L Sheriff, Missouri Department of Conservation, sheris@mail.conservation.state.mo.us

(with D Sun, Z He and R Woodard)

35.

Bayesian analysis of nonhomogeneous Markov chains

Refik Soyer, George Washington University, soyer@gwis2.circ.gwu.edu

(with Minje Sung)

36.

Predicting transaction behaviour using sequence alignment and local regression

Francesco Vivarelli, NCR Knowledge Lab., francesco.vivarelli@ncr.com

37.

Inferences on health care indicators for the treatment of HIV/AIDS

David Walshaw, University of Newcastle, David.Walshaw@ncl.ac.uk

(with Karl Heiner)

38.

Bayesian approach in pharmacokinetics models

Patricia K. Ziegelmann, University of Kent at Canterbury, pkz2@ukc.ac.uk

(with Phil Brown)

TUESDAY 30 MAY: POSTER SESSION 2

1.

Robust Bayesian decision theory applied in medicine

Christophe Abraham, ENSAM INRA, abraham@helios.ensam.inra.fr

2.

A Bayesian approach for accelerated life tests using length-biased inverse Gaussian distribution

Olcay Akman, Coastal Carolina University, akmano@ccucs.coastal.edu

(with Prashant Sansgiry)

3.

A particle filter approach to non-stationary phases, frequencies and amplitudes of harmonic processes

Christophe Andrieu, University of Cambridge, ca226@eng.cam.ac.uk

(with A. Doucet)

4.

Bayesian methods in spectral analysis of dynamic PET neuroreceptor ligand studies

John Aston, McGill University, jaston@bic.mni.mcgill.ca

5.

Minimax estimation of a bounded parameter for LINEX loss function

Agata Boratynska, University of Warsaw, agatab@mimuw.edu.pl

6.

Dynamic evaluation of liver transplantation programs in France

Y Chalem, Etablissement Francais des Greffes, ych@biomath.jussieu.fr

(with J L Golmard)

7.

Probabilistic inversion for obtaining priors: Applications from recent risk analyses

Roger Cooke, Delft University of Technology, roger@dutiosa.twi.tudelft.nl

(with B. Kraan and J. van Noortwijk)

8.

Simplifying Bayesian networks: An approximation algorithm

M de Orio, Duke University, maria@isds.duke.edu

(with M Lavine)

9.

Sequential Monte Carlo filters for parameter estimation under model uncertainty

Petar Djuric, State University of New York at Stony Brook, djuric@ece.sunysb.edu

10.

Quantifying expert opinion in the UK water industry: an experimental study

Paul Garthwaite, Aberdeen University, p.garthwaite@maths.abdn.ac.uk

11.

Embedding Bayesian tools in commercial software: Computer demos

John Geweke, University of Iowa, jgeweke@blue.weeg.uiowa.edu

(with William McCausland)

12.

Bayesian analysis of nest survival rates

Zhuoqiong (Chong) He, University of Missouri, chong@stat.missouri.edu

(with D Sun and Y Tra)

13.

Cretan immortals: Bayesian survival analysis of long-term survivors using BUGS software

Daphne Kounali, University of Manchester, mdehsdk2@man.ac.uk

(with Anthony Robinson)

14.

Techical efficiency of collective farms: Accounting for labor over-reporting

L. Kurkalova, Iowa State University,

(with Alicia Carriquiry)

15.

Meta-analysis for longitudinal data models using multivariate mixture priors

Hedibert Freitas-Lopes, IM-UFRJ and Duke University, hedibert@stat.duke.edu

(with Peter Mueller and Gary Rosner)

16.

Bayesian modelling and computation for dependent non-Gaussian processes with application in wavelet analysis of texture images

Jane Liu, CDC Investment Management Corp. and Duke University, jane@isds.duke.edu, barbaraliu@netscape.net

17.

Predictive mortality graduation and the value at risk

Manuel Mendoza, ITAM, Mexico, mendoza@gauss.rhon.itam.mx

(with A.M. Madrigal and E. Gutierrez-Peña)

18.

The error-free mean reaction time as a measure of human performance

Carlos Morales, Boston University, carlosm@math.bu.edu

(with Mark E. Glickman)

19.

Likelihood and Bayesian methods in mixed effects logistic models, with application to the evaluation of liver transplantation programs in France

F Mesnil, Etablissement Francais des Greffes, fme@biomath.jussieu.fr

(with J L Golmard)

20.

Measuring value-relevance in stock prices, earnings and cash flows using the Gibbs sampler

Chung-ki Min, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, cmin@maincc.hufs.ac.kr

,

accmin@inet.polyu.edu.hk

(with J.B. Kim and C.H. Yi)

21.

An application of binomial state-space model to a study of the occurrence of respiratory diseases in Danish diary calves

Rodrigo Labouriau, Danish Institute of Agricultural Sciences,

Rodrigo.Labouriau@agrsci.dk

(with Soren Lundbye-Christensen)

22.

Application of state-space models and Monte Carlo methods for analyzing longitudinal data from patients on anticoagulant therapy

Soren Lundbye-Christensen, Aarhus University, s0ren@math.auc.dk

23.

Multiresolution Bayesian approaches to inverse problems

Robert Nowak, Rice University, nowak@rice.edu

24.

Behavior of the posterior in regression with autoregressive errors

J Lynn Palmer, MD Anderson Cancer Center, jlp@odin.mdacc.tmc.edu

(with Dennis Cox, Joaquin Diaz and Isabel Llatas)

25.

Constructing nonparametric priors by mixtures

Sonia Petrone, sonia.petrone@uni-bocconi.it

26.

Bayesian non-parametric approach to multiple imputation

Antonio Pievatolo, CNR-IAMI, marco@iami.mi.cnr.it

(with Marco Di Zio)

27.

Optimizing budget assessment for R&D activities. The experience of the Argentine agency for development of science and technology

Russo, Universidad Nacional de Quilmes, arusso@unq.edu.ar

(with M.L. Russo)

28.

Simulation and monitoring of project cash flow as MCMC

Russo, M.L. Russo and P. Pascual, Universidad Nacional de Quilmes

29.

Optimizing sequential processes in bread making using MCMC

M.L. Russo, P. Martinez, A. Russo and R. Grau, Universidad Nacional de Quilmes

30.

Combining stochastic and dynamic downscaling using a Bayesian approach

Bruno Sansó, Universidad Simón Bolívar, bruno@cesma.usb.ve

(with Lelys Guenni)

31.

Evaluating expected information in structural auction, job search and Roy selection models

Samita Sareen, University of Toronto, ssareen@chass.utoronto.ca

32.

Efficiency estimation of U.S. commercial banking: A stochastic frontier approach using Gibbs sampling

James Sfiridis, Central Connecticut State University, Sfiridis@mail.ccsu.edu

(with Kenneth Daniels)

33.

Bayesian estimation of the variation in time of the weight of the risk factors of the

CML after bone marrow transplantation

M L Tanguy, Societe Francaise des Greffes de Moelle, jlg@biomath.jussieu.fr

(with J L Golmard, M Michallet and J P Vernant)

34.

Bayesian portfolio selection in stochastic volatility models

Kadir Tanyeri, George Washington University, tanyeri@gwis2.circ.gwu.edu

(with Refik Soyer)

35.

Binary regression using Fisher's z Link

Florin Vaida, Harvard School of Public Health, vaida@biostat.harvard.edu

(with Xiao-Li Meng)

36.

Bayesian inference on gradual switching GARCH models: Gibbs sampling approach

Hajime Wago, Niigata University, hwago@fd.catv.ne.jp

37.

Generalized non-parametric mixed effects model

Yuedong Wang, University of California at Santa Barbara, yuedong@pstat.ucsb.edu

(with Peter Karcher)

38.

Spatial and spectral analysis in high energy astrophysics

David van Dyk, Harvard University, vandyk@stat.harvard.edu

(with A. Connors, V.L. Kashyap and A. Siemiginowska)

WEDNESDAY 31 MAY: POSTER SESSION 3

1.

Where's the utility in Bayesian data-monitoring in clinical trials?

Deborah Ashby, Queen Mary and Westfield College, D.Ashby@mds.qmw.ac.uk

2.

Analysis of incomplete high-dimensional multivariate normal data using a common factor model

Thomas Belin, UCLA, tbelin@mednet.ucla.edu

(with Juwon Song)

3.

Bayesian analysis of the calibration problem under elliptical distributions

H. Bolfarine, Universiade de Sao Paulo, hbolfar@ime.usp.br

(with M. Branco)

4.

Bayesian semiparametric and noparametric modelling approaches for cytogenetic dosimetry

Marcia Branco, Universidade de Sao Paulo, mbranco@ime.usp.br

(with Alan Gelfand and Athanasios Kottas)

5.

Estimation and model selection in asset pricing models

David Chan, University of New South Wales, David.Chan@cmis.CSIRO.AU

(with Robert Kohn)

6.

Image restoration using Kalman filter techniques

Claus Dethlefsen, Aalborg University, dethlef@mailhost.math.auc.dk

7.

Parametric and semi-parametric Bayesian models for accelerated life test

Alaattin Erkanli, Duke University, al@psych.mc.duke.edu

(with Refik Soyer and Jason Merrick)

8.

The Bayesian marginal likelihood in the diffuse Kalman Filter and the general linear model with noninformative priors

Marc K. Francke, Free University of Amsterdam, FranckeM@gba.amsterdam.nl

(with Aart F. de Vos)

9.

On multivariate stochastic volatility models

Stefanos Giakoumatos, Athens University of Economics and Business, stefanos@aueb.gr

(with P. Dellaportas and D.N. Politis)

10.

Bayesian sequential designs supported on credible regions

Enrique Gonzalez Davila, Universidad de La Laguna, egonzale@ull.es

(with J. Ginebra)

11.

An algorithm to sample QTLs in complex pedigrees

Soledad Fernandez, Iowa State University, soledad@iastate.edu

(with Alicia Carriquiry and Rohan Fernando)

12.

On the construction of Bayes estimators which improve on classical procedures

Dominique Fourdrinier, University of Rouen, Dominique.Fourdrinier@univ-rouen.fr

(with William Strawderman and Martin Wells)

13.

The deductive phase of statistical inference via predictive simulations: A food industry case study

Philippe P. Girard, Laboratoire GRESE/ENGREF, girard@engref.fr

(with Eric Parent)

14.

Bayesian process control charts

Chikobvu Delson, University of the Orange Free State, delson@wwg3.uovs.ac.za

15.

The estimation of switchpoints in multi-path linear regression

Piet Groenewald, Univesity of the Free State SA, wwpg@wwg3.uovs.ac.za

16.

Chromosome dosimetry after accidental exposure to radiation

Peter Groer, University of Tennessee, groer@utk.edu

17.

Bayesian methods for claims reserving

Hazan, University of Haifa, stdx@rstat.haifa.ac.il

(with U. Makov)

18.

Bayesian and entropy methods in a model of US crop supply

Jonathan Kaplan, University of California-Davis, kaplan@primal.ucdavis.edu

19.

Bayesian analysis of Social Security's disability determination process: Estimation of a nested logit model by MCMC

Kajal Lahiri, SUNY Albany, KL758@cnsvax.albany.edu

(with J. Gao, J. Hu and B. Wixon)

20.

A challenge for statistical instructors: Teaching Bayesian inference without discarding the "official" significance tests

Bruno LeCoutre, CNRS et Universite de Rouen, bruno.lecoutre@univ-rouen.fr

(with Jean-Marie Grouin and Marie-Paule Lecoutre)

21.

A Bayesian approach to uncertainty analysis and model calibration in atmospheric pollution models

John D. McClure, University of Glasgow, johndm@stats.gla.ac.uk

22.

A Bayesian method to analyse cancer survival times using the Weibull model

P.J. Mostert, University of South Africa, pjmos@fharga.sun.ac.za

(with A. Bekker and J.J.J. Roux)

23.

A Bayesian model to forecast sales and competitive interactions in new product categories: An application to high technology consumer electronics

Ramya Neelamegham, University of Colorado at Boulder, neelamegham@hotmail.com

(with Chintagunta Pradeep)

24.

On prior distributions for variable selection

Ioannis Ntzoufras, Athens University of Economics and Business,

jbn@stat-athens.stats.aueb.gr

(with P. Dellaportas and J.J. Forster)

25.

Analysis of elliptical measurement error models with applications to the study of air pollution

Wilfredo Palma Catholic University of Chile, wilfredo@mat.puc.cl

(with R. Arellano-Valle and P. Iglesias)

26.

Improving on the MLE of a bounded normal mean

Francois Perron, University of Montreal, perronf@dms.umontreal.ca

(with Eric Marchand)

27.

An econometric model of birth inputs and outputs for Native Americans

Dale J. Poirier, University of California at Irvine, dpoirier@uci.edu

(with Kai Li)

28.

Bayesian density estimation and inference using the mixed linear model and the

Dirichlet process prior

Albertus L. Pretorius, University of the Orange Freestate, pretoral@wwg3.uovs.ac.za

(with Abrie J. van der Merwe)

29.

Bayesian network modeling of atmospheric nitrogen deposition at watershed scale

Peter Principe, EPA, principe.peter@epa.gov

30.

Nonparametric Bayesian clustering and product partition models

Fernando Quintana, Catholic University Chile, quintana@mat.pucem.cl

(with Pilar Iglesias and Michael Newton)

31.

Hierarchical Bayesian analysis for the number of species

Josemar Rodrigues, vjosemar@power.ufscar.br

32.

Technical trading rules: An empirical investigation in Athens stock exchange

Zontos Sotiris, Technical University of Crete, zontos@orpheas.dpem.tuc.gr

(with Christos Skiadas, Yiannis Valvis and Yiannis Kasotakis)

33.

Calculating Bayes factors for variance component testing in generalized linear mixed models

Sandip Sinharay, Iowa State University, ssray@iastate.edu

(with Hal Stern)

34.

Bayesian method of moments for the mixed linear model

Abrie J. van der Merwe, University of the Orange Freestate, fay@wwg3.uovs.ac.za

(with Albertus L. Pretorius)

35.

Multivariate combination ARCH model: A new approach

Ioannis Vrontos, Athens University of Economics and Business, vrontos@stat-athens.aueb.gr

(with P. Dellaportas and D.N. Politis)

36.

Modelling high monthly wind gusts in Cape Town area: A multivariate extreme value model with regression

D.J. de Waal, University of the Orange Free State, wwdw@wwg3.uovs.ac.za

37.

Stopping rules in auditing and tax inspection: An empirical Bayesian approach

F. Jan Wille, Free University of Amsterdam, wille@tinbergen.nl

(with Aart F. de Vos)

38.

Methods of estimating marginal likelihoods and an application in time series diagnostics

Karen Young, University of Surrey, mas1ky@ee.surrey.ac.uk

(with Lawrence Pettit)

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