Tarrow (1998 [with 2011 additions]) This week we will make the transition from Tilly to Tarrow, via state-centered theory (Goldstone and Skocpol) and political process models (McAdam). What I hope you can bring from the lectures is an appreciation for the debates within the range of Marxian and Weberian theory and a certain degree of uncertainty or disagreement about the extent to which statecentered, political process, and resource mobilization theories are more or less Weberian (or Marxist) and more or less compatible. State centered theory provides two important concepts that are directly related to resource mobilizaton theory: state capacity and state crisis. Both of these concepts should be related to political opportunities, which is a critical factor in resource mobilization and political process. In fact, it seems reasonable to argue that political process models incorporate state capacity and crisis in the concept of cycles of political opportunity. Much of Tarrow's book is focused on opportunities, which seems to be the critical factor in predicting social movements and social movement cycles. In the first part of his book, Tarrow discusses the birth of national social movements, following Tilly in the analysis how social movements have been facilitated (if not invented) in the last two hundred years, with the major transformation occurring in the nineteenth century. In this section, he focuses on how social change affected (or effected) social movements by creating opportunities. In the second section, he turns to how social movements affect (or effect) social change, looking at the power of movements and how they are capable of mounting challenges, taking advantage of opportunities, creating new opportunities, developing innovative tactics, framing their challenge, organizing and 2 mobilizing suporters. The third section focuses on cycles of political opportunity, between 1848 and 1989, focusing on the 1930s, the 1960s, and the 1980s. Here he considers the rise and fall of movements (and movement cycles), the "residue of reform," and the future of social movements. I have framed Tarrow's book as an analysis of the relationship between social movements and social change and as a synthesis (or effort to integrate) resource mobilization and political process models. In this regard, the first section of his book is a friendly critique of Tilly's changing repertoires of political contention. Specifically, he takes exception to Tilly's implication that social movements be considered as a repertoire or "form of collective action" (Tarrow, p. 33 [p. 42 in 2011). Tarrow argues that the development of the national social movement is not a change in repertoires but a product of such a change. He thus reconfigures Tilly's model of changing 3 repertoires as a shift from direct action that is target and interest specific to a new, "modular" form of collective action that is indirect and applicable to a variety of interests and targets (see figure below). 4 Like Tilly, Tarrow views the change in repertoires as a response to developments in the formation of the modern state. The development of "modular" tactics, deliberate organization, and means of communication (or diffuson) were the elements that enabled or facilitated national social movements. The old tactics were rooted in local, homgeneous communities that were capable of direct action in pursuit of specific interests. The new tactics were rooted in the weak ties that linked members of "communities of print" and "networks of associations." To some extent, these tactics and communities were created in the process of statemaking, but Tarrow insists that the relationship between state capacity (and crisis) and social movements is dialectical. "By the second half of the nineteenth century, movements and their potential for disruption had led nation states to broaden 5 the suffrage, accept the legitimacy of mass associations and open new forms of political participation to their citizens. In a very real sense, citizenship emerged through a rough dialectic between social movements—actual and feared—and the national state." (p.66). [p. 89 in 2011] The interactive or dialectical relationship between social movements and social change (particularly statemaking) are even more apparent in the second section of the book. Section Two Tarrow (p. 76-77 [pp. 160-1 in 2011]) defines opportunity as components of the political environment that inspire the perception on the part of challengers that they might succeed. Clearly political challengers can construct opportunity or fail to create opportunities by not challenging authorities, but the examples of opportunity that Tarrow offers (p. 76) [pp. 164-5 in 6 2011] suggest that he is not taking a constructionist approach. Increasing access, shifting alignments, influential allies, divided elites, and diminishing capacity for repression are the major examples of opportunities [this last type of opportunity is less prominent in the 2011 discussion; here he discusses repression and facilitation in Part III (pp. 208-210). The inability to repress is suggested in a more nuanced discussion of suppression and coercive control, channeling and managing contention (pp. 1705). The discussion of repression and weak states is more nuanced and cast in terms of regimes, opportunities and threats (pp. 175-179). Opportunities are associated not only with state crisis but also with state capacity. State capacity limits the effectiveness of social movements that demand political actions that the state is incapable of executing. Prior to Abolitionism, in the early days of Women's Suffrage (1848-1865), the AnteBellum state did not 7 have the authority (or the capacity) to determine voting rights in the States (see Bensel 1990). Tarrow (pp.83-85 [pp. 174-5 in 2011]) argues that states' routine repression of challengers may intensify the magnitude of the challenge (suggesting that authoritarian states are likely to experience few yet more intense challenges). Alternatively, states' toleration of challenges (which is, of course, selective) may be "a double-edged sword," depriving challengers of the opportunity to confront hostile authorities and to play upon the sympathies of the larger public audience (p. 84 [p. 173 in 2011]). Clearly, since the Democratic Convention of 1968, American authorities have learned that repression can undermine the legitimacy of the state, particularly when the television reporters are being assaulted and arrested. As Tarrow suggests, the state and the challengers are involved in a strategic political game of innovation and 8 accomodation. When the Civil Rights Movement filled the Birmingham jails with peaceful protestors, this innovative tactic captured the attention of the national media. Now the police routinely batch-process protestors, without ever placing them in holding cells. Ultimately, then, the secular trend facilitating social movements (and political challenges, more generally) also facilitates state accomodation, preemption, and cooptation of challengers [Tarrow 2011, p. 116]. Consider the possibility that challengers may be returning to community-based direct-action and away from social movements. We'll reconsider that idea in evaluating Epstein's book. In the remainder of section 2, Tarrow deals with the resources that enable challengers to take advantage of opportunies--tactics, cultural/political frames, and organization. Clearly, he sees these as important intermediate steps between 9 opportunity and action, and he recognizes the importance of strategic, symbolic, and organizational choices, but these don't seem to be determinant but contingent factors that lead down diverging paths that are not necessarily more or less successful. Tactics, for example, include violence, disruption, and convention, which are associated with distinctive constellations of social movement and socio-historical conditions. Social movements tend to follow a life-cycle that leads from disruption to the strategic choice between violence and convention (p. 104; this discussion is extended in 2011, pp. 98-117, with an extended discussion of violent and nonviolent repertoires, innovation and suppression). Tactics, however, also follow a life-cycle from violent (or disruptive) to conventional. Thus particular tactics (strikes and marches and sit-ins) have become conventional. Curiously, tactics begin as violent/disruptive and 10 end as conventional, while movements begin with disruptive and move to violent/conventional. Framing collective action is similarly contingent. Mobilizing frames and action frames stand in an uneasy relation with the dominant culture and the established authorities. Some cultural frames, like "rights" in America seem to articulate well with the dominant culture and at the same time challenge the status quo, as we have moved from Civil to Women's to Gay Rights and the Right to Life. "Rights," like marches on Washington may have already become old news. It may be necessary to innovate even more than we already have on the general theme of rights in order to resuscitate the news value of the rights of anyone (does anyone remember States' Rights? The Bill of Rights?). Mobilization and organizational form is also contingent and problematical. Top down mobilization facilitates response to 11 new opportunities or threats but threatens to alienate the base of constituent support (p. 126 [pp. 124-5 in 2011]). Decentralization can bring its own form of tyranny (p. 130 [pp. 131-132 in 2011]), not to mention the endless delays of arguing fine point of procedure and rhetoric. What is necessary is a mechanism for mobilizing networks of potential supporters when opportunity knocks and then allowing them to return to their conventional lives during cycles of decline. The women's movement and the environmentalist movement have managed to sustain themselves, despite factionalism, etc. Maybe the community base is more important than the mechanism for mobilization, although the IWW might be an example of the extreme on that end. In any case, it seems that mobilization (like tactics and frames) is important in determining the direction and capacity of a particular challenge by a particular challenger at a particular 12 point in time. What seems definitive, however, is the presence of opportunity. The problems of tactics, rhetoric/solidarity, and organization are important in enabling challengers to respond to opportunities or to sustain themselves in the doldrums (Rupp and Taylor), but opportunities are the limiting condition. Without opportunity, the rest doesn't matter. In the new (2011) edition, Tarrow moves the chapter on Opportunities and Threats to the end of this section (chapter 8). It was at the beginning (chapter 5) in the old (1998) edition. He has also renamed chapters 7 (from “Framing Contention” to “Making Meanings”) and renamed what was chapter 8 (“Mobilizing Structures and Contentious Politics”) and becomes chapter 6 (“Networks and Organizations”). These changes are more than cosmetic. What was simply framing has now become a more elaborate set not just frames but identities and emotions, updated to include the Mohamed image and sociology of 13 emotion work—inspired by the challenge of new social movements and the cultural turn. Similarly, networks and organizations recaps some of the old organizational theory—the iron law of oligarchy and new versions of that problem, along with the digital and virtual networks. Still, Part II ends with opportunities, threats (adding regimes instead of constraints), which remain the most important predictor of contention. The most dramatic difference in this section is the admission at the end that the old Resource Mobilization and Political Process models are static and the promise to rectify this problem in the new and improved Part III. On that note, we might turn to the concepts of cycles, success, and the future of social movements--in other words, Part III. 14 Part III The first thing we see in the new (2011) edition is the addition of a new chapter, “Mechanisms and Processes of Contention.” This is a summary of the Dynamics of Contention model that McAdam, Tilly, and Tarrow offered in 2001. They offer an interactive contingency model that reoriented the study of political contention: (1) away from single challenger/movement toward a “field” of contentious action that includes multiple challengers, authorities, targets, beneficiaries, antagonists, etc. (2) away from Eurocentric/Western focus toward international fields of contention, including nondemocratic and non-Western national and international fields 15 (3) away from static structures that predict contention toward mechanisms and processes that seem to operate in similar ways across time and place (2011, pp. 184-5). “Mechanisms are a delimited set of changes that alter relations among specific sets of relations in identical or closely similar ways over a variety of situations.” (2011, p. 185). Examples include brokerage or third party alliance constructions, as when A. Philip Randolph (2011, p. 114) established relations between unions and civil rights organizations in support of his March on Washington Movement. In my paper on Reconstruction Georgia (Hogan 2011) I use “divide and conquer” as another example of a mechanism that tends to produce similar results across time and place. Tarrow distinguishes “dispositional, environmental, and relational mechanism” (2011, p. 187) associated with mobilization and demobilization. 16 He also views “processes” as a set of mechanism that work in combination in similar ways across time and place. Tilly suggests democratization, state-making, and capital accumulation and processes—not static structures. Tarrow suggests diffusion and scale shift as processes. He then takes these mechanisms and processes into the previously (second edition) chapters on cycles, reformist struggles, and transnational contention, concluding (like Tilly and Wood) with the future of social movements. What I pulled out of the last section of Tarrow for discussion was three major assertions (or questions). 1. Opportunities and social movement cycles tend to move from the top down (p. 142-4 [pp. 199-202 in 2011]), with conflicts between elites eventually creating opportunities for grassroots challenges. 17 2. These cycles produce effects on participants, political institutions and practices, and on political culture (p. 164 [p. 220 in 2011]). 3. Historically, over the past two hundred years, there has been a tendency toward mass, modular, peaceful movements, which "flourish" in the modern era, particularly in Western democratic states (p. 196-7 [more implicit in 2011 edition: “High capacity democratic regimes produce and enormous concentration of social movements.” (p. 179)]). Recently, however, some might argue that movements are becoming international in scope and more prone to violence. Are we becoming a movement society? Are movements now transnational or international? Are we returning to violent, direct action? 18 Tarrow asserts (pp. 172-174; pp. 230-1 in 2011) that despite diversity the women tended to use conventional tactics, but they also were much more effective in framing their demands, in maintaining community based networks, and thus in sustaining themselves to take advantage of opportunities even after the end of the Sixties cycle. Obviously the transitory (and, perhaps, overly intellectual) nature of the student population was a major difference between the movements, but are movements that use conventional tactics generally more successful? The role of violence and disruption in the social movement cycle is not clear in Tarrow. He suggests that violence represents a strategic choice when disruption is no longer effective and the movement needs to do something else to create uncertainty among antagonists and to bolster solidarity among potential supporters (pp. 94-98, 104-5; pp. 101-7 in 2011). Violence and convention are alternative paths that movements might follow at 19 the end of a cycle (pp. 149-150; p. 104 in 2011), when supporters are leaving the movement. Convention maintains the organizational structure that can mobilize community-based networks when opportunities present themselves again. In this regard, the women's movement survived "the doldrums" (Rupp and Taylor), but what about the community base? Violence is newsworthy and creates uncertainty, which might extend the cycle and provide the conventional movement organizations with leverage in negotiating policy reforms. One might argue that Malcolm X did more for conventional Civil Rights reform efforts than he did for the urban ghetto residents (who were less likely to benefit from affirmative action and integration and who were not particularly concerned with discrimination in housing, education, or middle-class employment). Since the cycle begins with conventional challenges--in this case, NAACP legal challenges to 20 discrimination in education and ends with violence or terrorism, it may be that the two are dialectically linked in the political process of creating and expanding opportunities. The repression of the violent cadre or professional radicals reaffirms the legitimacy of the state and, ironically, of the nonviolent protest that has turned conventional. If the social movement organizations are sustained as conventional political challengers, they might be prepared not only to provide opportunities in opening the next cycle but also to contribute to the reconstruction of the history of the movement. Today, for example, decades after the movement went into decline, Malcolm X has been reconstructed as a religious and political leader who, after becoming disillusioned with the Muslim leadership, might have joined an inter-racial coalition of 21 nonviolent direct action advocates. Of course, we will never know, since both he and Martin Luther King were assassinated. This leads us, indirectly, to the role of the media in constructing or reconstructing political challenges (or movements). Here I find Tarrow's account (pp. 114-116; pp. 147-9 in 2011) more compelling. Let us not forget that media are not public agencies but private profit-making enterprises. The media makes news in much the same way that classes make history--they don't construct it from whole cloth (Marx, somewhere in the Eighteenth Brumaire I think). First and foremost, news is what sells advertisements—what is predicted to attract public attention. As movements and cycles (and tactics) become routine, they lose their news value. Violence and disruption are always newsworthy, but those who receive violence tend to get better press (even if they are armed and dangerous) than those who blow up buildings. Aside from that, 22 the mainstream media tends to represent the values of the dominant culture (or attempts to reflect and form those values, reflecting to a greater extent in news and forming as a primary goal in advertising). In any case, in bringing our discussion of Tarrow to a close, it is hard to find evidence that Tarrow views violence as effective in achieving goals, creating opportunities, or sustaining community networks. That does not mean that it is irrational, simply that it tends to be ineffective and thus should decline over time, as new challengers learn the lessons of history. My inclination is to view convention and violence as two sides of the same coin. While cycles may open and close with convention (I'm still not sure that I agree with that), disruption expands the opportunities for challengers. Ideally, disruption should continue with innovation at the edges, but it becomes increasing difficult to disrupt without violating the law and it 23 becomes increasingly difficult to engage in large-scale peaceful protest without losing the ability to create uncertainty and to sustain solidarity. In my mind, violence is a double edged sword. If authorities are not convinced that there is, at least, a potential for violent revolutionary struggle, they can routinize the challenge and control the media. Eventually, civil disobedience becomes conventional. In the medium run, the effect of violence tends to undermine the position of the violence user. At the same time, however, violence can create opportunities for the nonviolent by creating uncertainty and a sense of rage. Gamson (1976) found that violence receivers who did not respond in kind tended to be less successful than others, but that may be a function of the power of the group and the time period--before police learned how to combat nonviolence. 24 In any case, I find Tarrow's claim that revolution occurs when the state collapses (p. 157 [ p. 210 in 2011]) to be problematic. What are the cause and effect here? Does the collapse of the state produce revolution, or does the potential for revolution engender the collapse of the state. If, in fact, decentralization of the means of coercion generates violence does that mean that we need a central state to protect us from each other? Of course, Tarrow suggests that this is a temporary crisis. Clearly, he is not offering a theory of revolution (as Tilly is) but a theory of social movements (which Tilly does not). Ultimately, if we buy Tarrow's analysis of social movements, does that help us to understand revolutions? Worded differently, can we synthesize or combine Tarrow's theory of social movements with Tilly's theory of revolution. 25 If there is a dialectical relationship between statemaking (and capital accumulation) and political challenge, does that apply equally well to the analysis of social movements (which emerge cyclically) and revolutions (which appear to be rare events)? If one is interested in using social movements as a means to (or path towards) effecting radical (institutional) change (such as the destruction of capitalism), is that a mistake? Are social movements the wrong vehicle? Should we look elsewhere for radical political challenges? On that note we might turn to new social movements and Epstein's analysis of direct action communities. 26