Our ref: Your ref: PCS/125876 Gordon Brown Energy Consents and Deployment Unit Scottish Government If telephoning ask for: By email only to: econsentsadmin@scotland.gsi.gov.uk 16 May 2013 Angela Burke Dear Mr Brown Electricity Act 1989 The Electricity Works (Environmental Impact Assessment)(Scotland) Regulations 2000 Section 36 Application (Addendum) for the proposed Renewable Energy Plant at the Port of Dundee Thank you for consulting SEPA on the addendum to the above application. This representation relates to the additional air quality information contained in the Environmental Impact Assessment: Addendum 2 which we received on 3 April 2013 from Forth Energy. We have reviewed the further information and can confirm that our previous comments remain applicable. We wish to carry forward the recommendations and conditions contained in our previous consultation response dated 13 December 2010. As such, we continue to have no objection to the principle of the development. However, if Scottish Ministers are minded to grant Section 36 consent, we consider the conditions suggested by us in Sections 7.3, 9.2, 10.1 and 10.2 of our letter dated 13 December 2010 to be complementary to our regulatory control. We recommend that these conditions are attached to any grant of consent. As requested additional advice for Scottish Ministers (and the applicant) is provided in the attached appendix. If you have any queries relating to this letter, please contact the undersigned by telephone on 0131 273 7334 or by e-mail planning.se@sepa.org.uk. Yours sincerely Angela Burke Senior Planning Officer Planning Service Ecopy: Michaela Sullivan – Forth Ports: michaela.sullivan@forthenergy.co.uk -2- APPENDIX 1: ADDITIONAL COMMENTS Additional advice for Scottish Ministers 1. Environmental regulation 1.1 The operation of the proposed development will be controlled by us under the Pollution Prevention and Control (PPC) (Scotland) Regulations 2012. Based on the information provided in the second addendum report we are satisfied that the development is potentially capable of being authorised under this regime. 1.2 It should be noted that although the monitoring results from 2011/12 indicate that the nitrogen dioxide emissions from the proposed plant are not predicted to cause an exceedance in the air quality objective, that this assumption is still based on limited data from a single year. As previously advised, there is still a risk that we may be unable to grant a PPC Permit to enable the operation of the plant, if during the application or determination process: a) b) the air quality objective is not met; and/or there is insufficient data to demonstrate that the air quality objectives will be met once the renewable energy plant is operational. 1.3 Further air quality advice this is provided in Section 2. 1.4 It is important to note that at the Section 36 application stage, we are not seeking to undertake a detailed assessment of the development in order to meet the regulatory requirements. We do however, need to establish the acceptability of the development in principle in terms of land use and ensure that we are able to achieve an acceptable level of protection through regulation. Assuming that the air quality assumptions in the second addendum report are accurate we are satisfied that this is achievable. 1.5 This position is given without prejudice to any decision made on elements of the proposal regulated by us, which may take into account factors not considered at the Section 36 application stage. 2. Potential impact on air quality 2.1 The comments in this section relate to the air quality assessment contained in addendum 2 to the Environmental Statement. 2.2 The second addendum report presents passive diffusion tube data and automatic monitoring data for nitrogen dioxide (NO2) measured at the Stannergate Roundabout and local area during 2011/12. The measured annual mean concentration at the façade of the residential property on the Stannergate Roundabout was 36.8 µg.m-3. This is lower than the EU limit value of 40 µg.m-3. The study has shown that the concentrations of nitrogen dioxide did not exceed the annual mean or hourly air quality objectives and/or EU limit values during this period. 2.3 The monitoring data has been used to model the predicted annual mean concentrations of nitrogen dioxide in 2017 when the proposed plant is likely to become operational. The assessment predicts that when operational (in 2017) the emissions of nitrogen dioxide and sulphur dioxide from the renewable energy plan will not have a significant impact on local air quality. We agree with the findings and are satisfied that the air quality modelling is -3- reasonable and adequately justified. However, this is based on the assumption that Dundee City Councils Air Quality Action Plan will be effective at reducing the ambient concentrations of nitrogen dioxide. 2.4 To inform the determination of any future PPC application we therefore recommend that the monitoring undertaken in 2011/12 is continued for a further 2 to 3 years. This will help determine the effectiveness of the Councils Air Quality Action Plan in meeting the air quality objective. 2.5 Although the assessment has concluded that the emissions from the proposed plant will not have a significant impact on local air quality, it has shown that road traffic is the most significant source of nitrogen dioxide and that the annual mean objective may be exceeded at some roadside locations in 2017; even without the plant operational. This is demonstrated in table 12 which shows that the predicted maximum (worst case) emissions from the proposed plant will be small when compared to the contribution from road traffic. 2.6 In summary, assuming that the concentrations of nitrogen dioxide reduce as predicted, we are satisfied that the predicted contribution of nitrogen dioxide from the proposed plant on sensitive receptors is unlikely to lead to an exceedance of an air quality objective or European limit value. We are therefore satisfied that the proposed plant is potentially capable of being authorised under the PPC regime. We will undertake a further more detailed assessment of the potential impacts on human health as part of the PPC application. Additional advice for the applicant 3. Air quality assessment 3.1 Although we satisfied that the assessment methodology is reasonable, there is still a risk that the air quality standards and EU limit values (particularly those relating to nitrogen dioxide in the vicinity of the Stannergate roundabout) may not be met before the plant becomes operational in 2017. 3.2 As explained in section 1.2, we may not be able to grant a PPC Permit to enable operation of the plant if: a) the air quality objective is not met; and/or b) there is insufficient data to demonstrate that the air quality objectives will be met once the renewable energy plant is operational. 3.3 To inform the determination of any future PPC application we therefore recommend that you continue the programme of ambient air monitoring to demonstrate that the assumptions and correction factors contained in the second addendum are valid. 3.4 The following detailed comments apply to the methodology and data presented in the second addendum to the Environmental Statement Impact on Local Air Quality 3.5 The Addendum 2 Report has shown that when operational, the emissions of nitrogen dioxide and sulphur dioxide from the proposed plant will not have a significant impact on local air quality. The conclusions are based on a dispersion modelling assessment and so -4- there is a possibility that the actual concentrations might be slightly higher or lower than those predicted. It is important to consider model uncertainty when assessing the model predictions to account for physical processes and uncertainties which a Gaussian plume model is unable to resolve. A factor of 2 is normally considered appropriate in most cases, and therefore, the model predictions should be doubled to assess the risk in the case that the model may have under predicted the concentrations. When applied to the proposed plant Main Stack process contribution in Table 12, the maximum contribution of nitrogen dioxide (NO2) is doubled to 1.0 µ.m-3 (DDC wind data) and 1.4 µg.m-3 in the case of Leuchars wind data (Table 20). Even when doubled, the predicted increase is small, particularly when compared to the contribution from road traffic. 3.6 The assessment has also applied the Janssen methodology (this considers the availability of ozone that is necessary for creating NO2 from NO) because this is thought to be more representative of the real life situation. I agree that this is likely to be more representative of the real life scenario. 3.7 The assessment has assumed that the plant will operate 24-hours a day, 7-days a week, 365 days a year at 100% of the emission limit values that will have been set by SEPA to protect human health and the environment, during the most unfavourable meteorological conditions. This will generate data that are representative of worst case and unlikely to occur in reality. Meteorological Data 3.8 3.9 The use of appropriate meteorological data has been considered and the author has decided that local data should be used. However, we note that Section 3.4.40 presents the findings of a sensitivity assessment that has shown that the use of Leuchars meteorological data predicts slightly higher maximum annual mean concentrations of nitrogen dioxide. Road Traffic The assessment has concluded that the emissions from the proposed RTP will not have a significant impact on local air quality, but it has shown that road traffic is the most significant source of NO2 and that the annual mean objective may be exceeded at some roadside locations in 2017, even without the biomass plant in-place. 3.10 Dundee City Council has designated an Air Quality Management Area (AQMA) because concentrations of nitrogen dioxide are exceeding the annual mean air quality objective and EU limit value at several locations within the City. The Council has published an Action Plan that contains measures to tackle the issue of poor air quality within the city’s Air Quality Management Area (AQMA). SEPA will continue to monitor the progress of the Action Plan. 3.11 Section 3.4.34 suggests that 13,000 people will experience a small increase in the concentrations of NO2. It is important to note that this increase would be so small that it would be difficult to measure and in the majority of cases, these people will live in locations where the concentrations of NO2 are less than half the annual mean air quality objective and limit value, therefore the air quality objectives and EU limit values for NO2 will not be exceeded at the background locations. -5- EPUK Guidance 3.12 The assessment has applied a methodology that was developed by Environmental Protection UK (EPUK) and the Institute of Air Quality Management (IAQM) that enables the author to categorise the impact of changes in concentration (Sections 3.4.17 to 3.4.22). Table 16 indicates that emissions from the proposed plant will lead mostly to imperceptible increases in the annual mean concentrations of NO2, with negligible impact. A small increase is predicted to occur at 7 locations, leading to a negligible or Slight Adverse impact. This approach is generally accepted by air quality professionals. SO2 Assessment 3.13 The SO2 assessment was undertaken to fulfil Condition 17. The assessment has shown that the air quality objectives and limit values for sulphur dioxide will not be exceeded. I agree with the findings of this assessment. Heavy Metal, dioxin and furan 3.14 Two, one-month monitoring studies were undertaken to establish a baseline position and see if the assumed concentrations in the original Environmental Statement are correct. 3.15 The report states that monitoring was undertaken in October and February “… when the concentrations of these substances tend to be at their greatest…”. The assessment has concluded “…it is apparent that the original baseline, drawn from the most recent monitoring data at closest locations to Dundee are representative of the true picture…”. This statement is based on a very small data set, but we acknowledge that the cost of longterm monitoring is very high. Traffic 3.16 The conclusions of the monitoring study are based on a single year of monitoring data and it is not clear how 2012 data compares with previous years (is the annual mean concentration similar to previous years or was it lower or higher)? Also, Sections 2.4.52.4.7 consider road works that were in place between April and August 2012. 3.17 Monitoring has shown there was a reduction of 6.2 µg.m-3 (Table 6) between the roadside passive diffusion tube (mounted on the lamppost) and the tube that is mounted on the side of the house – a distance of about 3m (Table A1). The photograph below shows that roadwork’s pushed passing traffic further away from the monitor (the green box in the centre of the picture is the automatic monitor housing) increasing the distance between the source and the monitor. It is not clear how this may have affected the annual mean concentration that has been reported in this document. The road works and the closure of the Stannergate Bridge, has introduced a degree of uncertainty at a location that is very close the annual mean air quality objective threshold for nitrogen dioxide, therefore we advise that this figure be viewed with caution. -6- Road works at Stannergate (The green box in the centre of the photograph is the automatic monitor housing Reference: Google Maps. 22 April 2013 3.18 End. As previously stated whilst this assessment is representative of the environmental conditions at the time of the monitoring study, it may not be representative of levels that may exist in future years - particularly if the number of Heavy Duty Vehicles (HDV) exiting the docks at the Stannergate junction were to increase. HDVs emit disproportionally high levels of NO2 and a small increase in vehicle numbers could have a significant impact on local air quality. Dispersion modelling cannot accurately predict the impact of a large vehicle that is under-load and accelerating from a standing start, on a slight incline. This is relevant in the case of the Stannergate roundabout, where vehicles leaving the port will pass a residential property where the concentrations are already very close to the annual mean threshold value.