1 Regional Planning for Wildlife in a Suburbanizing Landscape The Triangle region of North Carolina is undergoing rapid development and major shifts in land use that may alter our wildlife communities in undesirable ways. Some wildlife species may be lost in the Triangle unless conservation plans are developed and implemented. We are developing a wildlife conservation plan for the Triangle that focuses on four groups of animals – birds, mammals, reptiles, and amphibians. The ultimate goal of this effort is to create a regional network of open spaces suitable for a broad range of native birds, mammals, reptiles, and amphibians. The approach we have chosen is based on the concepts of umbrella and keystone species. An umbrella species is one whose habitat requirements, if met, will serve as an umbrella for a large number of other species with similar requirements. A keystone species is one whose removal will cause major shifts in community composition and ecosystem function. The idea is that once several umbrella and keystone species are identified, conservation plans that focus on those species will benefit associated species. We believe this approach provides a suitable framework for identifying the quality, area, and configuration of habitat needed for the design of a reserve network for this region. Selected references about umbrella species and keystone species are provided at the end of the survey package. We would like you to help us identify the umbrella and keystone species on which to focus conservation planning in the Triangle. This questionnaire is the first in a three-part Delphi survey designed to help us select those species. Delphi surveys are designed to address complex issues by synthesizing expert judgement in the absence of detailed empirical data. In this questionnaire, we will ask you to identify threatened and keystone species. In the second part of the survey, we will share the results from the entire panel and seek refinement and ranking of the species. In the final part of the survey, we will share ranking results, the selected species, and seek consensus that the selection is reasonable. 2 In this first questionnaire, you will be asked to do five things: 1. Identify your level of expertise in each of four taxonomic classes. 2. Provide a list of birds, mammals, reptiles, and amphibians that are threatened by current development trends in the Triangle region. 3. Provide a list of keystone species (any taxonomic group) in the Triangle region. 4. Make comments on our approach or on any part of this project you wish. 5. Mail back your response by Friday, 7 May. If you wish to make other arrangements, please e-mail Teresa Olsen at taolsen@unity.ncsu.edu, 919.851.0984. Return to (in enclosed envelope): George Hess Forestry Department North Carolina State University Raleigh NC 27695-8002 3 Regional Landscape Planning Questionnaire Section I. Identification of Expertise In this section, you will identify your level of expertise with regard to four taxonomic classes. This will enable us to weight your species choices when compared to the choices of other panelists in the survey. If your knowledge is limited to a certain portion of a taxa (e.g., game mammals, neotropical migrant birds), please note that in the comment area. Please use the following scale as a guideline when rating your level of expertise: 1. Very Knowledgeable: 99-80% confidence in your command of the subject. 2. Knowledgeable: 79-60% confidence in your command of the subject. 3. Somewhat Knowledgeable: 59-40% confidence in your command of the subject. 4. Minimal Knowledge: 39-20% confidence in your command of the subject. 5. Not Knowledgeable: 19-0% confidence in your command of the subject. Question 1. Indicate your level of knowledge with regard to mammals (circle one). Not knowledgeable Minimal knowledge Somewhat Knowledgeable Knowledgeable Very Knowledgeable If you have any comments, please add them here: ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… Question 2. Indicate your level of knowledge with regard to birds (circle one). Not knowledgeable Minimal knowledge Somewhat Knowledgeable Knowledgeable Very Knowledgeable If you have any comments, please add them here: ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… 4 Question 3. Indicate your level of knowledge with regard to reptiles (circle one). Not Knowledgeable Minimal Knowledge Somewhat Knowledgeable Knowledgeable Very Knowledgeable If you have any comments, please add them here: ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… Question 4. Indicate your level of knowledge with regard to amphibians (circle one). Not Knowledgeable Minimal Knowledge Somewhat Knowledgeable Knowledgeable Very Knowledgeable If you have any comments, please add them here: ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… Question 5. Please note any other taxonomic groups in which you have expertise and indicate your level of knowledge (using the same terms as above). Taxonomic Group Knowledge Level Comments 5 Section II. Threatened Species In this section, you will list individual species according to the type of threat that you think most limits their population size. Choose the species from four groups of animals — birds, mammals, reptiles, and amphibians — regardless of your area of expertise. We have defined the following four threat categories: 1. Loss of sufficient area of suitable habitat (area-limited species). Require relatively large patches of suitable habitat to survive. Unlikely to maintain viable populations if remaining habitat patches are reduced below a certain size. Example: Habitat loss: conversion of extensive areas of mature forest to suburban development negatively affects populations of the hooded warbler. 2. Barriers to movement among habitat patches (dispersal-limited species). Species unable to move between otherwise suitable habitat patches or across barriers without a high risk of mortality. Example: Roads pose a significant threat to the Eastern box turtle during seasonal shifts in habitat. 3. Shortage of critical resources (resource-limited species). Populations limited by the availability of a critical resource - e.g., clean water, escape cover, den sites, as well as microhabitat. Example: The availability of temporary pools for breeding may be critical to the survival of a population of amphibians. 4. Disruption of critical processes (process-limited species). Populations limited because key ecological processes have been disrupted. Example: Fire suppression in long leaf pine ecosystems allows hardwoods to grow tall enough to interfere with red cockaded woodpecker nesting. 6 A separate page is provided for each threat category. For each threat category, please list the five species you think are most at risk. Remember that we are interested in birds, mammals, reptiles, and amphibians. For each species listed, please provide the following information: A reason for assigning the species to the threat category. Please identify the specific threat to survival. Species for which the threatened species serves an umbrella function. Species that serve an umbrella function for the threatened species. Key literature citations for further information about the listed species. We will use this information to identify umbrella species — species whose habitat requirements, if met, will serve as an umbrella for a large number of other species with similar requirements. If you feel strongly about listing more than five species in any threat category, please attach additional sheets to your survey. 7 Area-Limited Species Threatened Species 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Reason/Specific Threat Serves as Umbrella for… Umbrellas for threatened species … Literature Citations 8 Dispersal-Limited Species Threatened Species 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Reason/Specific Threat Serves as Umbrella for… Umbrellas for threatened species … Literature Citations 9 Resource-Limited Species Threatened Species 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Reason/Specific Threat Serves as Umbrella for… Umbrellas for threatened species … Literature Citations 11 Process-Limited Species Threatened Species 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Reason/Specific Threat Serves as Umbrella for… Umbrellas for threatened species … Literature Citations 12 Section III. Keystone Species In this section, we are asking you to list species in the Triangle region that play a keystone role in ecosystem function and structure. The species you list may be from any taxonomic group (i.e., not restricted to birds, mammals, reptiles, and amphibians), but should play a critical role in supporting ecosystem structure and function necessary for the threatened species you listed in Section II. We define keystone species by these characteristics: Plays a pivotal role in maintaining ecosystem structure and diversity through their activities. Impacts on ecosystems are large and disproportional to the species abundance in a given area. Affects ecosystem through several mechanisms: by altering landscape structure (via burrowing, grazing, seed dispersal, cavity drilling), or by their position as consumers at the top of the food web. Example: The sea otter, a top carnivore in the Pacific near-shore community, has a positive effect on populations of harbor seals, fish and bald eagles. Its activities limit populations of other species, particularly mussels and barnacles. In the absence of sea otters, mussel and barnacle populations would increase dramatically, altering the species composition and function of the entire ecosystem. In the following table, please list the four most important keystone species in the Triangle region. For each keystone species . . . Briefly describe how the species affects the ecosystem. List other species or species guilds that are impacted by the activities of the keystone species. Be sure to include relevant species you listed in Section II. If you feel strongly about listing more than four keystone species, please attach additional sheets to your survey. 13 Keystone Species Species Name 1. 2. 3. 4. Effects on Ecosystem Species and Guilds Impacted Literature Citations 14 Section IV. Comments The purpose of this section is to give you a chance to comment on our approach to conservation planning within the context of a suburbanizing landscape. Please indicate your level of agreement with the following statements: Statement 1. The ultimate goal of this effort is to create a regional network of open spaces suitable for a broad range of native birds, mammals, reptiles, and amphibians. This goal is reasonable and appropriate (circle one response). Disagree Strongly Disagree Neutral Agree Agree Strongly If you have any comments, please make them here: ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… 15 Statement 2. Conservation planning using the umbrella species approach, as described in the introduction, is a reasonable and appropriate way to attain the project goal (circle one response). Disagree Strongly Disagree Neutral Agree Agree Strongly If you have any comments, please make them here: ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… Statement 3. Conservation planning using the keystone species approach, as described above, is a reasonable and appropriate way to attain the project goal (circle one response). Disagree Strongly Disagree Neutral Agree Agree Strongly If you have any comments, please make them here: ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… 16 Please add any additional comments or suggestions here: ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… Section V. Conclusion Please write your name in the space below, for our records. Individual responses will be kept confidential. ……………………………………………………………………………………………………… 17 The second part of the survey will be mailed to you by 1 June. Thank you very much for your participation !! 18 References Adler, M. and E. Ziglio. 1996. Gazing into the Oracle: The Delphi Method and its Application to Social Policy and Public Health. Jessica Kingsley Publishers, London and Bristol, Pennsylvania. Crance, J.H. 1987. Guidelines for using the Delphi technique to develop habitat suitability index curves. U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service Biological Report 82(10.134). Lambeck, R.J. 1997. Focal species: A multi-species umbrella for nature conservation. Conservation Biology 11:849-856. Miller, B., R. Reading, J. Strittholt, C. Carroll, R. Noss, M. Soulé, O. Sánchez, J. Terborgh, D. Brightsmith, T. Cheeseman, and D. Foreman. 1998. Using focal species in the design of nature reserve networks. Wild Earth 8(4):81-92. Neimi, G.J., J.M. Hanowski, A.R. Lima, T. Nicholls, and N. Weiland. 1997. A critical analysis on the use of indicator species in management. Journal of Wildlife Management 61(4):1240-1252. Noss, R.F., M.A. O’Connell, and D.D. Murphy. 1997. The Science of Conservation Planning: Habitat Conservation Under the Endangered Species Act. Island Press, Washington, D.C. Paine, R.T. 1995. A conversation on refining the concept of keystone species. Conservation Biology 9:962-964. Power, M.E., D. Tilman, J.A. Estes, B.A. Menge, W.J. Bond, L.S. Mills, G. Daily, J.C. Castilla, J. Lubchenco, and R.T. Paine. 1996. Challenges in the quest for keystones. Bioscience 46(8):609-620. Simberloff, D. 1994. How forest fragmentation hurts species and what to do about it. USDA Forest Service General Technical Report RM-247. _________. 1998. Flagships, umbrellas, and keystones: Is single-species management passé in the landscape era? Biological Conservation 83(3)247-257. Soulé M.E. 1991. Conservation corridors: Countering habitat fragmentation. Theory and strategy. Pp 91-103 in W.E. Hudson, ed., Landscape Linkages and Biodiversity. Defenders of Wildlife and Island Press, Washington, D.C. Terborgh, J. 1988. The big things that run the world --- A sequel to E.O. Wilson. Conservation Biology 2(4):402-403. Westman, W. 1985. Ecology, Impact Assessment, and Environmental Planning. John Wiley and Sons Inc., USA.