WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 FINANCIAL SECTOR REFORMS AND PRIVATE SAVINGS: EVIDENCE FROM NIGERIA (1970 – 2009) Obida Gobna Wafure Department of Economics, University of Abuja, Nigeria ABSTRACT The role of financial sector cannot be over emphasized. A well rooted financial sector is essential to any economy, be it developed or under-developed, because it makes it easier for savings mobilization and more efficient financial intermediation. This paper attempts to evaluate the impact of financial sector reforms on private savings in Nigeria (1970-2009). The study used co-integration and Error Correction Mechanism to determine the relationship between financial sector reforms and private savings, the result was robust. It showed that lagged value of private savings consumer price index, savings deposit rate, Income per capita showed a significant result but carrying negative signs. The result also revealed that financial liberalization and income growth was significant and positive satisfying our apriori assumptions. However, wage rate and foreign savings were insignificant. Therefore, the overall result shows that during the period under review private savings increased to a reasonable level. The study recommends that financial sector reforms should be encouraged, particularly in the area of banking consolidation, merger and acquisition, more importantly corporate governance should be well entrenched in financial transactions. Keywords: Financial Sector, Error Correction Mechanism, Private Savings, Co-integration. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- INTRODUCTION The importance of financial sector is well documented in the literature of economic development. (Gold Smith, 1955, McKinnon, 1973, Shaw, 1973 and Cameron, 1967). It revealed that financial sector is a catalyst for economic growth and development, however, only when it is well transformed and healthy. One of the benefits of a well-balanced financial sector is that it makes it possible for savings mobilization and a more efficient financial intermediation (Gibson and Tsakabatos, 1994). It is only through a well-coordinated financial intermediation by financial institutions that savers and borrowers are linked together. As noted by Emenuga (2004), it is through financial intermediation that savers and borrowers are brought together that transaction and search costs are reduced. Secondly the creation of liquidity in the economy by borrowing short-term and lending long-term is made possible and thirdly, it reduces information cost. The role of savings in economic growth and development cannot be over-emphasized. Increased savings if well invested increases National output and improve overall wellbeing of the people. The impact of savings on economic growth is well recognized in economic literature(Solow, 1956, Romer, 1986 and Lukas 1988. McKinnon (1973) and Shaw (1973) stressed that rising interest rate through (financial liberalization) in developing countries increases savings which in turn increases the rate of capital formation for intending investors. Savings is an important macro-economic variable which impacts on capital accumulation, productivity, and economic growth. Adam and Agba (2006), Savings is that part of income that is not consumed (Jhingan, 2003). According to Thirwal (2002), savings can be categorized into voluntary, involuntary and forced savings. It should be noted that voluntary savings depends on the ability and willingness to save. The ability to save depends solely on the level of per World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 1 WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 capita income, income growth and the distribution of income. Interest rates is a crucial factor in savings, interest rate is a product of financial deepening (reform), The Nigerian economy needs a well-balanced financial sector so that it can take advantage of the benefits accruable for it. Nigeria witnessed a repressed financial sector following independence, this was evident by the ceiling on interest rates and credit expansion, selective credit policies, high reserve requirements and restriction on entry into the banking industry. The repression of the financial sector witnessed in the two decades after independence contributed in no small measure to the decline of the Nigerian economy evidenced by the poor performance of the macro-economic variables. The Nigerian economy performed well in the early and late 1970s. However in the early 1980s the economy declined, evidenced by falling GDP rate, high inflationary rate, rising debt profile, low capacity utilization etc. (See Appendix 1). The poor performance of the Nigerian economy necessitated the introduction of the financial sector reforms, since the financial sector is the bedrock of economic growth and development. The evolution of the financial sector reforms can be traced to the period between 1894 – 1951, which was referred to as Laissez-faire period (Tella, 2004). During this period, there was no institution charged with the responsibility of guiding registration, establishment and operations of financial institutions. The financial institutions constituted mainly commercial banks and some few insurance companies. However, the period witnessed the collapse of many commercial banks mainly indigenous banks. Consequently, this led to the emergence of the second phase of the evolution (reform), which dated back to 1952; this was the period that the Banking Ordinance was introduced. The Ordinance provided in part, the procedure for the licensing and conduct of banking activities in Nigeria. The third phase began in 1959 which gave birth to the operations of Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) with regulatory and supervisory powers to supervise and regulate the activities of all financial institutions. It was also mandated to establish the capital market such as Stock Exchange, the development of specialized banks and Security and Exchange Commission (SEC). During the period under review, the financial instruments such as Treasury Bills and Certificates, bankers’ funds and stabilization securities came on board. The fourth phase marked the anal of the financial sector reforms. The introduction of the International Monetary Fund (IMF)/World Bank Structural Adjustment Programme (SAP) in 1986, had the financial sector reforms as its main target (Ikhide, Taiwo and Alawode, 2002 and Tella, 2004). The real financial sector reform came on board in August 1987, where both interest rate and entry of new banks were liberalized fully. Also an inter-bank foreign exchange market, with market clearing inter-bank lending rates was established following the merger of the First Tier and the Second Tier foreign exchange markets (Taiwo, 2002). This phase of the reform witnessed major changes in the structure of the financial institutions in Nigeria in terms of competition among banks, since they were many, so they have to compete for customers. The number of financial institutions also expanded more than before. Equally, necessary regulatory/supervisory agencies were established. After the deregulation of the economy, the banking sector witnessed four phases of reforms. The first phase was immediately after the commencement of the Structural Adjustment Programme, 1986 – 1993. During this period, the banking sector was deregulated and hitherto witnessed the dominance of the indigenous banks, with Federal and State government having 60% “stakes” (Balogun, 2007). The second phase started late 1993 – 1998, during this period, there was a re-introduction of regulations in the system. Thus, result of the re-introduction of the regulations led to the massive distress in the system. The third phase started immediately in 1999 and ushered in liberalization of the financial sector again, but this time around, with distress resolution programmes. The era also marked a watershed in the anal of universal banking in which the banks were empowered to operate in all aspects of retail banking and even in non-bank financial markets. The financial sector reform is not peculiar to Nigeria. Many countries (both developed and less developed) undertook financial sector reforms. For instance there were reforms in China in 1979, Turkey in 1980, Ghana in World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 2 WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 1983, Sierra Leone in 1986, Morocco and Tunisia in 1986, India in 1992, Cuba in 1995 and Pakistan in 1999 to mention just a few. However in the Nigerian context, the impact of the reform on the economy is still being debated as to whether the reforms yielded the desired result or not. The question therefore is with the reforms so far undertaken in the financial sector what are the impacts of the reform on the economy particularly on Private Savings? Since savings is the bedrock of capital accumulation. This therefore is the focus of this paper. Theoretical Framework and Empirical Review There are many theories advanced in the financial sector reforms. In this paper we are adopting the financial deepening theory championed by McKinnon (1973) and Shaw (1973). They argued that the nonperformance of the financial sector which has a serious bearing on macro-economic variables is due largely to the fact that these economies in question are repressed (not liberalized), as a result it affects the entire economy, especially the financial sector. Once the financial sector is repressed it will be difficult for it to function and perform optimally. Financial repression refers to the distortion in the financial markets, through measures such as ceiling on interest rates, selective credit allocation, high reserve requirements and restrictions on entry into the banking industry (Ikhide and Alawode, 2001). On the other hand financial deepening refers to the establishment of real interest rates on deposits and loans, eliminating interest rates and credit ceilings, stopping selective credit allocation and lowering reserve requirements. It also involves removal of restrictions on entry into the banking industry by all intending investors in the banking sector. Therefore, financial deepening means liberalizing the financial sector by allowing the market forces to play its role in setting interest rate on deposit (time deposit, savings deposit and selective credit allocation. The market forces should determine credit allocations to the sectors of the economy, while the Central Bank should do all it could to lower the reserve requirement. More importantly the restrictions placed on banking entry by intending operators should be removed. The Financial Sector which comprises of both the banking sector and non-bank financial intermediaries is very crucial to the development process of any given economy be it developed or under-developed. The banking sector of the financial sector which we are concerned about, is very important to the development process. The banking sector role in stimulating economic growth is well recognized in the literature of development economics (Oboh, 2005). Large body of literature on development economics sees financial intermediation as very crucial in savings, investment and real growth rate. Taiwo, 2002, McKinnon, 1973, Seers, 1973 argued that the role of the financial sector cannot be over-emphasized; hence it leads to savings, investment and economic growth. The degree of financial sector development (depth) has bearing on savings. A well-developed financial sector is that which possesses the following characteristics – absence of credit ceilings, interest rate liberalization, easy entry of foreign financial institutions, enhanced prudential guidelines and supervision and development of capital markets. Tochukwu and EgwaIkhide, (2007). The impact of financial development on savings rates can be separated into direct short run impact which is usually negative and indirect long run which is positive, Loayza et al, (2000). Edwards (1996), Johnson (1996), Dayal – Ghulati and Thimann (1997) empirically demonstrated that financial deepening impacted positively on savings. Metin-Ozcan and Ozcan (2000) also maintained that financial deepening has positive impact on level of savings in Arab countries. Aaron and Mnellbauer (2000) in their work on South Africa discovered that financial liberalization had a positive impact on private savings. In another development MetinOzcan et al (1997) confirmed that financial reform increased the level of savings in World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 3 WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 Turkey. This work conformed with the work of Celasu and Tansel (1993) that revealed that financial deepening impacted positively on private savings in Turkey. Dayal-Ghulati and Thimann(1997) also showed that financial deepening seemed to be the major determinant of savings in South-east Asian and Latin American countries. Similarly, Mechthild Schrooten and Sabine Stephan (2004) revealed that increases in financial depth (M2/GDP ratio) increases saving in Europe. Roger and George (2003) employed dynamic econometric techniques to examine the determinants of private savings in Sri Lanka. They discovered that the index of financial sector development has a significant positive influence on the level of private savings. Samuel and George (2003) examined the linkages between financial reforms of the early 90s and savings mobilization in Zambia, the result was robust. Aron and Muelbaver, (2000) argued that Private Savings is influenced by financial liberalization. However, in the works of Uremadu (2007), it revealed that financial deepening is not significant in explaining savings mobilization in Nigeria. METHODOLOGY This paper adapted the method used by Ogun and Bakare, (1996). In their work, on “Financial Liberalization Process in Nigeria an Impact Analysis”, they used three functions i.e. Savings, Inflation and Economic Growth. This work adapted the same format but with some modifications, particularly in the area of variables used in this work. The paper is focused on financial sector reforms and private savings: Evidenced from Nigeria. The paper used secondary data sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN), and Salaries and Wages Commission. The work employed co-integration and Error Correction Mechanism as a technique of estimation and analysis. The techniques has gained more ground in the literature. See example Olusoji (2003), Peria (2002), Ogun and Bakare (1996), Adams (1992), Eaggle and Granger (1989), Gilbirth (1986), Sparos (1986) and Richard (1983; 1982). Determinants of Private Savings Savings is important to the economy. The role of savings in the growth process of a developing economy like Nigeria cannot be overemphasized. The classicals contended that capital formation is possible through savings, it is from the savings that investments fund is made available for investors. Kokila (2007) stressed the importance of savings to economic growth. The McKinnon (1973) and Shaw (1973) thesis stressed the importance of financial liberalization which would in turn attract savings and consequently increases investment. According to the classical theory, the removal of repression by raising the rate of interest on savings deposit makes it easier for savings to be mobilized and thereby allocating such to projects with the highest rate of return (Odusola, 2000). Thus, factors such as savings rate, consumer price index and income growth rate influences savings. Thus, this argument can be presented in a log-linear form as:ΔLog(PRISAV)=λo+λ1ΔLog(SAVRAT)+λ2ΔLog(CPI)+λ3ΔLog(GRY)+ Ut……………(1) Where PRISAV = Private Savings, SAVRAT = Savings Rate, CPI = Consumer Price Index, GRY = Income growth rate and Ut = error term. The apriori expectations are b1 (+) b2 (-) and b3 (+). Why this variable stated above is seen as fundamental to savings are not far fetch. For instance savings deposit rate is very important to private savings because savings deposit rate by household and corporate bodies motivates the rate of private savings. However, in Nigeria, the rate of savings is influenced by many factors which include the level of poverty, the environmental condition, disposable income of individual etc. Once any or all of these factors are not favourable to the people, the level of savings will be threatened. Moreover, the consumer price index which was not included in the model of Ogun and Bakare (1996) is also an important factor in the determination of savings. The consumer price index influences the level of inflation. An increase in the consumer price index will affect the purchasing power of the individuals or households in the economy. Equally, is that a World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 4 WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 slight increase in the level of consumer price index is good for business. This will also increase the level of investment. In return, the multiplier effect will result to an increase in the level of savings. There are controversies on the issue of savings and income relationship. However, subsistence consumption theories suggest that countries with higher income levels tend to have higher savings rate (Edwards 1996; Dayal, Ghulati and Thimann, 1997; Metin-Ozcan and Ozcan 2000). Regarding the issue of income growth and savings, the life-cycle hypotheses suggest thesis that the aggregate savings increase in response to an increase in income growth (Ozcan, Guncy and Ertac ,1997). This can be possible through the savings of active workers relative to dissavings of those who are out of the labour force. Income growth either at individual or national level aids private savings. If income of corporate bodies grows, part may go into consumption and part into savings and investment, the more the growth of income the more the possibility of increase in private savings. Studies have shown that not only the above variables discussed that influenced or determined private savings. Wage rate, per capita income and foreign savings ratio are important determinants of private savings. Wage rate is not common in the literature as a determinant of private savings. However, it is significant to private savings. This is because an increase in wage rate can impact positively on private savings. Once there is an increase in wages, the purchasing power of the ordinary worker will increase and his marginal propensity to consume will reduce gradually giving way to more savings. However, on the other hand if the wage rate declined it will have a negative impact on savings. The apriori expectation of the sign of the wage rate variable will be positive (+). Foreign savings ratio is equally an important factor in the determination of savings in Nigeria, (Soyibo and Adekanye, 1992). The more the inflow of foreign savings the more the level of savings in the economy. The apriori expectation of the sign of the variable will be positive (+). Increase in per capita income of the nation is a determinant factor of private savings. (Metin Ozcan and Ozcan, 2000). The increase in the per capita income portends the possibility of increase in the disposable income of the people particularly the working class. The argument therefore is that as the per capita income increases, the level of private savings is likely to increase with other things being equal. Therefore the apriori expectation of the variable will be positive (+). With the three variables discussed above, i.e. wage rate, per capita income and foreign savings makes the transform version of our equation (1) to be:ΔLog (PRISAV)= λo + λ1ΔLog (SAVRAT) + λ2ΔLog(CPI) + λ3ΔLog(GRY) + λ4ΔLog(WAGRAT)+λ5ΔLog(PCY)+λ6ΔLog(FORSGNDI)+ Ut ……….(2) The real financial deepening/repression theory believed that the financial sector reform is all about the development of the financial sector. Once the financial sector is liberalized, it is expected that the banking sector will develop (Boskin, 1978; Giovannini, 1983; McKinnon, 1991 and Metin Ozcan and Ozcan, 1997). Financial liberalization is very important because the lack of or otherwise of development of the financial sector particularly in the less developed economy is blamed on the repressed nature of the economy. Once the financial sector is repressed, it will be difficult for it to function and perform effectively. Financial liberalization or deepening is proxied by dummy variable zero (0) and otherwise one (1). One takes the place of liberalization period and zero takes the place of repressed or regulatory period. The apriori assumption of the variable will be positive (+). The new version of equation (2) will be:ΔLog (PRISAV) = λo + λ1ΔLog (SAVRAT) + λ2ΔLog(CPI) + λ3ΔLog(GRY) + λ4ΔLog (WAGRAT) + λ5ΔLog(PCY)+λ6ΔLog(FORSGNDI)+λ7ΔLog (FINLIB) + Ut ……(3). Equation (3) will be estimated to evaluate the relationship between the financial sector reforms and private savings. PRIVATE SAVING FUNCTION PRISAV = Private Savings World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 5 WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 SAVRAT = Savings Rate CPI = Consumer Price Index GRY = Growth in Income WAGRAT = Wage Rate PCY = Per Capita Income FORGNI = Foreign Savings Ratio FINLIB = Financial Liberalization. TABLE 1: Stationarity test for variables on Private Savings Variable PRISAVT ADF-statistic -10.12005 (0.0000) Critical value 1%= -2.641672 5%= -1.952066 10%= -1.610400 FOSRGNDI -6.962423 1%= -2.634731 (0.0000) 5%= -1.951000 10%= -1.610907 CPI -5.274879 1%= -2.636901 (0.0000) 5%= -1.951332 10%= -1.610747 GRY -6.803602 1%= -2.628961 (0.0000) 5%= -1.950117 10%= -1.611339 WAGE -5.562319 1%= -2.639210 (0.0000) 5%= -1.951687 10%= -1.610579 PCY -7.461946 1%= -2.628961 (0.0000) 5%= -1.950117 10%= -1.611339 SAVRAT -10.80363 1%= -2.632688 (0.0000) 5%= -1.950687 10%= -1.611059 FINLIB -6.000000 1%= -2.628961 (0.0000) 5%= -1.950117 10%= -1.611339 ECM -8.823140 1%= -2.639210 (0.0000) 5%= -1.951687 10%= -1.610579 Source: Computed by the Author. Order of integration Stationary at first difference Stationary at first difference Stationary at second difference Stationary at level Stationary at first difference Stationary at first difference Stationary at second difference Stationary at first difference Stationary at level The stationarity (unit root) test shows that both private saving, foreign saving, wage rate, real income per capita and financial liberalization are stationary at first difference. Consumer Price Index and savings deposit rate are stationary at second difference. Thus, the test shows that growth of income is stationary at level, and the unit root test on the retained residuals of the regression reveals that the variable is stationary at level, implying that all the variables are co-intergrated, meaning that there is a long run relationship (equilibrium) that exists between the variables. World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 6 WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 TABLE: 2 Regression Results on Private Savings Variable Coefficient C 8.587160 PRSRAT(-1) -2.499035 SAVRAT(-1) -0.028505 FOSAVRA -2.821078 CPI(-1) -0.006754 FINLIB(-1) 0.309325 WAGE 4.38E-07 RGNDIPCY(-1) -0.005053 GRGNDI(-1) 0.012309 ECM(-1) 2.656650 R-squared 0.775193 Adjusted R-squared 0.683226 S.E. of regression 0.134507 Sum squared resid 0.398026 Log likelihood 24.78554 Durbin-Watson stat 2.171475 Source: Author’s Computation. Std. Error t-Statistic 2.991161 2.870845 1.197290 -2.087243 0.011251 -2.533597 2.758649 -1.022630 0.001850 -3.650712 0.131393 2.354197 6.06E-07 0.723230 0.001979 -2.553590 0.005080 2.423039 1.213405 2.189417 Mean dependent var S.D. dependent var Akaike info criterion Schwarz criterion F-statistic Prob(F-statistic) Prob. 0.0089 0.0487 0.0189 0.3176 0.0014 0.0279 0.4772 0.0181 0.0241 0.0395 1.696562 0.238985 -0.924096 -0.466054 8.429064 0.000024 Discussion of Result The result shows that the variables accounts for 77.52 percentage changes in private savings. The Durbin Watson Statistic (2.17) shows the absence of auto correlation. The F statistic (8.43) reveals that the explanatory variables are jointly significant in explaining changes in private saving. The results also show lagged value of private saving has a significantly negative impact on current savings. A one percentage increase in private saving in the previous one year leads to 2.50 percentage decrease in current savings. The result shows that saving deposit rate has a significant impact on private savings, However, the expected sign of the coefficient is not correct. It shows that a one percentage increase in saving deposit rate in the previous one year leads to 0.03 percentage decrease in private saving. Consumer price index is statistically significant in explaining private saving; One percent increase in the consumer price index in the previous one year lead to reduction in private saving. This is true because once that happens, it means that people purchasing power will decrease and in the event of such, savings will be affected. People will prefer to use the little they have in taking care of the domestic front rather than saving it in a bank. Furthermore, the result reveals that financial liberalization is statistically significant in explaining private saving. A one percentage increase in financial liberalization in the previous one year leads to 0.31 percentage increase in private saving. This variable is important because this is the focal point of our study to see how financial liberalization has impacted on macroeconomic variables such as private savings in Nigeria. This shows that banking sector reform has impacted on Private Savings in Nigeria. The results also reveal that real income per capita has a negative and significant influence on private saving. A one percentage increase in income per capita in the previous one year reduces private saving by 0.01 percentage. The reason for the negative sign of the coefficient cannot be unconnected with the fact that income is not evenly distributed among the population. There is a wide gap in income distribution between the poor and the rich. The poor are on daily basis getting poorer and the rich are getting richer every day. In addition the marginal propensity to consume of the poor is always high compared with the marginal propensity to consume of the rich (Jhingan, 1997). More to that, the poor form the bulk of the population in Nigeria, that explains the negative nature of the sign of the coefficient. Growth in income also showed a positive World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 7 WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 influence on private savings. The error correction parameter is positive and significant, implying a divergence between the desired and actual levels of private saving. Conclusion The study revealed that Private Savings increased over the years of study. The economy witnessed tremendous increase in the level of private savings, as a result of more confidence built in the financial sector, particularly the banking sector of which the study is the main focus. Interestingly, also the received theory of deregulation from the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and its sister institution (the World Bank) yielded a positive result on many macroeconomic variables specifically the private savings. Recommendations We therefore recommend that the financial sector reforms should be intensified, particularly the banking sector, since it is the pivot of any economy. Therefore, banking consolidation should be intensified, banks merger and acquisition should be encouraged in the face of banks becoming weak or distress Secondly, the Central Bank of Nigeria (CBN) and the Nigerian Deposit Insurance Corporation (NDIC) should step up their onside and offside supervisory role, so that the problems of banking distress through bad debts, fraud, insider abuse and insolvency will be minimized. Corporate governance should be well entrenched in financial transactions, this will help in checking fraud, mistrust, mismanagement, embezzlement and corruption. 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APPENDIX 1 Selected Macroeconomic Indicators YEAR 1970 1971 1972 173 1974 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 REAL GDPOVERALL % FISCAL BALANCE AS % OF GDP -8.7 11.1 -2.7 5.5 -0.8 6.4 -1.5 11.7 -9.8 -2.9 -2.0 11.13. -4.0 8.2 -2.4 -7.4 -7.8 2.4 -3.4 5.5 -3.9 -26.8 -7.7 -0.3 -11.8 -5.4 -5.9 -5.1 -4.2 9.4 -4.2 3.2 -11.3 -3.9 -5.4 10.7 -8.4 5.2 -5.4 4.2 -8.4 4.4 -6.7 3.2 -8.5 2.9 -11.0 3.0 -7.2 2.2 -15.5 3.4 -7.7 GROWTH EXCHANGE EXTERNAL CAPACITY INFLATION RATE OF RATE DEBT OUT- UTILIZATION MONEY STANDING SUPPLY (N Million) 58 15.5 21.8 52.5 67.9 45.7 33.7 9.1 28.0 46.1 8.0 8.7 14.7 11.5 10.3 1.9 32.5 42.6 8.6 40.4 32.7 49.2 49.8 39.1 10.2 51.0 .714 .696 .658 .658 .630 .616 .626 .047 .606 .596 .546 .610 .673 .724 .765 .894 2.021 4.018 4.537 7.392 8.038 9.910 17.450 22.159 21.886 21.886 21.886 175.0 178.5 265.5 276.9 322/4 349.9 374.6 365.1 1,252.1 1,611.5 1,866.8 2,331.2 8,819.4 10,577.7 14,808.7 17,300.6 41,452.4 100,789.1 133,956.3 240,393.7 298,614.4 328,054.3 544,264.1 633,144.4 648,813.0 716,865.0 617,320 .6 76.6 77.4 78.7 72.9 71.5 70.1 73.3 63.6 49.7 43.0 38.3 38.8 40.4 42.4 43.8 40.3 42.0 38.11 37.2 30.4 29.3 13.8 15.6 3.2 5.4 13.4 33.9 21.2 15.4 16.6 11.8 9.9 20.9 7.7 23.2 39.6 5.5 5.4 10.2 38.3 40.9 7.5 13.0 44.5 57.2 57.0 72.8 44.6 World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 11 WEEJS International Journal of Arts and Combined Sciences, Volume 3, Number 1, 2012 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 3.2 2.4 2.7 2.5 2.4 4.6 9.37 6.5 6.0 5.6 6.2 0.1 1.3 -0.2 -4.7 -8.5 N/A 4.5 4.4 -1.1 -0.6 -2.8 46.8 35.5 14.6 15.86 29.52 8.6 29.7 27.8 12.5 21.886 21.886 21.866 21.866 21.866 21.866 132.16 128.31 132.8 127.0 118.3 595,931.9 633,017.0 2,577,383.0 3,097,383.0 3,176,291.0 3,780,208.07 N/A N/A N/A 4,847.7 3,348.2 32.5 30.4 32.4 34.6 36.1 42.7 44.3 45.6 42.1 43.9 43.7 29.3 8.5 10.0 6.6 6.9 16.5 16.1 23.8 15.5 6.4 7.5 Source: CBN Statistical Bulletin (Various issues). World Economic Empowerment Journal Series. Website: www.weejournals.com. E-mail Address: weejournals@yahoo.com. 12