The Structures of National Security Decision Making in the Carter Years Decision making for national security is not a static process. Presidents adjust their decision making structures from time to time when they perceive that the standard interagency procedures no longer serve their political purposes. The Carter administration began with a standard National Security Council-based interagency process. Decision making then evolved in the following manner: participation in the decision unit was narrowed, ad-hoc and informal procedures played a greater and greater role in the process, and the standard interagency process was bypassed or streamlined. Ultimately, Carter used three structures to make decisions: a formal structure (the standard interagency process); an informal structure, in which the senior advisers meet with and without the president on a regular basis outside the interagency process; and a confidence structure, in which the president relies on one or two select advisers. Carter’s ultimate reliance on his confidence structure, to the detriment of a fully functioning formal and informal structure, accounts for much of the problems with his policy process. Carter had a moderately centralized formal structure. Carter clearly wanted to place himself at the apex of decision making. However, Carter’s natural inclination was toward micromanagement.1 His deep involvement in the decision process often left him acting as if his title were Assistant Secretary of State for the World. Two committees supported the National Security Council (NSC): a Policy Review Committee (PRC), chaired by the cabinet secretary whose department had the most direct implementation responsibility; and the Standing Coordination Committee (SCC), chaired by the NSC Staff Director National Security Adviser Zbigniew Brzezinski and dealing with crisis management and most issues that were judged to be interdepartmental. Below the PRC were a number of Interagency Groups (IGs) and subordinate to the SCC were a number of Working Groups (WGs) on specific issues. 2 Brzezinski’s role as manager of the process expanded into policy making as his value as a personal adviser to Carter became more important. Rivalry between Brzezinski and the NSC staff and Secretary of State Cyrus Vance and the state department developed into a key element of the administration.3 2 The Carter administration’s informal processes developed by March of 1977.4 The Vance/Brown/Brzezinski (VBB) group consisted of lunchtime meetings during which Vance, Secretary of Defense Harold Brown, and Brzezinski could discuss pending issues outside of the NSC, PRC, or SCC, allowing the principal policy makers to speak their minds more freely and to present unified positions within the formal committees.5 The Friday Foreign Policy Breakfast (FFPB) allowed for the same type of dialogue among a slightly larger group that would, importantly, add the president. Initially, the FFPB meetings included Carter, Vice President Walter Mondale, Vance, and Brzezinski. They eventually expanded to include Brown, special assistant to the president Hamilton Jordan, and other White House political assistants.6 Carter ultimately came to favor his confidence structure by the fall of 1978. Bureaucratic and philosophical disagreements between Vance and Brzezinski became a feud in 1978 and 1979.7 Continued aggression by the Soviet Union in the Horn of Africa and Afghanistan led to Carter’s growing reliance on Brzezinski.8 Vance saw his relevance decrease to a low point in April of 1980.9 The administration made the decision to rescue the U.S. hostages in Iran while Vance was out of Washington, bypassing the formal and informal structures. Vance resigned soon after and was replaced by Senator Edmund Muskie, of Maine.10 Once Carter had given Brzezinski his full confidence, the formal and informal structures were weakened to the point where they no longer functioned properly. Muskie and Brzezinski were soon feuding.11 Brzezinski would no accept any rivals and Carter’s reliance on Brzezinski made foreign policy decision making heavily weighted toward the White House and the National Security Council staff. 3 1 James Fallows, “The Passionless Presidency,” The Atlantic Monthly 243, no. 5 (May 1979): 33-48; Alexander Moens, Foreign Policy Under Carter (Boulder: Westview Press, 1990); and CyrusVance, Interview with Cyrus Vance, "Carter's Foreign Policy: The Source of the Problem," in Kenneth Thompson, ed., The Carter Presidency, (Lanham: University Press of America, 1990), 139-43 2 This structure was outlined in Carter Administration, Presidential Directive/NSC-2 (PD-2) The National Security Council System, 20 January 1977, Federation of American Scientists, www.fas.org/irp/offdocs/pd/pd02.pdf . Details on the operation of this structure can be found in Bonafede, Dom. "Brzezinzki: Stepping Out of His Backstage Role," National Journal 9, no. 24 (October 15, 1977), 1596-1601 3 Bonafede, Dom. "Brzezinzki: Stepping Out of His Backstage Role," 1596- 1601; Lawrence Korb, “National Security Organization and Process in the Carter Administration,” in Sam Sarkesian, ed., Defense Policy and the Presidency: Carter's First Years (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1979), 115-119; Jerel Rosati, The Carter Administration's Quest for Global Community (Columbia, SC: University of South Carolina Press, 1987), 182; Cyrus Vance, Hard Choices (New York: Simon and Shuster, 1983), 36; and Zbigniew Brzezinski, Power and Principle (New York: Farrar, Straus, Giroux, 1983), 59-60. 4 Carter states that he initiated the FFPB, while Brzezinski created the VBB lunches. Jimmy Carter, Keeping Faith (New York: Bantam, 1982), 54; and Brzezinksi, Power and Principle, 70). 5 Vance, Hard Choices, 39, Brzezinski, Power and Principle, 1983, 70; and Gerry Argyris Andrianopolous, Kissinger and Brzezinski (New York: St. Martin's Press, 1991), 143. 6 7 Brzezinski, Power and Principle, 1983, 68. A good general treatment of the Vance-Brzezinski clash is Jean A. Garrison, Games Advisers Play: Foreign policy in the Nixon and Carter Administrations (College Station: Texas A&M Press, 1999). See also Gaddis Smith, Morality, Reason, and Power (New York: Hill and Wang, 1986), 34-49; and John Dumbrell, The Carter Presidency (Manchester: Manchester University Press, 1993), 110-14. The press had a major role in exacerbating this competition by focusing on the rivalry in their reporting. See Marilyn Berger, "Vance and Brzezinski: Peaceful Coexistence or Guerilla Warfare," New York Times Magazine, February 13, 1977, 19-41; Robert Kaiser, "Brzezinski, Vance Are Watched for Hint of Policy Struggle," The Washington Post, March 28, 1977, A2; Anthony 4 Lake, "Carter's Foreign Policy: Success Abroad; Failure at Home: Interview with Anthony Lake," in Thompson, ed., The Carter Presidency, 149-50. 8 Brzezinski’s rise is detailed in Vance, Hard Choices, 35; Smith, Morality, Reason, and Power; Moens, Foreign Policy Under Carter, 21-24 and 51-54; Bonafede, "Brzezinski--Stepping Out of His Backstage Role", 1596; Richard Burt, "Zbig Makes It Big," New York Times Magazine, July 30, 1978, 8-28; and Carter, Keeping Faith, 56. 9 On Vance’s efforts to maintain his status within the administration see Dick Kirschten, "Beyond the Vance- Brzezinski Clash Lurks an NSC Under Fire," National Journal 12, no. 20 (May 17, 1980), 814; Hodding Carter, "How Jimmy Carter's Foreign Policy Bit the Dust," Washington Post, January 5, 1981, A17; Vance, Hard Choices, 38-39; and Interview with Cyrus Vance, “The Carter Years: The Source of the Problem,” in Thompson, ed., The Carter Presidency, 141. 10 Following Vance’s resignation Brzezinski sent Carter a memo suggesting that Vance and the state department were the sources of the administration’s problems. He also stated that although he and Muskie would not have any of those problems, the State Department was still filled with Vance’s appointees who did not have sufficient loyalty to the White House. See Zbigniew Brzezinski, “Memorandum for the President, Subject: Unity and the New Foreign Policy Team,” Box 23, Subject Files Four-Year Goals (4/77) through Meetings – Muskie/Brown/Brzezinski: 7/80 – 9/80, Folder: meetings – Muskie/Brown/Brzezinski: 5/80-6/80. 11 Reportedly, Muskie and Brzezinski moved from friendship to rivalry. Leslie Gelb, “Muskie and Brzezinski: The Struggle over Foreign Policy,” The New York Times Magazine, July 20, 1980, 26-27, 32, 34-5, and 38-40.