PLAN TO SELECT PEER INTENSITY MEASURE, 3RD DRAFT Keith Porter 1/15/02 The intensity measure(s) (IMs) of PEER’s PBEE framing equation have yet to be defined. In the testbed kickoff meeting, we stated the selection of the IM or IMs to be a goal of the year-5 research. This memo presents a draft plan to achieve this objective. The plan will be revised or further detailed at or shortly after the annual meeting on 1/17/02. Procedure & schedule. The IM committee will shortlist IMs and prepare a reporting form on 1/17/02. Committee members will discuss IMs, EDPs, and a reporting form with researchers during the 11 AM – 3 PM testbed breakout sessions at the 1/17/02 annual meeting, and finalize them in the 3-6 PM topic breakout session on IMs. Each loss modeler will be asked to calculate the efficiency and sufficiency parameters (discussed below) for each short-listed candidate IM and each hazard level, and report by August 1, 2002. Researchers are free to evaluate and report on any other IM of interest. The IM committee will meet on August 15 to identify the IMs that best meet the selection criteria. IM scenarios. Different IMs may be appropriate in different situations, depending on the number, type, and size of structure under consideration, fault proximity, and potential for ground failure, as shown in Table 1. The table will be completed at or shortly after the 1/17/02 annual meeting. Table 1. IM scenarios Structure Peril Testbeds Building or short bridge Shaking Van Nuys Near-fault shaking LSA Long-span bridge Shaking Humboldt Near-fault shaking I-880 Multiple Shaking Highway Near-fault shaking Highway, campus Liquefaction Humboldt? Slope stability Humboldt? Any Candidate IMs Candidate EDPs IM committee. The committee initially comprises the following people, who will participate in the IM breakout discussion on 1/17/02: Cornell and Bray (who will lead the discussion), Stojadinovic, Stewart, Somerville, Conte, Makris, and Abrahamson. Candidate IMs. There are many candidate IMs, perhaps too many to ask modelers to consider all of them. During the 2002 PEER annual meeting, we will finalize a short-list of IMs that the modelers should evaluate. Candidate IMs proposed so far include the following, in no particular order. 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. Spectral pseudoacceleration response at the small-amplitude fundamental period of the structure, Sa(T1), or equivalently, spectral pseudovelocity response, Sv(T1), or spectral displacement response, Sd(T1). Peak ground displacement. Significant peak ground acceleration (SPGA), by Sasani et al., ND. IM by Cordova et al., 2000: Sa(T1)R, where R = Sa(2T1)/Sa(T1) and = 0.5 Conte’s Vector 1: [Sa(T1), Feh=50], where Feh=50 has to do with strength required of a SDOF elasticperfectly-plastic (EPP) system to achieve 50 times the elastic strain energy at yield, normalized by 106733647.DOC printed 2/13/16 3rd Draft IM Plan Keith Porter, 1/15/02 P. 2 of 2 the strength required to remain elastic. (Conte will provide a detailed definition that will be posted to the Yahoo groups by January 17, 2002). 6. Conte’s Vector 2: [Sa(T1), F=8, FNy,rev=25], where F=8 has to do with the strength required of an SDOF EPP system to have displacement ductility demand of 8, normalized by the strength required to remain elastic; and FNy,rev=25 has to do with the strength required of an SDOF EPP system to produce 25 yield reversals, normalized by the strength required to remain elastic. Again, a detailed definition of this vector will be posted by January 17, 2002. 7. IM1I&2E by Luco and Cornell 2001 (see ref. for definition) 8. A vector in development by Krawinkler: [Sa, pulse period, PGV] 9. A vector of elastic spectral displacements proposed by Hutchinson et al. (2001): ∆IM = {∆e, ∆µ1mean, ∆µ2mean}, where ∆e = Sd(Te), Te = elastic fundamental period of the structure, ∆µ1mean = mean elastic Sd between Te and T1, ∆µ2mean = mean elastic Sd between Te and T2, and T1 and T2 are taken as secant periods evaluated at ductility demand values µ1 and µ2, respectively, which are tentatively proposed as 3.0 and 8.0. See Hutchinson et al. (2001, 2002) for further detail. 10. Arias intensity Ia. 11. Duration (e.g., bracketed duration with 0.05g threshold). 12. Floor spectra, presumably Sd by floor, which can be used to calculate Sv or Sa at floor levels. IM reporting and evaluation criteria. Modelers will be asked to report each short-listed IM as well as one or more output variable(s) of interest (EDPs yet to be determined) for each analysis performed, using a standard table that is yet to be designed. The committee will identify IM(s) that produce the minimum residual coefficient of variation on the output variable, conditioned on the occurrence of 50%/50 yr, 10%/50-year, and 2%/50 yr ground shaking. It will consider the use of different IMs for different hazard levels and scenarios. It will examine the issue of sufficiency: i.e., whether the EDP is independent of other parameters (e.g., magnitude, distance, and perhaps others), conditioned on IM. This test determines whether a trend exists between the output variable and M, R, etc. See Luco and Cornell (2001) for a discussion of sufficiency, or a text on linear regression for tests of the significance of regression. The committee will also consider the practicality of evaluating the IMs’ seismic hazard. References Cordova, P.P., G.G. Deierlein, S.S.F. Mehanny, and C.A. Cornell, 2001, “Development of a two-parameter seismic intensity measure and probabilistic assessment procedure,” 2nd U.S.-Japan Workshop on Performance-Based Earthquake Engineering for Reinforced Concrete Building Structures 11–13 September 2000 in Sapporo, Japan (?), Pacific Earthquake Engineering Research Center, Richmond, CA, on file at http://groups.yahoo.com/group/peertestbeds in the Files/References subdirectory Hutchinson, T.C., R.W., Boulanger, and Y.H. Chai, 2002, “Displacement-based Intensity Measure (IM),” http://groups.yahoo.com/group/peertestbeds in the Files/References subdirectory. This is a summary of Hutchinson et al., 2001 (see below). Hutchinson, T.C., Y.H., Chai, R.W. Boulanger, and I.M. Idriss, 2001, “Inelastic Seismic Response of Extended Pile Shaft Supported Bridge Structures.” Paper submitted to Earthquake Spectra – December 2001 – posted version at: http://gram.eng.uci.edu/~thutchin/Spectra2001Paper.pdf Luco, N., and C.A. Cornell, 2001, “Structure-Specific Scalar Intensity Measures for Near-Source and Ordinary Earthquake Ground Motions,” Submitted for Publication: Earthquake Spectra, April 2001, http://pitch.stanford.edu/rmsweb/RMS_Papers/pdf/nico/EQ_Spectra01.pdf Sasani, M., A. Der Kiureghian, and V.V. Bertero, no date, “Seismic fragility of short period reinforced concrete structural walls under near-source ground motions,” submitted to Structural Safety; http://groups.yahoo.com/group/peertestbeds in the Files/References subdirectory.