Table of Contents I. Table of Contents II. Acknowledgement 1 III. Preface 2 1. Summary 3 2. State of Technology and Society 2003/2004 6 2.1. Nanotechnology 7 2.1.1. Nanotechnology markets and developments 2002-2015 9 2.1.2. Overview of current research topics in nanotechnology 10 2.1.3. Nanotechnology Impact in Advanced Technologies 12 2.1.4. Developments of Nanotechnology Markets Worldwide 2002 – 2006 – 2010 – 2015 (bn. US$) 13 2.1.5. Development of Nanotechnology Markets Worldwide by Regions 2002 – 2006 – 2010 – 2015 (bn. US$) 14 2.1.6. Nanotechnology and Application Timeline 15 2.1.7. Value Chain of Nanotechnology 16 2.2. Biotechnology 17 2.2.1. What is Biotechnology and Genetics 17 2.2.2. Pipeline and Key Segments in Biotechnology 18 2.2.3. Basic Technologies, Tools and Keys in the R&D of Biotechnology 22 2.2.4. Key Developments in Biotechnology 23 2.2.5. Potential Applications of Biotechnology 24 2.2.6. Development of Biotechnology Markets Worldwide by Sectors 2002 – 2006 – 2010 (bn. US$) 25 2.2.7. Development of Biotechnology Markets Worldwide by Regions 2002 – 2006 – 2010 (bn. US$) 26 2.3. Neural Technology 27 2.3.1. Worldwide R&D Investment in Neural Technology 2003 to 2020 by segments (in bn. US$) 31 2.3.2. Value Chain Neural Industries 2020 31 2.4. Information Technology 2.4.1. The Impact of Information Technology on the Molecular World 32 34 2.5. Convergence of nano-bio-neural-info 35 2.5.1. Molecular Industries lead to Another World 37 2.5.2. Development of Converging Technology Markets Worldwide 2002–2015 (bn. US$) 38 2.5.3. Concentration of Key Technologies and Industries in NBNI 39 2.5.4. Key Development in NBNI up to 2015 40 2.5.5. The Future Impact of NBNI Convergence on Selected Markets up to 2025 (in percent of industry) 3. 41 Developments 2003-2004-2006-2010-2015: Technologies, Markets, Applications, Companies, Countries 3.1. Information 3.1.1. Informatics 42 43 3.1.1.1. Developing tides of IT industry 44 3.1.1.2. Worldwide Market for Information Technology 45 3.1.2. Computing and Semiconductor Technology 47 3.1.2.1. Semiconductor Lithography 47 3.1.2.2. Memory and Storage 47 3.1.2.3. DNA Computing 48 3.1.2.4. Quantum Computing 49 3.1.3. Nano computing and pervasive computing 50 3.1.3.1. Nano Computer 50 3.1.3.2. Pervasive Computing 51 3.1.3.3. Technologies and applications of pervasive computing 55 3.1.4. Bioinformatics 56 3.1.4.1. Worldwide Market for Bioinformatics by Region 57 3.1.4.2. Definition of Bioinformatics 58 3.1.4.3. Bioinformatics: An Interdisciplinary Field 58 3.1.4.4. Structure of the Bioinformatics Industry 59 3.1.4.5. Bioinformatics in Life Science Industries 60 3.1.4.6. Worldwide Market for Bioinformatics by Application in Life Industries 63 3.1.4.7. Activity Flow of Bioinformatics Market 64 3.1.4.8. Worldwide Market for Bioinformatics by Segment 2003-2015 65 3.1.5. Nanoinformatics 3.1.5.1. Branches of nano-related modelling, simulation and analysis 3.2. Communication 66 67 68 3.2.1. Overview of the key development factors of communication industry 2003-2020 70 3.2.2. Markets of Communication Industry Worldwide 2003-2020 in bn. US$ by Region 71 3.2.3. Ubiquitous Networking 72 3.2.3.1. Application and Impact of Ubiquitous Networks 2010 3.2.4. Artificial Reality 75 76 3.2.4.1. Development of New Media – technology and infrastructure 76 3.2.4.2. Immersive virtual reality 77 3.2.4.3. Augmented reality 81 3.2.5. Cyberspace 84 3.2.5.1. Applications of Cyberspace 86 3.2.5.2. Markets of Cyberspace Worldwide by Application in bn. US$ 87 3.3. Health 88 3.3.1. Market of Health Industry Worldwide by Region 2003-2020 in bn. US$ 91 3.3.2. Diagnostics 92 3.3.2.1. In Vitro Diagnostics Market Worldwide by Segments 2003-2010 in bn. US$ 95 3.3.2.2. DNA-based Diagnostics Market Worldwide by Segments 2003-2010 in bn. US$ 96 3.3.2.3. DNA-based Diagnostics Market Worldwide by Regions 2003-2010 in bn US$ 97 3.3.2.4. Markets for diagnostics on the way to converge with molecular diagnostics 98 3.3.2.5. To develop a Molecular Diagnostics Era 100 3.3.2.6. Trends to a Molecular Diagnostics Era 101 3.3.2.7. Developing Stages of Molecular Diagnostics 102 3.3.2.8. Molecular Diagnostics and other technologies 103 3.3.2.9. Main Applications of Molecular Diagnostics 103 3.3.2.10. Worldwide Market for Molecular Diagnostics 2003-2015 by Segments in bn. US$ 104 3.3.3. Biochip 3.3.3.1. Worldwide Markets for Biochips (Segments by types) 2003-2020 in Mio. US$ 105 106 3.3.3.2. Worldwide Markets for Biochips (Segments by applications) 2003-2020 in Mio. US$ 107 3.3.3.3. Worldwide Markets for Biochips (Segments by regions) 2003-2020 in Mio. US$ 108 3.3.4. Therapy 109 3.3.4.1. The Pharmaceutical Market Worldwide Totals US$ 190 bn. in 2000 112 3.3.4.2. Applications of DNA-therapy and time to enter the markets in the leading segments/indications 112 3.3.4.3. Worldwide Markets for DNA-therapies by Segments 2003-2010 in bn. US$ 113 3.3.4.4. Worldwide Markets for DNA-therapies by Regions 2003-2010 in bn. US$) 114 3.3.5. Repair 115 3.3.5.1. Key Technologies for Repair 118 3.3.5.2. The Developing Trends of Repair Technologies 121 3.3.5.3. Markets for Repair Worldwide 2003-2010 in bn. US$ 122 3.3.5.4. Markets for Repair by Regions 2003-2010 in bn. US$ 123 3.3.6. Stem Cells 124 3.3.6.1. Stem Cells and Relevant Technologies 126 3.3.6.2. Application of Stem Cells 127 3.3.6.3. Stem Cell Markets Worldwide by Technologies 2002-2020 in bn. US$ 128 3.3.6.4. Stem Cell Markets Worldwide by Technologies 2002-2020 in bn. US$ 128 3.3.6.5. The Value Chain of Stem Cell Industry 129 3.3.6.6. Development of Stem Cell Industry 129 3.3.6.7. Ethics and Politics 130 3.3.6.8. Appendix: What is a Stem Cell? 131 3.3.7. Prevention 132 3.3.7.1. Market Trends for Heath Industry 3.3.8. Phamacogenomics 135 136 3.3.8.1. Pharmacogenomics: Convergence of Five Life Sciences Segments 139 3.3.8.2. The Structure of the Personalised Health Care System 139 3.3.8.3. Pharmacogenomics: Branches and Missions 140 3.3.8.4. Development of Applications & Indications in Pharmacogenomics Industries 2002-2020 141 3.3.8.5. Pharmacogenomics Industries Market 2003-2020 142 3.3.8.6. Appendix: What is Pharmacogenomics 143 3.3.8.7. Several Clinical Applications 144 3.4. Food 145 Definition and Segmentation of Food, Nutraceutical and Food-Basic 147 Food Technology Development 147 Markets for Food Industries Worldwide by Segments 2003-2010 in bn. US$ 148 Markets for Food-Basic Worldwide by Regions in 2003-2010 in bn. US$ 149 Markets for Nutrition, Nutraceutical and Dietary Worldwide by Regions 20032010 in bn. US$ 150 Market Trends of Food Industry 151 Integration of Food and Health Industries 152 3.4.1. Basic Food 153 3.4.1.1. Application of Bio- and Nanotechnologies in Agriculture 154 3.4.1.2. Food Processing 158 3.4.1.3. Flavour and Colour Improvement 158 3.4.1.4. Food Synthesiser 159 3.4.2. Nutrition 160 3.4.2.1. Nutrition Genomics 160 3.4.2.2. Nutrition Supplying 160 3.4.2.3. Nutrition Delivery and Waste Cleaning 160 3.4.2.4. Definition of Nutrition 161 3.4.2.5. Market Overview 162 3.4.2.5.1. Overview of the Nurtrition and Nutraceuticals Market Worldwide 2003 3.4.3. Functional Food 3.4.3.1. Overview of the Functional Food Market Worldwide 2003 3.4.4. Dietary 162 163 165 160 3.4.4.1. World Market Overview 3.4.4.1.1. Overview of the Dietary Supplement Market Worldwide 2003 3.4.5. Brain Food 169 170 171 3.4.5.1. Brain Food from Natural Ingredients and Chemical Compound 171 3.4.5.2. Brain Food from Converging Technologies 174 3.4.5.3. Brain Nutrition: An Interdisciplinary Market 174 3.4.6. Food Safety and Packaging 175 3.4.6.1. Food detecting 175 3.4.6.2. Food Preservation 176 3.4.6.3. Food Packaging 176 3.4.6.4. Unlock the Nanocomposite Market potential 177 3.5. Water 178 Influential Factors for the Development of Water Worldwide 181 Markets for Water Industries Worldwide by Segments 2003-2010 in bn. US$ World Markets for Water and Waste Water Treatment 2003-2010-2015 182 (Worldwide by Regions in bn. US$) 183 Water Quality Pyramid 184 Multi Service, Cross-Industry, Water Industry Company Group 185 3.5.1. Drinking Water 186 3.5.1.1. State Of Drinking Water Supply 2002 Worldwide 186 3.5.1.2. Water Supply for Drinking Water 2003-2015 Worldwide in bn. US$ 187 3.5.1.3. The Latest Technology for Water Treatment and Recycling – Total Water Management 188 3.5.1.4. Markets for Total Water Management 2002-2006-2015 191 3.5.1.5. Nano-bio-info and Drinking Water 192 3.5.2. Waste Water Treatment 3.5.2.1. Traditional Technologies and Processes of Water/ Waste Water Treatment 194 196 3.5.2.1.1. Mechanical Methods 196 3.5.2.1.2. Physico-Chemical Methods 196 3.5.2.1.3. Biological Methods 198 3.5.2.1.4. UV Methods 199 3.5.2.1.5. Aerobic and Anaerobic Treatment 200 3.5.2.1.6. Membrane Methods 201 3.5.2.2. Overview of the Most Important Kinds of Waste Water 206 3.5.2.3. Developments and Trends 209 3.5.2.4. World Markets for Waste Water Treatment 2003-2010-2015 (worldwide by regions in bn. US$) 3.5.2.5. Water in the Asia-Pacific Region 212 213 3.5.2.5.1. Asia-Pacific: Water resources and use 214 3.5.2.5.2. Water Solution in Asia 215 3.5.2.5.3. Projects against water pollution in Asia 217 3.5.2.5.4. Water Industries in China 218 3.5.2.5.4.1. Chances and Risks in China’s Water Market 220 3.5.2.5.4.2. Water Market in China 2002-2005-2010 in bn. US$ 221 3.5.2.5.4.3. Drinking Water in China 222 3.5.2.5.4.4. Waste Water Treatment in China 222 3.5.2.5.4.5. Sewage 223 3.5.2.5.4.6. Urban Waste Water Treatment Capacity 224 3.5.3. Process Water 225 3.5.4. Therapeutic Water 226 3.6. Environment 227 Markets for Environmental Industry Worldwide 2003-2010 by Segment in bn. US$ 229 Markets for Environmental Industry Worldwide 2003-2010 by Regions in bn US$ 230 Markets for Environmental Industry Worldwide 2002-2010 by Technology in bn US$ 231 Convergence between Environment and Biology 232 Market Description of Environmental Biotechnology 233 Young Markets and Small Segments 234 Environmental Biotechnology Market 2010 Worldwide by Market Segments (Mrd. Euro) 237 Development of Environmental Technology 238 Strategic Development of the Technologies 239 3.6.1. Hygienics 240 3.6.2. Waste Disposal 242 3.6.3. Air Cleaning 245 3.6.4. Others 246 3.7. Energy 249 3.7.1. Energy Production Worldwide 2001 by Segment in Percentage 252 3.7.2. The Structure of the Energy Markets 2020 253 3.7.3. Regenerable Energy 254 3.7.3.1.1. Biomass 254 3.7.3.1.2. Solar Energy 254 3.7.3.1.3. Wind 255 3.7.3.1.4. Hydropower 255 3.7.3.1.5. Natural Molecular Power 255 3.7.3.1.6. Others 256 3.7.3.2. Comparison of the Development State of Different Energy Sources to their Relevant Applications 257 3.7.3.3. Total Expenditure for the Utilisation of Regenerative Energies Worldwide per Source 2003-2010 in bn US$ 258 3.7.3.4. Overview of the Biomass Energy Market 259 3.7.3.5. Overview of the Photovoltaic Energy Market 260 3.7.3.6. Nanotechnology in Solar Energy 261 3.7.4. Clean Energy 263 3.7.4.1. Structure of Clean Energy Markets 263 3.7.4.2. The Markets for Clean Energy Worldwide 264 3.7.4.3. Hydrogen Era 265 3.7.4.3.1. To develop a Hydrogen Era 266 3.7.4.3.2. Driving Forces of the Hydrogen Economy 267 3.7.4.3.3. Market Development 268 3.7.4.4. Fuel Cell 269 3.7.4.4.1. Types of Fuel Cell 270 3.7.4.4.2. Application of Fuel Cells 271 3.7.4.4.3. Advantages of Fuel Cells 273 3.7.4.4.4. Nanotechnology in Fuel Cells 275 3.7.4.4.5. Overview of the Fuel Cell Market 277 3.7.4.5. A new market: Multi-Utility 3.7.5. Energy Efficiency 278 279 3.7.5.1. Nanocatalyst 279 3.7.5.2. Mining Efficiency 279 3.7.6. Others 281 3.7.6.1. Energy Storage and Transport 281 3.7.6.2. Internet-like Energy Contribution 281 3.7.6.3. Intelligent Energy Consumption 282 3.7.7. Key Technologies and Markets until 2015 in Energy Industries 3.8. Sustainability 283 284 3.8.1. Overview of Sustainable Development 286 3.8.2. Contributions of Sustainable Development to Significant Global Changes 287 3.8.3. Key Technologies for Sustainable Development 288 3.8.4. Markets for Sustainable Development 2020 – Technologies and Services 289 3.8.5. Markets for Sustainable Development 2020 – Applications and Segments 289 3.8.6. Markets for Sustainable Development Worldwide 2003-2010 in bn. US$ 290 3.8.7. Markets for Sustainable Development by Regions 2003-2010 in bn US$ 291 3.8.8. Zero Emission and Material Design 292 3.8.9. Converging Technology and Sustainability 294 3.8.10. Science Focus of Sustainable Development 2003 and 2006 3.9. Brain 295 296 Developing Stages of Neural Industries 296 Neural Industries 2003-2020: A New Industry 300 Developing Phases in Neural Industries 303 Industry Segments in Neural Industries 2003-2040 304 Markets for Neural Industries Worldwide by Technology Segments 2003-2010 in bn US$ 305 Markets for Neural Industries Worldwide by Applications 2003-2010 in bn US$ 306 Markets for Neural Industries Worldwide by Regions 2003-2010 in bn US$ 307 Molecular Neuroscience 308 Applications of Molecular Mechanisms in Neural Science 308 Overview of Molecular Mechanisms in Neural Science 309 3.9.1. Brain Healthcare 310 3.9.1.1. Diagnosis 311 3.9.1.2. Therapy 314 3.9.1.2.1. Diseases of the Central Nervous System 314 3.9.1.2.2. Mental Health 317 3.9.1.3. Prevention 318 3.9.1.4. Example: Memory Drug 319 3.9.1.5. Function of Kandel-Medicine on the Nerve Cells 320 3.9.2. Cognitive Potential 321 3.9.2.1. Knowledge Industry 322 3.9.2.2. Knowledge Generation and Application 323 3.9.2.3. Education 324 3.9.2.4. Knowledge Industries 2003-2020 Worldwide in bn. US$ 325 3.9.2.5. Knowledge Industries 2020 Worldwide - Regional Comparison 325 3.9.2.6. Market Development of Knowledge Industries worldwide 2003-2020 in bn. US$ 326 3.9.3. Parallel Life 327 3.9.3.1. Virtual and Augmented Reality 329 3.9.3.2. Neurochip 329 3.9.4. Brain Future 331 3.9.4.1. Artificial Intelligence and Robotics 332 3.9.4.2. Machine Learning 332 3.9.4.3. Search and Optimisation 333 3.9.4.4. Planning 334 3.9.4.5. Expert System 334 3.9.4.6. Perception 335 3.9.4.7. Natural Language Processing 335 3.9.4.8. Robotics 336 3.10. Space 337 3.10.1. Developing Stages of Space Industries 340 3.10.2. Worldwide Space Markets 2003: Segmental Comparison 341 3.10.3. Worldwide Space Markets 2020: Segmental Comparison 341 3.10.4. Market Development of Space Industries 2003-2006-2010-2020 342 3.10.5. Prospect of Space Industries 343 3.10.6. Worldwide Space Markets 2003: Regional Comparison 344 3.10.7. Worldwide Space Markets 2020: Regional Comparison 344 3.10.8. Nano-bio-neural-info Convergence and Space Industry 345 3.10.8.1. Converging Technologies applied in Space 346 3.10.8.2. Overview of the Application of Molecular Technologies in Space Industry 352 3.10.8.2.1. Earth-oriented Space Industry 355 3.10.8.2.1.1. Satellite Communication 357 3.10.8.2.1.2. Aerospace Transportation 358 3.10.8.2.1.3. Earth Observation 359 3.10.8.2.1.4. Security 362 3.10.8.2.1.5. Program of Space Military Monitoring Worldwide 2001-2020 362 3.10.8.2.2. Hyperspace Industry 3.10.8.2.2.1. Market Development of Space Station Industries 2003-2030 3.10.8.2.3. Space Projects within the Solar System 3.10.8.2.3.1. Terraforming Mars 3.10.8.2.4. Interstellar prospect 4. 363 366 367 368 370 3.10.8.2.4.1. Antimatter Energy 370 3.10.8.2.4.2. Zero Point Energy 371 3.10.8.2.4.3. Teleportation 371 3.10.8.2.4.4. Time travel 372 3.10.8.2.4.5. Wormhole 373 Scenarios 374 4.1. Scenario I: Entertainment 375 4.2. Scenario II: Poor-Rich Conflict 376 4.3. Scenario III: Language and Culture 378