2/17/16 NESCAUM GHG Case Study Exelon Corporation Wind Power Marketing Section 1 – Executive Summary In 2001, Exelon Corporation signed four twenty-year power purchase agreements for the purchase of wind power in Pennsylvania making it the largest wind marketer east of the Mississippi River. The wind power will be marketed by Exelon Power Team, Exelon’s wholesale marketing operation.1 The four twenty-year power purchase agreements were made with the following wind farms: 1. 2. 3. 4. Somerset Wind Farm outside of Pittsburgh, PA; Mill Run Wind Farm in Fayette, PA; Moosic Mountain Wind Farm in Wayne County, PA and Backbone Wind Farm in West Virginia. Collectively, the four agreements bring Exelon Power Team’s zero emission wind portfolio to 151.6 megawatts (MW). This capacity is projected to produce enough electrical output to power over 58,000 average homes annually or the equivalent of approximately 411,600 zero emission megawatt hours (MWhs) annually.2 The new Pennsylvania wind farms will feed clean electricity into a multi-state region that includes Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Delaware, District of Columbia, Maryland, Ohio, New York, and part of Virginia. The zero emission wind power from these four wind farms avoid greenhouse gases (GHG) and criteria air pollutants associated with generating electricity from the resources providing power to the regional Pennsylvania, New Jersey Maryland (PJM) Power Pool.3 Based upon PJM Power Pool average emission rates, the approximately 411,600 MWhs generated collectively from the four wind farms avoids approximately 246,000 tons of CO2, 580 tons of NOx, 1,850 tons of SO2 and 14,000 pounds of mercury emissions annually. The main areas of uncertainty with the quantification of the emission reductions are the annual generation of the wind farms and the emission factors used. The average PJM Power Pool emission rates were used instead of the marginal emission rates due to data availability. For future project monitoring and reporting actual metered generation data will be retrospectively evaluated and a more precise PJM Power Pool emission factor most likely the marginal rate will be calculated based on actual dispatch. The Exelon Power Team has contracted with Community Energy, Inc. to deliver the new wind power to customers under the name “New Wind Energy” and also validate the sale of New Wind Energy Certificates.4 New Wind Energy Certificates are sold in blocks of 1 See the Exelon Power Team web site for additional information at http://www.pwrteam.com/home.asp An average home is assumed to use 600 kWh per month or approximately 7 MWhs annually. Electric generation projections are based on an average capacity factor of 31%. 3 For comparison, the current average mix of resources supplying the PJM includes: Coal (47%), Nuclear (37%), Oil (4%), Natural Gas (9%), Hydro-electric (1%), and Other (2%). 4 CEI was founded in the fall of 1999, with the backing of several environmental and industry leaders, to develop and market clean, renewable electricity. The founders formed the Company to give electric 2 February 17, 2016 1 2/17/16 100 kilowatt hours (kWh) that cost $2.50 each month, which is equivalent to 2.5 cents per kWh. Customers choose the amount of wind energy they would like to purchase as part of their ordinary electric supply. Any purchase of two blocks or more is certified by Green-e, the non-profit organization which monitors green electricity products. Exelon Corporation owns any and all of the environmental credits that currently exist or that may exist under future regulatory schemes resulting from this project as agreed to in the power purchase agreements with CEI. Other environmental impacts of wind energy are concerns about siting, including bird mortality and visual and noise impacts. While bird mortality, due primarily to collisions with turbine blades, is a concern, solutions are being developed. While avian mortality can be minimized with careful site planning, it will remain a factor in the growth of wind power capacity. Visual and noise impacts can also make siting wind turbines difficult. Advancing turbine design is providing less noisy turbines, but it is also producing taller, larger turbines that will be increasingly visible. Section 2 - Strategy Summary In 2001, Exelon’s Power Team signed four twenty-year power purchase agreements for the purchase of wind power in Pennsylvania making it the largest wind marketer east of the Mississippi River. The Exelon Power Team contracted with Community Energy, Inc. to deliver new wind power to customers under the name “New Wind Energy” and also to validate the sale of New Wind Energy Certificates. See details of the purchased power contracts in Table 1 below. Table 1: New Wind Farms in Pennsylvania Making Up Exelon’s Purchase Power Agreements Size (MW) Commercial Operation Date Wind Farm Location Moosic Mountain Wind Farm Wayne County, PA. 52 Spring 2002 Somerset Wind Farm Somerset, PA. 9 October 2001 Mill Run Wind Farm Fayette County, PA. 15.6 October 2001 Backbone Mountain Wind Farm West Virginia 75 December 2002 Annual Output 141,000 MWhrs or enough electricity annually to supply approximately 20,000 homes 25,000 MWhrs or enough electricity annually to supply approximately 3,400 homes 42,000 MWhrs or enough electricity annually to supply approximately 5,700 homes 203,000 MWhrs or enough electricity annually to supply approximately 29,000 homes In displacing a kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity generated by fossil-fired units, wind generation avoids emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and many other pollutants. The size of these reductions depends on the type of generation displaced. What is displaced by renewable generation depends on many factors, such as the regional generating mix and the time of day and year. In general, emission reductions are greatest when renewable customers the best green energy choice in the market - one that adds new renewable electricity to the grid and delivers the market and public relations advantages of fuel-free, emission-free energy to the customer. February 17, 2016 2 2/17/16 generation displaces generation at a coal-fired unit, but even when renewables displace a new gas-fired plant, CO2 reductions and potential criteria pollutant reductions are substantial. Section 3 - Source Identification/Location and Contact Name Exelon Power Team Purchase Power Contracts Locations: Moosic Mountain Wind Farm Wayne County, PA. Somerset Wind Farm Somerset, PA. Mill Run Wind Farm Fayette County, PA. Backbone Mountain West Virginia Contacts: Thomas A. Sylvester Exelon Power – Environmental Affairs 200 Exelon Way, KSA1-E Kennett Square, PA 19348 Phone: 610-765-5885 Fax: 610-765-5561 thomas.sylvester@exeloncorp.com Brent Alderfer Community Energy, Inc. 150 Strafford Avenue, Suite 110 Wayne, PA 19087 Phone: 610-254-9784 http://www.NewWindEnergy.Com Section 4 - Baseline Emissions Determination/Base Period Used In this case study, average CO2, NOx, SO2 and mercury emission rates from the PJM Power Pool from EPA’s EGRID Database (1998 data) are used as the baseline. The average PJM Power Pool emission rates are as follows: CO2 1,199.053 lbs/MWh NOx 2.808 lbs/MWh SO2 9.007 lbs/MWh Hg 0.0356 lbs/MWh February 17, 2016 3 2/17/16 Section 5 - Demonstration of Surplus This wind power marketing activity by Exelon is surplus to any governmental requirements including the renewable portfolio standard in Pennsylvania.5 An RPS is a market-based mechanism designed to create demand for renewable resources close to commercialization. Under an RPS, all energy suppliers licensed in a state are required to sell energy from renewable generators as a certain percentage of their total energy sales. Nearly all of the states that have established plans to move to retail competition have included in those plans a System Benefit Charge, an RPS or both. Section 6 - Demonstration of Real An emission reduction is real if it is a reduction in actual emissions, resulting from a specific and identifiable action or undertaking, net leakage of emissions. A real reduction in actual emissions will occur due to the wind power generation, as wind turbines emit no air emissions in operation, so emission reductions are dependent on the emissions associated with the energy displaced by the wind energy. In displacing a kilowatt-hour (kWh) of electricity generated by fossil-fired units, wind generation avoids emissions of carbon dioxide (CO2) and many other pollutants. Section 7 - Quantification of Emission Reductions The marketing and sale of the 411,600 MWhs annually from the four wind farms avoids CO2 emissions that otherwise may be emitted by conventional sources on the grid. In order to estimate the annual impacts of this quantity of zero emission power being sold into the PJM grid, the baseline emission rates as noted above are multiplied by the total annual estimated electric generation by the wind farms.6 See Table 2 below. Table 2: CO2 Emissions Avoided Wind Farm Somerset Moosic Mountain Mill Run Backbone Mountain Total MW MWHs/Year CO2 Emissions Avoided (tons) 9 24,440 14,653 52 141,211 84,660 15.6 42,363 25,398 75 203,670 122,106 151.6 411,685 246,816 Key assumptions used in this quantification include the annual generation of electricity by the wind farms and the emission rates used to determine the avoid emissions. 5 For PECO West Penn, and PP&L, 20% of residential consumers served by competitive default provider: 2% in 2001, rising 0.5%/year; For GPU, 0.2% in 2001 for 20% of customers, 40% of customers in 2002, 60% in 2003, 80% in 2004 and thereafter. 6 Based on natural gas combined cycle CO2 emission rate of 800 lbs/MWh and a NOx emission rate of 1.5 lbs/MWh as identified in STAPPA/ALAPCO, Reducing Greenhouse Gases and Air Pollution – A Menu of Harmonized Options, October 1999. February 17, 2016 4 2/17/16 Section 8 - Data Integrity and Uncertainty The collective annual generation of electricity by the wind farms is assumed to total approximately 411,600 MWhs. This is based upon an average capacity factor of 31% at all four of the wind farms. This capacity factor is typical for a wind farm located in these areas. This assumption has a medium degree of certainty. Annual monitoring of electric generation will be the determining factor for calculations to identify avoided emissions. For the purposes of this case study, the 31% capacity factor is the best available. Regarding the emission rates used to determine the avoided emissions associated with the operation of the wind farms, the combined cycle natural gas fired facility data obtained from STAPPA/ALAPCO documentation is the best available at the time and therefore has a high degree of certainty. The straightforward calculation of CO2 emissions avoidance is as follows: 411,600 MWhs X 1,199.053 lbs CO2/MWh = 493,632,086 lbs/2000 = 246,816 tons of CO2 avoided. Overall, this case study has a medium degree of certainty with regards to the avoidance of CO2 emissions. The ultimate size of avoided emissions depends on the type of generation displaced. What is displaced by renewable generation depends on many factors, such as the regional generating mix and the time of day and year. Section 9 - Emission Reduction Credits Created Total estimated avoided emissions equal approximately 246,816 tons per year (tpy). Section 10 - Ownership Exelon Corporation owns any and all of the environmental credits that currently exist or that may exist under future regulatory schemes resulting from this project as agreed to in the power purchase agreements with Community Energy Inc. On a related note, the Exelon Power Team has not only contracted with Community Energy, Inc. to deliver the new wind power to customers but also validates the sale of New Wind Energy Certificates. Customers choose the amount of wind energy they would like to purchase as part of their ordinary electric supply. Any purchase of two blocks or more is certified by Green-e, the non-profit organization which monitors green electricity products. Section 11 - Other Environmental Impacts The wind power also avoids approximately 580 tons of NOx, 1,850 tons of SO2 and 14,000 pounds of mercury emissions annually. Additional potential environmental impacts worth noting here are concerns about bird mortality and visual and noise impacts. The interaction of wind turbines and avian populations has been studied fairly extensively, and while bird mortality, due primarily to collisions with turbine blades, is a concern, solutions are being developed. First and foremost, avian impacts are now considered in plant siting, and sites in or near migratory pathways or dense bird populations are considered much less attractive than others. Other factors that influence avian impacts are the composition of local species, the accompanying land use and February 17, 2016 5 2/17/16 turbine design, location and orientation. However, while avian mortality can be minimized with careful site planning, it will remain a factor in the growth of wind power capacity.7 Advancing turbine design is providing less noisy turbines, but it is also producing taller, larger turbines that will be increasingly visible. Local concerns over these issues will make some promising sites less attractive. In particular, it will continue to be challenging to locate sites near transmission infrastructure, but removed from avian populations and from public view and potential opposition. Section 12 - Registration Statement and Signature As a representative of Exelon Corporation presenting this case study I have personally examined the case study and believe it to be true and accurately represent the activities of Exelon Corporation. Tom Sylvester 7 E.W. Colson, Avian Interactions with Wind Energy Facilities: A Summary (a paper presented at the American Wind Energy Association’s Windpower 1995 Conference on March 26, 1995). February 17, 2016 6