Appendix 1. Supplemental Information Methods HMDS (hybrid multidimensional scaling) uses a matrix of dissimilarity values for the toxicity data to create an ordination plot. This is done such that the rank order of dissimilarities of the samples is reflected in their distances in ordination space relative to one another (Jongman et al., 1995). The extent to which HMDS adequately represents the relationships is reflected in the stress value (Kruskal and Wish, 1978). The stress value defines the amount of scatter around the line of best fit through the HMDS distances versus the actual distances (Clarke, 1993). The lower the stress value the better the representation; generally stress values > 0.2 yield plots which can potentially be misleading or difficult to interpret (Clarke, 1993). The relationships between sediment toxicity and sediment contamination were examined with the inclusion of the organic contaminant data. Test sites were ordinated again by HMDS, as a single group without inclusion of Great Lakes reference data. Principal axis correlation and Monte Carlo permutation tests were conducted as described in the text with the sediment organic contaminant data (PCBs, PAHs), as well as sediment metal, nutrient, and particle size data. Initially, to examine general and dominant patterns in the data, comparisons between the toxicity responses and contaminant conditions were made based on integrative, compound variables (from either summation or multivariate ordination of measurement variables). After this, to better detect less dominant (though significant) relationships between two or a few variables, analyses were conducted using the original measurement variables (i.e., toxicity endpoints and concentrations of individual compounds). Concentrations of 10 metals (Cd, Cr, Cu, Fe, Hg, Mg, Mn, Ni, Pb, Zn) and 3 nutrients (total Kjeldahl nitrogen, total organic carbon, total phosphorus) were ordinated by principal components analysis (PCA). Data for all variables were ln(x)transformed. The eigenanalysis was performed on the correlation matrix. PAH data were integrated by summing the concentrations of the individual compounds. The integrated descriptors of sediment toxicity (axes scores from the HMDS) were plotted against the contaminant descriptors (PCA scores, total PCBs, total PAHs (the latter two of which were ln(x)-transformed to improve linearity)). Relationships among integrated (HMDS axes scores) and individual toxicity variables were also evaluated by plotting against individual contaminant variables (ln(x)-transformed concentrations of 10 metals, 3 nutrients, PCBs and 16 PAHs in sediment). To determine whether toxicity was better explained by joint consideration of the contaminant descriptors, a multiple linear regression involving the contaminant descriptors as predictors was calculated for each toxicity descriptor as the response variable. The degree to which sediment contaminants account for toxicity was assessed by fitting regression models using best subset procedures (Draper and Smith, 1998). Available predictors were the above contaminant and nutrient variables, plus mean sediment grain size. Models were fitted for (a) all combinations of metals and nutrients, (b) all combinations of PCBs, PAHs and mean grain size, and then (c) all combinations of the best predictors from the two groups. This procedure was used to avoid computational difficulties arising from working with 32 predictors simultaneously. The best models were those having maximum explanatory power (based on R2adjusted), minimum number of nonsignificant predictors, and minimum amount of predictor multicollinearity. Clarke, K.R., 1993. Non-parametric multivariate analyses of changes in community structure. Australian J. Ecol. 18: 117-143. Draper, N.R., Smith, H., 1998. Applied regression analysis, 3rd Ed. John Wiley & Sons, Inc., New York Jongman, R.H.G., Ter Braak, C.J.F., Van Tongeren, O.F.R., 1995. Data analysis in community and landscape ecology. Cambridge University Press, UK. pp. 299. Kruskal, J.B., Wish, M., 1978. Multidimensional scaling. Sage Publications, Beverley Hills California. pp. 93. Results 4 RR04 RR03 2 7039 Axis 3 RR01 7038 0 7043 7061 7040 Hex surv Hex gr HyalRR05 gr Hyal surv RR02 -2 -4 -4 -2 0 Axis 1 2 4 Appendix1, Figure 1. Hybrid multidimensional scaling of subset of 2002 Randle Reef sites based on Euclidean distance calculated from the mean of four bioassay endpoints, summarized on 2 of 3 axes. Stress = 0.06. The 90% (inner), 99% (middle) and 99.9% (outer) probability ellipses are constructed from 105 Great Lakes reference sites whose individual scores are not shown. The directions of maximum correlation of toxicity endpoints are shown as vectors. Appendix 1, Table 1. Individual site prioritizations. Metal concentrations (mg kg-¹) exceeding the Severe Effect Level and total PAHs greater than 100 mg kg-¹ are bolded. 1 Site Total PAHs Guideline1 RR09 RR22 RR55 RR04 RR07 RR10 RR11 RR12 RR13 RR30 RR31 RR32 RR36 RR59 RR72 RR74 RR75 RR43 RR47 RR56 RR57 RR58 RR60 RR64 RR06 RR37 7039 RR17 RR54 7043 7061 RR61 RR08 RR18 RR24 RR26 RR34 RR35 RR40 RR48 RR52 RR62 RR63 RR66 RR67 RR69 RR70 RR71 RR39 RR68 RR01 RR02 RR03 RR15 RR16 RR33 RR45 RR49 RR50 7038 RR14 RR25 7040 RR05 RR19 RR20 RR21 RR23 RR27 RR28 RR29 RR38 RR41 RR42 RR44 RR46 RR51 RR53 RR65 RR73 100 170.3 626.4 1047.1 128.6 135.8 208.8 45.7 34.4 1105 182.7 249.5 324.1 133.6 888.5 157.5 138.8 132.3 541.6 120.3 2474 1010.7 648.9 9048 237.7 46.4 98.0 14.5 53.4 20.9 73.9 24.6 122.5 332.2 254.8 111.8 247.8 134.6 166.8 171.6 213.8 372.5 120.0 612.2 704.0 289.6 281.2 487.9 230.8 40.6 67.7 5.0 12.5 4.7 22.0 9.9 11.3 2.2 24.1 36.6 8.0 25.1 9.8 7.5 6.2 5.8 10.8 2.6 8.2 5.6 1.0 4.4 9.2 5.2 7.5 50.4 20.8 18.8 2.1 48.4 63.5 Arsenic Cadmium Chromium Copper 33 <5 <5 5 7.5 10 30 31 22.9 <5 17 7.9 <5 12.2 <5 <5 8.5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 7.6 9.0 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 5 5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 <5 10 2.1 1.8 3.3 3.7 4.4 2.0 1.5 1.4 2.2 5.0 3.2 2.0 3.3 1.5 2.7 3.9 2.3 1.5 1.8 2.5 2.4 2.0 2.5 3.0 1.9 2.9 4.0 2.5 2.2 1.0 1.0 1.9 1.2 2.1 2.1 1.4 1.9 2.6 2.3 3.5 2.5 1.6 1.6 2.1 1.3 1.5 1.3 1.6 1.8 3.9 2.4 1.7 1.1 1.4 1.3 2.9 1.6 2.9 2.1 1.5 1.1 1.8 1.0 1.6 1.1 1.3 1.4 1.1 1.2 0.5 1.5 1.0 1.2 1.4 2.0 1.9 2.1 1.5 1.8 <1 110 80.8 53.2 92.3 104.4 82.4 90.0 142.4 111.5 67.0 57.8 94.3 77.2 104.9 56.4 73.9 98.6 72.1 80.2 43.3 87.8 67.3 72.8 82.2 88.0 87.6 81.0 71.7 46.6 82.7 48.8 90.7 59.6 58.9 78.0 82.3 76.4 54.8 72.4 59.6 143.5 82.1 77.3 109.8 73.6 65.3 55.7 72.2 63.6 42.9 84.7 43.2 98.0 38.9 32.8 53.4 61.4 23.2 86.4 73.8 55.9 51.1 48.9 68.6 76.8 48.0 29.1 21.6 56.7 41.8 30.4 48.2 45.8 35.1 20.3 52.8 38.0 68.9 39.7 65.8 37.3 110 68.6 39.0 80.0 59.8 98.9 131.1 705.6 608.5 46.6 75.7 55.0 28.7 68.2 33.2 58.0 66.9 49.5 36.7 38.9 44.6 59.0 48.7 62.3 29.1 76.1 68.9 67.0 101.1 61.9 25.2 56.3 35.4 33.8 55.8 58.6 43.8 37.4 61.4 52.6 69.6 46.8 38.1 34.3 43.6 35.8 38.5 41.2 37.6 48.4 71.3 47.4 44.3 31.2 70.3 58.5 48.9 16.6 49.5 65.0 41.4 62.7 64.9 31.5 47.4 30.5 46.1 18.2 35.4 31.5 21.5 39.7 37.1 29.3 28.5 38.1 32.4 57.3 17.7 30.7 26.1 Mercury Nickel Lead Zinc 2 0.43 0.12 0.35 0.40 0.66 0.79 0.55 0.34 0.26 0.66 0.42 0.05 0.13 0.18 0.39 0.31 0.24 0.09 0.05 0.20 0.26 0.11 0.10 0.05 0.34 0.15 0.27 0.52 0.17 0.06 0.14 0.12 0.33 0.38 0.12 0.13 0.06 0.19 0.18 0.25 0.14 0.10 0.09 0.17 0.10 0.19 0.24 0.20 0.13 0.31 0.25 0.19 0.11 0.49 0.10 0.10 0.03 0.12 0.17 0.06 0.36 0.24 0.05 0.19 0.22 0.23 0.05 0.12 0.11 0.04 0.13 0.08 0.04 0.08 0.09 0.07 0.12 0.05 0.04 0.27 75 20.5 11.7 39.0 42.0 44.0 72.0 590.5 303.0 7.3 36.0 29.6 3.0 33.3 9.0 29.2 42.0 21.5 9.3 7.5 1.9 13.9 7.7 8.0 8.0 28.4 28.9 21.1 42.2 20.7 8.0 24.7 6.7 13.1 28.2 6.0 17.9 5.0 31.3 25.1 32.8 20.5 6.3 4.0 16.9 13.3 14.3 20.1 17.0 21.1 29.8 12.4 15.6 13.2 29.9 15.9 18.4 1.9 16.4 22.9 18.2 25.6 22.4 7.8 12.2 15.1 19.7 7.0 16.8 11.4 11.3 17.6 17.1 10.3 12.6 13.2 7.6 18.2 4.5 6.4 16.9 250 200.3 149.6 284.7 284.6 446.9 438.0 331.5 611.0 146.9 566.1 223.2 42.0 208.6 113.0 227.1 313.9 172.1 86.4 51.6 137.6 173.0 109.7 106.1 39.5 168.8 178.9 190.8 200.1 125.9 48.0 126.5 68.9 97.7 128.8 70.2 88.8 70.9 192.2 134.7 217.6 135.8 75.4 66.8 132.8 76.2 94.4 122.2 90.7 103.2 215.7 62.1 67.1 49.1 101.2 69.6 103.2 31.5 146.0 154.7 85.1 111.5 69.9 49.5 68.0 52.7 70.3 17.0 46.8 47.4 18.3 45.5 59.8 34.7 45.4 70.3 53.1 111.8 32.7 51.5 27.0 820 1158 726.7 1790 2160 2480 2350 1585 1560 575.7 2520 1838 186.0 1515 872.1 1765 2430 1164 430.6 259.5 586.4 979.8 652.2 477.0 182.0 900.9 1262 948.4 978.1 711.6 277.3 775.5 392.7 697.9 954.9 363.9 568.2 378.6 1499 1015 1710 1029 432.6 358.4 1058 494.1 677.5 986.7 604.7 698.5 1602 255.1 356.1 222.5 494.4 329.8 532.7 133.9 766.0 797.9 287.7 597.6 340.4 230.8 266.5 260.6 351.5 67.2 234.7 247.6 83.2 202.0 343.1 198.0 242.7 424.5 181.9 599.9 198.1 297.2 153.2 Toxicity Band2 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 3 4 4 3 4 4 4 4 4 1 2 2 2 1 2 1 3 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 1 2 2 1 2 1 2 2 4 3 4 3 4 3 3 4 4 4 2 1 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 Outcome high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox high contam + high tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox high contam + low tox low contam + low tox high contam + low tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + high tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox low contam + low tox Initial Priority 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 non-priority non-priority non-priority 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 non-priority 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority 100 mg kg-¹ for total PAHs and the Severe Effect Level for metals Band 1=non-toxic, Band 2=potentially toxic, Band 3=toxic, Band 4=severely toxic 3 Based on 2002 chemistry and toxicity data only 4 Based on chemistry and toxicity and specific design elements (BBL et al., 2006) 2 Final Priority 4 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority non-priority