1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 October 21, 2003 Canadian Journal of Forest Research Running Head: Managing for Old-Growth Forest Structure Managing for Late-Successional/Old-Growth Characteristics in Northern Hardwood-Conifer Forests William S. Keeton Rubenstein School of Environment and Natural Resources University of Vermont Burlington, VT 05405 Telephone: (802) 656-2518, Fax (802) 656-2623 Email: William.keeton@uvm.edu Keeton 2 1 ABSTRACT 2 In the northern hardwood region of North America managing for late-successional forest habitats 3 and functions is an important element of ecosystem management. Modified uneven-aged 4 practices may provide an alternative for accelerating rates of late-successional forest 5 development. I am testing this hypothesis using a system that promotes old-growth structure, 6 termed “Structural Complexity Enhancement (SCE).” This approach is compared against 7 conventional uneven-aged systems modified to enhance post-harvest structural retention. The 8 study is replicated at two mature, northern hardwood forests in Vermont, U.S.A. Treatments 9 were applied to 2 ha units. Uneven-aged treatments were replicated twice; the SCE treatment and 10 controls were each replicated four times. Structural objectives include multi-layered canopies, 11 elevated large snag and downed log densities, variable horizontal density, and re-allocation of 12 basal area to larger diameter classes. The latter objective is achieved using crown release and an 13 unconventional marking guide based on a rotated sigmoid diameter distribution. The marking 14 guide is also derived from a target basal area and tree size indicative of old-growth structure. 15 Forest structure data have been collected over two years pretreatment and three years post- 16 treatment. Fifty-year simulations of stand development were run in NE-TWIGS and FVS 17 comparing treatment and no treatment scenarios. SCE retained higher levels of multiple 18 structural attributes, achieved rotated sigmoid diameter distributions, and sustained these 50 19 years into the future, resulting in reallocated basal area. Late-successional structure will develop 20 faster and to a greater degree under SCE. Large tree (>50 cm dbh) recruitment will be impaired 21 under the conventional treatments, whereas recruitment will be accelerated under SCE. 22 2 Keeton 1 3 INTRODUCTION 2 Sustainable forestry practices across “matrix” landscapes, such as forestlands providing 3 connectivity between protected areas, contribute to the maintenance of biological diversity and 4 ecosystem functioning at sub-regional and regional scales (Lindenmayer and Franklin 2002). 5 The challenge lies in determining the mix of management approaches – including type, timing, 6 intensity, and spatial configuration of silvicultural treatments – necessary to achieve 7 sustainability objectives. In the northern hardwood region of the eastern United States and 8 Canada, “structure-“ (Keeton 2005) or “disturbance-based” (Mitchell 2002, Seymour et al. 2002) 9 silvicultural approaches are of interest for this type of matrix management. Structure-based 10 forestry focuses on the architecture of individual forest stands and their spatial arrangement, with 11 consideration given to the aggregate representation of multiple structural (or habitat) conditions 12 at landscape scales. Disturbance-based silviculture uses the range of structural and 13 compositional conditions associated with natural disturbance regimes as a guide for designing 14 and scheduling silvicultural treatments. These approaches are complementary. They share the 15 operational objective of managing for currently under-represented forest structures and age 16 classes (Franklin et al. 2002). In matrix landscapes of the northern forest region this would 17 include managing for late-successional structure, which is vastly under-represented relative to 18 pre-European settlement conditions (Mladenoff and Pastor 1993, Cogbill 2000, Lorimer 2001, 19 Lorimer and White 2003). In this study variants of uneven-aged silviculture are explored as a 20 means for promoting late-successional/old-growth structural characteristics in northern 21 hardwood-conifer forests. Alternate approaches for accelerating stand development rates are 22 tested. 23 3 Keeton 1 2 4 Why manage for old-growth structure in northern hardwood forests? In the northeastern United States there has been considerable debate regarding differing 3 proposals for adjusting age class distributions on forested landscapes. Forest structure and 4 composition in pre-European settlement landscapes were spatially and temporally variable due to 5 geophysical heterogeneity, climate variability, and disturbances, both natural and anthropogenic 6 (Foster and Aber 2004). However, the relative availability of stand structures has changed as a 7 result of 19th century forest clearing, agricultural land-use, land abandonment, subsequent 8 reforestation, and twentieth century forest management. In northern hardwood forests, age-class 9 distributions have shifted from a predominance, pre-settlement, of old-growth forests to a present 10 dominance of mature (e.g. 40 to 80 year old) forests (Lorimer and Frelich 1994, Lorimer 2001, 11 Lorimer and White 2003). Lorimer (2001) estimates that the majority of pre-settlement forests 12 were old-growth, whereas young forests (up to 15 years old) comprised <1 to 13% of northern 13 hardwood regions. Definitions of old-growth northern hardwood-conifer forests generally use a 14 combination of age (ca. >150 years), human disturbance history, and structure (Hunter 1989, 15 Dunwiddie et al. 1996, Hunter and White 1997). Today forests with these characteristics occupy 16 less than 0.5% of the region (Davis 1996). Riparian (Keeton et al. 2005), habitat (see reviews in 17 Tyrell and Crow 1994b, Keddy and Drummond 1996, and McGee et al. 1999), and other 18 functions associated with late-successional forests have declined as a result. 19 With reforestation and successional development on old-fields, the availability of 20 grassland and early-successional forested habitats declined significantly during the 20th century. 21 Successional habitats are now re-approaching (Lorimer 2001) or, in some locales, possibly even 22 below (DeGraaf and Yamasaki 2003) pre-settlement levels. Even-aged, patch-cut, or large- 23 group selection harvesting methods are sometimes advocated as a means for enhancing the 4 Keeton 5 1 relative abundance of habitats for early-successional species (Hunter et al. 2001, King et al. 2 2001, Litvaitis 2001, DeGraaf and Yamasaki 2003). Similarly, researchers have suggested that a 3 portion of the landscape could be managed for late-successional and old-growth forests (Keeton 4 et al. 2001, Lorimer and White 2003). These proposals need not be mutually exclusive, but do 5 require differing silvicultural approaches where active manipulations are desired. 6 7 8 9 Experiments in alternative silviculture The field of alternative silviculture has expanded greatly in recent decades (Petersen and Maguire 2005). In moist temperate and boreal regions of North America these systems are 10 generally designed: 1) to more closely approximate natural disturbance and stand development 11 processes through structural retention during regeneration cutting (Swanson and Franklin 1992; 12 Franklin et al. 1997, 1999, and 2002; Marshall and Curtis 2005; Beese et al. 2005); 2) create 13 spatial patterns and small gap dynamics similar to those associated with fine-scale natural 14 disturbances (Seymour 2005); or 3) to accelerate rates of late-successional forest development in 15 mature and riparian stands through under-planting, variable density thinning, crown release, and 16 other methods (FEMAT 1993, Berg 1995, Singer and Lorimer 1997, Harrington et al. 2005). 17 In the northern hardwood region particular interest in alternative, structure-based 18 approaches has evolved from studies of old-growth northern hardwood and mixed hardwood- 19 conifer forests. These have demonstrated the ecological significance of specific structural 20 elements, such as large trees (live and dead), downed logs, multi-layered canopies, and 21 horizontal variations in stand density and gap mosaics (Tyrell and Crow 1994b, Dahir and 22 Lorimer 1996, McGee et al. 1999). Availability of these structures can be highly limited in 23 forests managed under conventional even and uneven-aged systems (Gore and Patterson 1985, 5 Keeton 6 1 McGee et al. 1999). As a result, managing for old-growth structural characteristics, either in part 2 or in full, is a proposed alternative silvicultural approach (Keddy and Drummond 1996, Lorimer 3 and White 2003). 4 5 6 Structural Complexity Enhancement Despite theoretical discussions (e.g. Lorimer and Frelich 1994, Trombulak 1996), there 7 have been few field trials or experimental tests of late-successional/old-growth forest restoration 8 in northern hardwood forests. An untested hypothesis is that silvicultural practices can 9 accelerate rates of late-successional forest stand development (Franklin et al. 2002), promote 10 desired structural characteristics, and enhance associated ecosystem functions more than 11 conventional systems. This hypothesis is tested here using an approach, termed “Structural 12 Complexity Enhancement (SCE), that promotes old-growth structural characteristics while also 13 providing opportunities for low-intensity timber harvest (Table 1). SCE is compared against two 14 conventional uneven-aged systems (single-tree selection and group-selection) that are advocated 15 regionally for sustainable forestry, particularly where maintenance of continuous forest cover is 16 desired (Mladenoff and Pastor 1993, Nyland 1998). Conventional uneven-aged prescriptions 17 employed in this study are modified to increase post-harvest structural retention and to represent 18 best available practices. In addition, group-selection treatments are modified to approximate the 19 average canopy opening size associated with fine-scale natural disturbance events in New 20 England, based on the findings of Seymour et al. (2002). 21 The objectives for SCE are based on previous research describing old-growth northern 22 hardwood and mixed northern hardwood-conifer forests (Gore and Patterson 1985, Hunter 1989, 23 Woods and Cogbill 1994, Tyrrell and Crow 1994a and 1994b, Hunter and White 1997, 6 Keeton 1 Goodburn and Lorimer 1998, McGee et al. 1999, Ziegler 2000). They include multi-layered 2 canopies, elevated large snag and downed log densities, variable horizontal density, and re- 3 allocation of basal area to larger diameter classes. The latter objective is achieved, in part, using 4 an unconventional marking guide based on a rotated sigmoid target diameter distribution. 5 Rotated sigmoid diameter distributions have been widely discussed in the theoretical literature 6 (e.g. O’Hara 1998, Leak 2002) but their silvicultural utility has not been field tested. Sigmoidal 7 form is one of several possible distributions in eastern old-growth forests (Goodburn and 8 Lorimer 1999). These vary with disturbance history, species composition, and competitive 9 dynamics (Leak 1996 and 2002). The distribution offers advantages for late-successional 7 10 structural management because it allocates more growing space and basal area (and thus biomass 11 and structures associated with larger trees) to larger size classes. I predict this distribution is 12 sustainable in terms of recruitment, growth, and yield. If so, it would support O’Hara’s (1998) 13 assertion that there are naturally occurring alternatives to the negative exponential or “reverse-J” 14 curve typically used in uneven-aged forestry. It would also suggest that silviculturalists have 15 greater flexibility in managing stand structure, biodiversity, and other ecosystem functions in the 16 northern forest region than previously recognized. 17 18 METHODS 19 Experimental Design 20 The study is conducted at the Mount Mansfield State Forest (MMFS) and at the 21 University of Vermont’s Jericho Research Forest (JRF). The former is located on the western 22 slopes and the latter resides in the foothills of the northern Green Mountain Range in Vermont, 23 U.S.A.. Elevations range from 470 to 660 m (MMFS) and from 200 to 250 m (JRF) above sea 7 Keeton 8 1 level. Soils are primarily stony loams (MMSF) and loamy sands or sandy loams (JRF). Study 2 areas are mature (ca. 70-100 year old), northern hardwood-conifer forests. Tree demography is 3 multi-aged due to previous management entries, based on extensive pre-treatment tree coring 4 across size classes. Dominant overstory species include Acer saccharum (sugar maple), Fagus 5 grandifolia (American beech), and Betula alleghanienis (yellow birch). Tsuga canadensis 6 (eastern hemlock) is also co-dominant at JRF. There are minor components of Picea rubens (red 7 spruce) at MMFS and Acer rubrum (red maple) and Quercus rubra (red oak) at JRF. 8 9 There were three experimental manipulations. The first two were conventional unevenaged systems (single-tree selection and group-selection) modified to enhance post-harvest 10 structural retention. The modifications were based on a target residual basal area of 18.4 m2/ha, 11 maximum diameter of 60 cm, and q-factor (the ratio of the number of trees in each successively 12 larger size class) of 1.3. Group-selection cutting patches were each approximately 0.05 ha in size 13 which results in 8 to 9 groups per treatment unit. 14 The third treatment was Structural Complexity Enhancement (SCE). The marking guide 15 (the number of trees that must be cut in each size class to achieve the desired post-harvest 16 structure) was based on a rotated sigmoid target diameter distribution (number of trees per size 17 class). This was applied as a non-constant q-factor: 2.0 in the smallest sizes classes, 1.1 for 18 medium-sized trees, and 1.3 in the largest size classes. The marking guide was also derived from 19 a target (desired future condition) basal area (34 m2/ha.) and maximum diameter at breast height 20 (90 cm) indicative of old-growth structure. Accelerated growth in larger trees was promoted 21 through full (4 or 3-sided) and partial (2-sided) crown release. Prescriptions for enhancing 22 coarse woody debris (CWD) volume and density were based on stand potential (e.g. pre-harvest 23 CWD volume) and literature-derived targets. Snags were created by girdling diseased, dying, or 8 Keeton 9 1 poorly formed trees. Pre-treatment densities of low vigor trees were sufficient such that girdling 2 of healthy trees was not necessary to achieve snag prescriptions. On one SCE unit at each of the 3 two study areas, downed logs were created by pulling trees over, rather than felling, to create pits 4 and exposed root wads. 5 Each of the first two treatments (uneven-aged) was replicated twice at Mount Mansfield; 6 the third (SCE) was replicated four times, twice at each of the two study areas. Two un- 7 manipulated control units were located at each study area. Manipulations were randomly 8 assigned to treatment units. Treatment units were 2 ha in size and separated by 50 meter (min.) 9 unlogged buffers to minimize cross contamination of treatment effects. Experimental 10 manipulations (i.e. logging) were conducted on frozen ground in winter (Jan.-February) of 2003. 11 All treatments included retention of American beech exhibiting resistance to beech bark disease 12 (Nectria coccinea). Scattered mature red spruce were retained as seed trees to encourage 13 recolonization where this species was historically more abundant. 14 15 Data Collection 16 There are five, randomly placed, 0.1 ha permanent sampling plots in each treatment unit. 17 Within each plot, all live and dead trees > 5 cm dbh and > 1.37 m tall were permanently tagged, 18 measured, and recorded by species, diameter, height, and vigor/decay stage (1-7). Tree heights, 19 height to crown base, and crown width (2 radii) on each tagged tree were measured using an 20 Impulse 200 laser range finder. Tagged trees were mapped using an integrated laser range finder 21 and Mapstar Digital Electronic Compass. Plot and tree positions were geo-referenced using a 22 Trimble Pro XRS Global Positioning System. Downed log (logs > 10 cm diameter) volume by 23 decay class (1-5) was estimated using a line-intercept method while log densities were measured 9 Keeton 10 1 across 0.1 ha plots. Leaf Area Index (LAI) was measured at five points in each plot using a Li- 2 Cor 2000 meter. LAI values were post-processed to calibrate “below canopy” measurements 3 against ambient “above canopy” light measurements taken by a remotely placed Li-Cor meter. 4 Two dominant canopy trees per plot were cored at breast height to allow subsequent laboratory 5 determination of tree age and site index50 (sugar maple). Two years of pre-treatment and three 6 years of post-treatment data collection have been completed. Two sample plots (one SCE unit 7 and one single-tree selection unit) escaped treatment due to inoperable or wet terrain. Data from 8 these units were not included in analyses of post-treatment data. 9 10 11 Data Analysis Sample data, including individual tree heights, crown dimensions, and CWD attributes, 12 were used as inputs for 3-dimensional modeling in the Stand Visualization System (SVS) 13 (McGaughey 1997). The Northeast Decision Model (NED-2) (Twery et al. 2005) was used to 14 generate stand structure metrics based on pre and post-harvest sample data. These included 15 aboveground biomass estimates based on species-specific allometric equations developed by 16 Jenkins et al. (2003). A Before/After/Control/Impact (Krebs 1999) statistical approach was used 17 to compare structural metrics pre- to post-harvest and among treatments. Tukey-tests were used 18 for the former while Analysis of Variance and post-hoc Bonferroni (CWD data) or Least 19 Significant Difference (LSD, overstory data) multiple comparisons were used for the latter. 20 Homogeneity of variance was tested using F-tests for both pre and post-harvest data. Spatial 21 autocorrelation tests (Riply 1981) using the Moran coefficient were performed on key response 22 variables. Response data were sorted by treatment and made spatially explicit using geo- 23 referenced plot positions. Spatial autocorrelation results were cross-checked against empirical 10 Keeton 11 1 variograms produced using S-Plus (Kaluzny et al. 1998) software. Pre to post-harvest shifts in 2 downed woody debris decay class distributions were assessed using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov 3 two-sample goodness of fit test. 4 Diameter distributions (pre and post-harvest) were also used as an indicator that 5 integrates vertical and horizontal structural responses to treatment. To determine whether SCE 6 successfully shifted diameter distributions towards the target rotated sigmoid form, pre- and 7 post-harvest and target distributions were log transformed to enhance sigmoidal tendencies (Leak 8 2002). Residual distributions were smoothed using a Friedman smoothing run in S-Plus 9 software. Kolmogorov-Smirnov two-sample goodness of fit tests were used to test for 10 statistically significant differences between transformed residual and target cumulative frequency 11 distributions. Residual distributions were created using real (sample) data for smaller diameter 12 classes (<70 cm dbh) and hypothetical (e.g. future potential) values for larger diameter classes 13 (>70 cm dbh). The latter borrowed values from the target distribution. Statistical tests, therefore, 14 evaluated whether residual distributions achieved that portion of the target distribution possible 15 given the pre-harvest structure. 16 NED-2 output was used for simulation modeling of stand development using two models: 17 the northeastern U.S. variant (NE-FVS, Bush 1995) of the USDA Forest Service’s Forest 18 Vegetation Simulator (Dixon 2003) and NE-TWIGS (Hilt and Teck 1989). The NE-FVS 19 modeling structure is based on NE-TWIGS, which is an individual tree-based, distance- 20 independent stand growth simulator. However, mortality and large-tree growth functions operate 21 slightly differently in NE-FVS and calculations are made every ten years, rather on the annual 22 time step employed in NE-TWIGS. For both models, simulations were run two ways: 1) using 11 Keeton 12 1 unit-specific site index values; and 2) holding site index constant (set to 65) to determine 2 simulation sensitivity to this source of variability. 3 Fifty-year projections of stand development were run for each treatment unit, including 4 controls, using both pre and post-harvest scenarios. Cumulative basal area increment (CBAI) 5 was calculated for each simulation run at 5 year intervals. Projections were normalized on a unit 6 by unit basis by calculating the differences in CBAI between “no-harvest” and “harvest” 7 scenarios at each time step. The Kolmogorov-Smirnov two-sample goodness of fit test was used 8 to test for differences between treatment groups along mean CBAI time series. The log- 9 likelihood ratio goodness of fit test (G test) was used to examine total CBAI developed after 50 10 years; response ratios (treatment vs. no treatment) were compared against a null ratio (no 11 treatment effect). Simulation modeling was also used to predict the number of large trees (two 12 classes: > 50 cm and > 60 cm dbh) developed after 50 years. Mean projected diameter 13 distributions by treatment were evaluated to determine whether either rotated sigmoid (SCE) or 14 negative exponential (conventional uneven-aged) were sustained over time. Projected basal area 15 distributions were generated to determine the corresponding effect on basal area re-allocation. 16 Single-tree selection and group selection treatments were classified as one group 17 (“conventional uneven-aged aged”) for analyses of simulation output (e.g. calculations of mean 18 projections by treatment) and other statistical tests. This was appropriate because: 1) there were 19 no significant differences among uneven-aged units in residual structure when data were 20 aggregated to the unit scale; and 2) quantitative prescriptions were the same for both, the only 21 difference being dispersed vs. aggregated harvesting. This difference was not relevant since 22 neither NED-2 output nor the simulations were spatially explicit. 23 12 Keeton 13 1 RESULTS 2 Pre-harvest Structure 3 Pre-treatment structure was not significantly different (α = 0.05) between treatment units 4 based on ANOVA results. This held for basal area, aboveground biomass, stem density, relative 5 density, and all other variables tested. Variance in structure among units assigned to the same 6 treatment was not statistically significant (α = 0.05). These results suggest there is a statistically 7 valid basis for comparisons of both pre to post harvest changes and with respect to differences in 8 residual structure among treatment units. Site index50 varied among units, ranging from 9 approximately 57 to 70. 10 11 12 Residual Stand Structure Visualizations generated in SVS illustrate the high degree of structural complexity 13 maintained by both SCE and single-tree selection (Figure 1). High levels of residual structure 14 were maintained by all of the experimental treatments, including group selection. However, 15 there were distinct differences. Canopy closure was highest for SCE (mean 77%) and lowest for 16 single-tree selection (mean 64%). These results were statistically significant (P < 0.01). Canopy 17 closure, as expected, was most variable across group-selection units. Aggregate canopy closure 18 remained high in group-selection units because 70- 80% of each group-selection unit was 19 unlogged and thus maintained full pre-harvest structure. F tests of variance showed no 20 significant differences (α = 0.05) in post-harvest structure between similarly treated units. There 21 was no significant (α = 0.05) spatial autocorrelation among plots sorted by treatment; a result 22 confirmed by empirical variograms. These results suggest that similar treatments produced 23 consistent effects with respect to horizontal structure and spatial heterogeneity. 13 Keeton 14 1 There were significant differences (P < 0.001) in LAI responses among treatments. 2 Single-tree and group selection cuts reduced LAI by 20 and 30% respectively. LAI reductions 3 were lowest in SCE units (9%), indicating high retention of foliage bearing tree crowns and thus, 4 by inference, vertical complexity. LAI was significantly more spatially variable for both SCE (P 5 = 0.031) and group-selection (P = 0.010) compared to single tree selection; within-treatment 6 variance was not significantly different between SCE and group-selection units (P = 0.296). 7 These results are indicative of the high degree of horizontal structural variability expected for 8 group-selection. In SCE units, increased horizontal complexity was achieved through variable 9 density marking and clustered harvesting around crown-release trees. 10 Both SCE and conventional uneven-aged treatments resulted in structural changes pre to 11 post-harvest but these were statistically significant only for the conventional treatments. For 12 example, SCE resulted in reductions of 24% for aboveground biomass, 25% for total basal area, 13 27% for relative density, and 28% for stem density, though none of these changes were 14 significant at the 95% confidence level. By contrast conventional treatments caused the same 15 attributes to decline by 43, 42, 41, and 41% respectively, and these changes were highly 16 significant (P < 0.001). Stand structure did not change significantly in control units during the 17 course of this study (+/- 0.1 to 2% depending on the parameter). 18 Post-harvest aboveground biomass (P = 0.041), total basal area (P = 0.010), relative 19 density (P = 0.008), and stem density (P = 0.025) were significantly different among treatments 20 based on ANOVA and post-hoc comparisons. Conventional treatments resulted in significantly 21 lower aboveground biomass (P = 0.014), total basal area (P = 0.003), relative density (P = 22 0.002), and stem density (P = 0.008) in comparison to control units. SCE did not result in 23 statistically significant contrasts with controls. Residual basal area (P = 0.037) and relative 14 Keeton 15 1 density (P = 0.048) were significantly higher in SCE units compared to conventional uneven- 2 aged units; post-harvest biomass (P = 0.104) and stem density (P = 0.124) were not significantly 3 different between these treatments. 4 SCE shifted residual diameter distributions to a form indistinguishable from the target 5 rotated sigmoid form. There were no statistically significant differences (α = 0.05) between 6 residual and target distributions for any of the SCE units based on the goodness of fit test using 7 log transformed diameter distributions (Figure 2). 8 9 Crown Release and Vertical Development 10 Variable density harvesting resulted in crown release for 45 dominant trees per ha on 11 average in SCE units. When combined with the average pre-treatment number (20 per ha) of 12 large trees (> 50 cm dbh), this exceeded the future target of 55 large trees per ha. The excess 13 provides a “margin of safety” to accommodate canopy mortality. Crown release is likely to 14 accelerate growth rates in the affected dominant trees by 50% or more based on previous 15 modeling (e.g. Singer and Lorimer 1997). Dominant canopy trees were released across a range 16 of diameter classes (>25 cm dbh); the majority were fully, rather than partially, crown released. 17 Crown release also resulted in spatial aggregations of harvested trees, creating canopy openings 18 and variable tree densities. Elevated light availability associated with clustered harvesting 19 around crown release trees is likely to promote vertical differentiation of the canopy through 20 release and regeneration effects. This may increase foliage density in the emergent and lower 21 canopy layers over time. 22 15 Keeton 16 1 Coarse Woody Debris Enhancement 2 SCE prescriptions resulted in substantially elevated densities of both downed logs and 3 standing snags. Pulling trees over was successful in most cases at creating large exposed root 4 wads and pits. The structural complexity enhancement treatments increased CWD densities by 5 10 boles (> 30 cm dbh) per ha on average for snags and 12 boles (> 30 cm dbh) per ha. on 6 average for downed logs. Post harvest dead tree basal area was 39 % higher in SCE compared to 7 conventional treatments, although this was not statistically significant (P = 0.092) based on 8 multiple comparison results. Post-harvest dead basal area was significantly higher when SCE 9 units were compared to controls (P = 0.036); conventional units showed no significant 10 11 differences with controls. There were statistically significant differences (P = 0.002) among treatments with respect 12 to downed log recruitment effects (Figure 3). Post-harvest downed log volumes were 140% 13 higher on average than pre-harvest levels in SCE units. Mean downed log volume increased 14 30% in the uneven-aged units, although this effect was not statistically significant relative to the 15 controls. There were only slight (5% mean) increases in control units due to natural mortality; 16 volumes declined in some control units. Background recruitment rates were thus not sufficient to 17 explain SCE treatment effects. Analyses of downed log decay class distributions in SCE units 18 showed, as expected, significant (P < 0.05) shifts towards less decayed logs due large inputs of 19 felled trees (Figure 4). 20 21 Projected Stand Development 16 Keeton 17 1 2 Basal area and aboveground biomass development Simulation projections showed little sensitivity to site index. For example, holding site 3 index constant changed CBAI after 50 years by only 1.2 m2/ha on average. Results reported here 4 control for site index. In comparison to NE-TWIGS, FVS (northeastern variant) tended to 5 produce more conservative estimates of growth increment and large tree recruitment due to the 6 differences in model operation previously mentioned. 7 Simulations in NE-TWIGS suggest that live basal area under SCE will, on average, 8 approach 34 m2/ha after 50 years of development (Figure 5, top). This is 24 % (or 8 m2/ha) 9 higher than the mean for the conventional uneven-aged units. Projected basal area for SCE also 10 exceeds the mean predicted for control units by 13% (or 4.5 m2/ha). Conventional units were 11 projected to have basal areas still 12 % (or 3.6 m2/ha) below the control units after 50 years of 12 development. Projected basal area was more variable (Figure 5, top) among SCE units (+/- 2.9 13 m2/ha) compared to conventional units (+/- 0.6 m2/ha). Stand development projections differed 14 slightly depending on choice of model. While the magnitude of difference among treatments 15 was consistent in FVS projections, CBAI and end-of-run basal area were 12-18% lower, except 16 for control units in which CBAI was flat and thus consistent under both models. 17 The projections showed no significant differences in absolute growth rates between 18 treatment scenarios, as measured by CBAI and evaluated using goodness of fit tests (Dmax = 19 0.007, critical value of D0.05 = 0.307). When projected development with treatment is 20 normalized, to reflect the amount of development (specific to each unit) that would have been 21 expected with no treatment, the simulations indicate that CBAI will be slightly faster under 22 conventional systems (Figure 5, bottom). However, this difference was not statistically 23 significant (Dmax = 0.005, critical value of D0.05 = 0.183). Both SCE (P < 0.05) and conventional 17 Keeton 18 1 treatments (P < 0.01) are projected to significantly accelerate tree growth rates above that 2 expected with no treatment based on both NE-TWIGS and FVS modeling. Projected CBAI after 3 50 years was 2.7 m2/ha (no treatment) compared to 6.4 m2/ha (with treatment), on average, in 4 SCE units. For conventional units projected CBAI increased from 0.34 m2/ha (no treatment) to 5 5.3 m2/ha (with treatment). Therefore, differences in basal area development are largely 6 attributable to treatment effects on residual basal. Both conventional and SCE treatments 7 accelerate basal area increment, but SCE leaves more residual basal area and thus ultimately 8 results in higher basal areas compared to conventional uneven-aged treatments. 9 Neither SCE nor conventional treatments resulted in projected basal areas that exceeded 10 those projected for the corresponding units under a “no treatment” scenario. However, basal area 11 in SCE units recovered to within 89% of the no-treatment scenario, whereas conventional units 12 recovered to within 77% on average. This difference was statistically significant (P = 0.025). 13 Aboveground biomass is predicted to increase over the next 50 years in all of the 14 experimental units, including controls, based on the FVS simulations and NED-2 biomass 15 calculations. Living biomass increases 70.5, 66.1, and 73.6% on average for SCE, uneven-aged, 16 and control units respectively under a “no treatment” scenario. It increases 90.7 and 105.2% 17 following SCE and uneven-aged treatment, but starts from a post-harvest level that is 18.3 and 18 35.9% lower than pre-treatment respectively. Consequently, neither treatments achieve the 19 biomass they would have without treatment. However, after 50 years SCE results in 20 aboveground biomass that is 91.4% of that projected under no treatment, while the conventional 21 treatments result in 79.1% of the no treatment potential. Biomass production annual increment is 22 accelerated 5.1% for SCE and 1.9% for conventional treatments based on normalizing treatment 23 against no treatment scenarios. 18 Keeton 19 1 2 3 Large tree recruitment SCE is projected to enhance rates of large tree recruitment over no treatment scenarios. 4 Based FVS projections, in SCE units there will be an average of 5 more large trees (> 50 cm 5 dbh) per ha than there would have been without treatment after 50 years. There will be 10 fewer 6 large trees per ha on average in the conventional units than would have developed in the absence 7 of timber harvesting. SCE results in an increase of 4 very large trees (> 60 cm dbh), while 8 conventional treatments produce 3 fewer very large trees than would have been recruited without 9 treatment. 10 11 12 Projected diameter and basal area distributions Projections suggest that a rotated sigmoid diameter distribution will be sustained over 50 13 years in SCE units (Figure 6). Projected and target (i.e. desired future) rotated sigmoid 14 distributions were not significantly different (Dmax = 0.058, critical value of D0.05 = 0.430). This 15 held as long as densities in smallest two diameter classes (stems < 15 cm dbh) were held 16 constant. This was appropriate because both NE-TWIGS and FVS lack a seedling recruitment 17 model (there is only limited regeneration through stump spouting). Pronounced regeneration 18 deficiencies thus develop rapidly in model projections. This explains the low densities evident in 19 the smallest size classes in Figure 6. Uneven-aged units appear to maintain the negative 20 exponential distributions initially prescribed. However, they have significantly less recruitment 21 into larger size classes compared to the projected distributions for SCE (Figure 6). 22 23 Differences in projected diameter distributions and large tree recruitment explain related changes in basal area distributions. Compared to stand development under a “no treatment” 19 Keeton 20 1 scenario SCE results in significant reallocation of basal area into the largest size classes (e.g. > 2 50 cm dbh). This includes a shift of basal area into the very largest size classes (>85 cm dbh) 3 that experience no basal area recruitment under the “no treatment” scenario (Figure 7, top). The 4 uneven-aged treatments – modified to include a low q-factor and relatively high maximum 5 diameter – also resulted in some reallocation of basal to larger size classes (Figure 7, bottom). 6 However, this reallocation was substantially lower than for SCE and did not include recruitment 7 into size classes larger than the projected “no treatment” distribution. In fact, the “no treatment” 8 simulations showed basal area development into the 75-80 cm diameter class, whereas this was 9 lacking for the corresponding units subjected to uneven-aged treatments (Figure 7, bottom). 10 11 12 DISCUSSION Silvicultural techniques can be used effectively to promote development of old-growth 13 structural characteristics in northern hardwood and mixed northern hardwood-conifer forests. 14 Both the uneven-aged and SCE approaches tested maintain high levels of post-harvest structure 15 and canopy cover. However, SCE has the potential to maintain, enhance, or accelerate develop 16 of CWD, vertical differentiation of the canopy, basal area, aboveground biomass, large tree 17 recruitment, and other structural attributes to a greater degree. In addition, SCE results in a 18 rotated sigmoid diameter distribution that appears sustainable at least over 50 years, and 19 consequently reallocates growing space and aboveground structure into larger size classes. This 20 contributes to enhanced large tree structure, foliage biomass, and associated canopy complexity. 21 The higher levels of structural retention associated with SCE are indicative of lower intensity, 22 minimal impact forestry practices (McEvoy 2004). 20 Keeton 21 1 2 3 Accelerating rates of stand development Both SCE and conventional uneven-aged treatments will result in accelerated tree growth 4 rates according to simulation projections. Since the conventional treatments retained less basal 5 area, their comparatively higher projected basal area increment is consistent with previous 6 research on growth responses to stocking density (Leak et al. 1987). It is important to note, 7 however, that neither the NE-TWIGS nor the FVS model is spatially explicit. Inter-stem 8 competition and tree growth rates are simulated as a function only of tree size and total stand 9 stocking (Bush 1995), and not the spatial position of individual trees. The models do not, 10 therefore, capture the effects of crown release employed in SCE. Crown release is likely to 11 partially arrest or dampen declining growth rates in older, dominant trees, leading to rates of 12 large tree development that are 50 to 100 % faster compared to no release scenarios (Singer and 13 Lorimer 1997). Consequently spatially explicit simulation modeling, capturing the horizontally 14 complex residual pattern produced by SCE treatment, may result in different, and possibly 15 enhanced, developmental projections for SCE. Regardless, an important effect of SCE is the 16 promotion of large tree recruitment. This process is impaired under conventional treatments that 17 include maximum diameter limits and negative exponential diameter distributions that provide 18 lower large tree recruitment potential. 19 Projected basal area and aboveground biomass are higher after 50 years of development 20 under SCE (in comparison to conventional treatments) due, primarily, to elevated post-harvest 21 structural retention. Substantial increases in rates of production over that likely without 22 treatment also contribute to these changes. However, while structural development in SCE units 23 is projected to surpass controls units, none of treatments are likely to develop basal areas or 21 Keeton 22 1 aboveground biomass exceeding levels that would have accumulated without treatment. This 2 provides a strong argument for passive restoration, rather than silvicultural manipulation, as an 3 approach for ultimately developing higher levels of structure associated with these parameters. 4 However, that conclusion does not account for the accelerated rates of large tree recruitment, 5 reallocation of basal area, and associated structural complexity projected for SCE. In this 6 respect, active silvicultural manipulation may offer some advantages. 7 It is also clear that the conventional uneven-aged approaches were less effective at 8 retaining and promoting late-successional/old-growth structural development. The results do 9 show that conventional approaches can be modified to reallocate basal area to some degree and 10 provide a relatively high degree of biomass and vertical complexity. However, uneven-aged 11 practices that employ maximum diameter limits impair and, in fact, reduce large tree recruitment 12 potential based on the results. In comparison, SCE ultimately results in higher levels of 13 structural complexity across a range of parameters. Therefore, SCE offers a useful alternative 14 for landowners interested in both low-intensity harvesting and promotion of old-growth 15 characteristics. 16 Coarse woody debris, both standing and downed plays a critical role in northern- 17 hardwood systems as habitat and in other ecosystem processes (Tyrrell and Crow 1994a, Hunter 18 1999). SCE resulted in significantly elevated CWD densities and volumes. However, it remains 19 uncertain whether this effect will persist until natural recruitment rates increase, or, alternatively, 20 whether CWD enhancement in mature stands has only transient or short-term management 21 applications. While long-term CWD persistence and accumulation dynamics are uncertain, it is 22 likely than decay class distributions will again shift over time towards better-decayed material. 23 This would render silviculturally enhanced CWD more biologically available in habitat and 22 Keeton 23 1 nutrient processes in the future (Gore and Patterson 1985, Tyrrell and Crow 1994a, Goodburn 2 and Lorimer 1998). 3 4 5 Applications for Structural Complexity Enhancement SCE may have a variety of useful applications, ranging from old-growth restoration, to 6 riparian management, to low-intensity timber management and late-successional wildlife habitat 7 enhancement (Table 2). These will depend greatly on economic feasibility under a variety of site 8 quality, product, and market conditions (Niese and Strong 1992), which is the subject of an on- 9 going investigation (Keeton and Troy 2005). Depending on the specific application, SCE could 10 be employed to varying degrees or to a more limited extent. For instance, where timber 11 production is emphasized, a subset of SCE elements might be used. Other elements might be 12 avoided or employed at a lesser intensity. In this scenario, multiple stand entries would be 13 expected, but late-successional structural development would be lower compared to full SCE 14 implementation. Such an approach, however, would allow forest managers to build some degree 15 of old-growth associated structure into actively managed stands, while maintaining greater 16 timber management flexibility. 17 Intermediate applications of SCE could be employed where low-intensity, ecologically 18 sensitive management is required within riparian areas. Managing for forest structural 19 complexity along freshwater streams would be useful where the associated influences on in- 20 stream aquatic habitat conditions are desired (Keeton et al. 2005). Managers of protected areas, 21 conversely, might choose to employ SCE more fully as a restorative approach. They might enter 22 a stand once or twice, thereafter allowing accelerated successional processes to take over. The 23 degree of implementation and the number of stand entries will thus vary by application (Table 2). 24 23 Keeton 24 1 2 Silvicultural flexibility in managing stand structure Forest managers have the flexibility to manage for a wide range of structural 3 characteristics and associated ecosystem functions in northern-hardwood conifer systems. Late- 4 successional/old-growth characteristics can be promoted through a variety of silvicultural 5 approaches, including those investigated in this and other studies (e.g. Singer and Lorimer 1997). 6 Uneven-aged systems provide some, but not all, late-successional structural characteristics or 7 provide them to a more limited extent based on the results reported here. Residual basal area, 8 maximum diameter, and q-factor can be modified singly or collectively, resulting in greater 9 structural retention. However, maximum diameter limits significantly retard the potential for 10 large tree (live and dead) recruitment based on the results. Stand development is thus 11 continuously truncated by multiple uneven-aged cutting entries. 12 Cutting to alternative diameter distributions provides another way to manipulate stand 13 structure for a range of objectives, including old-growth structural development. The results 14 show that SCE’s variable q-factor marking guide can be used to successfully achieve a rotated 15 sigmoid diameter distribution. In addition, the results indicate that this distribution is sustainable 16 in terms of growth and recruitment across size classes. Density-dependent mortality in middle 17 size classes does not appear to self-thin a stand to a negative exponential distribution, at least 18 over the time frame investigated in this study. This may due to reduced (or non-constant) 19 mortality rates in these size classes (O’Hara 1998, Goodburn and Lorimer 1999). For 20 silviculturalists this offers the flexibility to manage for stand structures in which basal area 21 distributions are shifted towards medium and larger size classes. They would also maintain 22 sufficient densities of smaller stems to ensure recruitment across all size classes. This would 23 provide benefits associated with larger dimension timber, large tree habitat functions, and carbon 24 Keeton 25 1 storage associated with greater biomass. Unconventional prescriptive diameter distributions, 2 such as the rotated sigmoid, combined with higher levels of residual basal area, very large (or no) 3 maximum diameters, and crown release are an effective alternative for retaining high levels of 4 post-harvest structure and for promoting accelerated stand development. 5 6 7 CONCLUSION Foresters can manage for late-successional/old-growth structure where desired in 8 northern hardwood-conifer ecosystems. Active silvicultural manipulations as well as passive 9 approaches provide alternatives for achieving this objective. Restorative, low-intensity 10 approaches will not necessarily replace more traditional approaches. Rather, they provide 11 another tool for our silvicultural toolbag. Managing for late-successional forest characteristics 12 can be actively employed as an element of structure-based forestry and comprehensive 13 ecosystem management. 14 15 ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS 16 This research was supported by grants from the USDA CSREES National Research Initiative, 17 the Vermont Monitoring Cooperative, the Northeastern States Research Cooperative, and the 18 USDA McIntire-Stennis Forest Research Program. Assistance with NED software was provided 19 by Dr. Mark Twery, USDA Forest Service, Northeastern Research Station. Computer 20 administration support was provided by Jonathan Trigaux, University of Vermont. The author is 21 grateful to Donald R. Tobi, University of Vermont Entomology Research Laboratory, for 22 assistance throughout this project. 23 25 Keeton 26 1 LITERATURE CITED 2 Berg, D.R. 1995. Riparian silvicultural system design and assessment in the Pacific Northwest Cascade 3 4 Mountains, USA. Ecological Applications 5:87-96. Beese, W.J., B.G. Dunsworth, and N.J. Smith. 2005. Variable-retention adaptive management experiments: 5 testing new approaches for managing British Columbia’s coastal forests. Page 55-64 in: C.E. Peterson 6 and D.A. Maguire (eds.). Balancing ecosystem values: innovative experiments for sustainable forestry. 7 General Technical Report PNW-GTR-635. USDA Forest Service, Pacific Northwest Research Station, 8 Portland, OR. 389 pp. 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 Bush, R.R. 1995. Northeastern TWIGS variant of the Forest Vegetation Simulator. Forest Management Service Center. Available online at http:/ftp.fs.fed.us/pub/fmsc/fvs/doc/overviews/nevar.txt Cogbill, C.V. 2000. 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Forest Ecology and 5 Management 155:357-367. 6 7 8 9 10 11 Singer, M.T. and C.G. Lorimer. 1997. Crown release as a potential old-growth restoration approach in northern hardwoods. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 27:1222-1232. Stehman, S.V. and W.S. Overton. 1996. Spatial sampling. Pages 17-30 in: S.L. Arlinghaus (ed.). Practical Handbook of Spatial Statistics. CRC Press, Boca Raton, FL. 307 pp. Swanson, F.J. and J.F. Franklin. 1992. New forestry principles from ecosystem analysis of Pacific Northwest forests. Ecological Applications 2:262-274. 12 Trombulak, S.C. 1996. The restoration of old-growth: why and how. Pages 305-320 in: M.B.Davis. (ed.). 13 Eastern Old-Growth Forests: Prospects for Rediscovery and Recovery. Island Press, Washington, D.C. 14 383 pp. 15 Twery, M.J., P.D. Knopp, S.A. Thomasma, H. M. Rauscher, D.E. Nute, W.D. Potter, F. Maier, J. Wang, M. 16 Dass, H. Uchiyama, A. Glende, and R.E. Hoffman. 2005. NED-2: A decision support system for 17 integrated forest ecosystem management. Computers and Electronics in Agriculture 49: 24-43. 18 Tyrrell, L.E. and T.R. Crow. 1994a. Dynamics of dead wood in old-growth hemlock-hardwood forests of 19 northern Wisconsin and northern Michigan. Canadian Journal of Forest Research 24:1672-1683. 20 Tyrrell, L.E. and T.R. Crow. 1994b. Structural characteristics of old-growth hemlock-hardwood forests in 21 22 23 24 relation to stand age. Ecology 75:370-386. Woods, K.D. and C.V. Cogbill. 1994. Upland old-growth forests of Adirondack Park, New York, USA. Natural Areas Journal 14:241-257. Ziegler, S.S. 2000. A comparison of structural characteristics between old-growth and post-fire second- 25 growth hemlock-hardwood in Adirondack Park, New York, U.S.A.. Global Ecology and 26 Biogeography 9:373-389. 31 Keeton 32 1 Table 1. Structural objectives and the corresponding silvicultural techniques used to promote those 2 attributes in Structural Complexity Enhancement. 3 Structural Objective Multi-layered canopy Elevated large snag densities Elevated downed woody debris densities and volume Variable horizontal density Re-allocation of basal area to larger diameter classes Accelerated growth in largest trees Silvicultural Technique Single tree selection using a target diameter distribution Release advanced regeneration Establish new cohort Girdling of selected medium to large sized, low vigor trees Felling and leaving, or Pulling over and leaving Harvest trees clustered around “release trees” Variable density marking Rotated sigmoid diameter distribution High target basal area Maximum target tree size set at 90 cm dbh Full and partial crown release of largest, healthiest trees 4 5 6 Table 2. Potential applications of Structural Complexity Enhancement as an approach for 7 incorporating old-growth structure into managed forests. 8 9 Application # Entries Late-Successional Structural Development Old-growth promotion One or possibly two entries High Riparian management Single or multiple Moderate to high Timber emphasis Multiple Low to moderate 10 11 32 Keeton 33 1 List of Figures 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 Figure 1. Output of the Stand Visualization System (SVS) contrasting a single-tree selection unit (above) and a Structural Complexity Enhancement (SCE) unit (below) at the Mount Mansfield study area. Shown are images of pre- and post-harvest stand structure for 1 ha. blocks. Shaded circles represent tree crowns (with species-specific coloration) seen from a simulated aerial view. Note the high degree of post-harvest structure (e.g. basal area and stem density), canopy closure, vertical complexity, and downed log densities in the SCE unit. Note the similar, though lower, degree of structural retention in the single-tree selection unit. Figure 2. Pre-harvest, post-harvest, and target diameter distributions for the four SCE units, two at Mt. Mansfield (above) and two at the University of Vermont’s Jericho Research Forest (below). Log transformed post-harvest and target distributions are compared (top portion of graphs) using the Kolmogorov-Smirnov two-sample goodness of fit test. There were no statistically significant differences. Thus, the post-harvest distributions achieved the target rotated sigmoid distribution. Figure 3. Downed log response to treatments. Shown are percent change from pre-harvest levels and absolute change in volume (m3/ha). Error bars are ±1 standard error of the mean. Figure 4. Mean pre and post-treatment downed log (> 10 cm) decay class distributions for SCE units. Cumulative frequency distributions were significantly different based on Kolmogorov-Smirnov twosample goodness of fit tests. Decay class (DC) 1 is least decomposed while DC 5 is most decomposed. Note the large input of fresh logs (DC 1) following treatment. Figure 5. Results of NE-TWIGS stand development modeling. Shown are 50 year projections of posttreatment cumulative basal area (live tree) production (top) and normalized scenarios (post-harvest minus pre-harvest cumulative basal area increment, bottom). Error bars are ±1 standard error of the mean. Figure 6. Projected diameter distributions for 50 years into the future based on FVS simulations. Mean distributions developed after structural complexity enhancement (SCE) and conventional uneven-aged treatments are compared against the target or desired future condition prescribed for SCE. Note the close fit with the target shown by SCE, and the disparity evident for the conventional treatment. Figure 7. Projected live tree basal area distributions based on FVS simulations of stand development. Mean distributions are shown for SCE units (top) and conventional uneven-aged units (bottom) projected both with and without treatment. Error bars are ±1 standard error of the mean. 33 Keeton 34 1 Figure 1 2 3 Single-Tree Selection Unit 4 5 Post-Harvest Pre-Harvest 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Structural Complexity Enhancement Unit Pre-Harvest Post-Harvest 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 34 Keeton 35 1 Figure 2 3 Pre Harvest Post Harvest Target Log of Target Log of Post-harvest (Smoothed) Log of Post Harvest 3 400 5 Trees per Hectare 350 4 2.5 2 300 Dmax = 0.036 250 Dcrit, 0.05 = 0.427 200 No Sign. Diff. 1.5 1 150 6 600 3 Pre Harvest Post Harvest Target Log of Target Log of Post-harvest (Smoothed) Log of Post Harvest 500 Trees per Hectare 450 2.5 400 2 Dmax = 0.039 300 1.5 Dcrit, 0.05 = 0.425 No Sign. Diff. 200 1 100 0.5 Log of Trees per Hectare 500 Log of Trees per Hectare 2 100 0.5 50 7 0 0 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 0 0 90 10 15 20 25 30 35 Diameter Class (cm) 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 Diameter Class (cm) 8 3 Pre Harvest Post Harvest Target Log of Target Log of Post-harvest (Smoothed) Log of Post Harvest 11 12 300 2 D max = 0.022 250 D crit, 0.05 = 0.421 1.5 No Sign. Diff. 200 150 1 0.5 0 2 D max = 0.024 200 D crit, 0.05 = 0.420 1.5 No Sign. Diff. 150 1 100 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 0.5 50 0 0 10 14 250 2.5 100 50 13 3 Pre Harvest Post Harvest Target Log of Target Log of Post-harvest (Smoothed) Log of Post Harvest 300 2.5 Trees per Hectare 10 Trees per Hectare 350 Log of Trees per Hectare 400 9 350 0 10 90 Diameter Class (cm) 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Diameter Class (cm) 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 35 65 70 75 80 85 90 Log of Trees per Hectare 450 Keeton 36 1 2 Figure 3 3 4 5 6 7 180 8 160 9 11 12 13 140 3 Percent or Volume (m /ha) 10 120 100 ANOVA: P = 0.002 Bonferroni Multiple Comparisons: SCE ¹Control (P < 0.05) SCE ¹. Uneven-aged (P < 0.05) Uneven-aged ¹Control (P > 0.05) 80 60 14 40 15 20 16 0 17 Percent Change Volume Increase Controls Conventional Uneven-Aged 18 36 Structural Complexity Enhancement Keeton 37 1 2 Figure 4 3 4 30 D max = 0.301 6 25 3 0.9 D crit, 0.05 = 0.255 0.8 P < 0.05 Downed Log Volume (m /ha) 7 1 0.7 20 0.6 15 0.5 0.4 SCE Pre-harvest 10 0.3 SCE Post-harvest 5 0.2 Pre-harvest Cumulative 0.1 Post-harvest Cumulative 0 0 1 2 3 Decay Class 37 4 5 Cumulative Frequency 5 Keeton 38 1 Figure 5 2 40 35 2 4 Cumulative Basal Area Increment (m /ha) 3 5 6 7 8 9 30 25 Structural Complexity Enhancement 20 10 Conventional Uneven-Aged Control Units 11 15 0 5 10 15 12 20 25 30 Projected Years 35 40 45 50 35 40 45 50 6 Structural Complexity Enhancement 15 16 17 18 2 14 Cumulative Basal Area Increment (m /ha) 13 Conventional Uneven-aged 5 4 3 2 1 19 0 20 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 Projected Years 21 22 23 24 38 Keeton 39 1 Figure 6 2 70 3 4 60 Target Rotated Sigmoid Uneven-aged Treatments (Projected) SCE Treatments (Projected) 5 Density (stems/ha.) 50 40 30 20 10 0 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Diameter Class (cm) 39 Keeton 40 1 Figure 7 2 3 4 14 5 No Treatment (Year 50) SCE Treatment (Year 50) Percent Basal Area 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Diameter Class (cm) 14 No Treatment (Year 50) Uneven-aged Treatment (Year 50) Percent Basal Area 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 Diameter Class (cm) 40