The fossil record: trends and rates - Chapter 4 Phylogeny and the fossil record • Strong correspondence between phylogenetic branching order and order of appearance in the fossil record Evolutionary trends • Cope's rule states that evolution tends to increase body size over geological time in a lineage of populations Horse size increased steadily Some lineages undergo reversal Dollo’s Law • Dollo's Law is also known as the Law of Irreversible Evolution • Dollo essentially states that organisms cannot re-evolve along lost pathways, but must find alternative routes (because the same fortuitous train of mutational events, being totally random, will never repeat) Seemingly irreversible characters may carry a burden • Burden is a measure of the degree of systemic integration of specific characters within the developmental process • The more integrated a character is within development, the higher its burden and the more stable the character Gaps in the fossil record • Most paleontologists ascribe the lack of transitional forms showing gradualism to gaps in the fossil record • Eldredge and Gould proposed a controversial explanation called punctuated equilibrium – Stasis is the real pattern in the fossil record and that most morphological change occurs during speciation Punctuated equilibrium • Niles Eldredge and Stephen Jay Gould (1972) hypothesized that species remained stable for many millions of years before the sudden appearance of new species in a very short time and become stable again for another long period before another change • In contrast to Darwin’s gradualism 3 components to punctuated equilibrium • Most phenotypic characters change little over extended spans of geological change (equilibrium, or stasis) • When phenotypic change occurs, it moves rapidly from one static state to another • Rapid change occurs during speciation events Test of punctuated equilibrium • Is stasis & punctuation the most common pattern in the fossil record? Problem: Sampling interval • Widely-spaced sampling intervals makes change look punctuational • Testing pattern requires finely-spaced samples • Sticklebacks: Gasterosteus doryssus Strata laid down annually for 110,000 yrs • Sampled at 5000 yr intervals. Pelvic structure ranges from fully developed to vestigial Note: If Bell had sampled less often (20,000 yrs), change would appear more abrupt Phyletic gradualism is common Testing punctuated equilibrium • Demonstrating stasis in bryozoans How common is PE? • Erwin and Anstey (1995) reviewed 58 studies to test for PE – “Evidence overwhelmingly supports that speciation is sometimes gradual and sometimes punctuated, and that no one mode characterizes this very complicated process in the history of life.” – 25% show BOTH gradualism and stasis Punctuated equilibrium • 3. New morphology does not evolve except when a small population becomes a new, reproductively isolated species • BUT: Microevolutionary studies show that morphology can evolve rapidly without speciation Punctuated gradualism • Change happens, but not necessarily speciation Rates of evolution • Rates vary with lineage, characters and over time • Evolutionary rates are proportional rather than absolute • Evolutionary rates are slow on average Darwin • Change by a factor of 2.718 per million years Haldane • Number of standard deviations by which a character mean changes per generation