Recommendations with respect to the impact of identified problems with the measurement of carbonate system parameters on the UK-OA (Ocean Acidification) research programme Cause for concern Increased inputs of CO2 to the atmosphere result in increased in the amounts of CO2 dissolved in seawater. CO2 reacts with seawater releasing hydrogen ions. The water is more acidic and the concentration of carbonate ions is decreased [1]. Consequently solid calcium carbonate (shells) become more soluble [2] and the balances of other biogeochemical processes are shifted. Much research into ocean acidification aims to predict shifts in biogeochemical processes and organism function. A particular concern is damage to organisms with shells formed of calcium carbonate. The concentration of carbonate in solution needs to be accurately determined. Concerns have been raised that some methods used to do this give disparate results [3]. Desk study evidence Carbonate ion concentration cannot be measured directly. Several carbonate system components (including carbonate ion concentration) have to be calculated from measurements of any two of the four directly measurable carbonate system quantities: total alkalinity (TA), total dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC), partial pressure of carbon dioxide in solution (pCO2) and hydrogen ion (as pH). The calculations use well established chemical equilibrium data. TA and DIC can potentially be measured accurately and precisely in a range of different water sample types and sample sizes. pCO2 can be measured accurately and precisely at sea using underway monitoring systems but an accepted system for smaller scale laboratory measurements is lacking. New direct measurements of pH are potentially more reliable than older data because suitable certified reference solutions are now available to control the accuracy of measurements. [4] Calculations of the carbonate system assume that carbonate alkalinity is a known fraction of the measured TA [3], this may not be true in some waters relevant to the study of ocean acidification. Organic alkalinity – organic matter that reacts with the acid used in the measurement of alkalinity by titration - is not accounted for in the calculations. Otherwise no problems exist with the choice of software package for the calculation of carbonate system variables. They produce near-identical results when given the same input data to calculate the rest of the carbonate system. Numerically different sets of ‘constants’ for use in these calculations have been developed. Discrepancies in the output produced when different sets of constants are used increases as the pCO2 of the system increases. At a future level of 1000 µatm [5], the maximum calculated discrepancy is 5 %. Deviations of up to 25 % have been reported between direct measurements of pCO2 and calculations of pCO2 based on measured values of TA and DIC. The quality of the measurements on which this claim was based was questioned in peer reviews of the work. Evidence is emerging that in experimental systems and coastal waters, inclusion of organic alkalinity in the measured total alkalinity can produce large (10s of %) discrepancies in calculated values of pH, carbonate ion concentration and pCO2 when calculated from measurements of TA and DIC. As far as is currently known, errors are only significant in artificially manipulated waters (e.g. culture experiments, tank experiments and mesocosms) and inshore waters [6]. The choice of which 2 parameters to measure critically determines the accuracy of the calculated result. The error in estimation of other carbonate system components resulting from the presence of organic alkalinity in the measured TA is most significant when it is paired with DIC. This is shown graphically in the full report. When one of the two measured parameters is pH, it is primarily the accuracy of the pH measurement that determines the accuracy of calculations of other parameters. Impact on UKOARP and related studies Monitoring to be carried out in Area A of the UKOARP is concerned with open sea and ocean waters, where these concerns have potentially little impact. Monitoring carried out in the DEFRA-pH project does include waters in which the potential problem has been identified. UKOARP cruises (e.g. Area B) should look to over-determine the carbonate chemistry (at least 3 parameters measured) when not in open ocean waters. Many of the studies in UKOARP are based on culture experiments. Measurements of TA in these systems are likely to be effected by the presence of dissolved organic matter. The plan was for the UKOARP Analysis Service to determine the carbonate system by measurements of TA and DIC. Where organic alkalinity is significant this approach will lead to inaccuracies. Recommendations UKOARP The community working in OA research has to be made aware of the potential errors in the measurement of TA identified in recent research. All work supported by UKOARP must provide an assessment of error in the data they report for the determination of pCO2 and pH in their systems. Established best practice for measurements should be followed [7,8]. Meta-data describing the details of the experiments, analytical methods and their quality should accompany all data transferred into databases or published reports and papers. A template for doing this is provided in the main report. The measurements made in DEFRApH of TA, DIC and pCO2 need to be rigorously compared to determine if any deviations are consistent with an error induced by the presence of organic alkalinity in the samples. The UKOARP Analytical Service needs to measure a third parameter (probably pH), if the accuracy of carbonate system determinations is to be ensured. Wider Recommendations A cause for concern has been raised over uncertainty in the calculation of carbonate system variables particularly under future conditions. A possible cause for the problem has been identified, however the evidence base is small therefore supporting studies are required. The experiments carried out by Hoppe et al [9] laboratories using agreed “best practice” methods should be repeated in other [7] . This would determine if indeed the currently used equations for calculations of carbonate system variables are not appropriate for use at artificially high concentrations of CO2. The limited studies that have identified the presence of titrate-able organic matter [10] should be repeated in a wider range of waters to determine in exactly which waters the presence of organic matter contributes to the measured value of total alkalinity. Measurements of alkalinity have been widely used because certified reference solutions were available to assess the accuracy of the measurements and high precision measurements can be made relatively easily. Reference solutions have recently become available for use in the direct measurement of pH. Operating procedures should be developed to assist the wider community to make high quality measurements of pH [4] . This will make it easier to cross check analyses and calculations of concentrations of carbonate system components. Development of techniques to measure pH accurately, reliably and cheaply would greatly facilitate OA research. Footnotes and supporting information [1] Increased inputs of CO2 to the atmosphere result in an increase in the amount of CO2 dissolving in seawater. What happens next is governed by series of chemical equilibrium reacts that readjust the composition of seawater at the ionic level to take account of the newly introduced CO2. The concentration of CO2 - gas dissolved is the water increased and the CO2 reacts with the water to form carbonic acid. This carbonic acid in turn rapidly dissociates into its component ions H+ (hydrogen ions), HCO3- (bicarbonate) and CO32- (carbonate) and then a slower adjustment takes with respect to solid carbonate compounds in contact with the water - in particular this will be with the shells of organisms which are formed of calcium carbonate (CaCO3). Increasing the amount of CO2 in seawater actually decreases the amount of carbonate (CO3-) in solution thereby increases the tendency for the shells of organisms to dissolve, as the system adjusts to a new equilibrium state. This is first potential problem associated with ocean acidification. The second is that water actually becomes more acidic due to the increase in hydrogen ions in the waters (acidity is measure of the quantity hydrogen ions in solution - is reported on the pH scale - the negative logarithm to base 10 of the hydrogen ion concentration so that a smaller value is equivalent to higher acidity). This change in acidity can cause shifts other chemical equilibria such as in the concentration of ammonium changing the fertility of the water. [2] To assess how increased levels of CO2 in the atmosphere will change the viability carbonate shelled organisms requires that the “saturation state” of water is known (a measure of the tendency of solid calcium carbonate (shells) to dissolve). This requires that the carbonate concentration in waters of interest is known. These measurements are usually made indirectly – by calculation following a measurement of the total alkalinity in the sample. This requires that the equations used for this calculation are accurate and applicable to all the waters of interest in studies of ocean acidification. There is considerable evidence that the equations are good in ocean waters but there is now a small amount of evidence that this might not be true in coastal waters and experimental systems containing high concentrations of organic matter and at concentrations of CO2 beyond currently normal ranges. [3] Measurement and calculation: Concentrations of components carbonate system are either measured directly or calculated from measurements of two of the four most easily determined measures of the system. The choice of measurement pair critically determines the accuracy of the calculated result. See report sections 4 and 5 and Zeebe, R. E. and Wolf-Gladrow, D. A.:2001 CO2 in Seawater: Equilibrium, Kinetics, Isotopes, Elsevier Science, Amsterdam, Netherlands. [4] To assist with the development of high quality pH measurements outside the core community of carbonate chemists a more closely specified standard operating procedure (SOP) than the current CO2-SOP-6a (Dickson et al., 2007) for the electrode based measurements of pH is recommended – this would be based on experience already available in the community on the most appropriate pH electrodes and temperature sensors to use and the appropriate design of a measurement cell. Development of instruments for the automated colorimetric determination of pH should be encouraged as these offer the possibility of making high precision measurements (down to < 0.001 pH unit) with small (< 5 ml) volumes of sample). [5] A worst case scenario for increased concentrations of CO2 will occur by 2010 (http://www.ipcc-data.org/ddc_co2.html) [6] The table below illustrates the propagation of the error to estimations pCO2 and pH from the potential errors in measured TA that have been identified. In these calculations the other variable in the calculation DIC, pCO2 and pH was assumed to be without error. The results here should be compared to the error maps in section 4 of the main report. Reported errors in measurements of TA and the propagated errors in calculated values of other carbonate system variables - pCO2 and pH around pCO2 levels of 380 and 1000 μatm. Source Report of error Total TA C µM/l error µM/l pCO2 (DIC) pCO2 pH 380/1000 (pH) (pCO2) decrease increase increase μatm μatm PIC Shelf sea [1] 8 <16 26/101 3/7 0.003/0.003 Plankton Cultures [2] ~ 200 <5 9/33 1/2 0.001/0.001 Bacteria Coastal [2] <30 <6 10/40 1/3 0.001/0.001 DOC Cultures [3] 80 80 107/386 14/36 0.013/0.014 DOC Cultures [4] <800 338/927 136/351 0.112/0.120 DOC Coastal [4] <200 199/646 34/88 0.032/0.034 DOC Mesocosm [5] 20 32/124 3/9 0.003/0.003 TA - total alkalinity; DIC - total dissolved inorganic carbon, PIC - particulate inorganic carbon; DOC dissolved organic carbon 380/1000 calculations performed to give final pCO2 concentrations of 380 amd 1000 ppm Errors on direct measurements TA ± 2, DIC ± 2, pCO2 ± 2, pH ± 0.005 and annual rate of increase in pCO2 (+2 pH -0.002) [1] Harlay, J., A.V. Borges, C. Van Der Zee, B. Delille, R.H.M. Godoi, L.-S. Schiettecatte, N. Roevros, K. Aerts, P.-E. Lapernat, L. Rebreanu, S. Groom, M.-H. Daro, R. Van Grieken, L. Chou (2010) Biogeochemical study of a coccolithophore bloom in the northern Bay of Biscay (NE Atlantic Ocean) in June 2004. Progress in Oceanography 86, 317-336. [2] Kim, H. C., K. Lee, and W. Y. Choi (2006), Contribution of phytoplankton and bacterial cells to the measured alkalinity of seawater, Limnol. Oceanogr., 51, 331–338. [3]Kim, H.-C., and K. Lee , 2009. Significant contribution of dissolved organic matter to seawater alkalinity, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20603, doi:10.1029/2009GL040271. [4] Hernandez-Ayon, J. M., Zirino, A., Dickson, A. G., Camiro-Vargas, T., and Valenzuela-Espinoza, E., 2007. Estimating the contribution of organic bases from microalgae to the titration alkalinity in coastal seawaters. Limnology and Oceanography: Methods 5, 225-232. Hernández-Ayón, J. M., Belli, S. L., and Zirino, A., 1999. pH, alkalinity and total CO2 in coastal seawater by potentiometric titration with a difference derivative readout. Analytica Chimica Acta 394, 101-108. [5] Muller, F. L. L. and Bleie, B., 2008. Estimating the organic acid contribution to coastal seawater alkalinity by potentiometric titrations in a closed cell. Analytica Chimica Acta 619, 183-191. [7] Best practice is well documented by the EPOCA and IOCCP projects - Gattuso, J.P., Lee, K., Rost, B., and Schulz, K.: 2010. Approaches and tools to manipulate the carbonate chemistry, Guide for Best Practices in Ocean Acidification Research and Data 10 Reporting, Office for Official Publications of the European Union, Luxembourg. Dickson, A. G., Sabine, C. L., and Christian, J. R.: 2007. Guide to best practices for ocean CO2 measurements, PICES Special Publication, 3, Sidney, Canada, 2007. In addition to existing best practice – developments are needed appropriate to working in experimental systems:- (1) A SOP appropriate to sampling experimental systems is needed; this would include recommendations on the collection of small volume samples (< 100 ml) and filtering of samples. Research is needed into reliable and easy to use (by non expert) storage containers particularly for the storage of small samples (10 to 100 ml). (2) Research is needed to find a “safe” efficient biocide to replace the use of mercuric chloride. Note: The testing of biocides and containers must be done in ways that the results are statistically valid. [8] Specific recommendations for ensuring the quality of measurements of total alkalinity are given in section 3.5 of the main report. [9] Hoppe, C. J. M., G. Langer, S. D. Rokitta, D. A. Wolf-Gladrow, and B. Rost, 2010. On CO2 perturbation experiments: over-determination of carbonate chemistry reveals inconsistencies. Biogeosciences Discuss., 7, 1707–1726. [10] Kim, H.-C., and K. Lee , 2009. Significant contribution of dissolved organic matter to seawater alkalinity, Geophys. Res. Lett., 36, L20603, doi:10.1029/2009GL040271. Hernandez-Ayon, J. M., Zirino, A., Dickson, A. G., Camiro-Vargas, T., and ValenzuelaEspinoza, E., 2007. Estimating the contribution of organic bases from microalgae to the titration alkalinity in coastal seawaters. Limnology and Oceanography: Methods 5, 225-232 Muller, F. L. L. and Bleie, B., 2008. Estimating the organic acid contribution to coastal seawater alkalinity by potentiometric titrations in a closed cell. Analytica Chimica Acta 619, 183-191.