Field:Earth Science/Geoscience/Environment Session Topic: CO2 and Climate change: past – present – future Speaker: Atsushi Suzuki , National Institute of Advanced Industrial Science and Technology (AIST) Title: Coral reefs and climate change 1. Introduction The decade of the 1990s was very likely the warmest of the second millennium. The 1990s was also characterized by one of the strongest El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO) events of the twentieth century, which occurred in 1997–1998 and was followed by worldwide mass coral bleaching. The IPCC report dared to conclude that most of the warming observed over the last 50 years can be attributed to human activities (IPCC, 2001). A very wide range of physical and biological indicators was listed in the report, together with key observed changes attributable to anthropogenic climate perturbations, including a global rise in mean surface temperature, increased El Niño frequency, and frequent coral bleaching. In this regard, sea-surface temperature (SST) is an important indicator of climate change, because the global mean surface temperature is defined as the area-weighted mean of land- and sea-surface temperatures. All three of these indicators, SST rise, El Niño frequency, and coral bleaching, are detectable by analysis of coral skeletal records (Fig. 1). Fig. 1 X-ray photo of Porites sp. coral with annual density bands. 2. Global warming reconstructed by coral skeletal records Corals offer rich archives of past climatic variability in tropical and subtropical regions, where instrumental records are limited. The oxygen isotopic ratio (18O/16O) of the coral skeleton (18Oc) is a function of both SST and the oxygen isotopic composition of seawater (18Ow), which is related to salinity (Fig. 2A). In oceanic settings where 18Ow is constant, coral 18Oc records SST variability. High-resolution 18O records from long-lived Porites spp. corals collected in the northwestern Pacific have been used successfully to monitor recurrent El Niño events and a long-term rise in SST (Fig. 2B). In the relatively high-latitude region of the NW Pacific, coral 18Oc records are a good proxy for SST because of the limited influence from 18O-depleted rainfall. A century-long coral 18Oc record from Ishigaki Island clearly indicates decreasing trend of about 0.2‰, probably corresponding to about 1.5°C SST increase in the area. Fig. 2 Coral 18O thermometry (A) and coral 18O records from the NW Pacific(B). 3. Coral mass bleaching event in 1997-1998 Coral bleaching has been described in the literature since the beginning of the twentieth century. Since the late 1970s, however, there have been numerous reports of mass bleaching affecting coral reefs in the Caribbean and elsewhere in the tropics. These recurrent coral-bleaching events may be a response to global warming. High SST destroys the symbiotic relationship between the host corals and zooxanthellae (symbiotic algae). During 1997–1998, in particular, severe coral bleaching was reported from many coral reefs in the tropical regions of the world. This global-scale coral-bleaching event coincided with strong El Niño event and the warmest global temperatures on record. Thermal stress and bleaching of corals are reported to reduce calcification and decrease skeletal extension Fig. 3 Bleached coral (right) in the rates. Our research group also identified a Great Barrier Reef (courtesy of K. distinct reduction in skeletal growth of a Porites Fabricius) coral during the 1997–1998 mass bleaching event in the Ryukyu Islands. 4. Summary Our results are intriguing enough to warrant further data acquisition and attempts at quantitative time-series analysis of coral records. Especially, high-resolution records have potential for studies of the climate of the recent and distant past, including the middle Holocene and earlier interglacial periods, which may provide partial analogs for the future greenhouse Earth. Another recently recognized risk of coral reefs (including cold-water corals) is ocean acidification, which is caused by ocean uptake of the excess CO2 released by anthropogenic activities. Even small changes in CO2 concentrations in surface waters may have large negative impact on coral calcification. Coral skeletal records can be used for examining ocean pH histories by the analysis of boron isotope ratio, which is a new proxy for ocean pH.