An Evaluation of Soil Moisture Predictions Derived from AMSR-E using Ground Based, Airborne and Ancillary Data During SMEX 02. McCabe, M. F., Gao, H. and Wood, E. F. Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA Corresponding Author: Dr Matthew McCabe Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering Princeton University, Princeton, NJ 08544, USA +1 609 258 1551 (Phone) +1 609 258 2799 (Fax) mmccabe@princeton.edu (Email) April 30, 2004 Page 1 Abstract A land surface microwave emission model (LSMEM) is used to derive soil moisture estimates over Iowa during the SMEX 02 field campaign using brightness temperature data from the AMSR-E satellite. Spatial distributions of the near surface soil moisture are produced using the LSMEM and data from the Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS), standard soil datasets and vegetation and land surface parameters estimated through recent MODIS land surface products. In order to assess the value of soil moisture estimates from the X-band sensor on the AMSR platform, retrievals are evaluated against ground based sampling data and soil moisture predictions from an airborne polarimetric scanning radiometer (PSR) operating in the C-band. The PSR offers high resolution detail of the soil moisture distribution against which an analysis of heterogeneity at the AMSR pixel scale can be undertaken. Preliminary analysis indicates that predictions from the AMSR instrument using LSMEM are surprisingly robust, with accuracies of less than 3% vol./vol. when compared with in-situ samples. Results from the AMSR comparisons indicate that there is much potential in determining soil moisture patterns over regional scales and larger, even where vegetation may prove to be a issue. Assessments of soil moisture determined through local scale sampling with the larger scale AMSR retrievals reveals a consistent level of agreement over a wide range of hydro-meteorological conditions, offering much promise for improved land surface hydro-meteorological characterisation. Page 2 1. Introduction Soil moisture plays a critical role in agricultural, hydrological and meteorological applications and its spatial distribution exhibits a strong correlation with a number of hydro-meteorological systems. The soil moisture content assumes significant control on hydrological responses across many spatial and temporal scales, influencing runoff generation through antecedent conditions, modulating interactions between the land surface and the atmosphere and comprising a component of the many feedback systems present in the land-atmosphere interface. The distribution of soil moisture patterns throughout a catchment plays a critical role in a variety of hydrological processes. Knowledge of this state variable offers valuable insights into percolation, infiltration and runoff mechanisms and is a controlling factor in the evaporative process, reflecting the prevailing water and energy balance conditions at any particular time by influencing the relative partitioning between latent and sensible heat fluxes. Identifying the spatial distribution and temporal evolution of the soil moisture would provide greater insight into larger scale processes, and would undoubtedly see a corresponding development in the performance of modelling attempts to describe these processes. Understanding the spatial variation of soil moisture is a perplexing problem and much research has been directed towards this task (Entekhabi and Rodriguez-Iturbe, 1994; Famiglietti and Wood, 1995; Grayson and Blöschl, 2000; Western et al., 2001; Wilson et al., 2004). Accurate representation of soil moisture at the catchment scale is difficult and intensive field instrumentation is required if spatial patterns are desired (e.g. Western et al., 1999). Remote sensing offers some advantages over instrumented networks, but also suffers from issues associated with the depth of retrieval, generally claimed to be less than 5 cm of soil depth (Jackson et al., 1995), the coarse scale of Page 3 operational measurements (>25km) and in the development of robust retrieval algorithms. The issue of radio frequency interference (RFI) (Li et al., 2004) in C-band measurements and the atmospheric and vegetation influences at higher frequencies, further complicate the accurate retrieval over large areas. A number of recent studies have compared higher resolution soil moisture retrievals from airborne microwave radiometers such as the electronically scanned thinned array radiometer (ESTAR) (Jackson et al., 1995; Le Vine et al., 2001; Gao et al., 2004) and the polarimetric scanning radiometer (PSR) (Jackson et al., 2002). These sensors offer excellent detail of the surface dynamics at sub-kilometre resolutions, and offer an opportunity to examine the scaling characteristics of soil moisture (Kim and Barros, 2002). While the heterogeneous nature of soil moisture is well recognised in a theoretical sense (Entekhabi and Rodriguez-Iturbe, 1994; Grayson and Blöschl, 2000), few practical techniques exist to adequately or efficiently characterise this property at large scales. The insight that is accessible through remotes sensors should facilitate a greater understanding of the broader scale patterns available from current platforms such as AMSR (Njoku et al., 2003) and future satellite missions such as SMOS (Kerr et al., 2001) and HYDROS, but this task has been frustrated by the difficulty in deriving, and then evaluating, robust interpretive models. The launch of the Advanced Microwave Scanning Radiometer (AMSR) sensor offers an opportunity to determine global soil moisture patterns at scales suitable for inclusion in land surface and general circulation models. While there are numerous assimilation studies attending to this task (Lakshmi and Susskind, 2001; Reichle et al., 2001; Crosson et al., 2002; Walker et al., 2002; Francois et al., 2003), there is perhaps a Page 4 more pressing need for increased evaluation of the derived products to assess the worth of soil moisture information derived from this sensor. Algorithm assessment and intercomparison are required before confidence in the global products planned for development can be ascertained. A number of field experiments undertaken over the last few years (see http://hydrolab.arsusda.gov/) provide an excellent source of information with detail sufficient for product evaluation. Such multi-faceted hydrological experiments offer a level of assessment not normally available for remote sensing studies and facilitate the critical link between algorithm assessment and product development. In this paper, an evaluation of soil moisture predictions using a microwave emission model against field data collected during the SMEX 02 campaign is presented. Using information from the Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS) and ancillary data, brightness temperatures from AMSR are incorporated into an emission model (LSMEM) (Gao et al., 2004) to produce a soil moisture product at the resolution of the LDAS. A comparison with the dense network of ground based measurements and airborne information that was collected during this period is undertaken and an assessment of the derived soil moisture retrieval offered. 2. Land Surface Microwave Emission Model In the determination of soil moisture from retrieved AMSR brightness temperatures the Land Surface Microwave Emission Model (LSMEM) (Drusch et al., 2004; Gao et al., 2004) was utilised. LSMEM makes a number of important assumptions in identifying the soil moisture which have been shown to hold true over sparse vegetation (Jackson et al., 1995; Jackson et al., 1999), but which have not been rigorously tested over denser Page 5 vegetation types, characteristic of the Walnut Creek catchment in Iowa. It is generally accepted that determining the soil moisture over dense vegetation is problematic (Ferrazzoli et al., 2002; Schmugge et al., 2002) and the work presented herein represents a first attempt at retrieving soil moisture values from AMSR over this particular land surface coverage. LSMEM is based on a solution of the radiative transfer equation as derived in Kerr and Njoku (1990), describing the brightness temperature of soil covered by a layer of vegetation ( Tbv , p ) as : Tbv, p Tau at Tad Tsky at 1 p 2 * pTs TV (1 * )(1 )(1 (1 p ) ) at * * * (1) where Tau and Tad are the upward and downward atmospheric contributions from the atmosphere, Ts is the effective soil temperature, TV the vegetation temperature, Tsky the cosmic radiation, at the optical depth of the atmosphere and p the rough soil emissivity. For vegetation having cylindrical structure, * is the single scattering albedo and * is the optical depth of the vegetation (Chang et al., 1980). In the literature, vegetation single scattering albedo varies from 0.04 to 1.0 (Pampaloni and Paloscia, 1986; Ulaby et al., 1996). Since there is no robust database for this value over large area, an average of 0.07 is used in this analysis. Following the approach of Gao et al (2004), Equation 1 can be simplified to the form introduced by Jackson et al (1982): * Tb 1 ( 1)e 2 Ts (2) Page 6 Amongst the model inputs, some parameters are assigned constants values such as the sensor information (10GHz), atmospheric contribution (determined from a radiative transfer model), and the vegetation structure parameter (Jackson and Schmugge, 1991). Other parameters maintain temporal stability but have spatial variability, such as the soil texture (STATSGO), bulk density (LDAS) and the water fractional coverage (LDAS). Parameters which vary both spatially and temporally include the vegetation fractional coverage and vegetation water content, which are both monthly averages (see below), while the soil temperature and the brightness temperature are determined coincident with the overpass time. The reader is referred to Gao et al. (2004) for a more detailed description of the LSMEM model and parameter values than is offered here. One of the key differences to previous applications of the LSMEM is the accounting of the vegetation cover using a semi-empirical formulation of the Normalized Differential Vegetation Index (NDVI) (see Baret et al., 1995). Data from the MODIS NDVI vegetation product (Huete et al., 1994) was reprocessed to provide coverage at 0.125 degrees, consistent with data from the LDAS database, offering an improved assessment of vegetation cover using this approach. Given the strong influence of vegetation on the land surface dynamics in the SMEX domain, characterising the vegetation water content is a critical consideration in achieving accurate representation of the soil moisture distribution. Vegetation water content was derived from MODIS land cover classification and LAI data (Myneni et al., 2002) using general relationships between LAI, foliar and stem biomass, and relative water content estimates for foliar and stem biomass (pers. comm. Dr. J. S. Kimball, 2004). It should be noted that any seasonal variability in the vegetation water content is a product of variations in the LAI only. Page 7 Given the short time period over which the analysis was undertaken, this is not a pertinent issue to the retrievals undertaken here. LSMEM is used in an inverted numerical framework to solve for the soil moisture given knowledge of the brightness temperature. An iterative technique is employed to identify the soil moisture, starting from an initial estimate of the antecedent moisture condition – available as output from the LDAS scheme or through a priori knowledge. A brightness temperature corresponding to the given moisture and emissivity conditions can be calculated and compared to observations. Successive iterations are performed on the soil moisture until convergence with the observed horizontal brightness temperature is reached. 3. Methodology and Data Description AMSR 10GHz (X band) horizontally polarised brightness temperature records were processed from June 19 through to the end of July, encompassing the SMEX observation programme. Analysis of the available data focuses primarily on the Walnut Creek watershed due to the density of available measurements and the existence of a Soil Climate Analysis Network (SCAN) installation nearby at Ames which provides a longer term measurement of profile soil moisture over a variety of depths. The proceeding sections present an overview of the procedures employed in this analysis, and also a description of the data sources utilised to determine the near surface soil moisture predictions. a. Data Sources Page 8 The Land Data Assimilation System (LDAS) (Cosgrove et al., 2003) offers a variety of forcing data for use in land surface and other model simulations. This data system offers an excellent opportunity to explore regional scale processes, particularly where extensive ground based records do not exist. Land surface temperatures, used in Equation 2, were derived from the VIC land surface scheme (Liang et al., 1994; Liang et al., 1999) nested within LDAS, to facilitate the estimation of soil moisture. Surface temperature measurement is an integral step in predicting soil moisture value and while efforts to utilise coincident microwave based temperature measurements show promise (e.g. Owe et al., 2001), remotely sensed infrared techniques provide a more accurate source of available data at a variety of resolutions (e.g. Wan et al., 2002). The LDAS temperatures have recently been evaluated against geostationary satellite data and in-situ measurements over the ARM-CART region for a select period, with accuracies in the order of 3-4K (Mitchell et al., 2004). While this level of retrieval accuracy is not ideal for land surface flux retrieval, estimation of soil moisture is less sensitive to uncertainties in the surface temperature. In order that microwave brightness temperatures could be integrated into the existing LDAS and LSMEM framework, AMSR data were re-grided onto the regularised LDAS lattice (see Figure 1). Transferring the native 25km resolution to 0.125 degree inevitably requires some form of data interpolation. In order to retain the information content of the original data, the re-griding was undertaken in such a way as to minimise smoothing of the data. Where LDAS grid points coincide with AMSR grid centres, or within a user-defined search distance, the re-grided brightness temperature is assigned the original value. Otherwise, an average of the two nearest AMSR brightness temperatures is determined, weighting each value by the inverse of the distance between the AMSR Page 9 and LDAS grid centres (i.e. the AMSR value closest to the LDAS grid centre will have most weight). A simple nearest neighbour allocation could have been assigned, but it was thought that the scheme proposed above provides a more realistic representation while retaining the structure of the original data. Alternatively, data from the LDAS could have been scaled to the AMSR resolution. In doing this however, the information content of the high resolution vegetation data would have been degraded, as would the surface temperature information and STATSGO soil property data. The chosen techniques represent a reasonable compromise given the variety of data resolutions used in this analysis. 4. Results A number of assessments of the AMSR-LSMEM soil moisture product were undertaken against field and aerial measurements during the SMEX observation period. The following section presents the analysis to examine the retrieval accuracy and capability of AMSR to capture the local scale dynamics present in the evaluation data. a. AMSR Comparisons with Ground Based Networks 1) SOIL CLIMATE ANALYSIS NETWORK SITE The Soil Climate Analysis Network (SCAN) installation offers a continuous and consistent complimentary data set to the theta probes used during the SMEX campaign. The Ames SCAN site has been in operation since September 2001 and provides continuous hourly data measured at a number of depths by a Stevens Vitel Hydra Probe. Data from the SCAN site were extracted and compared with a collocated AMSR pixel (the same pixel used in the proceeding watershed analysis). Although clearly representing Page 10 a scale mismatch, the temporal dynamics of the in-situ measurements are expected to offer some insight into the ability of AMSR to reproduce local scale observations. Figure 2 illustrates the resulting SCAN response at 2 inches (~50mm) and the measured precipitation at the site, along with the retrieved AMSR soil moisture. As can be seen, there is excellent agreement between the data for the period June 20-July 4, with the data reflecting the drying down after the rain events earlier in the month. There is a fairly constant offset during this period of approximately 10% vol./vol., likely a result of the relative depths of measurement (AMSR provides a near-surface soil measure). The onset of the rain events on the 4, 6 and 10 July incite a marked spike in both responses, gradually drying down again towards the end of the month and resuming a positive bias. There are interesting diurnal effects evident in the AMSR response, with PM (2pm) values generally exceeding the AM (2am) estimates during the same diurnal cycle. The afternoon overpasses also exhibit a greater degree of variation, perhaps in response to increased uncertainties in the land surface temperature during the day time. Overall, the AMSR retrievals, although obviously influenced by pixel-to-point scale and measurement disparities, reflect well the trends observed in the SCAN response. 2) POINT SCALE MEASUREMENTS IN WALNUT CREEK During the SMEX watershed sampling, over 4,500 unique theta probe samples were collected, allowing a detailed accounting of the soil moisture variability within the study catchment. Of these, 19 (from 33 sites) were within the resampled AMSR footprint, allowing a truly spatially representative in-situ soil moisture average to be compared with the model retrieved value. The distribution of sites across the catchment was intended to effectively capture the level of spatial heterogeneity of the point scale soil moisture. AMSR morning and afternoon retrievals were averaged and compared with the areal Page 11 mean of the average soil moisture recorded from each watershed sampling location within Walnut Creek. Table 1 details the statistical properties of the in-situ distribution and the coincident AMSR pixel, and Figure 3 compares the collocated retrievals from the both the PSR and AMSR. As can be seen, there is a gradual increase in the catchment average soil moisture as the field campaign progresses, consistent with the precipitation records. Interestingly, the standard deviation between the sites is not greater than 3%, indicating a stability of the moisture range across the watershed, although this could be an artefact of averaging the supplied means rather than the unique point measurements. There is a strong equivalence with the AMSR pixel, especially considering the scale disparity between the two approaches and also the different sampling depths of the techniques (60 mm for theta probe). Although only eight sample days were available for comparison, consistent agreement between the two measurements is evident. The mean absolute error between the samples is 2.64% vol./vol. with a correlation coefficient of 0.87. A root mean square (RMS) error of 4.1% vol./vol. belies the goodness of fit, since half of this error is attributed to the single offset value evident in Figure 3, which upon removal reduces the retrieval RMS to 2.17% vol./vol. 3) REGIONAL SAMPLING OVER THE SMEX DOMAIN A concurrent regional scale sampling strategy conducted during the campaign was designed to capture the broader scale soil moisture patterns at the satellite footprint scale and incorporated 46 unique sites distributed across the SMEX domain. At the original satellite resolution of 25km, it was anticipated that approximately four sites would fall within the AMSR footprint. The grid of individual sample sites covers a domain of approximately 50 km by 100 km (2 by 4 AMSR pixels) and measurements were collected Page 12 during the period 1200 – 1500 local time, to coincide with the afternoon AMSR and PSR overpasses. Of the sample locations, Site 8 and Site 9 correspond to positions within the area of the watershed sampling at Walnut Creek and within the resampled AMSR pixel analysed above (see Figure 1 for location of catchment and grid structure over the region). Results of the regional analysis are shown in Figure 4, which illustrates the average volumetric soil moisture content at Site 8 and Site 9 along with the regional mean of all sites as measured using hand-held theta probes calibrated to independently evaluated gravimetric moisture contents. The bars at each of the sample days, identifying the total standard deviation at the site(s), are comparable to the values obtained in the watershed analysis, with values between 2.0-3.0% vol./vol. Figure 4-c and Figure 4-d detail the AMSR distribution for the area encompassing Site 8 and Site 9 and the corresponding regional value. The general patterns, if not the actual values, are well represented across the regional and site averages. AMSR predicts a more rapid dry-down phase than the corresponding in-situ responses, likely a result of the different sampling depths measured. The stability during the dryer periods preceding July 4 is clearly observed in the AMSR responses, and is also evident in the in-situ SCAN responses discussed above. A significant amount of noise however is observed in the regional AMSR response during the period July 7-14, corresponding to the wet periods of the field campaign. Interestingly, this seems to be in contradiction to the theta probe samples which show minimal daily variations in the standard deviations. Given the spatial distributions of soil moisture evident in the PSR imagery during this period, it would be expected that more variation should be present than is observed in the in-situ measurements, although again this is potentially a sampling depth issue. Page 13 b. AMSR Comparison with the Polarimetric Scanning Radiometer (PSR) The PSR is an airborne microwave radiometer operated by the NOAA Environmental Technology Laboratory (Piepmeier and Gasiewski, 2001), which was flown aboard the NASA P-3 aircraft for the purpose of obtaining polarimetric microwave emission during SMEX. It has been successfully used in a number of major field experiments including SGP99 (Jackson et al., 2002). The PSR data provides an excellent intermediary source of validation information between the scales of the AMSR pixel and ground based measurements and offers the only feasible means of comparing predictions with a reasonable spatial equivalence and measurement characteristics to AMSR. Data from the PSR was supplied in an irregularly spaced grid at a nominal resolution of 800m, with soil moisture predictions calculated independently by the USDA (pers. comm. Dr R. Bindlish, 2004). The PSR measurements supplied ten complete moisture maps of the region, encompassing an area of approximately 0.7 x 1.0. Given the scale difference between the AMSR and PSR measurements, it is anticipated that a number of underlying surface physical and hydrological influences evident at higher resolutions will contribute to soil moisture differences between the sensors. The PSR retrievals (Bindlish et al., 2004) derive soil moisture values centred around 7GHz (C band). Comparisons with the AMSR 10GHz are not expected to exhibit significant divergence, although clearly there will be some effects from the different dielectric properties of water at the two frequencies as well as surface vegetation and roughness influences (Jackson et al., 2002). Apart from the defined scale differences, Jackson et al (2002) indicate that for low soil moistures (high TB) both sensors should exhibit similar results. The level of agreement might be expected to reduce as the soil moisture increases, particularly given the level of vegetation characteristic of the study Page 14 area. To examine scale effects and to allow a more equivalent comparison with the AMSR footprint, the PSR moisture measurements were resampled to a variety of resolutions between 1km to 25km in order to assess the consistency of sub-pixel statistical variation. In this re-analysis, a bilinear interpolation scheme was employed to make use of the high resolution data – as opposed to the downscaling of the AMSR information where ‘artificial’ trends were not desired. As anticipated, results indicated a preservation of the statistical features across scales, retaining many of the visual characteristics evident in the highest resolution imagery, even at larger scales (Figure 1). PSR data resampled to 0.125 degree were compared to the single AMSR retrieved values analysed above for all available PSR overpasses (see Figure 5). There appears to be a consistent bias between the PSR and AMSR imagery over the Walnut Creek pixel, with PSR values generally higher than corresponding AMSR predictions. The general trend however is well reflected, although AMSR values respond more sharply to precipitation events occurring on the 4, 6 and 10 July respectively. These rainfall induced spikes are absent from the PSR measurements, likely a result of missed PSR overpasses around these times. Even with the limited samples, the consistent bias is reflected in the statistics, with a correlation coefficient of 0.72, a mean absolute error of 6.85% vol./vol and an RMS error of 7.47% vol./vol. The relatively poor statistical comparison misrepresents the level of spatial coherence manifest in the areal imagery. Areal responses derived from both the PSR and AMSR soil moisture retrievals are shown in Figure 6, illustrating the high level of visual agreement between the two sensors and indicating that some confidence can be placed in the remotely sensed retrievals, even at these coarse resolutions. The period preceding the rainfall event of July 4 (23mm at the SCAN site), characterises a relatively homogeneous Page 15 regional response reproduced across all scales of the PSR and in the 0.125 degree AMSR retrievals. Although a significant amount of precipitation occurred on July 4, the majority fell after the PSR and AMSR (2 p.m.) overpasses, so its influence is not well represented. Where rain events are significant across the region, as presented in the LDAS derived daily precipitation totals of Figure 7 (see also Figure 2), the identification of rain affected areas are captured and reflect a pleasing consistency between the PSR and AMSR instruments (see July 10-12 in Figure 6). For the limited imagery that is available for intercomparison, it would seem that LSMEM retrievals are more sensitive to moisture than the corresponding PSR soil moisture estimates, with higher volumetric soil moisture prediction generally resulting. These responses are most likely attributable to scale effects in the AMSR measurements, given that the coarse PSR imagery is originally determined from a much more spatially dense data set, which captures more accurately the spatial heterogeneity. The coincidence of a number of smaller precipitation events with the time of the AMSR overpass would also tend to exaggerate the retrieval values, although these are not shown here. Overall, the AMSR retrievals illustrate a considerable level of agreement with the dynamic trends and statistical structure evident in the PSR imagery, correctly identify the transition from dry to wet states and the subsequent dry down and wetting up that occurs throughout the region. 6. Summary and Conclusions Considerable agreement was observed between watershed samples of the volumetric soil moisture and AMSR retrievals over a variety of surface and atmospheric conditions. The level of accord was reduced somewhat upon comparison with regional Page 16 values, with AMSR values exhibiting significantly more spatial variability across the region in terms of the standard deviation, than the corresponding ground based samples. It is surprising that more variability was not evident in the in-situ measurements, particularly given the variability of the hydrometeorology over the study period. AMSR performs in line with expectations over these varying conditions, reflecting reduced regional ranges during dry periods and increased regional ranges during wetter periods. Such trends are not as evident in the in-situ regional measurements, which illustrate a relatively constant deviation throughout. These results raise some issues with regards to evaluating remotely sensed predictions. Apart from the fact that the AMSR values are sensing a near surface soil moisture response and evaluation data are invariably representative of the top 60 mm at best, few data sets exist which adequately capture the statistical variability over areas large enough to encompass the AMSR footprint. The PSR and similar instruments represent an excellent compromise, but are limited in their broader and regular application. Although similar spatial patterns were reflected between the PSR and AMSR imagery, the soil moisture values from PSR were derived using a different interpretive model to the emission model used here. It is not known what contribution this makes to the observed differences, with a consistent bias being observed between AMSR comparisons and also in the average watershed measurements. While it is recognised that soil moisture exhibits levels of variability dependant on the scale at which it is observed, the relative importance of different controls on soil moisture in space and time is poorly understood (Wilson et al., 2004). Small scale influences on the soil moisture such as soil properties and vegetation are difficult to distinguish from larger scale controls such as topography and atmospheric forcing (see Page 17 Vinnikov et al., 1996; and Entin et al., 2000). Given these factors and the difficulty that exists in assessing remotely sensed products at large scales and over various domains using traditional techniques, some effort should be directed towards developing techniques that would offer a commensurate level of information against which comparisons could be made. For instance, Jackson et al. (1993) illustrated the relationship between microwave brightness temperatures and precipitation patterns over the Walnut Gulch catchment in southern Arizona. Similar pattern based approaches offer an intuitive technique with which to assess soil moisture distributions, albeit lacking in quantitative rigour. Alternatively, the use of land surface model output may offer another pathway to prediction assessment. The LDAS determines soil moisture within a data assimilation framework, using observed and modelled atmospheric information to drive a number of land surface schemes, which in turn provide predictions of a variety of hydrological functions such as surface fluxes, surface temperature and soil moisture. Soil moisture determination from these systems has been shown to be variable in both inter-comparisons with the individual land surface models which comprise the LDAS and against in-situ records (see Robock et al., 2003; Mitchell et al., 2004; Schaake et al., 2004). While there is potential for assessing the LDAS predictions against remotely sensed retrievals, there is also an opportunity for assimilating these values back into the system to improve the spatial representation and predictive performance. Issues associated with radio frequency interference (RFI) (Li et al., 2004) have diminished the utility of the C-band in determining the soil moisture states over large areas of the globe, particularly across the continental United States. As such, renewed Page 18 focus on X-band measurements is required to further assess its suitability for soil moisture insight. Until the launch of L-band missions (SMOS/HYDROS), information from the 10GHz sensors on board AMSR and TRMM offer the best alternative for moisture retrieval. One of the key issues concerning the AMSR programme is whether soil moisture retrievals can be reliably determined in the presence of agricultural biomass. The work presented here offers some progress towards this task, addressing the issue of soil moisture retrieval over landscapes where vegetation cover has a significant seasonal influence. Results from the AMSR analysis indicate that there is potential in determining soil moisture patterns over regional scales and larger, even where vegetation may prove to be an issue. Comparison of soil moisture determined through local scale sampling with larger scale AMSR retrievals reveals a consistent level of agreement over a wide range of hydro-meteorological conditions. Further examination of the scale influences on remotely sensed retrievals and the interactions between precipitation, varying vegetation dynamics and also the distribution of surface fluxes are the focus of current work and will further assist in improving our understanding of these inter-related processes. Acknowledgements The authors would like to thank the anonymous reviewers for their valuable contributions in improving the manuscript. Particular thanks to Dr Rajat Bindlish who performed the analysis of the PSR data and also to Dr Tom Jackson for his efforts in organising the SMEX 02 field experiment. This work was supported by funding from the NASA XXXXXX XXX. Page 19 References Baret, F. J., Clevers, G. P. W. and Steven, M. D. (1995). "The robustness of canopy gap fraction estimates from red and near-infrared reflectances: A comparison of approaches." Remote Sens. Environ. 54: 141-151. Bindlish, R., Jackson, T., J. and Cosh, M. H. (2004). "XXX XXX XXX." Remote Sens. Environ. XXXX(XXX): XX. Chang, S. L., Kong, J. A. and Tsang, L. (1980). "Radiative transfer theory for passive microwave remote sensing of a two-layer random medium with cylindrical structures." J. Appl. Phys. 51: 5588-5593. Cosgrove, B. A., Lohmann, D., Mitchell, K. E., Houser, P. R., Wood, E. F., Schaake, J. 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W., Bloschl, G. and Grayson, R. B. (2001). "Toward capturing hydrologically significant connectivity in spatial patterns." Water Resources Research 37(1): 83-97. Western, A. W., Grayson, R. B. and Green, T. R. (1999). "The Tarrawarra project: high resolution spatial measurement, modelling and analysis of soil moisture and hydrological response." Hydrological Processes 13(5): 633-652. Wilson, D. J., Western, A. W. and Grayson, R. B. (2004). "Identifying and quantifying sources of variability in temporal and spatial soil moisture observations." Water Resour. Res. 40(W02507): doi:10.1029/2003WR002306. Page 26 Table 1. Statistics for the watershed sampling of Walnut Creek. The average soil moisture and standard deviations are determined from the provided means at each site. Date Samples Average SM Avg SDev. AMSR* 6/25/2002 272 12.784 2.626 9.5 6/26/2002 273 12.079 2.805 - 6/27/2002 273 11.253 2.331 7.0 7/1/2002 103 9.511 1.626 8.5 7/5/2002 271 14.837 2.458 - 7/6/2002 273 14.379 2.163 14.0 7/7/2002 273 18.447 2.684 28.5 7/8/2002 273 16.637 2.332 17.0 7/9/2002 273 15.326 2.426 17.0 7/11/2002 260 26.379 1.805 26.5 7/12/2002 273 25.211 2.079 - * AMSR values indicate the resampled pixel that encompasses the Walnut Creek catchment ~ 65% of the pixel Page 27 Figure 1. Soil moisture estimates retrieved for July 9 from (a) the original PSR resolution; (b) the 0.125 degree product; and (c) the coincident AMSR retrieval. The dotted grid represent the LDAS 0.125 lattice and the dashed line the PSR area overlain on the AMSR grid. Figure 2. Profile soil moisture (2”) as measured at the SCAN site during the SMEX 02 study period. AMSR retrievals corresponding to the SCAN site are separated into AM (red) and PM (yellow) overpasses. Precipitation at the SCAN site is also plotted. Figure 3. Comparison of the in-situ theta-probe measurements with the 0.125 degree PSR measurements, and a scatter plot of the retrieved AMSR predictions and the catchment average theta-probe soil moisture. Figure 4. Regional theta probe sampling results for (a) the average of Site 8 and Site 9 and (b) the entire region, with bars showing the standard deviation of measurements for each day. The corresponding single pixel AMSR retrievals are shown in (c), along with the regional average of the AMSR pixels (d) and their daily regional standard deviation. The solid lines repeat the theta probe samples from (a) and (b). Figure 5. PSR and AMSR responses during the SMEX 02 campaign (left) and coincident PSR and AMSR estimates. Dashed lines indicate the precipitation events - more clearly represented in Figure 3 below. Figure 6. PSR (left) and AMSR (right) soil moisture retrievals at 0.125 degrees throughout the SMEX 02 campaign. While images are not strictly collocated due to geometric differences, for the purposes of visual comparison the spatial and temporal agreement is sufficient. Figure 7. LDAS predicted daily precipitation totals for rain events occurring within the SMEX period. Page 28 (a) (b) (c) Figure 8. Soil moisture estimates retrieved for July 9 from (a) the original PSR resolution; (b) the 0.125 degree product; and (c) the coincident AMSR retrieval. The dotted grid represent the LDAS 0.125 lattice and the dashed line the PSR area overlain on the AMSR grid. Page 29 Figure 9. Profile soil moisture (2”) as measured at the SCAN site during the SMEX 02 study period. AMSR retrievals corresponding to the SCAN site are separated into AM (red) and PM (yellow) overpasses. Precipitation at the SCAN site is also plotted. Page 30 Figure 10. Comparison of the in-situ theta-probe measurements with the 0.125 degree PSR measurements, and a scatter plot of the retrieved AMSR predictions and the catchment average theta-probe soil moisture. Page 31 (a) (c) (b) (d) Figure 11. Regional theta probe sampling results for (a) the average of Site 8 and Site 9 and (b) the entire region, with bars showing the standard deviation of measurements for each day. The corresponding single pixel AMSR retrievals are shown in (c), along with the regional average of the AMSR pixels (d) and their daily regional standard deviation. The solid lines repeat the theta probe samples from (a) and (b). Page 32 Figure 12. PSR and AMSR responses during the SMEX 02 campaign (left) and coincident PSR and AMSR estimates. Dashed lines indicate the precipitation events - more clearly represented in Figure 3 below. Page 33 PSR AMSR PSR AMSR June 27 Vol./Vol. July 9 July 1 Vol./Vol. July 10 July 4 Vol./Vol. July 11 July 8 Vol./Vol. July 12 Figure 13. PSR (left) and AMSR (right) soil moisture retrievals at 0.125 degrees throughout the SMEX 02 campaign. While images are not strictly collocated due to geometric differences, for the purposes of visual comparison the spatial and temporal agreement is sufficient. Page 34 July 4 July 5 July 6 July 7 July 10 July 11 Figure 14. LDAS predicted daily precipitation totals for rain events occurring within the SMEX period. Page 35