Project Proposal Jonathan Beckhardt, Molly Grove, and Kate Weinberger Title: Simulating the effects of environmental conditions on the nitrogen cycle: a heuristic model based on the Hubbard Brook experimental watersheds. [Seems to me that the title should say something about simulating the changing dynamics of the N-cycle following a major disturbance event] Background and Problem Statement: In the 1960s, Gene Likens and Herbert Bormann conducted a very important study on ecosystem disturbance and development [cite your literature source on the information that you are presenting here – lots of good reviews out there ti cite (e.g. Bormman, “Patterns and processes in a forested ecosystem”)]. They chose two distinct yet similar forested watersheds in the White Mountains of New Hampshire, which was dubbed the Hubbard Brook Experimental Forest. Likens and Bormann completely deforested one of the watersheds and left the other one pristine as a control. They left the biomass from the disturbed watersheds on site, but used herbicides to keep new growth away for two years. They then measured nutrient concentrations and flow rate of the streams flowing through the two watersheds to determine the impact of the disturbance. The dynamics of decomposition and the nitrogen cycle have a large effect on the nutrient flowing out of the soil in the disturbed watershed. When the biomass decomposes, it first releases ammonia into the soil. The ammonia is converted to nitrate through a process called nitrification. A side effect of this reaction is an increase in the concentration of the H+ ion in the soil. This increase in concentration effectively drives other nutrients out of the soil and into the stream. The Hubbard Brook experiment was expensive both financially and in terms of ecosystem resources and stress, and does not lend itself to real-life repetition. This model would allow ecology students (potentially systems ecology students at Oberlin?) [sounds like a good audience] to “experiment” for themselves, which could substantially help their understanding of these concepts (rather than just reading a paper). [Good basic explanation. You should probably include info on subsequent changes that occur as the forest matures – e.g. how it becomes less leaky of nutrients. When you convert this into an explanation for student users, I suggest that you include the chemical equations for the different parts of the Ncycle] Lesson Objectives: This model will give students an understanding of how the nitrogen cycle operates in both undisturbed and disturbed ecosystems. By allowing students to manipulate environmental conditions in the watershed, students will gain an accurate understanding of the effects different factors have on the entire ecosystem. Environmental factors will include both human-induced conditions and naturally occurring conditions. Human-induced conditions will include amount of forest cover and amount of non-living biomass, while naturally occurring conditions will include initial soil conditions and rainfall. Including the ability to manipulate both naturally occurring conditions as well as the human induced conditions of the Hubbard Brook study will allow students to see the range of effects of human intervention under different natural conditions. Finally, the model will encourage students to think critically about the consequences of natural and anthropogenic ecosystem disturbance. [Great] Key State Variables, Flows, and Forcing Functions: State variables: amount of biomass left to decompose (non-living) [I think you probably need living biomass as well – uptake of N by plants becomes an important driving force as the system develops] amount of each nutrient in the stream (including the different forms of nitrogen) amount of each nutrient in the soil (again, including the different forms of nitrogen) [I suggest that you limit “nutrients” to soil organic-N (which you can also just think of as organic matter using a conversion constant), NH4 and NO3 for simplicity – this is what you claim you want to focus the exercise on. If you want another nutrient, Ca might be reasonable] amount of H+ in the soil [might be able to model this as a converter based on NH4 to avoid having an additional stock] living forest cover [i.e. living biomass?] Flows: the chemical process of nitrification (ammonium being converted to nitrate, water, and H+ ions) the chemical process of ammonification (nitrogen from biomass being converted to ammonium) the flow of nutrients from the soil to the river Flow of nutrients from soil into plants? What about biomass (growth of standing biomass, decomposition of dead biomass) Forcing functions: amount of each nutrient in the soil prior to the experiment amount of rainfall other seasonal conditions (temperature, wind, humidity) [you could probably get away with ignoring seasonality entirely. I think the time scale you are interested in is probably several years] Responsibilities: For the initial research phase of this project we intend to break up the work based on subjects. Kate will research the process and details of nutrient cycling (such as internal feedback, effect of pH, etc…) John will research the factors affecting decomposition rate and Molly will search the literature for data on the Hubbard-Brook study and other soil/watershed studies that will be helpful in constructing a Stella model. We will all work together to make the Stella model but might break up individual tasks (such as layout, lesson planning, parts of written report etc…) once the initial layout/formulation is completed. [Sounds good] Timeline (tentative) 4/18: research complete 4/25: model designed 5/2: model calibrated, finessed, finished 5/9: written work wrapped up 5/12, 13: presentation, written report complete Annotated Bibliography: [As I mentioned, there is considerable data for Hubbard Brook available on the web] Likens, G. E., F. Herbert Bormann, Noye M. Johnson, D. W. Fisher, and Robert S. Pierce. 1970. Effects of Forest Cutting and Herbicide Treatment on Nutrient Budgets in the Hubbard Brook Watershed-Ecosystem. Ecological Monographs 40:23-47. This is the original paper from the Hubbard Brook experiment – it will be very useful both in giving background information on the site and in giving calibration data. Chapin, F. S., P. A. Matson, and H. A. Mooney. 2002. Terrestrial Nutrient Cycling. Pages 197-222. Principles of Terrestrial Ecosystem Ecology. SpringerVerlag, New York. This textbook chapter describes the nitrogen cycle (and other nutrient cycles) in detail. Najarian, T. O., and D. R. F. Harleman. 1997. Real time simulation of nitrogen cycle in an estuary. EE4. This is a published model of the nitrogen cycle in an estuarine ecosystem. Reviewer#1: Ashley Gam The reasons for constructing this model will make it a powerful teaching tool for ecology students. This maybe more complex than you want it to be, but a symbolic [not clear what you mean by symbolic here] representation of how humans influence the ecosystem could be incorporated by using a herbicides factor as influencing forest cover within your model. If you want to be able to allow students to vary human-induced conditions, this would be perfect in showing how long it takes for an ecosystem to bounce back if the herbicides are present or in varying amounts. [The herbicides are really just a research tool – the experiment was designed to elucidate forest processes and the impact of deforestation on these processes] Reviewer#2: Sophie Alexander The proposal seems to me a very interesting idea, which is well thought out in its conception. The problem statement is informative and concise, giving background information on the problem and then proposing a way to present the data. Since the massive consequences of the destruction of ecosystems are so prevalent, I think the model could be very useful in introducing these problems to younger students (or anybody who is willing to be educated) [Again, my read is that this is not a model about destruction of ecosystems so much as it is a model to help students to understand nutrient cycling in forests]. The exact audience is not specified (except that the intended audiences are students) [ENVS316 is indicated]. The scope of the model has not been entirely clarified – it is based on a study which shows us the dire effects of destruction of ecosystem [again, the study focused on nutrient dynamics in ecosystems]. The model, though, is intended to monitor Nitrogen levels primarily, as a measure of the destruction. The scope is not yet quite clear because the stocks and flows and converters are not totally defined yet, and the ‘shape’ of the model is not quite clear. This model sounds as if it will be highly successful and educational once the problem becomes clearer, as the model is formulated. It is usually very informative to utilize an existing experiment (Hubbard Brook ecosystems) as an illustration of the bigger problem (destruction of ecosystem), defined from a very small level (levels of Nitrogen in water and soil). Reviewer#3: Sarah Pilzer I think the title might be a bit long but it certainly spells out exactly what the model is trying to accomplish. Perhaps a shorter more succinct version would be catchier, though. The background information for this proposal is well stated and detailed enough to explain the basic situation to someone unfamiliar with the original experiment. It also gives a good, but very basic, overview of the nitrogen cycle and how that will play into the final model design. Possibly adding a bit more about the actual cycle would be helpful especially since later in the proposal ammonium is mentioned but not discussed in the background section [yes, very good point, include chemical equations and more description]. The lesson objective is also clearly stated but the concepts the project is trying to convey (“an understanding of how the nitrogen cycle operates in both undisturbed and disturbed ecosystems”) seems a bit broad to me. Perhaps specifying exactly what the group hopes students who use their model will “understand” would give more direction to the project. State variables, flows and forcing functions are well thought out and clearly designated. I’m sure there are some state variables that will need to be added as the project becomes more complete but I think they have covered the most essential ones in the proposal. The timeline looks feasible and the responsibilities are clearly designated for the first part but it is a little unclear as to how things will work once the Stella model is completed. Overall, I think the proposal is strong and conveys the necessary information. As for the model idea itself I think it will be a useful tool for examining the dynamics of nutrient cycling in different ecosystems but would be most helpful if it focuses closely on one or two aspects of the cycle [sounds like they wish to focus on the N-cycle, but also on effects of N-cycle on other cation nutrients in the soil]. I am a little unclear from the proposal how the soil to stream nutrient flow is going to work but would suspect some sort of linked flows could work. I think students who have a decent background in nutrient cycling (particularly the nitrogen cycle) will benefit from this model but perhaps those who understand the system a little less clearly will not gain as much [This is a good point. If it were used in ENVS316, presumably it would be used AFTER the basic nitrogen cycle was discussed]. I am interested in the topic (it was my second choice) and am looking forward to seeing the finished model. Jon, Kate and Molly: See specific comments within your text. This is on the edge of complexity, but I think it is doable, and potentially useful to an ENVS316 audience. I think you will want to focus the model on the changes that occur over time as you go from bare ground to a mature forest. Standing biomass could either be a state variable or a forcing function. It would be easier to make it forcing function. You need to consider N uptake by the plants as the forest matures. I suggest that you build real-data into the model as a reference (easily available online). Literature should be directly cited within the proposal. I like the concept! 9.4/10