Report of the Joint Group Contents Description S. No : Page No. I - VI 1- 4 Crop Insurance Programmes in India – A Review 1.1. Evolution 1.2. National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) i) Salient features ii) Coverage statistics iii) Experience Analysis iv) Main issues and perceptions of interest groups 1.3. Farm Income Insurance Scheme (FIIS) i) Basic objectives ii) Experience of FIIS iii) Concerns & Constraints 1.4. Weather Insurance i) Concept ii) Advantages over traditional crop insurance iii) Summary of products introduced upto Kharif 2004 : : : 5-22 5-6 6-15 : 16-19 : 19-22 2. Remote Sensing Technology 2.1. Background 2.2. Remote Sensing Applications in Agriculture in India 2.3. Remote Sensing Applications in Crop Insurance in India : 23-30 3. Crop Insurance – A Way Forward 3.1. National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) i) Fundamental Issues ii) Suggested Improvements iii) Actuarial regime 3.2. Farm Income Insurance Scheme (FIIS) i) Key Issues ii) Recommendations 3.3. Weather Insurance i) Future directions ii) Agri-Met & blended Products : : 31-66 31-47 : 48-49 : 50-66 Modified National Agricultural Insurance Scheme Scope for Package Insurance Policy Private Sector Participation in Crop Insurance Financing Crop Insurance 7.1. Crop insurance penetration targets 7.2. Financing mechanism i) Subsidy levels in other countries ii) Farmers’ Capacity to pay Premium iii) Government’s support 7.3. Financial outlay of the Government (existing & future) Recommendations’ Summary References Appendices : : : : : : 67-77 78-83 84-90 91-104 Executive Summary Prologue 1. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10. : : : : 105-109 110 i - xlvi Joint Group Report PROLOGUE Background: National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) was introduced w.e.f. Rabi 199900 substituting the Comprehensive Crop Insurance Scheme (CCIS), which was in operation between 1985 and 1999. Despite addressing the shortcomings noticed during implementation of CCIS and launching of improved version of crop insurance in the form of NAIS, the scheme failed to appeal to the farming community. Consequently, only about 10 percent of the farmers could be covered under the scheme. This is despite nearly 75 percent subsidy in the scheme, which came in the form of subsidy in premium and deficit financing of claims. Though the scheme provided for annual review, no review worth mentioning has been carried out since inception. The government therefore is keen to address some of the constraints/ bottlenecks to make the scheme more attractive to the farmers. The National Agricultural Policy (NAP) 2000 in Para titled Risk Management reads: “Despite technological and economic advancements, the condition of farmers continues to be unstable due to natural calamities and price fluctuations. National Agriculture Insurance Scheme covering all farmers and all crops throughout the country with built in provisions for insulating farmers from financial distress caused by natural disasters and making agriculture financially viable will be made more farmer specific and effective. Endeavour will be made to provide a package insurance policy for the farmers, right from sowing of the crops to post-harvest operations, including market fluctuations in the prices of agricultural produce”. Union Budget 2004-05: Crop Insurance The text of Honorable Union Finance Minister’s 2004-05 budget speech concerning Risk Mitigation on agriculture is produced below: ______________________________________________________________________________________ 1 Joint Group Report “The Agriculture Insurance Company (AIC) was incorporated in December 2002. The National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS), which insures the yield or crop, is in operation since Rabi 1999-2000. AIC is redesigning the scheme. We shall continue with the scheme and make another evaluation. Meanwhile, a pilot scheme insuring farm income (as opposed to crop) has been launched in 19 districts across 12 States during Rabi 2003-04. The government has decided to extend the scheme to Kharif 2004 in order to assess its feasibility. I wish to add that a weather insurance scheme appears to be more promising, at least in the design. AIC is introducing the scheme on a trial basis in 20 rain gauge stations in the current crop season. It is difficult to tell at this stage which of the three schemes will be successful. Agriculture insurance as well as livestock insurance are complex products and have to be designed with care. I wish to re-affirm government’s commitment to provide insurance cover to farming and livestock.” Bearing in mind the shortcomings of existing crop insurance programme, and the commitment of the Government to the farming community, review of the existing crop insurance scheme was felt imperative. Constitution of Joint Group: The Hon’ble Prime Minister while reviewing the status of National Common Minimum Programme (NCMP) directed the Ministry of Agriculture to constitute a Joint Group to expeditiously study the improvements required in the existing crop insurance schemes. Ministry of Agriculture vide letter no. 16012/05/2004-Credit II dated 31st August 2004 constituted a Joint Group under the chairmanship of Shri A K. Singh, Additional Secretary (Ministry of Agriculture). The other members of the Group are Shri Satish Chander, Joint Secretary (Ministry of Agriculture), Shri. G. C. Chaturvedi, Joint Secretary (Ministry of Finance) and Shri. Suparas Bhandari, Chairman-Cum-Managing Director (Agriculture Insurance Company of India Limited). ______________________________________________________________________________________ 2 Joint Group Report Terms of the Reference The Terms of the Reference of the Group were as under: i) To review the status position of existing Crop Insurance Schemes i.e. National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS), Pilot Project on Farm Income Insurance Scheme (FIIS), Varsha Bima Yojna and other agriculture related schemes floated by Private General Insurance Companies. ii) Improvements required in National Agricultural Insurance Scheme. iii) To develop broad parameters/ concept paper of an appropriate and farmers friendly crop insurance scheme after taking into account the professional inputs obtained from experts and private sector general insurance companies. iv) To make assessment of up front subsidy, if any, to be paid by the government. The communication for constituting Joint Group is appended as Annexure-1. Meetings and Interactions The Joint Group held 15 meetings on 10th, 21st & 29th September; 20th & 27th October and 3rd, 6th, 9th, 10th, 15th, 18th, 19th, 25th November, 10th & 15th December, 2004. The Joint Group in the course of discussions, consulted experts in different fields. These included- Dr. J.S. Parihar, Group Head (ARG), ISRO (Ahmedabad), Dr. S K. Goel, Commissioner for Agriculture (Maharashtra), Dr. R. K. Parchure, Professor at National Insurance Academy (Pune), Dr Gurbachan Singh, ADG (Agro), ICAR (Delhi), Dr J.P. Mishra, ADG (PP&IPR), ICAR (Delhi), and Shri Rajiv Mehta, Member Secretary, CACP (Delhi). The Group made extensive use of statistical data available with implementing agency of NAIS in analyzing the present situation. The Group also made conscious effort to examine views and suggestions received from various interest groups – Farmers, States, Members of the Parliament, Banks etc. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 3 Joint Group Report The Group also interacted with many private sector insurers, took presentations on private sector perspective of crop insurance, and explored possibilities of package policy and weather insurance. Members of the Joint Group also visited Space Applications Centre (SAC) within Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), Ahmedabad to understand the applications of remote sensing technology in agriculture, particularly in the field of crop insurance. Shri G.C. Chaturvedi and Shri Suparas Bhandari of the Group also interacted with ‘National Commission on Farmers’ to understand their perceptive of risk mitigation and role of crop insurance. This Report is the result of collective efforts of many people. The Joint Group gratefully acknowledges inputs and guidance received from all concerned and wishes to thank all those, too numerous to be mentioned by name, who contributed to various aspects of preparing this report. The report is being submitted by the Joint Group with the hope that its recommendations and the initiatives based on these recommendations will find acceptability by all the stakeholders who look forward to having a better crop risk protection system, committed to the cause of minimizing the impact of crop failure on the income cycle of farmers. (A. K. Singh) Additional Secretary Ministry of Agriculture Government of India (Chairman) (Suparas Bhandari) CMD, Agriculture Insurance Company of India Ltd. (Member) (Satish Chander) Joint Secretary Ministry of Agriculture Government of India (Member) (G. C. Chaturvedi) Joint Secretary Ministry of Finance Government of India (Member) ______________________________________________________________________________________ 4 Joint Group Report 1. CROP INSURANCE PROGRAMMES IN INDIA – A REVIEW 1.1. Evolution: Agriculture continues to be the mainstay of Indian economy. It contributes 22 percent of GDP, provides 58 percent of employment, sustains 69 percent of population, produces all the food & nutritional requirements of the nation, important raw materials for some major industries, and accounts for about 14 percent of exports. Heavy dependence on weather conditions and its long production cycle makes agriculture a risky economic activity. Crop insurance is a mechanism to protect the farmers against uncertainties of crop production due to natural factors, beyond the control of farmers. It is also a financial mechanism, which minimizes the uncertainty of loss in crop production by factoring in large number of uncertainties having impact on crop yields, thereby distributing the burden of loss. In a country like India, where crop production is subjected to vagaries of weather and large-scale damages due to attack of pests and diseases, crop insurance assumes a very vital role. An all-risk Comprehensive Crop Insurance Scheme (CCIS) for major crops was introduced in 1985, coinciding with the introduction of the VII-Five-year plan and subsequently National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) w.e.f. Rabi 199900. These Schemes have been preceded by years of preparation, studies, planning, experiments and trials on a pilot basis. A brief chronology preceding the present NAIS would be a fruitful introspective exercise: 1. Scheme based on ‘individual’ approach (1972-1978): The first ever scheme started on H-4 cotton in Gujarat, extending later to a few other crops & states. The scheme covered 3110 farmers for a premium of Rs. 4.54 lakhs and paid claims of Rs. 37.88 lakhs. 2. Pilot Crop Insurance Scheme – PCIS (1979-1984): PCIS was introduced on the basis of report of late Prof. V.M.Dandekar and was based on ‘Homogeneous Area’ approach. The scheme covered food crops, oilseeds, ______________________________________________________________________________________ 5 Joint Group Report cotton, & potato; and confined to loanee farmers on voluntary basis. The scheme was implemented in 13 states and covered 6.27 lakh farmers for a premium of Rs. 196.95 lakhs and paid claims of Rs. 157.05 lakhs. 3. Comprehensive Crop Insurance Scheme – CCIS (1985-1999): The scheme was expansion of PCIS, and was compulsory for loanee farmers. Premium rates were 2 percent of sum insured for cereals & millets and 1 percent for pulses & oilseeds, with premium and claims shared between Centre & States in 2:1 ratio. The scheme was implemented in 16 States & 2 UTs and covered 7.63 crore farmers for a premium of Rs. 403.56 crores and paid claims of Rs. 2319 crores. The State of Gujarat received 47 percent of total claims, followed by AP (21 percent), Maharashtra (9 percent) and Orissa (8 percent). Deficit rainfall accounted for 75 percent of claims, followed by cyclones / floods (20 percent). The claim ratio (claims: premium) was 5.75 and loss cost (claims: sum insured) was 9.29 percent. 4. Experimental Crop Insurance Scheme – ECIS (Rabi 1997-98): ECIS was introduced as an experiment to additionally cover non-loanee small / marginal farmers in 14 districts of 5 States with 100% premium subsidy. It covered 4.55 lakh farmers for a premium of Rs. 2.84 crores and paid claims of Rs. 37.80 crores. 1.2 National Agriculture Insurance Scheme (NAIS): NAIS was introduced during Rabi 1999-00 by improving the scope and content of erstwhile CCIS. 1.2.1. Salient features of the Scheme: (a) States and Areas covered: The Scheme is available to all States and Union Territories on optional basis. A State opting for the Scheme will have to continue for a minimum period of three years. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 6 Joint Group Report (b) Farmer covered: All farmers including sharecroppers and tenant farmers growing the notified crops in the notified areas are eligible for coverage. The scheme is compulsory for farmers availing loans and voluntary for others. (c) Crops covered: The Scheme covers Food crops (Cereals, Millets & Pulses) Oilseeds Annual Commercial / Horticultural crops of Sugarcane, Cotton, Potato, Onion, Chilly, Turmeric, Ginger, Jute, tapioca, annual Banana & annual Pineapple (d) Sum insured: The minimum Sum Insured (SI) in case of loanee farmer is the amount of loan availed, which can be further extended upto 150% of average yield. For non-loanee farmer, it can be upto value of 150% of average yield. (e) Premium Rates: The premium rates are 3.5% for oilseeds & bajra and 2.5% for cereals, millets & pulses during Kharif; 1.5% for wheat & 2% for other food crops and oilseeds during Rabi. The rates for annual commercial / horticultural crops are actuarial. (f) Premium subsidy: Small / Marginal farmers are subsidized in premium to the extent of 50 percent, to be shared equally between the Centre & States. The premium subsidy is, however, to be phased out over five years period on sunset basis. Accordingly the eligible subsidy during 2004-05 is 10 percent. (g) Scheme approach: The scheme covers losses from sowing to harvesting, and operates on ‘area approach’ for widespread calamities. For this purpose a unit of insurance is defined which may be a Village Panchayat, Mandal, Hobli, Circle, Phirka, Block, Taluka etc. to be decided by the State govt. / UT. However, each participating State govt. / UT was required to reach the level of Village Panchayat as the unit within a maximum period of three years. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 7 Joint Group Report The Scheme is to operate on ‘individual’ basis for specified localized calamities. However, individual assessment of losses is experimented only in a few areas – one block / taluka in each state. (h) Loss assessment, Levels of Indemnity & Threshold Yield: The Threshold Yield (TY) or Guaranteed Yield for a crop in a Insurance Unit shall be the moving average yield based on past three years in case of Rice & Wheat and five years yield in case of Other crops, multiplied by the level of indemnity. Three levels of Indemnity, viz., 90%, 80% & 60% corresponding to Low Risk, Medium Risk & High Risk areas shall be available for all crops. The insured farmers of unit area may also opt for higher level of indemnity on payment of additional premium. If the ‘Actual Yield’ (AY) per hectare of the insured crop for the defined area falls short of the specified ‘Threshold Yield’ (TY), all the insured farmers growing that crop in the defined area are deemed to have suffered shortfall in their yield. (i) Sharing of Risk: Until transition is made to actuarial regime, Govt. of India and States shall share claims beyond 100% of premium for food crops & oilseeds on 50:50 basis. In case of annual commercial / horticultural crops, claims beyond 150% of premium in the first 3 or 5 years and 200% thereafter are borne by Centre and State on 50:50 basis A copy of National Agricultural Insurance Scheme is appended as Annexure-2 1.2.2. COVERAGE UNDER NAIS: Following 23 States & 2 UTs are presently implementing the scheme: 1. Andhra Pradesh, 2. Assam, 3. Bihar, 4. Chhattisgarh, 5. Goa, 6. Gujarat, 7. Haryana, 8. Himachal Pradesh, 9. Jammu & Kashmir, 10. Jharkhand, 11. Karnataka, 12. Kerala, 13. Madhya Pradesh, 14. Maharashtra, 15. Meghalaya, 16. Orissa, 17. Rajasthan, 18. Sikkim, 19. Tamilnadu, 20. Tripura, 21. Uttar Pradesh, 22. Uttaranchal, 23. West Bengal, 24. A&N Islands, 25. Pondicherry. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 8 Joint Group Report Following 5 States & 5 UTs are not implementing the scheme: 1.Arunachal Pradesh, 2. Manipur, 3. Mizoram, 4. Nagalad, 5. Punjab, 6. Chandigarh, 7. Dadra, Nagar & Haveli, 8. Daman & Diu, 9. Delhi, 10. Lakshwadweep. Till Rabi 2003-04, NAIS covered 461.99 lakh farmers for a premium of Rs. 1242.66 crores and finalized claims of Rs. 4751.78 crores. The season-wise coverage since its inception is given in Table – 1 below: Table- 1 Season No. of covered Farmers Area covered covered (lakhs ha.) States/UTs (lakhs) Kharif 2000 2001 2002 2003 TOTAL Rabi 1999-00 2000-01 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 TOTAL Grand Total Sum Insured Premium Claims (Rs. crores) (Rs. crores) Farmers Benefited (Rs.crores) 17 20 21 23 84.09 86.96 97.69 79.70 348.44 132.20 128.88 155.33 123.30 539.93 6903.38 7502.46 9431.69 8114.06 31951.59 206.73 261.62 325.47 283.26 1077.08 1222.48 493.27 1821.85 634.17 4171.77 3635252 3145776 4337041 1617802 12735871 9 18 20 21 22 5.80 20.92 19.55 23.27 44.01 113.55 461.99 7.81 31.11 31.46 40.38 92.21 202.97 742.90 356.41 1602.69 1497.51 1837.53 3027.09 8321.23 40272.82 5.42 27.79 30.15 38.50 63.72 165.58 1242.66 7.69 59.49 64.66 188.34 259.83 580.01 4751.78 55288 526697 453325 926392 1070725 3032427 15768298 Note: Claims of Rabi 2003-04 are provisional, as a few States are yet to report 1.2.3. Experience Analysis: Analysis of crop & crop-group wise, state wise and farmer category wise performance of NAIS upto Rabi 2003-04 (since its inception) is presented in Tables 2 - 4: ______________________________________________________________________________________ 9 Joint Group Report Table-2 National Agricultural Insurance Scheme: Crop-wise Premium (as % total), Claims (as % total), Claims Ratio, and Loss Cost for Rabi 1999-00 to Rabi 2003-04 (All Seasons) (Premium & Claims Rs. Crores) Crop Premium (% of total for all crops) Claims (% of total for all crops) Claim Ratio (Claims/ Premium) Loss Cost (Claims as % of Sum Insured) Paddy (rice) 328.06 (26.40%) 34.09 (2.74%) 22.39 (1.807%) 16.62 (1.34%) 17.34 (1.40%) 418.50 (33.68%) 279.93 (22.47%) 90.15 (7.25%) 369.40 (29.73%) 45.13 (3.63%) 57.17 (4.60%) 287.91 (23.17%) 64.54 (5.19%) 1225.02 (25.81%) 116.23 (2.42%) 179.21 (3.78%) 61.21 (1.27%) 130.74 (2.70%) 1712.41 (35.98%) 1603.08 (33.78%) 301.37 (6.37%) 1904.45 (40.16%) 305.64 (6.46%) 120.18 (2.50%) 498.71 (10.50%) 210.38 (4.41%) 3.73 9.08 3.41 5.15 8.00 19.79 3.68 18.01 7.54 18.17 4.09 9.67 5.74 19.70 3.34 11.05 5.16 17.52 6.77 16.94 2.10 2.88 1.73 12.44 3.26 11.53 409.62 (32.96%) 829.27 (17.40%) 2.02 8.31 1242.65 4751.77 3.82 (100%) (100%) Source: Agricultural Insurance Company of India (AIC) Ltd. 11.78 Wheat Jowar Bajra Other cereals All cereals Groundnut Other oilseeds All oilseeds Pulses Sugarcane Cotton Other Commercial Crops All Commercial crops All crops As can be seen from Table-2, the Loss Cost is 11.78 percent in case of NAIS as compared to 9.29 for the Comprehensive Crop Insurance Scheme. However, the claim ratio for the NAIS is lower i.e. 3.82 as compared to 5.75 for the CCIS, even though the indemnity as a percentage of the sum ensured is higher. This is because of higher premium rates under NAIS. The average premium in case of the NAIS was 3.08 percent, compared to 1.62 percent under CCIS. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 10 Joint Group Report Groundnut crop accounts for a major part of the indemnity in the NAIS (Table-2). It has the highest Loss cost of 19.70 per cent and accounts for 34 per cent of the total indemnity though its share in the premium is only 22 per cent. Oilseeds and Pulses have high loss cost at 17.52 percent and 16.94 percent, while annual commercial crops and cereals have lower loss cost at 8.31 percent and 9.67 percent. Six States, viz. Gujarat, Karnataka, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Andhra Pradesh, and Orissa account for major part of the indemnity. As can be seen in Table- 3, these States account for 83 per cent of the sum insured, 88 per cent of the premium and 91 per cent of the claims for the entire country. The States of Gujarat and Karnataka posted the maximum loss cost with 21.57 percent and 18.78 percent, respectively. Andhra Pradesh posted least loss cost with 6.92 percent, while Maharashtra, Madhya Pradesh and Orissa had loss cost in between, at 9.24 percent 10.04 percent and 11.90 percent, respectively. Deficit rainfall accounted for 90 percent of claims. Table -3 NAIS: Coverage & Financial aspects of Major States for Rabi 1999-00 to Rabi 2003-04 (All Seasons) States Gujarat Karnataka Maharashtra Andhra Pradesh Madhya Pradesh Orissa Total of 6 States % of All India Others Grand Total Sum Insured Premium Claims (Rs.crores) (Rs.crores) (Rs.crores) 324.16 112.52 231.96 230.59 117.94 78.50 1095.67 88.17% 146.98 1242.65 1652.68 711.77 607.45 599.84 373.66 373.76 4319.16 91.34% 432.62 4751.78 7663.57 3790.01 6571.50 8667.45 3718.87 3141.07 33552.47 83.31% 6720.34 40272.81 Claims Ratio Loss Cost (Claims / (Claims as % of Premium) Sum Insured) 5.10 6.33 2.62 2.60 3.17 4.76 3.94 21.57 18.78 9.24 6.92 10.04 11.90 12.88 2.94 3.80 6.43 11.74 Source: Agricultural Insurance Company of India (AIC) Ltd ______________________________________________________________________________________ 11 Joint Group Report Non-Loanee Participation and Adverse Selection: Non-loanee farmers’ participation in NAIS is mostly guided by the nature of the season, meaning poor participation during normal seasons and high participation during adverse seasons. Further, the non-loanee farmers’ participation had come from those areas and crops, which most likely were to report high crop losses in the states of Maharashtra, Karnataka and Orissa. Their participation was predictably highest during adverse seasons from the above states. This kind of selective participation is known as “adverse selection” in insurance parlance. Based on coverage between 1999 and 2003-04, the loss cost for non-loanee farmers was a staggering 29 percent, compared to 10 percent for loanee farmers (Table-4). In other words, the claim experience of non-loanee farmers is nearly three times higher compared to loanee farmers. Extension of cut-off dates for participation of non-loanee farmers particularly during Kharif seasons has sent the loss costs through the roof. The situation certainly merits corrective action in terms of advancing cut-off dates for non-loanee participation. There is also a strong case for not extending the cut-off dates after it has been fixed once at the beginning of the season. Table-4 NAIS - Loss Cost for Loanee & Non Loanee since RABI 1999-2000 (Rs. in crores) S.NO. SEASON 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 Rabi 1999-00 Kharif 2000 Rabi 2000-01 Kharif 2001 Rabi 2001-02 Kharif 2002 Rabi 2002-03 Kharif 2003 Rabi 2003-04 TOTAL LOANEE NON LOANEE Sum Insured Claims Loss Cost Sum Insured Claims Loss Cost 348.21 7.10 2.04 8.20 0.59 7.18 6807.91 1185.91 17.42 95.47 36.57 38.30 1532.07 44.44 2.90 70.61 15.06 21.32 7182.26 406.99 5.67 320.20 86.25 26.94 1455.77 47.20 3.24 41.74 17.46 41.83 8247.67 1450.55 17.59 1184.03 369.35 31.19 1682.38 148.94 8.85 155.06 39.40 25.41 7439.94 386.28 5.19 652.45 247.89 37.99 2117.96 72.17 3.41 932.72 189.62 20.33 36814.16 3749.59 10.19 3460.48 1002.19 28.96 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 12 Joint Group Report 1.2.4. Main Issues and Perceptions: Despite high claim ratio and low premium rates, farmers are not coming forward to avail crop insurance in a big way. It is a pointer that the scheme is falling short of expectations of farmers. NAIS was discussed at different levels both formally and informally to understand the reasons for low acceptability. The suggestions and views expressed for improving acceptability of NAIS are listed below: Coverage related: Package policy covering crop and other assets of the farmers to be made available through single window Inclusion of perennial horticulture crops Inclusion of vegetable crops Pre-sowing risks should be covered in instances where sowing is prevented. Post harvest losses should be covered The Maximum coverage to be restricted to 100% of the threshold yield Irrigated and unirrigated areas within a crop should be notified separately The scheme should be restricted to Loanee farmers only Specific measures such as improved marketing facilities for inclusion of large number of non-loanee farmers under the scheme The seasonality discipline should be uniform for both Loanee and Non loanee farmers Premium related: Actuarial premium rates in case of Annual Commercial and Horticulture crops be capped at 3 percent. Alternatively, the scheme be made voluntary for these crops. Restoring premium subsidy in case of Small and Marginal farmers All small and marginal farmers in rainfed areas to be given 100 percent subsidy in premium. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 13 Joint Group Report Regional premium rating to be adopted instead of uniform State Level Rates. Farming community feels that premium rates are already high, while implementers / administrators feel it is low. Indemnity related: Claims to be paid immediately after loss Ad-hoc/on account settlement of claims Individual assessment of claims Objective loss assessment procedures Guaranteed yield to be based on 3-5 best years out of past 10 years Indemnity limit should be at least 80% No claim bonus to be allowed Single series of Crop Cutting Experiments (CCEs) should not be insisted Individual assessment in case of localized calamities should be implemented in all areas Areas where stipulated number of CCEs is not completed should be considered for claims by using appropriate method such as clubbing with neighboring areas etc. Insurance Unit size should be small so that losses reflected are closer to reality Surplus premium over and above claims in normal/good years should be carried forward Risk sharing between Government of India and the State Govt. should be 4:1 or at least 2:1 State share of claims may be met out of Calamity Relief Fund of the Government of India Administration related: Sample size of Crop Cutting Experiments should be reduced ______________________________________________________________________________________ 14 Joint Group Report Time schedule should be prescribed for various activities under the scheme, particularly settlement of claims Delay in receipt of yield data and / or funds from states leading to longer settlement periods for claims should be avoided Implementing agency should strengthen its infrastructure and manpower, including network at district level to have a good reach to the farmers. Central Govt. should take steps to create awareness and bear the publicity expenditure. The entire expenditure on additional CCEs required for lowering the insurance unit to village panchayat should be borne by Government of India Banks should streamline their functioning and stop perceiving the administration work involved as additional burden. The Service charges payable to Banks under the scheme are not commensurate with job involved, and needs to be enhanced Lack of adequately trained staff with Banks to interact with the farmers regarding the scheme provisions Legal cases should not be filed against compulsory provisions of scheme Insurance Principles related: Adverse selection problems (choosing to participate in the scheme selectively even after being certain of crop losses) particularly of nonloanee farmers Inflated claims resulting from false coverage or tampered yield data or both Lack of spread in risk due to non-participation of important states The important issues and possible solutions are discussed in Chapter-3. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 15 Joint Group Report 1. 3. FARM INCOME INSURANCE SCHEME (FIIS) 1.3.1. Basic Objectives: NAIS protects the farmers only against the yield fluctuations. The price fluctuations are outside the purview of this scheme. Farmers’ income is a function of yield and market prices. Therefore, despite normal production, farmers often fail to maintain their income level due to fluctuations in market prices. To take care of variability in both the yield and market price, the government introduced a pilot project, viz. Farm Income Insurance Scheme (FIIS) during Rabi 2003-04 season. The objective of the scheme was not only to protect the income of the farmer, but also to reduce the government expenditure on procurement at Minimum Support Price (MSP). The other main objectives were to encourage crop diversification and also to give fillip to private trade, etc. The following are the salient features of the farm income insurance scheme: i. The crops covered are rice and wheat. ii. The scheme is based on the ‘homogeneous area’ approach and notified area can be an administrative unit such as a gram panchayat, mandal, revenue circle, block, taluka or district. iii. The scheme is compulsory for loanee farmers and voluntary for nonloanee farmers. iv. The premium rates are actuarial, determined for each State at the district level. v. The Government of India subsidizes the gross premium payable by the insured farmers. The subsidy will be 75 per cent of the premium for small/marginal farmers and 50 per cent for other farmers. vi. Two levels of indemnity, i.e. 90 per cent for low-risk areas and 80 per cent for high-risk areas. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 16 Joint Group Report vii. If the actual income (current yield X current market price) is lower than guaranteed income (average yield of 7 years X level of indemnity [80% or 90%] X MSP), the insured farmer receives the compensation. viii. The government procurement at MSP is suspended in the pilot districts for covered crops. ix. NAIS is suspended for the selected districts/crops where the pilot FIIS is implemented. 1.3.2. Experience of FIIS: The scheme was implemented during Rabi 2003-04 season in 15 districts of 8 States for wheat and 3 districts of 3 States for rice on pilot basis. The coverage details during Rabi 2003-04 are presented in Table-5. Table-5 Sr. No. State District WHEAT Bihar 1 Chhattisgarh 2 Buxar Durg Rajnandangaon Gujarat 3 Banaskantha Jharkhand 4 Hazaribagh Sahebganj Madhya 5 Pradesh Hoshangabad Tikkamgarh Raisen Maharashtra 6 Parbhani Uttar 7 Pradesh Mirzapur Mathura Etawah Kannauj Uttranchal 8 Dehradun Farmers Acreage (ha.) Total Total 187 2541 1389 484 778 376 21139 33068 17243 981 12144 53544 15856 16649 1829 200 3745 1638 611 529 300 30699 23422 36758 462 14754 46823 12429 16291 854 Sum Insured Total Rs. Lakhs Premium Claims Total Total 24.28 173.70 82.52 72.63 49.01 26.83 3731.69 2396.35 3333.94 33.56 1539.05 7738.89 1812.38 2657.61 71.89 1.77 15.02 12.95 2.25 3.90 1.82 322.79 80.28 155.65 2.92 69.49 448.58 99.41 176.46 5.75 0.13 50.12 15.37 0.00 2.21 8.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.25 3.96 22.88 12.88 19.11 0.41 Total 178208 189515 23744.33 1399.04 136.60 Kamrup Mysore Madurai Total Grand Total 1740 59 199 1998 180206 1257 110.52 41 8.93 214 50.79 1512 170.24 191027 23914.57 3.92 0.79 2.49 7.20 1406.24 7.05 0.00 0.00 7.05 143.65 RICE Assam 9 Karnataka 10 Tamilnadu 11 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 17 Joint Group Report Initially it was planned that procurement operations at MSP would be suspended in the pilot districts. However, due to pressure from states and farmers, the procurement operations were restored at harvesting time. Kharif 2004 season: The Scheme has been repeated in 19 Districts of four States for Rice crop during Kharif 2004 season. The provisional coverage details is given in Table-6 below: Table-6 S. No. State District Farmers Total Acreage (ha.) Total Sum Insured (Rs. Lakhs) Total Premium (Rs. Lakhs) Total RICE Gujarat 1 Ahmedaqbad Baroda Bulsar Panchmahals Surat Jharkhand 2 Gumala Hazaribagh Ranchi E. Singhbhum W.Singhbhum Maharashtra 3 Bhandara Chandrapur Gadchiroli Raigarh Thane West 4 Bengal Birbhum Jalpaiguri Murshidabad North 24-Prgs Total 2037 536 1216 12829 28 12951 25959 12902 8240 10050 22176 22783 8682 1708 16559 27595 1908 12076 16134 216369 6595 788 1215 13561 21 9388 18532 9668 5712 7668 28867 30447 12693 667 13770 10957 945 4626 9865 185985 507.08 44.90 136.88 535.74 2.27 613.38 1422.02 821.71 416.93 460.75 2329.19 2387.67 894.27 102.11 1834.55 1931.95 89.83 684.87 1233.85 16449.95 117.74 8.94 2.12 173.58 0.11 22.70 61.86 33.28 23.97 37.32 175.85 274.58 87.65 2.81 133.92 44.43 2.64 44.85 27.73 1276.08 Note: Claims position would be known by February’ 05 1.3.3. FIIS - Key Issues and Constraints: As it was initially intended to implement FIIS in 100 districts during Kharif 2004, a general review of FIIS was done in the beginning of Kharif 2004 season. It was noticed that many states including Haryana and Punjab had not agreed to implement the scheme. The single most important reason given for non______________________________________________________________________________________ 18 Joint Group Report acceptance was suspension of MSP based procurement in areas where the scheme is implemented. Other important issues noticed in the review were: Majority States were not keen to implement the scheme on the ground that it would not be beneficial to the farmers, as yield and price have offsetting behavior. The premium rates were substantially high despite the premium subsidy given by the government. States demanded that the premium payable by farmer should be restricted to NAIS level. States also desired that coverage of the scheme should be enlarged to cover risky crops like soybean, groundnut, red gram and commercial crops like cotton, etc. Some of the States were of the view that the Guaranteed Income is not attractive since the market prices of the superior varieties grown never go below MSP of Fair Average Quality (FAQ). Since Price and Yield are negatively correlated, the probability of claim arises only when Price and Yield both go below the guaranteed level, which may be a rarity. Improper functioning of Marketing Departments, availability of past as also current data at implementation level was another reason quoted as hindrance for smooth implementation of the Scheme 1.4. Weather insurance 1.4.1. Concept: Many agrarian economies owe their strength to favourable weather parameters, such as rainfall, temperature, sunshine etc. However, these economies are ill equipped to deal with adverse incidences of weather. Therefore, reducing vulnerability to weather in developing countries may very well be the most critical challenge facing development in the new millennium. Sixty five percent of Indian agriculture is heavily dependent on rainfall, and, therefore, is extremely weather sensitive. Several studies including those by the ______________________________________________________________________________________ 19 Joint Group Report National Commission on Water have established that rainfall variations account for more than 50 percent of variability in crop yields. Many agricultural inputs such as soil, seeds, fertilizer, management practices etc. contribute to productivity. However, weather, particularly rainfall has overriding importance over all other inputs. The reason is simple - without proper rainfall, the contributory value of all the other inputs diminishes substantially. An analysis of Indian Crop Insurance Program between 1985 and 2003 reveals that rainfall accounted for nearly 95 percent claims – 85 percent because of deficit rainfall and 10 percent because of excess rainfall. The basic idea of weather insurance is to estimate the percentage deviation in crop output due to adverse deviations in weather conditions. There are statistical techniques to workout the relationships between crop output and weather parameters. Techniques like multivariate regression could explain the impact of weather deviations / variations on productivity. This gives the linkage between the financial losses suffered by farmers due to weather variations and also estimates the indemnities that will be payable to them. The analysis could also include contingencies associated with the timing and the distribution of weather parameters, particularly rainfall over the season. The two together form the basis for designing rainfall (weather) insurance contracts. 1.4.2. Advantages over traditional crop insurance: There are many shortcomings in the traditional crop insurance. The important ones are: (a) moral hazard (b) adverse selection (c) multiple agencies and their huge administrative cost which are hidden in the government budgets (d) lack of reliable methodology for estimating and reporting crop yields (e) delays in settlement of claims (f) program limited to growers (farmers). Majority of these shortcomings are overcome in the weather insurance, which are discussed here below: a. Trigger events (like adverse rainfall) can be independently verified & measured. India has an independent rainfall reporting system through India Meteorological Department. If the unbiased data can be procured, the moral hazard can be minimized to a large extent. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 20 Joint Group Report b. Weather insurance does not encourage potential negligence on the part of insured, and the cultivator’s urge for a good harvest remains unaffected. c. Compared to yield based insurance, weather insurance is inexpensive to operate. Since very few agencies would be involved in implementation, the aggregate administrative cost would be far lower. d. Weather insurance allows for speedy settlement of indemnities, as claims can be settled even within a fortnight of the expiry of indemnity period. 1.4.3. Summary of products introduced upto Kharif 2004: Till date three companies have introduced pilot projects on rainfall insurance. the details are as follows: ICICI-Lombard General Insurance Company: ICICI-Lombard was the first general insurance company in India to introduce rainfall insurance based on a ‘composite rainfall index’ in 2003. It implemented a pilot project in Mahabubnagar district of Andhra Pradesh for groundnut and castor. Though participation was limited, it held out valuable lessons for future programs. The rainfall index insurance has been further extended to other areas during Kharif 2004 season. ICICI-Lombard has also designed rainfall insurance cover for Oranges in Jhalawar district of Rajasthan during 2004. Agriculture Insurance Company of India Ltd. (AIC) Agricultural Insurance Company of India (AIC) introduced rainfall insurance known as ‘Varsha Bima’ during the 2004 South-West Monsoon period. Varsha Bima provided for five different options suiting varied requirements of farming community. These are – (i) seasonal rainfall insurance based on aggregate rainfall from June to September, (ii) sowing failure insurance based on rainfall between 15th June and 15th August, (iii) rainfall distribution insurance with weights assigned to different weeks between June and September, (iv) agronomic index constructed on the basis of water requirement of crops at different pheno-phases and (v) catastrophe option, covering extremely adverse deviations of 50 percent & above in rainfall during the season. The Varsha Bima ______________________________________________________________________________________ 21 Joint Group Report has been piloted in 20 rain gauge areas spread over Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Rajasthan and Uttar Pradesh. AIC is also working on index based rainfall insurance for all major crops in Western Rajasthan for future seasons. IFFCO – Tokio General Insurance Company: IFFCO-Tokio General Insurance Company (ITGI) piloted rainfall insurance by the name – ‘Baarish Bima’ during 2004 in nine districts of Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, Gujarat & Maharashtra. The product is based on rainfall index compensating farmers for deficit rainfall. The policy pays for deviations in actual rainfall exceeding 30 percent. The claims are paid on graded scale, with 100 percent claims payable when adverse deviation in rainfall reaches 90 percent. The premium rates vary from 4 - 5 percent and farmers are covered on group basis. The experience of rainfall insurance in the country is presented below in Table-7 Table-7 S.No Company 1 2 3 Years States implemented ICICI-Lombard 2003 & A.P.;M.P.;U.P.; 2004 Rajasthan, Tamilnadu IFFCO-Tokio 2004 A.P.; Gujarat; Karnataka AIC 2004 A.P.; U.P. Farmers Sum insured Premium Claims (Rs.) covered (Rs.) (Rs.) 2922 3,49,01,400 36,34,325 24,10,770 3209 1050 10,02,68,000 46,38,941 Awaiting IMD data 2,18,82,754 6,11,806 5,56,698 Note: Insurance works on the principle of spread of risk over time and space. Therefore, result of one season is no indicator for judging the insurance scheme The Joint Group intended to compare benefits of rainfall insurance with National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) since its inception in 1999. It required ‘as if’ analysis of rainfall insurance product for past four Kharif seasons for major states and a comparison with benefits of NAIS to test the efficacy of rainfall insurance product. Accordingly, IMD was requested to furnish rainfall data for the years 2002 & 2003. The data, however, has not been received from IMD till date. In the absence of rainfall data, the Group could not undertake the above study. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 22 Joint Group Report 2. Remote Sensing Technology in Crop Insurance 2.1. Background: Remote sensing is the science of acquiring information about the Earth's surface without actually being in contact with it. This is done by sensing and recording reflected or emitted energy and processing, analyzing, and applying that information. Remote sensing deals with the detection and measurement of phenomena with devices sensitive to electromagnetic energy such as - Light (cameras and scanners); Heat (thermal scanners) and Radio Waves (radar). Remote Sensing Technology (RST) is the emerging technology with potential to offer plenty of supplementary, complimentary and value added functions for crop insurance. The present technology not only provides the insurers with tools like hazard mapping, crop health reports, acreage-sown confirmation, yield modeling etc. which are not only important for verifying claims, but also strengthen the position of insurers vis-à-vis re-insurance market. The technology is already being tried out in agriculture insurance in countries like United States of America (USA), Canada, Australia, etc. The major products in which this technology is being used in these countries are Hail Insurance and Multi-Peril Crop Insurance. These products are based on specified perils, and hence claims become payable only if the losses are on account of these specified perils. In other words, loss assessment in individual approach is very complex and requires great deal of precision. Yet, insurance companies are able to take help of remote sensing technology to – identify insured field, calculate planted acreage, identifying boundaries of the field and finally assessing the loss. USA with more than 25 satellites makes it possible for insurers, and at competitive price. Despite availability and competitive prices, insurance companies in these countries are yet to adopt the technology in a significant way. The insurance companies are still cautious in their approach. While majority of companies are ______________________________________________________________________________________ 23 Joint Group Report still experimenting with this technology, a few companies like IGF Insurance and Fireman’s Fund in USA have realized the potential of technology and adopted it on a large scale with respect to identification of insured fields, crops, assessment of damage due to hail, floods and a few diseases. Details of some of the companies, which have used remote sensing applications, are given below: Iowa Grain & Feed (IGF) Insurance Company: IGF is a crop insurer in the US, with over $250 million business by way of premium. Headquartered in Des Moines, Iowa, IGF specializes in writing innovative crop insurance plans including Crop-Hail, the federal Multiple Peril Crop Insurance, and other crop-related insurance plan named Perils. The company has effectively demonstrated that commercially available imagery could be used to detect and locate the relative level of hail damage in cropped areas. Fireman’s Fund Insurance Company: Fireman's Fund AgriBusiness, which several years ago adapted satellite technology into an all-terrain vehicle (ATV) mobile mapping system uses the geographic systems to mine data and show relationships, opportunities, challenges and problems. The company is growing beyond what growth has been in the crop insurance industry because it’s able to bring value addition to the insurance company and the insured using remote sensing technology. The agents are also equipped with remote sensing based capabilities. Federal Crop Insurance Corporation: In June 2001, an U.S. District judge in Arkansas ruled against several farmers who were accused of filing false crop insurance claims totaling approximately $244,000. Key evidence in the lawsuit—filed on behalf of the U.S. Department of Agriculture and the agency that audits the federal crop insurance program— came in the form of infrared satellite images demonstrating that crops alleged to be destroyed by bad weather had in fact never existed. The details of some case studies are appended as Annexures - 3(a) to 3(g). ______________________________________________________________________________________ 24 Joint Group Report 2.2. Remote Sensing Applications in Agriculture in India: The Government of India in the early 1990s had started a number of projects for use of remote sensing technology in Agriculture. These projects are coordinated by Ministry of Agriculture and implemented by National Remote Sensing Agency (NRSA) and Space Applications Centre (SAC) within Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO). Some of these important projects are as follows: (i) Crop Acreage and Production Estimation (CAPE) Project Satellite-based remote sensing, because of synoptic view, repetitive coverage and multi-spectral capabilities offers to provide timely and reliable crop estimates and to monitor its condition regularly on near real time basis. Studies on use of space borne Remote Sensing (RS) digital data for crop acreage estimation were taken up at the SAC with various collaborating agencies. CAPE project sponsored by the Ministry of Agriculture, covered wheat, rice, groundnut, mustard, Rabi sorghum and cotton in selected predominant crop growing districts of the country. The procedure developed under CAPE used single-date high resolution RS data coinciding with maximum vegetative growth stage of a crop, maximum likelihood (MXL) supervised classification and stratified random sampling or district boundary mask approach and provided estimates at district-level. (ii) National Wheat Production Forecasting The procedures developed under CAPE were extended to national-level wheat production forecasting using multi-date WiFS data (coarse resolution and high repetivity) since 1995-96. The procedure uses a national-level sampling frame and sample segment grids of 15 X 15 km and multiple forecasts. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 25 Joint Group Report (iii) National Rice Production Forecasting During Kharif season, the optical sensor in the presence of cloud cannot see the land cover under it. Microwave sensors can see through the clouds. ERS and RADARSAT satellites have provided useful data to assess the crops during the cloud covered periods. Besides providing rice production forecasts, it attempts to map the areas undergoing major increase/decrease in rice due to natural hazards. (iv) Yield Modeling Approaches Crop yield is an important and dynamic component of crop production forecasting which is affected by several factors such as genetic potential of crop cultivator, soil, weather, cultivation practices (date of sowing, amount of irrigation and fertilizer) and biotic stresses. Vegetation Indices (VIs) derived from RS data acquired at maximum vegetative growth stage are indicative of crop growth, vigour and potential grain yield. There are several approaches for yield modeling using space-borne RS data either independently or in combination with meteorological data. These are: (a) Direct VI – Yield Empirical Models The approach of relating Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) and average district yield is being adopted for developing district-level yield forecast models based on multi-year average NDVI near peak vegetative stage. This approach is adopted for regular in-season forecasting for study districts under the CAPE Project. (b) Combined Agromet-Spectral Yield Models It was observed in one of the studies that wheat NDVI, after inter-sensor normalization, path radiance correction and acquisition date normalization could explain about 50 per cent of the yield variations. However, when the ______________________________________________________________________________________ 26 Joint Group Report mean night temperature during first fortnight of March was used as an additional predictor, 81 per cent of yield deviations from trend could be explained. This indicates that spectral indices alone cannot explain the maximum variability in the yield. It has been observed that indices derived from temperature data bear good correlation with wheat yields. (c) Multi-Date RS data based models The spectral growth profile approach provides complete information on the canopy development. This approach makes it conceptually sounder than those involving single-date spectral indices. Time sequence of a typical spectral index (NIR/Red, NDVI, greenness) for the entire growth cycle of a crop suggests a continuous curve showing distinct rise and fall, much like a bell-shaped curve. Multi-date acquisitions of WiFS data have been used for wheat discrimination using a hierarchical decision rule based procedure and for developing spectral crop growth profiles under the National wheat production-forecasting project. (d) Crop Growth Simulation Models Crop growth simulation model is a useful tool, which mimic the response of crop to its surrounding atmosphere and inputs. Crop simulation model calculates dry matter production and its partitioning on daily basis. CERESWheat model, which is a part of DSSAT – 3.5 simulation model, has been run in an attempt to capture the variability in wheat yield under the National Wheat Production Forecasting Project. The weather variables that have been taken into account are maximum and minimum temperatures. 2.3. Remote Sensing Applications in Crop Insurance in India: The Joint Group discussed applications of remote sensing technology in crop insurance with SAC, ISRO. The discussions revealed certain constraints in successfully using RST in some areas of crop insurance. These are: ______________________________________________________________________________________ 27 Joint Group Report i) Persistent cloud cover during Kharif makes it difficult to get proper satellite images. Microwave Remote Sensing, which can pierce clouds, is available only through a Canadian satellite – RADARSAT. However, the resolution available is very coarse and consequently is not very accurate. Moreover this technology is useful for crops grown with standing water, such as rice. ii) The finer resolution satellite data is expensive. iii) A lot of crops with less biomass are difficult to figure out through satellite imagery. The Group is of the view that despite these constraints, there are some useful applications of remote sensing technology in crop insurance. These include successful models for acreage and yields estimation for majority of Rabi crops, and important Kharif crops, such as Rice, Cotton, Soybean, etc. Yield estimation using meteorological data through regression models further improves accuracy. The remote sensing technology applications could be of use in finalizing ‘onaccount’ settlement of crop insurance claims within the season. The Joint Group considering ‘area approach’ nature of crop insurance and availability of remote sensing capabilities in the country has come to conclusion that use of remote sensing technology in crop health monitoring, crop acreage and yield estimation could give the insurer a tool to simplify claim procedures and claim monitoring. The benefits to the insurer on account of use of advanced technologies explained above would be – a) Greater credibility to insurer’s efforts towards securing re-insurance since these technologies are being used in developed countries. b) Unbiased, objective and independent data to crosscheck and supplement other field information inputs. The independent information source will help check inflated claims. Periodic independent ground investigations based on satellite and Geographic Information System (GIS) derived anomalous areas will further limit such claims. c) The remote sensing data on crop area and relative productivity levels will be available well before the cut-off date for receipt of crop yield data provided by the Department of Economics and Statistics (DES), facilitating ______________________________________________________________________________________ 28 Joint Group Report adequate ground validation. In-season monitoring will assist monitoring of crop progress and provide advance warning of expected claims after the season. d) The geo-referenced GIS database provides the basis for reliable analysis and risk mapping zones. e) The use of advanced technologies will facilitate progress towards individual based assessment and towards commercial premiums in future. The benefits to the insured include accurate and unbiased yield and loss estimation, early settlement of claims, use of remote sensing inputs as trigger for deciding quantum of claim amount, etc. The Joint Group, on the basis of various inputs examined, lists the following application areas of remote sensing in crop insurance programme for future: i. Estimating actual acreage-sown at insurance unit level to check the discrepancy of ‘over-insurance’ (acreage insured higher than acreage sown). ii. Investigating anomalies / discrepancies in acreage-sown through ground surveys using Global Positioning Systems (GPS). iii. Monitoring crop health through the crop season, and investigation on ground for advance intimation of yield losses. iv. Investigating satellite derived poor crop areas and those from crop cutting experiment, to check adequacy and reliability of data. v. Developing satellite based crop productivity models for cereal and other crops. vi. Rapid and detailed damage assessment after disaster such as floods, cyclone, drought and others. vii. Developing Geographic Information System (GIS) of defined area of insurance unit for user-friendly viewing, querying and analysis on agricultural situation. viii. Use RST applications as one of the triggers to facilitate early settlement of claims. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 29 Joint Group Report ix. Use RST applications (crop health) for designing ‘blended insurance products’, such as agri-met & spectral based insurance product, etc. x. GIS for office operations of crop insurance. Considering the experience of other countries in using remote sensing applications in crop insurance, and the fairly developed technology available in the country, the Joint Group recommends that a pilot project on using remote sensing technology in crop insurance should be taken up by AIC from Kharif 2005 season onwards. The areas for pilot project may include: I. Acreage estimation II. Crop health reports III. Yield modeling IV. Reduction of sample size of CCEs V. Yield models based on combination of agri-meteorological data & spectral data VI. RS data as proxy indicators for finalizing quantum of ‘on-account’ indemnity and VII. Deciding eligibility of claims for prevented sowing together with weather data. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 30 Joint Group Report 3. CROP INSURANCE – A WAY FORWARD 3.1. National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) 3.1.1. Fundamental Issues: As pointed out in the earlier chapter, limited expansion in the scope and content of crop insurance scheme in the form of NAIS did not measure upto the expectations of the farming community. The key impending issues have been identified and are listed below: i. The insurance unit presently is large and not reflecting yield experience of individual farmers. ii. Guaranteed Yields are not reflecting reasonable aspirations of farmers iii. The present indemnity levels are inadequate iv. Inordinate delay in settlement of claims v. Inadequate risk / loss coverage vi. Individual assessment of losses in case of localized calamities vii. The scheme be made voluntary for all farmers. viii. Poor infrastructure facilities for coverage of non-loanee farmers ix. Insurance coverage is not available for Fruits and Vegetables x. Bodily injury of farmers in the course of agricultural activities not covered in the scheme 3.1.2. Suggested Improvements: (1) Reduction of insurance unit to the village panchayat level for major crops: National Agricultural Insurance Scheme is implemented on the basis of “homogeneous area” approach, and the area (insurance unit) at present is Taluka / Block or equivalent unit in most instances. The approach would give desired results provided the yield variability within the area (insurance unit) is the ______________________________________________________________________________________ 31 Joint Group Report least. However considering that the present units are largely administrative, the yields are hardly uniform within the unit. As a result the yield experience of individual farmer is significantly different from that of the insurance unit. The result of significant yield variability within the unit has serious implications in claims – farmers with low yields have distinct advantage, as the area average is higher than their own, while farmers with high yields for exactly opposite reason are at a disadvantage. In insurance parlance this problem is referred to as ‘basis risk’. It is, therefore, felt that the insurance unit should be as small as possible. Obviously, “Individual approach” would reflect crop losses on a realistic basis and would be, most desirable, but, in Indian conditions, implementing a crop insurance scheme at “individual farm unit level” is beset with problems, such as: a) Non availability of past record of land surveys, ownership, tenancy and yields at individual farm level b) Large number of farm holdings (nearly 11.6 Crores) with small farm holding size c) Remoteness of villages and inaccessibility of farm-holdings d) Large variety of crops, varied agro-climatic conditions and package of practices e) Simultaneous harvesting of crops all over the country f) Effort required in collection of small amount of premium from large number of farmers g) Prohibitive cost of manpower and infrastructure Practical approach, therefore, will be to have smaller insurance units such as village panchayat, as it can reduce basis risk largely. The NAIS in existing form also does provide for smaller insurance unit viz. village panchayat. However, the states could not lower the insurance unit to the desired level because of huge increase in number of CCEs and consequent manpower requirement and costs. The Joint Group studied the manpower and cost implications and makes the following recommendations: ______________________________________________________________________________________ 32 Joint Group Report (i) Manpower: States should make use of existing manpower of concerned departments to the extent possible. However, where existing manpower is inadequate, staff identified by the state government as surplus may be trained and re-deployed. Additional manpower can also be out-sourced in consultation with implementing agency from agri-clinics, agri-prenuers, agricultural universities, KVKs, retired department officials, unemployed agricultural graduates, etc. (ii) Costs: Assuming that three major crops would be notified at village panchayat level (on an average two during Kharif & one during Rabi), the number of CCEs required for village panchayat is 24 based on sample size of 8 CCEs per unit per crop. With nearly 2.2 lakh village panchayats likely to be notified for the major crops, 50 lakh additional CCEs would be required to lower the insurance unit to village panchayat. The cost of conducting each CCE is estimated at Rs. 300, the details of which are as follows: (i) Remuneration of primary worker per CCE: Rs. 200 (visit to farmer, farm, travel, salary, etc.) (ii) Cost of labour for performing CCE: Rs. 50 (iii) Cost of various forms & documentation and equipment: Rs. 50 At an estimated cost of Rs. 300 per CCE, the cost of total 55 lakh CCEs (existing 5 lakhs + additional 50 lakhs) could be of the order of Rs. 165 crores, of which approx. 90% of the expenditure is recurring. The Joint Group, after considering the importance of reduction of insurance unit and the costs involved in conducting additional CCEs, recommends that the costs for CCEs may be shared between the Government of India and States on 50:50 basis. However, smaller unit and larger number of CCEs from insurance angle may create more scope for possible interference and manipulation. To counter such malpractices, appropriate checks and balances have to be put in place in generating sound and accurate yield data. Some of these checks could be as follows: ______________________________________________________________________________________ 33 Joint Group Report (i) Single series of yield data to be maintained for the Government of India production estimates and crop insurance. All the CCEs, which are part of crop insurance will also form part of the government estimates. Planning and supervision for all CCEs will be of the same order as that of General Crop Estimation Surveys (GCES) (ii) The sample size of CCEs, which is presently eight (8) at village panchayat level, will be reviewed in consultation with technical agencies such as Indian Agricultural Statistical Research Institute (IASRI) and National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO). Inputs from remote sensing technology will also be considered in arriving at the sample size. (iii) As a long-term measure to enhance quality of yield assessment, Remote Sensing Technology (RST) would be tried out for yield modeling on pilot basis. The results of RST based yield estimates would be initially utilized for smoothing CCEs based yield estimates generated at village panchayat level. (2) Threshold Yield (Guaranteed Yield): Presently Guaranteed Yield, based on which the indemnities are calculated is moving average yield of preceding three years for rice and wheat and five years for other crops, multiplied by the Level of Indemnity. The concept does not provide for adequate protection to farmers, especially in States / Areas where there have been consecutive adverse seasonal conditions, pulling down the average yield. The Joint Group discussed various alternatives in providing reasonable guarantee of average yield. These are: i. One worst & one best year to be excluded from preceding seven years. This is a balanced approach of smoothing the past yield and hence will be ______________________________________________________________________________________ 34 Joint Group Report acceptable to reinsurer. But, in areas, which have experienced series of consecutive bad years, it may actually reduce the guaranteed yield and, therefore, may not be acceptable. ii. Take long-term average of 10 / 15 / 20 years. It is as good as a normal yield. However, it suffers from time-trend in yield wherever there is an upward trend in the yield. iii. Take the best three out of the preceding seven years. It will be attractive to the farmers, but would significantly increase cost of indemnities. Further it will not go well with reinsurers, and will substantially increase reinsurance cost. iv. Take the best three out of the preceding five years. It is an improvement over the existing method, but the actual period for reckoning of guaranteed yield is too short (3 years), and hence may not be stable. v. Take the best five out of the preceding seven years. It has the advantage of moderation over other methods considered and will be reasonably attractive to the farmers since sufficiently long period (5 years) is reckoned. Bearing in mind the pros and cons of various alternatives discussed above, the Joint Group recommends for Guaranteed Yield (Threshold Yield) based on average of best five out of preceding seven years, as it is more appropriate and balanced. (3) Levels of Indemnity: At present the levels of indemnity are 60%, 80% or 90% corresponding to high, medium & low risk areas. The 60% indemnity level can not adequately cover the risk, especially in case of small / medium intensity adversities, as the losses will get covered only if and when the loss exceeds 40%. During Kharif 2004, 58 percent of all areas / crops were in 60% indemnity zone, 32 percent in 80% zone and 10 percent in 90% zone. The Joint Group considered if the indemnity level can be kept uniformly at 90% for all crops and areas. However, considering that there are huge year-to-year variations across states (especially, Gujarat, Karnataka, Orissa, etc), the Joint ______________________________________________________________________________________ 35 Joint Group Report Group recommends two indemnity levels viz. 90% for low risk (stable) crops and 80% for other crops. (4) Extending risk coverage to prevented sowing / planting due to adverse seasonal conditions Existing scheme covers risk only from sowing to harvesting. Many a time sowing / planting is prevented due to adverse seasonal conditions and farmer not only loses his initial investment, but also loses the opportunity value of the crop. The Joint Group feels that a situation where the farmer is prevented from even sowing the field is a case of extreme hardship and this risk must be covered. It was also felt by the Group that though the idea is laudable, but is administratively very cumbersome in a scheme based on ‘Area approach’. There is an element of moral hazard as well. However, to redress the extreme hardship to which the farmer is subjected to in a situation of prevented sowing, the Joint Group examined the following two possible modalities in covering pre-sowing / planting risk: (A) Based on Individual farmer: It is based on adverse deviation in rainfall during June & July, affecting sowing operations. Once the deviation reaches a point determined on scientific lines, all insured farmers who could not sow the crop will forward applications for indemnity through concerned credit agency. The credit agency shall pool in all such applications and communicate to the implementing agency with details of original coverage. The farmers who receive pre-sowing indemnity are not eligible for yield-based indemnity. pros & cons: It is more equitable and realistic. But, is cumbersome for all involved, viz. farmers, credit agency and the implementing agency. Considering the number of transactions (receiving applications, pooling in, referencing to original coverage etc.) credit agencies may not be willing to carry the workload. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 36 Joint Group Report (B) Based on Area equity: It is a two-step procedure involving rainfall and sowing details. An area will be eligible for pre-sowing indemnity only if rainfall & sowing details meet the criteria set for the purpose. Firstly, the deviation in rainfall during June & July should be so much that it would adversely affect sowing operations. The parameters can be set using scientific data, including remote sensing technology. Secondly, the area qualifies for the benefit, only if the sowing is below 50 percent of normal area. Once the two-step mechanism is qualified, all insured farmers in the area will automatically receive indemnity. Having received indemnity based on pre-sowing, the insured farmers in the area will not be eligible for yield-based indemnity. pros & cons: it is easy and convenient to implementing agency and credit agencies. However, the ‘sowing prevented’ farmers would be eligible for indemnity only if the area sowing is below 50 percent of normal. Further, once the area based on sowing qualifies for pre-sowing indemnity, even those farmers who could sow the crop will also receive the benefit. However, these farmers will not be eligible for indemnity based on yield data. The Joint Group after going through both the alternatives recommends the alternative of Area based equity, for its simplicity, with the following guidelines in extending pre-sowing / planting risk coverage: i. The cut off dates for both loanee & non-loanee farmers should be the same. The cut-off dates could be between 15th June – 15th July for Kharif crops in different states; 31st December for Rabi and 31st January for Summer crops. In case of Kharif crops, the cut-off dates are to be fixed in such a way that these dates correspond to historical onset / covering by SW Monsoon. An indicative seasonality for Kharif season is provided in Table-8. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 37 Joint Group Report Table –8: Historical onset and coverage by South West (SW) Monsoon and proposed cut-off dates for Kharif S.No States SW Monsoon Proposed coverage by 1 Kerala & Tamilnadu 1st week of cut-off dates 15th June June Andhra Pradesh, Karnataka, 2 Orissa, West Bengal, North- 15th June 30th June Eastern States 3 Maharashtra, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand, Bihar 4 June 30th June 4th week of 30th June Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, Uttaranchal Himachal Pradesh 5 3rd week of June Rajasthan, Punjab, Haryana, J&K 1st week of 15th July July ii. The indemnity payable for prevented sowing will be between 20 percent 25 percent of original sum insured depending on cost of pre-sowing / planting expenses likely to be incurred. The proportionate premium component paid by farmer for balance period of risk not run can be added (ranging from 1% - 5%) to the indemnity and paid, instead of premium refund. iii. The existing rain gauge stations of IMD and States need to be strengthened and the network extended so that accurate rainfall data is available at least at block level. (5) Coverage of post harvest losses: In some states crops like Rice are left in the field for drying after harvest. Quite often, especially in the coastal areas, ‘cut & spread’ crop is damaged by ______________________________________________________________________________________ 38 Joint Group Report cyclones, floods, etc. Since the existing scheme covers risk only upto harvesting, these post-harvest risks are outside the purview of insurance. The Joint Group after examining the genuineness of the cover and the difficulties in assessing such losses at individual level, recommends that the insurance cover may be made available to such post harvest losses also, but it should be restricted only for those crops in coastal areas, which are allowed to dry in the field after harvesting and should be against cyclonic rains only. Further the coverage should be available only upto a maximum period of two weeks from harvesting. The Group also recommends that in such cases the assessment of damage would be on individual basis. (6) Compulsory nature of Scheme: The existing scheme is compulsory for farmers who avail loans for raising insurable / notified crops in states where the scheme is implemented. On account of premium rates, which are high for certain annual commercial / horticultural crops, and certain areas and crops for which no claims have been received largely due to good crop, there has been a suggestion to make the scheme voluntary. The idea was to leave the decision of participation to farmers. The Joint Group considered the above suggestions, and keeping in mind a number of reasons, such as the low awareness levels and public interest involved of large number of farmers; administered premium rates; premium being financed by credit agency; requirement of collateral security for credit agency of its loan portfolio etc., recommends that the scheme should continue to be compulsory for loanee farmers. (7) Uniform seasonality discipline for participation in the scheme: The Joint Group took note of the experience of the last four years of NAIS, which had seen extension of cut off date for participation of non-loanee farmers in many states, and consequent adverse selection problems leading to high indemnities. In order to control adverse selection problems, and to provide convenience to ______________________________________________________________________________________ 39 Joint Group Report farmers in availing insurance facility, the Joint Group makes following recommendations: (i) The seasonality discipline (cut off dates) should be uniform for both loanee and non-loanee farmers. It would range from 15th June – 15th July for Kharif crops for different states and 31st December for Rabi crops. For the states with Summer crops, it would be 31st January. (ii) Non-loanee farmers can avail insurance before sowing on the basis of crop, which he intends to sow. In case of change in the crop or other exigencies, the farmer should communicate to the Bank / institution where the proposal was submitted originally accompanied by a certificate of sowing of the alternate crop from village administration. (iii) In case of loanee farmers the coverage is effected on the basis of the loan amount sanctioned by the credit agency. The basis of sanction of the loan is the total landholding, the nature of crops grown and the scale of finance. The Joint Group also recommends that the banks display the list of all insured farmers at the village panchayat office. Further, the banks will also display the list of benefited farmers together with claim amount soon after the claims are received from implementing agency. In addition to ensuring transparency, the proposed measure will help contain legal litigation to a large extent. This will also empower village panchayat and will induce them to own up the responsibility of proper implementation of the scheme. (8) On-account settlement of claims: The claims processing in NAIS begins only after the harvest of the crop. Further claim payments have to wait for results of CCEs and also for the release of requisite funds from Centre and States. Consequently there is a time gap of 8-10 months between occurrence of loss and claim payment. Farmers have been demanding for quick settlement of claims soon after occurrence of losses so that the agriculture operations could go unhindered. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 40 Joint Group Report To expedite settlement of claims in case of adverse seasonal conditions and to ensure that at least part of the likely claims receivable are paid to the farmer before the end of the season, the Joint Group recommends that ‘on-account’ settlement of claims be done without waiting for receipt of yield data. The Group recommends that an amount upto 50 percent of likely claims should be released in advance subject to adjustment against the claims assessed on yield basis. The Joint Group further recommends that such an ‘on account’ payment will be made only if the expected yield during the season is less than 50 percent of normal yield. The criteria for deciding ‘on-account’ payment of claims shall be based on agro-meteorological data / satellite imagery or such other indicators to be decided by implementing agency, and will be implemented in those states and crops for which such proxy indicators can be established. To Illustrate, if the guaranteed yield in a particular case, is say 20 Qtls / ha. and the actual expected yield during the season is 5 Qtls / ha. The likely claims are 75 percent of sum insured. Based on this information, claims upto 37.5 percent (50 percent of likely claims) of sum insured can be released as ‘on-account’ payment. (9) Individual assessment of losses in case of localized risks NAIS presently provides for individual assessment of losses in case of localized risks, viz. hailstorm, landslide & flooding only in one taluka of a state. Farmers feel the experiment is not adequate, and it should be implemented on full scale, covering all areas. Further, they also feel the losses on account of wild animals should be covered in the scheme and the losses be assessed on individual basis. It is a fact that crop depredation by wild herbivores is an important man-animal conflict in the fringes of ‘Protected Areas and Wildlife Habitats’. This is a recurring calamity, which cannot be resolved by a single time payment of compensation to the affected party, who are usually depending on a single rainfed crop in a year. While some proactive measures like fencing, trenching and the like are adopted, more often than not, these are not very effective. Therefore, insurance coverage for crop damage caused by wild herbivores needs to be considered in the interest of eliciting public support for wildlife conservation. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 41 Joint Group Report Ministry of Environment & Forests has also recently requested Ministry of Agriculture to extend insurance to crop damage caused by wild animals. The justification is that there is no periodicity in most of such gregarious depredations and, the element of uncertainty always exists due to which such damages are non preventable in nature. More often than not, proactive measures like fencing or trenching are not effective since the boundaries of Protected Areas are large making the proposition impractical. The Joint Group, therefore, feels that crop damage caused by wild animals is a non-preventable risk, and hence should be considered for inclusion in crop insurance scheme. Accordingly, it recommends that crop damage caused by specified wild animals, viz. neelgai, spotted dear and elephant shall be covered under crop insurance scheme. As regards the larger issue of individual assessment of localized calamities, the Joint Group feels that the demand is genuine and, therefore, recommends that the losses arising out of crop damage caused by hailstorm and landslide should be assessed on individual basis in all the insured areas. Further, the damage by specified wild animals (neelgai, spotted dear and elephant) would also be added to the list of localized risks and the losses be assessed on individual basis. The insured farmers who suffer crop damage due to localized risks will be required to submit claim intimation through credit agency within specified time. (10) Service to Non-Loanee farmers The NAIS being multi-agency approach, implementing agency presently has no presence except in state capitals. The scheme is marketed to non-loanee farmers through rural credit agencies. These farmers are not familiar and comfortable going to credit agencies located at a distance. Dedicated rural agents who could provide service at doorstep of farmer would be a preferred option for these farmers. The Joint Group, therefore, recommends that implementing agency should have ______________________________________________________________________________________ 42 Joint Group Report presence at least at the taluka level, and if possible at the village level. Services of rural agents, micro insurance agents could be utilised to facilitate insurance marketing at village level. The Joint Group is also of the view that, a facilitating agency could be instituted by implementing agency at District level to support marketing facilities. (11) Coverage of Perennial Horticultural / Fruit crops and Vegetables Improving production and productivity of fruits & vegetables is a priority area and the cultivated area under these crops is steadily increasing. These perennial horticultural crops are presently not covered by NAIS and there is a demand for inclusion of these crops under the scheme. Perennial horticultural / fruit crops have two economic components viz. the tree and the yield. Farmer needs insurance against loss of both the components and hence yield based NAIS cannot provide required protection. For many of these crops, past yield data is not available for fixing premium rates and threshold yields. There are also problems like typical non-bearing period in the first three or four years, cyclical nature of production and different age groups of orchards within a unit with varied productivity level etc. In view of these peculiarities and complexities involved in designing insurance scheme for perennial horticultural crops and vegetables, the Joint Group recommends that a separate scheme for providing insurance cover to perennial horticultural crops and vegetables should be designed and implemented on a pilot basis during Kharif 2005 season. A Road Map conceived by the Joint Group for launching of separate insurance scheme for fruits and vegetables w.e.f. Kharif 2005 season is given below: i) The major fruit crops which can be covered are Mango, Grape, Orange, Cashew nut, Pomegranate, Apple, Pineapple & Banana; the major plantation crops would be Coffee, Tea, Rubber, Pepper; coconut and the major vegetable crops can be Tomato, Brinjal, Bhindi, Cauliflower, Cabbage, etc. ii) More fruit crops and vegetables can be considered if adequate cropped area is available. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 43 Joint Group Report iii) A consultancy study may be given to an expert to suggest the nature of scheme, the nature of data required, scheme design etc. Agriculture Insurance Company of India Ltd. (AIC) will prepare terms of reference for the study and will appoint the consultant. The tentative schedule is as follows: a) Release of advertisement – 20th December 2004 b) Last date for receipt of applications – 31st December 2004 c) Finalizing TORs & short-listing applicants – 10th January 2005 d) Inviting technical & financial bids – 20th January 2005 e) Appointment of consultants – 1st February 2005 f) Submission of Report by consultants – 15th March, 2005 g) AIC to submit draft scheme to the government – 31st March 2005 iv) Weather based insurance products should also be explored as part of the study. ICICI-Lombard is presently working on apple, orange, coffee, etc. v) The nature of subsidy and support of the government will be finalised on the basis of scheme design and crops expected to be covered. (12) Personal Accident Insurance of Insured Farmer Farmer is faced with continuous bodily peril while performing agricultural operations; hence, there is a case to provide him with personal accident cover along with crop insurance. The insurance cover can be provided as part of package policy on compulsory / voluntary basis, along with crop insurance. All insured farmers will be entitled for Personal Accident (PA) insurance cover of Rs. 50,000. It will be in addition to personal accident insurance cover available under Kissan Credit Card (KCC). The cover, similar to other covers provided under Package policy, will be on annual basis, commencing from the date the crop insurance premium is debited. (13) Actuarial Regime: The scheme is presently working on administered rate regime with the government financing both premia subsidy and claims, leading to lack of financial ______________________________________________________________________________________ 44 Joint Group Report discipline and accountability in administering the scheme. It is, therefore, suggested to place the scheme on actuarial regime in which insurance company receives premium based on commercial rates and is responsible for all claims. It has advantage for all concerned – the government would be able to budget its expenditure accurately and at the beginning of the year, as it relates to only premium subsidy; implementing agency has incentive to be accountable and professional in administering the scheme; and farmers would be able to receive claims early as these would be settled by implementing agency without having to wait for receipt of funds from the government. Under the proposed arrangement the government will decide the premium payable by the farmer, and the difference between the actuarial rates and the rates payable by the farmer will be borne by the government. The Joint Group recommends that the premium subsidy may range from 40% to 75% for small / marginal farmers (subject to a maximum net premium of 8%) and 25% to 60% for other farmers (subject to a maximum net premium of 12%) at different slabs of actuarial premium (refer chapter-7). Keeping in mind the collateral security provided by insurance, the Joint Group also recommends that 1.00 percentage point of premium be borne by the Banks in respect of loanee farmers. Further, the Group recommends that the actuarial premium rates be applied at State level. The table of risk premium rates worked out for existing scheme (NAIS) for 2004-05 is appended as Annexure-4 for reference. For switching over to actuarial regime the insurance company would need on one hand the support of appropriate reinsurance mechanism and on the other required solvency margin as per regulations of IRDA. The availability and cost of reinsurance could be an important consideration. The solvency margin requirements worked out on the basis of expected sum insured of Rs. 14,000 crores for 2004-05 is presented in Table–9. As per the estimates, AIC would require (assuming that worst-case loss cost will repeat during the year) an amount of Rs. 1134 crores without reinsurance protection, and Rs. 756 crores with reinsurance protection. Considering that AIC has only Rs. 200 crores of paid-up capital, it would require additional Rs. 556 crores with reinsurance, and Rs. 934 crores without it to meet the solvency requirements. The Joint Group, ______________________________________________________________________________________ 45 Joint Group Report therefore, recommends for providing required solvency margin to Agriculture Insurance Company of India Ltd. (AIC) through the budget allocation (non-plan). Table-9 Agriculture Insurance Company of India Ltd Solvency Requirements under Actuarial Regime with and without Reinsurance Basic Information on a Sum Insured of Rs. 14,000 crores (2004-05) Sum Insured Rs. 14000 crores Premium Rate 12% Gross Premium Rs. 1680 crores Claims in worst case scenario Rs. 2520 crores (18% loss cost) Reinsurance related information Premium ceded Rs. 300 crores Net Premium Rs. 1380 crores Claims Recovery from reinsurance between Rs, 1680 – Rs 2520 crores Net claims liability of AIC Rs. 1680 crores Actuarial regime without Reinsurance Rs. 336 Crores Actuarial regime with Reinsurance Rs. 276 Crores [ 20% of GP * 0.5 = Rs. 168 crores 20% of NP = Rs. 336 crores ] [ 20% of GP * 0.5 = Rs. 168 crores 20% of NP = Rs. 276 crores] 30% of the amount which is higher of Gross Incurred Claims (GIC) multiplied by 0.5 or Net Incurred Claims (NIC) (RSM-2) Rs. 756 Crores Rs. 504 Crores [ 30% of GIC * 0.5 = Rs. 378 crores 30% of NIC = Rs. 756 crores ] [ 30% of GIC * 0.5 = Rs. 378 crores 30% of NIC = Rs. 504 crores ] Higher of the Above (RSM) Rs. 756 Crores Rs. 504 Crores RSM for AIC being 150% of Solvency Ratio Rs. 1134 Crores Rs. 756 Crores ASM (paid up capital) Additional capital required towards solvency Available Solvency Ratio Rs. 200 Crores Rs. 934 Crores Rs. 200 Crores Rs. 556 Crores 20% of the amount which is higher of Gross Premium multiplied by 0.5 or Net Premium (RSM-1) 0.18 0.26 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 46 Joint Group Report As stated before, reinsurance protection is essential when the scheme is placed on actuarial regime. However, some of the improvements suggested in NAIS, particularly taking the yield of best five years out of preceding seven years in calculating guaranteed yield, indemnity for prevented sowing etc. are subjective and may increase the indemnity to such an extent, that the insurer may not have full control over situation. To this extent, reinsurer may shy away from the scheme. The reinsurer who is still willing to support the program may charge higher premium. Considering these imponderables, the Joint Group feels that in a situation if international reinsurance is not available at competitive prices, the government may have to step-in to provide necessary support to AIC. Tax Issues: Income tax: AIC as insurance company has to pay income tax on surpluses as applicable for corporates. Crop risks being systemic in nature, the frequency and quantum of claims under crop insurance are highly volatile. The normal technical reserves of the insurance company may not be able to cover such high fluctuations. The income tax exemption, therefore, would help AIC to build up adequate ‘catastrophic fund’ to be able to finance claims during adverse years. The Joint Group, therefore, recommends that crop insurance operations be exempted from income tax provisions. Similarly, other insurance companies may also be exempted from income tax provisions for their crop insurance portfolio. Service tax: Insured paying insurance premium, as per the service tax norms will have to pay service tax @ 10.2% on the premium. Appreciating the largely social welfare nature of crop insurance, National Agricultural Insurance Scheme is already exempted from service tax. The Joint Group recommends that the new scheme with proposed modifications including weather insurance be exempted from service tax. A draft of modified NAIS after incorporating improvements discussed in this chapter is given as Chapter – 5. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 47 Joint Group Report 3.2. Farm Income Insurance Scheme (FIIS) 3.2.1. Key Issues: The salient features and status of Farm Income Insurance Scheme (FIIS) has already been discussed in section 3 of chapter 2. laudable objectives. FIIS was introduced with This is an instrument supposed to achieve multiple objectives – comprehensive income risk protection to farmer; dispensing with MSP regime and thus save thousands of crores of rupees for the government. The other objectives sought to be achieved are to encourage crop diversification and give fillip to private trade, etc. It is also supposed to have addressed price stability problems in states where procurement operations are not effective. It is also envisaged that FIIS would provide income risk protection to the entire produce as against marketable surplus under MSP regime. Though conceptually FIIS is a good scheme, it suffers from several inherent contradictions. First, it would be most unconceivable to substitute deep-rooted MSP regime with income insurance, as MSP is available to all farmers while income insurance is available to only the insured farmers. Secondly, MSP is available to farmers at no additional cost while income insurance is available only at a premium. Thirdly, income insurance linked to MSP is not an insurance instrument as MSP is a theoretical price as against functional market price. Although suspension of MSP operations was stipulated in areas for crops where FIIS is available, due to pressure from states, MSP operations had to be recommenced. The National Common Minimum Program (NCMP) of the government also states that the MSP benefits will be extended to nook and corner of the country. It appears, therefore, a futile and luxurious wastage of government money if FIIS is to continue along with MSP. It is in this context, that FIIS is perceived as neither practical nor viable. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 48 Joint Group Report Agriculture Finance Corporation (AFC), which conducted concurrent evaluation of the project during Kharif 2004 season, also stated that the scheme in the present form is neither viable nor attractive. 3.2.2. Joint Group’s Recommendations: Insurance of price risk pegged at MSP may not be sustainable as MSP is a theoretical price fixed by Commission for Agricultural Costs & Prices (CACP) based on production cost, while market price is determined by market forces based on supply & demand function. Pitching a market price against a theoretical MSP is simply not insurance. At the same time, as long as MSP regime continues, FIIS (with or without MSP based guaranteed income) would only be a parallel effort with additional expenditure. As far as risk protection for a farmer is concerned, there exists NAIS against yield risk and MSP against price risk. The Joint Group, therefore, finds no relevance for FIIS in the present form and circumstances, and recommends that the pilot project on FIIS be wound up w.e.f. Rabi 2004-05 season. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 49 Joint Group Report 3.3. Weather Insurance 3.3.1. Future of weather insurance: Agriculture in India is often characterized as ‘a gamble with the monsoon’. 2/3 rd of our agricultural land largely depends on the rains. Important crops like cereals, millets, oilseeds in Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Orissa, Madhya Pradesh, Uttar Pradesh, etc have crucial productivity – rainfall relationship, in which rain failure means crop failure. This leaves the majority of population engaged in agricultural operations in a miserable condition. Weather insurance in the face of the aforesaid vagaries of nature may provide financial security to the farming community. Rainfall insurance is viable, besides being in the best interest of farmers, the credit agencies too which extend loans to them, as also for the economic stability of the agricultural enterprise. For Rabi season, we need to look at weather insurance, which in addition to rainfall, include other parameters like soil moisture, sunlight, temperature, humidity etc. For example, the impact of temperature was widely felt on wheat yield during 2003-04 (Box-1). Box-1 Wednesday, September 8, 2004 (New Delhi)-PTI India lost a mammoth 4 million tons of wheat output due to high temperature during a critical cultivation phase earlier this year, a comprehensive study by a premier farm research arm of the government has revealed. “Having scrutinized the various reasons which can be assigned to such decline in production, the main and single factor which can be indicated more precisely is high temperature during the critical grain filling phase of wheat”, Project Director, Directorate of Wheat Research (DWR), Jag Shoran told reporters. He said the study by Karnal based DWR took into account the temperatures in the best crop season of 1999-00 when the country produced a record 76.37 million tons against an estimated 72 million tons this year. The study reveals, on an average the maximum temperatures were higher by 3-6 degrees Celsius during March at various places in comparison to 1999-00, he said. Similarly, the minimum temperatures also recorded an average increase of 3-4 degrees Celsius in different wheat growing regions, he added. The maximum and minimum temperatures within 25-30 and 10-15 degrees Celsius range are usually considered favorable for grain growth. Prevalence of 3-6 degree higher temperature this season coinciding with grain growth phase was not favorable for realizing higher yield. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 50 Joint Group Report Weather insurance apparently has a bright future. The concept of weather insurance and the progress made so far has already been discussed in section 4 of chapter 1. The pilot projects undertaken by AIC and other private insurers, viz. ICICI-Lombard General Insurance Co. and IFFCO-Tokio General Insurance Co. are a step in the right direction in fine-tuning and expanding weather insurance. The market would witness in near future, more insurance companies and more sophisticated products covering larger number of crops. Joint Group’s Review The Group examined and explored weather / rainfall insurance with a view to identify the strengths and the weaknesses of the programme and the institutions like India Meteorological Department (IMD) & Indian Space Research Organization (ISRO), which generate the data. There is no doubt that weather / rainfall insurance is a promising field. But its implementation is subjected to many constraints and also calls for resolution of certain significant issues, some of which are discussed below: (i) Reliable & verifiable data and tamper-proof weather stations. Designing a weather or rainfall insurance contract would require reliable and accurate rainfall data on a daily basis and equally reliable yield data for at least 20 to 30 years. Yield data is available for most of the crops for over 20 years, generated as part of crop insurance programme. Regarding the status of rainfall data, the Group made a request to IMD to provide the details of its network and availability of rainfall data. IMD has provided a list of 6256 rain gauge stations across the country. Barring about 500 stations, the others are maintained and reported by different departments of states. Except those rain gauge stations, which are directly maintained by IMD (about 500), the rest have data only for a few years. Further, majority of stations have huge gaps in the rainfall data recorded. For example, the Group studied the situation in the state of Andhra Pradesh ______________________________________________________________________________________ 51 Joint Group Report as provided by IMD. Though the state has 1379 rain gauge stations, the IMD maintains only 45. Except a handful (other than IMD maintained stations), no station has data after 1994. The existing network of IMD weather stations appears to be inadequate to report rainfall data. Further the data recorded is also not reported on time in many instances. It has also been noticed that there are huge gaps in reporting daily rainfall data even for major stations located at District Headquarters. This is borne out by the experience of implementation of the pilot rainfall insurance schemes during Kharif 2004 season. AIC has implemented Varsha Bima in 20 IMD rain gauge station areas during Kharif 2004. As per the arrangement, IMD was to furnish daily rainfall data for all the 20 stations. Accordingly, IMD was to furnish 2440 data points (20 stations * 122 days from 1st June – 30th September). However, for as many as 533 data points, IMD failed to furnish the data on time. Subsequently, it took more than a month for AIC to get the data for these data points. If district locations face this sort of problems, one can only imagine the problems expected with stations at sub-district level. Similarly IFFCO-Tokio implemented ‘Barish Bima’ with indemnity period June to September / October. As per the information gathered till date, the complete rainfall data has not been received from IMD. Had the data been given on time, these claims could have been processed and settled within November. From the above, it is very clear that the IMD is simply not geared to provide accurate and timely rainfall data for large number of locations as required under rainfall insurance. The Joint Group, therefore, feels that the present network of weather stations should be expanded, strengthened and automated to meet the requirements of not only weather insurance but also to provide real time weather data to the government and agriculture departments and the farming community. Since the weather data decides the quantum of claim, if any, payable under weather insurance, the ______________________________________________________________________________________ 52 Joint Group Report accuracy of the data and secured environment under which the data is reported is very critical for its success. In this connection, the Joint Group also examined the possibility of adopting automated devices for recording, and the third party for reporting the data. It was noted that devices for secure and accurate measurement of weather parameters such as Optical Precipitation Sensors (OPS), Real-time telemetric gauges, etc. are being used in countries where weather insurance is successfully implemented. The equipment is mounted / installed on electric / telephone poles to secure the data. Various types of automated weather stations are also being used for research studies within India. IIT, Kanpur has designed a mobile information centre mounted on a rickshaw, which is being used to provide weather bulletins in a few areas. There are instruments available from other countries, which are of palm size and can be mounted on an electric or telephone pole (Boxes 2 and 3). These will be particularly useful for experimental projects on weather insurance, as it would involve shifting of experimental areas from year to year. With large-scale adoption of such instruments, the prices, which are now somewhat high would become affordable. The Joint Group is also of the view that with proper controls and regulations, the recording and reporting of weather data could be entrusted to third party administrators or alternatively could be out-sourced. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 53 Joint Group Report Box-2: Transportable Automated Meteorological Station The Automated Meteorological Station (TAMS) from AWI is a compact, rugged, selfcontained meteorological station designed for rapid setup and operation in the field. Composed of a portable Transmitter/Sensor unit and a hand-held Control Display, the entire system fits into a 18" x 14" x 7" (457mm x 356mm x 178mm) light-weight carrying case. The case and system components are built to withstand rough handling and severe weather conditions. TAMS is uniquely suited to ground and military operations support, civil emergency response, weather disaster damage control and use in remote areas, such as isolated airstrips lacking access to weather stations. Using optional adapters, the TAMS Transmitters/Sensor unit mounts to a standard tripod or to any 1" diameter pipe. The built-in sensors collect weather data for a wide array of parameters, and transmit the collected data to the handheld Control Display. The Control Display is equipped with an RS-232 serial port for connection to a computer or printer. With appropriate communications software installed on the computer, data can be stored as it is received from the TAMS. The TAMS system has enough on-board memory to store up to 1,000 records of data, each containing all measured and calculated parameters. These records are available for downloading at a future time. That is, the TAMS can be set up in the field and retrieved at a later date along with the stored data. Downloading of the data is achieved by using a computer that runs available software. Telemetry Options: The TAMS has two signal outputs, an RS-232 connection for short distances (up to 30 meters), and an RS-485 output for longer runs (up to 1200 meters). The TAMS also has an optional UHF radio telemetry system which can transmit data over distances of up to 5-7 miles (line of sight). The radio transmitter is housed with a long life rechargeable battery in the transmitter carrying case. At the receiver end there are two options - a handheld display with an integral radio receiver, or a receiver housed in a small weatherproof carrying case. Both options have an RS-232 serial output that can be connected directly to a computer running the MetView or other software packages. Applications: General Meteorology, Fire Management, Aviation, Military etc. Specifications: Weight - 2 lbs ; Size – 8.5 X 6.75 X 2 inches ______________________________________________________________________________________ 54 Joint Group Report Box-3: Wireless Rain Gauge WS7038UF Wireless Rain Gauge from LaCrosse Technology WS7038UF Wireless Rain Gauge Model Number: WS7038UF: Dimensions: 3.5" x 0.75" x 4.25" Unit Weight: 1.75 lbs. : Price: $69.95 This Wireless Rain Gauge stores the history of rainfall so one knows exactly how much rain fell and when. It allows us to view accumulation for the past hour, last rain period, or until you press the reset button. It also graphs the last seven days, weeks, or months in an easy to read format. Rainfall transmitter self-empties via tipping bucket. Benefits: (ii) Receives rain data from remote rain gauge Includes TX5U remote rain gauge Stores history of rainfall Accumulated rainfall until manual reset Rainfall for past 24 hours Rainfall for past 1 hour Rainfall for last rain period Graph of historical rainfall View last seven days, weeks, or months on graph Scroll through period by period on graph Rain alarm function (notifies of rain) Rainfall transmitter self-empties via tipping bucket Measures 1/100th of an inch per tip Wall Hanging or Free-standing (removable stand) Manual set time and date; 12 or 24 hour time mode Features: Rainfall measuring: Tipping bucket, 0.0105”/tip Rainfall accuracy: +/0.02” (+/-3%) Rainfall range: 0.01 to 999.99” (total) Power requirements (receiver): 2 “AAA” Alkaline batteries Power requirements (remote sensor): 2 “AA” Alkaline batteries Transmission Frequency: 433.92 MHz Transmission Range: Up to 80 feet open air Weather Data Cleaning – Weather insurance products are based on indices derived from daily data. The indices are sensitive to the quality of weather data. The ‘raw’ historical weather data supplied by IMD often contain missing and erroneous values. Along with this, there can be ______________________________________________________________________________________ 55 Joint Group Report discontinuities due to non-climatic factors such as relocation of station, changes in surroundings, etc. The raw data, therefore, is required to be ‘cleaned’. The cleaning process involves filling missing values and replacing erroneous values. A series of quality control checks need to be performed on the data to identify missing values and flag suspect values. These values are required to be replaced by spatial & temporal interpolation techniques. Multiple regression method can be applied for interpolating missing values wherever more than one parameter like distance, location and elevation determining the shape of the data is available. The process also involves adjustment for non-climatic trends. The discontinuity in data will have to be computed from the station time series or from multiple station data. The time series data is then to be adjusted by removing the shift caused by the discontinuity. (iii) Basis risk – On the basis of present network of IMD, rainfall insurance can be implemented only on the basis of District level rainfall data. Since the district is a very large geographical unit, and the rainfall being discontinuous in nature, the areas away from the weather stations may face the problem of basis risk because of spatial variations. Basis risk arises if the experience of individual farmer is vastly different from the area average. Basis risk can be minimized only if claim structures for rainfall insurance is worked out at smaller units such as block/village panchayat etc. However, considering that presently the core network is limited only to district centres, it would require huge effort, time and investment to realistically prepare rainfall insurance models. (iv) Correct correlation – The success and efficiency of weather insurance depends on establishing accurate correlation between productivity levels and weather variations. However, there are a large no. of crops, such as soybean, cotton, etc. where it is difficult to establish significant correlation. Rainfall though has overriding importance over other agricultural inputs, yet it is too complex to estimate the correlation arising out of interactive nature of various agricultural inputs. During Rabi, weather insurance gets further ______________________________________________________________________________________ 56 Joint Group Report complicated because of the complexity of variables such as temperature, relative humidity, chill factor, fog density etc. Establishing correct correlation with fine-tuning the model to account for daily variations would require not only sophisticated analytical techniques but also a good network of weather stations to report weather data accurately on a regular basis. At present weather data other than rainfall is reported by IMD only for selective major stations. The Joint Group, therefore, feels that for the weather insurance to really take off, it is essential that the network of weather stations is strengthened and the quality of the data is substantially improved. (v) Premium Rates – It would be unrealistic to assume that the premium rates under weather insurance will be lower than crop insurance. The insurance contracts worked out by AIC, ICICI-Lombard & IFFCO-Tokio have shown that the premium rates would be pretty high for a good payout. The premium rate was as high as 15 percent of sum insured for rainfall insurance implemented by ICICI-Lombard for oranges in Rajasthan. The premium rate proposed for winter precipitation of apple by ICICI-Lombard is close to 40 percent of sum insured. Though, the weather insurance contracts can be worked out keeping premium rates low and affordable, the payouts are most unlikely for contracts designed for low premium rates. For example, AIC offered catastrophic options under Varsha Bima at a premium as low as 2-3 percent. But despite adverse southwest monsoon during 2004, none of the insured farmers under this option could get the claim because of very high deductible, which was as much as 60 percent. As a matter of fact AIC provided five different options to farmers (as outlined in section 4 of chapter 1), and the premium was lowest for ‘catastrophe option’. A comparative chart of premium for a sum insured for Rs. 15000 for different options of rice in Warangal (AP) is given below for information: S. No 1 2. 3. 4. 5. Option Sowing Failure Rainfall Distribution Index Seasonal Rainfall Insurance Agronomic Optimum Rainfall Catastrophe cover Premium (Rs.) 913 3549 1950 1385 432 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 57 Joint Group Report Out of the five options made available by AIC, the farmers opted for ‘catastrophe option’ because the premium was low and affordable. The farmers could not appreciate that the claim under ‘catastrophe option’ will be very rare. For options where payout is commensurate with losses, the Joint Group strongly feels that reduction of premium rates is a must. For this to be achieved, accurate rainfall and yield data is required for 20-30 years. Otherwise, premium rates continue to be loaded for these data inaccuracies. Boxes-4 to 6 illustrates different models of payment of products implemented by AIC, ICICI-Lombard & IFFCO-Tokio and highlights the relationship between the premium and the claim payout. From the details given in boxes, it could be seen that all the three insurance companies, which introduced pilot projects on rainfall insurance, made sure that, the claims if are paid only when the deviation in the rainfall is substantial. In case of IFFCO-Tokio, the claim starts only when the deficiency in the rainfall is 30 percent from the normal, which is almost a semi-drought situation. In case of AIC the claim trigger starts at 20 percent deficiency of rainfall. ICICI Lombard though kept the trigger at 5 percent deficiency, but the initial payouts were meager so much so that the claims are equal to the premium paid only at a level of 30 percent of rainfall deficiency. (vi) Insurable Interest - Insurance contracts usually require an ‘insurable interest’ by the insured which may be viewed as incompatible with a weather contract settled on the basis of third party data as opposed to losses suffered by the insured. Since weather insurance is a derivative contract, persons unconnected with agricultural activity may also buy insurance unless appropriate checks & balances are put in place. In other words, existence of insurable interest is essential to extend weather insurance. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 58 Joint Group Report Given that Securities Exchange Board of India (SEBI) has also issued guidelines for physical delivery of capital market derivatives, it would be imperative for weather insurance to insist on insurable interest. In other Maboobnagar weather insurance small farmer payout structure words weather insurance should discourage participation of those people who are not engaged in agricultural activity. Box-4: ICICI-Lombard – Rainfall Index insurance Mahbubnagar weather insurance - small farmer payout structure 700 16000 600 14000 Actual rainfall index (in mm) 10000 400 8000 300 payout (Rs) rainfall index (mm) 12000 Payout 500 6000 200 4000 100 2000 -100% -95% -90% -85% -80% -75% -70% -65% -60% -55% -50% -45% -40% -35% -30% -25% 0 -15% 0 rainfall deviation from mean Explanation: As per the above graphic, the insured farmer is likely to recover claims equivalent to the amount of premium paid, if the deviation in rainfall is between 25 – 30 percent. The farmer would receive approximately 15 percent of the sum insured if the deviation of rainfall were 50 percent and 25 percent if the deviation of rainfall were 65 percent. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 59 Joint Group Report Box – 5: IFFCO – Tokio Rainfall Index Insurance model Mahbubnagar / Andhra Pradesh Weight Normal Weighted Rainfall Normal (mm) Rainfall (mm) June 1.25 114.7 143.4 July 1.50 205.1 307.7 August 1.25 178.4 223.0 September 0.50 186.3 93.2 Total 569.8 767.2 Claim % Claim Payout Deficiency Payout Table (% of SI) 0% 0% 10% 0% 30% 10% 40% 13% 50% 18% 60% 25% 70% 40% 80% 70% 90% 100% Month Premium (%) 4.38 Bijapur / Karnataka Weight Normal Weighted Rainfall Normal Rainfall (mm) June 1.00 91.3 91.3 July 1.75 84.3 147.5 August 1.00 82.7 82.7 September 0.50 165.5 82.8 Total 423.8 404.3 Claim % Claim Payout Deficiency Payout Table (% of SI) 0% 0% 10% 0% 30% 0% 40% 10% 50% 13% 60% 18% 70% 25% 80% 40% 90% 70% 100% 100% Premium (%) 4.95 Month Explanation: As per the above structure for Mahbubnagar (Andhra Pradesh), the claim pay out starts only when the adverse deviation in rainfall index touches 30 percent. At 30 percent deviation, the insured farmer would receive 10 percent of sum insured as claim, and it is roughly equivalent to twice the amount of premium paid. The farmer would receive 18 percent of the sum insured if the deviation of rainfall index were 50 percent and 25 percent if the deviation of rainfall were 60 percent. The farmer would receive 50 percent of sum insured only if the deviation in rainfall index touches 80 percent. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 60 Joint Group Report Box-6: Agriculture Insurance Company of India Ltd. – Aggregate rainfall model Illustration of Varsha Bima – ‘Seasonal Rainfall’ Option for Lucknow (Paddy) 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 7. 9. Season span / Period of insurance :1st June to 30th September 2004 Risk Acceptance Period : Upto 30th June 2004 Reference IMD Rain-gauge Station : Lucknow (UP) Rain-gauge Station’s jurisdiction for Insurance: Badagaon and Babina Blocks Normal Rainfall : 853 MM; 6. Crop : Paddy Maximum Pay-out : Rs. 18,000/- 8. Premium (per hectare): Rs. 1296/ Pay-out structure (Per hectare compensation structure at various levels of deviations): Rainfall Range MM Payment Rs / MM 640-682 554-597 469-512 384-426 298-341 213-256 128-170 42-85 10.77 13.32 16.47 20.35 20.45 20.65 20.87 21.00 Rainfall Range MM 597-640 512-554 426-469 341-384 256-298 170-213 85-128 0-42 Payment Rs / MM 11.99 14.80 18.30 20.40 20.56 20.78 20.93 21.10 How to use the table: Payout starts once the negative deviation in rainfall touches 20%. In case of Lucknow, the strike point is 682 MM. If, say actual rainfall is 650 MM, the payout per hectare of paddy is – ‘deviation in rainfall’ (as against normal), multiplied by ‘payment per MM deviation’ at a given range. In this case, it is 203 MM X Rs. 10.77 = Rs. 2186. If the actual rainfall is, say 426 MM (50% of normal), the payout is Rs. 8690. At 100% deviation, the payout is full sum insured, i.e. Rs. 18000. Explanation: As per the above table for Lucknow (Uttar Pradesh), the claim pay out starts once the adverse deviation in rainfall touches 20 percent. At this deviation, the insured farmer would receive approx. 20 percent of sum insured as claim, and it is roughly equivalent to 1½ times the amount of premium paid. The farmer would receive 50 percent of the sum insured if the deviation of rainfall were 50 percent and 65 percent if the deviation of rainfall is 70 percent. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 61 Joint Group Report (vii) Weather Insurance integration with other risk management tools – Various studies have proved that no single strategy is effective in reducing risk in the farm sector. Integration of various programmes, which can blend and compliment, can do wonders in risk management. In case of weather insurance, the Joint Group feels that it could play an effective role in areas where farmers are already using water-harvesting techniques. The water harvesting techniques including watershed development programmes provide 1st layer of risk management, followed by financial arrangements like savings programme and weather insurance. The Joint Group is, therefore, of the view that the weather insurance be considered by the government as part of integrated strategy along with such strategies as water harvesting techniques, watershed development, resistant varieties of crops, cloud seeding for rain enhancement, savings account, etc. (viii) Insurance Regulations - Insurance regulations for establishing an appropriate legal and regulatory framework for weather insurance, which is presently absent, will have to be set up. The Insurance Regulatory & Development Authority (IRDA) will have to put in place appropriate regulatory mechanism for index based insurance contracts. As discussed in the earlier paragraphs, there are a number of issues, which need immediate attention before weather insurance is set for take off. The first and foremost issue is real time, accurate and secure weather data at block level to effectively operationalize weather insurance. It would require substantial investment in up-gradation and expansion of weather stations. Agriculture Ministry’s Initiative: Agriculture Ministry (GoI) requested almost all the insurance companies including those from private sector to submit proposals on rural insurance, particularly agricultural insurance. Among these companies, ICICI-Lombard and IFFCO Tokio General Insurance (ITGI) have submitted proposals on rainfall / weather ______________________________________________________________________________________ 62 Joint Group Report insurance. These two companies have subsequently made presentations on their initiatives and proposals for future. The Company wise details are as follows: IFFCO-Tokio General Insurance: The Company implemented “Barish Bima”, a rainfall index insurance product covering major crops in nine districts of four states during Kharif 2004 season. The policy pays for deviations in actual rainfall exceeding 30 percent. The claims are paid on graded scale, with 100 percent claims payable when adverse deviation in rainfall reaches 90 percent. The premium rates vary from 4 - 5 percent and farmers are covered on group basis. The Company has plans to expand the product to more districts and states in future, particularly Kharif seasons. ICICI-Lombard: The Company is currently working on weather risk insurance for Wheat (North India), Apples (Himachal Pradesh), Grapes (Maharashtra), Coffee (Kerala), Mustard (Rajasthan) etc. The Company is also working on farm credit and weather based loan portfolio insurance for Banks, etc. The company submitted specific proposals for implementing weather insurance during Rabi 2004-05 season for Wheat in parts of Haryana and Punjab; Coffee in Wynad district in Kerala; Coriander in Jhalawar, Boondi & Kota districts of Rajasthan; Apple in Shimla district of Himachal Pradesh and Mustard in Ganganagar & Hanumangarh districts of Rajasthan. The risks covered are high temperature for wheat; chilling hours requirement, winter precipitation requirement, temperature fluctuations during flowering and deficit rainfall from April to August for apple; frost injury due to sudden drop in temperature, sustained low temperature and temperature induced early maturity for mustard; frost injury due to drop in minimum temperature and loss of quality due to rainfall for coriander; and blossom showers, backing showers and deficit rainfall cover during berry swelling stage for coffee. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 63 Joint Group Report The Company has subsequently submitted financial proposals, and made presentation on 6th November’ 04 before the Joint Group. As per proposals, the premium rates are significantly high. Rates for apple ranges from 8 to 38 percent; Mustard 12 percent; Coriander 14 percent and wheat in Haryana range from 2.3 percent to 11.3 percent for normal sowing; 4.3 to 14.8 percent for late sowing and 7.7 to 15.5 percent for very late sowing. The comparative rates for wheat in Punjab are lower for late and very late sowings and higher for normal sowing. No rates have been given for coffee. In view of the complexity of proposed weather parameters for coverage, and high premium rates quoted, the Joint Group requested for assistance of experts from ICAR. The experts felt that the concept is novel and interesting, but product design particularly for wheat needs refinement to account for effect of the day-today variations in temperatures. Experts also felt that more time is required to study the proposed coverage vis-à-vis agronomic and meteorological requirements of proposed crops. The Joint Group particularly felt that the premium rates are very high, and asked ICICI-Lombard if it would be possible to re-workout the structures based on weekly or daily temperature data. ICICILombard promised to submit the proposal shortly. In view of time constraint, the Joint Group could not wait for the revised proposals. Joint Group’s Recommendations: The Joint Group considered rainfall and weather insurance proposals received from ICICI Lombard, ITGI and AIC. ICICI Lombard is the only company to submit its interest for implementing weather insurance products during the ensuing Rabi 2004-05 season. The Joint Group feels that the revised proposal for Weather Insurance when submitted by ICICI-Lombard requires further evaluation. However, considering limited time available, and that NAIS is already implemented for some of these crops / areas during the season, the Group recommends that any subsidy in premium could be considered only after the company runs a pilot project, and submits a concrete proposal based on its experience. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 64 Joint Group Report However, for Kharif season the Joint Group noted that the rainfall insurance products submitted by AIC, ICICI-Lombard and ITGI have difference in product design and indemnity formula. As an illustration, the one submitted by AIC is more elaborate and has five different options meeting different requirement of farmers. The product has been designed in such a way that the indemnities are significantly better, and consequently the premium rates are slightly higher. The ones submitted by ICICI Lombard and ITGI are based on rainfall index with low indemnity and low premium rates. The Joint Group, in view of differences in products, feels that it would not be possible to compare them and that the farmer should be given only one product to avoid confusion and moral hazard. The Joint Group, therefore, recommends that a consultant be hired to examine different products and suggest a farmer friendly product, acceptable to the insurance companies. The product can be fine-tuned by the Ministry of Agriculture and be offered to insurance companies for quoting financial proposals. The scheme can then be offered to the company quoting the most competitive rate, with provision for premium subsidy and support as are being offered to AIC. Weather Insurance is a promising field. However, the success and efficiency depends upon quality of weather data, proper correlation studies and affordable premium rates for farmers, among others. Rainfall during Kharif and other weather parameters (temperature, humidity, light, dew, chill etc.) during Rabi are the important meteorological parameters based on which insurance will be designed. Considering the above, the Joint Group outlined an ‘Action Plan” for implementation of weather insurance in the country, the details of which are provided in Box-7. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 65 Joint Group Report Box - 7: Weather Insurance – Action Plan a. Perennial horticultural crops (where area based yield insurance is unlikely to work) will be the special focus for weather insurance. The Group recommends for appointing consultants with following time schedule: Release of advertisement – 20th December 2004 Last date for receipt of applications – 31st December 2004 Finalizing TORs & short-listing applicants – 10th January 2005 Inviting technical & financial bids – 20th January 2005 Appointment of consultants – 1st February 2005 (Consultants to be chosen for horticultural crops and setting common parameters for designing weather insurance) Since availability of the data (both yield and rainfall) is a constraint, in the first phase, 50-100 districts and two or three important crops will be identified for experimenting weather insurance. Common design parameters will be circulated to all insurers for getting financial quotes from prospective insurers. Crops and territories will be assigned on the basis of premium rates, service criteria & network. Private insurers will be extended support by the government at par with AIC. A review will be made after completion of two years as to the efficiency of weather insurance, particularly its supplementary and complimentary role visà-vis area based yield insurance. The existing network of weather stations will need to be expanded, strengthened and automated to provide real time and accurate weather data to develop weather insurance. For this purpose the government and the insurers will join hands. The possibilities for permitting third party weather data providers will also be explored. (i) (ii) (iii) (iv) (v) b. c. d. e. f. 3.3.2. Agro - Meteorological & Blended products The Joint Group learnt that considerable research is conducted in agrometeorological yield models at ISRO and other centres and it is possible to blend these parameters with spectral (satellite imagery) models in designing accurate yield models. The Joint Group, therefore, recommends that an experimental project could be commissioned by AIC. 3.3.3. New Initiatives under Macro Management in Agriculture The Joint Group recommends that the State Governments should be permitted to take up small experimental and innovative crop insurance products including weather insurance and insurance for horticulture and plantation crops in collaboration with the AIC and other insurance companies as “new initiative” under the scheme of Macro Management in Agriculture. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 66 Joint Group Report 4. Modified National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (The improvements suggested in NAIS in the earlier chapter are incorporated in the modified scheme presented below) OBJECTIVES: The objectives of the Scheme are as under: i. To provide insurance coverage and financial support to the farmers in the event of prevented sowing & failure of any of the notified crop as a result of natural calamities, pests & diseases. ii. To encourage the farmers to adopt progressive farming practices, high value in-puts and higher technology in Agriculture. iii. To help stabilize farm incomes, particularly in disaster years. SALIENT FEATURES OF THE SCHEME: 1. Agriculture Insurance Company of India Ltd. (AIC), which is exclusively formed for administering agriculture and allied insurance schemes, shall underwrite the scheme for the time being. 2. CROPS COVERED: i. Food crops (Cereals, Millets & Pulses) ii. Oilseeds iii. Annual Commercial / Horticultural crops The Crops are covered subject to availability of i) the past yield data based on Crop Cutting Experiments (CCEs) for adequate number of years, and ii) requisite number of CCEs is conducted for estimating the yield during the proposed season. Ten years historical data is adequate for setting premium rates, fixing indemnity limit and threshold yield, etc. Wherever such historical yield data at insurance unit is not available for some years, the data of nearest ______________________________________________________________________________________ 67 Joint Group Report neighbouring unit / weighted average of contiguous units / next higher unit can be adopted, subject to appropriate loading in the premium rate, if necessary. 3. STATES AND AREAS TO BE COVERED: The Scheme extends to all States and Union Territories (UTs). The States / UTs opting for the Scheme, would be required to take up all the crops identified for coverage in a given year. The States / UTs having opted for the Scheme once, will have to continue for a minimum period of three years. 4. FARMERS TO BE COVERED: All farmers including sharecroppers, tenant farmers growing the notified crops in the notified areas are eligible for coverage. The Scheme covers following groups of farmers: a) On a compulsory basis :All farmers growing notified crops and availing Seasonal Agricultural Operations (SAO) loans from Financial Institutions i.e. Loanee Farmers. b) On a voluntary basis: All other farmers growing notified crops (i.e., NonLoanee farmers) who opt for the Scheme. These farmers could be: (i) Individual owner-cultivator farmers (ii) Farmers enrolled under contract farming, directly or through promoters / organisers (iii) Groups of farmers / societies serviced by Fertiliser Companies, Pesticide firms, Crop Growers associations, Self Help Groups (SHGs), Non-Governmental Organisations (NGOs), and Others (iv) Corporate farms ______________________________________________________________________________________ 68 Joint Group Report 5. RISKS COVERED & EXCLUSIONS: (A). STANDING CROP (Sowing to Harvesting): Comprehensive risk insurance is provided to cover yield losses due to non-preventable risks, viz.: (i) Natural Fire and Lightning (ii) Storm, Hailstorm, Cyclone, Typhoon, Tempest, Hurricane, Tornado etc. (iii) Flood, Inundation and Landslide (iv) Drought, Dry spells (v) Pests/ Diseases etc. (B) PREVENTED SOWING / PLANTING RISK: In case farmer of an area is prevented from sowing / planting due to deficit rainfall or adverse seasonal conditions, such insured farmer who failed to sow / plant (but otherwise has every intention to sow / plant and incurred expenditure for the purpose), shall be eligible for indemnity. The indemnity payable would be a maximum of 25% of the sum-insured. The scale of payment for different crops will be worked out by implementing agency in consultation with experts. (C) POST HARVEST LOSSES: Coverage is available only for those crops, which are allowed to dry in the field after harvesting against specified perils of cyclone in coastal areas, resulting in damage to harvested crop. Further, the coverage is available only upto a maximum period of two weeks from harvesting. Assessment of damage will be on individual basis. GENERAL EXCLUSIONS: Losses arising out of war & nuclear risks, malicious damage and other preventable risks shall be excluded. 6. SUM INSURED / LIMIT OF COVERAGE: In case of Loanee farmers the Sum Insured would be at least equal to the amount of crop loan sanctioned / advanced, which may extend upto the value of the threshold yield of the insured crop at the option of insured farmer. Where value of threshold yield is lower than the loan amount per unit area, the higher of the two is the Sum Insured. Multiplying the Notional Threshold Yield ______________________________________________________________________________________ 69 Joint Group Report (district/region/state level) with the Minimum Support Price (MSP) of the current year arrives at the value of Threshold Yield. Wherever Current year’s MSP is unavailable, MSP of previous year shall be adopted. The crops for which, MSP is not declared, farm gate price established by the marketing department / board shall be adopted. Further, in case of Loanee farmers, the Insurance Charges payable by the farmer shall be financed by loan disbursing office of the Bank, and will be treated as additional component to the Scale of Finance for the purpose of obtaining loan. For non-loanee farmers, the sum-insured is upto the value of Threshold Yield of the insured crop. 7. PREMIUM RATES & SUBSIDY: Premium rates are to be worked out on actuarial basis. However, the premium paid by the farmer can be subsidized on the following lines: S. No 1 2 3 4 5 Premium Subsidy to Small / slab Marginal farmers Upto 2% 25% >2 - 5% 40% subject to minimum net premium of 1.5% >5 – 10% 50% subject to minimum net premium of 3% >10 –15% 60% subject to minimum net premium of 5% >15% 75% subject to minimum net premium of 6% and maximum net premium of 8% Subsidy to Other farmers Nil 25% subject to minimum net premium of 2% 40% subject to minimum net premium of 4% 50% subject to minimum net premium of 6% 60% subject to minimum net premium of 7.5% and maximum net premium of 12% The definition of Small and Marginal farmer would be as follows: Small Farmer: A farmer with a land holding of two hectares (5 acres) or less. Marginal Farmer: A farmer with a land holding of one hectare or less (2.5 acres). Financing Banks shall bear 25 percent of premium payable by loanee farmers ______________________________________________________________________________________ 70 Joint Group Report subject to a maximum of 1.00 percentage point of premium. 9. SHARING OF RISK: All claims will be borne by the Agriculture Insurance Company of India Ltd. 10. SCHEME APPROACH AND UNIT OF INSURANCE: (A) WIDESPREAD CALAMITIES: The Scheme would operate on the basis of ‘Area Approach’ i.e., Defined Areas for each notified crop for widespread calamities. The Defined Area (i.e., unit area of insurance) is Village Panchayat for major crops and for other crops it may be a unit of size in between Village Panchayat to Taluka to be decided by the State/UT Govt. (B) LOCALIZED RISKS: In case of localized risks, viz. hailstorm, landslide and specified wild animals (neelgai, spotted dear and elephant), the claims will be assessed on individual basis. For other calamities the assessment will be on the basis of ‘area approach’. 11. SEASONALITY DISCIPLINE: (a) The broad seasonality discipline for Loanee and Non-Loanee farmers can be as under: Activity Loaning period (loan sanctioned) for Loanee farmers Cut-off date for receipt of Proposals of Non-Loanee farmers Cut-off date for receipt of Declarations of Loanee farmers from Banks Cut-off date for receipt of Declarations of Non-Loanee farmers from Banks Cut-off date for receipt of yield data Kharif April to June / July 15th June / 15th July 31st July 31st July Rabi October to December 31st December 31st January 31st January Within a month Within a month from final harvest from final harvest ______________________________________________________________________________________ 71 Joint Group Report In case of Kharif crops, the cut off dates are fixed in such a way that these dates correspond to historical onset / coverage by the South-West Monsoon. Further, in case of three crop / season pattern, a modified discipline keeping in mind the overall seasonality discipline prescribed above, will be adopted by the State Level Co-ordination Committee on Crop Insurance (SLCCCI). Non-Loanee farmers can buy insurance before actual sowing / planting based on advance crop planning for the season. For any reason, if farmer changes the crop planned earlier at the time of buying insurance, such changes should be intimated to financial institution at which insurance proposal was submitted, within 30 days from the cut-off date for buying insurance, accompanied by sowing certificate issued by concerned official of the State at village level. Where required, the farmer will pay the difference in premium or implementing agency will refund difference in premium, as per the premium structure. 12. ESTIMATION OF CROP YIELD: The State govt./UT will plan and conduct the requisite number of Crop Cutting Experiments (CCEs) for all notified crops in the notified insurance units in order to assess the crop yield. The State govt./ UT will maintain single series of Crop Cutting Experiments (CCEs) and resultant yield estimates, both for Crop Production estimates and Crop Insurance. Planning and supervision for all CCEs will be of the same order as that of General Crop Estimation Surveys (GCES). CCEs shall be undertaken per unit area /per crop, on a sliding scale, as indicated below: S. No Insurance Unit 1. District 2. Taluka / Tehsil / Block 3. Mandal / Phirka / Revenue Circle / Hobli or any other equivalent unit 4. Village Panchayat Minimum sample size of CCEs 24 16 10 08 ______________________________________________________________________________________ 72 Joint Group Report A Technical Advisory Committee (TAC) comprising representatives from Indian Agricultural Statistical Research Institute (IASRI), National Sample Survey Organisation (NSSO), Ministry of Agriculture (GoI) and implementing agency shall be constituted to decide the sample size of CCEs and all other technical matters. Inputs from satellite imagery could also be utilized in deciding sample size. In instances where required number of CCEs could not be conducted due to non-availability of adequate cropped area, the yield data for such units can be generated by Insurer by proxy indicators, such as clubbing with neighbouring / contagious units, adopting yield of next higher unit, yield data generated by correction / correlation factor with next higher unit, etc. Alternative yield assessment techniques, such as satellite imagery, agrometeorological and bio-metric and a combination of such techniques, etc. can be explored and adopted after establishing reasonable level of standardization. 13. LEVELS OF INDEMNITY & THRESHOLD YIELD: Two levels of Indemnity, viz., 90% & 80% corresponding to Low Risk & High Risk areas shall be available for all crops. The criteria for deciding low and high risk will be determined by implementing agency. The Threshold yield (TY) or Guaranteed yield for a crop in a Insurance Unit shall be the average of best five years out of preceding seven years, multiplied by the level of indemnity. 14. NATURE OF COVERAGE AND INDEMNITY: (A) WIDE SPREAD CALAMITIES: If the ‘Actual Yield’ (AY) per hectare of the insured crop for the defined area [on the basis of requisite number of Crop Cutting Experiments (CCEs)] in the ______________________________________________________________________________________ 73 Joint Group Report insured season, falls short of the specified ‘Threshold Yield’ (TY), all the insured farmers growing that crop in the defined area are deemed to have suffered shortfall in their yield. The Scheme seeks to provide coverage against such contingency. ‘Indemnity’ shall be calculated as per the following formula: Shortfall in Yield X Sum Insured for the farmer Threshold yield [Shortfall = ‘Threshold Yield - Actual Yield’ for the Defined Area] (i) ON ACCOUNT PAYMENT OF CLAIMS: In case of adverse seasonal conditions during crop season, claim amount upto 50 percent of likely claims would be released in advance subject to adjustment against the claims assessed on yield basis. The on account payment will be considered only if the expected yield during the season is less than 50 percent of normal yield. The criteria for deciding on-account payment of claims shall be based on agro-meteorological data / satellite imagery or such other indicators to be decided by the Insurer, and will be implemented in States and for crops for which such proxy indicators can be established. (ii) PREVENTED SOWING / PLANTING CLAIMS: The extent of claims payable will be decided on the basis of rainfall position issued by the concerned India Meteorological Department (IMD) for the area during the sowing season and acreage-sown particulars issued by the State government. Other authentic rain gauge stations which the government shall install for the purpose / Insurer/ Insurer nominated agencies can also be considered for the purpose of measuring rainfall. The maximum claims payable will be 25 percent of the sum-insured. Having received indemnity based on prevented sowing / planting, the insurance cover is automatically terminated. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 74 Joint Group Report (iii) POST HARVEST LOSSES: Coverage is available only for those crops, which are allowed to dry in the field after harvesting against specified perils of cyclone in coastal areas, resulting in damage to harvested crop lying in the field in ‘cut & spread’ condition. In other words, the crop, which after harvest is left in the field for drying, is only covered against the peril specified above. The harvested crop bundled and heaped at a place before threshing is beyond coverage under post harvest losses. Further, the coverage is available only upto a maximum period of two weeks (14 days) from harvesting. Assessment of damage will be on individual basis. (B) LOCALIZED RISKS: The losses would be assessed on individual basis in case of loss / damage resulting from occurrence of identified localized risks viz., hailstorm, landslide and specified wild animals (neelgai, spotted dear & elephant). The cost of inputs incurred until the time of occurrence of peril, and the expected loss in final yield due to the peril, would form the basis for loss assessment. In case of localized risks, implementing agency may utilise the services of concerned departments of the State government, such as Agriculture, Revenue etc. 15. COMMISSION & BANK SERVICE CHARGES: Rural agents and Others who are engaged for procuring and servicing business of Non-Loanee farmers may be paid appropriate commission as decided by implementing agency. The servicing banks of Non-Loanee farmers will receive 2.5% of gross premium as service charges. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 75 Joint Group Report 16. REINSURANCE COVER: Efforts will be made by the implementing agency to obtain appropriate reinsurance cover for the Scheme in the national / international reinsurance market. In the event of failure to procure such cover at competitive rates, the Government of India should provide necessary protection in terms of interestfree loan. 17. REVIEW OF THE SCHEME: The Scheme will be reviewed after two years and necessary modifications will be incorporated based on the review. 18. IMPORTANT CONDITIONS/CLAUSES APPLICABLE FOR COVERAGE OF RISK: (a) The Joint Group also recommends that the banks display the list of all insured farmers at the village panchayat office. Further, the banks will also display the list of benefited farmers together with claim amount soon after the claims are received from implementing agency. (b) Implementing agency possesses the discretion to accept or reject any risk of defined area(s) for any crop(s) considering the prevailing agricultural situation. Mere sanctioning / disbursement of crop loans and submission of proposals/ declarations and remittance of premium by the farmer / bank without explicit intent to raise the crop, does not constitute acceptance of risk by implementing agency. (c) In the event of near total crop failure during early or mid season affecting the entire defined area, implementing agency shall adopt a graded scale indemnity settlement restricting the indemnity to the proportion of input cost upto that stage. The graded scale shall be worked out by implementing agency. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 76 Joint Group Report (d) Implementing agency, if deemed necessary, shall investigate the coverage on its own or by an agency appointed for the purpose and shall for this purpose utilize satellite imagery data for identification of anomalies in crop insurance coverage vis-à-vis actual field conditions. Upon identification of adverse phenomenon based on such investigations, implementing agency may resort to scaling down of sum insured. 19. BENEFITS EXPECTED FROM SCHEME: The Scheme is expected to: Be a critical instrument of development in the field of crop production, providing financial support to the farmers in the event of crop failure. Encourage farmers to adopt progressive farming practices and higher technology in Agriculture. Help in maintaining flow of agricultural credit. Provide significant benefits not merely to the insured farmers, but to the entire community directly and indirectly through spillover and multiplier effects in terms of maintaining production & employment, generation of market fees, taxes etc. and net accretion to economic growth. Streamline loss assessment and enable expeditious settlement of claims. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 77 Joint Group Report 5. SCOPE FOR PACKAGE INSURANCE POLICY The loss or damage to crops is no doubt the major cause of concern for the farmer. However, there are other assets of the farmer, such as livestock, agricultural implements, bullock cart, agricultural pump set, stored grain, health, etc. the loss of which is also an additional source of worry for him. In fact, maintenance of these assets is absolutely important for him to ensure good agricultural productivity. A composite package insurance covering all assets of the farmer besides crops is ideal for farmers as such policy / scheme could meet all insurance requirements of a farmer under one contract. Ideally, therefore, farmer would prefer to have single insurance policy covering all his assets, including crops. Reasonable premium rates and providing composite insurance cover for all his needs at his doorstep would go a long way in ameliorating the situation. It may look seemingly convenient to cover such varied assets / items along with crops under scheme like NAIS. However, there are practical difficulties, such as: 1. Crop Insurance is of seasonal nature (about 4-6 months), while all other items / assets listed under package insurance need annual policies. Short period policies could be issued for items other than crop, but the premium rates would be high, and renewal would be cumbersome. 2. NAIS is based on ‘Area Approach’ treating all insured farmers growing a particular crop as single entity, while other items would not be pliable to such broad approach, as such items owned by different farmers would need different treatment. 3. Agriculture Risks are co-variate (systemic) in nature. Thus it is deemed that risks affecting all farmers in an area could be fairly dealt under ‘Area Approach’. The other risks affecting items other than crops are ‘independent’ in nature and hence, it will be difficult to connect loss / damage of other assets to operation of co-variate risks. In other words, the assets ______________________________________________________________________________________ 78 Joint Group Report other than crops can be correctly indemnified in the event of loss only under ‘individual assessment’. 4. Crops can be categorized broadly under a generic name, while it would be totally different in case of other assets. For example, there would be different age groups of livestock, different sexes, breeds, etc. all attracting different premium rates etc. 5. Tractors, trucks etc. are covered under Motor Insurance as per MV Act, and premium varies from vehicle to vehicle based on make, model, horsepower, insured estimated value, accessories, electrical fittings, third party liability etc. Combining tractors & trucks with crop insurance, therefore, will be difficult. Further, as per MV Act third party liability is compulsory, while own damage / comprehensive insurance is optional. The Joint Group, therefore, feels that a composite policy covering all important assets of farmers cannot be combined with area based crop insurance programme. The practicable approach would be to differentiate crops and other assets. Crops to be covered under area approach and other assets to be covered at individual farmer level. The public sector general insurance companies are marketing ‘Kisan Package Policy’, covering as many as 15 different items. However, standing crops are not covered under the policy. These policies are sold to individual farmers, and losses are assessed on individual basis. Therefore, the farmers who need package insurance can buy Kissan Package Policy available in the market. A copy of Kissan Package Policy is enclosed, as Annexure-5. The Joint Group also explored availability of such package covers from private insurers. One such package offered by ICICI-Lombard has the following features: a) Personal Accident Insurance: The Policy covers accidental death and only few instances of Permanent Total Disability (PTD) at a premium of Rs. 7 for a sum insured of Rs. 50,000. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 79 Joint Group Report b) Package health insurance cover: It provides for (a) critical illness, (b) convalescence benefit, (c) accidental hospitalization. Part (c) is nothing but personal accident insurance, while (b) follows (a) when the hospitalization continues beyond 15 consecutive days. c) Home Insurance: Since the All India Fire Tariff governs the insurance; the premium and benefits are similar to public sector companies. d) Cattle Insurance: While the scope of cover is same as Public Sector Insurance Companies (PSICs), but the premium rate is high at 5% compared to 4% of PSICs. e) Tractor Insurance: Governed by All India Motor Tariff, so the premium and benefits are similar to PSICs. A composite policy covering all important assets of farmers, cannot be combined with area based crop insurance programme. The Joint Group, therefore, recommends single window approach in which crops can be covered under area approach and “Other Assets” (dwelling & contents, personal accident, hospitalisation, livestock, pedal cycle, agrl. pump-set, etc.) at individual farmer level. However, farmer will have the advantage and convenience of having both these covers available from single source. Other Assets (Package): This Category contains insurance covers generally required by farmers. Further, the premium for many of these covers is nominal. The details of the covers is as follows: i) Building and Household contents (excluding jewelry & valuables) against fire, lightning, explosion, flood, inundation, storm, tempest, typhoon, hurricane, cyclone, impact damage, and earthquake for a sum of Rs. 30000 and Rs. 10000, respectively. The premium for this purpose will be approx. Rs. 20. In case of hut the sum insured will be Rs. 8000 for dwelling and Rs. 2000 for contents and the expected premium works out to approx. Rs. 30. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 80 Joint Group Report ii) Personal accident against accidental death, permanent total disability and permanent partial disability. The sum insured will be Rs. 50000 at a premium of Rs. 15. The coverage is for head of the family. In case the farmer is older than 70 years, the person next in the family can be covered. Refer to Table-10 for benefits. iii) Medical insurance for a sum insured of Rs. 20,000 covering hospitalization expenses of all diseases including pre-existing diseases, irrespective of age. Earning member / head of the family / farmer covered under crop insurance can get this cover. The expected premium is approximately Rs. 200. iv) Livestock insurance against death by disease or accident. v) Agriculture pump-set against fire, theft, burglary, mechanical or electrical breakdown, etc. vi) Animal driven cart - damage to cart by accidental means, fire, explosion, malicious act, while in transit etc.; damage to animal by accidental injury or death and injury / damage to third party. vii) Stock of agricultural produces (grain and / or seeds of all kinds) against fire, allied perils and earthquake. viii) Biogas plant against fire, earthquake, flood, inundation, impact damage, bursting and overflowing of water tanks/pipes, etc. ix) Television Set against fire, burglary, housebreaking, theft, accidental external means, mechanical or electrical breakdown. x) Pedal cycle against fire & allied perils, burglary, housebreaking, theft, flood, cyclone, earthquake, accidental external means, etc xi) Agricultural tractors against third party; own damage ______________________________________________________________________________________ 81 Joint Group Report xii) Poultry insurance as per market agreement. xiii)Honey Bee Insurance [The premium rates quoted for covers (i) to (iii) above are only indicative. The most competitive quotes will be obtained from the general insurance companies when the package policy is approved for implementation] The details of benefits under Personal Accident insurance proposed (Table 10) are as follows: Table - 10 S. No. Condition Payment Injury resulting in loss of: 1. Both hands or Feet or sight 100% 2. One Hand and One Foot 100% 3. Either hand or foot and sight of one eye 100% 4. Hearing of both Ears 100% 5. Speech 100% 6. Either Hand or Foot (loss or Loss of 50% Function) 7. Sight of One Eye 50% 8. Loss of function of one hand and one foot 50% without separation 9. Permanent and Total Loss of use resulting in : Quadriplegia (All four limbs paralysed) 100% 10. Paraplegia (Both legs paralysed) 100% Of the package insurance covers listed above, personal accident, dwelling & contents, medical (health) and livestock insurance covers are most important for the farmer, impacting his livelihood. The insurance premium for personal accident and dwelling & contents is very meager, which can be entirely paid by the government. The Joint Group examined medical and livestock insurance with ______________________________________________________________________________________ 82 Joint Group Report particular interest, and feels that both need to be covered. Under livestock insurance, it is felt that one pair of cattle can be covered for each farmer who has taken crop insurance by giving 50 percent subsidy in premium. Assuming that the public sector general insurance companies would offer net premium rates applicable to ‘scheme animals’ (cattle financed under government schemes), the premium for a pair of cattle may work out to Rs. 500 on an estimated insured sum of Rs. 20,000 at a premium of 2.5%. The premium subsidy for the government works out to Rs. 250 per pair of cattle @ 50 percent subsidy. Joint Group’s Recommendations: The Joint Group is of the view that personal accident, medical (health) and insurance for ‘dwelling & contents’ be made compulsory along with crop insurance, while other covers in the package on optional basis. However, in view of the fact that another Joint Group has been set up on ‘Health Insurance’ in the Ministry of Finance under the chairmanship of Secretary (Financial Sector), it recommends that only personal accident and ‘dwelling & contents’ be made compulsory along with crop insurance. Further, the Group recommends that the entire premium on personal accident and ‘dwellings & contents’ be borne by the government. The Group while appreciating the importance of livestock in agriculture also recommends that a pair of cattle should be covered under insurance for every crop insured farmer with 50 percent subsidy in premium payable by the government. The premium subsidy for the government to cover a pair of cattle works out to Rs. 250 crores per one crore farmers. Since the livestock cover is optional, assuming that only 25 percent of those crop insured farmers go for cattle insurance, the subsidy liability for the government would be Rs. 62.5 crores for every one crore crop insured farmers. In order to simplify insurance procedures and to avoid hassles to insured, the claims of personal accident and ‘dwelling & contents’ can be settled on the basis of verification and certification by village panchayat administration. Such system will also empower grass root level democratic institutions. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 83 Joint Group Report 6. PRIVATE SECTOR PARTICIPATION IN CROP INSURANCE The first license for a private insurer was issued in October 2000. As of today, eight private insurers have started general insurance business: Reliance, TataAIG, Royal Sundaram, IFFCO-Tokio, Bajaj-Allianze, ICICI-Lombard, HDFC – Chubb, and Cholamandalam. The fact remains that these insurers have not yet undertaken agricultural insurance to a significant extent. Only two companies in the private sector have initiated agriculture insurance, albeit on a small scale. ICICI-Lombard was the first company to experiment rainfall insurance. The concept is also being extended to weather insurance during 2004. IFFCO-Tokio General Insurance (ITGI), the second company in private sector, piloted rainfall insurance during 2004. It is likely that these efforts especially in weather insurance by the two companies will gain momentum. There are no indications of other private insurers joining the efforts. During June 2004, Maharashtra government convened a meeting of all public and private sector insurers to find out their interest in implementing an improved agricultural insurance scheme covering all cultivators. As per information, no private sector insurer has shown interest in traditional yield based crop insurance. Their interest was limited to personal accident insurance of the cultivators and limited pilot in weather insurance. The Insurance Regulatory and Development Authority (IRDA) has stipulated that every new insurer undertaking general insurance business has to underwrite business in the rural sector to the extent of at least 2 per cent of the gross premium during the first financial year which is to be increased to 5 per cent during the third financial year of its operation. Crop insurance is included in the rural sector insurance for this purpose. The business targets stipulated in rural insurance apparently are very small. Those who do not meet even these small targets are getting away by paying penalties of nominal amounts. If private insurers are to be spurred to enter rural insurance market in a significant manner, the business targets have to be raised substantially by IRDA. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 84 Joint Group Report The experience of government supported and subsidized crop insurance and the recent entry of private insurers raise questions about the co-existence of government and private agriculture insurance. One view is that the private sector will be unable to compete with government insurance, given the subsidies and access to the administrative machinery for delivering insurance. An alternative view is that given only 10 percent coverage by government insurance, the private sector can carve out a reasonable market for itself based on improved efficiency, better design and superior services. Here one can even think of public-private partnership in providing agriculture insurance as against public-private competition. However, it is possible only when agriculture insurance can be run in a more professional manner with clear objectives. Three different models of private partnership could be visualized: (1) The first is Implementing Agency (IA) model, where IA bears no risk, earns no return and is merely reimbursed its administrative expenses. Such a model provides poor incentives for extending coverage and monitoring and controlling moral hazard and adverse selection. (2) The second is a model where the private insurer bears all the risk. Given the significant component of systemic risk in agriculture such a model will require international reinsurance to be sustainable. The premium for such insurance is likely to be high, requiring subsidy from the government. Under this model, the government through a technical body works out commercial premium rates and offers up-front subsidy in premium to all insurers, who would be required to write policies. The farmer pays premium less the subsidy. There is level playing field for all insurers. Another modification could be allocating territories to insurers who would be exclusively writing policies in specified territories. (3) The third is in between the two models discussed above with possibility of public-private sharing of risks. In this case the government is likely to be at informational disadvantage vis-à-vis the insurance companies which generate the policies. Hence, the risk sharing agreement will have to be appropriately designed to reduce problems of moral hazard and adverse selection. The agreement will also have to provide adequate measures to counteract the natural incentive of private insurers to target larger farmers and pay less attention to small and marginal farmers. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 85 Joint Group Report Agriculture Ministry & Joint Group’s Initiative: As mentioned under section 3 of chapter-3, the Department of Agriculture & Cooperation (DAC) has written to all general insurance companies, both public and private, inviting them to submit proposals on rural insurance, particularly agricultural insurance. Among public sector companies, National Insurance Co and New India Assurance Co. have responded by giving a list of rural insurance covers. National Insurance Co. informed that it had not yet ventured into field crops. New India Assurance Co. provided details of farmers package policy and horticulture / plantation insurance. But, the package policy does not include insurance for crops. Among private insurers, ICICI-Lombard, IFFCO -Tokio General Insurance (ITGI), Cholamandalam, HDFC Chubb, Royal Sundaram, ECGC, Bharatiya Cooperative General Insurance (BCGI) have responded. Majority of the private insurers apparently have taken initiatives in rural insurance and health insurance, but its only ICICI-Lombard and ITGI who have products for crop insurance based on weather / rainfall parameters. These companies in the private sector were invited to make presentation on the schemes available in the rural sector, particularly in agriculture. However, only ICICI Lombard, ITGI, Cholamandalam General Insurance, BCGI and Rabo Bank turned up for the presentations. BCGI is in the process of registering with IRDA and Rabo Bank is playing advisory role. The Company wise details are as follows: ICICI-Lombard: The company has weather insurance, package insurance, which are already dealt under weather insurance (chapter-3) and package insurance (chapter-5). The other insurance products in the rural area include personal accident and package health insurance, home insurance, tractor insurance and pump set ______________________________________________________________________________________ 86 Joint Group Report insurance of farmers; farm credit and weather based loan portfolio insurance for Banks, etc. The Company urged the government to facilitate interaction with AIC for collaboration, and support in premium to make the insurance covers affordable to the farmers. IFFCO -Tokio General Insurance: The Company has rainfall index insurance for crops and personal accident insurance for farmers purchasing fertilizer from IFFCO and its associate companies. The details of rainfall insurance have been covered in chapter-3. Other products in rural areas include Tractor insurance, Health & Home insurance. Cholamandalam General Insurance: The Company has only livestock insurance for rural areas. The policy is almost same as the one sold by Public Sector General Insurance Companies. Bhartiya Cooperative General Insurance Ltd. The Company is interested in providing package covering health insurance, dwelling & contents, grain in godown, pedal cycle, Television, etc. through other insurance companies. For crop insurance, it would like to work with AIC in providing composite insurance. Rabo India: Rabo India is a subsidiary of Rabobank, Netherlands. Interpolis Insurance, the insurance company in the Rabo group is one of the largest insurance companies in the Netherlands with a premium income of 4.5 billion in 2001. Moreover ______________________________________________________________________________________ 87 Joint Group Report Interpolis is the largest insurer of Agribusiness in Netherlands with 55% market share. Rabo India has strong knowledge and relationships in the Agri Insurance business, and, therefore, in an ideal position to provide business consultancy service to AIC and the government on agriculture insurance. Rabo India can leverage on the advisory and insurance experience of Rabobank group companies. The Company plays advisory role in terms of providing advisory solutions to insurance companies for product design, marketing and distribution etc. Joint Group’s Recommendations: The Group recommends involving private insurers to join hands with AIC in providing meaningful risk mitigation support to the farming community. The Group’s recommendations with respect to rainfall and weather insurance has been dealt in chapter-3 under ‘weather insurance’. The Group has therefore, dealt in this chapter only other insurances. In case of package insurance to be made available through ‘single window’ along with area based yield (crop) insurance, the Group recommends that AIC should consider scope of cover and premium rates of all the general insurance companies in deciding the partner for insurances other than crop. In case of area based yield insurance, the Group recommends that AIC will continue to spearhead the insurance programme. However, private insurers be explored if they could submit premium quotes for area based yield insurance for a few areas and crops. If private insurers are willing and premium rates are competitive, the government may consider allocating a few territories on experimental basis. Alternatively, private insurers can also share co-insurance arrangement with AIC. The Joint Group further explored various alternatives of involving private insurers in area based yield insurance. Some of the alternatives explored are discussed below: ______________________________________________________________________________________ 88 Joint Group Report 1. AIC rated method: The indicative premium rates worked out by AIC for the proposed scheme would be circulated to all private insurers to enable individual insurers to quote premium rates for various crops and areas. The rates quoted by private insurers would be discussed with AIC, and a final lowest rate would be arrived for different crops and areas. The government can then allocate the areas and crops to insurers on the basis of the lowest and competitive premium rate. Before allocating areas and crops to private insurers, the government should make sure that these insurers have adequate solvency and have signed a MoU w.r.t. the terms of implementation of the programme. 2. Lowest Rate Method: In the second alternative, the government would finalize and circulate the scheme to all insurers for expression of interest in implementation of the scheme and quoting premium rates. The insurers are required to quote premium rates for each crop at state level. The government shall allocate the states & crops to insurers on the basis of lowest and competitive premium rate. 3. Modified USA model: In USA the government supported crop insurance programme is implemented by about 15 private insurers, besides Federal Crop Insurance Corporation (FCIC), a government company. The programme is administered by Risk Management Agency (RMA) on behalf of US Department of Agriculture (USDA). Once a crop insurance programme is approved by the government, the RMA gets the premium rates calculated for different crops / states / counties by utilising services of National Crop Insurance Services (NCIS). Any approved insurer can sell these insurance products at the rates certified by the RMA. All insurers implementing the programme are eligible for same level of premium subsidy, and further the administrative and operating expenses of the insurer towards implementing crop insurance programme are entirely reimbursed by the government. Since the insurance companies are implementing the crop insurance programme at a premium rate set by RMA, the government also provides reasonable level of reinsurance support. The reinsurance support would be highest for developmental ______________________________________________________________________________________ 89 Joint Group Report lines (new and unstable crops) and lowest for commercial lines (established and stable crops). On the lines of USA model, the government through an exclusive technical agency may get the premium rates worked out and offer the product to all insurers. The insurers can implement the product enjoying same level of support and subsidy. As a variation from USA method, the government would not provide reinsurance support and reimbursement of administrative and operating expenses, as these costs would be loaded in the actuarial rates. The government can decide whether or not different insurers compete in the same area or allocate specific crops and areas to particular insurer. The Joint Group is of the view that entry of private insurers and healthy competition / partnership with AIC should be encouraged so as to make insurance available to as many farmers and at competitive rates backed by efficient service. The Group considered various alternatives discussed above and noted pros & cons of each method. First two methods (AIC Rated Method & Lowest Rate Method) are not workable because the rating techniques and risk perceptions employed by each of the insurer could be different. Further, except AIC no other insurer has access to yield database of all crops and areas, the main component for rating. The Group, therefore, would like to recommend ‘Modified USA Method’ for area based yield insurance in the Country. For this purpose, the government may create an exclusive technical agency or strengthen CACP with actuarial experts to generate premium rates. To begin with, the private sector participation may be limited to certain crops/areas, leaving major crops / states with AIC. With experience and maturity in the market, the entire programme will be thrown open to all players. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 90 Joint Group Report 7. FINANCING CROP INSURANCE 7.1. Penetration Targets As discussed in the previous chapters, National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) has certain shortcomings, leading to poor penetration. The scheme, which is compulsory for loanee farmers, could cover about only 1/3rd of potential crop loans eligible for coverage. In all, the scheme could cover only about 10 percent of farmers / cropped area in the country. It is a paradox that the scheme with nearly 75 percent subsidies could hardly attract 1/10th of the farmers. If crop insurance programme is to be sold as an important tool in crop risk management, the level of penetration will have to be close to 50 percent. In other words, the present level of consumption of crop insurance will have to grow five-fold. This kind of growth can only come with improvements in the scheme, which are suggested in the earlier chapters. The State-wise comparison of farmers covered and acreage insured under NAIS (2003-04) with total farmers and acreage (1995-96) is presented in Table-11 to understand level of penetration in various states. The scheme during 2003-04 despite being largely comprehensive could cover only 10.69 percent of all cultivators and only 11.77 percent of area (Table-11). Karnataka spurred by drought, had highest participation levels both in terms of farmers & acreage (29.88 percent & 28.44 percent, respectively). Other major States include Gujarat, Maharashtra, Orissa, Madhya Pradesh & Andhra Pradesh. Among bigger States, Bihar, Rajasthan, Tamilnadu & Uttar Pradesh had lowest participation levels. A good effort and appropriate marketing can significantly improve the penetration levels in these states. Rajasthan during Kharif 2004 has already reported good coverage. Based on improved performance during 2004-05, the penetration level is expected to be between 12 to 15 percent. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 91 Joint Group Report Table - 11 Comparison of Total Farmers & Acreage cultivated (1995-96) and Farmers & Acreage covered under National Agriculture Insurance Scheme (2003-04) States/UTs Total Farmers Andhra Pradesh Arunachal Pradesh Assam Bihar Goa Gujarat Haryana Himachal Pradesh 10603000 104000 2683000 14155000 70000 3781000 1728000 863000 1336000 6221000 6299000 9603000 10653000 143000 160000 66000 149000 3966000 1093000 5364000 44000 8012000 301000 21529000 6547000 107000 Jammu & Kashmir Karnataka Kerala Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Manipur Meghalaya Mizoram Nagaland Orissa Punjab Rajasthan Sikkim Tamil Nadu Tripura Uttar Pradesh West Bengal All UTs All India Farmers Covered under NAIS 1737117 * 12358 175199 793 1029931 * 3871 * 1858771 40213 2017528 2761657 * 1381 * * 841002 * 58634 316 65964 1005 1002257 748173 3013 115580000 12359183 NAIS covered farmers as percent of total 16.38% * 0.46% 1.24% 1.13% 27.24% * 0.45% * 29.88% 0.64% 21.01% 25.92% * 0.86% * * 21.21% * 1.09% 0.72% 0.82% 0.33% 4.66% 11.43% 2.82% Total Acreage (Hect) Acreage under NAIS (Hect) NAIS covered acreage as % of total 14374000 344000 3138000 10682000 59000 9904000 3676000 1000000 1013000 12109000 1712000 21890000 19880000 174000 85000 213000 720000 5144000 4147000 21250000 73000 7303000 181000 18570000 5588000 130000 2621026 * 9050 179675 676 2203685 * 3926 * 3443351 32429 4880325 3040009 * 1718 * * 812158 * 67208 174 102812 490 1448986 382122 4456 18.23% * 0.29% 1.68% 1.15% 22.25% * 0.39% * 28.44% 1.89% 22.29% 15.29% * 2.02% * * 15.79% * 0.32% 0.24% 1.41% 0.27% 7.80% 6.84% 3.43% 10.69% 163359000 19234276 11.77% Marketing Effort: The non-loanee farmers for whom the scheme is voluntary continued to show patchy participation, often exhibiting extreme symptoms of adverse selection and moral hazard. Presently their participation in NAIS is around 2 percent, which again is contributed by a few states, viz. Karnataka, Maharashtra & Orissa. The single most important reason quoted for low participation is the effort required by the farmer to go to a bank to submit insurance proposal. Quite often these farmers are turned away by Banks because of their pre-occupation with routine activities. Therefore, making available insurance at the doorstep of farmer / village through rural agents will be the key to improve participation of non-loanee farmers. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 92 Joint Group Report The implementing agency will have to put in place immediately proper insurance delivery mechanism, such as rural agents, micro insurance agents, bima seva sansthans etc. to reach out to non-loanee farmers. Assuming that there will be improvements in yield guarantee insurance, which will be patronized by large number of farmers; more farmer friendly weather insurance products; improvement in insurance delivery mechanism and participation of private insurers, the Joint Group proposes the following penetration targets in terms of farmers / acreage covered under insurance: By the end of Xth Plan Period (2006-07) 3 crore farmers (25% of all farmers) By the end of XIth Plan Period (2011-12) 6 crore farmers (50% of all farmers) 7.2. Financing Mechanism Considering the very nature of the agriculture sector, it may not be appropriate to view the viability of crop insurance merely from financial statistics, as it may not be viable in such sense. This is very relevant, as the crop insurance schemes both in developed and developing nations are greatly dependent on the support of the government. A developing nation like India is not just dependent on weather conditions, but also suffers the brunt of natural disasters, as it is ill equipped to deal with such events. With nearly 2/3 rd of the population dependent on agriculture, considerations, which have direct bearing on the policy for agriculture in India, include the effects of socio, economic and financial disarray as a result of agricultural risks. Further agricultural risks are systemic in nature wherein a single event may lead to multiple losses. It is with such considerations that crop insurance has been receiving governmental subsidies in most of the countries where it is successfully implemented. It will be quite in order for crop insurance to be regarded as a support measure in which government plays an important role, because of the benefit it provides not merely to the insured farmers, but to the entire national economy due to the forward and backward linkages with the rest of the economy. Society can significantly gain from more efficient sharing of crop and natural disaster risks. The principle behind the evaluation of crop insurance schemes all over the world ______________________________________________________________________________________ 93 Joint Group Report are along these lines for receiving the active support and finance of the government. Integrating the various risk mitigation methods and streamlining the funds not only injects accountability and professionalism into the system, but also increase economic efficiency. 7.2.1. Subsidy levels in other countries: The crop insurance support mechanism of some of the major countries is given in Table-12: Table-12 Government Crop Insurance Support Mechanism In Major Countries S.No Country Nature of Support 1. USA - Subsidy in premium (ranges from 38 percent to 67 percent; (covered nearly average for 2003 is 60 percent) 2 million out of - Reimbursement of administrative expenses of insurance total 8 million companies (these were about 22 percent of total cost of the farmers and program during 2003-4) about 78% of - Reinsurance support for risky crop lines cropped area - Technical services in premium, policy guidelines during 2003) - free insurance of catastrophic cover for resource poor farmers - non insured assistance to farmers for crops no insurance is available Over all subsidy is about 70-75 percent subsidy in premiums (80-100 percent for lower levels of coverage and 50-60 percent for higher levels of coverage) - significant contribution towards provincial administrative costs - provides deficit financing to provincial governments - technical services by setting premium rates 2. Canada - 3. Philippines - 4. Spain Over all subsidy is about 70 percent subsidy in premium (ranges from 50 percent -60 percent) Banks share premium of loanee farmers (15-20 percent of total premium cost) - Financial support to Philippines Crop Insurance Corporation (PCIC) in extreme adversities Over all subsidy is about 70 percent for loanee farmers & about 50 percent for non-loanee farmers - Subsidy in premium (average 58 percent during 2003) - Reinsurance support (50 percent of reinsurance cost is paid by the government) - Technical guidance Over all subsidy between 50-60 percent ______________________________________________________________________________________ 94 Joint Group Report 7.2. Farmers capacity to pay premium: In terms of Agricultural Census 1995-96, marginal farmers having upto 1 hectare of land, comprised 61.6 percent of the farm holding population owning only 17.2 percent of the area. Similarly small farmers (1-2 hectares) comprise 18.7 percent of the farm holding population and own 18.8 percent area. Only 19.7 percent of farmers have landholdings of more than 2 hectares. The Table –13 given below amply demonstrates the small landholding size, particularly of marginal and small farmers: Table-13 State-wise Average Size of Operational Holdings by Major Size-Groups, 1995-96 (Hectares) States/UTs Marginal Small SemiMedium Medium Large Andhra Pradesh 0.46 1.43 2.68 5.74 15.34 Arunachal Pradesh 0.48 1.30 2.66 5.50 12.83 Assam 0.37 1.37 2.63 5.16 65.60 Bihar 0.34 1.32 2.73 5.57 16.52 Goa 0.35 1.38 3.00 8.00 Gujarat 0.54 1.47 2.80 5.90 14.79 Haryana 0.50 1.40 2.79 5.90 16.53 Himachal Pradesh 0.41 1.39 2.69 5.71 15.60 Jammu & Kashmir 0.39 1.38 2.66 5.39 Karnataka 0.48 1.45 2.74 5.87 15.03 Kerala 0.15 1.34 2.54 5.20 34.00 Madhya Pradesh 0.46 1.44 2.76 5.94 16.11 Maharashtra 0.49 1.45 2.73 5.76 16.20 Manipur 0.57 1.37 2.57 4.67 Meghalaya 0.49 1.25 2.41 4.50 Mizoram 0.61 1.38 2.33 Nagaland 0.56 1.10 2.60 5.95 14.71 Orissa 0.50 1.38 2.67 5.54 16.20 Punjab 0.60 1.31 2.60 5.73 14.98 Rajasthan 0.48 1.44 2.85 6.22 18.69 Sikkim 0.42 1.40 3.00 6.00 Tamil Nadu 0.37 1.39 2.70 5.68 23.62 Tripura 0.33 1.40 2.50 6.00 Uttar Pradesh 0.39 1.41 2.73 5.54 15.54 West Bengal 0.48 1.48 2.74 5.27 203.00 All India 0.40 1.42 2.73 5.84 17.21 Source: Agricultural Census Division, Ministry of Agriculture, New Delhi. All Holdings 1.36 3.31 1.17 0.75 0.84 2.62 2.13 1.16 0.76 1.95 0.27 2.28 1.87 1.22 1.33 1.29 4.83 1.30 3.79 3.96 1.66 0.91 0.60 0.86 0.85 1.41 Given that great majority of farmers have very small landholdings, the success of crop insurance significantly depends on the scope and extent to which these farmers, who are poor, can be covered at affordable premium rates. Being characteristically impoverished, these poor farmers have recourse mainly to ______________________________________________________________________________________ 95 Joint Group Report informal sources of finance and do not have access to latest technologies and organized techniques and forms of marketing. The financial institutions have been making efforts to reach this segment though with varied levels of success. The nature of crop insurance business being highly dependent on the vagaries of climatic factors, the premium rates are very high and in most cases beyond the paying capacity of farmers. Considering the above, the Joint Group recommends that the actuarial premium rates have to be adequately subsidized to make the scheme affordable to farmers. The various methods of providing subsidy are discussed below: 1. Rupee subsidy: This is very simple method, in which the subsidy is fixed in terms of rupees per hectare or rupees per farmer. For example, it could be Rs. 250 and Rs. 500 per hectare for small / marginal and others, respectively. The subsidy could be further limited to specified number of hectares, say 5 hectares. Possibly, the rupee subsidy could be variable for different crops. It is a simple method and the government on the basis of insured acreage can easily estimate its financial liabilities. However, extreme premium rates (Table -14) in the Indian context may render the method ineffectual. Table- 14: Sample Actuarial Premium Rates showing Extremes State Crop S.No 1 2 3 4 Andhra Pradesh Groundnut Chilly Rice Gujarat Groundnut Bajra Madhya Pradesh Cotton Uttar Pradesh Rice Mustard Sum insured / Hectare (Rs.) Expected Actuarial Premium / Hectare (Rs.) 12,000 25,000 15,000 15,000 10,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 3000 1250 1268 5250 1675 800 450 200 2. Percent basis: This is yet another simple method, wherein the premium rates are subsidized in terms of particular percentage of actuarial premium. The percentage could be different for various categories of farmers. For example, it could be 75 percent subsidy for small / marginal ______________________________________________________________________________________ 96 Joint Group Report farmers and 50 percent for other farmers. If the actuarial premium rate is 10 percent; small / marginal farmer will pay a net 2.5 percent premium (after 75 percent subsidy) and other farmer 5 percent premium (after 50 percent subsidy). An illustrative and indicative premium chart is given below for major states and crops for Kharif (Table – 15) & Rabi (Table-16) seasons: Kharif seasons: Table-15 State Crop Loss cost (%) Andhra Pradesh Paddy Maize Groundnut Cotton Chilly Sugarcane Paddy Groundnut Castor Bajra Cotton Paddy Jowar Groundnut Sugarcane Potato Onion Paddy Maize Groundnut Soybean Cotton(I) Paddy Groundnut Soybean Jowar Cotton Paddy Maize Groundnut Paddy Maize Groundnut 4.45 4.24 18.47 4.71 2.63 2.20 9.99 23.94 12.35 9.57 16.59 21.75 36.78 21.45 5.10 60.01 44.43 7.14 3.34 9.14 13.79 2.03 14.68 5.90 8.35 5.35 3.18 15.12 3.54 4.66 1.11 12.67 11.12 Gujarat Karnataka Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Orissa Uttar Pradesh Expected premium rate based on suggested improvements 7.80% 7.40% 25.00% 8.25% 5.00% 3.50% 17.50% 35.00% 21.60% 16.75% 29.00% 25.00% 30.00% 30.00% 7.00% 30.00% 30.00% 12.50% 5.85% 16.00% 20.00% 4.00% 20.00% 10.30% 14.00% 9.35% 6.00% 25.00% 6.20% 8.20% 3.00% 20.00% 18.00% ______________________________________________________________________________________ 97 Joint Group Report Rabi seasons: Table-16 State Crop Loss cost (%) Andhra Pradesh Paddy Groundnut Sunflower Chilly Wheat Groundnut Mustard Paddy Jowar Wheat Gram Potato Wheat Gram Mustard Potato Wheat Jowar Gram Onion Sugarcane Paddy Potato Wheat Mustard Potato 2.96 2.19 11.52 3.66 17.65 1.07 2.59 7.83 6.18 8.47 7.59 8.49 5.91 5.17 4.20 4.55 23.05 54.84 47.67 20.54 3.15 1.00 1.35 2.94 1.00 4.93 Gujarat Karnataka Madhya Pradesh Maharashtra Orissa Uttar Pradesh Expected premium rate based on suggested improvements 5.20% 4.00% 20.00% 6.40% 25.00% 2.00% 5.00% 13.70% 10.80% 14.80% 13.30% 14.85% 10.35% 9.00% 7.35% 7.95% 30.00% 35.00% 35.00% 30.00% 5.00% 2.00% 2.50% 5.20% 2.00% 8.60% The disadvantage of this method as could be noticed from the above tables is that it provides subsidy at the same rate irrespective of whether or not the actuarial premium rates are high or low. For example, the actuarial premium rate is 2 percent (wheat), and affordable by farmer. Yet as per subsidy formula, small / marginal farmer would be required to pay only 0.5 percent and other farmer only 1 percent. On the other extreme, if the actuarial rate is 30 percent (groundnut), despite subsidy, small / marginal farmer is required to pay 7.5 percent and other farmer 15 percent premium, which is still beyond farmer’s affordability. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 98 Joint Group Report 3. Premium Capping: This is a method, wherein actuarial rates are capped for farmers, and the rate beyond the cap is subsidized. The rates are capped in such a way that the net rates are affordable to farmers. The indicative capping for proposed crop insurance program is give below in Table – 17: Table - 17 S.No Crop Groups 1 2 3 4 5 6 Cereal & Millets – Rice and Wheat Other Cereals & Millets Pulses Oilseeds Sugarcane Annual commercial / horticultural crops Premium cap for Premium cap for Small / Marginal farmers Other farmers Kharif Rabi Kharif Rabi 3% 4% 1.5% 3% 5% 6% 2.5% 5% 4% 4% 1% 2% 2% 1% 6% 6% 2% 4% 4% 2% 4% 4% 6% 6% The disadvantage of this method is that the risk is not adequately discriminated. Irrespective of difference in rates across states, farmers will pay the same rate. Rice actuarial premium rate during Kharif is 6.5 percent in Orissa and 9.4 percent in Gujarat. However, in both the cases, the ‘other category’ farmer would be required to pay 5 percent. Similarly groundnut actuarial premium in Gujarat is about 35 percent and in Maharashtra about 5 percent. As per the model suggested above, Maharashtra farmer pays full groundnut premium (as the premium rate is within the cap) and Gujarat farmer, only 6 percent, leaving balance 29 percentage points to be borne by the government. 4. Graded Percent basis: This is a method, evolved by fine-tuning ‘percent method’, and takes care of extreme variations in actuarial premium rates. In other words, the subsidy rate is lower for lower premium rates, gradually increasing the subsidy rate with increase in premium rate. It combines advantage of both ‘percent method’ and ‘premium capping ______________________________________________________________________________________ 99 Joint Group Report method’. The effectiveness of the method can be further improved by fixing minimum and maximum premium rate for farmers. Joint Group’ Recommendations: The Joint Group keeping in mind huge differences in actuarial premium rates across crops and states and considering the pros and cons of various methods suggested above would like to recommend ‘graded percent method’. The indicative subsidy levels recommended by the Joint Group are given in Table-18 below: Table-18 S.No 1 2 Premium slab Upto 2% >2 - 5% 3 >5 – 10% 4 >10 –15% 5 >15% Subsidy to Small / Marginal farmers 25% 40% subject to minimum net premium of 1.5% 50% subject to minimum net premium of 3% 60% subject to minimum net premium of 5% 75% subject to minimum net premium of 6% and maximum net premium of 8% Subsidy to Other farmers Nil 25% subject to minimum net premium of 2% 40% subject to minimum net premium of 4% 50% subject to minimum net premium of 6% 60% subject to minimum net premium of 7.5% and maximum net premium of 12% 7.2.3. Government’s support The government’s support in actuarial regime would be in terms of premium subsidy, leaving all claims to the insurers. The average actuarial premium rate in the country with proposed improvements would be in the range of 15 -18% of sum insured. Considering that the premium for farmers is capped between 1.5% - 6% (for premium rate upto 15%), the balance of the premium will have to come from the government. The sharing between centre and states can be decided keeping in mind the premium rates and the financial outlay. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 100 Joint Group Report 7.3. Financial Outlay of the Government As per the risk sharing arrangement of NAIS, the claims beyond 100 percent of premium in case of food crops and oil seeds and 150 percent of premium for annual commercial and horticultural crops are borne by the government (50:50 basis between the Government of India and States). Besides, the premium subsidy payable for small / marginal farmers is also borne by the government. On the basis of the coverage and the claims experience of past four years, the government is annually spending Rs. 1000 crores on NAIS for covering about 1.2 crore farmers. The proposed improvements in NAIS are expected to significantly increase the financial implications of the government. An indicative financial implications for the government for various improvements are given in Table – 19. The Notes governing the financial implications for the government are as follows: 1) Lowering insurance unit to village panchayat level: A sample exercise was conducted a few years ago under CCIS which broadly indicated an increase of about 35% for every one level of reduction, i.e. from block / taluka to village panchayat. Therefore, increase in liabilities by 35% is estimated resulting from reducing the unit to village panchayat. 2) Threshold Yield to be based on best 5 out of 7 years: A random exercise of Andhra Pradesh & Orissa on Kharif seasons for paddy under NAIS have shown an increase in claims by approx. 20% if the best five years are adopted from out of preceding seven years. 3) Minimum indemnity limit of 80%: As a result of this, all areas presently eligible for 60% limit will now be eligible for 80%. Presently there are 58% areas during Kharif eligible for 60% limit. Raising the level to 80% has two implications – (i) increase in frequency of claims, and (ii) increase in quantum of claim. It is estimated that the financial liability will be increased by about 15%. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 101 Joint Group Report 4) Prevented sowing / planting: It has implications mainly in Kharif season due to its overwhelming dependence on southwest monsoon. Sowing operations will be affected, if the actual rainfall during June and July is less beyond a certain point. This problem was faced during Kharif 2002 and to some extent during on-going Kharif 2004 season. This problem is not encountered during normal monsoon, particularly in the early months. It is estimated that the increase in financial liabilities could be to the extent of 5%. 5) Post harvest losses: It is intended to cover only the crop in ‘cut & spread’ condition lying in the field after harvest, against damage due to cyclone. The main crops benefitted will be paddy in east coast region. The financial liabilities may increase by a nominal 2%. 6) Individual assessment in case of localized calamities: The cover available is against hailstorm, landslide & wild animals. Hailstorm is mainly seen during Rabi seasons, especially in the north. Landslide is an issue only in hilly regions. Wild animals cause damage mostly in areas close to forest. Considering these, a nominal 0.5% increase in financial liabilities is estimated. 7) Package Insurance - compulsory personal accident and cover for dwelling & contents and optional insurance for cattle: At a premium of Rs. 37.5 per head, the cost for covering one crore farmers for personal accident and dwelling and contents is Rs. 37.5 crores. The subsidy in livestock premium for a pair of cattle for one crore crop insured farmers assuming 25% coverage works out to Rs. 62.5 crores. The total cost to the government is Rs. 100 crores for covering one crore farmers. 8) The financial liabilities for covering fruits and vegetables crops can be accurately worked out only after finalizing the scheme design and crops to be covered. Tentatively, a subsidy of Rs. 100 crores has been included in the financial liabilities. 9) Administrative cost of CCEs: The additional CCEs required could be to the tune of 55 lakhs @ 8 CCEs per Crop per GP (maximum of 3 crops). The administrative cost @ Rs. 300 per CCE will be Rs. 165 crores. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 102 Joint Group Report Table – 19 The broad financial implications of modified NAIS S.No 1 2 Improved Features Likely liability Government’s revised liability for 1.2 crore farmers Rs. 750 crores Government’s liability of actuarial regime with insurance unit reduced to Village Panchayat for major crops (on an average 35% increase in claims pay-out). Rs. 1015 crores 3 Above (2) + Average yield calculated by taking best 5 years from preceding 7 years (on an average 20% increase in claims pay-out) Rs. 1215 crores Above (3) + Indemnity Limit of 90% & 80% in place of 90%, 80% & 60% (on an average 10% increase in claims pay-out) Rs. 1340 crores 4 5 Above (4) + Coverage of prevented sowing risk (on an average 5% increase in claims pay-out) Rs.1410 crores 6 Above (5) + Coverage of post harvest losses on account specified perils (on an average 2% increase in pay-out) Rs. 1440 crores 7 Above (6) + on account payment based on rainfall parameter. Theoretically, no increase is expected in pay-out Rs. 1440 crores 8 Above (7) + Individual assessment in case of localised calamities (on an average 0.5% increase in pay-out) Rs. 1450 crores 9 Above (8) + cover for personal accident; dwelling & Rs. 1550 crores contents and subsidy on livestock insurance (Rs. 100 crores) Above (9) + cover of fruit crops and vegetables under separate scheme (estimated liability of Rs. 100 crores) Rs. 1650 crores 10 11 Above (10) + Administrative liability of Rs. 165 crores towards cost of additional CCEs. Rs. 1815 crores (Financial implications for medical insurance have not been included) Note: Originally the government’s annual liability on NAIS is Rs. 1000 crores. Considering increase in proposed premium rates payable by the farmer in the new scheme, the reduction in government’s liability is estimated at 25 per cent i.e., Rs. 250 crores on Rs 1000 crores. The revised liabilities, therefore, are taken at Rs. 750 crores as the base. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 103 Joint Group Report Assuming that the financial implication of the government is Rs. 1815 crores per annum at 10% penetration (1.2 crore farmers), these financial implications have been extrapolated for different levels of penetration. The details are as follows: 20% penetration - Rs. 3135 crores 25% penetration - Rs. 3861 crores 30% penetration - Rs. 4563 crores 35% penetration - Rs. 5248 crores 40% penetration - Rs. 5908 crores 45% penetration - Rs. 6552 crores 50% penetration - Rs. 7171 crores Note: Higher level of participation is expected to achieve good spread of risk. Therefore, the liabilities as proportion may be somewhat lower at higher level of participation. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 104 Joint Group Report 8. SUMMARY OF RECOMMENDATIONS National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) 1. Insurance unit should be reduced to the level of village panchayat for major crops. To counter scope for possible interference and manipulation in the conduct of CCEs, certain checks and balances have been suggested. The costs of CCEs are shared by the Government of India and States on 50:50 basis. States can use existing manpower / re-deploy surplus manpower of other departments or out-source manpower for additional CCEs in consultation with Implementing Agency. 2. Guaranteed Yield should be based on average of the best five out of the preceding seven years, as it is more appropriate and balanced. 3. Indemnity levels should be 90% for low risk areas / crops and 80% for others. 4. Pre-sowing / planting risks (prevented sowing on account of adverse seasonal conditions) should be covered, with indemnity payment ranging from 20% - 25% of the sum insured depending on cost of pre-sowing / planting expenses likely to incurred. It should be implemented on ‘area equity’ basis. The parameters for eligibility shall be set up using weather and scientific data, including remote sensing technology. The insured farmers having received indemnity based on pre-sowing / planting will not be eligible for yield based indemnity. 5. Post harvest losses on account of cyclone in coastal areas should be covered for a period of two weeks from harvesting, provided the crop is left in the field in ‘cut & spread’ condition. 6. Uniform seasonality discipline should be followed for loanee and nonloanee farmers. The dates for Kharif crops can be 15th June to 15th July for different states on the basis of onset of the South-West monsoon. For ______________________________________________________________________________________ 105 Joint Group Report Rabi crops it may be 31st December and Summer crops 31st January. Loanee farmers are covered based on loan-sanctioned, while non-loanee farmers should be allowed to avail insurance before sowing. Maximum sum insured per hectare is higher of quantum of loan sanctioned or value of the guaranteed yield. 7. An amount upto 50 percent of likely claims should be released in advance subject to adjustment against the claims assessed on yield basis. However such an ‘on account’ payment will be made only if the expected yield during the season is less than 50 percent of normal yield. The criteria for deciding ‘on-account’ payment of claims shall be based on agrometeorological data / satellite imagery or such other indicators to be decided by implementing agency, and will be implemented in those states and crops for which such proxy indicators can be established. 8. In addition to the risks of hailstorm and landslide, the scheme should also cover damage caused by wild animals (neelgai, spotted dear & elephant). For all such localised risks, the claims will be settled on the basis of individual assessment. 9. Implementing Agency should expand its network in order to provide better service to farmers, particularly non-loanees. The agency should have presence at least at the taluka level, and if possible at the village level. Services of rural agents, micro insurance agents could be utilised to facilitate insurance marketing at village level. A facilitating agency could be instituted by implementing agency at district level to support marketing facilities. 10. Insurance coverage should be provided to perennial horticultural crops and vegetables. A road map is suggested for designing and launching a pilot insurance scheme w.e.f Kharif 2005 season. 11. The crop insurance scheme should be placed on actuarial regime w.e.f. Kharif 2005 season. The premium subsidy may range from 40 percent to ______________________________________________________________________________________ 106 Joint Group Report 75 percent for small / marginal farmers (subject to a maximum net premium of 8 percent) and 25 percent to 60 percent for other farmers (subject to a maximum net premium of 12 percent) at different slabs of actuarial premium. All the claims in the actuarial regime will be borne by the implementing agency. 12. The government should provide necessary solvency margin to AIC (as required under actuarial regime as per IRDA regulations) through budget allocation (non-plan). 13. Banks will bear 25 percent of net premium payable by loanee farmers subject to a maximum of 1.00 percentage point of premium. 14. The government should allow private insurers in area based yield insurance on experimental basis. The method suggested would entail all insurers to enjoy premium subsidy at uniform rate. 15. AIC should take up a pilot project on use of remote sensing applications in crop insurance, covering – crop health, crop acreage, yield estimation & reduction of sample size of CCEs, etc. 16. Proposed Crop insurance scheme (in place of NAIS) will continue to be compulsory for loanee farmers. 17. The banks should display the list of all insured farmers at the village panchayat office. Further, the banks should also display the list of benefited farmers together with claim amount soon after the claims are received from implementing agency. In addition to ensuring transparency, the proposed measure will help contain legal litigation to a large extent. This will also empower village panchayat and will induce them to own up the responsibility of proper implementation of the scheme. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 107 Joint Group Report Package Insurance Policy 1. A single window approach is suggested for providing comprehensive package insurance to farmers. In this approach, crops will be covered under area approach and “Other Assets” (dwelling & contents, personal accident, hospitalisation, livestock, pedal cycle, agrl. pump-set, etc.) under individual approach. 2. Personal accident insurance and ‘dwelling & contents’ insurance should be made compulsory, along with crop insurance. The government may pay the entire premium for insurance of personal accident and dwelling & contents. 3. Other insurance covers in the package should be made optional to farmers. Of these other covers, livestock being most important to farmers, a pair of cattle can be covered with the government paying 50 percent of the premium. Weather insurance 1. Private sector should be encouraged to provide competitive environment and better service to farmers. 2. States should be permitted to take up small experimental and innovative crop insurance products including weather insurance and insurance for horticulture and plantation crops in collaboration with AIC and other insurance companies as “new initiative” under the scheme of Macro Management in Agriculture. 3. A Weather insurance scheme based on common denominators / parameters should be finalised with the help of a consultant and circulated to prospective insurance companies to submit financial proposals for Kharif 2005 season. The scheme can be offered to the company quoting the most competitive rates. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 108 Joint Group Report 4. The existing infrastructure of IMD w.r.t. weather stations needs upgradation and automation to effectively feed data for weather insurance. Using the services of third party weather data providers should also be explored. Farm Income Insurance Scheme (FIIS) There is already National Agricultural Insurance Scheme (NAIS) for covering yield risks and Minimum Support Price (MSP) regime for covering price risks. In these circumstances there is no relevance for FIIS in the present form. The pilot project on FIIS, therefore, should be wound up w.e.f. Rabi 2004-05 season. Others 1. Crop Insurance income should be exempted from income tax provisions to enable the insurer, particularly AIC to build adequate catastrophic reserve. 2. Crop insurance schemes should be exempted from service tax provisions. 3. The government may advise IRDA to raise targets for general insurance companies in agriculture insurance area. ______________________________________________________________________________________ 109