Yosefa Ehrlich Intro to GIS- Project 7 Hurricane Vulnerability in Cape Cod, MA 1) Hazard assessments are common and important in areas that are susceptible to natural disasters by virtue of their environment. This project will be an exercise in vulnerability analysis. Vulnerability analysis answers the following questions: a. Which groups of people are must vulnerable during a disaster? b. What are the greatest local hazards in a community? c. What areas are most vulnerable to disaster in a certain community? Specific focus will be placed on Cape Cod, MA. As water levels rise and weather conditions become more variable, islands and peninsulas will be at the greatest risk to water induced disasters like hurricanes. This project will mirror typical vulnerability analyses by addressing the same questions. It will also take the analysis one step further by looking at accessibility to emergency services like hospitals and police stations. 2) Literature Reviews/ Examples: A) Identifying and Mapping Community Vulnerability Betty Hearn Morrow Disasters,1999, 23(1):1-18 http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/fulltext/119077607/PDFSTART The key variables in hazard vulnerability are social constructs. Using examples from previous disasters this paper illustrates how certain demographics (elderly, poor, large families, women-headed families) are at greater risk during disasters. These factors must be most closely monitored and assessed by city planners. GIS is cited as a powerful tool for keeping track of vulnerable groups. Further, it has preemptive potential to indicate high-need areas before disaster strikes, anticipate needs, and indicate emergency response resources. B) Assessing the Vulnerability of the Mississippi Gulf Coast to Coastal Storms Using an On-Line GIS-Based Coastal Risk Atlas By: Kelly Boyd, Rex Hervey, and Jason Stradtner http://www.ncddc.noaa.gov/cra/Papers/vuln_paper The Coastal Risk Atlas website features this paper centering on methods behind producing vulnerability maps. Vulnerability assessment (and mapping) revolves around identifying hazard sources, locating high-risk communities and organizing supporting infrastructure. The first step is identifying a community’s largest environmental hazards. This information typically relies on climactic data like flood zones and wind envelopes but can include topography. The second step is assessing social vulnerability including poverty, type of home, age, and accessibility to transportation. Finally, once all the data layers are added, you can conduct analyses by comparing the sets of information to determine which groups really are most vulnerable and in which communities. C) Modeling the Effects of Hurricane Hazards in Yarmouth, MA: A Vulnerability Assessment By: Michele Giorgianni http://www.edc.uri.edu/staff/links/Yarmouth_Report_Final.pdf Looking at one community in Cape Cod, MA, this paper explicitly outlines tools used in GIS to assess hurricane vulnerability. Such an assessment can be important in determining what aspects of the area would be most devastated during a storm. Like the papers mentioned above, this analysis will follow the same steps of risk ID in socially vulnerable areas; however, an interesting consideration was made here using HAZUS-MH, economic risk assessment software. HAZUS-MH can be utilized through GIS and accounts for the economic damage resulting after hurricanes and disasters. D) GIS and local knowledge in disaster management: a case study of flood risk mapping in Viet Nam By: Phong Tran, Rajib Shaw, Guillaume Chantry and John Norton Disaster, May, 2008 http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgibin/fulltext/120122377/PDFSTART Explains why GIS mapping is such an important tool in disaster management. Hazard maps are capable of displaying clear representations of the geographic locations of hazard sites. Having the information laid out visually also provides an incentive for community planners to take preemptive action in readying some of the most vulnerable neighborhoods before a pending disaster strikes. Finally, hazard mapping provides clear pathways to planning by making visually available all the resources at a community’s disposal. - Provides a thorough methodology section E) Coastal Risk Atlas (has maps, documents and tools) http://www.ncddc.noaa.gov/cra/doclibrary/document_view 3) The first step will be collecting the appropriate data layers. I already have access to most of the information I’ll need via MassGIS, but I have some kinks to iron out regarding block group vs. tract group for census data. There are some extra data layers that would be interesting for this project like locations of past hurricanes and their years. Next, I will import all the data on top of a MassGIS basemap possibly with orthophotos. Census data will be joined to by block or tract group. I’ll probably use the field calculator to collapse information from social and environmental vulnerability categories to establish a general vulnerability rating for each. I may use selection and buffer tools to pinpoint areas that are most vulnerable within ¼ mile for instance. Ultimately I hope to turn out several maps assessing 1) environmentally vulnerability areas (high hazard ID) 2) socially vulnerable pockets 3) representation of available emergency resources. 4) Data Layers(MassGIS) Infrastructure: Schools Police stations Hospitals Airports Fire stations Roads Railroads Land Use │ Accuracy needed +/- 5 meters +/- 5 meters +/- 5 meters +/- 10 meters +/- 5 meters +/- 10 meters +/- 10 meters N/A Social Vulnerability: (census data) 65 + years-old Households with 6 + people Income below $25,000 by family type 0% English by household language spoken Access to public transportation (not sure where) Buildings built before 1959 (not sure where) Environmental Vulnerability: (physical resources) Hydro 25K Elevation Wetlands Flood zones Impervious Cover (NLCD) +/- 20 meters +/- 20 meters +/- 20 meters +/- 10 meters +/- 25 meters N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A N/A