Homework Problem Set for Week 5, due Friday, February 5. Name_______________________ In this problem set, we will use an Excel spreadsheet to calculate the VARIABILITY in solar insolation due to earth's orbital parameters: precession (P), eccentricity (e), and tilt (T). There are some simplifying assumptions used in the formulation below, but the principles are correct. If you are confused about the terms used, re-read Chapter 8 of the text. Assume that P, e, and T vary as P = P0 sin Pt period = 23,000 years P0 = 4 w/m2 T = T0 sin Tt period = 41,000 years T0 = 5 w/m2 e = e0 sin et period = 100,000 years e0 = 12 (no units) remember that for a sine function, the period is = 2 1a. Assume that the Long Term Average solar insolation is 340 w/m2. Plot the variability of the solar insolation (Isolar) over 500,000 years when only the variation due to precession is included; i.e. Isolar = 340 + P w/m2. Identify the maximum and minimum values of this curve in an Excel plot and calculate the change in temperature of a 'black body' earth due to these values. Give your values of [Imax, Imin, TEMPmax, TEMPmin] where TEMP is the difference between the global black body temperature at equilibrium with the Long Term Average of 340 w/m2 and those at equilibrium with Imax or Imin. Turn in the plot for 500,000 years. 1b. For this part, do the same thing for the variability due to tilt alone; i.e., Isolar = 340 + T w/m2. Identify the maximum and minimum values (list these in your solution) and calculate the change in temperature of a 'black body' earth due to these values. Give values for [Imax, Imin, TEMPmax, TEMPmin] and turn in the plot for 500,000 years. 1c. Plot eccentricity as a function of time [e = e0 sin et], just to get a feel for the 100,000 year variation. Turn in the plot for 500,000 years. 1d. Calculate the variability of total solar insolation using all 3 parameters (T, P, and e), assuming that precession and tilt is additive and eccentricity modulates precession in the form Isolar = 340 + (P * e + T) w/m2 Give [Imax, Imin, TEMPmax, TEMPmin] and include your plot of Isolar as a function of time for 500,000 years. Total things to turn in for problem set: Your four Excel plots and a table with 3 sets of values for [Imax, Imin, TEMPmax, TEMPmin]. SEE EXAMPLE PLOTS AT END OF SOLUTIONS. 2a. Which parameter, tilt or precession, most influenced the magnitude of insolation 41 kya ago? 300 kya? 41 kya: Precession dominates—tilt was at 0 amplitude, precession at maximum negative. 300 kya: Tilt dominates—precession was at 0 amplitude, tilt at maximum positive. 2b. Which parameter dominates the overall shape of the graph? Which parameter dominates the overall magnitude of the plot? Eccentricity has the longest period, and therefore determines the basic period of the system. Also acceptable to say tilt and eccentricity since both go into determining positions of highs and lows at similar time scales. Eccentricity dominates the overall magnitude of the system since it has the largest amplitude. 2c. Mars has a much more variable eccentricity than Earth (greater amplitude), and has an eccentricity period of 2.2 My. How would you expect Mars’ insolation graph to appear relative to Earth’s, assuming it’s precession and tilt periods and amplitudes are of similar magnitude to that on Earth? Longer dominant cycle (eccentricity), producing a longer overall period between highest highs and lowest lows. Larger eccentricity amplitude means higher highs and lower lows - assuming eccentricity amplitude is still larger than relative to tilt and precession amplitudes. 3. Chapter 10 in the text discusses the deformation of continental bed rock due the presence of massively heavy ice sheets during the Last Glacial Maximum (see Figure 10-10). 3a. Using your own resources (i.e., the web) define the term ‘Pro-Glacial Lakes’. Freshwater lakes of melt water that form in the depression adjacent to ice sheets. 3b. Give an example of a pro-glacial lake that formed adjacent to these ice sheets in North America during the Last Glacial Maximum (i) Laurentide Ice Sheet __________Agassiz_________________ (ii) Cordilleran Ice Sheeet_________Lake Missoula____________ 3c. The Puget Lobe was the ice sheet over Puget Sound that was the southern extent of of the Cordilleran Ice Sheet, and was responsible for most of the hills (glacial moraines) that you see around Seattle. It was about 1000 meters thick over Seattle at the maximum at 18,000 years BP. Assume that the present shore line of Puget Sound is at sea level. Use the relationship between ice sheet total thickness and the amount of bedrock depression shown in Figure 10-10 to estimate how far below sea level the Puget Lobe ice sheet depressed the Puget Sound area at the Last Glacial Maximum. (1/3.3) * (1000 meters) = 300 meters below PRESENT sea level. 3d. During the period of the Puget Lobe Advance during the Last Glacial Maximum, enough ice had formed on continents to lower global sea level 130 meters. Use your answer in part 3c to calculate how deep the Puget Sound shoreline would have been under water at 18,000 years BP. 300 (from depression of ice sheet) – 130 (sea level drop) = 170 meters 3e. Given the elastic response time of bed rock rise/fall of 3000 years due to loading and unloading of the bedrock due to ice sheets (see Chapter 10 in text), and assuming that the Puget Lobe melted abruptly at 18,000 years BP, calculate the residual depression of the Puget Sound shoreline that is still present due to this ice sheet. 18,000 years = six 3000 year half-lives. Divide 300 meters by 2 six times = 4.5 meters of depression left. Or write exponential expression to get same answer. 3f. The North Atlantic is a region of bottom water formation (down-welling of the surface waters due to temperature and salinity). If the pro-glacial lake adjacent to the Laurentide Ice Sheet drained abruptly into the North Atlantic at the end of the Last Glacial Maximum, how would that impact the formation of bottom water in the North Atlantic? The freshwater from the lake would make the surface waters of the North Atlantic less dense, and bottom water formation (down-welling) would be less likely to occur. eccentricity 15 10 5 0 eccentricity 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 -5 -10 -15 I +precession alone I=340+precession I=340+precession 346 344 342 340 338 336 334 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 years, 1000s Precession, tilt and eccentricity Insolation in W/m2 400 380 360 340 320 300 280 0 100 200 300 thousands of years 400 500