Cloverdale Commercial Development Survey Analysis In July 2014 the executive of the Cloverdale Community League conducted an online survey to assess neighborhood support for local commercial development. The survey questions are posted here and the results are posted here. The results were shared with City of Edmonton officials responsible for the Corner Store Pilot Program, which supports commercial revitalization in mature neighborhoods. Below is their preliminary analysis of the data and the market potential of the two most-supported types of development, a small grocer and restaurant. Analysis of residents survey comments Suggestions for other businesses: Eleven comments suggested a pub/bar Five suggest a small grocery with produce Four suggested a hair salon Four suggested a ice cream store Four suggest none. Four suggest a pharmacist/drugstore Two suggest a deli Three suggested a liquor store Three suggest a bookstore Two suggests a bike shop Two suggest a flower shop Two suggest an Art Gallery Two suggest a Massage therapy center Two suggests a bike shop One suggests a dry cleaners One suggests a canoe/kayak rentals place One suggest a scooter rental shop Negative comments: Parking requirements of new business seem to be highest on Cloverdale’s list of concerns. Of the 93 comments about Negative impacts associated with local commercial Development 56 dealt with parking. 32 comments mention increased traffic. 10 comments state that there are no negative aspects 1 not enough consultation from The City of Edmonton 6 state that chain stores would detracted from the uniqueness of the neighborhood 3 comments mention business bringing in undesirable people 4 mention increased crime rate 2 two mention loud bars Positive comments: 36 comments mention convenience as a positive impact 28 comments mention “walkability” or related ideas 4 say none 6 mention having to drive less not having to drive to get food 31 mention an increased sense of community in the neighborhood 3 mention increased property values Analysis of the viability of a small grocer and neighborhood restaurant The average Cloverdale household spends $3,1541 on restaurants a year and the total expenditure of all Cloverdale residents on restaurant food is equal to $1.57 Million dollars (data from the industrial land site locator). So if a neighbourhood restaurant got 15% of total Cloverdale restaurant expenditures it would total $235,000; the average gross revenue for a restaurant is $1.5 million 2. A restaurant in Cloverdale would have to attract at least three times as much business from out side the neighbourhood than inside in order to maintain this average. With the new LRT and the increased amount of foot traffic in the area a restaurant in Cloverdale may end up being a viable business opportunity. A more upscale restaurant that has the potential to bring people from outside of the neighborhood would most likely work better than a chain restaurant at bringing in customers from outside of the neighborhood. It is also possible that a restaurant could receive a greater share of resident’s restaurant budget, but 15% would be a reasonable guess. The average household in Cloverdale spends $89223 annually on food purchased from stores from stores and Cloverdale spends $4.46 Million dollars annually on food from stores. The average household in Cloverdale also spends an average of $181 on cigarettes annually and Cloverdale as a neighbourhood spends $90,000 on cigarettes. So if we assume that a convince store would receive 7% of total food expenditures they would generate $312,000 in revenue local residents. In addition if they received 50% of total cigarette revenue then this would generate an additional $45,000 in additional revenue, bringing the total income from the neighbourhood to 357,200. The average gross revenue for a convenience store a bit less than a million dollars a year 4. A Cloverdale convenience store would need significant amount of out of neighbourhood traffic to be viable. If the store is able to get a significant amount of drive by, out of neighborhood, traffic then it may be a viable business model. If they offer a larger array of products, such a produce, they may be able to capture a larger market share and rely less on out of neighborhood traffic. Additionally a specially, or ethnic, grocer may be a better fit as they may be able to draw customers from outside the neighborhood, while at the same time servicing the community. 1 http://www.edmontonindustrialland.ca/ https://canadianrestaurateur.wordpress.com/category/cost-control/direct-operating-costs/ 3 http://www.edmontonindustrialland.ca/ 4 http://ontariocstores.ca/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/CCSA-SOI-2012.pdf 2