FEZ working group report.doc A Preliminary Analysis of Food Economy Zones in Zambia Introduction To date, food security vulnerability analysis in Zambia has focussed on rural areas at the District level, in terms of data collection and presentation. However, selected indicators of vulnerability are often mapped across the whole country, with a subsequent explanation in the text as to why an indicator or interpretation is not especially relevant in particular districts. The meeting reported on here aims to start a progression to a refinement of the current technique by delimiting zones (clusters of Districts) where a subsequent, customised set of indicators will capture most of the components of household food security. The procedure is to start by generalising, then refine the analysis by systematic selection of more detailed data. The aim of the process is to better focus the choice of indicators for monitoring, response and development. Underlying this approach is the concept of food economy zones (FEZ). A FEZ is a geographical area where the principal sources of household income, and, under a similar approach, the livelihood system, are homogeneous. For example, zone ‘A’ may be defined as being predominantly maize-growing with some livestock. Neighbouring zone ‘B’ might see incomes dominated by fishing. The intention at this initial stage is not to say whether the district income derived from maize is 75% or 80%, but to identify that maize is dominant, as opposed to fishing, hence the location is attached to zone ‘A’ rather than zone ‘B’. Note that we are working here with Districts because that is the smallest unit with common data reporting across the whole country. There is much to be argued for a future refinement of the techniques down to the community level. Such an approach would, for example, make objective differentiation between livelihood systems in the valley and on the plateau of individual Districts, or a separation of fishing communities alongside water bodies and rivers. However, at this time, there are insufficient available data for a detailed delineation and subsequent monitoring. Once the FEZs have been proscribed through a clustering of Districts in this broad sense, district data, and sub-district where possible, will be analysed to look at the relative importance of the components within the region e.g. is the contribution of maize 70% or 80% in Area ‘A’. This latter progress will take time to refine, as opposed to a broad-sweep approach in this initial delimitation. The Process A one-day working group was held with eleven Zambian participants drawn from a range of institutions, and two overseas facilitators (the WFP VAM consultant and the regional VAM Officer). See Annex 1 for names and affiliations. An opening discussion focussed on the concept of food security arising from both production and purchases, relating in themselves to availability and access. A contrast was drawn between rural situations where the major part of access would be through self-production and some through purchase, made possible by sale of labour, off-farm income, cash crops, and so on, and urban areas that are dominated by purchases made possible through sale of 1 FEZ working group report.doc labour in the formal (waged / salaried) or informal sectors. A brainstorming within the group produced a collection of determinants for food security, listed in Table 1. Table 1. Elements of food security in Zambia, round-table brainstorming 1 Nov. 2000 Maize Tea Thatching Grass Cassava Horticulture Firewood extraction Millet Coffee Timber extraction Sorghum Sugar Cane Hunting / culling licenses Sweet Potato Oranges Sale of food crops African Potato Water Melon Remittances Beans Mangoes Wages - full time, formal Groundnuts Palm Oil Charcoal burning Vegetables Wheat Cash crop sales Rice Wild Tamarind Livestock sales Onions Cattle Artisanal crafts Pumpkins Poultry / eggs Beer brewing Chikanda Goats Fish sales Irish Potato Sheep Wild food sales Cowpeas Pigs Prostitution Livingstone Potato Fish Seasonal labour Bambara Nuts Caterpillars Small scale mining Mushrooms Mice / rats Stone crushing Okra Game Ranching Vending Pineapples Game meat extraction Marketeering Bananas Intswa (flying ants) Cross border trade Sunflower Locusts / grasshoppers Rental of property Paprika Honey - wild Bee products Tobacco Honey - domesticated Money lending Cotton Dairy products Begging Cashew Lobola Mining / Quarrying ??Theft The next step was to take each District in turn and collectively agree on the principal determinants of food security through production and/or income generation. A three-part scale was used: 1. Very Important in that particular District 2. Important in that particular District 3. Significant in that particular District Findings from the discussion were collated on a flipchart as the discussion progressed, they are presented here in Annex 2. This was a long process, taking up the remainder of the working day. After the meeting, the consultant converted the flipchart results into spreadsheets. Maps were produced for each of the indicators identified in the district-by-district discussion. These are presented in Annex 3. Note that the consultant slightly modified the group interpretations by splitting wage income, primarily to bring out zones dependent on waged agricultural activities, hence more likely to be impacted by drought, and the mining 2 FEZ working group report.doc sector, more likely to be impacted by economic factors. A slight delay occurred at this time because of the need to obtain a digital version of the new District boundary map. This was obtained from the Central Statistics Office and converted to an appropriate format (BNA) for mapping in the Mapviewer software through the generous assistance of the US Geological Survey in Sioux Falls, South Dakota. After preparing a composite spreadsheet and individual maps, the consultant grouped Districts with similar patterns of food security indicators. This is a subjective process and should, ideally, be checked using an objective approach. However, the product, shown below in Figure 1, will be checked through circulation amongst the working group and other parties. Again, this is a first step and refinement is seen as an essential process. Figure 1: Food Economy Zones of Zambia based on first analysis of information from working group meeting held on 1 November 2000 4 1 Numbers refer to Table 2, see below 2 15 17 5 3 6 14 16 13 19 12 9 8 7 11 10 (9) 18 21 20 23 Note: colours are only for showing clusters. There is no necessary linkage between clusters of identical colours, with the exception of Mazambuka District which is grouped with Chibombo etc. 22 Figure 1 contains three distinctively urban Districts with their own unique features, Livingstone, Lusaka and Kabwe. There are also four Districts that seem to be unique, especially when compared to their neighbours, Mpulungu, Nyimba, Kazungula and Chavuma. These Districts should undergo particular attention from the members of the working group to see if the interpretation is valid. Finally there are sixteen Food Economy Zones containing from two to eight Districts. Table 2 contains a summary of the Food Economy Zones mapped in Figure 1. Note that the groupings are aiming to capture the broad features. This is a necessary compromise between the detail shown in the individual maps (Annex 3) and provincial or national-scale generalisations. Note also that at the extreme detail end of the spectrum, i.e. a zone with only one district, it is difficult at this stage to summarise the system by excluding indicators 3 FEZ working group report.doc identified in the working group e.g. Mpulungu. This may be possible later by using more quantitative data on production and incomes. Table 2 (part): Descriptions and members of Food Economy Zones based on working group discussions, 1 November 2000 No. Geographic Area Districts Description 1 Luapula Province, northeastern Northern Province Chiengi, Nchelenge, Kaputa, Kawambwa, Mwense, Luwingu, Chilubi, Samfya Cassava and fishing as main components, consider also cross-border trade. 2 Southern Luapula Province Mansa, Milenge 3 Central Northern Province Mporokoso, Mungwi, Kasama 4 Mpulungu District, Northern Province Mpulungu 5 Northeastern Northern Province Mbala, Nakonde, Isoka 6 Southeastern Northern Province, northern Eastern Province Chinsali, Chama, Mpika, Lundazi, Mambwe 7 Southern Eastern Province Chipata, Chadiza, Katete, Petauke 8 Nyimba District, Eastern Province Nyimba 9 Most of Central Province and southwestern Northern Province Serenje, Mkushi, Chongwe, Chibombo, Mazabuka (not geographically contiguous) 10 Southern Lusaka Province Kafue, Luangwa 11 Lusaka District, Lusaka Province Lusaka 12 Kabwe District, Central Province Kabwe 13 Southern Copperbelt Province and northwestern Central Province Mpelembe, Masaiti, Kapiri Moshi Cassava, millet and maize as main components. Cassava, millet as main components, consider also beans and maize. Millet, mangoes, fishing, cross-border trade, wages from tourism and transport. Beans, maize and cattle as main components, consider also cross-border trade. Maize and game meat as main components, consider also beans, groundnuts and sorghum. Groundnuts, maize, cotton, cattle, pigs, goats and cross-border trade as main components, consider also soya bean and sunflower. Groundnuts, maize, bananas, game meat, and timber as main components. Maize, wheat, cattle and agricultural wages as main components, consider also soya bean, irish potato, vegetables, dairy and poultry. Fishing and game meat as main components, consider also maize. Formal wages, trading, vending/marketeering, horticulture, vegetables, and poultry as main components, consider also dairy and prostitution. Wages and maize as main components, consider also cattle and dairy. Sweet potato, maize, bee products and charcoal as main components. 4 FEZ working group report.doc Table 2 (part): Descriptions and members of Food Economy Zones based on working group discussions, 1 November 2000 No. Geographic Area Districts Description 14 Northeastern Copperbelt Province Chililabombwe, Chingola, Mufulira, Kalulushi, Kitwe, Ndola, Luanshya 15 Eastern Northwestern Province Solwezi, Kwanyama, Kasempa 16 Western Northwestern Province Mwinilunga, Zambezi, Kabompo, Mufumbwe 17 Chavuma District, Northwestern Province Chavuma 18 Western Province Lukulu, Kalabo, Mongu, Kaoma, Senanga, Shangombo, Sasheke 19 Western central Province and northern Southern Province Mumbwa, Itezhi-tezhi, Namwala 20 South-central Southern Province Monze, Choma, Kalomo 21 Kazungula District, Southern Province Kazungula 22 Livingstone District, Southern Province Livingstone 23 Eastern Southern Province Sinazongwe, Gwembe, Siavonga Wages, mining, small-scale mining, cross-border trade, maize, vegetables, dairy, poultry, charcoal as main components, consider also prostitution. Maize, game meat and sweet potato as main components, consider also timber. Cassava and maize as main components, consider also fishing. Maize, cattle and crossborder trade as main components. Cassava, maize, cattle and fishing as main components, consider also millet, timber and cross-border trade. Maize, cattle, fishing, game meat and wages (tourism) as main components. Soya bean, sunflower, maize, tobacco, cattle and ag wages as main components, consider also wild fruits and mushrooms. Cattle, maize, millet, sorghum, fishing, game meat and cross-border trade as main components. Wages, tourism and dairy as main components, consider also maize, wheat and prostitution. Cattle, fishing and goats as main components, consider also cotton and sorghum. The working group opening discussion, represented in Table 1 above, listed about 70 components of food security, through access to food via production or purchase. Subsequent working group discussions, district by district, then identified 53 of those components to be very important, important or significant at the District level (see maps in Annex 3). The interpretation presented in Table 2 reduces the number to 23 main components, having not including the non-urban single District zones, as explained above. This is not to say that the excluded components are insignificant. Rather, the scale of operation and the need for summarisation through operational commonality will lead to some locally important components not being included. Part of the iterative process of refinement is to review the interpretation and amend where necessary. 5 FEZ working group report.doc The Next Steps The working group meeting was a first step. Results of the meeting have been tabulated, mapped and interpreted to produce a map of Food Economy Zones in Zambia. This map (Figure 1) needs validation and refinement, again drawing on local experience and expertise, through, ideally, a second meeting or individual discussions. The refinement process should be taken over by a local institution, which for the purpose of this discussion could include the WFP Zambia VAM office as it has a vested interest in operational use of the results. Following, or perhaps as part of the refinement and agreement on a final grouping, the income from each of the main components for a particular FEZ should be quantified. This will further refine potential target areas for monitoring and programmed development prioritisation. One of the working group members posed some questions after the meeting. These include temporal aspects such as the impact of potential climate change, particularly observed rainfall variability, and movements of people and livestock e.g. to central parts of Zambia such as Mkushi. These are questions that need to be addressed through the development of time series for the agreed indicators for each Food Economy Zone, going back as far as consistent data will permit. The same temporal element suggests that this process should perhaps be repeated every five years or so, using people that have up-to-date knowledge of the country and starting from a clean slate in terms of discussions. Finally, we return to the issue of geographic scale. District level data have been the basic input to the VAM process over the last five years because that is the most detailed disaggregated data readily available across the whole country for a number of indicators. This represents, therefore, an operational reality. However, there are some marked withindistrict differences in food security reflected by the components discussed here, such as in those districts with distinct physiographic features such as valley and plateau. In addition, there is increasing demand for programme actions to be targeted at the household level, which implies the need for data to support and monitor such operations. Until widespread sub-district data become available and are collected in a data management system, it will be necessary for the analytical focus to remain at the district level. However, one hybrid approach may be to identify those districts of special interest through the process described here and then, on an individual district basis, build up a more detailed, household level database. This could then be used for monitoring, targeting and impact evaluation of both food security conditions and programmed response. 6 FEZ working group report.doc Annex 1 Members of Working Group Meeting Mr. Francis Banda – Met Department Mr. Lewis Bangwe - MAFF Mr. Alfred Daka – WFP Dr. Graham Farmer- VAM Consultant Mr. Michael Isimwaa – MAFF Mr. Richard Lisimba- FRA Mr. Chembo Mbula- DMMU Mr. Ronald Msoni – Mt. Makulu Research Station Mrs. Chansa Mushinge -FEWS Ms. Yande Mwape – DMMU Mr. Erminio Sacco -WFP Region Office Ms. Helen Samatebele- PAM Mr. Ballard Zulu - FSRP 7 FEZ working group report.doc Annex 2 Notes from district by district discussion Note that CBT refers to cross border trade No. District 1 Nchelenge 2 Chiengi 3 Kaputa 4 Kawambwa 5 Mwense 6 Mansa 7 Milenge 8 Samfya 9 Chilubi 10 Luwingu 11 Mporokoso 12 Mbala 13 Mpulungu 14 Kasama 15 Mungwi 16 Isoka 17 Nakonde 18 Chinsali 19 Mpika V. Important Important Significant Notes Fish Cassava Fish Cassava Fish Cassava Fish (v.imp/imp) Cassava CBT Palm Oil palm oil increasing CBT Palm Oil palm oil increasing CBT Game Meat DRC refugees Tea wages Maize Millet Bananas CBT valley/plateau, wages (tea) CBT Cassava Fish Cassava Maize (v.imp/imp) Wages (v.imp/imp) Cassava Palm Oil Millet Trading Maize Millet CBT (imp/sig) Fishing Rice Cassava Gane Meat Fishing Cassava Cassava Fishing Maize Game Meat (v.imp/imp) Maize Cassava Millet Beans Cattle Maize CBT Mangoes Fishing Millet Wages Maize Coff Wages Beans Cassava Millet Cassava Sorghum Rice Millet Cattle Rice Beans Maize Cattle Maize Beans CBT Millet Maize Cassava Beans Wages Millet Game Meat Beans (imp/sig) Maize Groundnuts 8 provincial capital beans? Trading island Beans Millet Beans refugees Millet Sorghum harbour, transport, tourinsm provincial capital Fishing CBT Okra Groundnuts Game Meat Trading Caterpillars Cassava Sorghum Fishing Irish Potato shifting cultivation valley/plateau, swamps, wages (railway) FEZ working group report.doc No. District V. Important Important 20 Chama Rice Sorghum (v.imp/imp) 21 Lundazi Maize Groundnuts Cattle (v.imp/imp) Beans Small scale mining Maize Cotton Groundnuts Wages Game Meat Maize Maize (imp/sig) Tobacco Game Meat CBT Tobacco Cotton CBT Game Meat Rice Tobacco Cattle Pigs (local sp.) CBT Sorghum Wages (imp/sig) Cotton Goats Sunflower Soya Beans Pigs 22 Chipata 23 Mambwe 24 Chadiza 25 Katete 26 Petauke 27 Nyimba 28 Serenje 29 Mkushi 30 Kapiri Mposhi 31 Kabwe 32 Chibombo Maize Cattle CBT Groundnuts Cotton Maize Cattle CBT Groundnuts Cotton Maize Cattle CBT Groundnuts Cotton Timber Maize Sweet Potato Irish Potato Maize Tobacco Vegetables Irish Potato Maize Wheat Soya Beans Wages (esp. agric) Charcoal burning Maize Sweet potato Trading Tobacco Wages Maize Maize Vegetables Irish Potato Significant Notes valley/plateau Sorghum Pigs (local sp.) valley/plateau, 'vulnerable in valley', polygamy (muslim), pigs (local) Goats provincial capital, pigs (local) Groundnuts wages (tourism, wildlife) Goats Sunflower Soya Beans Pigs Goats Sunflower Soya Beans Pigs Game Meat Game Meat Groundnuts Bananas Caterpillars Game Meat Wages Cattle Livingstone Potato Coffee valley/plateau, renamo/refugees, ex-combatants from DRC and Angola CBT Pigs Sugar Cane Small scale mining wages (agric) Wheat African Potato Game Meat valley/plateau, wages (agric) Bee Products Sunflowers Fishing Cattle Dairy Charcoal Burning Wheat Dairy Poultry Wages Firewood Fishing 9 Horticulture Soya Beans provincial capital, wages (agric, power) wages (tourism) FEZ working group report.doc No. District 33 Mumbwa 34 Chililabombwe V. Important Important Significant Notes Vegetables Maize Cotton Wages (mining) Wages (industry) Timber Wages (govt.) Game Meat Wages Cattle Small scale mining CBT Vegetables Dairy Poultry Maize Charcoal burning Small scale mining CBT Vegetables Dairy Poultry Maize Charcoal burning Small scale mining CBT Vegetables Dairy Poultry Maize Charcoal burning Small scale mining CBT Vegetables Dairy Poultry Maize Charcoal burning Small scale mining CBT Vegetables Dairy Poultry Maize Charcoal burning Small scale mining CBT Vegetables Dairy Poultry Maize Charcoal burning Small scale mining CBT Vegetables Dairy Poultry Maize Charcoal burning Wages Tobacco Mining wages (tourism) Prostitution wages (industry, mining, timber, govt.) Prostitution wages (industry, mining, timber, govt.) Prostitution wages (industry, mining, timber, govt.) Prostitution wages (industry, mining, timber, govt.) Prostitution wages (industry, mining, timber, govt.) Prostitution wages (industry, mining, timber, govt.), provincial capital Prostitution wages (industry, mining, timber, govt.) Small scale mining Bee Products Coffee? wages (agric), check coffee 35 Chingola Wages (mining) Wages (industry) Timber Wages (govt.) 36 Kalulushi Wages (mining) Wages (industry) Timber Wages (govt.) 37 Mufulira Wages (mining) Wages (industry) Timber Wages (govt.) 38 Kitwe Wages (mining) Wages (industry) Timber Wages (govt.) 39 Ndola Wages (mining) Wages (industry) Timber Wages (govt.) 40 Luanshya Wages (mining) Wages (industry) Timber Wages (govt.) 41 Mpelembe Maize Wheat Soya Beans Sweet Potato Charcoal Burning 10 FEZ working group report.doc No. District 42 Masaiti 43 Lufwanyama 44 Solwezi 45 Mwinilunga 46 Chavuma 47 Zambezi V. Important Important Significant Maize Sweet Potato Charcoal Burning Game Meat Maize Sweet Potato Sweet Potato Beans Small scale mining Soya Beans Bee Products Pineapple 48 Kabompo Cattle CBT Bee Products 49 Mufumbwe Maize 50 Kasempa Maize 51 Lukulu Cassava Cattle Fishing Rice Fish Cassava Cattle Fishing Cassava Mangoes Cattle Maize Cattle Cassava Timber (hardwoods) Thatching Grass Fishing Cattle 52 Kalabo 53 Mongu 54 Kaoma 55 Senanga 56 Shangombo CBT Cattle 57 Sesheke Cattle Timber Sorghum CBT (Namibia) Maize (v.imp./imp.) Cattle 58 Kazungula Wages Small scale mining Notes wages (timber) Cassava Maize Millet Timber Cassava Maize Cassava Maize Pumpkin Game Meat Wages (mining) CBT CBT wages (mining), refugees, provincial capital Fishing refugees (unita) west bank inaccessible Game Meat Maize Cassava Game Meat Bee Products Cassava Bee Products Game Meat Timber Maize Fishing Timber (hardwoods) bee product export Sorghum CBT Game Meat Timber Rice Early Maize Thatching Grass Game Meat Sweet Potato Groundnut Maize Cassava Timber Fishing Maize Cassava Millet Fishing Cassava Maize Sorghum Millet Fishing Game Meat CBT 11 CBT in diamonds cut-off refugees Millet Cashew Nut provincial capital, maize is early on flood plain Tobacco refugees, poor accessibility poor accessibility FEZ working group report.doc No. District V. Important Important Significant Notes 59 Livingstone Wages CBT Dairy Prostitution (imp/sig) Wheat Maize provincial capital, wages (tourism), maize is peri-urban 60 Kalomo Maize Tobacco Soya Beans Cattle Fishing Cattle Maize Fishing Game Meat Cattle Maize Maize Cattle Sunflowers Wages wages (agric) Game Meat Wages Prostitution wages (tourism) Wages Prostitution wages (tourism, hydro) Tobacco Soya Beans Sunflower Wages Tobacco Soya Beans Sunflower Wages Sweet Potato Cotton Wheat Soya Beans Fishing Wild Fruits Mushrooms wages (agric, govt.) Game Ranching Poultry wages (agric, sugar industry) Milk supply to Lusaka Small scale mining Sorghum Soya Beans Millet Wages (mining) Goats Sorghum Maize wages (cotton, mining) Bananas Wages Wild Fruits Fishing Cattle Small scale mining Game Meat Game Meat Cattle Small scale mining 61 Namwala 62 Itezhi-tezhi 63 Choma 64 Monze Maize Cattle 65 Mazabuka Sugar Cane Maize Cattle Dairy Wages Fishing Goats Cattle Cotton Wages (ag ind) Fishing Cattle Cotton Fishing CBT Goats Maize Wages 66 Sinazongwe 67 Gwembe 68 Siavonga 69 Kafue 70 Luangwa 71 Chongwe 72 Lusaka Fishing Artisanal Crafts CBT Maize Wheat Horticulture Vegetables Dairy Cattle Poultry Wages Wages Trading Horticulture Vegetables Poultry CBT Vending/Marketeering Prostitution Prostitution Dairy 12 Mushrooms Maize Millet wages (hydro, tourism, agric) wages (mining, quarrying, industrial, agric) Maize Sorghum Prostitution Soya Beans wages (agric) national capital, wages (govt., tourism, business, institutions) FEZ working group report.doc Annex 3 Maps of Identified Components of Food Security Note that for each District in turn, the working group collectively agreed on the principal determinants of food security through production and/or income generation within that district. A three-part scale was used: 1. Very Important in that particular District 2. Important in that particular District 3. Significant in that particular District The findings were subsequently mapped and those maps are presented here. For technical reasons of file size, the maps are stored in a number of separate files1 1 All relevant files are stored in a folder called FEZ Workgroup Nov 2000. Maps were generated using Mapviewer software based on the data held in a file called “working group ranking.xls”. Boundary file used was newzmdis.bna which may be further cleaned by the US Geological Survey and sent to WFP VAM. Map files, extension GSM, were created for each component and have self-explanatory names. Relevant DOC files are: 1. FEZ working group report.doc (this document) 2. roots and tubers.doc (GSM files in Word format) 3. legumes.doc (GSM files in Word format) 4. grains.doc (GSM files in Word format) 5. cash and tree crops.doc (GSM files in Word format) 6. livestock.doc (GSM files in Word format) 7. woodland products (GSM files in Word format) 8. mining and commerce.doc (GSM files in Word format) 13