C:\DATA\COURSES\C509SP96\C509SP96.SYL January 31, 1996 COMMUNICATIONS 509 (Section Code 11022) SOCIAL SCIENCE RESEARCH IN COMMUNICATIONS Spring 1996, W 7:00 pm - 9:45 pm, H-223 Tony Rimmer, Office: H-324B, 773-3271/3517 w, 731-8758 h. Office Hours: W 2-4 p.m., F 3-5 p.m., and by appointment "When you cannot express it in numbers your knowledge is of a meagre and unsatisfactory kind." (Kelvin, cited by Kuhn, 1977)1 "Statisticians are still regarded as living in a world of their own and possessing very few human attributes." (Kendall, 1976)2 "... Nature appears vacillating, coy, and ambiguous in her answers. She responds to the form of the question as it is set out in the field and not necessarily to the question in the experimenter's mind; she does not interpret for him; she gives no gratuitous information; and she is a stickler for accuracy." (Fisher, in Box, 1978)3 "No aphorism is more frequently repeated in connection with field trials, than that we must ask Nature few questions, or, ideally, one question at a time. This writer is convinced that this view is wholly mistaken. Nature, he suggests, will best respond to a logically and carefully thought out questionnaire; indeed, if we ask her a single question, she will often refuse to answer until some other topic has been discussed." (Fisher, 1926)4 "No phenomena are causal; all phenomena are contingent, and the problem before us is to measure the degree of contingency, which we have seen lies between the zero of independence and the unity of causation. That is briefly the wider outlook we must now take of the universe as we experience it." (Pearson, 1892)5 "The person who must have certitude, who cannot embrace conclusions tentatively, should not be engaged in social scientific research." (Glenn, 1977)6 1Thomas S. Kuhn, 1977. The Essential Tension: Selected Studies in Scientific Tradition and Change. Chicago: The University of Chicago Press. Footnotes 1 through 4 cited in Tankard (1984). 2Maurice G. Kendall, 1976. "Statisticians--Production and Consumption." The American Statistician. 30:49-53. 3Joan Fisher Box, 1978. R.A. Fisher: The Life of a Scientist. New York: John Wiley & Sons. 4R.A. Fisher, 1926. "The Arrangement of Field Experiments," in R.A. Fisher (ed.), Contributions to Mathematical Statistics. New York: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 5Karl Pearson, 1982. The Grammar of Science. 3rd ed. 1911, New York: Macmillan. 6Norvall D. Glenn, 1977. Cohort Analysis. Beverly Hills, CA: Sage. p.17. CATALOG DESCRIPTION Prerequisites: Comm 410, Comm 500 and classified status. Social scientific research design and analysis and the study of communication processes and effects. Graduate seminar. RANGE OF COURSE To develop familiarity with a range of research designs and statistical techniques which might help focus methodological questions regarding a quantitative thesis or project topic. The class is primarily concerned with data analysis (number-crunching, if you will) as it relates to the testing of ideas and theory. We learn by doing data analyses. Issues of research design and data collection will be addressed insofar as they pertain to the testing of theory. We will also be concerned about ethical issues in quantitative research. STATISTICS REVIEWED With regard to number crunching, we will range through three levels of analyses: univariate, bivariate, and multivariate. Or looked at another way, we will work with nominal, ordinal and interval/ratio-level data and we will work to develop an understanding of the appropriate "time, place and manner" for each measurement level in a research design. We're trying to position ourselves to think backwards from a planned study's outcome. Presumably we want to explore or make a certain point in a study. What outcome and evidence will best make this point? Take a deep breath, then read on ... First we'll need a general question to study. Given the resources available what evidence will we need to resolve this question? When we know the evidence we need, we'll know the method (survey? experiment?) we'll need, and the tests we'll need, and when we know the tests we need we'll know the number of subjects we'll need, and when we know the tests and numbers of subjects we need we'll know the level of data measurement we need to meet the demands of the tests in order to deliver the outcome we're working towards (whew ...). With this knowledge we can then frame our data collection instrument (question wording and order) to deliver the level of measurement our tests need from the appropriate number of subjects, in order to make the point we want the study to make sufficient to meet the client's requirements. Administratively we need to be concerned with question and budget development, research design, data collection, data entry and analysis, final reporting and publication. Add to this ongoing monitoring, evaluation, and interim reporting and we probably should have included a second budget review with the client before the study goes into the field (and another midway through data collection when we realize we're running out of money faster that we're collecting data!). We will work with the following indicates non-parametric test): analysis techniques (* 1. Univariate: frequencies and their associated summary and descriptive statistics, including graphic displays (e.g., barcharts, histograms, pie charts, stem and leaf displays, boxplots, probability and spread-level plots), runs* test (for randomness), one-way chi square* (goodness of fit), and the Kolmogorov-Smirnoff normality test. 2. Bivariate: graphic displays of line, scatter plots, and tables, viz., crosstabulation/contingency table (two-way) analysis and its associated statistics (chi-square test of independence, and its measures of association), Levene's homogeneity of variance test, t-test and MannWhitney/Wilcoxon* test, correlations (Pearson's r and Spearman's rho*), index development (including factor analysis and reliability testing), oneway analysis of variance and the Kruskal-Wallis* test. 3. Multivariate: three-way crosstabulation, classic analysis of varaince (ANOVA), simple and multiple regression. SOFTWARE PACKAGES We will be using the Statistical Package for the Social Sciences, PC-DOS version (SPSS/PC+ V5.0) to do our analyses, in conjunction with the word processor WordPerfect Version 5.1, and the spreadsheet Quattro-Pro. The Computer Center PS2 lab in MH-44 ("CCL") has been reserved from Week 3 through the semester. From Week 3 on we will meet for the first hour or so of the class in the classroom, and then move to the lab for the rest of each class session. Out-of-class help is available, too. The Social Science Research Center offers walk-up consulting help in H-512 through the week and weekends (with payment of their lab fee!). SPSS/PC is also available on computers in the two writing labs in the Department of Communications (H-326A and H-326B). Note that if you use on-campus facilities outside the CCL you will need to acquire the appropriate computing id. To help us keep in touch with each other, and to promote an E-Mail mentality we will develop an electronic mail system via the CSU E-Mail system. You will be able to mail each other and me and we will try venturing out-of-state on the Internet as well. This might help us a lot in out-of-class problem solving. More of this around Week 3 when we get into computing. VISITORS/VISITING From time to time we will have visitors drop by to talk about: a. Quantitative masters theses and projects. b. Current quantitative research in various communication areas. c. Professional careers in communications research. We will also try and visit a survey research site, the CSUF Social Science Research Center's polling organization. COURSE COMPONENTS As a rough guide the course will try to develop as one might develop a research study, with the following sections: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. The idea The literature review The research questions and/or hypotheses The design of the instrument and the description of method The data collection Data analysis Results/Conclusions Report writing and publication TEXTS It is nigh on impossible to identify a text which will take us beyond our Comm 410 texts, be they Wimmer and Dominick (4th ed., 1994), Babbie's latest edition (1992), Stempel and Westley (1989), Tan (2d ed., 1985). It would seem to be better to use these texts in a "recommended" role, where we use them to review and clarify issues. Three books are required: 1. There will be a collection of readings, questionnaires and codebooks compiled by the instructor and offered at College Copy 'n Print, 337 N. State College Blvd, 992-2679. Bring this to each class. 2. To help us cope with the stats and the software: Marija J. Norusis, 1991. The SPSS Guide to Data Analysis for SPSS/PC+, 2d ed.. Chicago, IL: SPSS, Inc. ("Norusis") 3. To walk us through the data analysis process: Michael S. Lewis-Beck, 1995. Data Analysis: An Introduction. Sage University Paper Series on Quantitative Applications in the Social Sciences, No. 103, Thousand Oaks, CA: Sage. ("Lewis-Beck") Those recommended: 1. A simple communications statistics book by Williams (1992): Frederick Williams, 1992. Reasoning With Statistics: How to Read Quantitative Research. Fort Worth, TX: Harcourt Brace Jovanovich. 4th ed. "Williams" 2. A communications research handbook: R.B. Rubin, A.M. Rubin, and L.J. Piele, 1993. Communication Research: Strategies and Sources (3rd ed.). Belmont, CA: Wadsworth. 3. An SPSS/PC+ manual: Marija J. Norusis, 1992. SPSS/PC+ Base System User's Guide, Version 5.0. Chicago, IL: SPSS, Inc., or its SPSS/PC+ for Windows equivalent. "SPSS/PC Manual." Other occasional readings, questionnaires and codebooks will be distributed in class or loaded on the Computer Lab (CCL) network. From time to time we may refer to the following texts (see bibliography for full citations): Babbie, 1992. The Practice of Social Research; Broom and Dozier, 1990. Using Research in Public Relations: Applications to Program Management; Emmert and Barker, 1989. Measurement of Communication Behavior; Stempel and Westley, 1989. Research Methods in Mass Communication; Tan, 1985. Mass Communication Theories and Research; Singletary, 1994. Mass Communication Research: Contemporary Methods and Applications.; Tankard, 1984. The Statistical Pioneers; Wimmer and Dominick, 1994, 4th ed., Mass Media Research: An Introduction; Zeisel, 1985. Say it With Figures. OTHER MATERIALS 1. You will need at least two 3½" double-sided, high-density, floppy disks (i.e., 2S-HD). We will refer to one as your "logon" disk, and the other as your "master" disk. You will be able to store files and documents on the latter. 2. A simple (I mean SIMPLE!) calculator will be helpful in class to help resolve questions as they arise. All we need beyond the basic arithmetic functions is a square root function. Square, percentage, and some memory is helpful. DATA SETS To give some focus to the course, and to help us understand how the research process proceeds, our class assignments will work primarily with two data sets that the instructor is presently developing research with: the Brody/Rimmer 1995 Vietnamese survey and the Stanford 1992 Election Panel Study. Last Spring the class worked with a Gallup/Times-Mirror 1987 (TM87) national survey--we will review the publication the instructor developed in c;ass this semester. We will also work with some locally developed thesis data sets which are presently in development (e.g., Cande Larson's mail survey of public access cable systems; Mu-Chen Chang's survey of MBA programs), or from past graduate thesis research (e.g., Cropp, 1990). If your research interests are outside these types of data then I encourage you to develop your research proposal and research paper with other data sets. I have the following data sets available for our class research. Of course, you are welcome to bring other data sets to the party which might be more appropriate to your field of interest. I welcome additions to the data collection--we are particularly weak, for example, in advertising data. If you provide your own data, be aware that it might take us some time and effort to prepare such data sets for analysis. Data collection is probably beyond us this semester. I have volunteered our services to the Social Science Research Center to assist in one of their projects so there may be a call on our time and expertise (for credit? Naah...). Available data sets: 1. "Vietnamese Survey" (1995). A telephone survey executed in Vietnamese (n=175) of Orange County Vietnamese comunity. Designed and executed by the Department of Communications faculty members Jeff Brody and Tony Rimmer in July, 1995. Explores tolerance for civil liberties and media role's in this issue. 2. "Stanford Data"--A "statewide" (350 respondents, with an Orange County component) of a four-wave (March, June, October, November, 1992), telephone panel study of some 2,500 registered voters regarding their communication and mass communication behaviors through the general election campaign. The study was designed and coordinated out of Stanford University--CSUF Comm 410, 515 and 509 students collected the Orange County data. Bryan Denham's 1993 thesis came from these data. 3. Yih-Ling Liu's (February 1995) content analysis of two weeks of Chinese-language newscasts from Los Angeles international TV station (Ch.18). English language transcripts and codebooks are available! ("Yih-Ling's data"). 4. "Cross Channels" (1993)--80 mail questionnaires evaluating "Cross Channels," the newsletter of the Long Beach chapter of the Red Cross. Part of Sheryl Smith's 1994 masters project evaluating "Cross Channels". ("Sheryl's data") 5. "Accreditation Survey" (1993). 224 responses to mail survey of communications programs regarding their perceptions of, and trends in, mass communications education, administration, and accreditation. ("Hynes data") 6. "Minority Public Relations Practitioners" (1993). A national mail questionnaire evaluating minority public relations practitioners' perceptions of their career prospects. 138 respondents. Teresa Mastin's 1993 thesis data. ("Teresa's data") 7. "Radio Station Popularity" (1993)--Terry Wedel's 1994(?) CSUF thesis data. 559 respondents' opinions about their favorite Southern California radio stations. Data designed to test theory about the dynamics of radio station popularity. This study was funded by a 1992-3 $2,000 NAB Research Grant. ("Wedel data") 8. "General Social Survey, 1993 and 1991." An annual, nationwide face-to-face survey of some 1500 respondents. The GSS has a (very!) basic set of mass media use questions and an extensive set of social and lifestyle questions. CSUF has GSS data from 1972 to 1995 in a cumulated file. 9. "Letters to the Editor"--A September-November 1992 content analysis of letters to the editor in the Los Angeles Times and the Orange County Register collected by graduate student Joan Wakeling for her Comm 515 (Media and Politics) research project. Joan was interested in comparing issue v. horserace coverage in the letters. ("Wakeling data") 10. "Times Mirror" (1987). A national probability sample of face-to-face interviews with some 4,200 respondents done by the Gallup Organization for Times Mirror. Times Mirror has published material from this (and others in this series of surveys) under the series title "The People, The Press & Politics." See, in particular, Norman Ornstein, Andrew Kohut, and Larry McCarthy (1988), The People, the Press, & Politics, Reading, Mass.: Addison-Wesley. (PC). Karen von Elten (CSUF MA, 1991) used this data set for her thesis, and Rimmer (1996, in press) further developed Karen's topic. 11. "Fullerton Cable TV" -- City of Fullerton Cable Television Survey (1991). A telephone survey of 1100 cable TV subscribers (n=878) and nonsubscribers (n=251) in the city of Fullerton, CA. The study was executed by the CSUF Social Science Research Center. The study's focus is that of an advisory to the City with regard to the performance of the cable franchiser. 12. "Cropp Data" -- A 1990 mail survey of newspaper editors developed by CSUF masters graduate Fritz Cropp. The 166 respondents (news, sports and business editors) reported their perceptions of public relations practitioners on a variety of attitudinal scales. From Fritz Cropp's 1991 thesis. 13. "Anaheim 1990", "Anaheim 1988", "Anaheim 1986". Three data sets (600-1200? respondents each) developed by Dr. Trotter in his Comm 410 classes for the city of Anaheim. Many questions are common to all the data sets. Data test respondents' perceptions of the quality of city services and through what channels they get their information. Mass communication use variables are included. The 1988 survey is reported in The Citizens Respond...:1988 Citizen Survey. City of Anaheim Public Information Office, July 1988; the 1990 survey in City of Anaheim Citizen Survey '90, City of Anaheim Public Information Office, August 1990. 14. "Santa Ana Image Study I" (1987), and II (1989) -- 251 (1987) and 500 (1989) Santa Ana residents answer questions designed to test their perceptions of the image of the city they live in. Has a mass media component insofar as 1987 respondents were asked to rate how important they thought various media and interpersonal behaviors were in developing their perception's of the city's image. 1989 respondents also supplied media use (newspapers and TV) data. Project investigators, Richard Serpe and Tony Rimmer. 15. "CSUF Image Study" (1988). A public relation audit coordinated by Dr. Rayfield (now retired) for CSUF. Mail questionnaires polled respondents in various university constituencies regarding image and service perceptions of the university. 16. "Asian-American Journalists" (1987) -- a mail survey Dr. Trotter did for the Asian-American Journalists Association. Many questions parallel those of the "American Journalists Study." 17. "Indiana Election Poll" -- A 1986 telephone survey in Bloomington, Indiana which surveyed respondents' opinions on a variety of political issues. The survey was designed to allow the exploration of a variety of political communication theories. 18. "American Journalists Study" (1985) -- a nationwide survey of newspaper and broadcast journalists (and with data on their employing organizations) testing them on a variety of personal and professional issues. Published as the book The American Journalist by David Weaver, Cleveland Wilhoit, and Richard G. Gray (1986). This study is presently being updated by Weaver. Perhaps we can acquire the latest round of data this semester? 19. 20. "ASNE MORI Data" (1984-5) -- a nationwide, 1600 respondents, media credibility study sponsored by the American Society of Newspaper Editors (ASNE). Conducted by MORI Research, Inc. of Minneapolis, Minnesota, and published by ASNE as Newspaper Credibility: Building Reader Trust, (April 1985). Complements APME MORI study with many questions common to the two studies. "APME MORI Data" (1985) -- a nationwide, 1300 journalistrespondents, media credibility study sponsored by the Associated Press Managing Editors (APME). Conducted by MORI Research, Inc. of Minneapolis, Minnesota, and published by APME as Journalists and Readers: Bridging the Credibility Gap, (October 1985). 21. "Communication Careers" (1983). A survey of some 335 California Community College students testing perceptions of five communication career areas. Study coordinated by Dr. Rayfield. A report of one aspect of the study is in: Robert E. Rayfield and Tom Pasqua, 1985. "California Community College Student Attitudes on Communication Career Fields." Community College Journalist 13:8-11, Fall. 22. The CSU system has access to a myriad of census data and data sets from other national polling institutions, primarily through our membership of the ICPSR data consortium. Of particular interest are: a. The ongoing California Poll, executed by the Field organization. Questionnaires/codebooks are in the library. b. The 1972-1995 General Social Survey (GSS) compilation. c. The 1972-1995 National Election Studies (NES) compilation. OBLIGATIONS A. TALKING: This class is a seminar. This means we talk, formally and informally. Talk is a "gradable" commodity. B. PAPERS: 1. SHORT PAPERS: (TBA, say, two to five pages typed, doublespaced, excluding output, attachments) There will be a series of short papers called for on a regular (weekly, yet?) basis. They will usually involve the development, analysis, interpretation, and reporting of data. 2. RESEARCH PROPOSAL: (say five pages?) Around mid-semester a research proposal will be called for. It will propose a research project (which could be developed into your research paper or even a project/thesis proposal). A format for this will follow later. 3. RESEARCH PAPER: (say 20 pages?) Due at the end of the semester. A significant piece of research (arising from your research proposal?) which proposes an interesting question(s), develops hypotheses from the literature, analyzes a data set to test the hypotheses, and reports and interprets the findings. C. MIDTERM EXAM: It will likely be a two-week(?) take-home open book exam involving two or three essays and the analysis and reporting on some data. There is no final exam. The research paper will be preoccupying us at that point in the semester. GRADING Grades will be assigned on the following basis: Class presentations and discussion...........10% Short papers.................................40% Midterm......................................20% Research paper...............................30% 100% # TENTATIVE CLASS SCHEDULE WEEK 1: Wed Jan 31: Class Organization: CLASS: Class introductions Syllabus discussion Class Address List Visitor: Lisa Harrison (Comm 509, Spring 1994) a. Cause and Effect (CAUSEFX.HDT) and the problem of that third variable (THIRDVAR.HDT) WEEK 2: Wed Feb 7: The Research Process: CLASS: Studying v. Understanding relationships--viva theory. Norusis, Ch.6; Lewis-Beck pp.1-18. WEEK 3: Wed Feb 14: Questionnaires, Coding, Data Entry; Begin Computing: Norusis, Ch. 7 WEEK 4: Wed Feb 21: Descriptive Statistics/Data Displays: CLASS: Levels of Measurement; Descriptive statistics; Displays; Determinism Norusis, Ch.8,9,13 (and browse earlier chapters on introduction to computing) LAB: Descriptive Statistics and Graphing (Quattro Pro): WEEK 5: Wed Feb 28: Inferential Statistics; Univariate--Goodness of Fit (Runs Test, Kolmogorov-Smirnoff Normality Test; Chi Square Goodness of Fit Test) Univariate goodness of fit--against: a. a theoretical distribution (K-S normality test) b. an objective reference distribution (chi-square) WEEK 6: Wed Mar 6: Crosstabs--Two and Three Way: CLASS: Reading crosstabs and interpreting their statistics: LAB: Two and Three-way Crosstabs WEEK 7: Wed Mar 13: Midterm; Index/Scale Construction: CLASS: Why indexes? Constructing indexes (Additive --Spy; Multiplicative -- Loftus), ... ? Rimmer (1993). "On Indexes and Scales." (GUTTMAN.HDT) LAB: COMPUTE; Additive and multiplicative scaling, midterm analyses WEEK 8: Wed Mar 20: More on Indexes; Reliability and Validity; Correlation and Factor Analysis; Research Proposal; System Files: CLASS: Reliability and Validity LAB: Test index reliability, RELIABILITY Assign Midterm: (Take home? Two essays and a data analysis/ reporting exercise?). Due 5 p.m., Friday, Week 10. WEEK 9: Wed Mar 27: Research Proposal: The Literature Review: Lab Catchup: CLASS: LAB: Lab Catchup? (Index building -- correlations and factor analysis - the AEJMC index/Mastin indexes) ASSIGN: Research Proposal (Spring Recess: April 1-April 5, Campus open) WEEK 10: Wed Apr 10: Reviewing the Research Proposal; Content Analysis; System Files (again); MEANS: CLASS: Research Proposal Midterm Progress? Content Analysis (Tankard et al, 1979). LAB: Content Analysis -- "General Content Analyzer" (GENCA) and "Word Frequency Analysis" (WDFREQ) and their associated manuals. DUE: Midterm, due Friday. WEEK 11: Wed Apr 17: T-TEST; and other measures of difference: CLASS: LAB: T-TEST DUE: Research Proposal WEEK 12: Wed Apr 24: The Experiment; ANOVA; Catchup: CLASS: The Experiment and the field experiment; ANOVA LAB: ANOVA: ONE-WAY (turn in output) WEEK 13: Wed May 1: Correlation; Introduction to Multiple Regression: CLASS: Correlation: LAB: Correlation, PEARSON CORR (turn in output) WEEK 14: Wed May 8: Multiple Regression: CLASS: Multiple Regression LAB: Regression task (see part A, REGRESSN.LIS, turn in output) WEEK 15: Wed May 15: Regression II; Catchup; Publication; Report on final research papers: CLASS: Publication, journals, conventions; Reports on final research paper LAB: Catchup Fri May 17: Last day of class instruction. Wed May 22: Final Exam day. Research paper turned in to Tony's faculty mailbox by 5 p.m. ## REFERENCES (in master syllabus) (END)