MAKING INDIAN MANUFACTURING GLOBALLY COMPETITIVE N.VISWANADHAM & ROSHAN GAONKAR The Logistics Institute Asia Pacific Singapore-119260 mpenv@nus.edu.sg Introduction Manufacturing is the backbone of every economy and its global competitiveness is important for creating employment and to nurture the agriculture and service industries including food processing and defense. Indian manufacturing accounts for 25% of its GDP and India has sound manufacturing base that is growing at 6-8% per year. It is also a preferred destination for manufacture of auto components, software, bulk drugs and others. The lowering of trade barriers by various countries, combined with rapid advances in global transportation and information technology, has led to the proliferation of global manufacturing networks. Now manufacturing and services are global to take advantage of low cost wage structures and also to reach the local markets. In global manufacturing of this kind, components may be sourced from several countries, assembled in yet another country, and distributed to the customers all over the world. Information transfer regarding the location and status of moving inventory, payments and also the customs paper work plays a big role in efficient logistics. These networks are not generally under single ownership but are group formations of independent companies in alliance for a specific and special purpose. They compete with similar cooperating networks. Such networks are common in all industrial sectors including the automobile, pharmaceutical, aero-space, electronics, computer, food, and apparel industries. In India manufacturing accounts for 25% of GDP, about USD 175 Billion and provides employment for 16% of the population. In other developing economies it is generally 40% of GDP. Recently there is a debate, following the success of IT companies in the global markets, whether India should jettison manufacturing and concentrate on IT and other service sectors. We strongly believe, on the other hand that a ten-fold growth in manufacturing will be very important for India. We cite the following reasons in support of this argument. a. 75% of India’s working population (600m) has education middle school or below. Only Labor intensive manufacturing and related services can generate employment in adequate numbers. b. Organized retail is only 2% of total $180Bn retail activity in India. Increasing its share is vital for improving the employment potential in the country c. Experience of Europe, America, Japan, the Tiger economies, and now China shows that both Wealth creation and Job creation are possible only through International trade oriented manufacturing and organized retailing. More importantly, it is essential for India to increase its proportion of Global GDP through growth in all the three sectors of the economy. It has currently 1/6 of population and 1/60 of the global GDP. Planned or wild, growth is essential and important. The issue of Global competitiveness of Indian manufacturing has been the subject of much economic debate and also there is a lot of business press in recent years. One can look at competitiveness at various levels – at the individual corporate firms' level, at the industry level and at the national level. Of course, these three are not independent but are highly correlated (see Figure 1). An individual firm's competitiveness is dependent on the competitiveness of the environment in which the vertical industry and the national economy operate. Excellent logistics and IT infrastructure is becoming a prerequisite for global competitiveness of manufacturing and service companies. Also, the nations economic and import and export policies such as tariffs, customs regulations, free trade agreements highly influence the growth of the firm and the industry vertical. On the other hand, the competitiveness of an industry or a nation would be partly explained by the initiatives and innovations of individual firms. For example India is named as the number one destination for IT outsourcing because of the superior performance of companies such as Infosys, Wipro, etc. Figure 1: Firm, Industry and Economic environment Also one could look at the competitiveness of industries from two angles – export competitiveness and domestic competitiveness. The former relates to a scenario where the domestic manufacturer is competing with global manufacturers for gaining an increasing share of the foreign market. The latter relates to a scenario where the domestic manufacturer is competing against the local and foreign manufacturers in the domestic markets. Similarly the industrial growth can be viewed from domestic markets as well from the export markets. 1. 2. 3. Identify Manufacturing sectors for domestic and export for competitiveness and employment generation a. Agriculture and Food processing b. Organized Retail c. Manufacturing related services Suggest ways and means to enhance the logistics infrastructure through innovative use of IT. In particular, a. Automating the customs and trade documentation b. Use of Knowledge based service providers Explore the relationship between economic policies such as free trade agreements, tariffs, customs regulations and special economic zones and manufacturing competitiveness in the Indian context. Manufacturing Growth Strategy It is beyond doubt that India has to increase its manufacturing share to 40% create employment for its millions of people, while concurrently attracting MNCs and encouraging local manufacturers to become MNCs. The main question however is in what sectors and what is the strategy for each sector. Traditionally manufacturing sector includes sectors such as Automobiles, Chemicals, Oil and its derivatives, Electronics and so on. There are other sectors such as Food processing and Retail and producer services also called after sales in which India can lead the world. The former falls in the domain of agriculture and the later falls in the domain of Services. In each sector, different growth strategies and approaches need to be followed. In saturated sectors such as automobiles, chemicals, pharmaceuticals and oil where several advanced countries are leaders and competing for market share, India should follow lean manufacturing and mass production strategies to meet the domestic demand. In sectors where Indian companies are component suppliers to the global supply chains, they should move up the value chain to become contract manufacturers and product design manufacturers. In ever green sectors such as food processing where India has huge natural resources and possible productivity improvements, the country should pursue aggressively export oriented growth strategies. Sectors with Huge Growth Potential Retail is the tail end of any manufacturing activity and is the organ through which manufactures interact with the end consumer. This is 200 billion dollar market and is currently highly fragmented and inefficient. Restructuring this activity to increase its efficiencies and encouraging organized retailing through technology based mass production would trigger huge benefits to all the three sectors of the economy. Food, textiles, leather goods, personal hygiene products need to be mass produced so that there is cost advantage. Currently this sector suffers from several regulatory obstacles in land holding, agrimarketing, price controls, etc that inhibit its growth. The small scale sector needs to be integrated in to the global retail networks. There is a huge opportunity for India to provide leadership in lean retailing. In producer related services India has huge opportunity to become a global leader and this area could be a real winner for India. Currently companies providing solutions rather than products are the winners. Leaders in this area include aircraft manufacturers such as Boeing, computer manufacturers such as IBM, wireless phone manufactures and a host of others. India is already destination for R & D and a supplier of components to the global supply chain. If in addition, India develops capabilities for repair and maintenance and also the fast delivery logistics, there are immense growth opportunities in aircraft servicing, computer server maintenance, medical equipment maintenance and a host of other life critical MRO applications. Finally there is tremendous need for India to follow the supply chain management principles in Infrastructure building, health care services, coordinated disease management etc. Technology: A Great Engine of Change Technology of various forms is the enabler and facilitator of globalization. It is the fundamental force in shaping the pattern of transformation of economies. The transportation and communication technologies have shrunk the world dramatically. Transportation systems for moving goods have several innovations during the last few decades including the commercial jet aircraft to container shipping. The new transmission channels the satellites and the optical fibers have revolutionized the global communications. The Internet is the real innovation facilitating instantaneous communication and effortless low cost search tool for information search as well as information delivery. The recent innovations such as wireless and RFID will further create efficiencies in the supply chain communications and co-ordination. There are several e-commerce and e-business tools that can be created and used to advantage in managing and coordinating various industrial production systems and supply chains. These include exchanges, e-retail tools, e- search and e-governance tools. National Competitiveness in a Globalizing Economy The nations regulate how their economies operate within and across the borders. The governments do provide the physical (roads, railways, airports, seaports) and informational infrastructures (telecom facilities, Internet, e-commerce and e-business infrastructure) and also the human infrastructure. The national governments have in their hands tools to control the economic activity with in the country as well as the flow of trade and funds across the borders. The cross border economic activity is controlled frequently by trade policies such as Tariffs (taxes on imported goods) and non-tariff barriers such as customs regulations and documentation, import licenses, exchange rate manipulation, local content requirements, etc. The national trade policies however need to operate within the International trade regulations formulated by World Trade organization (WTO). Foreign direct investment, both inward as well as outward, is controlled by economic policies of the Governments. The Indian Government does not permit FDI in Retail for example. Nations collaborate with each other in several ways to achieve specific economic and welfare goals. There is a tendency for states to develop political-economic relationships at the regional scale. These regional blocs have considerable influence on the world trade as evidenced by European Union, NAFTA and AFTA. The four types of regional arrangements in the increasing order of political-economic integration are free trade area, customs union, common market and the economic union. Each successive stage includes the features of the previous stage. The number of free trade agreements has grown in recent years and by 2001 there were about 170 regional trade agreements accounting for 40% of global trade according to WTO. National competitiveness is determined by the infrastructure elements, the economic policies described above and also the regional integration in terms of free trade agreements and other instruments. In the Indian context the economy was closed till recently and FDI accounts for 4% of GDP. India ha s signed free trade agreements with Thailand, Sri Lanka and Singapore. There are several issues that need attention in the Indian context to improve the national competitiveness. Here we focus our attention on two issues: the infrastructure development and the special economic zones. Strategic Global Logistics Infrastructure Development Manufacturing is not an isolated function. It is a member of a supply chain cluster consisting of suppliers, logistics, transportation, airports, seaports, financial and insurance agencies, services such as power, water and construction, and more importantly the knowledge suppliers the education institutions. A country could thrive in a global manufacturing if and only if all these cluster members are well developed and collaborative. Thus to succeed in manufacturing, India needs to create world class logistics and information technology infrastructure and also improve the input efficiencies. Currently companies are coping with inefficient power, transport and IT infrastructure by having captive power plants, co-locating the tier 1 suppliers with the assembly plants etc. But these could only be an adhoc solutions since the tier 2 suppliers still have to transport through large distances. Currently the Indian Government is concentrating on building critical infrastructure such as airports, highways, and shipping ports to foster their growing economies. In addition to expanding the hard infrastructure the other network components, such as efficient customs clearance and quality trucking services, that can have a strong impact on GDP. Automation of global trade documentation and streamlining the goods and documents flow through the customs at the airports and seaports could result in huge cost savings. Also attracting the Third party logistics companies to India will benefit the manufacturing, retail and the after sales services. SEZs and Foreign Direct Investment Amongst all the measures used by developing countries to stimulate their export industries and to attract FDI, one device the Special economic zones has received particular attention. The special economic zones are excellent and well proven means for attracting foreign direct investment. Several countries have nurtured them with considerable degree of success in Asia. In fact China is very successful in attracting FDI in Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Shantou and Xiamen. The Indian SEZs are not very successful. Some preliminary studies indicate that this may not be due to not following the cluster concepts. The managers probably wanted to attract as many companies as possible to set up shops in these zones. For example in both the leading SEZs Mubai and Noida the products manufactured textiles, drugs and pharmaceuticals, gems and jewelry, leather goods have nothing in common in terms of either logistics requirements or IT or knowledge sharing. This leads to considerable inefficiencies. The SEZs could be better planned to have companies that can grow using each others competences and knowledge.