Vienna 12/11/04 Immigration and the competitiveness-cohesion equilibrium in Athens Thomas Maloutas, University of Thessaly and National centre for Social Research (Athens) The object of the proposed paper is the impact of the immigration factor during the 1990s on a city’s equilibrium of competitiveness and cohesion (or more appropriately on competition/cohesion or competitiveness/cohesiveness). I will leave aside the problematic content of both terms (JV) and will try to build my problematique using the rather naïve and volontaristic definition of the Lisbon summit concerning their relationship. [Returning to the conceptual question on the basis of the projected empirical investigation is not something I will discuss today]. Economic immigrants can be considered as a peculiar asset for the host society: in their property of cheap (and/or otherwise distinguishable) labour force they will influence the local economy, and therefore competitiveness in one way or the other; and in their double property as cheap (and/or otherwise distinguishable) labour force and as social group(s) becoming part of the local society will also affect its cohesion in one way or the other. Greece will serve as a case study to evaluate these influences. Immigration has undoubtedly been the most important socio-demographic change in Greece during the 1990s impacting on both competitiveness and cohesion of the local society. In the 1991 census there were only some 100.000 foreign nationals living in Greece, many of who were not economic refugees. 10 years later the situation had changed with foreign nationals approaching 800.000, the vast majority being economic refugees from Eastern Europe and particularly from Albania. This important change has been received by different groups in terms that constitute a rather unclear division between rejection / nationalist arguments and acceptance / multiculturalist arguments, with the former having a very strong popular audience as the ESS has shown. rejection / nationalist They take our jobs They bring criminality They spoil the national homogeneity of our society They profit from and deteriorate our social services (education, …) … They take more than they give acceptance / multiculturalist They take jobs Greeks don’t take any more Their criminality is not higher than ours We should learn to live in multicultural environments because: It is an inevitable future It is an enriching environment They are the solution to the prospective crisis of our social security system … They are victims of exploitation They provide more than they get The debate between such arguments, certainly not a Greek originality, is immediately related to competitiveness and cohesion. However, it is overwhelmingly ideological, involving all kinds of stereotypes and prejudices, and only marginally relaying on serious analysis. The projected empirical investigation focuses on the place immigrants have come to occupy during the 1990s in the Greek (Athenian) labour market and make conjectures about their impact on the competitiveness-cohesion couple. The first question is related to the place of jobs in the occupational hierarchy. Sector Agriculture, fishing, mining Industry, energy, water Construction Commerce Hotels & restaurants Transport & telecommunications Finance, insurance, real estate and other corporate services Public administration Education & health Other services Private households Other TOTAL Number % within % of im2001 sector migrants 68936 11.0 17.7 53904 9.9 13.9 95199 27.3 24.5 36001 6.0 9.3 35471 14.0 9.1 12900 4.8 3.3 18983 4385 15367 8756 38472 385 388759 5.5 1.4 3.6 6.4 77.6 35.0 4.9 1.1 4.0 2.3 9.9 0.1 100.0 There is a clear difference with the pattern of sector distribution in the fordist economies of the early post-war period in Western Europe. Industry is not a leading employer of immigrants. Recent immigration in Greece, and in Southern Europe, was not planned and has been illegal until recently, its main cause not being the attraction of the local economy but the repulsion in the countries of origin. Construction, agriculture and private households employing domestic help cover more than 50% of immigrant employment in the GLB. Manual, more or less unskilled and precarious work is usually the job of the immigrant, a situation already present in the aforementioned sectors and increasing with the immigrant presence. Moreover, the place of immigrants is not much better in other sectors. A more detailed analysis shows, for instance, that more than 40% of immigrant labour in FIRE work in building cleaning and an even larger percentage have taken similar jobs within public administration. A first conclusion is therefore that the massive immigration of the 1990s has contributed to the important increase of the lower echelons of the occupational hierarchy. This has produced a re-dualisation of the labour market (a characteristic of Southern European labour markets in the first post-war decades that had decreased due to social mobility) and a certain polarization of the occupational structure (although dissimilar to the global city polarization mechanism described by Sassen). The second question is related to the dynamic of the sectors where the bulk of immigrant labour is employed. Balance % within % Sector 91-01 immigrants sector immigrants Agriculture, fishing, mining -61427 68936 11.0 17.7 Industry, energy, water -412 53904 9.9 13.9 Construction 85828 95199 27.3 24.5 Commerce 134843 36001 6.0 9.3 Hotels & restaurants 120145 35471 14.0 9.1 Transport & telecommunications 24496 12900 4.8 3.3 Finance, insurance, real estate and other corporate services 153965 18983 5.5 4.9 Public administration 33541 4385 1.4 1.1 Education & health 121018 15367 3.6 4.0 Other services 36000 8756 6.4 2.3 Private households 45345 38472 77.6 9.9 Other -860 385 35.0 0.1 In all the sectors of important immigrant presence there is either a net loss (as in agriculture where losses would be double without the immigrant inflow or in industry where losses are equivalent to the immigrant inflow) or gains, which were more or less equal to the number of incoming immigrants. This becomes even more striking when the analysis is more detailed: within the industrial sector, for instance, the larger numbers of immigrants are found in the garment and furniture industries which presented the bigger job losses. A first conclusion here is that immigrants are canalized in the less dynamic sectors of the economy (at least as dynamism can be partially inferred by the employment dynamic). A second conclusion is that there is a strong indication that immigrants are replacing Greeks in jobs the latter are no longer taking. However, this replacement process should not be taken literally. Data on the age structure of the different sectors in 1991 and 2001 will probably show that the replacement is less a product of Greek workers abandoning certain jobs to take up different ones and more the effect of intergenerational occupational mobility. The third question is also about the dynamic that immigrant labour force adds to the local economy. Most sectors of the Greek economy are still dominated by the small family business, which is facing increasing problems for survival for quite some time now. [Economic restructuring has been much slower characterized more by a relative stagnation than abrupt change.] It is therefore important to control whether the immigrant asset is canalized towards the big (and presumably more dynamic) corporate units or to the traditional small family businesses. Sector Agriculture, fishing, mining Industry, energy, water % of imms in % of imm in units % of imm in units units up to 9 up to 9 of 10 or more employees on employees on employees on number of imms total employment total employment by sector by sector by sector 92.6 10.7 17.3 50.9 11.7 8.5 Construction Commerce Hotels & restaurants Transport & telecommunications Finance, insurance, real estate and other corporate services Public administration Education & health Other services Private households Other TOTAL 73.1 76.7 68.2 48.4 27.4 6.3 14.5 5.3 27.1 5.0 12.9 4.4 59.9 19.1 41.5 61.1 99.0 18.2 72.3 6.5 1.9 4.8 7.0 79.1 40.7 4.4 1.4 3.1 5.7 26.6 34.0 There is a definite concentration of immigrant labour in the small to very small business unit, as three out of four immigrants work in units of 9 employees or less. Under this light, the immigration asset does not seem to be canalized to the dynamic businesses but to the small family business where it probably extends the limits of its stressed viability rather than increase its competitiveness in some more significant way and the competitiveness of the local economy altogether. An exception may be noted for the employment in public works, where big construction companies have been dealing with the infrastructure for the Olympic Games in the late 1990s and up to the census. Although the importance of this operation cannot be overlooked, the same is true regarding its conjunctural character. A major problem is bound to be the fate of these workers now that the OG are over. The fourth question pertains to the large number of female immigrants employed as house maids (10% of the total number of immigrant labourers in 2001). This has been parallel to the sharp increase of the rate of employment for Greek women and the paucity of social services normally facilitating this process. The anemically developed welfare state has been going together with the subsistence of the traditional family relationships and gender roles where women’s domestic labour was a prerequisite. Immigrant women have taken over the traditional roles of Greek women in the household (at least the manual part of these roles) and have contributed in reproducing the gendered division of labour and to commodifying domestic labour in a peculiar way. The concluding tentative hypothesis at this stage would be that the asset of immigrant labour in Greek (Athenian) society has been used primarily to serve the reproduction of the large middle social strata (generated in the process of intense social mobility from the 1950s to the 1980s) by supporting the feasibility of the small family business as well as the performance of the family centered welfare system. The whole process has been largely facilitated by the very reduced regulation [with the interests of these middle strata always in mind] of the transition from a traditional to a commodified welfare system. In this way immigration has enhanced both competitiveness (of the small family enterprise) and cohesion (of the middle social strata) but probably this is not exactly what the Lisbon summit had in mind.