Proposal for a supplemental Cooperative Research Agreement CX 825834 Project Period: May 1, 1998- April 30, 2001 Ozone and PM Air Quality Analysis in Support of Public Needs Budget period August 1, 2000-April 30, 2001 Project Officer: Lara Autry OAQPS, MD-19 USEPA Sub- Project: Visualization of transboundary air pollutant transport to the US Principal Investigator: Rudolf B. Husar Center for Air Pollution Impact and Trend Analysis (CAPITA) Washington University St. Louis, MO 63130-4899 $30,000 Budget Supplement Budget period August 1, 2000-April 30, 2001 Submitted to Project Officer: Angela L. Bandemehr USEPA Headquarters Ariel Rios Building 1200 Pennsylvania Avenue, N. W. Washington, DC 20460 July 6, 2000 Visualization of Transboundary Air Pollutant Transport to the US Background. Anthropogenic and natural pollutants generated in one country are regularly transported to other countries adding to their air quality burden. This is particularly true for Persistent Organic Pollutants (POP) that reside in the atmosphere for days or weeks. The transboundary transport affects the seasonal and yearly average concentrations in the US by elevating the ‘background’ levels. Local emissions are then superimposed on this elevated background, leaving less margin for homegrown contributions. Transboundary transport is also episodic, i.e. highly non-uniform in time. This is a continuation of work conducted under the project: "Investigation of Regional and Global Transport and Deposition of Persistent Organic Pollutants", a collaborative research projected between the North Carolina Supercomputing Center (NCSC) and the Center for Air Pollution Impact and Trend Analysis (CAPITA). The results of the CAPITA contribution to that project are available at the webpage: (http://capita.wustl.edu/CAPITA/CapitaReports/POPs/AMH_anal/NAM_AMH_Spr99.ht m) Goal of the Project Overall goal of the work is to create visualizations of transboundary airmass transport to the United States. The visualizations need to be suitable for presentation to national and international policy analysts. Specific Objectives of this Work The previous analysis examined the probable airmass pathways to 9 receptor sites during the spring of 1999. This proposed projected will expand on the previous work in three ways: 1. Airmass history residence time analysis will be conducted for 12 receptor sites including two sites in Alaska. 2. Airmass transport probabilities for the West Coast will be aggregated 3. Airmass transport pathways will be derived for all four seasons of 1999 as well as the yearly average. Approach Residence time analysis will be used to estimate the probable airmass transport pathways to the US border for each season as well as for the entire year of 1999. The residence time analysis uses back trajectories to estimate the fraction of time airmasses reside over a given region prior to impacting the receptor. By placing a uniform grid over a region and calculating the fraction of residence time for each cell residence time probability maps can be constructed. The most probable airmass pathways are then the regions with the highest airmass residence probability. This analysis will use an airmass history database consisting of ten day airmass histories for receptor sites space ~ 100 km apart along the boundaries of the conterminous US and Alaska. The airmass histories will be calculated every 6 hours over the year 1999 using the CAPITA Monte Carlo Model driven by the FNL global meteorological data. The FNL data will be obtained from the Air Resource Laboratories READY website and be reprocessed for suitable input into the Monte Carlo Model. Residence time probability fields will be calculated for each receptor site in the database for a winter, spring, summer and fall seasons of 1999, where the winter season is comprised of the months December, January, and February. The residence time analysis for West Coast, will be conducted by integrating the residence time analyses for each receptor along the West Coast. Fig. 1. Location of US receptor sites Output of the Work The main product of this work will be seasonal and yearly maps of airmass transport probabilities to each of the receptor site as well as to the West Coast. The general map layout is illustrated below. We will also explore additional displays including animations and 3D rendering of transport. Schedule The work will be conducted during August, 2000 – April, 2001. Intermediate visualization outputs will be discussed with the Project Officer, Angela L. Bandemehr. Budget The budget for the project is $30,000. The detailed budget is listed in the attachment. The project will be conducted through incremental funding to the Cooperative Agreement CX 825834 between EPA and CAPITA “Ozone and PM Air Quality Analysis in Support of Public Needs” Personnel The project will be conducted by Professor Rudolf B. Husar, director of the Center for Air Pollution Impact and Trend Analysis. He will be assisted by one or two graduate students. Dr. Bret Schichtel will serve as a consultant to the project regarding the trajectory computations. PROJECT TITLE: OZONE AND PM AIR QUALITY ANALYSIS IN SUPPORT OF PUBLIC NEEDS PROJECT PERIOD: 05/01/1998 - 04/30/2001 EPA ASSISTANCE ID NO. CX 825834-01-2 PRINCIPAL INVESTIGATOR: RUDOLF HUSAR SUPPLEMENTAL FUNDING REQUEST Visualization of transboundary air pollutant transport to the US BUDGET PERIOD: 08/01/2000- 04/30/2001 Salaries Rudolf B. Husar, PI Graduate Research Assistant Undergraduate Lab Asst. EPA WU TOTAL 10,360 2,250 413 858 11,218 2,250 413 13,022 858 13,880 2,047 170 2,217 15,069 1,028 16,097 450 0 450 1,031 0 1,031 501 0 501 2,700 0 2,700 Total Direct Costs 19,751 1,028 20,779 Total Indirect Cost Base @56.0% Total Indirect Cost Base @ 54.5% Indirect Cost @56.0% MTDC, current Indirect Cost @54.5% MTDC, effective 7/1/00 Total Indirect Costs 3,120 15,600 1,747 8,502 171 857 96 467 3,291 16,456 1,843 8,969 Total Direct and Indirect Costs 30,000 1,591 31,591 Total Salaries Fringe Benefits Total Salaries and Fringe Benefits Travel 1 person trip to a technical meeting partial charge Equipment 1 pentium grade computer and peripheral equipment partial charge Other Expenses Software library charges Telephone long distance / fax charges Computer network charges Publication charges Consulting Bret A. Schichtel Bryan Van Hook