Redevelopment of Chalmers Hospital and Health Centre Full Business Case July 2008 DRAFT Implementing 2 Contents EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 4 1. INTRODUCTION 10 2. STRATEGIC CONTEXT 10 3. SUMMARY OF OUTLINE BUSINESS CASE/CASE FOR CHANGE 15 4. AFFORDABILITY 25 5. VALUE FOR MONEY 29 6. RISK ANALYSIS 29 7. SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS 30 8. BENEFITS ASSESSMENT 31 9. BENEFITS REALISATION PLAN 36 10. CONTRACT STRUCTURE 40 11. PROCUREMENT PROCESS 41 12. CAPITAL AVAILABILITY 41 13. REVENUE FUNDING STRATEGY 41 14. STAKEHOLDER SUPPORT 41 15. PROJECT MANAGEMENT 42 16. POST-PROJECT EVALUATION 42 17. RISK MANAGEMENT 43 18. IM & T 46 19. PERSONNEL ISSUES 46 20. EQUIPMENT 46 21. TIMETABLE 47 22. CONCLUSION 47 23. SUPPORT FROM NHS GRAMPIAN BOARD 47 APPENDICES (see separate volume) Appendix A Report on Tenders Appendix B Development of the Options Appendix C Design Configuration of Site & Design Elevations Appendix D Planning Permission and Conditions – Appendix E Optimism Bias Appendix F Health Profile for Banff & Buchan Appendix G Project Organisation Structure Appendix H Summary Project Programme & Timetable Appendix I Decanting Information 3 THE REDEVELOPMENT OF CHALMERS HOSPITAL AND HEALTH CENTRE EXECUTIVE SUMMARY 1.1 INTRODUCTION This Full Business Case sets out the requirement for the redevelopment of Chalmers Community Hospital and Health Centre facility in Banff. The document also quantifies the impact of the final report and recommendations from the Design Team on Tenders Received for delivery of the preferred option. 1.2 BACKGROUND The original Outline Business Case (OBC) was approved by the SGHD Capital Investment Group on 10th March 2003. The preferred option approved at that time as delivering the most advantageous return on capital was to progress a partial refurbishment of the old building and a new build ward and primary care accommodation. Subsequently an addendum to the OBC was approved in March 2004. This proposed an alternative financial model that would split the scheme to be part funded using NHS Capital for the Hospital component and GMS revenue funding through the GP Third Party Development scheme for the Health Centre. This option recognised the restricted availability of NHS Capital funding, the impact of an increase in the size of the health centre accommodation in line with National Standards and construction industry inflation on overall costs. In progressing the detailed design work that followed this approval, it was necessary to change the proposed site configuration and construction specification in order to achieve final planning and Historic Scotland approval. This change in design specification and the inflationary pressures from a buoyant construction industry had an adverse impact on the overall capital costs of the scheme and, significantly, on the potential third party rentals. The NHS Capital option ranked the most cost effective solution following a revised financial appraisal and a further addendum to the OBC was submitted in June 2007 to request approval to proceed as an entirely NHS Capital funded project. Following a series of iterations between the Board and the SGHD final approval to proceed to tender and prepare the Full Business Case was received in January 2008. It should be noted that the subsequent approvals to alter the financial model and the technical building specification did not materially affect the preferred service model approved in the original OBC in March 2003. 1.3 PREFERRED OPTION The preferred option is for a partial new build facility for inpatient areas and a new Health Centre, with the remaining clinical services and support functions housed in an adjoining refurbished area of the existing building on the Chalmers Hospital site. The process in choosing the preferred option has involved extensive public consultation at all stages, with regular formal press releases, public meetings and questionnaires. In addition, the use of a Project Board and reference-Groups in the development and appraisal of options has been core to the final choice for redevelopment of this hospital on its current site. The consequence of these proposed service changes is that Campbell Hospital at Portsoy will become surplus to requirements. The agreed service specification for the preferred option is as follows: 4 24 GP acute beds and 6 slow stream rehabilitation beds Midwifery led service with access to a birthing unit Health Centre 24 hour nurse led minor injuries service Out-patient department including a minor surgery unit to accommodate the range and complexity of locally available services e.g. endoscopy service, new orthopaedic service, new ENT service, and new oral chemotherapy as part of the approved Change and Innovation Plan 6 place day service for a range of groups such as older people, physically disabled, dementia sufferers, alcohol and drug misusers A full range of allied health professional services X-ray and enhanced ultrasound service Plans for local rehabilitation service to enable transfer of patients from the acute service Essential office accommodation The development of alternative care models using a mixture of sheltered and very sheltered housing, augmented home care and care home services to replace all continuing care in-patient activity at Chalmers and Campbell Hospital, Portsoy, including development of psycho-geriatric services The transfer of all GP acute activity from Campbell Hospital to Chalmers Hospital 1.4 BENEFITS OF PREFERRED OPTION The preferred option will deliver the following benefits: Local, accessible and equitable health care services for the Banff locality as identified through robust public and staff involvement. Enhanced quality of life indicators for patients through faster access to health services and appropriate discharge planning for the catchment population. Better, fairer access to a range of services and improved journey of patient care. A clinically effective facility at Chalmers Hospital, which will be responsive and flexible to patients needs now, and in the future. A new day service for the older/demented/physically disabled population. Expansion of the Health Centre to meet current and future demands/potential in primary care and better integration with the hospital facility. Scope to provide a “one stop” facility for patients with complex needs. Smoother transition of services from the acute sector to both Chalmers Hospital and the community. Opportunities will arise for investment in the infrastructure of the hospital to provide more specialised services and for the further development of modern intermediate care services in local communities e.g. rehabilitation and endoscopy services. 5 Improved communication with, and within, the different points of service delivery will facilitate effective multi-team management and continuity of care for patients. More effective use of existing skills and resources will be secured through the overall reduction in GP acute and maternity beds. The development of a range of diagnostic and treatment services locally for the people of the Banff locality, greatly reducing travelling distance/time and potentially waiting times. 1.5 TENDERING PROCESS Following an OJEC process four Companies, all National organisations with strong local experience, were shortlisted and invited to tender. Tenders were submitted on 18 th June 2008 and are open for acceptance for a period of 90 days. The expiry date is 16th September 2008. The Architect led design team have managed the tendering process on behalf of NHS Grampian and their report on tenders with a recommendation to accept the lowest offer from Robertson Construction Northern Ltd is included at Appendix A. 1.6 REVISED CAPITAL COSTS The overall Project Capital finance requirement, incorporating the recommended tender value, is summarised below:Scheme Element Refurbish Old New Ward £000’s £000’s Building Mechanical Electrical Externals Tender cost (app A) Optimism Bias Total £000’s 1325 2468 1673 5466 961 935 571 2467 1687 919 557 3163 41 314 307 662 4014 4636 3108 11758 170 40 210 IT/Comms Fees Scheme Total £000’s Moveable Equip VAT New Hlth Centre 125 125 702 863 551 2116 393 454 263 1110 15 19 12 46 5124 6267 3974 15365 The following should be noted in relation to these costs: Capital cost estimates (appendix A) are based on the lowest tender value from Robertson Construction of £11.758m which includes an allowance for contract fluctuations and inflation but excludes Moveable equipment, IT/Communications, VAT and Fees as detailed in the above analysis of total projected capital costs. Tender values are on a fluctuating price basis using a May 2008 Base Date and adjusted in line with the “Price Adjustment Formulae for Construction Contracts” using the June 1990 Series of Indices (familiarly referred to as the “NEDO” Indices), published by BERR. 6 The capital cost of the project detailed above represents the total cost of the option, including fees, VAT and equipping but net of £414k costs associated with the project incurred in 06/07 and previous years. These costs mainly relate to fees, temporary works at Campbell Hospital and the purchase of 28 Fife St. They are currently reflected as a balance in “assets under construction” and are treated as “sunk” costs for the purpose of this economic appraisal. The costs are however attributable to the project and are reflected in the total expenditure figures used to calculate the “impairment” on property value that will arise when the scheme is complete (difference between the DV assessed property value and total expenditure on the project). 28 Fife Street is reflected in the existing land value of Chalmers Hospital. Costs reflect an estimated 3-year project timescale, commencing on site in September 2008. An estimate of any temporary works costs associated with decanting (See Appendix I) is included in the above capital estimates. 1.6.1 Phasing of Capital expenditure The capital expenditure is expected to be phased as follows: Preferred Option 07/08 £000’s 08/09 £000’s 09/10 £000’s 10/11 £000’s 11/12 £000’s 532 2831 3816 5593 2593 Planned expenditure Total £000’s 15365 1.7 REVISED REVENUE COSTS A summary of the revenue consequences of the preferred option is shown below :- Service Change Preferred Option (a) £000’s Hospital Clinical Costs – net saving 1029 Hospital Property & Support Costs - net saving 233 Increase in Community Care & Nursing Home placements (1032) Third Party Rental Net Increase Capital Charges Net Increase (457) Increase in running costs (227) Other income sources (GP) 29 Contribution from GMS budget 197 Net revenue cost ()/saving 0 The following should be noted in relation to these costs: All revenue costs are stated at 2008/09 pay and price levels. 7 Staffing costs have been assessed using agreed Community Hospital skill mix models and reflect the grading impact of Agenda for Change. Facilities costs have been estimated by applying a unit cost for the floor area Savings from an overall reduction in beds have been estimated based on the variable cost reduction Capital charges are calculated based on the estimated valuation of the site and buildings. This figure is derived from the overall project cost less non added value site preparation and down takings. Buildings structure is assumed to have a useful life of 60 years, Mechanical and Electrical plant infrastructure 25 years and equipment/IT 10 years. All savings from the closure of Campbell Hospital (£1.391m) will be reinvested. This includes £0.116m of capital charge funding. The costs saved as a result of long stay bed closures are used partially to meet the additional capital charge cost of the scheme and partially reinvested in alternative community care models. GMS Premises funding of £0.155m originally identified for 3PD rental is available as a contribution towards the capital charges associated with the Health Centre element of the project 1.8 COMPARISON TO APPROVED OBC ADDENDUM VALUES The key financial highlights are as follows : The project capital cost estimate of £15.365m has increased by £1.127m or 7.9% from the previously approved value of £14.238m (both values are stated net of the £414k “sunk” costs). This overall increase is net of a reduction in anticipated expenditure on moveable equipment of £0.15m and Optimism Bias of £0.55m. The main underlying reasons for this increase are partly the impact of inflation due to the extended project timescales (£0.3m), partly to the actual impact of inflation out-turning at higher levels than previous estimates (£0.9m), partly to an increased technical specification (£0.4m) particularly Mechanical and Engineering plant in order to meet new building regulations in relation to carbon emissions and partly to the complexity of the design necessary to ensure ongoing operation of the site during the construction period (£0.1m). The revenue affordability of the scheme remains neutral with the increase in capital charges absorbed by the increase in the nurse salary budget released from closure of Campbell Hospital as a consequence of the Agenda for Change pay settlement. 1.9 CONCLUSION The design team have recommended acceptance of the lowest priced tender from Robertson Construction, Northern Ltd. In their report the design team make it clear that, in their opinion, there are no further specification savings feasible and that “Value Engineering” has already been optimised within the tendered proposals. The Robertson tender is £0.6m less than the next closest tender. It is clear therefore that given the constraints on the site, the planning conditions on the development and current market conditions there is no scope to compromise on the project construction costs and little flexibility overall within the required financial envelope if the project is to proceed. 8 1.10 SUPPORT FROM NHS GRAMPIAN BOARD NHS Grampian confirms that: the development fits with the Local Delivery Plan and the objectives of the Board as set out in the NHS Grampian Health Plan an appraisal of a full range of options has been considered and evaluated following the guidance in the Scottish Capital Investment Manual (SCIM) considering costs, benefits and risks the Full Business Case has been approved by NHS Grampian Board and that the revenue consequences have been agreed procurement options have been adequately explored a plan for governance and implementation has been agreed the delivery of the project aims will maximise the use of the Board’s estate The Full Business Case is signed off by the NHS Grampian Chair and Chief Executive, for submission to the Scottish Government and approval is sought to fully implement the redevelopment plans. [note: the above is subject to formal NHS Grampian Board approval on 5 August 2008] 9 THE REDEVELOPMENT OF CHALMERS HOSPITAL AND HEALTH CENTRE 1.0 INTRODUCTION This document sets out the Full Business Case (FBC) for the redevelopment of Chalmers Community Hospital and Health Centre Facility in Banff. The FBC is submitted following the approval of the Outline Business Case (OBC) on 10th March 2003 and subsequent approval of the Addendum to the OBC in January 2004 and January 2008. 2.0 STRATEGIC CONTEXT This section sets out the current circumstances in which health services are provided within the Banff Locality, examining the external environment within which these services are operating and how the provision of these services are expected to change over the coming years. 2.1 National This proposed development at Chalmers was originally set within the context of the Scottish Health Plan “Our National Health” published in December 2000: care provided as close to home as possible easy access to services shorter waits to get an appointment at a local GP surgery or hospital fewer referrals around the health system community and public participation in service design and provision Staff partnership – involvement and support to provide new flexible and effective ways of working Improved care for older and younger people Addressing the priorities of heart disease, cancer and poor mental health Improved recruitment & retention The development was re-examined in light of Delivering for Health published in 2006, which focussed on changes that patients will see including – More of their healthcare will be provided locally in GP practices, in community pharmacies or increasingly, in Community Health Centres, with greater use of day case treatment If they stay in a less well-off area, their local primary care team will have dedicated resources to reach out and help people with higher risks of ill-health If they have a long term condition, help and support will be available so they can play an increasing role in managing the condition themselves If they are older, frail or liable to frequent hospital admission they will get co-ordinated care provided locally Carers will be treated at partners in the provision of care Patients will have access to their own electronic health record and so will all the clinical staff who treat them If they need specialist treatment in hospital they will get access to a good, safe service provided by the right person, even if that means they have to travel If they need to go to hospital, they will have quicker access, more tests will be done locally, and their length of stay will be planned and shorter If patients require care urgently, they will be able to see the right person, with the right skills, at the right time Patients will experience fewer cancelled appointments or procedures because of an emergency or because tests are not available If they stay in remote and rural areas, the NHS will provide them with a core set of services in Rural General Hospitals. Most recently the publication of Better Health, Better Care advocated – Helping people to sustain and improve their health, especially in disadvantaged communities, ensuring better, local and faster access to health care Patients as service owners Provides 30 HEAT targets, most of which have a direct impact on service provision at Chalmers now and in the future Crucially, the design and delivery of health services at Chalmers Hospital has involved, and will continue to involve, the people of Banff in an effective and meaningful way, which features as a key theme throughout the Plan. An NHS Scotland priority is to, wherever appropriate, enable the shift of care from large specialised acute hospitals to local community based facilities. This is consistent with policy direction contained within both Delivering for Health "Our vision for the NHS is to reapply its founding principles with vigour to meet the needs of the people of Scotland. Delivering for Health means a fundamental shift in how we work, tackling the causes of ill-health and providing care which is quicker, more personal and closer to home." and the ideas proposed within the current document, Better Health, Better Care. “Locally delivered services wherever possible, linked by new technology to specialist centres to provide additional support and information where this is required” 2.2 Grampian Robust consultation with the people of Banff and the staff providing their services translates national and local policy into action, reflecting NHS Grampian’s belief that people have the right to be involved at all stages in the planning and delivery of progressive health and health care services. The principles and values of NHS Grampian, as outlined in the NHS Grampian Health Plan 2006-2007 and 2007-2008, are encompassed in the approach to health care outlined in the preferred option. The Health Plan states “We aim to increase our emphasis on improving health through strengthening local preventative services, with more support for self-care, more intensive case management for people with serious long-term conditions, and more capacity for diagnosis and treatment locally.” “Ageing with Confidence”, the Grampian Older Person’s Strategy, supports the provision of health, social care and housing support models to allow older people to remain living at home, or as close to home as possible. The strategy aims to reduce institutional care by maintaining older people in their own home for as long as possible and supports the provision of local, accessible outpatient clinics and intermediate care in order to achieve this. 11 This development will enable the hospital to fulfil the requirements of the NHS Grampian Property Strategy by ensuring that the right buildings are in the right place at the right time in order to fully support patient care. NHS Grampian’s Change & Innovation Programme focuses on the provision of care as close to people’s homes as possible through the rationalisation of the acute sector to provide only acute care and the expectation that CHPs, through locally based services, meet 40% of outpatient activity previously provided in the acute sector as well as intermediate care. Affecting a shift in the balance of care is fundamental to both NHS Grampian corporate strategy ‘Healthfit’ and Aberdeenshire CHP’s strategic direction as outlined in the Aberdeenshire CHP Change and Innovation Plan. Other key factors include – Nearest large Acute Hospital is 47 miles to Aberdeen or 35 miles to Elgin with very poor public transport links. Health Board led locality review (Jan 1999) includes clear recommendation for replacement of the existing Chalmers Hospital and health centre with new purpose built accommodation. Specification allows capacity for introduction of additional and enhanced Diagnostic &Treatment services consistent with current thinking around creation of specialist Diagnostic and Treatment Centres. Grampian estate rationalisation - project enables closure of Campbell Hospital, Portsoy. 2.3 Aberdeenshire Community Health Partnership The Aberdeenshire Community Health Partnership came into existence on 1 April 2005 and is responsible for the provision of the following services – All community health services Community nursing Community hospitals Rapid response services Community midwifery Community based health promotion and pubic health services Specialist community nursing services for sexual health, the homeless, breast care, stoma care and diabetes All community based AHP services Salaried GMS medical services Community mental heath services and integrated learning disability services Community and salaried dentistry Integrated substance misuse services Housing and disability assessments and travel clinic All CHP/Practice based pharmacy support services 12 In line with the NHS Grampian Change and Innovation Programme the Local Aberdeenshire Change and Innovation Plan sets out the strategic direction being taken by the CHP to achieve maximum efficiency from available resources through a shift in the balance of care, where appropriate, from centralised, specialist, consultant led facilities to generalist mainly GP or nurse led care in local settings. In Aberdeenshire, it is agreed that Primary Care’s capacity will be increased by developing intermediate care with local access to Diagnostic and Treatment facilities and enhanced chronic disease management in General Practice. All remaining long stay elderly and a proportion of long stay psycho-geriatric beds will be closed and replaced with a range of hospital and community services designed where possible to sustain people at home. These clinical service changes will allow development of local services in strategic locations utilising free hospital capacity and where there is no need for this accommodation, the sale of surplus sites. Other specific infrastructure improvements will include further development and rollout of telemedicine, PACs and the electronic patient record to improve communication and remote access to services. In Aberdeenshire, the Joint Older People’s Management Team have developed an action plan to progress the redesign of both health and social care services to meet the expected increase in the numbers of older people in future. The plan reflects the outcomes of the review of Aberdeenshire Council’s Care Homes, the current review of Sheltered Housing, the development of an older person’s housing strategy and the redesign of older people’s health services as part of the Change and Innovation Plan. The resettlement programme for Elderly and Psychiatric patients will include the development of a number of integrated Health and Social Care facilities to meet the increasing demand for local availability of sheltered housing, home care, day care and community rehabilitation. The impact on physical infrastructure within Aberdeenshire is captured within the Property Development & Rationalisation Strategy of which Chalmers is a key priority. Aberdeenshire CHP provides services within 13 Community Hospitals throughout Aberdeenshire (though Maud and Campbell are scheduled for closure). The services available in each hospital differ, to reflect the local needs and historical development. However, services based around these facilities include: GP acute care, assessment, treatment and rehabilitation Maternity or birthing units Old age psychiatry assessment and dementia services Day hospital care Casualty services Radiology Consultant and primary care led outpatient clinics Paramedical services Telemedicine In summary the re-development of Chalmers is in line with the following strategies – Better Health, Better Care and Delivering for Health – provision of care and DTS close to home Developing Community Hospitals – A Strategy for Scotland NHS Grampian Healthfit Programme NHSG and Aberdeenshire CHP’s Change and Innovation Programme/Plan Strategy for Primary Care Grampian Older People’s Strategy “Ageing with Confidence” 13 Aberdeenshire Joint Older People’s Action Plan South Aberdeenshire CHP’s Action Plan NHS Estate Rationalisation and Aberdeenshire CHP’s Property Development and Rationalisation Strategy 2.4 Banff This section describes the population profile of the Banff locality within the wider context of Aberdeenshire and Grampian. It is important to note that, for the purpose of this Full Business Case, the Banff Locality was defined less by reference to a geographic area, but more by reference to the practice populations of the following practices (as at 1 April 2007): Practice Aberchirder Deveron Macduff Banff and Gamrie Medical Practice Portsoy Partners Gatenby, Lyons Anderson, Innes, Thomson, Campbell Brooker, Barbour McRae, Popoola, Hoddinott Practice Population 2457 6535 Smith, McKerrchar 2797 TOTAL 17431 2562 3080 By 2010, Aberdeenshire is expected to have the biggest population increase (2.2%) of the three local authority areas. The most substantial increases are in the 85+ age group. Over 85s – % increase in North Aberdeenshire LCHP Males Females 1991 to 2006 2006 - 2015 2006 - 2024 45% 42% 64% 26% 154% 64% In general the population is regarded as relatively young which makes services for children and families a key issue. NHS Grampian and Aberdeenshire Council’s Health Profile for Aberdeenshire show that the health status of Banff and Buchan is poorer than Aberdeenshire as a whole. Deprivation is significant within Banff and Buchan and placed second only behind the Aberdeen Inner population. Carstairs scores suggest that 11.4% of the population in Banff and Buchan should be regarded as being in the most deprived category. Standardised mortality ratios in the under 75s reveal that, alongside Moray, Banff and Buchan appears to have the second highest rate of deaths (Aberdeen Inner City with the highest). The NHSG 2005 Banff and Buchan Traffic Light Report shows the area has – Banff & Buchan has 81% higher than Scotland average drug related deaths Banff & Buchan has 23% higher than Scotland average infant mortality Banff has 52%, Macduff has 26% higher than Scotland average teenage pregnancies Banff has 55%, Portsoy & Whitehills has 24% higher than Scotland average low birthweight babies Banff has 25%, Macduff has 41% higher than Scotland average alcohol related hospital admissions Banff has 30%, MacDuff has 36% higher than Scotland average hospital admissions for suicide and deliberate self harm 14 Banff has 25% higher than Scotland average for death from heart disease Aberchirder has 32% higher than Scotland average smoking during pregnancy Aberchirder has 20% higher than Scotland average for hospital admissions for cancer 3.0 SUMMARY OF OUTLINE BUSINESS CASE/CASE FOR CHANGE 3.1 Current Service Description Deveron and Seafield Ward 40 GP beds (Temporary Reduction to 22 Beds from February 2007) Average occupancy over 3 years is 56% Average length of stay being 17.17 days Average Turnover Interval 13.43 days These beds are managed by local GPs supported by hospital staff. This service provides care for patients who need nursing or medical care which cannot be provided at home but who do not require the specialist facilities of an acute facility and covers: Acute Medical Care Post-operative and other rehabilitation Convalescence Palliative/Terminal Care Currently there are only 3 single rooms within these wards and the remainder is a mixture of: 1 ward area that can accommodate 8 or 9 beds depending on demand for male or female beds 1 ward area that can accommodate 4 beds depending on demand for male or female beds 1 ward area that can accommodate 6 beds depending on demand for male or female beds Findlater Ward (now relocated to Campbell Hospital, Portsoy) 12 Dementia Beds (Reduced to 8 Beds from November 2006) A consultant psychiatrist, supported by hospital staff and a local GP who provides general medical cover manages the beds. The focus is now on assessment rather than long-term care. Average Occupancy April 2004 – October 2006 77% Average Occupancy November 2006 – March 2007 100% Birthing Unit (opened September 2007) 1 bedded birthing unit Average Occupancy since opening in September 2007 2 births/month Average Deliveries per month (at home or in unit) 2.4 15 Casualty Department This busy department is situated in a cramped corner of the hospital providing both casualty and general medical sessions: Expected Casualty Attendance for year 6200 Expected General Medical Services - attendance for year 1050 All nurses working within this department have undergone minor injuries training which allows them to deal with a large range of presenting conditions, thereby reducing GP workload and reducing patient waiting times. The department is also used out of hours by GMED as a patient treatment centre. Outpatients Department An extensive range of consultant clinics are currently provided at Chalmers Hospital which, in total, treated 1,988 new and 2,111 return patients in 2006/2007. SPECIALTY SESSIONS ATTENDERS New Return Total Dermatology 27 176 162 338 Gastroenterology 12 62 112 174 0 0 0 0 Respiratory medicine 23 94 263 357 ENT 18 248 139 387 Ophthalmology 19 190 237 427 General surgery 55 540 364 904 5 31 0 31 Urology 12 90 119 209 Gynaecology 23 147 208 357 Obstetrics 23 149 260 409 6 3 78 81 Orthopaedics 10 256 169 425 Audiology 52 257 378 635 Orthotics 21 32 321 353 Psychiatry 23 26 469 495 329 2,301 3,277 5,578 Paediatric medicine Minor surgery Clinical oncology TOTAL Allied Health Professionals Average attendance per year: Profession Physiotherapy Occupational Therapy Dietetics Profession Podiatry S.A.L.T. ENT Orthoptist Inpatient Outpatient Inpatient Outpatient Inpatient Outpatient Inpatient Inpatient Outpatient Outpatient Total 1926 5433 828 41 49 Total 91 40 27 33 174 16 X-ray Department This offers a service from 9 till 5 Monday to Friday Total X-ray examinations 4128 Total Patient Numbers 3517 Health Centre This building no longer meets the increasing needs of Primary Care due to the lack of space available. The health centre provides a base for the following professionals: 2 Primary Care Teams - GPs, Practices Nurses, District Nurses, Health Visitors 1 Mental Health Team - Consultant, CPNs, Social Workers, Ots 1 Learning Disability Team - CPNs, Care Manager and Homemakers 3.2 Case for Change The following areas are poorly designed which prevent the provision of a clinically effective modern service with inter-active departmental relationships. Wards GP Beds are located on two floors, the ground floor area has a main hospital corridor running through it, which reduces the level of privacy and dignity afforded to patients and does not allow for the provision of modern day care. The lack of single rooms and toileting facilities greatly reduces the flexibility with which bed areas can be used and causes problems when trying to accommodate both male and female patients. This also limits the capability to provide palliative/terminal care for patients whose needs cannot be met at home. Casualty Department This busy department is very cramped, poorly laid out and difficult to access, requiring patients on trolleys to be taken through the entire ground floor of the hospital on arrival or departure. During the night patients attending casualty must pass through the GP acute ward to reach casualty. Midwifery Unit This unit was provided across 3 floors in a building that is distant from the main building. On the second floor there were 6 beds, 4 situated within a security system and 2 outside the system. The inpatient area was separated from the outpatient clinics, which are on the ground floor and the parent education facility is on the third floor. The Scottish Executive and NHS Grampian, in approving Aberdeenshire’s Change and Innovation Plan, agreed the closure of all midwifery units, except at Peterhead, and their replacement with birthing units. The requirements of this model are very different from those of the existing midwifery unit and a new birthing unit model is in place, which involves women coming in to the unit to deliver and then return home between 2-6 hours later. This model requires the midwives to be on call to support this system and indeed home deliveries. Outpatients Department This department was originally designed as an infectious disease unit and has been adapted in an attempt to accommodate 15 Outpatients Clinics, which provide an extensive service for the locality. Due to the original purpose of this area, the quality of service provided is reduced and patient confidentiality is 17 compromised, e.g. no desk or hand washing facilities in examination rooms. This department is also separate from the main building therefore it cannot be used in the evening due to security difficulties. The Change and Innovation Plan offers patients a much wider range of diagnostic and treatment services locally. In order to provide suitable facilities, which meet clinical standards, to enable the provision of an expanded range of services requires significant physical upgrade. Functional Suitability Status Report The provision of a new facility will address the fact that Chalmers Hospital is a series of single, two and three storey buildings, which are structurally outdated, provide poor access and are no longer deemed suitable to provide, in their present state, modern health care facilities. Furthermore, it is not compliant with the strict criteria set out in the Disability Discrimination Act. Specific problems identified in a functional suitability status report carried out for the Chalmers Outline Business Case are as follows: Fire risk Asbestos risk Statutory Standards Functional Suitability Utilisation 84.36% of buildings are considered to present a moderate fire risk, with a further 7.14% presenting a substantial fire risk 28.67% of buildings are deemed to present a tolerable risk, 13.94% a moderate risk and 57.39% an intolerable risk. 48.35% of buildings are Ranked C (serious non-compliance to standards) when measured to NHSiS criteria. 51.28% of buildings are Ranked Category C (below acceptable standards) when measured to NHSiS criteria. 45.12% of buildings are considered to be over crowded, with 51.25% merely adequate, when measured to NHSiS criteria. Should the scheme not proceed, then a minimum of £3.3m in backlog maintenance expenditure will be required to rectify the immediate problems within the building. In addition it is estimated that a further £2.5m requires to be invested to meet the costs of compliance with ward dignity and privacy regulations. Service Changes Expected from Preferred Option As a result of this development the following changes in activity levels and quality of care issues are to be expected. GP Beds Occupancy Rate It is anticipated that the occupancy rate of 56% will rise to at least 80% (Grampian average) as a result of the reduction in GP beds. Average Length of Stay The reduction in beds, the availability of continuing care/slow stream rehabilitation beds and additional allied health professionals input will lead to a lower average length of stay for patients in these beds than the current 17.17 days, the Grampian average being 1.95 days. Turnover Interval This indicator shows the average length of time that a bed remains empty between patients i.e. higher the number indicates over provision. Currently 13.42 days for Chalmers, when compared with Grampian average of 19.33 days. Mixed Sex Accommodation All patients will have access to toilet facilities and ward accommodation, which preserve their privacy and dignity Outpatients Department The new refurbished department will increase the accommodation available to visiting consultants, offering opportunities for increased activity and improved patient privacy/confidentiality. This department will also be available for use by other groups e.g. voluntary and community, in the evenings and at weekends. 18 Casualty Services Direct access to this department will be through one main door allowing easy access to all non-ambulatory patients. 3.3 Development of the Original Outline Business Case NHS Grampian completed a review of local health needs in January 1999 and identified a range of proposed service changes that would modernise the delivery and significantly improve overall access and quality of care available within the Banff Locality. Following these recommendations, an Outline Business Case for replacement of Chalmers Hospital was prepared and submitted to the Scottish Executive in May 2000. Shortly after this case was submitted the growing financial difficulties across the NHS system in Grampian became apparent and NHS Grampian could no longer commit to the use of development funding in order to meet the projected running costs of the project. In addition the Grampian Older People’s Strategy, “Ageing with Confidence”, was developed and agreed for implementation with the clear recommendation that the care of all NHS continuing care patients is best placed in a community rather than a hospital environment. The NHS Grampian Assessment Panel was created at this time to review and reprioritise all major capital projects. A proposal for the redevelopment of Chalmers Hospital and Banff Health Centre was submitted to the Panel in August 2001. The Panel agreed that the redevelopment of Chalmers Hospital and Banff Health Centre was a priority but also highlighted a number of issues worthy of further review. It was agreed that the review should be completed and the proposal resubmitted in April 2002. The local management team were specifically asked to demonstrate that: The project fully incorporates the recommendations of Ageing with Confidence. Costs can be contained within existing revenue funding levels. Capital investment is kept to the minimum necessary to deliver the revised specification. Ensure that the redevelopment was considered within the context of community hospital provision across Grampian. Focus on core service provision namely GP acute, intermediate care and specialist outpatient services. Consider future arrangements for day services. Review the number of GP acute beds. 3.3.1 Development of Service Specification In order to address these specific areas and to review the Outline Business Case, a Project Board and four local project groups were immediately set up. Each of the project groups was multi-disciplinary in nature and included appropriate public and patient representation. The project groups, were as follows: Older Peoples Services Outpatient Services 19 Banff Health Centre Outline Business Case As a result of the recommendations from the four groups, the original configuration of services was transformed into the following model of modern service provision: 24 GP acute beds & 6 slow stream rehabilitation beds. This represents an increase in the number of GP acute beds over the previous proposal from 26 to 30, 6 of which will be for slow stream rehabilitation purposes in order to enhance the core service and intermediate care provision. Midwifery led service with access to a birthing unit. In line with the approved Change and Innovation Plan the Maternity Unit will close and a birthing unit will be provided with a corresponding increase in access to community based maternity provision 24 hour nurse led minor injuries service Out-patient department including a minor surgery unit to accommodate the range and complexity of locally available services e.g. endoscopy service, new orthopaedic service, new ENT service, and new oral chemotherapy as part of the approved Change and Innovation Plan 6 place day service for a range of groups i.e. older people, physically disabled, dementia sufferers and alcohol and drug misusers. This represents a reduction in day service provision from 12 to 6 places. A full range of allied health professional and therapy services X-ray and enhanced ultrasound service Health Centre Essential office accommodation Local rehabilitation service Closure of Campbell Hospital, Portsoy and reinvestment in appropriate alternative community care This redeveloped model more accurately reflected the national, regional and local strategies on enhancing the range and quality of primary and community health services to local populations. In addition, the model has the potential to support the outcome of NHS Grampian’s Healthfit events in 2002 and 2008. The purpose of these events were to create a shared vision for the future of how services should develop across the region and which would guide current decision making and provide the basis for a set of robust and integrated service improvement plans. The outcome was a consistent view that there was a need for the decentralisation of some specialist services together with the development of local services representing a rebalancing of service provision in the form of Diagnostic and Treatment Services (DTS). Each locality would provide facilities and infrastructure for a wider range of local DTS to be provided outside the main acute centres. In supporting the development of DTS, the redevelopment of Chalmers Hospital is also well placed to support the development of a unified pan-Grampian out of hours service as the provision of services through these projects is critically linked. The emerging model focuses on integration of primary and secondary care services and increasing capacity in the community. 3.3.2 Site Selection The OBC described the process of selection of the site and exploration of the options for the development of Chalmers Hospital. The original Locality Review process identified several sites capable of supporting a new build development in Banff and the surrounding area. The Project Board considered the potential of these sites in some detail and concluded that the problems associated with location, availability, access, 20 enabling and site preparation were such that the only viable option was to use the existing Hospital site for service re-provision. In arriving at this conclusion the Project Board also took into account the risk that there was no obvious local market for the disposal of the existing site should an alternative location be selected. The primary risk factors are Chalmers Hospital’s listed building status as a category B listed building and the relatively low value of property generally in the Banff area. The decision of the Project Board was further supported by the output from the public consultation process, which clearly stipulated the existing site as the preferred location. 3.3.3 Summary of OBC approval March 2003 The modern model of service provision developed by the Project Board, which encompassed NHS Grampian’s vision for future service delivery, formed the basis of the updated proposal for the amended OBC which was then approved to proceed to FBC in March 2003. The preferred option approved at that time as delivering the most advantageous return on capital was to progress a partial refurbishment of the old building and a new build ward and primary care accommodation The basis of this approval was as follows: The problems associated with location, availability, access, enabling and site preparation are such that the only viable option is to use the existing Hospital site for service reprovision. Due to capital and revenue funding constraints partial new build, partial refurbishment agreed. All 30 beds to be single room provision Ongoing revenue costs will be contained within existing resource. PFI considered but discounted on grounds of affordability In arriving at the preferred option the shortlisted options included as part of the financial appraisal included: Option 1 – Do Minimum The ‘Do minimum’ option assumed existing service provision will continue in its present form with additional expenditure incurred only to address statutory maintenance and compliance with ward dignity and privacy regulations. Option 2 – New Build – entire facility Demolition of the existing buildings and new rebuild but retaining the external façade of the old Hospital Building to comply with requirements of Historic Scotland A decanting programme to cover temporary works and provision of temporary accommodation on site. Option 3 – Partial Refurbishment and partial New Build Demolition of the existing Health Centre with new build block for ward and Primary Care Team accommodation. Existing Hospital building retained in existing form but with varying degrees of refurbishment to address all backlog maintenance and improve overall functionality A decanting programme to cover temporary works and provision of temporary accommodation on site. 3.4 OBC Addendum March 2004 On approval of the OBC a design team comprising an architect, structural engineer, mechanical engineer and quantity surveyor were appointed to develop the plans. The outcome of this review resulted in a 21 significant increase to the overall NHS capital investment required which was in excess of the available NHS capital funding. There were two main reasons: a pricing pressure within the construction industry as a result of an industry pay award agreement and the overall buoyancy of the market; new guidance on Health Centre accommodation to support improvements in primary care services. The Project Board examined options to address the increase in capital investment required and agreed to look innovatively at how the overall scheme could be funded. In support of this Stratagem, a firm of management consultants who specialise in this type of project, were commissioned to independently review and reconcile the revised costs to the original estimates. Their report supported the cost increases as reasonable considering the increase in GP accommodation (now an additional 300m 2 as a result of recent guidance on accommodation for GMS services) and an increase in the forecast impact of inflation on the tender price. The Project Board considered the position and agreed that any significant reduction in the service specification or build quality would seriously compromise the original objectives of the project and the ongoing operational effectiveness of the facility. It was further agreed that a request for additional capital funding would be unrealistic given the overall pressures on the capital programme at that time. The only remaining practical option was to examine the idea of a separate, but co-located GP led 3PD development for the Health Centre component. The two GP practices involved agreed to pursue this route in order to support delivery of the project. The Project Board then commissioned a study to test the feasibility of a suitable design that would meet all of the original service objectives of the project but deliver this through two separate co-located buildings on the existing site. An option was developed that required purchase of an adjoining property (28 Fife Street) which created sufficient flexibility on site to develop the ward accommodation on ground level as an annex to the existing hospital with the health centre to be a separate, adjacent building. The Project Board, satisfied that this was a deliverable option, agreed to pursue a third party finance development approach to the Health Centre element of the project. This option recognised the restricted availability of NHS Capital funding, the impact of an increase in the size of the health centre accommodation in line with National Standards and construction industry inflation on overall costs. This change to the overall project was described in the Addendum to the OBC submitted to the Capital and Investment Group and subsequently approved in March 2004. 3.5 Design and Planning approval Following approval of the alternative procurement and financing arrangements in March 2004 NHS Grampian continued to progress the project to full planning and historic Scotland approval. Key milestones in this process are as follows: Medical Centres Scotland Ltd appointed as lead Developer for the Health Centre Development following a competitive formal selection process. Purchase of 28 Fife Street completed with a view to demolition to allow maximum design flexibility on the existing site Architect led Design team appointed following an OJEC procurement process to progress Hospital design through to full Planning permission and then through the construction phase. Medical Centres Scotland Ltd agree to use the same architect and to jointly agree the site Masterplan. Joint application for Planning Permission submitted July 2006. 22 Findlater Ward (Old Age Psychiatry) and Renal Dialysis unit decant to refurbished accommodation in Campbell Hospital May 2006 Temporary works to create single GP Acute ward in Chalmers Hospital complete January 2007 – bed numbers temporarily reduced to 22. Full planning permission and status of conditions for Hospital and Health Centre Development, including Historic Scotland agreement, confirmed in March 2007. Final hospital and health centre design and associated cost estimates including all planning conditions available April 2007 3.6 OBC Addendum January 2008 In progressing the detailed design work that followed this approval, it was necessary to change the proposed site configuration and construction specification in order to achieve final planning and Historic Scotland approval. This change in design specification and the inflationary pressures from a buoyant construction industry had an adverse impact on the overall capital costs of the scheme and, significantly, on the potential third party rentals. The NHS Capital option ranked the most cost effective solution following a revised financial appraisal and a further addendum to the OBC was submitted in June 2007 to request approval to proceed as an entirely NHS Capital funded project. Following a series of iterations between the Board and the SGHD final approval to proceed to tender and prepare the Full Business Case was received in January 2008. It should be noted that the subsequent approvals to alter the financial model and the technical building specification did not materially affect the preferred service model approved in the original OBC in March 2003. Appendix B provides a detailed description of the development of options, appraisal process and key factors for superiority. 3.7 Key design changes The final design configuration for the site approved in the OBC addendum in January 2008 is attached at Appendix C and the elevations at Appendix C(1). The key changes incorporated in this design compared to previous approvals are summarised as follows: - 3.7.1 Site Configuration and New Build Design All car parking contained on existing site therefore no need to utilise Battery Green (previously highlighted as a risk) Health Centre and Hospital main entrance off Fife Street (not Battery green) Hospital Pedestrian entrance off Clunie Street Demolition of Boiler House and Chimney and replacement of the existing boiler and central heating plant. Amendments to elevations, external facings and finishes to satisfy planners/Historic Scotland 23 3.7.2 Site preparation Asbestos removal - level 3 asbestos survey highlighted some asbestos content in buildings to be demolished Contaminated ground allowance – Site condition report has highlighted rock at Southwest corner of the site requiring excavation and sand in east corner requiring piling. 3.7.3 Refurbishment of Existing Buildings Replacement of all hot and cold pipe work and central heating radiators in the Old building Replacement of all electrical wiring and distribution system in the old building Reinstatement of Ornamental Handrails Reinstatement of external lighting (period luminaries) Thermal Insulation of External walls and ground floor Upgraded lighting controls and emergency lighting Upgrade of fire doors and compartmentalisation of floors 3.8 Planning Permission and Historic Scotland Approval The letter confirming Planning and Historic Scotland approval is attached at Appendix D. The Architects have reached agreement with the planning department on an action plan to deliver each of the conditions identified in the letter and provision has been made for this is the revised scheme costs. The key conditions are as follows: Work to begin within 5 years External finishes to be approved in writing Detailed scheme for external railings, walls and lighting to be approved in writing Detailed scheme to mitigate against Seagull Nesting to be approved in writing Noise and vibration assessment of heating and ventilation system Detailed bat survey Demolition of Out Patients Building and the Chimney Stack - contract must either offer for sale the complete brickwork and structure or donate the material to the councils material store Plans detailing on site traffic management to be agreed with planners when available Photographic record of all buildings to be taken prior to demolition 3.9 Original Project Timescales As the preferred option progressed to a detailed stage of design a number of significant issues were highlighted that had an impact on the original project timetable. The project team were required to review the financing and technical design requirements as follows: 24 design development to meet the technical challenges of a constrained site, new building regulations and the in depth mechanical and electrical designs that identified fundamental replacement and upgrading of key components as the most cost efficient way forward. the listed building status and complexity of the designs required considerable discussion and amendment to achieve informal agreement on the way forward with local planners and then the formal progress through Planning and Historic Scotland approval. at each stage of development it was necessary to pay cognisance to the involvement of the public representatives on the project in order to find an affordable way forward that delivered the redevelopment on the existing site in accordance with public expectation. limited availability of capital and revenue funding to progress the required solutions It is the intention to carry out a full evaluation of the project processes to help improve the approach to future projects. 3.10 Tendering Process The OBC Addendum was submitted to the CIG in draft form in June 2007. Following lengthy discussion with the SGHD the final version was submitted in November 2007 and subsequent approval granted in January 2008. The project program approved in the OBC addendum included an assumption, based on advice from the design team, that a staged tender would be the only acceptable approach. Subsequent soundings from contractors then indicated that a single tender approach would attract the most interest. This created a delay in proceeding to tender while the detailed room layouts, drawings and associated engineering drawings were prepared to a sufficient standard. Previously the program allowed for this work to be carried out in parallel with each phase of the tendering process. In addition, the design team re-organised the proposed timing of elements of the program in order to maximise overall efficiency and avoid temporary works and unnecessary decanting during the construction phase. Major refurbishment of the old building will now to be completed as phase 1 - the original view was that the initial phase of the project would be minor temporary works to allow decant and demolition. As the design team put more detail on the program it became clear that this was not a practical option. The major works, electrics, plumbing, plant etc required in the old building needed to be complete in the first phase to avoid unnecessary expenditure and disruption to key clinical services. The impact of these changes to the process has created approximately a 4 month delay in proceeding to tender. Following an OJEC process four Companies, all National organisations with strong local experience, were short listed and invited to tender. Tenders were submitted on 18 th June 2008 and were open for acceptance for a period of 90 days. The expiry date is 16th September 2008. The Architect led design team have managed the tendering process on behalf of NHS Grampian and their report on tenders with a recommendation to accept the lowest offer from Robertson Construction Northern Ltd is included at Appendix A. 4.0 AFFORDABILITY Availability of Capital Funding and the ability to contain revenue costs within available resource are the key drivers for success of the project. 4.1 REVISED CAPITAL COSTS 4.1.1 Capital Cost Summary The overall Project Capital finance requirement, incorporating the recommended tender value, is summarised below:25 Scheme Element Refurbish Old New Ward New Hlth Centre £000’s £000’s Building Mechanical Electrical Externals Tender cost (app A) Scheme Total £000’s £000’s 1325 2468 1673 5466 961 935 571 2467 1687 919 557 3163 41 314 307 662 4014 4636 3108 11758 170 40 210 Moveable Equip IT/Comms 125 VAT Fees Optimism Bias Total 125 702 863 551 2116 393 454 263 1110 15 19 12 46 5124 6267 3974 15365 The following should be noted in relation to these costs: Capital cost estimates (appendix A) are based on the lowest tender value from Robertson Construction of £11.758m which includes an allowance for contract fluctuations and inflation but excludes Moveable equipment, IT/Communications, VAT and Fees as detailed in the above analysis of total projected capital costs. Tender values are on a fluctuating price basis using a May 2008 Base Date and adjusted in line with the “Price Adjustment Formulae for Construction Contracts” using the June 1990 Series of Indices (familiarly referred to as the “NEDO” Indices), published by BERR. The capital cost of the project detailed above represents the total cost of the option, including fees, VAT and equipping but net of £414k costs associated with the project incurred in 06/07 and previous years. These costs mainly relate to fees, temporary works at Campbell Hospital and the purchase of 28 Fife St. They are currently reflected as a balance in “assets under construction” and are treated as “sunk” costs for the purpose of this economic appraisal. The costs are however attributable to the project and are reflected in the total expenditure figures used to calculate the “impairment” on property value that will arise when the scheme is complete (difference between the DV assessed property value and total expenditure on the project). 28 Fife Street is reflected in the existing land value of Chalmers Hospital. Costs reflect an estimated 3-year project timescale, commencing on site in September 2008. An estimate of any temporary works costs associated with decanting is included in the above capital estimates. 4.1.2 Phasing of Capital Expenditure The capital expenditure is expected to be phased as follows: Preferred Option Planned expenditure 07/08 £000’s 08/09 £000’s 09/10 £000’s 10/11 £000’s 11/12 £000’s 532 2831 3816 5593 2593 Total £000’s 15365 26 4.1.3 Optimism Bias The Project Team have taken account of the Optimism Bias guidance as contained in the “Supplementary Green Book Guidance – Optimism Bias” and conducted an exercise, examining the likely type of construction etc and arriving at an Optimism Bias factor of 0.3%. The calculation in the prescribed format is included at Appendix E. 4.2 REVISED REVENUE COSTS A summary of the revenue consequences of the preferred option is shown below :Service Change Preferred Option (a) £000’s Hospital Clinical Costs – net saving 1029 Hospital Property & Support Costs - net saving 233 Increase in Community Care & Nursing Home placements (1032) Third Party Rental Net Increase Capital Charges Net Increase (457) Increase in running costs (227) Other income sources (GP) 29 Contribution from GMS budget 197 Net revenue cost ()/saving 0 The following should be noted in relation to these costs: All revenue costs are stated at 2008/09 pay and price levels. Staffing costs have been assessed using agreed Community Hospital skill mix models and reflect the grading impact of Agenda for Change. Facilities costs have been estimated by applying a unit cost for the floor area Savings from an overall reduction in beds have been estimated based on the variable cost reduction Capital charges are calculated based on the estimated valuation of the site and buildings. This figure is derived from the overall project cost less non added value site preparation and down takings. Buildings structure is assumed to have a useful life of 60 years, Mechanical and Electrical plant infrastructure 25 years and equipment/IT 10 years. All savings from the closure of Campbell Hospital (£1.391m) will be reinvested. This includes £0.116m of capital charge funding. The costs saved as a result of Long Stay bed closures are used partially to meet the additional capital charge cost of the scheme and partially reinvested in alternative community care models. GMS Premises funding of £0.155m originally identified for 3PD rental is available as a contribution towards the capital charges associated with the Health Centre element of the project 27 4.3 COMPARISON TO APPROVED OBC ADDENDUM VALUES The Key financial highlights are as follows : The project capital cost estimate of £15.365m has increased by £1.127m or 7.9% from the previously approved value of £14.238m (both values are stated net of the £414k “sunk” costs). This overall increase is net of a reduction in anticipated expenditure on moveable equipment of £0.15m and Optimism Bias of £0.55m. The main underlying reasons for this increase are partly the impact of inflation due to the extended project timescales (£0.3m), partly to the actual impact of inflation out-turning at higher levels than previous estimates (£0.9m), partly to an increased technical specification (£0.4m) particularly Mechanical and Engineering plant in order to meet new building regulations in relation to carbon emissions and partly to the complexity of the design necessary to ensure ongoing operation of the site during the construction period (£0.1m). The revenue affordability of the scheme remains neutral with the increase in capital charges absorbed by the increase in the nurse salary budget released from closure of Campbell Hospital as a consequence of the Agenda for Change pay settlement. 4.4 IMPACT OF PREFERRED OPTION ON PROPERTY VALUES It is assumed that the loss on disposal of Campbell Hospital and the write off on demolition of buildings on the Chalmers Hospital site will be accounted for as a charge to the Capital Resource Limit (CRL). It is envisaged that if NHS Grampian are allowed to retain the NBV benefit then this will be sufficient to cover the impact on the CRL for each individual transaction. In the wider context NHS Grampian will agree the overall strategy for the management of asset gains/losses with the SGHD Finance Directorate annually through discussion on the allocated CRL. It is also assumed that the SGHD Finance Directorate will liaise with the Treasury to ensure sufficient support funding is available to mitigate the impact of impairment on the projected asset value at completion estimated as £5.827m in line with the revised NHS Scotland Capital Accounting guidance. The impact of these issues is summarised as follows: Preferred Option 08/09 09/10 10/11 £000’s £000’s £000’s 3 (b) 11/12 £000’s Loss on sale Campbell Write off on Demolition 12/13 £000’s 902 673 Impairment 380 Total £000’s 902 1053 5827 5827 4.4.1 Disposal of Campbell Hospital, Portsoy The scheme requires disposal of Campbell Hospital in Portsoy which has a current Net Book Value (NBV) of £1.102m. The open market value of the site is estimated at £0.2m. Assuming disposal in August 2012, an estimated net loss on sale £0.902m will arise. This will be charged to the Capital Resource Limit (CRL) in 2012/13. 28 4.4.2 Demolition of Existing Buildings The first phase of the planned development program on the Chalmers Hospital site requires demolition of the Maternity Annexe, Out Patient Block, Boiler House and 22 Fife St in order to allow construction of the new Health centre to commence by 1st August 2009. These blocks collectively have an existing NBV of £0.673m. The resulting write off on demolition will be charged to the CRL in 2009/10. The second phase of the development program, on completion of the new Health Centre, requires demolition of the existing Health Centre to allow construction work to commence on the new ward block by 1st April 2011. Banff Health Centre has an existing NBV of £0.380m and the resulting write off on demolition will be charged to the CRL in 2011/12. 4.4.3 Valuation of the asset on completion The District Valuer, appointed by the Scottish Government to value all fixed assets owned by NHS Grampian previously reviewed the plans for the proposed development and concluded that the completed buildings and associated land will be valued at depreciated replacement cost of £8.170m at May 2007 prices. Assuming average price increases (based on BCIS averages) the land and buildings will be valued at £11.032m on completion of the overall project. In addition it is assumed that expenditure on moveable equipment and IT/communications will be capitalised at cost (£394k) giving a total asset value £11.426m on completion of the scheme. The estimated depreciated replacement cost valuation is defined as being “The aggregate amount of the value of the land for existing use or a notional replacement site in the same locality, and the gross replacement cost of the buildings and other site works, from which appropriate deductions may then be made to allow for the age, condition, economic or functional obsolescence, environmental and other relevant factors” The Chalmers Hospital land and buildings in their present condition (after adjusting for the write off of NBV on demolition £0.673m explained above) has an existing NBV of £1.474m. The total additional investment in the preferred option is £15.779m (£0.414 “sunk cost under assets in course” and £15.365m additional costs to complete project). The added value of the asset on completion is therefore £9.952m (£11.426m final value on completion less the existing NBV of £1.474m.) and the impairment on asset value when complete is £5.827m (£15.779m total project cost less the added value of £9.952m). 5.0 VALUE FOR MONEY The OBC previously demonstrated that partial refurbishment and partial new build would deliver a significant benefit in improved functionality and access to services. This option scored highly in the nonfinancial benefits criteria assessed within the OBC. Funding the project as a complete scheme from NHS capital remains the most cost effective option when linked to the non financial benefit criteria i.e. delivers the greatest benefit for the required investment. The design team have recommended acceptance of the lowest priced tender from Robertson Construction, Northern Ltd. In their report the design team make it clear that, in their opinion, there are no further specification savings feasible and that “Value Engineering” has already been optimised within the tendered proposals. The Robertson tender is £0.6m less than the next closest tender. It is clear therefore that given the constraints on the site, the planning conditions on the development and current market conditions there is no scope to compromise on the project construction costs and little flexibility overall within the required financial envelope if the project is to proceed. 6.0 RISK ANALYSIS The existing physical state of the building and associated configuration of services do not lend themselves to the provision of quality health care by current standards. Risks highlighted above and identified below indicate the extent that the current premises are below expected health and safety standards and the level of improvement required to ensure functional suitability. Should the scheme not proceed, then a minimum of £3.3m in backlog maintenance expenditure will be required to rectify the immediate problems within the 29 building. In addition it is estimated that a further £2.5m requires to be invested to meet the costs of compliance with ward dignity and privacy regulations. Recently the midwifery and administration block has started to show signs of structural failings and fencing has been put in place to protect staff and public from falling debris. Current quality of service relates to the calibre and commitment of health care staff working in difficult circumstances. All disciplines i.e. medical, nursing, AHPs are experiencing difficulties in recruitment and retention. Lack of investment in the hospital will exacerbate staff recruitment problems, reducing the quality and range of services that can be delivered locally. The hospitals capability will “wither on the vine” committing local people to travel to Aberdeen (94 mile round trip) for health care, to transport friends and relatives to clinics and visit in-patients who would otherwise be cared for in Chalmers. This will increase the pressure on acute sector beds, outpatient clinics and ambulance services (ambulances are tied up longer, 3 hours, when taking patients to Aberdeen). A declining hospital will increase community stress by making people feel more vulnerable when they are ill and have a negative impact on the economy of the Banff area. In addition the following benefits would not be delivered: Improvement to service quality available to the local population by providing modern purpose built facilities. Provision of accessible services. Maximisation of clinical effectiveness. Provision of efficient and effective services. Access to a facility and service that is acceptable to patients, staff and the public. Flexibility for future change. Ability to meet the current and future demand for community hospital services. Reduction in pressures on secondary care services by improved local accessibility. Non compliance with Better Health, Better Care, Delivering for Health, the Grampian Change and Innovation Programme and Aberdeenshire Change and Innovation Plan which focus on local accessible services to patients 7.0 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS The sensitivity of the preferred option to changes in capital costs is relatively low. All key risks are identified and provided for within the overall tender value. Any key variances on the following factors may influence the final out-turn costs : Preliminaries – The programme period offered by Robertson Construction is considerably less than the timescales outlined in the tender enquiry documents and their preliminary costs reflect this. There is a risk that any interruption in the flow of information between the Design Team and the client will create project delays and trigger a subsequent claim for recovery of preliminaries associated with any resulting extension to the contract period. Fluctuating Price Tender – An estimate of the impact of inflation is included on the tender value (£1.4m). The fluctuating price tenders received limit cost rises to agreed national inflation linked parameters i.e. May 2008 base using the “Price Adjustment Formulae for Construction Industry Contracts” using the June 1990 series (or NEDO) indices. This does not however constitute a “fixed price contract” or indeed provide any certainty over future payments under the contract. The indices are applied retrospectively based on actual inflation levels and are sensitive to National pricing trends. Building warrant – although the tender value includes a number of significant additional Mechanical and Electrical Engineering works assessed by the design team as required to achieve the appropriate “S-BEM” rating the application for building warrant has still to be formally approved. The design team have been asked to submit a 4 stage warrant covering the entire job. It is likely that each stage will be approved individually as the project progresses. 30 Provisional Sums in tender value – the recommended tender includes a total of £0.9m of provisional items and a further general contingency of £0.2m. These are items for which the contractor had insufficient information available from the design team to obtain firm pricing and are detailed as part of the report on tenders at Appendix A. The sensitivity of the agreed option to changes in revenue costs is low. All revenue operating cost savings applied to meet the increased cost of the development are deliverable based on current budgeted levels and capital charge estimates are prepared based on an assessment of building valuation at the post completion, depreciated replacement cost. Any increase in operating costs above estimated levels would impact on the ability to reinvest in alternative community care. In this context £1m is planned for reinvestment. 8.0 BENEFITS ASSESSMENT Health Improvement Local, accessible and equitable health care services for the Banff locality as identified through robust public and staff involvement and in line with the Aberdeenshire Change and Innovation Plan. Enhanced quality of life indicators for patients through faster access to health services and facilitating appropriate discharge planning for the catchment population. Better, fairer access to a range of services and improved journey of patient care. A clinically effective facility at Chalmers Hospital which will be responsive and flexible to patients needs now, and in the future. A new and flexible day service for the older/demented/physically disabled population. Expansion of the Health Centre to meet current and future demands/potential in primary care and better integration with the hospital facility. Community confidence in local health services has indirect health benefits through sense of security and stress reduction which leads to better social cohesion. Scope to provide a “one stop” facility for patients with complex needs. Provision of a step down facility for patients currently within ARI, thereby reducing delayed discharges as part of Grampian’s overall Winter Planning Process Smoother transition of services from the acute sector to both Chalmers Hospital and the community. Opportunities will arise for investment in the infrastructure of the hospital to provide more specialised services and for the further development of modern intermediate care services in local communities e.g. rehabilitation and endoscopy services. Improved communication with, and within, the different points of service delivery will facilitate effective multi-team management and continuity of care for patients. More effective use of existing skills and resources will be secured through the overall reduction in GP acute and maternity beds. The current catchment area is primarily 17,300, although potential developments in ambulatory care could increase this number with the inclusion of other populations in Grampian. Examples of the level of activity that will be provided within the new facility are as follows: Occupied bed days (GP)/year Maternity Unit (appointments per year) Casualty department 9402 (projected) 290 (projected) 9500 31 Health Centre consultations Total X-ray examinations AHP attendances Total outpatient attendances 34000 3239 6174 7500 This redevelopment is consistent with national, regional and local strategies on enhancing the range and quality of primary and community health services to local populations and is in line with the Aberdeenshire Change and Innovation Plan which had been approved by NHS Grampian and the Scottish Government. In depth and extensive consultation with local and regional staff, gives North Aberdeenshire LCHP confidence that the provision of a new facility will ensure identified benefits will be delivered. The population in the Banff area is arguably one of the most distant from either Elgin or Aberdeen, this proposal will provide a broad range of services close to where they are required for this population. The aim, which is in line with Better Health, Better Care, Delivering for Health and the Change & Innovation Programme, is to provide the highest quality of care at the most local point, using acute hospital services only when appropriate. This will provide better overall management of referrals to, and discharge from, the acute sector and help to reduce the demand on services within Aberdeen, thereby enhancing health outcomes for the wider population of Grampian. Current facilities in Banff are sub-standard - patients choose between second rate facilities locally, or long journeys to first class facilities in Aberdeen. The redevelopment would reduce the inequality by giving access to facilities more comparable to Aberdeen City. Patients will receive community hospital standards comparable to that provided in Peterhead, Stonehaven, Turriff and Buckie where facilities have been upgraded in recent years. The provision of a new facility will address the issues highlighted in the case for change section, particularly pertaining to the functional suitability status report. As a result of this development the following changes in activity levels and quality of care are to be expected: Occupancy Rate - It is anticipated that the current occupancy rate of 56% will rise to at least 80% (Grampian average) as a result of the reduction in GP beds. Average Length of Stay - The reduction in beds, the availability of continuing care/slow stream rehabilitation beds and additional Allied Heath Professional input will lead to a lower average length of stay for patients in these beds. However, it should be noted that the current figure of 17.17 days is higher than the Grampian average of 1.95 days. Turnover Interval - This indicator shows the average length of time that a bed remains empty between patients i.e. higher the number indicates over provision - currently 13.43 days for Chalmers. Mixed Sex Accommodation - Patient’s Privacy and Dignity are impossible to achieve within the existing hospital. As a result of this proposal, all patients will have access to toilet facilities and ward accommodation, which preserve their privacy and dignity. Outpatients Department - The relocated/refurbished department will increase the accommodation available to visiting consultants, offering opportunities for increased activity, intermediate care and improved patient privacy/confidentiality. This department will also be available for use by other groups e.g. voluntary and community, in the evenings and at weekends. Casualty Services - Direct access to this department will be through one main door allowing easy access to all non-ambulatory patients. Benefits to patients Demographics Growth of Elderly: 32 The population of North Aberdeenshire Local Community Health Partnership shows similar trends for both male and females. While the population size as a whole looks to be almost static the age composition is set to alter significantly over the next 15-20 years as outlined below: Males: 2006-2004 Females: 2006-2004 Age band % increase 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+ Age band 50 59 79 59 154 % increase 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85+ 49 50 63 42 64 Population Projection July 2006 – prepared by NHS Grampian Statistical Information Officer The impact of this will be a growing requirement for locally accessible service owing to increase in long term conditions (LTC) and other age-related illness. The picture above applies both to the local population across North Aberdeenshire that is served by Chalmers Hospital and equally to the Health Centre. The practice population has remained consistent at or around 6700 with an increasing bias towards the elderly. Diagnostic and Treatment Services The consultant-led outpatient clinics at Chalmers Hospital are currently working to full capacity, with the following services being delivered: Dermatology Radiology ENT Urology Obstetrics Gastroenterology Respiratory Medicine Ophthalmology Gynaecology Clinical Oncology General Surgery Renal Dialysis Additional services in development include: Endoscopy Ultrasound Minor Surgery Oral Chemotherapy The delivery of some of these services will alter through the development of practitioners with specialist interest, improving local accessibility. Delivery of local services is consistent with national and local policy direction and is central to Grampian ‘Healthfit’ strategy which aims to transfer 40% of outpatient activity to community settings. Therefore investment in Chalmers will compliment proposals currently under development to ‘right size’ acute services at Foresterhill site in Aberdeen while ensuring quality and access elements of patient care. Health, social and economic profile Health profile Attached (Appendix F) is a profile for Banff and Buchan Area highlighting NHS Grampian ‘Traffic Lights’ profile comprising information from NHS Health Scotland’s ‘Community health and well-being profiles’. This demonstrates that this is an area of relative deprivation in relation to health status when compared to the national average. Indicators of poor health in Banff and Buchan include 33 Deaths from CHD and Cancer Teenage pregnancies Low Birth weight Smoking during pregnancy Drug related deaths Mental Health (Suicide) Infant mortality Hospital admissions Social and economic profile; Aberdeenshire Council’s area profile of the area draws attention to key social economic challenges that the area is currently experiencing as follows: ‘Key challenges facing Banff and Buchan include the need to overcome peripherality, to sustain social and commercial facilities in the Area’s villages, to tackle the decline in the fishing industry and the impact of this on the coastal community, and to broaden the Area’s economic base. ‘ Banff and Buchan Area Plan 2006-08 This position has been further accentuated with the closure of the town’s largest employer - ‘Grampian Country Chickens’ closed in November 2007. The Banff and Buchan area has experienced a significant inward migration of Eastern European migrants in recent years. Grampian racial equality Council estimate that around 3000 migrants are located in the Banff and Buchan area and this is expected to increase. As can be seen from above health status indicators – the town has significant challenges around substance misuse, teenage pregnancies and other lifestyle behaviour issues consistent with areas of deprivation. Therefore investment in hospital facilities in the Banff area will contribute to addressing access for an ageing population with low quality of life indicators. Therapies/ Geriatrics – ‘One-stop shop’ for patients with complex needs A full range of AHP diagnostic and treatment services are delivered at Chalmers including: Radiology Audiometry Orthoptics Ultrasonics Chiropody Dietetics occupational Therapy Physiotherapy Combined number of appointments 8720 (2007-08). The new facilities will enable opportunities for day patients with complex needs to be assessed by the above therapies in conjunction with geriatric input on a single visit. Benefits of increased single room provision Under the current 34 bed composition the number of inpatients in Chalmers is around 650 per year. The proposed change to 30 single beds will provide greater flexibility and it is estimated will allow an increase to around 800 per year. 34 This will positively impact whole system changes by effecting improved transition of patients from acute sector in Aberdeen Royal Infirmary. This will in turn, contribute to the target of reducing ARI inpatients by 25 % and consequentially ARI bed numbers by 200 as outlined in NHS Grampian’s ‘Healthfit’ strategy. Taken in combination, the changes outlined above will support the management of the health challenges associated with the growing elderly population in North Aberdeenshire as well as making a contribution to the wider challenges around implementing NHS Grampian Healthfit strategy which is consistent with future national policy direction outlined in Better Health, Better Care and current policy Delivering for Health. 35 9.0 BENEFITS REALISATION PLAN PATIENT EXPERIENCE Modern, upgraded, fit for purpose surroundings for all clinical services, especially Casualty, GP Wards and Outpatients which are poorly laid out and in particular with respect to access, security, privacy and dignity Measure Evidence of achievement Evaluation Key Responsibility Improved patient flow through minor surgery and out patient suite leading to accreditation under the GRS Global Rating Scale Provision of a more complex range of procedures eg. Endoscopy, Colonoscopy or Bronchoscopy that will enable immediate local Therapeutic intervention for specific conditions following Diagnostic investigation within the O/P and Minor Surgery Suites. Post completion accreditation as GRS Global Rating Compliant locality Manager All in patient bed provision in single wards Increase of 25% of outpatient activity by 2015. No thoroughfare and controlled access to in patient ward and waiting areas area Project delivers required physical design by 2015. Direct access to the A&E department will be through one main door allowing easy access to all non-ambulatory patients Dedicated Ambulance access to A&E Dedicated staff changing and subsidiary waiting areas for minor surgery/casualty, out patient clinics, therapies and Xray Increased capacity for out patient clinics Expansion of the Health Centre to meet current and future demands/potential in primary care Improved access to services through provision of properly “sized” and configured primary care facility incorporating additional treatment, minor procedures and consulting space consistent with practice size. Increased number of Specialist, Nurse and GP led Out patient clinics as facilities open. Currently there is no dedicated ambulance access – this will be rectified through the redesign of hospital and will contribute to improve patient experience consistent with modern health facility expectation. Post implementatio n evaluation which in addition to Specific Health Outcome Indicators will focus on patient flow, access and effectiveness of security arrangements Project Manager Aberdeenshire CHP Quarterly Performance Review CHP General Manager Post implementatio n evaluation which in addition to Specific Health Outcome Indicators will focus on patient flow, Project Manager Currently two consulting rooms – this will increase to four ensuring compliance with quality expectation in the delivery of healthcare – e.g for Endoscopy, the facility will be global-rating scale (GRS) compliant – this will allow for therapeutic intervention and more complex scoping procedures to be delivered. The current facilities only allow for diagnostic intervention. Project delivers required physical design Increased number and range of services available to practice population eg. Minor surgery, practice based Chronic Disease management 36 access and effectiveness of security arrangements Project delivers required physical design Patients will have access to, and better movement between, the services they require A new Day Service for the Elderly/Demented/P hysically Disabled Population, supporting patients at home Scope to provide a “one stop” facility for patients with complex needs Co location of Hospital and Health Centre Integration of modern GPAcute Rehabilitation/Therapies/Out patients and Elderly day hospital services on same site Increased ability of Health professionals to anticipate future health patterns and treat accordingly Increased number of patients receiving assessment and immediate follow on treatment or therapy. This will allow for reduced waiting times consistent with national targets. Increase number of patients receiving anticipatory treatment to prevent worsening or onset of specific conditions. This will allow us to meet the targets for reduced admissions/readmission as per national SPARRA/Risk Register project. Post implementatio n evaluation which in addition to Specific Health Outcome Indicators will focus on patient flow, access and effectiveness of security arrangements Project Manager Post implementatio n evaluation which in addition to Specific Health Outcome Indicators will focus on patient flow, access and effectiveness of security arrangements Project Manager 1 – A full range of, etc Enhancing palliative care by improving the environment for patients with terminal conditions, their relatives and friends. Enhanced quality of life indicators for patients through faster access to health services and facilitating appropriate discharge planning for the catchment population Project delivers required physical design Single room ward accommodation and facilities for relatives to stay overnight On site and increased capacity for medical/therapy/diagnostic support and correct environment to allow more Acute in patient treatment and rehabilitation Increased number of terminally and seriously ill patients cared for locally either within the hospital or at home locally utilising the enhanced support available Hospital-based palliative care available to all patients within Banff & Buchan locality who have a clinical requirement for this. 37 EFFICIENCY AND EFFECTIVENESS Measure Evidence of achievement Evaluation Key Responsibility Aberdeenshire CHP Quarterly Performance Review CHP General Manager Reduced number of people travelling to Aberdeen/Elgin for investigation/ treatment leading to improved patient experience. Redesign of Elderly Services Consistent with national and local priorities Redesign of Diagnostic and Treatment Services with improved access and an increased range of services available locally Local access to key services Currently approximately 4,000 outpatient appointments in Chalmers – we will aim to increase this by 25% in order to meet previous peak activity and take account of additional services that will be provided. In relation to Endoscopy, there are currently zero therapeutic interventions. This will potentially increase to 350 per year by 2015. Overview of progress by Aberdeenshire CHP Committee CHP General Manager Increased range of investigative and therapeutic services available locally by visiting specialists and through General practice led initiatives Comprehensive range of alternative care models available for the Elderly More effective use of existing skills and resources will be secured through the rationalisation of services Local monitoring arrangements, Reduction in GP Acute beds from 41 to 30 Reduction in Maternity beds from 4 to 1 Closure of all Long Stay Elderly beds Identification of alternative Closure of Campbell Hospital Portsoy and reinvestment in a range of alternative care models supporting the elderly at home Aberdeenshire CHP Quarterly Performance Review Locality Manager CHP General Manager GP Acute bed occupancy of minimum 80% No long stay beds by 2010 community care arrangements for Elderly Increased capacity for Out patient clinics within same Target average length of stay in GP Acute beds of 11 days Reduced Elderly 38 overall floor area Service change delivered within existing resource admissions. 20% reduction by 2015 following full implementation of anticipatory care risk plan. Project delivers required design Project delivered on budget and all revenue consequences met within identified funding envelope Enhancing management of safety risks; infection control, moving and handling Design underpinned by advice on moving and handling, health and safety and Infection Control advice Project delivers required physical design by 2015 Improved recruitment and retention of skilled staff Enhance recruitment and retention of skilled and trained staff Improved marketing of services and working conditions for staff Increased consultant input of 20% by 2015. Reduced Sickness absence rates Lower staff turnover in key trained roles CARE PATHWAY The co-terminosity with local authority departments, such as social services, housing and education, which already exists with the Banff Locality, will enhance a greater integration of service planning and coordination of the local communities’ health needs. Community Measure Services can be designed flexibly around current and future requirements and is responsive to patient and carer need Facility already known and Integrated into local community Delivery of care by known and wherever possible Evidence of achievement Project delivers required design Reduced number og journeys for treatment/investigation into Aberdeen or Elgin Facilities at Chalmers will contribute to the Healthfit target of 40% reduction of outpatient activity in NHS CHP audits; Risk Control Plan monitoring, Health and safety adviser and Infection Control nurse monitoring visits. Project Manager Regular HR monitoring returns, number of vacancies and staff turnover; number of posts still vacant after 3 months Locality Manager Aberdeenshire CHP Quarterly Performance Review CHP General Manager Evaluation Local monitoring arrangements through Joint management team with Local Authority Aberdeenshire CHP Quarterly Performance Review CHP General Manager CHP General Manager 39 confidence in local health services has indirect health benefits through sense of security and stress reduction which leads to better social cohesion. named providers Grampian Acute Sector. Easier access for patients and relatives No delayed discharges over six weeks by April 2008 onwards. Satisfied patients and relatives Improved communication with, and within, the different points of service delivery will facilitate effective multi-team management and continuity of care for patients Provision of a step down facility for patients currently within the Specialist Service thereby reducing delayed discharges Patient and carer satisfaction survey post implementation. Improved discharge from Acute to Chalmers –resulting in reduced length of stay Smoother transition of services from the acute sector to both Chalmers Hospital and the community. The hospital will continue to develop the role of staff working across professional and departmental boundaries at both hospital and community settings. The aim will be to provide the greatest possible care and support at the most local point, using acute hospital services only when appropriate. This will provide better overall management of referrals to, and discharge from, the acute sector. Post implementation evaluation which in addition to Specific Health Outcome Indicators will focus on patient flow, access and effectiveness of security arrangements This aspect to be regularly reviewed through cross sector groups and health intelligence reporting. Friends of Chalmers Hospital and Action Group to be an integral part of the post implementation valuation Project Manager Project Manager Project Manager Improved quality of referral to acute sector services from Banff. 10.0 CONTRACT STRUCTURE Due to the overall program length it was not possible to obtain fixed price tenders. The contract will be a fluctuating price contract which will limit cost rises to agreed national inflation linked parameters i.e. May 2008 base using the “Price Adjustment Formulae for Construction Industry Contracts” using the June 1990 40 series (or NEDO) indices. An estimate of the cost of inflation has been included in the final tender value recommended by the Design Team. 11.0 PROCUREMENT PROCESS Approval to proceed to tender was granted in January 2008. Following an OJEC process four Companies, all National organisations with strong local experience, were short listed and invited to tender in March 2008. Tenders were submitted on 18 th June 2008 and are open for acceptance for a period of 90 days. The expiry date is 16th September 2008. The Architect led design team have managed the tendering process on behalf of NHS Grampian and their report on tenders with a recommendation to accept the lowest offer from Robertson construction Northern Ltd is included at Appendix A. 12.0 CAPITAL AVAILABILITY The project capital cost estimate of £15.365m has increased by £1.127m or 7.9% from the previously approved value of £14.238m (both values are stated net of the £414k “sunk” costs). NHS Grampian intend to meet this additional capital cost from existing relevant provisions within the recently agreed capital plan. 13.0 REVENUE FUNDING STRATEGY The revenue affordability of the scheme remains neutral with the increase in capital charges absorbed by the increase in the nurse salary budget released from closure of Campbell Hospital as a consequence of the Agenda for Change pay settlement. 14.0 STAKEHOLDER SUPPORT This redevelopment is one of NHS Grampian’s top priorities for Capital Investment and is fully supported and welcomed by the local population. As part of the Aberdeenshire Change & Innovation Plan the redesign of services has been approved by NHS Grampian and the Scottish Government. Throughout the review of health services locally and preparation of the Outline Business Case and Full Business Case the CHP has adopted an open and collaborative approach with all stakeholders, including staff and public. This approach will continue with close involvement of stakeholders beyond the completion date. The final design solution has been delivered following extensive public consultation and at each stage of development has been shared with and agreed by a joint public and professional panel, the "Friends of Chalmers Hospital" as well as the Project Board which is chaired by the Hospital Medical Director and in addition to senior management and technical support includes a local Councillor, the Head of Social Work, two members of the public and local staff side representation. Extensive public consultation (press releases, public meetings, questionnaires and the involvement of a public panel) on the formation and appraisal of options has been central to the collaborative decision to redevelop on the current site. In relation to the revised model, continued public involvement has been integral to the redesign process, through participation on the local project groups, public panel meetings and promulgation of information via press briefings. 41 In addition the CHP has placed paramount importance on actively engaging with stakeholders throughout the consultation process around the Aberdeenshire Change & Innovation Plan. A paper detailing the approach is available on request. Mechanisms employed include: Staff briefings, 14 public events, 1200 Citizen’s Panel questionnaire, externally facilitated focus groups, local authority officer and members briefings, MSP/MP briefings, lobby group engagement, direct public engagement, locally focused fora, media engagement, community council briefings, Grampian Maternity Services Management Board, engagement with local groups led by Partners. In addition NHS Grampian has conducted a consultation exercise on the CHP proposals. The consultation processes have been reviewed by the Scottish Health Council and deemed appropriate. 15.0 PROJECT MANAGEMENT NHS Grampian have recently appointed to the position of Infrastructure Manager for North Aberdeenshire. A key part of this role is to provide dedicated project management support and to oversee the implementation of the preferred option on behalf of the project board. Appendix G outlines the agreed project structure that will guide the project to completion and oversee the post project and post implementation review process. 16.0 POST PROJECT EVALUATION Given that this project is concerned with the development of services and accommodation, the requirement for both a post-project and a post-occupancy evaluation is essential. The post project evaluation relates to the capital project itself and will cover all aspects of the procurement cycle, budget, timescales and finished quality. The post occupancy evaluation will be undertaken after the hospital has been operating for some time (at least 1 year). Typically this will include: Evaluation - The aim of the evaluation will be to provide the CHP and NHS Grampian with information on the following key areas of the project and to inform continuous local improvement: To extend and improve the range of services available locally for the people of Banff in a modern facility. To improve the effectiveness and quality of health care provision. To ensure that the facilities are used to maximum levels to obtain high levels of asset utilisation and required target income to investment-ratios. To guarantee that the growth of services locally do not impose an excessive cost burden on the rest of services within the Grampian area. Indicators - Work will be undertaken under the direction of the Project Board to develop the following indicators: Draft a timetable for introduction against which to monitor the extension of new services and reshaping of existing facilities. Agree a schedule for increased utilisation rates against which to monitor enhanced utilisation. Set targets for costs of services against which to monitor efficiency of service provision. Define a relevant list of other services outwith Banff against which to monitor the impact of the growth in terms of cost and workload. 42 Quality - Quality is an integral component of the formal evaluation protocol and this will include a rigorous assessment of the development’s impact on the following list of initial indicators: Patient and staff satisfaction Clinical performance Patient waiting times and time for complete episode of care Impact of disruption to patients Environment and conditions in which care is delivered Effectiveness of communication strategy (e.g. patient information and GP letters) 17.0 RISK MANAGEMENT The following table highlights the key project specific risks and the risk management arrangements:- 43 Risk Title Project being consistent with the strategic direction of NHS Grampian Description Risk Risk level Score Controls in place Action Plan There is a risk that the project will not 1 deliver national and local priorities for health care Negligible 1) Performance management of aberdeenshire C&I plan; 2) Frequent reporting to CHP Management Team and NHSG Asset Investment Group; 3) Health Intelligence Data; 4) Physical planning data; Implementation of C&I project action plan and continual monitoring Public, stakeholder and There may be resistance to change 1 political support for from within the workforce and local change population. Stakeholders may not fully appreciate the interdependent nature of the project and potential for improved efficiency within the planned service changes Negligible 1) Extensive public consultation; 2) Joint Public and Professional Advisory Panel; 3) Planning for Real event; 4) Regular Staff and Public briefings (Rotary Club, Friends of Chalmers Hospital); 5) Project Board Chaired by Hospital Medical Director; 6) Project Board included local Counselor, public reps, and staff side reps Continual staff and public involvement on project board business and on professional advisory panel Operational benefits there is a risk that failure to fully not being fully realised implement the project plan will lead to minimal benefits realisation minor 1) Performance management of C&I plan by the CHP Mgt Team; 2) Performance Mgt of project plan by project board 1) Project currently managed within CHP Mgt Team with lead officer identified 1) Projected capital costs include an allowance for optimism bias; 2) Revised cost of scheme is now included in NHSG most recent capital plan; 3) Projected revenue costs are contained within the C&I financial plan agreed by the NHSG Board 1) Recruitment of dedicated Project Manager 1) Robust Implementation plan agreed locally (decanting plan) with the affected services; 2) minimal relocation of essential services; 3) Ongoing liaison between Design Team and affected Services; 4) Oversight of progress by project board 1) Appointment of dedicated project manager Inability to fully manage and implement change Project affordability 2 Lack of capacity and capability within 3 existing resource to affect change moderate Insufficient resources being available 2 to allow the continuation of the project minor Disruption to current The ability to continue with service service delivery during delivery on site during construction change phase 3 moderate 1) recruitment of dedicated Project Manager 1) Ongoing monitor by Finance Manager and project board; 2) Exception reporting via CHP Mgt Team In addition to the project specific risk management plan, Aberdeenshire CHP has agreed the following risk management plan in relation to implementation of the Change and Innovation plan :- 44 Risk Title Public and political perception of change Description There is resistance in some areas to the change proposed. Availability of alternative This element of the plan requires support from colleagues within the service provision for older public, voluntary and private sectors, particularly around the people and old age development of supported accomodation. This carries practical psychiatry service (building, etc), financial and political risks. Consequence/Effect Controls (Assurance) 1) Public road show events 2) Public Participation Forum 3) Local Community Health Partership Public Involvement and Focus Groups 4) Provision of information on request to aid understanding of the issues 5) NHS Grampian Consultation process 6) Scottish Health Council review of process 7) Partnership approach to service redesign with Staff Side representation on all key decision making forums including the CHP Committee and NHS Grampian Board Inability to discharge patients to suitable alternatives will create a MODERA delay in progressing the in patient bed reconfiguration within the Community Hospitals. This will in turn impact on ability to shift resource to support alternative care models in the community and to implement the enhanced range of Diagnostic and treatment services. 1) Aberdeenshire Joint Older peoples management teams and Joint Older peoples Housing and Strategy group. 2) CHP Committee & Management Team 3) Local Authority Housing and Social Work Committee 4) All three Local Authorities in Grampian together with NHS Grampian are Co-Signatories and are fullycommitted to the redesign of Elderly care set out in"Ageing with Confidence " the Elderly Strategy. 5) Joint management arrangements are well supported within Aberdeenshire with Senior Local Authority involvement in all key decision making forums including elected members as part of the CHP Committee. 6) The Local authority have agreed to develop Jointly, a medium term resource plan that allows the implications of service change in both Social work and Health to be quantified and addressed jointly in order to make the most efficient use of available resource. Availability of appropriate The existing transport infrastructure does not easily allow movement This may prevent patients accessing a "local clinic". transport infrastructure "cross Aberdeenshire" but encourages travel, particularly using public transport, using the main artery routes to Aberdeen. Shortage of clinical This will present an increasing challenge as we develop more capacity from within CHP Diagnostic and Treatment Services Risk level Lack of physical capacity and insufficient resource available to deliver MODERA the planned local improvements in Diagnostic and treatment services MODERA 1) A multi agency Transport Healthfit planned 2) Scottish Ambulance Service (SAS) representation on CHP Committee 3) Regular review meetings with the local SAS patient transport representatives 4) CHP involvement with local Authority and other partners in the Community Planning process 5) NHS Grampian involvement in Multi Agency working group reviewing transport infrastructure Inability to recruit into key clinical posts may delay implementation of MODERA local Diagnostic and Treatment services. 1) register of GPs and other clinical staff interested in obtaining a "special interest" currently 69 existing GP's have indicated a special interest 2) Utilisation of other contractual models to ensure service continuity eg. Salaried GP contracts 3) Development of Local "Networks" allowing cross cover arrangements 4) Displaced staff developed into new posts to support DTS 5) Workforce plan in place Increasing Elderly There is a recognised diminishing working population to cope with an Inability to recruit into key Community care posts in the future will population and decreasing increasing demand for services with partners competing for the same affect the ability to manage both simple and complex cases in the Working age population workforce. community and may result in admission for social reasons. SUBST Information management As DTS rolls out it is critical that referral information is appropriately Impact of service change cannot be quantified, resource implications MODERA tracked. Efficient capacity planning will require that information on tracked and resource shift achieved. demand, waiting list, throughput etc is managed and tracked. 1) Extraordinary partnership meetings and initiatives to keep staff informed of C&I developments 2) Joint workshop - 17th August to focus on future joint care team model 3) Workforce redesign strategy in place - offering diversity of clinical activity has demonstrably improved recruitment in traditionally hard to fill geographical areas. 4) Joint working arrangements allow for skill sharing, more flexible role profiling and efficient use of staff 5) Priority given to retraining and redeployment of existing staff 1) Dedicated IM support hours established 2) Funding secured for upgrade of existing GP system 3) "Steering Group" for each significant service implementation to include Acute and Primary care clinicians 4) Weekly operational management team meetings to review progress on systems an processes at a local level. E3 5) GP referral management pilot underway 45 18.0 I M & T The project will provide the necessary modern communications infrastructure to support voice, data and video telemedicine links. There are no specific IM&T systems included as part of this proposal but once complete, the redeveloped hospital will provide a modern well, equipped platform for the roll out of a number of clinical initiatives using new technology eg video technology in support of ENT/Dermatology and digital archiving of imaging information and medical records. 19.0 PERSONNEL ISSUES Under the preferred option Campbell Hospital, Portsoy will close and NHS Grampian will no longer provide NHS continuing care beds in the Banff Locality. These changes will have implications to the nursing staff and other support staff currently employed in the delivery of NHS continuing care services for the Frail Elderly. NHS Grampian is fully committed to supporting staff through these changes. A local HR Strategy Group is currently in existence and will monitor individual circumstances during project implementation ensuring that staff are informed, involved throughout the process, treated fairly, consistently and provided with an appropriate and safe working environment. The Health Board is confident that staff can be redeployed locally. 20.0 EQUIPMENT The agreed requirement for additional equipment represents the essential new clinical and office equipment purchases that arise as a direct consequence of the project. Any older items of equipment, which would have been replaced in the course of the ongoing cyclical replacement programme e.g. hospital beds have now been excluded. Whilst the level of new equipment is relatively low, the successful procurement of equipment, required for the future operation of the services is essential part of this project. NHS Grampian’s procurement department have assigned a lead contact to work closely with local management to ensure that all necessary equipment and furniture is available in the refurbished facilities at the point at which services transfer. The Procurement lead in liaison with local management has prepared a detailed equipment plan. The following key actions were undertaken in preparing the plan : In conjunction with stakeholders propose and prepare an inventory of existing equipment and furniture, identifying items for replacement; Support stakeholders in identifying furniture and equipment requirements for the refurbished facilities; Prepare equipment lists detailing new equipment and furniture requirements; Prepare a costed proposal for the furniture and equipment procurement for approval by the project team; Work with the project team to consider the implications of the write off of equipment that would require replacement; On an ongoing basis throughout the project implementation phase the procurement lead will be responsible for the following actions : Procure new equipment and furniture required in accordance with Standing Financial Instructions and available budgets; Prepare an operational commissioning plan covering ordering, receipt, storage and delivery of all equipment and furniture, including management during decanting periods; Ensure satisfactory installation of equipment and furniture including existing items for transfer. Liase with contractors as appropriate; 46 Liase with the project team and IM & T staff to ensure that IM & T equipment requirements and budget allocations are managed within the projections; Ensure that the Moving and Handling Co-ordinator is involved from the outset in providing advice both on the suitability of equipment to be retained and new items of equipment to be purchased; Report regularly to the project team on progress. 21.0 TIMETABLE The summary project program and timetable is included as Appendix H. 22.0 CONCLUSION The design team have recommended acceptance of the lowest priced tender from Robertson Construction, Northern Ltd. In their report the design team make it clear that, in their opinion, there are no further specification savings feasible and that “Value Engineering” has already been optimised within the tendered proposals. The Robertson tender is £0.6m less than the next closest tender. It is clear therefore that given the constraints on the site, the planning conditions on the development and current market conditions there is no scope to compromise on the project construction costs and little flexibility overall within the required financial envelope if the project is to proceed. 23.0 SUPPORT FROM NHS GRAMPIAN BOARD NHS Grampian confirms that: the development fits with the Local Delivery Plan and the objectives of the Board as set out in the NHS Grampian Health Plan an appraisal of a full range of options has been considered and evaluated following the guidance in the Scottish Capital Investment Manual (SCIM) considering costs, benefits and risks the Full Business Case has been approved by NHS Grampian Board and that the revenue consequences have been agreed procurement options have been adequately explored a plan for governance and implementation has been agreed the delivery of the project aims will maximise the use of the Board’s estate The Full Business Case is signed off by the NHS Grampian Chair and Chief Executive, for submission to the Scottish Government and approval is sought to fully implement the redevelopment plans. 47