LIFE+ Programme (European Commission) LIFE08ENV/IT/000428 EXPLAINATION OF THE CREATION OF SMS MODELS Model usle_vulnerability potential_eros_risk usle_sensibility erosion_risk_years soc_decline_ton_ha_y Explanation The model has been elaborated on the base of RUSLE, excluding the C and P factor, i.e. calculating the potential water erosion rate. For a diffuse explanation on the model application, see the annexed file: TESSALONIKY_ARTICLE_10PAGES.doc. The model has been elaborated on the base of the consideration that the soil erosion risk increase when the soils are thinner. In fact the years enough to have a complete loss of fertile soil (the soil stratum which is explored and efficiently used by plant cultivations) depends not only on the rate of soil loss, but also on the soil depth. By dividing soil depth with the soil potential erosion rate it is possible to estimate the years potentially enough to have a complete loss of fertile soil. The model has been elaborated on the base of RUSLE, including the C factor and excluding the P, i.e. calculating the actual water erosion rate, supposing the absence of soil protection measures. For a diffuse explanation on the model application, see the annexed file: TESSALONIKY_ARTICLE_10PAGES.doc. The model has been elaborated on the base of the consideration that the soil erosion risk increase when the soils are thinner. In fact the years enough to have a complete loss of fertile soil (the soil stratum which is explored and efficiently used by plant cultivations) depends not only on the rate of soil loss, but also on the soil depth. By dividing soil depth with the soil actual erosion rate it is possible to estimate the years actually enough to have a complete loss of fertile soil. This model has been extracted from the published study <Fantappiè, M., L’Abate A., Costantini E.A.C., (2011). The influence of climate change on the soil organic carbon content in Italy from 1961 to 2008, 1 SOCdeclineRISK_years soil_compaction_risk salinization_risk Geomorphology (2011), doi:10.1016/j.geomorph.2011.02.006>. The coefficients used consider just 3 great group of land uses (arable lands, forests and meadows) and the mean changes occurred in soil organic carbon content before and after the 1990. The model has been elaborated on the base of the consideration that the soil organic carbon decline risk increase when the soils have less soil organic carbon content. By dividing soil organic carbon content with the soil organic carbon content decline rate it is possible to estimate the soil organic carbon decline risk. The model was extracted from the study elaborated by: Pellegrini, S., Vignozzi, N., Costantini, E.A.C. and L’Abate, G. (2007). A new pedotransfer function for estimating soil bulk density. In: C. Dazzi (ed.), Changing Soils in a Changing Wold: The Soils of Tomorrow. Book of Abstracts. 5th International Congress of European Society for Soil Conservation, Palermo, 25–30 June 2007. ISBN: 978–88–9572– 09–2. The model for salinization risk is a model which predicts the electrocunductivity of soils on the base of a multiple regression analysis which has been specifically produced with soil data of Sicily and auxiliary data such as lithology, DEM, distance from coast, irrigation. The model has not been published till now. 2