Global Change, Global Challenges 1. Introduction (approach, goals and systems thinking) principles (2) and systems (3-11) -BP/DA/TG a. Introduction to Concepts o "Challenges we face" –Critical Reading & Discourse 2. Life system (time, building blocks/soils, complex life, speciation, evolution, ecosystem) biological principles -DA a. Scientific Principles o Natural Selection and Mutation: The Case of the Peppered Moth – Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA GC I Lecture Soils, Weathering and Nutrients Origin of Life Emergence of Complex Life; The Fossil Record; Punctuated Equilibrium The Process of Speciation Evolution and Natural Selection 3. Biodiversity (trophic systems, biological productivity, global inventory) -DA a. Scientific Principles o Biological Productivity and Trophic Systems –Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA b. State of the World o Protecting Biodiversity –Spatial Data Analysis with Arcview c. Societal Choices o Biodiversity Threats –Critical Reading & Discourse GC I Lecture The Flow of Energy: Primary Production The Flow of Energy: Higher Trophic Levels Ecological Communities: Networks of Interacting Species The Concept of the Ecosystem Competition and Resource Scarcity Trophic Links: Predation and Parasitism GC II Lecture Threats to Biodiversity Global Deforestation Desertification Coastal Environments World Fisheries: Declines, Potential and Human Reliance 1 Parks and Protected Areas 4. Human evolution and environmental justice (origins, agricultural practices, resources and repression)-RF a. Scientific Principles o The Environmental Consequences of Over-hunting –Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA o Population Dynamics: Predator-Prey Interactions –Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA b. State of the World o Global Water and Agricultural Resources –Spatial Data Analysis with Arcview c. Societal Choices o Environmental Justice –Critical Reading & Discourse GC II Lecture In the Beginning: Hominids and Environmental Change The Cultural Transformation of the Environment I The Cultural Transformation of the Environment II Cultural Adaptation, Maladaptation and Global Change Environmental Justice 5. Human population (demographic transition, economic drivers, trends)-GN a. Scientific Principles o Exploring Population Growth (J vs. S-shaped Curves) –Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA b. State of the World o Population and Economy: Distribution and Growth –Spatial Data Analysis with Arcview c. Societal Choices o Population Growth and Global Society -Film, Critical Reading & Discourse GC II Lecture Population Growth over Human History Demographic Transition: An Historical Sociological Perspective Human Appropriation of the World's Food Supply Human Appropriation of the World's Water Supply Emergence of Infectious Diseases and Health 2 6. Restless Earth: natural hazards (earthquakes, volcanoes, tsunamis, landslides, mitigation)-BP a. Scientific Principles o Geophysical Data: Plates and Topography - Excel b. State of the World o Distribution of Earthquakes and Volcanoes: Societal Impacts –Spatial Data Analysis with Arcview c. Societal Choices o Averting Natural Disasters –Critical Reading & Discourse GC I Lecture Clocks in Rocks: Isotopes and Age of Earth Continents and Oceans: Topography and Isostasy Earth's Untamed Energy: Earthquakes and Volcanoes - Part I and Part II Evolving Earth: Plate Tectonics 7. Energy and our world (fusion, electromagnetic radiation, radiative equilibrium, fuel sources)-BP a. Scientific Principles o Earth's Energy Balance Model - –Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA b. State of the World o Global Energy Resources: Population and Consumption –Spatial Data Analysis with Arcview c. Societal Choices o Making Better Energy Choices –Critical Reading & Discourse GC I Lecture In the Beginning - Evolution of the Universe, Radiation Laws and Big Bang Evolution of the Solar System and the Planets Evolution of Stars, Origin of the Elements Energy Balance of the Surface of Early Planets, Temperature, and Natural Greenhouse Gases GC II Lecture Energy 1: Today Energy 2: Tomorrow Energy 3: Systems and Policy 3 8. Climate: Atmosphere and Ocean (circulation, climate zones, greenhouse effect, future scenarios)-TK a. Scientific Principles o Analysis of Vostok Ice Core Data - Excel Exercise b. State of the World o Carbon Dioxide Emissions –Spatial Data Analysis with Arcview c. Societal Choices Exercise o Climate Lab and Virtual Energy Balance –Critical Reading & Discourse GC I Lecture The Earth System - Feedback Mechanisms in Climate Earth's Early Years: Differentiation, Water and Early Atmosphere Evolution of the Atmosphere: Composition, Structure and Energy Climate Patterns Past and Present Global Warming Potential of Greenhouse Gases and the Energy (Im)Balance of Our Current Atmosphere. Climate Models & Predictions for the Future The Blue Planet: Salinity, Circulation, and the Conveyor Belt Future Weather GC II Lecture Global Climate Change Mechanisms and Scenarios of Climate Forecasting Potential Impacts and Mitigation Strategies Forecasting the Future – Models 9. Development and pollution (air and fresh water pollution, urbanization and poverty)-VA a. Scientific Principles o Air and Water Pollution –Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA b. State of the World o Population Growth and Urbanization –Spatial Data Analysis with Arcview c. Societal Choices o Urbanization and Pollution –Critical Reading & Discourse GC I Ozone: The Good, The Bad and The Ugly Dust in the Wind GC II Economic Growth and How We Measure It Developed and Less Developed Countries Development, Poverty, and the Environment 4 Urbanization Urbanization and Pollution Environmental Economics and Pollution Control Sustainable Development (in relation to urbanization) 10. Global biogeochemical cycles-GK a. Scientific Principles o Creation of a Global Hydrologic Cycle Model -–Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA b. State of the World o Alteration of the Global Carbon Cycle –Systems Dynamic Modeling with STELLA c. Societal Choices o Biogeochemistry of the Tropical Rainforest –Exercise, Critical Reading & Discourse GC I Lecture Microbes: Transformers of Matter and Materials The Global Water and Nitrogen Cycles - the Case of Acid Rain The Global Carbon Cycle Climate Change in Great Lakes Region Using Ecosystem Science to Solve Problems: The Case of the Killer Lakes of Cameroon The Tropical Rain Forest 11. Sustainability - TG a. Scientific Principles o Systems Thinking Workshop – The Coming Anarchy Systems Thinking Workshop b. State of the World o Inequity and Civil Liberties –Spatial Data Analysis with Arcview c. Societal Choices o Ecological Footprint -Activity, Critical Reading & Discourse GC II Connecting Human Health Patterns with Environmental and Social Change Trends in, and Consequences of, Global Inequality Assessing the Spread of Democracy and Human Rights The Global Communications Revolution & Rise of Civil Society Appraising the Consequences of Economic Globalization Human Conflict and Security Mind Futures: Confronting the Challenges of Global and Long-Term Thinking 5