Kuemmerle, Kaplan, Prishchepov, Rylskyy, Chaskovskyy, Tikunov and Müller Forest transitions in Eastern Europe and their effects on carbon budgets SUPPORTING INFORMATION Fig. S1: Administrative boundaries of the study region Table S1: Data sources for reconstructing forest area time series 1700-1914 Table S2: Data sources for reconstructing forest area time series 1914-2012 Fig. S2: Interpolated forest trajectories per administrative unit Fig. S3: Forest trajectories at the country-level Fig. S4: Total C stored in natural vegetation and regrowing forests Fig. S5: Carbon stock patterns at key time periods across land-use scenarios Fig. S6: Comparison of forest statistics and satellite-based forest estimates 1 2 3 4 8 13 14 15 16 Fig. S1: Boundaries of governorates of the European part of the Russian Empire (a) and extent of the study region including the administrative units used to reconstruct homogenized forest area time series (b). 2 Table S1: Data sources used to reconstruct forest are time series before 1914 at the level of the administrative units shown in Fig. S1a. Country Description Years Reference Russian Empire (governorates level) Survey data and forest trajectory reconstructions 1722, 1742, 1762, 1780, 1782, 1796, 1812, 1815, 1835, 1851, 1858, 1861,1868, 1881, 1887, 1914 Tsvetkov, M. A. (1957) Changes in Forest Cover in European Russia between the late 17th Century and 1914. Moscow, Russian Academy of Sciences Publishing. Western Ukraine (state level) Statistics from the Kingdom of Galicia and Lodomeria 1872, 1876 Hołowkiewicz, E. (1877) Flora leśna i przemysł drzewny w Galicji, Lwów. [Forest flora and timber industry in Galicia]. Kraków. Orzechowski, K. (1872) Przewodnik statystyczno topograficzny i skorowidz obejmujący wszystkie miejscowości z przysiółkami w Królestwie Galicyi W.X. Krakowskiem i X. Bukowinie, według najświeższych skazówek urzędowych [The statistical and topographical companion and index of all towns with hamlets in the Kingdom of Galicia, the Grand Duchy of Krakow and the Duchy of Bukovina, according to the newest official instructions]. Kraków. 3 Table S2: Data sources used to reconstruct forest are time series after 1914 at the level of the administrative units shown in Fig. S1b. Country Description Armenia (country level) Scientific publication, national statistics 1941, 1956, 1966, 1977, 1988, 1990, 2000, 2005, 2010 Azerbaijan (country level) National statistics 1961 – 2009 (annually) FAO (2010), Forest Resource Assessment. FAOForestry, CountryStat, http://countrystat.org/home.aspx?c=FOR Belarus (state level) Scientific publication 1946, 1960, 1969, 1990 Tarasenko, V.P., Ipatyev, V.A., Kruk, N.K., and Holodilova, L.V. (2004) History of forestry in Belarus (Istorija lesnogo dela v Belarusi). Second. Vol. 2. 2 vols. Homel: Belarusian State forest comittee, 300 p. National statistics 2000-2010 (annually) BELSTAT (2010). Data on forestness of Belarus at province level from 1990 to 2010. National Statistical Committee of Republic of BelarusBELSTAT. Electronic request. 2p Scientific publication 1939 – 1992 (annually) Mander, U. (1994). Changes of Landscape Structure in Estonia during the Soviet Period. GeoJournal 33, 45–54. National statistics 2000, 2005, 2010 ESSTAT (2010): Forest area statistics for Estonia Estonia (country level) Years Reference 4 Moreno-Sanchez, R., Sayadyan, H.Y. (2005). Evolution of the forest cover in Armenia. Int. For. Rev. 7, 113-127. Forest Resource Assessment 2010, FAO-Forestry, CountryStat, http://countrystat.org/home.aspx?c=FOR 1999-2010 http://www.stat.ee/statistics Georgia (country level) Georgian Forestry Statistics 1800 – 2010 Olofsson, P., Torchinava, P., Woodcock, C., Baccini, A., Houghton, R., Ozdogan, M., Zhao, F., and Yang, X. (2010). Implications of land use change on the national terrestrial carbon budget of Georgia. Carbon Balance & Management, 5, 4. Latvia (country level) Scientific publication 1923, 1929, 1935, 1949, 1961, 1973, 1983, 1990 Ozolins, J. and Pilats, V. (1995) “Distribution and Status of Small and Medium-Sized Carnivores in Latvia.” Annales Zoologici Fennici 32, no. 1: 21– 29 pp. National statistics 1991, 1992, 1993 European Commission (1998). “Agricultural Situation and Prospects in the Central and Eastern European Countries. Latvia.” Working document, Directorate General for Agriculture (DG VI), European Commission, 79 p. http://ec.europa.eu/agriculture/publi/peco/latvia/la t_en.pdf. National statistics 1994 – 2010 (annually) CSB (2011). “Forest Land of Latvia at the End of the Year 1994-2010.” Central Statistical Bureau of Latvia, Online database http://www.csb.gov.lv/ Report 1938, 1948, 1956, 1958, 1961, 1966, 1973, 1978, 1983, 1988, 1993 Bitvinskaite, Z., and Kasnauskaite, L. (2006). “Afforestation and Reforestation in Lithuania”, Lithuanian Ministry of Environment, Department of Forests 25 p. Lithuania (country level) 5 National statistics 1993 – 2010 (annually) LITHSTAT (2011). Main Forest Characteristics and Statistical Indicators 1993-2010. Department of Statistics to the Government of the Republic of Lithuania, http://www.stat.gov.lt/en/ Moldova (country level) National statistical reports 1999 – 2010 (annually) MOLDSTAT (2010). Statistics on forest area in the Republic of Moldova 1999-2010. National Bureau of Statistics of the Republic of Moldova. Russia Statistics and Forest Census 1993, 1998, 2003, 2008 Rylsky, L. A. (2000). Creation of animated maps of forestness dynamics and sown agricultural areas of European Russia for the last 300 years. (Postrojenie animatsionnih kart dinamiki lesistosti i raspahannosti Evropeiskoi chasti Rossii za poslednie 300 let). Moscow State University, Moscow. National statistics from the Second Polish Republic 1923, 1928, 1937 Miklaszewski, J. (1928). Lasy i leśnictwo w Polsce [Forests and Forestry in Poland]. Warszawa. Mały Rocznik Statystyczny (1939) Mały Rocznik Statystyczny [Small Statistical Yearbook]. Warszawa. National report 1941, 1946, 1949, 1958, 1966, 1973, 1978 Vakulyuk, P.G. (1981). Forest area change in Ukraine. GOSLESHOZ USSR, Institute for the Improvement of the Qualification of Managers National statistics Ukraine (state level) 6 and Specialists in the Forestry Sector, 11p. USSR (state level) National report 1983, 1988, 1993, 1996 Vakulyuk, P.G. (2000). Essays on history of forests of Ukraine. (Narisi z istorii lisiv Ukraini). Polifast, 624 p. National statistics 2003, 2009 UKRTSTAT (2010) Forest Cover in Ukraine Statistics and Forest Census 1927, 1940, 1944, 1949, 1958, 1966, 1973, 1978, 1983, 1988 Rylsky, L. A. (2000). Creation of animated maps of forestness dynamics and sown agricultural areas of European Russia for the last 300 years. (Postrojenie animatsionnih kart dinamiki lesistosti i raspahannosti Evropeiskoi chasti Rossii za poslednie 300 let). Moscow State University, Moscow. 7 Fig. S2: Interpolated forest trajectories per administrative unit Brest (Belarus) 100 Homyel (Belarus) 100 1940 Hrodna (Belarus) 100 1933 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1700 1800 1900 2000 0 1700 Mahilyow (Belarus) 100 1800 1900 2000 1700 Minsk (Belarus) 100 1936 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 1800 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 Arkhangelsk (Russia) 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1800 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 Belgorod (Russia) 100 1897 1932 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 1987 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 Ivanovo (Russia) 100 1800 1900 2000 Kabardino-Balkaria (Russia) 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 Kaliningrad (Russia) 75 1800 1932 1700 100 1700 2000 0 1700 100 1984 1900 Dagestan (Russia) 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 2000 1899 Chuvashia (Russia) 100 1950 1900 0 1700 Chechnya and Ingushetia (Russia) 100 2000 Bryansk (Russia) 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 1900 0 1700 Bashkortostan (Russia) 100 1800 Astrakhan (Russia) 100 1700 1943 1700 100 1976 2000 0 1700 Karelia (Russia) 100 1900 Vitsyebsk (Belarus) 75 1700 1800 100 1936 75 0 1930 0 1700 1800 1900 8 2000 1700 1800 1900 2000 Fig. S2, cont. Kalmykia (Russia) Kaluga (Russia) Kirov (Russia) 100 100 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1700 1800 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 Kostroma (Russia) 100 1945 1934 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 Leningrad (Russia) 100 1939 1930 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 Mordovia (Russia) 100 1892 1917 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 1800 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 Neneckij (Russia) 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 1700 1800 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 Novgorod (Russia) 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 100 1933 0 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 Orel (Russia) 100 1800 2000 0 1700 North Ossetia (Russia) 1700 1900 1911 100 0 1800 Nizhny Novgorod (Russia) 100 0 1904 1700 100 1969 2000 0 1700 Murmansk (Russia) 100 1900 Moscow (Russia) 75 1700 1800 100 75 0 2000 0 1700 Mari El (Russia) 100 1900 Lipeck (Russia) 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 2000 0 1700 Kursk (Russia) 100 1900 Krasnodar (Russia) 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 1930 0 1700 Komi (Russia) 100 100 1918 1946 0 1700 1800 1900 9 2000 1700 1800 1900 2000 Fig. S2, cont. Orenburg (Russia) Penza (Russia) Perm (Russia) 100 100 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 100 1922 0 1700 1800 1900 2000 0 1700 Pskov (Russia) 100 1800 1900 2000 1700 Rostov (Russia) 100 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1800 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 100 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 Stavropol (Russia) 1800 1900 2000 Tambov (Russia) 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 2000 100 1965 1800 1900 2000 1700 1921 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1897 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1900 2000 Volgograd (Russia) 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 1936 1700 Vladimir (Russia) 100 1927 2000 0 1700 Ulyanovsk (Russia) 100 1900 Udmurtia (Russia) 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 2000 1975 Tver (Russia) 100 1914 1900 0 1700 Tula (Russia) 100 1800 Tatarstan (Russia) 75 1900 1933 1700 100 1800 2000 0 1700 100 1700 1900 Smolensk (Russia) 75 1800 1800 100 1972 75 1700 2000 1893 Saratov (Russia) 1987 1900 0 1700 Samara (Russia) 100 1800 Ryazan (Russia) 100 1926 1700 1930 0 1700 1800 1900 10 2000 1700 1800 1900 2000 Fig. S2, cont. Vologda (Russia) 100 Voronezh (Russia) 100 1941 Yaroslavl (Russia) 100 1943 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1700 1800 1900 2000 0 1700 Cherkasy (Ukraine) 100 1800 1900 2000 1700 Chernihiv (Ukraine) 100 1941 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 1800 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 1800 1900 2000 Ivano-Frankivsk (Ukraine) 1800 1900 2000 Kharkiv (Ukraine) 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 2000 1800 1900 2000 1925 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 1956 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1900 2000 Mykolayiv (Ukraine) 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 1892 1700 Lviv (Ukraine) 100 1933 2000 0 1700 Luhansk (Ukraine) 100 1900 Kirovohrad (Ukraine) 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 1947 1700 Kiev (Ukraine) 100 1956 2000 0 1700 Khmelnitsky (Ukraine) 100 1900 100 1911 0 1900 1800 Kherson (Ukraine) 75 1800 1940 1700 100 1700 2000 0 1700 100 0 1900 Donetsk (Ukraine) 75 0 1800 100 1863 75 1700 1898 Dnipropetrovsk (Ukraine) 100 1886 2000 0 1700 Krym (Ukraine) 100 1900 Chernivtsi (Ukraine) 75 1700 1800 100 1934 75 0 1926 1944 0 1700 1800 1900 11 2000 1700 1800 1900 2000 Fig. S2, cont. Odessa (Ukraine) 100 Poltava (Ukraine) 100 1946 Rivne (Ukraine) 100 1917 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1700 1800 1900 2000 0 1700 Sevastopol (Ukraine) 100 1800 1900 2000 1700 Sumy (Ukraine) 100 1894 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 1800 1900 2000 1800 1900 2000 Vinnytsia (Ukraine) 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1900 2000 Zhytomyr (Ukraine) 1920 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 2000 Armenia 1800 1900 2000 Azerbaijan 75 75 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 2000 1800 1900 2000 1700 1922 75 50 50 50 25 25 25 0 0 1900 2000 1900 2000 Latvia 75 1800 1800 100 75 1700 2000 1915 Lithuania 100 1920 1900 0 1700 Estonia 100 1800 Moldova 100 1900 1940 1700 100 1800 2000 0 1700 100 1700 1900 Georgia 75 1900 1800 100 75 1800 2000 1947 1700 75 1700 1900 0 1800 100 1958 100 1934 1700 Zaporizhia (Ukraine) 100 1800 Volyn (Ukraine) 100 1800 1959 1700 100 1700 2000 0 1700 Zakarpattya (Ukraine) 1900 Ternopil (Ukraine) 75 1700 1800 100 1904 75 0 1920 1922 0 1700 1800 1900 12 2000 1700 1800 1900 2000 Fig. S3: Forest trajectories at the country-level as well as distribution of forest transitions at the state (i.e. oblast) level (circles on top). To calculate national forest trajectories, only states inside the study region (Fig. S1) were considered (excluding the Caucasus due to data gaps). 13 Fig. S4: Total carbon stored in vegetation and soils on unmanaged land and on former agricultural land for our land-use scenarios as well as the KK11 and HYDE 3.1 scenarios. 14 Fig. S5: Total (vegetation and soil) carbon stocks based on our land-use reconstruction for 1800, 1900, 1950, and 2010 (top row) as well as differences to KK11 (middle row) and HYDE 3.1 (bottom row). 15 Fig. S6: Forest area statistics used for our reconstruction for the year 2009 compared with forest area derived via remote sensing (GlobCover 2009, based on MERIS images). The GlobCover forest area includes the classes ‘Closed to open (broadleaved or needleleaved, evergreen or deciduous) shrubland’, ‘Closed broadleaved deciduous forest’, ‘Open broadleaved deciduous forest/woodland’, ‘Closed needleleaved evergreen forest’, ’Open needleleaved deciduous or evergreen forest’, ‘Closed to open mixed broadleaved and needleleaved forest’, ‘Mosaic forest or shrubland / grassland’, ‘Mosaic grassland / forest or shrubland ’ and ‘Closed broadleaved forest or shrubland permanently flooded’. 16