MEAD4RAN To perform Mead’s randomization test upon a 4*4 grid of spatial count data. Mead’s randomization test is designed to test the null hypothesis of CSR (Complete Spatial Randomness). Calling statement mead4ran m1 ; nran k1 (999) ; qstatistics c1. Input A 4*4 matrix of quadrat counts, which may not contain any missing values. The ordering of the counts in the matrix should be the same as the spatial ordering in the experiment or study, and the results obtained will be dependent upon this ordering. Subcommands qstatistics Specify a column in which to store simulated Q-statistics. Output Observed Q-statistic Associated one-sided and two-sided randomization p-values References MANLY, F.J. (1997) Randomization, bootstrap and Monte Carlo methods in biology, Chapman and Hall, London (Chapter 10). Standard procedure : None Null hypotheses : Assume that the quadrats are labelled as follows : 1 3 9 11 2 4 10 12 5 7 13 15 6 8 14 16 The null hypothesis is that the division of the quadrats into blocks of 4 [(1) = 1,2,3,4 ; (2) = 5,6,7,8 ; (3) = 9,10,11,12 ; (4) = 13,14,15,16] is random. If the data exhibit Complete Spatial Randomness (CSR), then this division will be random, so the null hypothesis can also be viewed as CSR. Alternative hypotheses : Clustering or regularity at an appropriate scale, resulting in a non-random division of the quadrats into blocks. Test-statistic : Assume that the data are as follows, so that Ti represents the quadrat count in the ith quadrat. T1 T2 T5 T6 T3 T4 T7 T8 T9 T10 T13 T14 T11 T12 T15 T16 We use the test-statistic Q = BSS / TSS, where TSS is the variance of the 16 counts in the 4*4 grid, and BSS is the variance for the 4 counts (in the 2*2 grid formed by aggregating counts as follows : AC1 = T1 + T2 + T3 + T4 AC3 = T9 + T10 + T11 + T12 Definition BSS T1 T2 T3 T4 2 2 n 2 TSS Ti 16T . i 1 AC2 = T5 + T6 + T7 + T8 AC4 = T13 + T14 10 + T15 + T16 13 14 11 2 2 2 2 T5 T6 T7 T8 T9 T12 10 T11 T12 T13 T14 T15 T16 16T , 15 4 16 Q lies between 0 and 1. In general, unusually large values of Q imply clustering, whilst unusually small values of Q imply some form of regularity. However, it should be noted that the test is only capable of detecting regularity or clustering at a particular spatial scale (the scale reflected by blocks of size 4). Mead's randomization test can either be applied to data which naturally arise as a 4*4 grid of counts, or (more commonly) by placing a 4*4 grid over a region in which locations of points are recorded, and counting the number of points within each section of the grid. Randomization procedure : We randomize the allocation of counts to cells within the grid, since under the null hypothesis of complete spatial randomness this allocation should occur at random. WORKED EXAMPLE FOR MEAD4RAN Name of dataset SAPLING1 Description The raw data describes the position of 71 Swedish pine saplings in a 10 x 10m square. In this dataset, we divide the region in 16 squares (each 2.5m x 2.5m), and count the number of saplings within each square. Source MANLY, F.J. (1997) Randomization, bootstrap and Monte Carlo methods in biology, Chapman and Hall, London. Data Number of observations = 16 Number of variables = 1 Counts within the 4*4 grid are shown. 6 4 3 2 2 6 4 3 5 4 5 4 4 6 6 7 Worksheet M1 Matrix of counts Aim of analysis To test whether the distribution of pine saplings is random. 2 Randomization procedure MTB > Retrieve "N:\resampling\Examples\Sapling1.MTW". Retrieving worksheet from file: N:\resampling\Examples\Sapling1.MTW # Worksheet was saved on 09/08/01 09:13:12 Results for: Sapling1.MTW MTB > print m1 Data Display Matrix M1 6 4 3 2 2 6 4 3 5 4 5 4 4 6 6 7 MTB > % N:\resampling\library\mead4ran m1 ; SUBC> nran 999 ; SUBC> qstatistics c1. Executing from file: N:\resampling\library\mead4ran.MAC Mead's randomization test for a 4*4 grid Data Display (WRITE) Observed Q-statistic 0.3886 One-sided randomization p-value, H1: regularity One-sided randomization p-value, H1: clustering Two-sided randomization p-value 0.2100 0.9010 0.1050 * NOTE * For further details, see MANLY, F.J. (1997) Randomization, bootstrap and Monte Carlo methods in biology, Chapman and Hall, London. Modified worksheet C1 A column containing 999 Q-statistics, one for each simulated dataset Discussion There is slight evidence of clustering (we obtain a one-sided p-value of 0.105; Manly (1997) obtains 0.111), but this cannot be regarded as statistically significant. Mead's test therefore provides no real evidence against randomness at this scale (this qualification is important - the test is scale-dependent). 3