Journal of Biogeography SUPPORTING INFORMATION Origin and history of the Dahomey Gap separating West and Central African rain forests: insights from the phylogeography of the legume tree Distemonanthus benthamianus Boris B. DEMENOU, Rosalía PIÑEIRO and Olivier J. HARDY Appendix S1. Microsatellite amplification protocol and primers details. Appendix S2. Summary statistics of ABC tests; PP and Posterior value computation. Appendix S3. Demographic analyses of nSSR data of Distemonanthus benthamianus, Posterior probability, Posterior distributions of demographic parameters, Bias and Confidence in parameter estimates obtained with first priors and second priors on effective population sizes. 1 Journal of Biogeography Appendix S1. Microsatellite amplification protocol and primers details. Amplification was optimized in three multiplex reactions (Abis, Bbis and Cbis) (Debout et al. 2011, modified in this study, see Table S1) with a total reaction volume of 18 μL, 10 μL and 18 μL, respectively. PCRs included 2 µL of template DNA (10–100 ng), 10 µL (Abis, Cbis) or 5µL (Bbis) of Qi Multiplex (QI multiplex contains HotStarTaq DNA Polymerase, QIAGEN Multiplex PCR Buffer with 6 mM MgCl2, and dNTP Mix); 2 µL (Abis, Bbis) or 4 µL (Cbis) of primer Mix (0,4 µL of each primer (10 µM)) and 4 µL (Abis), 1µL (Bbis) and 2 µL (Cbis) of H2O. The forward primer at the 5’ end, was labelled with 6-FAM, NED, VIC, and PET. The cycling profile for PCR included an initial step of 15 min at 95°C followed by 30 cycles of 30 s at 94°C, 90 s at 62°C-0.3°C/cycle and 30 s at 72°C, followed again by 5 cycles of 30 s at 94°C, 90 s at 53° and 30 s at 72°C, followed by a final incubation at 72 °C for 10 min. PCR products were run on an ABI 3730 (Applied Biosystems, Lennik, Netherlands) with 12 μL HiDi and 0.3 μL of 500 LIZ mixed with 1 µL of PCR products. The resulting electropherograms were automatically scored with Genemapper 3.7 (Applied Biosystems) by creating panels and bin sets defining all allele sizes in a locus, and subsequently manually corrected. References: Debout, G. D., Doucet, J-L. & Hardy, O.J. (2011) "Population history and gene dispersal inferred from spatial genetic structure of a Central African timber tree, Distemonanthus benthamianus (Caesalpinioideae)." Heredity, 106, 88-99. 2 Journal of Biogeography Table S1: Primer sequences, annealing temperatures and polymorphism statistics for 11 microsatellite loci in the five gene pools of Distemonanthus benthamianus. Repeat motif is listed 5' to 3' with respect to the forward primer (F), Ta: lower annealing temperature, Natot: total number of allele size variants. Locus (multiplex) dis054 a dis92 a dis125 a dis127 a dis138 a dis112 b dis130 b dis069 c dis103 c dis116 c dis140 c Gen Bank accession Nos FJ654554 KT763468 * FJ654559 FJ654561 FJ654562 KT763469 * KT763470 * FJ654555 FJ654557 FJ654558 FJ654563 Primer sequence (5' to 3') F 3: TATTCTTGGAATTAAACGGC R: TTATTGATCTGCCTTTTTCC F4: ACCTAACCCGTGGAATGAAG R: GCTCGTCCTCTTCTGGTCC F 3: GCCAGTCACAGAGGGGTAAT R: AGGAAAACATTTATTTGGGCT F4: AAATGCCCTTATGTCTTGCC R: GAAGATTGAGGCATTTGTTGG F2: AAGTCAGTTGACCCTGTAGG R: ATGACTAATCTGTTGGTGGG F4: CCTTTTCCTCTGCTATTCTC R: GAAACATTACAGGGATGGC F 3: CTTATTTGGAGAGAGAGGAG R: CACAAAATCTAAGGTGAGC F1: GAGCAGATAAACATTAGCAG R: GTATTTGGTAGGATTTCTGG F2: CAGAGATAAGAAAAGAATAAGC R: AATGAAGTTGGCTGTTTTAC F4: GTGTTGGAGCAGAGCGGTG R: GCAAGGCAGTGACACGACTC F4: TATTTGTGTCTTTTCTTTGC R: TATTTGGGTGAGTGTTTTG Repeat motif in library Ta (°C) Na tot 51.9 8 259-271 8[GT]-11n-3[AT]-5n4[AT] 56.3 8 206-232 (TG)6(AG)8 55.1 5 154-162 50 13 241-269 (TA)4(CA)2(CCCA)3(CA) 6-TA(TACA)7(CA)6(TA)4 51.9 12 156-198 4[CA]-20bp-4[TA]25bp-8[TC]5[AC] 50.7 5 188-198 18[GA]-6n-3[GA] 47.2 17 200-240 (AC)11(GT)2-ATGTAT 46.9 14 165-195 (TC)2 46.9 25 222-283 (CA)20 50 16 274-301 49.2 15 137-173 (TC)2-ACTC(TCCC)3(TC)7(CA)8(TA) Size range (bp) 3 (CA)13 (TG)9 (TA)2 5' fluorochrome labels. 1: PETTM, 2: HEXTM, 3: NEDTM, 4: 6FAMTM. a: multiplex 1, b: multiplex 2, c: multiplex 3, * Additional loci described in this study. 3 Journal of Biogeography Table S2: Primer sequences, annealing temperatures and polymorphism statistics for 11 microsatellite loci in five gene pools of Distemonanthus benthamianus. n: number of gene copies analysed (twice the number of individuals). Na: number of allele size variants. HO: observed proportion of heterozygous individuals. HE: expected heterozygosity. Null: estimated proportion of null alleles according to software INest. Gene pool wLG n Na dis054 140 5 dis92 140 6 dis125 140 5 dis127 140 8 dis138 140 10 dis112 140 4 dis130 140 13 dis069 140 12 dis103 140 20 dis116 132 14 dis140 140 9 Ho/He 0.357 / 0.312 0.743 / 0.728 0.371 / 0.367 0.657 / 0.762 0.571 / 0.678 0.571 / 0.630 0.386 / 0.883 0.614 / 0.767 0.814/ 0.903 0.636 / 0.785 0.657 / 0.760 Gene Pool nLG Null n Na 0 190 3 0 192 6 0.012 192 4 0.053 192 10 0.019 192 10 0.044 190 4 0.288 190 10 0.073 192 10 0.029 190 12 0.071 180 12 0.046 190 8 Ho/He 0.158/ 0.165 0.552 / 0.613 0.208 / 0.238 0.833 / 0.799 0.896 / 0.812 0.663 / 0.661 0.379 / 0.774 0.781 / 0.803 0.874 / 0.849 0.744 / 0.773 0.800 / 0.830 Gene pool sLG Null n Na 0.011 152 5 0.015 154 4 0.036 154 4 0.004 154 6 0.005 154 9 0 154 4 0.213 152 12 0 154 5 0.013 154 17 0.016 132 13 0.006 154 6 Ho/He 0.223 / 0.240 0.584 / 0.658 0.104 / 0.101 0.533 / 0.541 0.753 / 0.700 0.636 / 0.657 0.303 / 0.839 0.156 / 0.149 0.805 / 0.847 0.727 / 0.743 0.546 / 0.555 Gene pool DG Null n Na 0.013 62 3 0.041 66 3 0 66 3 0.015 66 5 0 66 3 0.007 66 3 0.366 66 4 0 66 5 0.003 64 4 0.015 60 5 0.007 62 5 Ho/He 0.387/ 0.533 0.303 / 0.492 0.485 / 0.475 0.818 / 0.702 0.424 / 0.491 0.455 / 0.523 0.091 / 0.346 0.303 / 0,721 0.656 / 0.716 0.233 / 0.584 0.387 / 0.537 Gene pool UG Null n Na 0.097 116 6 0.142 116 3 0 116 3 0 116 8 0.005 116 5 0.062 116 2 0.252 114 9 0.232 116 7 0.029 108 3 0.225 100 11 0.113 112 12 Ho/He 0.328 / 0.426 0.431 / 0.576 0.293 / 0.383 0.638 / 0.690 0.483 / 0.529 0.018 / 0.018 0.368 / 0.799 0.379 / 0.618 0.296 / 0.294 0.440 / 0.683 0.500 / 0.735 wLG, western Lower Guinea; nLG, northern Lower Guinea; sLG, southern Lower Guinea; DG, Dahomey Gap; UG, Upper Guinea 4 Journal of Biogeography Null 0.005 0.008 0 0 0 0 0.165 0.028 0 0.031 0.033 Appendix S2. Summary statistics and parameters settings of approximate Bayesian computation tests Summary statistics used for ABC tests For each gene pool: mean number of alleles, mean gene diversity (Nei 1987), mean allele size variance, and mean M index (Excoffier et al., 2005) across loci. For two sample statistics, we added FST (Weir & Cockerham, 1984), the pairwise (δμ)2 (Goldstein et al., 1995), the mean index of classification (two samples) (Rannala & Moutain, 1997; Pascual et al., 2007), and the shared allele distance (Chakraborty & Jin, 1993). As prior for the microsatellite mutation model we used the default values provided by DIYABC 2.0.4: the mean microsatellite mutation rate across loci was specified as Mean μ∼ Log [10-5–10-3]. Posterior probability and posterior value computation The most- likely scenario was evaluated by comparing posterior probabilities using logistic regression, with a 1% subset of the closest simulated data. The goodness of fit of the scenario was assessed by the option ‘‘model checking’’ with principal component analysis (PCA) in DIYABC, which measures the discrepancy between model and real data. Confidence in the most likely scenario choice and accuracy of parameter estimates were evaluated by generating 500 simulated data sets (pseudoobserved datasets) based on known parameter values (‘true values’) under a given scenario. The posterior distribution of demographic parameters was estimated from the 1% best simulated data sets using local linear regression and a logit transformation of parameters. Confidence in parameter estimates was evaluated by 5 Journal of Biogeography comparing the posterior distribution of parameters from these pseudo-observed datasets with the true values using the average relative mean bias (the difference between the estimated and the true value divided by the true value, averaged over simulations), and the ‘factor 2’ (the proportion of estimated values falling within the interval between 50% and 200% of the ‘true’ value). References: Chakraborty, R. & Jin, L. (1993) A unified approach to study hypervariable polymorphisms: statistical considerations of determining relatedness and population distances. EXS. 67, 153-175. Nei, M. (1987) Molecular Evolutionary Genetics. Columbia University Press, New York, 512 pp. Excoffier, L., Estoup A. & Cornuet, J.M. (2005) Bayesian analysis of an admixture model with mutations and arbitrarily linked markers. Genetics 169, 1727-1738. Goldstein, D.B., Linares, A.R., Cavalli-Sforza, L.L. & Feldman, M.W. (1995) An evaluation of genetic distances for use with microsatellite loci. Genetics 139, 463-471. Pascual, M., Chapuis, M.P., Mestres, F., Balanya ́, J., Huey, R.B., Gilchrist, G.W., Serra, L. & Estoup, A. (2007) Introduction history of Drosophila subobscura in the New World : a microsatellite based survey using ABC methods. Mol. Ecol., 16, 3069-3083. Rannala, B., & Mountain, J. L. (1997) Detecting immigration by using multilocus genotypes. Pro. Nat. Acad. Sci. USA 94, 9197-9201. Weir,B.S. & Cockerham, C.C. (1984) Estimating F-statistics for the analysis of population structure. Evolution 38: 1358-1370. 6 Journal of Biogeography Appendix S3. Demographic analyses of nSSR data of Distemonanthus benthamianus, Posterior probability, Posterior distributions of demographic parameters, Bias and Confidence in parameter estimates. Table S3: Tests with first priors (Ne: 1,000 to 50,000 and Nx :10 – 500) on four models (A) DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODEL: Decline, bottleneck and/or expansion from the Pleistocene (1 Ma-1 yr BP) to the present; (B) NARROW TIME MODELS: decline, bottleneck and/or expansion during/after the Pleistocene (1 Ma-1 yr BP) to the present; (C) ORIGIN MODELS: from UG, LG or Admixture and (D) ADMIXTURE MODELS: Pre-PGP (1 Ma-190 ka), Last interglacial (LIG, 130-115 ka) or African Holocene humid period (AHP, 10–4 ka)admixture with small size or big size following by reduction of size. UG, Upper Guinea; LG, Lower Guinea; PGP, penultimate glacial period, DG, Dahomey Gap. Table S3-A. DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODEL GENE POOL : Western LG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 999485 Number of selected data sets : 9994 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 29000 28500 6890 8840 18800 39600 48000 t0 2650 2050 1140 312 482 1180 3620 6870 N1 306 320 484 51 78 210 416 484 t1 4290 3880 2650 680 1020 2410 5880 8970 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 0.0002 0.0001 0.0002 0.0003 0.0008 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2260 0.2350 0.3000 0.1130 0.1230 0.1840 0.2740 0.2980 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 49000 7780 492 9460 0.0010 0.3000 0.0000 Mean Bias 0.291 1.015 0.934 0.178 0.304 0.08 12.132 Factor 2 0.864 0.778 0.754 0.906 0.788 0.998 0.336 7 Journal of Biogeography GENE POOL : Northern LG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 999957 Number of selected data sets : 9999 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 12900 9070 3580 1900 2360 4850 17500 36800 t0 3310 2840 1750 321 565 1580 4710 7600 N1 302 318 485 42 69 200 415 484 t1 5330 5290 5480 849 1340 3390 7300 9380 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0003 0.0008 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2240 0.2330 0.3000 0.1130 0.1230 0.1830 0.2710 0.2970 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 42600 8280 492 9690 0.0010 0.3000 0.0000 Mean Bias 0.364 0.666 0.786 0.225 0.325 0.105 11.477 Factor 2 0.822 0.77 0.744 0.908 0.816 0.99 0.34 GENE POOL : Southern LG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 1000831 Number of selected data sets : 10008 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 28600 29100 40300 5680 7690 18400 39300 47600 t0 1620 1090 528 140 204 565 2180 4930 N1 298 314 481 39 62 194 412 483 t1 3890 3320 1800 559 772 1870 5500 8810 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0004 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 0.0007 0.0009 pmic_1 0.2250 0.2340 0.3000 0.1150 0.1250 0.1860 0.2700 0.2950 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 48800 5980 492 9450 0.0010 0.2990 0.0000 Mean Bias Factor 2 0.469 0.553 0.776 0.25 0.303 0.089 11.302 0.822 0.782 0.728 0.912 0.842 0.998 0.312 GENE POOL : DG Chosen scenario(s) : 2 Number of simulated data sets : 999277 Number of selected data sets : 9992 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------N1 391 408 494 192 232 341 457 492 t1 1810 1080 372 87 143 484 2310 6510 Ne 16300 12100 2350 1630 2040 5530 24700 43000 µmic_1 0.0006 0.0006 0.0007 0.0002 0.0002 0.0004 0.0008 0.0009 pmic_1 0.2130 0.2180 0.3000 0.1090 0.1150 0.1670 0.2630 0.2930 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 496 8030 46300 0.0010 0.2980 0.0000 Mean Bias Factor 2 0.345 0.614 1.064 0.344 0.109 22.231 0.834 0.802 0.782 0.802 0.996 0.206 8 Journal of Biogeography GENE POOL : UG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 999634 Number of selected data sets : 9996 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 18600 15300 8380 3540 4250 8810 26300 43700 t0 1850 1370 1050 246 335 806 2520 4880 N1 282 295 399 28 45 170 399 478 t1 6140 6240 8480 1860 2270 4250 8130 9610 µmic_1 0.0004 0.0004 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 0.0006 0.0009 pmic_1 0.2100 0.2120 0.2740 0.1110 0.1190 0.1670 0.2560 0.2910 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 46900 5650 490 9820 0.0010 0.2960 0.0000 Mean Bias Factor 2 0.489 1.072 0.865 0.188 0.317 0.059 14.100 0.770 0.778 0.746 0.922 0.782 0.996 0.306 Table S3-B. NARROW TIME MODELS GENE POOL : Western LG Chosen scenario(s) : 3 Number of simulated data sets : 999597 Number of selected data sets : 9995 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 26700 25800 20300 7580 9140 17000 35900 46600 t5 1250 1250 1220 1200 1210 1220 1270 1300 N1 242 226 168 60 77 147 330 454 t4 1690 1700 1850 1420 1440 1580 1810 1880 µmic_1 0.0006 0.0006 0.0010 0.0002 0.0002 0.0004 0.0008 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2150 0.2210 0.3000 0.1090 0.1160 0.1680 0.2650 0.2960 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 Mean Bias Factor 2 48200 1300 477 1890 0.0010 0.3000 0.0000 0.285 -0.000 0.386 0.006 0.208 0.059 14.827 0.854 1.000 0.848 1.000 0.888 0.998 0.274 9 Journal of Biogeography GENE POOL : Northern LG Chosen scenario(s) : 3 Number of simulated data sets : 999192 Number of selected data sets : 9991 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 13300 9680 6520 2370 2860 5580 17800 36600 t5 1250 1250 1270 1200 1210 1230 1270 1290 N1 298 300 333 84 108 206 392 477 t4 1640 1630 1560 1410 1420 1520 1750 1870 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 0.0003 0.0001 0.0001 0.0003 0.0008 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2070 0.2090 0.3000 0.1060 0.1130 0.1580 0.2580 0.2930 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 Mean Bias Factor 2 42100 1300 488 1880 0.0010 0.2980 0.0000 0.275 0.000 0.298 0.003 0.228 0.130 13.591 0.826 1.000 0.842 1.000 0.886 0.992 0.276 q975 Mean Bias Factor 2 48600 1300 443 1890 0.0009 0.2990 0.0000 0.305 0.000 0.340 0.003 0.210 0.102 12.794 0.826 1.000 0.846 1.000 0.888 0.996 0.254 GENE POOL : Southern LG Chosen scenario(s) : 3 Number of simulated data sets : 999274 Number of selected data sets : 9992 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 27100 26800 18500 6860 8670 17600 36500 47000 t5 1250 1250 1200 1200 1200 1220 1270 1290 N1 186 164 100 38 49 101 251 403 t4 1690 1710 1870 1430 1450 1580 1810 1880 µmic_1 0.0004 0.0003 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 0.0005 0.0008 pmic_1 0.2160 0.2210 0.3000 0.1100 0.1180 0.1700 0.2650 0.2950 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 10 Journal of Biogeography GENE POOL : DG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 1001089 Number of selected data sets : 10010 Mean Bias Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------N1 391 399 446 243 264 342 449 489 495 0.066 t6 393 367 250 207 215 277 492 647 674 0.059 Ne 8770 6400 3660 1780 2150 3950 10900 24300 30300 0.472 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.001 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 2 1 1 3 7 9 0 0.278 0.121 0.104 0.109 0.146 0.247 0.291 0.296 pmic_1 0.1960 0.1930 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0.118 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 18.560 Factor 2 0.958 0.984 0.786 0.822 0.994 0.190 GENE POOL : UG Chosen scenario(s) : 3 Number of simulated data sets : 998855 Number of selected data sets : 9988 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 16000 12800 6250 3050 3760 7480 21600 39800 t5 1250 1250 1210 1200 1200 1220 1270 1290 N1 115 94 53 16 21 52 155 285 t4 1690 1710 1860 1430 1450 1590 1810 1880 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0004 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002 0.0003 0.0006 0.0009 pmic_1 0.1940 0.1920 0.1420 0.1050 0.1100 0.1460 0.2410 0.2870 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 Mean Bias Factor 2 44200 1300 350 1890 0.0009 0.2930 0.0000 0.264 0.001 0.395 0.010 0.226 0.106 14.778 0.842 1.000 0.826 1.000 0.890 0.992 0.250 11 Journal of Biogeography Table S3-C. ORIGIN MODELS Chosen scenario(s) : 6 Number of simulated data sets : 999044 Number of selected data sets : 9990 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------N1 26300 25400 22800 8350 10200 18400 33800 45100 N2 345 362 492 105 142 271 437 487 N3 7710 5590 3320 1890 2180 3690 8880 21700 t0 142 110 98 21 28 71 162 388 r 0.34 0.29 0.04 0.02 0.03 0.14 0.50 0.85 t1 4980 4730 3510 1320 1660 3240 6640 9010 Ne 4640 3580 1650 1130 1250 2170 5900 11700 µmic_1 0.0002 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0003 0.0006 pmic_1 0.2080 0.2100 0.3000 0.1090 0.1160 0.1590 0.2580 0.2940 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q975 47400 493 29300 492 0.92 9470 14200 0.0007 0.3000 0.0000 Mean Bias Factor 2 0.116 0.101 0.108 0.398 0.968 0.888 0.964 0.800 0.158 0.168 0.272 0.057 6888 0.928 0.882 0.864 0.998 0.364 Table S3-D. ADMIXTURE MODELS Chosen scenario(s) : 6 Number of simulated data sets : 999633 Number of selected data sets : 9996 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------N1 33100 33700 31500 12900 15700 25400 41600 N2 200 190 169 77 88 142 242 N3 23100 21700 15600 4420 5870 13300 31800 tad6 74 75 95 43 45 60 88 r 0.3140 0.2940 0.2630 0.0513 0.0798 0.2000 0.4010 ted36 1230 1230 1250 1150 1160 1190 1260 Ne1 24600 24000 3990 2180 3230 12100 36900 Ne3 21700 20100 1080 1380 1910 8460 33700 tbd36 1650 1650 1710 1410 1430 1530 1770 Ne2 23200 21200 12300 3420 4770 11900 33700 Ne5 5020 2280 1260 1060 1110 1480 4650 ts 5440 5210 4480 1980 2320 3730 7050 Ne 5800 4660 2710 1180 1350 2740 7590 µmic_1 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 pmic_1 0.2180 0.2250 0.3000 0.1120 0.1200 0.1720 0.2670 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 q950 48300 359 45100 98 0.6210 1290 47400 46600 1870 46600 20400 9210 14000 0.0004 0.2980 0.0000 q975 49200 412 47500 99 0.7220 1300 48700 48300 1890 48300 29500 9610 16600 0.0005 0.3000 0.0000 12 Journal of Biogeography Table S4: Tests with second set of priors (Ne: 10 to 10,000 and Nx :10 – 2,000) on two models (A) DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODEL: Decline. bottleneck and/or expansion from the Pleistocene (1 Ma-1 yr BP) to the present; (B) NARROW TIME MODELS: decline. bottleneck and/or expansion during/after the Pleistocene (1 Ma-1 yr BP) to the present. UG, Upper Guinea; LG, Lower Guinea; DG, Dahomey Gap. Table S4-A. DEMOGRAPHIC EVENT MODEL GENE POOL : Western LG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 998808 Number of selected data sets : 9988 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 7530 7610 9720 4450 4890 6400 8820 9760 9890 t0 2310 1610 188 69 130 639 3410 6810 7740 N1 1180 1220 1500 180 290 790 1600 1920 1960 t1 4930 4690 2360 623 925 2610 7230 9390 9700 µmic_1 0.0006 0.0006 0.0010 0.0002 0.0003 0.0005 0.0008 0.0010 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2440 0.2560 0.3000 0.1260 0.1430 0.2140 0.2840 0.3000 0.3000 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 GENE POOL : Northern LG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 999021 Number of selected data sets : 9990 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 5530 5130 4400 2180 2480 3800 7230 9450 9720 t0 2890 2270 19 47 108 816 4540 7620 8330 N1 1190 1240 1460 179 294 807 1620 1920 1960 t1 5760 5880 8800 862 1350 3630 8070 9650 9830 µmic_1 0.0006 0.0006 0.0004 0.0001 0.0002 0.0004 0.0008 0.0010 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2320 0.2420 0.3000 0.1180 0.1320 0.1990 0.2750 0.2970 0.3000 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 13 Journal of Biogeography GENE POOL : Southern LG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 1000098 Number of selected data sets : 10000 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 7660 7870 9900 4300 4750 6450 9090 9830 9920 t0 1330 706 89 26 46 248 1810 4830 6090 N1 864 785 412 78 135 439 1250 1820 1900 t1 4600 4210 2140 620 885 2280 6740 9300 9640 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 0.0003 0.0001 0.0002 0.0003 0.0007 0.0009 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2440 0.2560 0.3000 0.1260 0.1450 0.2140 0.2840 0.3000 0.3000 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 GENE POOL : DG Chosen scenario(s) : 2 Number of simulated data sets : 1000940 Number of selected data sets : 10009 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------N1 906 811 634 313 371 582 1170 1750 1870 t1 2950 2100 702 223 336 1040 4240 8340 9130 Ne 5870 6060 8740 924 1450 3870 8040 9620 9800 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 0.0003 0.0001 0.0002 0.0003 0.0007 0.0009 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2120 0.2180 0.2630 0.1080 0.1170 0.1690 0.2600 0.2920 0.2960 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 GENE POOL : UG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 1000819 Number of selected data sets : 10008 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 6790 6970 9550 2830 3280 5200 8530 9710 9850 t0 1510 1100 372 115 173 575 1990 4370 5470 N1 519 410 164 30 51 201 716 1410 1640 t1 6350 6530 9700 1880 2370 4560 8330 9680 9840 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 0.0003 0.0001 0.0002 0.0003 0.0007 0.0009 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2200 0.2270 0.3000 0.1130 0.1230 0.1790 0.2670 0.2960 0.3000 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 14 Journal of Biogeography Table S4-B. NARROW TIME MODELS GENE POOL : Western LG Chosen scenario(s) : 3 Number of simulated data sets : 999741 Number of selected data sets : 9997 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 7530 7630 7170 4400 4860 6360 8840 9780 9880 t5 1250 1250 1210 1200 1200 1220 1270 1290 1300 N1 632 477 214 79 102 237 907 1680 1840 t4 1680 1700 1890 1420 1440 1570 1810 1880 1890 µmic_1 0.0007 0.0007 0.0010 0.0002 0.0003 0.0005 0.0008 0.0010 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2380 0.2480 0.3000 0.1220 0.1370 0.2060 0.2800 0.3000 0.3000 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 GENE POOL : Northern LG Chosen scenario(s) : 3 Number of simulated data sets : 998768 Number of selected data sets : 9987 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 5680 5360 4090 2360 2660 3960 7360 9440 9690 t5 1250 1250 1200 1200 1200 1220 1270 1290 1300 N1 834 735 388 125 163 398 1220 1800 1900 t4 1660 1670 1790 1420 1430 1540 1790 1880 1890 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 0.0003 0.0002 0.0002 0.0003 0.0007 0.0010 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2270 0.2360 0.3000 0.1150 0.1270 0.1900 0.2710 0.2960 0.2990 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 15 Journal of Biogeography GENE POOL : Southern LG Chosen scenario(s) : 3 Number of simulated data sets : 998663 Number of selected data sets : 9986 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 7580 7850 9640 4020 4510 6320 9030 9820 9910 t5 1250 1250 1210 1200 1200 1220 1270 1290 1300 N1 301 154 55 27 34 76 355 1170 1490 t4 1680 1700 1820 1420 1440 1570 1810 1880 1890 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0004 0.0003 0.0001 0.0002 0.0003 0.0006 0.0009 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2370 0.2480 0.3000 0.1210 0.1360 0.2040 0.2790 0.3000 0.3000 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 GENE POOL : DG Chosen scenario(s) : 4 Number of simulated data sets : 999266 Number of selected data sets : 9992 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------N1 670 592 498 285 320 453 799 1310 1510 t6 443 436 308 214 228 321 564 671 685 Ne 5320 5100 4570 1460 1810 3420 7170 9330 9630 µmic_1 0.0004 0.0004 0.0002 0.0001 0.0001 0.0002 0.0006 0.0009 0.0009 pmic_1 0.2040 0.2070 0.2510 0.1060 0.1130 0.1560 0.2540 0.2910 0.2960 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 GENE POOL : UG Chosen scenario(s) : 3 Number of simulated data sets : 999677 Number of selected data sets : 9996 Parameter mean median mode q025 q050 q250 q750 q950 q975 -----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------Ne 6500 6520 6750 2830 3310 4930 8150 9590 9800 t5 1250 1250 1210 1200 1200 1220 1270 1290 1300 N1 171 85 26 15 18 43 176 661 1050 t4 1690 1710 1870 1420 1450 1590 1810 1880 1890 µmic_1 0.0005 0.0005 0.0004 0.0002 0.0002 0.0003 0.0007 0.0009 0.0010 pmic_1 0.2130 0.2170 0.3000 0.1110 0.1190 0.1670 0.2610 0.2950 0.2990 snimic_1 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 0.0000 16 Journal of Biogeography