Econ 51D: Principles of Macroeconomics Duke University Spring 2010 Instructor: Dr. Lori Leachman Email : Leachman@econ.duke.edu Phone: 660-6894 Office and office hours: 329F, SS; MW 2-4pm, Tu 2-3pm Teaching Assistants: Michiru.Sakane@duke.edu Nujin.Prasertsom@duke.edu Helpline for general questions at 51help@econ.duke.edu Text: Economics 8th ed., W. Parkin, Pearson/Addison Wesley. The Wall Street Journal Where Does the Money Go? Bittle and Johnson (can be ordered on Amazon.com) Readings listed below that are drawn from outside sources are available on Blackboard at http:// courses.duke.edu. Course Objective: This course provides an introduction to economics concepts and issues. It will introduce the student to the terminology and methodology of the economist and use the concepts and tools to explore a variety of topics that are of concern to economists and policy makers. Specifically, we will be interested in the relationship between the production function, output and various cost curves, how prices are determined, the incidence of taxation, how the entire economy operates and the role of government in fostering an environment in which prices are stable, unemployment is low and the economy is growing. We will relate these last 3 objectives to the business cycle, macro-policy initiatives and, where appropriate, to various economic models and biases. We will also explore the basis of and benefits from trade and the determination of the exchange rate. The entire course is built around the development and usage of demand and supply analysis in order to address a variety of issues that are important to economists, policy makers and the average citizen. Guiding my development of the course in both structure and content is the over-arching goal of enabling a student who successfully completes the course to be able to read a newspaper and understand the basics of the economic debate and dilemma under discussion. Weekly lunches with members of the class will be held on Wednesday starting Jan.20. We will be meeting at 12 at the Faculty Commons (above Chick-filet). Students may sign up through the Black Board course site under the “Course Information”. I have also scheduled 4 dinners in order to create the opportunity for students that have class during the regular lunch time to have an informal opportunity to dine with me. Those dates are Jan. 26 (T), Feb. 15 (M), March 25 (TH) and April 12 (M). Please try to leave those slots open for students who have legitimate conflicts with the Wed. day and time. Class meets from 10:20-11:35 on MW and FRIDAY in Griffith Auditorium. Discussion sections meet in their scheduled places and are used for office hours and extra help with concepts and problems. All exams will be returned in the class. Grading: three regular exams 31% each plus 7% on homework (see below). Optional Final-if we GRADE the final, we COUNT it! I will drop the lowest grade and count the final in its place. You have the option of sitting for the final and not having it graded! If you miss an exam you automatically must take the final as NO make up exams will be offered! If you miss more than 1 exam you will take a 0 on the additional exams missed that exceed 1. Homework: The homework is comprised of questions and problem sets designed to illuminate the important concepts being discussed in class and PREPARE YOU FOR THE EXAM. The homeworks are due on the due date at the START of class. Once the homework deadline is passed there is NO ability to make up the missed work, so work ahead if you think you have a conflict. For each assignment we will check the work to ensure that you have attempted the assignment- however, we will NOT grade them for correctness. You will earn 100% for 1% of your final grade for each homework that is turned in completed. This amounts to 7% of your total grade. If you miss a homework you can make up 2 missed assignments by turning in a 2 page book report on Where Does the Money Go? directly to Dr. Leachman by April 9th. For that report you need to cover a number of things outlined below: 1- 1 page (no more) summary of the key information in the book. (this will make up for 1 missed homework) 2- Outline the current REVISED deficit and debt figures (here you will need to draw from current news sources- this is a piece of a paragraph) and link these numbers to a 3- Discussion of one proposal that you support that will help address (not totally solve) the deficit and debt problem (2+3 will make up for the 2nd missed assignment) The graduate TAs will be conducting regular homework help sessions-the schedule can be found under the “course information” on the Blackboard Students who are found to be cheating or facilitating cheating are in violation of the Duke Honor Code and will automatically fail the course. Course Outline (8th edition) W. Jan.13- course info and rules 1.) Introduction; Chapter 1 and appendix; F. Jan.15, W. Jan. 20 What is Economics? The issue of scarcity and choice Economic thinking: efficiency, rationality, opportunity costs, marginal decisions Macroeconomics vrs microeconomics; relevant components Information, risk and leverage Appendix to Ch. 1- graphing *Alternative Economic Philosophies *Krugman <http://www.nytimes.com/2009/09/06/magazine/06Economict.html?_r=2&partner=rss&emc=rss&pagewanted=all>? *Michael Fitzgerald, Chicago Schooled http://magazine.uchicago.edu/0910/features/chicago_schooled.shtml?msource=MAG200 9&tr=y&auid=5294896 *Rethinking the Role of Fiscal Policy, Martin Feldstein, AER Papers and Proceedings, May 2009 2.) Chapters 2, 21 & 22; FM Jan 22-25 The production function (PF) inputs vrs outputs the production possibilities curve (PPC) and illustrations of opportunity costs marginal decisions specialization efficiency goals of government, measurement and their relation to the PPC *GDP Fetishism, Stiglitz the Economist Voice Sept 2009 HW 1 due W Jan 27 3.) Chapters 9 & 10, 17; WF Jan 27-29, M Feb 1 Economic vrs. Accounting profit. The production function Total product curve Marginal product and average product The Law of Diminishing Returns Relationship between output and cost Total cost, marginal cost, average cost Longrun vrs shortrun cost Labor Demand (chapter 17, pp 387-394) 4. ) Chapter 11; W Feb.3 Equilibrium in a perfectly competitive setting Comparisons to other market structures “Rising Beer Prices Hint at Oligopoly” NYT 8/27/09 “Beer Makers Plan More Price Boosts” WSJ 8/26/09 “Heineken to Raise Prices, Trim Costs” WSJ 8/27/09 HW 2 due F Feb 5 EXAM 1- M Feb 8 5.) Chapters 3, 5(optional but helpful), 6(pp.124-131) F Feb 5, W Feb 10 Demand, law of demand Supply, law of supply Equilibrium- adjustment to and changes in Price ceilings and floors “In Hard Times Spam makes a Comeback” TimesDigest 11/15/08 Priceless- A Survey of Water, the Economist, 7/19/03, pp3-16 Need for Water Could Double in 50 Years…NYT, Aug 22, 06 What Price is Right? 6.) Chapter 4; FM Feb 12-15 price elasticity cross price elasticity income elasticity tax incidence theories of taxation/tax structure “You Picked the Price, but who Gained? NYT “San Francisco: the Butts Stop Here” How Progressive is the U.S. Federal Tax System? A Historical and International Perspective, J. of Econmomic Perspcetives, Winter 2007 Tax Revenue? It’s a Roll of the Dice, NTY July 16, 06 first Discussion of Where Does the Money Go? HW 3 due W Feb 17 7.) Chapter 26; WFMW Feb 17-24 Exchange Rate Theory Fixed vrs. Floating exchange rate regimes Purchasing Power Parity Interest Rate Parity Unholy Trinity of Exchange Rate Systems Balance of Payments Crisis Application to China 8.) Chapter 32; FM Feb 26, Mar 1 Trade Theory- absolute vrs. Comparative advantage Autarkic prices Patterns of trade Range of terms of trade Importance of being unimportant Flying with One Engine- a survey, the Economist, 9/20/03, pp3-32 Resolving the Global Imbalance: The Dollar and the US Saving Rate, Feldstein, J of Economic Perspectives, Summer 2008 HW 4 due W Mar 3 9.) Chapter 27; WF March 3-5, M Mar 15 AD/AS model- the Classical model AS – Classical, Keynesian and Intermediate range. AD – wealth, interest rate and foreign price effects Equilibrium Classical vrs Keynesian debate and relationship to AS/AD Assumptions and implications of each Historical US Savings Profile, NYT- 10.) Chapter 29, WF Mar 17-19 The Business cycle Relationship of BC to AS/AD equilibrium Economic Goals- full employment, price stability, economic growth, optimal external balance EXAM 2- M Mar 22 (many students feel the exchange rate material is the hardest material in the course). 11.) Chapters 25 & 31; WFMW Mar 24-31 The nature of money Stocks and bonds Bond pricing and interest rates Money creation The Federal Reserve Tools of monetary policy and implementation The loanable funds market (CHAPTER 23, PP 541-545) HW 5 due F April 2 12.) Chapter 28; FMWF April 2-9 Total spending- the Keynesian framework The consumption function Multipliers Taxation Keynesian Equilibriums Crowding In and Crowding Out Derivation of Aggregate Demand Sense and Nonsense about Federal Deficits and Debt, Boskin, The Economist’s Voice, vol 1 2004 The Budget Outlook: Projections and Implications, Gale and Orszag, The Economist’s Voice, vol 1 2004 What’s the real Federal Deficit? USA Today Aug 3, 06 The Public’s Deficit Fix…, NYT July 30, 06 Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of Large Future Federal Government Deficits, Ray Fair, Cowles Foundation DP#1727 Optional Report on “Where does the Money Go? due F April 9. 13.) Chapters 30 & 31; MWF April 12-16 Aggregate supply Monetary vrs fiscal policy Classical vrs Keynesian debate Short run vrs. long run equilbriums Economic Ups and Downs…, Tregarthen, The Margin, Feb 1988 The Long Climb, the Economist, Oct. 3 2009 HW 6 due M April 19 EXAM 3- W April 21 14.) Chapter 24 and lecture; MFM Ap 19-26 Growth and development The Solow growth model (lecture) Macro-policy and growth Trade and growth The Dragon and the Eagle (a survey), the Economist, Oct. 2 2004, pp3-26 HW 7 due W Ap 28 (last day of class) FINAL (optional) at scheduled day and time of