Journal of Biogeography SUPPORTING INFORMATION Origin of the forest steppe and exceptional grassland diversity in Transylvania (central-eastern Europe) Angelica Feurdean, Elena Marinova, Anne B. Nielsen, Johan Liakka, Daniel Veres, Simon M. Hutchinson, Mihaly Braun, Alida Timar-Gabor, Ciprian Astalos, Volker Mosburgger and Thomas Hickler Appendix S2 Description of the REVEALS model and biomization at Lake Stiucii REVEALS model. The REVEALS model (Sugita, 2007) is designed to obtain estimates of regional, i.e. within 50–100 km (Hellman et al., 2008) vegetation from pollen data from lakes or bogs. The model has been empirically validated in Sweden, Switzerland and the USA (Hellman et al., 2008; Soepboer et al., 2010; Sugita et al., 2010) and has been applied in different parts of Europe (e.g. Nielsen & Odgaard, 2010; Soepboer et al., 2010; Nielsen et al., 2012; Fyfe et al., 2013; Marquer et al., 2014; Abraham et al., 2014) including in the Czech Republic (Mazier et al., 2012), which is the closest to our study region in terms of geography and climate. The REVEALS model has also been applied in the Tibetan Plateau to reconstruct changes between steppe forest and meadow/steppe since the late glacial (Wang & Herzschuh, 2011). Pollen productivity estimates (PPE) and the fall speed (FSP) for each of the 28 pollen types (15 woody and 13 herb taxa) we employed were obtained from the literature. Most of these estimates originate from nine study areas in Europe, which were averaged after the removal of outlying values (Mazier et al., 2012). However, in the case of Quercus, Tilia, Alnus, Artemisia, Plantago lanceolata, the PPE and FSP were taken from the agricultural landscapes of the Czech Republic (Abraham & Kozáková, 2012), as this area shares similar environmental conditions to our study area. Furthermore, in the model test run this produced closer estimates to the observed vegetation composition, based on the most recent sediment samples, than the averaged European PPE values (Table 1 in the main paper). PPE and FSP for Chenopodiaceae, Sambucus and Urtica were also taken from the Czech Republic, as these were the only existing European values (Abraham & Kozáková, 2012). We decided not to include Asteraceae (other than Artemisia) in our reconstruction, although there are PPE available for Asteraceae Liguliflorae (from southern Sweden, Norway, Estonia and the Swiss Plateau) and A. Tubuliflorae (from Norway), because the test run produced unrealistically high vegetation estimates for both groups of Asteraceae due to their low PPE. The mean lake radius used for Lake Stiucii was 350 m and the extent of the regional vegetation reconstruction was set to 50 km in the REVEALS model. Wind speed was set to 3 m/s and atmospheric conditions were assumed to be neutral. The use of 28 taxa in our REVEALS model represents between 81% and 100% of the total terrestrial vegetation cover types observed in the profile, but with a lower representation towards the last 100 years. The vegetation cover reconstructed using REVEALS always adds up to 100%, which means that taxa not included in the model as well as non-pollen producing areas (such as lakes and fields of non-pollen producing crops) are ignored. Cyperaceae, which grow on hygrophilous meadows were not included in the grassland group. We decided to exclude Cyperaceae from the REVEALS reconstruction because Cyperaceae may be overrepresented due to the prevalence of wetland conditions. Pollen productivity has been seen to vary between regions, partly because of differences in climatic conditions (Broström et al., 2008). Therefore, the most reliable estimates of past vegetation are likely to be achieved using pollen productivity estimates from the study region. However, no such estimates are available from Romania. Previous studies have applied REVEALS with north-western European PPEs to other regions of Europe (e.g. Mazier et al., 2012; Fyfe et al., 2013) or to periods with different climatic conditions, such as the Eemian, Holsteinian, Harreskovian interglacials in southern Scandinavia (Kuneš et al., 2011). Many of the available pollen productivity estimates originate from cultural grasslands within a region that would naturally be forested. Few pollen productivity estimates are available from steppe regions. An exception is the study by Wang & Herzschuh (2011) from the Tibetan Plateau, where PPEs were obtained for Artemisia, Chenopodiaceae and Cyperaceae (relative to Poaceae). Interestingly, their values for Artemisia (2.08 ± 0.43) and Chenopodiaceae (5.38 ± 1.08) are rather similar to the estimates from the Czech Republic (Abraham & Kozáková, 2012; Table 1 in the main paper), lending some support to the application of these estimates in a dry semi-natural grassland setting. The REVEALS model was originally intended for application to pollen records from larger sites (Sugita, 2007). No precise definition of how large a basin needs to be can be given, as the critical size depends on the spatial structure of the vegetation (Sugita, 2007), something, which is rarely known for the past. Limits of 100 ha (Sugita, 2007) or 50 ha (Mazier et al., 2012) have been suggested. Instead of large sites, multiple small sites can be combined to obtain REVEALS estimates, which has been applied in several studies, with the number of small sites ranging from 21 (Sugita et al., 2010) to two (Fredh et al., 2013; Poska et al., 2014). Our current study site is at the smaller end of the range of what can be considered a ‘large site’ in terms of REVEALS, which indicates that the pollen assemblages may have some bias towards a local vegetation signal, in addition to the regional background expected by the REVEALS model, and thus that our reconstructions perhaps reflect a smaller region than the 100 km suggested by Hellman et al. (2008). Over time the site has undergone change between lake and peatland (Feurdean et al., 2013a). We took this into consideration when running the REVEALS model by applying the appropriate pollen dispersal and deposition models, the Prentice (1995) model for peatland periods, and the Sugita (1994) lake model for the open water phases. However, the choice of dispersal model does not fully account for vegetation that grows on the site itself during peatland phase, hence our decision to exclude Cyperaceae from the REVEALS analysis. Over-representation of other peatland taxa, such as certain species species of Poaceae could also lead to inaccuracies in modelled forest openness (see Discussion in the main paper), although the Poaceae pollen percentages are not generally higher during the peatland phase 11,450– 4700 cal. yr BP than they are during the lake phases. Kuneš et al. (2011) discuss the uncertainties that are involved in assuming constant pollen productivity in space and time and the uncertainties in basin size, but conclude that REVEALS can be regarded as the best available method to estimate vegetation openness and the ratio between deciduous and conifer forest. We therefore chose to apply the model, with the PPEs available from southern Scandinavia and Central Europe, and where possible from the Czech Republic, to obtain a more realistic reflection of vegetation composition and openness, than raw pollen percentages provide. These PPEs were also found to fit more accurately with the modern vegetation from the Czech Republic (Abraham et al., 2014). References Abraham, V. & Kozáková, R. (2012) Relative pollen productivity estimates in the modern agricultural landscape of Central Bohemia (Czech Republic). Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology, 179, 1–12. Abraham, V., Ouskova, V. & Kuneš, P. (2014) Present-Day Vegetation Helps Quantifying Past Land Cover in Selected Regions of the Czech Republic. PLoS ONE 9: e100117. doi:10.1371/journal.pone.0100117. Broström, A., Nielsen, A.B., Gaillard, M.J., Hjelle, K.L., Mazier, F., Binney, H.A., Bunting, J., Fyfe, R., Meltsov, V., Poska, A., Räsänen, S., Soepboer, W., von Stedingk, H., Suutari, H. & Sugita, S. (2008) Pollen productivity estimates of key European plant taxa for quantitative reconstruction of past vegetation: a review. Vegetation History and Archaeobotany, 17, 416478. Feurdean, A, Liakka, J, Vanniere, B, Marinova, Hutchinson S.M., E., Mossbruger V. & Hickler T. (2013) Holocene fire regime drivers in the lowlands of Transylvania (Central-Eastern Europe): a data-model approach. Quaternary Science Reviews, 81, 48-61. Fyfe, R.M., Twiddle, C., Sugita. S. Gaillard, M-J., Barratt, P., Caseldine, C.J., Dodson, J., Edwards, K.J., Froyd, C., Grant, M. J., Huckerby, E., Innes, J.B., Shaw, H. & Waller, M. (2013) The Holocene vegetation cover of Britain and Ireland: overcoming problems of scale and discerning patterns of openness. Quaternary Science Reviews, 73, 132-148. Fredh, D., Brostrom, A., Rundgren, M., Lageras, P., Mazier, F., Zillen, L. (2013) The impact of land-use change on floristic diversity at regional scale in southern Sweden 600 BC–AD 2008. Biogeosciences, 10, 3159–3173. Hellman, S., Gaillard, M.J., Broström, A., Sugita, S. (2008) The REVEALS model, a new tool to estimate past regional plant abundance from pollen data in large lakes: validation in southern Sweden. Journal of Quaternary Science, 23, 21-42. Kuneš, P., Odgaard, B.V. & Gaillard, M.J. (2011) Soil phosphorous as a control of productivity and openness in temperate interglacial forest ecosystems. Journal of Biogeography, 38, 2150-2164. Marquer, L., Gaillard, M.J., Sugita, S., Trondman, A.K., Mazier, F., Nielsen, A.B., Fyfe, R., Odgaard, B.V., Aleniu, T., Birks, J.H.B., Bjune, A.E., Christiansen, J., Dodson, J., Edwards, K.J., Gieseck, T., Herzschuh, U., Kangur, M., Lorenz, S., Poska, A., Schult, M. & Seppä, H. (2014) Holocene changes in vegetation composition in northern Europe: why quantitative pollen-based vegetation reconstructions matter. Quaternary Science Reviews, 90, 199-216. Mazier, F., Gaillard, M.J., Kunes, P., Sugita, S., Trondman, A.K. & Brostrom, A. (2012) Testing the effect of site selection and parameter setting on REVEALS-model estimates of plant abundance using the Czech Quaternary Palynological Database. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology, 187, 38–49. Nielsen, A.B., Giesecke, T., Theuerkauf, M., Feeser, I., Behre, K.E., Beug, H.J., Chen, S., Christiansen, J., Dörfler, W., Endtmann, E., Jahns, S., de Klerk, P., Kühl, N., LataĆowa, M., Odgaard, B.V., Rasmussen, P., Stockholm, J.R., Voigt, R., Wiethold, J. & Wolters, S. (2012) Quantitative reconstructions of changes in regional openness in north-central Europe reveal new insights into old questions. Quaternary Science Reviews, 47, 131-149. Nielsen, A.B. & Odgaard, B. (2010) Quantitative landscape dynamics in Denmark through the last three millennia based on the Landscape Reconstruction Algorithm approach. Vegetation History and Archaeobotany, 19, 375-387. Poska, A., Saarse, L., Koppel, K., Nielsen, A.B., Avel, E, Vassiljev, J., Väli, V. (2014) The Verijärv area, South Estonia over the last millennium: A high resolution quantitative landcover reconstruction based on pollen and historical data. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology, 187, 38–49. Prentice, I.C. (1985) Pollen representation, source area, and basin size: toward a unified theory of pollen analysis. Quaternary Research, 23, 76–86. Soepboer, W., Sugita, S. & Lotter, A.F. (2010) Regional vegetation-cover changes on the Swiss Plateau during the past two millennia: A pollen-based reconstruction using the REVEALS model. Quaternary Science Reviews, 29, 472-483. Sugita, S. (1994) Pollen representation of vegetation in Quaternary sediments: theory and method in patchy vegetation. Journal of Ecology, 82, 881–897. Sugita, S. (2007) Theory of quantitative reconstruction of vegetation I. Pollen from large sites REVEALS regional vegetation composition. The Holocene, 17, 229-241. Sugita, S., Parshall, T., Calcote, R. & Walker, K. (2010) Testing the Landscape Reconstruction Algorithm for spatially explicit reconstruction of vegetation in northern Michigan and Wisconsin. Quaternary Research, 74, 289-300. Wang, Y. & Herzschuh, U. (2011) Reassessment of Holocene vegetation change on the upper Tibetan Plateau using the pollen-based REVEALS model. Review of Palaeobotany and Palynology, 168, 31–40. Biomization The diversity of plant communities in the area considered as Eastern Mediterranean–Black Sea–Caspian Corridor Biomes (EMBSeCBIO) comprises over 1100 pollen taxa. Biomization allows palynological data to be distilled into a small number of plant functional types (PFT) and subsequently into biomes, producing an effective and informative summary of the vegetation and its climatic constraints. About 885 of the pollen taxa were assigned to plant functional types, which were then assigned to biomes. Several pollen taxa specific to the region were assigned to PFTs with reference to the literature (Davis, 1965–1988; Tutin et al., 1964–1980; Bohn et al., 2003). Considering the vegetation of the region and the life form leaf form, phenology and climate tolerances 31 PFTs and 14 biomes were defined. This was done following the general approach of Prentice et al. (1992) and Harrison et al. (2010). In defining leaf form, we used a functional classification independent of taxonomic or phylogenetic considerations; thus, a photosynthetic organ is taken to be a ‘leaf’ whether it is a true leaf or a modified stem. The form ‘needleleaf’ includes needles of conifers, but also the scale-like leaves of Cupressaceae. Aquatic and recently introduced taxa, as well as taxa representing cultivated plants, were excluded from the taxon-PFT allocations. Affinity scores for any given pollen spectrum and biome are calculated as the sum of pollen values for taxa that may occur in that biome. Prior to this calculation, the pollen values are transformed by square-root transformation in order to increase the signal-to-noise ratio and correct for the over-representation of taxa that produce large quantities of pollen. The minimum threshold for inclusion of pollen is 0.5%. Each pollen spectrum was assigned to the biome to which it has the highest affinity score. The biomization scheme used for the current paper is set up for publication (Marinova et al., in preparation). References Bohn, U., Neuhäusle, R., Gollub, G., Hettwer, C., Neuhäuslová, Z., Raus, T., Schlüter, H. & Weber, H. (2003) Map of the natural vegetation of Europe. Explanatory text with CD-ROM. German Federal Agency for Nature Conservation, Bonn, Germany. Davis, P.H. (ed.) (1965–1988) Flora of Turkey and the East Aegean Islands: 1 (1965), 2 (1967), 3 (1970), 4 (1972), 5 (1975), 6 (1978), 7 (1982), 8 (1984), 9 (1985), 10 (1988). Edinburgh University Press, Edinburgh. Harrison, S.P., Prentice, I.C., Barboni, D., Kohfeld, K.E., Ni, J. & Sutra, J.P. (2010) Ecophysiological and bioclimatic foundations for a global plant functional classification. Journal of Vegetation Science, 21, 300-317. Prentice, I.C., Cramer, W., Harrison, S.P. Leemans, R., Monserud, R.A. & Solomon, A.M. (1992) A global biome model based on plant physiology and dominance soil propreties and climate. Journal of Biogeography, 19, 117-134. Tutin, T.G., Heywood, V.H., Burges, N.A., Moore, D.M., Valentine, D.H., Walters, S.M. & Webb, D.A. (eds) (1964–1980) Flora Europaea, Vols 1–5. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge.