IMPROVING AND PROMOTING THE EFFECTIVENESS OF VIETNAM SECURITIES MARKET 1. Overview of the securities market 1.1. The basic knowledge on the securities market The securities market is considered a center of the modern corporate economy nowadays. In the developed economies, securities markets have established more than 100 years ago and have become an important part of the socio-economic life. An effective securities market will create many opportunities for the people to invest their savings as well as facilitate to mobilize domestic and foreign capitals to provide funds to well-done enterprises. Almost countries in transition from central planning economies to the market ones have established securities market as a channel to mobilize efficiently capitals for the enterprises. In the renovation process of the market oriented economy, securities market in Viet Nam also has been established and developed in the last decade. 1.1.1. The concept of securities market Briefly, securities market is a place to buy and sale shares of common ownership enterprises. However, ‘securities market’ also is used to show a place to exchange all stocks, bonds, sometimes including other valuable documents and derivates securities tools. Securities market in many cases is called in the same name with the stock exchange. In essence, the stock exchange is an organization (or company) has a function to link the buyers and the sellers and help them implement transactions. The big stock exchanges in the world are placed at economic centers such as New York, London, Frankfurt, Zurich, Tokyo, Hong Kong. In which the New York stock exchange is the biggest one with the total value of market capitalization reached more than USD 21,000 billions in 2006, including 7,000 billions of companies outside the US. The stock exchanges are considered as an important of modern market economies. The trends in the securities market are followed by stock price indices, usually calculated by average values of an important corporate stock group in the transaction day. The US stock markets such as Dow Jones and Standard and Poor are indices which are followed most closely; because the fluctuation of the US securities market has strong impact to the world economy as the whole. Securities markets in other countries also are monitored by indices such as Nikkei of Japan, Hansen in Hong Kong,… 1.1.2 The entities participating in the securities market The entities participating in the securities market include from small individual investors to the large organizations, such as governments, corporations, investment funds,… The organizations and individuals involved 1 in the securities market could be spited into the following groups: issuers, investors, and the organizations related to the securities market. - The issuers: They are organizations who mobilize capitals through the securities market such as governments and local authorities in the cases of issuing government and local bonds; companies in the cases of issuing corporate shares and bonds; and financial organizations when issuing financial tools such as bonds, value documents… - The investors: They are people who buy and sell in the securities market. The investors could be divided into two kinds: individuals and organizations. - The organization operating in the securities market includes securities companies, stock investment funds and immediate financial organizations. In addition, there are organizations related to the securities market such as state management agencies, stock exchanges, stock businessmen associations,… 1.1.3 Characters and nature of the securities market Similar to any good markets, the securities market is adjusted by the supply- demand rule. Due to securities market’s nature is a place to deal in long-term value documents and the investment decisions are mainly made by expectations, the securities market’s character is that big profits always associated with high risks. Modern economic theories on the securities market are gathered into an effective market theory. The effectiveness here is understood that information is absorbed quickly but not means that resources produce maximum outputs such as in economic fields. The effective market is a place all new information are hold by people involved into the securities market and reflected into the stock prices. In the other words, effective market theory supposes that market prices contain all information available. In the effective market, it is impossible to make profit by looking at old information and price fluctuation in the past. All countries expect to have stable securities market. One securities market is considered a stable one and high quality must guarantee the following factors: 1- high liquidity; 2- low risk due to price changes; 3effectiveness, where information is disseminated rapidly and reflected into prices; and low cost for exchange transaction. 1.1.4. The securities market’s functions Along with the monetary market, the securities market is an important part in the financial market of each nation. The financial system undertakes three main functions: firstly, undertaking payment; secondly, transforming savings into investment to seek profits; and thirdly, reducing economic risks of companies in relations with profit goals of the participants. 2 Therefore, securities market is strong supporting tool for both households and companies in dealing with financial risks as well as allocating more reasonably consumption spending by the times. The financial market in general and securities market in particular nowadays have become an important part of the infrastructure for all modern societies. The normal operation of these markets will facilitate for economic growth, where the lowest costs and risks will promote goods production, services and job creations. By this manner, the securities market contributes to make the nations more prosperous. The basic functions of the securities market as the followings: Firstly, the securities market is an important capital source to help companies mobilizing medium and long-term investment capital to develop their productions and businesses. This capital source has more advantages compared to that borrowed from banks which are usually short -term. Secondly, the securities market provides favorable investment environment to the public. The most prominent benefit which the securities market bringing about directly or indirectly through funds is investment opportunities. According to statistics, in the recent decades, shares account for increasingly rates among main assets of the households in many countries. In the developed countries, this rate accounts for above 50%. The common trend in the world also shows that savings have been transformed from traditional banking deposit (guaranteeing by governments) to stocks ownership. The popular investment way of the people is through organizational investment ways of the organizations, such as pension funds, multi-support funds, investment funds,… Thirdly, the securities market makes securities have high liquidity. The securities market is a place where sellers and buyers meet and they are guaranteed by legal foundations. Therefore, buying and selling stocks easily encourage people to own stocks as a profit –making saving way and help companies and governments mobilizing capitals easily for their investment projects. Fourthly, the securities market helps to assess enterprises’ activities. When one company issues and sells stocks to the people, the most important factors deciding the added value of stocks are profit and development possibility. This information must be open so that people (including stockholders) can monitor, assess and make investment decisions for themselves. When stock prices go up, that means many people buy stocks with the belief that the better performance of that company will bring about more dividends for the amount of stocks they hold. In fact, the stocks which have high value usually belong to those companies which have good business and production, bring about more profit to the 3 stockholders and rapid growth, or in the industries which have high growth rate accepted by many investors with high prices. Fifthly, the securities market creates a favorable environment to support the government implementing macroeconomic policies. In the developed economies, the securities market is considered the measure of the economy due to its close relationship with the economy. Moreover, the securities market is considered an important part of the financial market. Therefore, the central banks have a tendency to control and monitor the behaviors of the securities market and, in general, based on the smooth operations of the financial market to issue macro policy adjustment. 1.1.5. Relationship between the securities market and the economy Actual experiences show that stock and other asset prices are important parts of the driving forces to economic growth. For example, the rise of stock prices has positive effects to the increased investment of enterprises (excluding too high speculation and imperfect information). Stock prices also have effects to the wealth of the households and their spending. Therefore, the main effects of the securities market to the economy is through that so called “wealth effect”: the households will increase consumption spending when their asset values go up. The economists estimate that this effect is equal to 3-4% the total value added of the assets. In short, when stock prices go up, the richness of the households increases leading to spending increasingly for consumption and as a result GDP (along with the common prices) increase. The important point having significant meaning to the macro-policy makers is the relationship between securities market and market interests- one important index of macro economy. Interest has negative effect with the securities market. Interest increases leading to the reduce of stock prices. In terms of macro economy, the higher interest is, the lower economic growth is. Low economic growth will affect to the company activities to reduce sale revenues and profit of the company. Therefore, higher interest will lead to that people expect the lower level of dividend increase and the stock prices must go down to reflect the new situation. Interests also affect on stock prices due to opportunities costs. When interests go up, profits from other investment also increase. Interests of saving deposits and other assets gaining interests rise which make the dividend profits of stocks lower. The people who have saving deposits can transfer a part of their money from stocks to other assets gaining interests. Sometimes the expected changes in the market interests also play a critical role in deciding the investors’ decisions similar to the changes of actual interests. If everybody believes that interests will go up in the future, the stock prices at present will reflect these expectations and the securities market will go down. 4 Moreover, stocks are a form of long term saving which have high risk level; therefore it requires each individual must have ability to manage risks very well. The stock price fluctuate very strongly; it is quite different from the stability of the deposit saving or government bonds (guaranteeing the government). Therefore, in the case that the stock prices change dramatically, not only individual investors or households but the economy as the whole will be affected adversely. 1.1.6. Behaviors of the securities market Due to the character of the securities market is a high risk and affected strongly by the expectation factor of the investors; it can be seen that the investors can push the stock prices beyond the long-term trend. The investors’ expectation is decided by psychological factor leading to the over reflection in the securities market; therefore the overoptimistic attitude can make the prices go up or pessimist spirit can make the prices go down too much. The psychological factors can accelerate the stock price fluctuation. Many researches have shown that people are driven by the rumor or “whispers” way. In the present situation, it means that good news about one company can make the investors have too positive reflection (unexplainable high prices). The promising profit will strengthen the investors’ belief, reducing the level of risk warning (in terms of psychological factor). On phenomena also results from the psychological factor is the “crowd thinking”. One buys or sells because all people do that. When the stock prices go up, everybody runs to buy and when the prices go down, all people together sell. This case leads to the phenomenon that the stock prices all go down or go up which is difficult to explain. The securities market, similar to any market, is not a place for people who lack knowledge. The inexperience investors facing difficulties when looking forward to receiving support from the government or professional investors. Due to a main part of the securities market including unprofessional investors, sometimes the market has a tendency to reflect unreasonably with the economic news, even when the news has no any affect on technical value on the stocks themselves. Whereas, the securities market can be nominated by this direction because of media news, rumors or the public turmoil. Moreover, the securities market often faces distorted information. In the short-term, stocks and other value documents can be distorted or floated by any even which makes the market change quickly, driving the securities market into the dangerous situation. Therefore, it is very difficult for the people who lack investment skills on financial issue and times to understand well the market’s technical signals. In the case the securities market collapses due to the investors’ psychological fearful factors, the economic and social consequences are adverse. The main purpose in the securities market management is how to make the securities market becoming easier and safer for the unprofessional investors. 5 But in fact this is very difficult. However, to reduce the financial market’s imbalances, the important thing is that it’s needed to have legal, supervising and regulating infrastructure which operates completely, smoothly and objectively; especially ensures to disseminate related information timely and exactly. 1.2. Experiences on developing institutions for the securities market in some countries Due to limited spaces of the paper, this part just introduces briefly the experiences to develop the securities market institutions in some countries; they are the US as one of the most developed market, following is the Thailand securities market and China securities market which are two countries nearby Viet Nam. 1.2.1-The US securities market The US securities market has been formed rarely early and so far considered the most developed market in the world with the sophisticated legal system and infrastructure. By the beginning of the 20th century, there were millions dollars of the stock values exchanged in the US securities market. The securities market developed rapidly and boomed through 1920s until it collapsed in 1929. In the dark Tuesday 29 October 1929, the New York securities market went down at the record level 12%. Within a month, the investors had loss of 100 billions USD in their accounts. Many people had nothing left and many among them committed suicide. This collapse marked the end of the booming of the securities market and began the period of Great Recession lasting until 1933. In the year 1934, the US government decided to regulate the securities market to protect investors. In that year, the Assembly passed the Securities Act and Securities Exchange Act. These acts provided to establish a government body named Securities and Exchange Commission- SEC) having a task to promulgate regulations on exchange securities. The agency also has a function to supervise investors and provides needed information to the potential investors. SEC also manages daily activities of the securities market. With the regulations and protection the investors’ interests in the laws, the securities market has facilitated all people participating. It is the increasingly trend that many people own securities, a new investment, along with the traditional ways such as house ownership or deposit savings. The US Securities Act 1933 has two main objectives: - Require companies to provide fully information needed related to the offering of securities to public - Forbidding defeat, wrong description and other faults when selling securities. According to the Act, one company (that means issuers) offer to sell securities must provide fully information about the company itself as well as 6 securities to the potential investors to help them deciding investment with the fullest information. To achieve this objective and encourage equal exchange in the securities market, the act also ask issuers must announce all full information about the company itself and conditions related to the securities issued. The information announcement also has other benefit is to prevent distorted behaviors resulting from hiding information. The information announcement is undertaken through the securities register with the SEC. SEC is a governmental agency having responbilities to supervise the securities market and enforce securities laws. So far, the legal system on the securities market of the US has developed very strongly and become one of the most complicated and sotiphicated system in the world. This helps the US securities market stable and well development. However, the most sotiphicated system also can not help the US to avoid the financial defaults such as Enron or Worldcom. 1.1.2 The Thailand securities market Under the umbrella of the WB, in the year 1974, the Thai Government passed a law making precondition to establish the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). The securities exchange began after a year latter. In that time SET is an agency to undertake securities transactions in the same time regulating the securities market. Just until 1992, when the Securities and Exchange Act was promulgated, Thai Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has been established separately, with the functions to promote and develop the securities market. This Act of Thailand has many points similar to the US securities regulation system. Concretely, it provides clearly the role of SET as an agency to regulate the securities market and SEC to supervise the securities issuing, IPO (Initial Public Offer), investment companies, as well to prevent behaviors to dominate the market and internal transactions. The Thailand securities market is considered rather little regulated except some limitations, such as: not allowing to “sell early” securities, the ceiling and floor prices are provided of 10% compared to the closing prices of the previous section; the share holding of foreigners is limited by the rate of 25% shares in the financial organizations and 49% in the other sectors. After the Act passed, investment into the Thai securities market goes up dramatically, especially from the foreign investors. From 1991 to 1994 was a period the Thai securities market reached the top, the SET index increased from 600 to 1759, nearly 3 times. Many analyses comment that, with such growth speed, Thailand would become the 8th richest country in 2020. But it not happened in the fact, the Asian financial crisis emanating from Thailand in 1997 led to the collapse of the securities market. Within a month, the securities market went down up 65% when the investors run to sell their financial assets. Until 5 years latter, the Thailand economy still not fully 7 recovers from this economic disaster. Apart from direct causes leading to the crisis such as domestic currency was anchored too long, inconstant financial liberalization, the main cause making the Thailand securities market collapse is the untransparency of the securities market. Due to this reason, in the years after the crisis, the Thai government has followed a legal reform strategy. The most noted issue in the securities market regulation is that SEC and SET have been transformed to the remote supervising regulation system based more on open announcement information. The new roles of the agencies are to reduce the role of justices and increase the roles of policies. This has advantage is to use effectively resources of the regulating agencies because the investors themselves must take responbilities with their decisions based on information. The old supervising system often leads to the fact that many investors misunderstand there is the guarantee of the government on the securities market operations. After taking the new jobs, SEC has a lot of effort to make information open of the listed companies; and all violations in terms of information such as wrong financial reports or delays are punished very hard. The violations of administration rules from the issuing companies or securities companies also are punished heavily. The SEC also asks the listed companies to establish independent auditing commissions to supervise the information announcement as well as the implementation accounting processes. 1.2.3.The China securities market The development history of the China securities market began from 1860s when foreign traders bringing securities trading into China, in the same time of the establishment of the securities exchange in some European countries. By the end of the Thanh dynasty 1911, China experienced 40 actual years of the stockholding companies and the securities market. However, the first Securities Act of China just was promulgated in 1914 under the public government of Ton Trung Son. In 1918, the Peking Stock Exchange was established and operated in Beijing. In September 1919, the Shanghai Stock and goods Exchange was established. In November 1920, it was renamed as Shanghai Chinese Stock Exchange. Securities trading in China was interrupted within 7 years under the occupation of Japan (1937-45). After the success of the Revolution, the People Public government of China re-establish the ThienTan Stock Exchange in 1949 and the Peking Stock Exchange in 1950, with 10 and 6 kinds of stock respectively. However, then the Chinese government supposed that the securities market had the speculation character which was again the economic principles of Marxism, therefore two markets were closed in 1952. In that time, China had a policy to nationalize private enterprises, and to 1958, China almost had no private enterprises or shareholding companies but state-owned enterprises left. Until the beginning of the 90s of 20th century, 10 years since China embarked to reform its economy towards market, the securities market was reconsidered 8 after many years of arguments. Since the establishment the stock exchanges in 1991, the China securities market has developed very rapidly. In terms of total market capitalization, the securities market development grows more compared to the economic development speed of the country. So far, the China securities market has become the third biggest market in Asia in terms of total market capitalization. Total market capitalization of the listed companies reached more than USD 3,5000 billions (about USD 500 billions) by the end of 2006 with the total value of circulated stocks up to USD 1,2000 billions. The value of the stock index also reached the top in June 2001 with 2218 points. But from there, this index continued to go down to the bottom of 1000 points in July 2005. In 2006, the Chinese companies had revenues of more USD 53 billions through IPO, increasing many times compared to the level USD 24 billions of the previous year. Among them there was the biggest IPO in the history: The China Incombank offered IPO in Hong Kong and Shanghai with the stocks valued of USD 22 billions. The increasingly importance of the China securities market in the last decade mainly come from the fact that China applies many measures to accelerate the SOEs equitilization process. The SOEs transformation into equitization companies facilitated them to have more opportunities to mobilize capital to reform and modernize, reducing the dependence on bank borrowing and improving corporate management. The establishment of the securities market is the way to overcome the weak operations of the credit market in China. It is truly with the fact that the private-owned companies are hardly to seek capitals from the banking system which is mainly hold by the state; therefore, the stock offering is the way to mobilize capitals rather effectively. Although the China securities market has had institutional framework for the relative stable development, but there are many problems left which should be improved more. Some comments on the China securities market as the followings: Firstly, the China securities market emanating from a planning economy, so that it could not avoid the inherent weaknesses of such economy. Typically, the securities market suffers too much interference of the state but not by the market to decide for expanding or narrowing too rapidly. The government keeps the decisive role when there are market changes Secondly, in a mature securities market, the amount of IPO and the prices setting by the investment banks and the listing companies are decided by the market conditions. But in China, the government still controls the time ranges and the IPO price setting. When the market goes down, the government often announce to delay the IPOs and in many cases, the prices are decided by the administrative measures which always higher than the market prices leading loses for the investors. Moreover, before 2002, the government applied IPO quotas allocation. Every year, the national IPO agency allocates quotas 9 equally to the 32 provinces and cities under the central level. This fact leads to the bribes and accounting faults commonly. Thirdly, the development of the China securities market still lacks of systematic laws to adjust the normal development of the market. In the first years, the securities market was under the regulations of fragmented and inconsistent legal system and suffered the political affects which created the unstable and unpredicted environment and lacked openness. Due to ineffective laws, there were many phenomena to dominate the market, the sues related to the securities and the corporate management were not treated seriously. Fourthly, the China securities market still is under the domination of the private investors and they usually have “crowd behaviors” leading to uneven changes of the stock prices. Meanwhile, the organizational investors usually are the investment funds who have short term profit visions and speculation characters, and lacking of the investment organization with long-term visions such as pension funds and insurance companies. Recently, the China government allowed the insurance companies to tender IPO and exchange in the secondary market. This fact will help to reduce uneven price changes of the securities market. 2. The Vietnam securities market 2.1. The organizational setting and operations of the Vietnam securities market The state securities commission (SSC) In November 1996, the SSC officially was established under the Decree 75/CP dated 28/11/1996. This commission has responsibilities to organize, develop and monitor the securities market. It can be said that, this is a model of state management agencies on securities which is professional and reflect the indirect involvement of the state into the securities market as a macro manager. However, during the period after the establishment, SSC has functioned as a belonging Prime Minister agency and due to some causes resulting from its organizational setting; SSC has revealed some weaknesses in regulating the securities market. Some difficulties are that the SSC has no functions to promulgate legal documents and link necessary tools and financial policies to develop, manage and monitor the market. Therefore, to implement more effectively the task of coordinating the activities of the functional ministries in promoting the securities market, in 19 February 2004, the government promulgated the Decree 66/2004/ND- CP to move the SSC into the Ministry of Finance. The tasks and authorities of the SSC are stipulated in the Decision No 10 The HCM city securities exchange centre and HaNoi securities exchange centre (SEC) have been established according to the Decision No 127/1998/QDTTg dated 11/7/1998. Despite of its names but at that point of tine, the organizational model as well management council model were designed similar to that of securities exchange agencies from countries which have developed securities markets such as New York, Tokyo, Hong Kong securities exchanges. The securities exchange centres are under the SSC control. The operating costs are covered partly by the state. SECs take charge to organize, operate and monitor the securities exchange activities at their places. According to the Decree 144/2003/ND-C P dated 28/11/2003, the authorities and responsibilities of the SECs as the following: - Organizing, managing and monitoring the listed securities exchanges; Managing securities exchange system; Managing and monitoring the listed securities; Managing and monitoring information announcement of the listed companies; - Managing and monitoring activities of the members of the SEC; - Organizing, managing and announcing information. The securities companies As stipulated, the securities companies can be established in the form of stock companies or limited companies. Moreover, the main activities of the securities companies include sefl-bussiness making, securities investment list management, securities issue guarantee and securities consultancy. The securities companies are licensed by the SSC and have rights to register as a member of SEC. The important point is that only the member of the SEC has right to buy and sell securities through the system of the SEC. To receive the license, some requirements must be fulfilled: - having relevant infrastructure to do securities business; - having minimum legal capital for each securities as stipulated; - the directors and deputy directors and professional staff must fulfill standards and must have securities operation certificates issued by the SSC. According to the newest regulations (the Decree 14/ND-CP dated 19/1/2007), if on securities company want to have license of securities business, the minimum legal capital must be 300 billions VND. At present, there are 55 securities companies in which 43 in place with the average chapter capital is 77 billions VND/company. Listing requirements To make sure that the SECs are honest and trust, the government focuses strongly on the quality of the listed companies by issuing the standards and 11 regulations for the listing. Each company must comply with all listing requirement to receive the licenses. According to the Decree 144/2003/NDCP, a company must fulfill the following standards: - being a stock company with the minimum capital of 5 billions VND; - continuous 2 years with profits before the year of applying for listing; - the members in the management councils, board of directors and board of supervisors must commit to keep at least 50% their stocks within 3 years from the listing day; - there are at least 50 outside investors, keep at least 20% of the total stocks of the company, for the stock company, the stock capital at leas 100 billions VND or 15%. The companies applying for listing must submit some documents to the SEC, including the financial report with the clarifying of auditing agencies, organizational settings, company charters, statements with information similar to the requirements of the developed countries. Prior to the 15/4/2003, the foreign investment companies were not allowed to establish the stock companies, therefore they do not have a right to list in the securities market. Recently, the Ministry of Planning and Investment has allowed to transfer the foreign investment companies to the stock companies which have right to list. The standards for listing of the foreign companies are similar to those of the domestic ones. Information announcement of the listed companies The listed companies are asking to announce openly all important information affecting on the investors’ decisions. The SECs have implemented fully the information announcement policy, facilitating the investors to receive full and accurate information to guarantee the transparency and honesty of the market. In fact, the information announcement is undertaken through the media or the newsletters of the SECs. The listed companies’ information can be divided into two groups: common and uncommon information: The common information includes the quartly semi-annual and annual financial reports. As stipulated, within 10 days after accomplishing the annual financial report, the listed companies must announce openly audited financial information in the continuous 3 issues of a newspapers at national-wide scale or local newspaper where the headquarter of the listed company located or in the newsletters of the SECs. For the quarter and semi-annual reports, the listed companies must announce in the newsletters of the SECs within 5 days after accomplishing the reports. The uncommon information includes any information related to the unforeseen events and affects on the investors’ decisions. The listed companies also are asked to announce this information within 24 hours since the following events happen: 12 - there are significant changes on the business activities; - losing of 10% up compared to the total capital of the company’s owner; - the listed company, the member of the management council, member of the director board, member of the supervisors board, and chief accountant are investigated by the legal agencies, prosecuted related to the company’s activities; and violates tax rules; - There are changes in the strategies and business scales; - There are decisions to expand business scales, big investment with value of 10% up into other company’s stock capital, or buy or sell fix assets value of 10% the capital of that company owner; - Falling in bankrupting, there are decisions to merge, take over, divide and dissolve; - Sign borrowing contracts or issuing bonds value up to 30% of company owner’s capital; - Replacing the president of the management council or replace more than 1/3 of the total management council members or replace the general director; - Approving the resolution of the stockholder conferences; - There are other events considered having affects on the stock prices or interests of the investors; - Distributing stocks, extra issuing to increase registered capital. Foreigners participation The foreign investors (organizations or individuals) can buy or sell stocks in the SECs through the securities companies. In the last time, the ownership (total of ownerships of all foreign investors) in the listed companies just is limited up to 30% of company owner capital. However, since 9/ 2005 up to now, the government has expanded the limitation of securities ownership for the foreign investors from 30% up to 49% (except the banking field). Besides, the foreign investors want to participate into the securities market must register through a company which is allowed to keep securities on behalf of the foreign investors. Moreover, the foreign securities business organizations are allowed to buy stocks of the Vietnam securities companies and/or investment fund management companies, or contribute capital to establish securities joint venture companies with the Vietnamese counterparts. However, the capital contributing rate of a joint venture does not exceed 49% of the company’s charter capital. According to the WTO access commitments, Vietnam will open under the roadmap for the foreign financial organizations, securities companies to participate into the securities market. The SSC is a body to help the government build the WTO integration roadmap in the securities field and the roadmap will be 5 years since Vietnam access the WTO, the foreign securities service companies and fund management companies are allowed to establish enterprises with 100% of foreign capitals to do business in Vietnam. 13 2.2. The achievements of the Vietnam securities market (1998-2007) The Vietnam official securities market operate with two exchange centers namely HCM city securities exchange center (SEC) and Hanoi securities exchange center which were formed in 11/ 1998. The HCM SEC official has operated since 28/7/2000 and the Hanoi SEC just has launched in 8/3/2005. Therefore, up to now, the securities market has reached 7 years in operation. In that period of time, the securities market has experienced a rise and fall. This part will focus on describing the achievements of the HCM SEC and Hanoi SEC. The followings are some comments and assessments. 2.2.1 The achievements of Vietnam securities market in the last years In the first trading sections of the HCM SEC, there were only two stock kinds of REE and SACOM traded. The growth of the market in terms of amount of the listed companies in the beginning period was very slowly. By the end of 2000, there were only 5 stockholding companies listed; in 2001 there were more 5 companies and 2002 with 10 more listed companies. Therefore, from 2001 to 2003, there were only 21 stockholding companies listed with total capitals of 1086 billions VND. If the government bonds included, the total of market capital just reaches the value of more than 8,700 billions VND. The important point in the period that after the securities market was opened, all listed stock prices go up day by day. Therefore, the VN- INDEX has grown strongly and continuously, from the basic level of 100 to the record one of 571.04 in 25/6/2001 within a year. The main reason to explain the strong increase of the stock prices was that there was big imbalance between stock demand and supply and investors’ pschycology put very high expectation on the new investment form. It seemed that the too rapid increase of the stock index in the too short time has pushed the stock price too high compared to the real value. Therefore, to adjust the market, the SSC has introduced a series of measures, such as increasing stock supply, reducing transaction margins, set up the maximum stock exchange for each kind of stock. These measures have affected immediately to make the stock prices go down. However, the reduce is rather strong and in the long period. In fact, the VN-INDEX has continuously gone down from 5771,04 to the bottom 130,9 in 24/10/2003. The securities market has experienced a dark period in more than a year. The cause of this situation partly comes from the incomplete legal framework for the securities market; the procedures to offer securities to the public are still complicated, the conditions to issue are still high. On the other hand, the market scale is too small with very few goods, the market liquidity is not high; this situation makes the stockholding companies could not see the advantages of the securities market as a effective capital mobilization channel to foster them to 14 be listed. Besides, the fact that the market has prolonged in the stagnation also reduces the investors’ belief into the securities market. By the end 2003, there were 14,000 transaction accounts opened at 12 securities companies, in which there were more than 90 organizational investors, taking account of 0.6% and 35 foreign investors. Total market capitalization just reached 0.5% GDP. Therefore, with the too small market scale in this time, the Vietnam securities market could not be called as a channel to mobilize capital for the economy, especially through stock issuing channels of the companies. The market progress in 2004 had no special things. After reaching the bottom, V N-INDEX had recovered a little bit and kept stable at the level of above 200 from the January 2004. In 2004, the number of the stockholding companies listed went up to 25 companies, bringing total trading value in 2004 reached up 11,887 billions VND with the average daily trading value at 6.8 billions. The year 2005 witnessed the securities market’s brightness. As of 30/12/2005, VN- INDEX reached 307,50. Particularly, in this year, the market scales had expanded significantly. By the end of 2005, there were 32 shareholding companies allowed to list at Ho Chi Minh Exchange Securities Center, which are mainly restructured SOEs through equitization. The total of market capitalization reached 6,337.478 billions VND in 31/12/2005, taking account of 2% GDP. The daily trading value reaches 13.12 billions VND in 2005. In the beginning of 2006, the securities market had a turning point with the Vinamilk participation that made total stock value traded in the HCM SEC increased twice, about 16,000 billions. The important thing is that the securities market has attracted the participation of big companies and to a certain extent they have realized that the securities market is an effective channel to mobilize capital. Under many promoting measures of the government, including the permission to the foreign investors to list in the securities market, the year 2006 marked the dramatic rise of the listed companies. By the end of 2006, there were 193 companies listed in the securities markets in HCM and HN SECs in which there are many companies with their capital reaches billions thousands VND such as PhaLai Power Company. Total stocks circulated in the markets increase 8 times compared to the whole previous period. However, the securities market progress in the first half of 2006 had no special apart from the fact that the VN –INDEX increased rather rapidly. By October 2006, this index reached 500, but this level also was attained 5 years ago. The end of 2006 and the beginning of 2007 mark the most spectacular development in the securities market development history so far. Beginning 15 from the event that Vietnam organized the APEC Conference in November 2007 and some special events such as VietNam becoming the WTO member which promises a bright perspective for attracting foreign investment into VietNam in which the securities market included. Along with impressive economic development in the last time as well as the perspective development in the next years, these important events have affected directly on the infant securities market of VietNam. The securities investment has attracted the investors so much which never happened before. Just only in the short period, the VN-INDEX of HCM Exchange Floor increases sharply from 511.54 points in the last day of October 2006 up to the top of 1,17067 points in 13 May 2007. The increase level within 4 years (except the Tet holiday) reached nearly 130%. In the HN securities exchange floor, HATTGCKINDEX also increases from 241.92 in the first trading day in 2007 up to the highest level of 459.36 in 19 March 2007. However, after a seemingly growth short period, matching with expectations of many foreign and domestic experts, the Vietnam securities market has been entering into the period of self-adjustment. After reaching the top with VN-INDEX 1170 by the middle of March, the market has gone down continuously and after more than a month, the VN-INDEX has returned the level of 900 (As of 23 April 2007). The securities market has attracted the public attention when the VN- INDEX exceeds 1000 in May 8 2007. However, according to the experts, the strong increase momentum in the two continuous trading sections can stretch the sustainability of the circles. The total market capitalization by the end of 2006 reached 340,000 billions VND or 13.8 billions USD (equivalent to 22,7% GDP), and up to April 2007 was equivalent to 24.4 billions USD, 20 times compared to the year 2005. The increasing speed of market capitalization has exceeded far from the level 10-15% proposed by the government in the Development Strategy for the securities market up to 2010. The number of the listed companies went up from 41 in 2005 to 193 in 2006. The number of the trading accounts of the investors at the securities companies was above 120,000 by 12/2006, 3 times compared to by the end of 2005 and 30 times compared to the beginning year. In the first quarter of 2007, there were 60,000 accounts has opened, equivalent to the number of the whole beginning period (2000-05). The account number of the individual foreign investors also rises strongly in that period with 1,700 accounts and they are holding about 30% of stock amount of the listed companies. As for the organizational investors, so far there were 55 securities companies, 35 investment funds, in which 23 foreign investment funds. One thing is not least important is that the market’s liquidity has improved significantly; in the first 3 months of the year, the total stock trading value at HCM exchange floor reaches 1,000 billions VND/section; the HN exchange floor reaches 300 billions VND/section, meanwhile from 2005 back, the stock 16 trading value each section just fluctuated from several millions to billions VND. 2.2.2 Assessment on the Vietnam securities market achievements Although the Vietnam securities market till is in the beginning period to develop, it can be said that the results of the market in the last time are significant. - Some problems of the current securities market Firstly, the market scale is small; Secondly, the average P/E index of the listed companies are at too high levels compared with the actual business results of the listed companies. Thirdly, In spite of the liquidity of the securities market expressed in the stock transaction values increases rapidly in the last time, but the rate compared to the market capitalization total still is too small. Fourthly, The equitized SOEs take a main part among the listed companies, in which the rate of stocks held by the State is relatively high. Fifthly, The Vietnam securities market still is dominated by individual investors (up to 90%) and mainly small ones. Sixthly, The securities market grows too rapidly in the very short time (from by the end of 2006 so far). Seventhly, the role of foreign invidual investors at the securities market needs to be promoted as an international capital source to add to the domestic one. However, it’s necessary to launch a remote effectively monitoring mechanism to this foreign capital source. Eighthly, many problems posed which need to be solved, such as the interference of market management agencies is too deep and direct; the management and supervising market are still weak... Ninthly, the Vietnam securities market still lacks of some important institutions such as the pension funds,... Lastly, the capital souces flow into the securities market in the last time is very huge; it means that the amount of money kept by public still very big. -Perspectives of the securities market in the next time Based on the brightness of the securities market in the last time, it can be said that the securities market has played a significant role in the socioeconomic life in Vietnam. This also means that the development prospective of the Vietnam securities market in the long-term will be very bright. 3. Some solutions to develop and improve the effect of the Vietnam securities market The policies to develop the Vietnam securities market 2006-2010 17 The development objectives of the Vietnam securities market 20062010 as the following: Expanding an organized securities market; narrowing free markets; striving up to 2010 the organized securities market’s capitalization value total reaches to 10-15% of GDP. Improving transparency of the stock market ; applying the best practices on corporate governance for the public companies and securities business agencies. Expanding scales and capacities of the securities business and service agencies to meet development requirements of the securities market. Openning the securities service market under the commited roadmap for integration ; applying the principles on managing securities under the recommendations of the International Organization of Securitities Commitees which are consistent with certain development period of the market. Some measures to make the securities market really becomming long-term capital supplying source for enterprises, investors and the economy as the whole On the macro factors: stabilizing the political and economic environment to promote the public’s investments and savings. On the micro factors : building a complete legal framework with full and clear legal documents to regulate the securities market’s activities ; providing an effective transaction mechanism through the arrangements and operations of the Securities Exchange Centers; establishing some organizations to support the market development, such as credit rating agencies, auditing organizations, … The measures to mitigate risks, guarantee stability and avoid big and sudden changes ot the securities market Firstly, the governement plays a role as a person to direct information and lead the market. The government should not use administrative measures to interfer into the securities market, but should provide to the public timely and objective information through the media to adjust the securities market’s behaviours. Secondly, adjusting the market by relevant tools. One function of the State Capital Investment Coporation to mobilize domestic and foreign capital sources in order to supplement business capital through issuance of corporate bonds or project bonds, or setting up of investment trust funds can be used as a tool to interfer into the securities market. 18 Thirdly, Guaranteeing safety for the whole system. The development of the securities market always relates closely with the other parts of the financial market, especially the banking system. Therefore, it’s necessary to tie the measures to make sure safety for the entire banking system. Fourthly, developing and implementing the derivative tools on securities. These derivative tools include: options, swap and futures. However, the development of these tools requires the support of the advanced and modern technology. In the development condition for the Vietnam securities market at present, applying gradually the derivative tools are possible and relevant. 3- Solutions to develop effectively and bring into play the effects of Việt Nam securities market 3.1 Policies to develop the Việt Nam securities in the period of 2006-2010 In 20 February 2006, the Minister of Finance signed the Decisions 898/QDBTC on issueing the Plan of Việt Nam securities market development 20062010. Although there are some small adjustments in the plan,such as the objective of securities market’s total market capitalization (due to the market develops too fast in the recent months), it can be said that this is rather comprehensive development strategy for the securities market, involved the factors making sure for the development with high quality of the securities market, and suitable with the context of a securities market in the first steps of Vietnam. According to the plan, the objective of Vietnam securities market 2006-2010 as the followings: - Expanding the organized securities market, narrowing the free market; striving up to 2010 the total market capitalization reaches the level of 10-15% GDP. - Increasing the transparency of the securities market, applying the best practice on corporate governance on the public companies an the securities market busisness organizations. - Expanding the scale and capacities of the stock service business organizations fufilling the need to develop securities market. - Implementing for stock register of the public companies operating in the organized securities market at the stock center. - Opening the stock service market under the commited integration roadmap; appying the principle on securities market management according to the recommendations of the International Organization of 19 stock Commission consistent with each of development period of the securities market. To attain these general objectives, the Plan also sets up the sollutions to implement including: - Developing commodities for the securities market a- Completing the legal framework and policies to make sure the State manages unitedly the offering stocks to the public and the public companies; applying the corporate governance rules to the public companies. b- Pursuant to the Program of SOEs reform 2006-2010, building and implementing the plan to link the equitization of SOEs with the listing in the securities market; transfering the foreign capital enterprises into the stockholding companies and listing in the securities market; selling the stocks which the State does not need to hold in the listed companies according to the List of sectors and areas regulated by the government. c- Improving the way to issues government bonds in the direction of increasing the tender shares. Completing the legal framework, selecting and guiding the local governments, big enterprises to issue bonds for capital investment mobilization. d- Developing other goods in the securities market including stock investment funds’ certificates, derivative stocks. -Developing the securities exchange market a- Transfering the HochiMinh city SEC into the Securities Exchange undertaking the functions of listing and exchange stocks of the big companies. b- Completing the organizational setting and operations of the HaNoi SEC by the model of non-concentrated market. c- Guiding and managing, monitoring the stock exchange activities which are not listed at the stock companies. d- Building and completing the bond exchange market, especially the government bonds. - Developing the stock business and service organizations a- Progmulating regulations to build legal base for the stock companies to restructure in the direction of increasing capital scale, developing of 20 human resources, expanding the scale and network to provide stock services. b- Building and developing the system of the market founders; system of the professional bond business traders. c- Expanding the professional scale and scale of the fund management companies; the fund management companies implement the funtions of managing investment lists and funds. Promoting the commercial to establish fund management companies; diversifying the collective investment types. d- Applying corporate governance according to the best practice to the stock business, service orgnizations; making standards the internal control, risk management and working process; implementing the Rule of professional moral on stock business. -Developing the supporting organizations a- For the Stock Deposit Center - Preparing all necessary conditions to activate the Stock Deposit Center from 2006 to implement the works of registering, deposit, conpensating, stock payment which are undertaken by the Stock Exchange Centers. - Completing the legal framework, professional process to implement the tasks of registering stocks of the public companies at the Stock Deposit Center from 2007. - Undertaking research to transfer the Stock Center into the company model, in which there is the state’s ownership capital; diversifying the professional works of the Stock Deposit Center. b- For the deposit members Developing the deposit member network (stock companies, deposit banks) to provide the stock service guaranteeing property safe and implement rights of investors. -Developing investors a- Developing the professional stock investment organizations, promoting these organizations to establish fund management companies and stock investment funds, striving to make the investment shares into securities market of these organizations reach the level of 20-30% of the total value of the listed securities market in 2010. 21 b- Disseminating knowlegdes on stocks and securities market to the public, improving the public’s understandings on the roles, interests, risks of the investment type through stock investment funds. -Developing the securities market IT infrastructure a- Completing and applying the mordern stock exchange system for the SEC, Stock Deposit Center from 2008 b- Building and guiding to implement the IT standards applied for the stock business and service, making sure to provide service and transparent information on the securities market to all investors. c- Completing the building of concentrated databases serving the market management; computerizing the exchange and update data. Strenthening to apply IT in the market management and monitoring. International integration on the securities market a- Implementing the integration program on ASEAN capital market in the period of 2006-2010, including some contents: undertaking the initiation on Asian Bond Fund; harrmonizing the standards for issuing, listing, announcing information in the securities market; connecting transations,cross-listing among ASEAN Security Exchange; preparing to form the common second market for transacting ASEANcountries’ bonds; striking for having enterprises participating the list of 100 leading listed companies of the ASEAN countries. b- Implementing to open the service securities market under the commited roadmap at the bilateral and multilateral agreements. c- Implementing rights and obligations of the IOSCO’s member; signing the Memory of Understanding on the bilateral cooperation with the Securities Commitees in the regions; signing Memory of Understanding on the multilateral cooperation with the IOSCO. - State management on the securities market a- Drafting the Securities Law and guiding documents to submit the state authority agencies to progmulate in 2006. b- Shifting the organizational setting and operations of the stock exchange centers under the regulations of the Securities Law. c- Increasing the transperancy, openess and equity of the securities market’s activities based on the completion and implementation the rules of information announcement, corporate governance for the public companies. 22 d- Improving the capacity for making policy, strengthening the effectiveness of the monitoring and auditing works and law violations treatments on the stocks and securities market; perfecting and applying the standards to assess the effectiveness of the stock companies, fund management companies, warning the unusual transations in the securities market. e- Applying the securities market management principles under the recommendations of IOSCO on the areas: management of issuing stocks, collective investment funds, immediate market organizations, secondary markets. f- Implementing the Proposal of training the staff who do stock businesses and disseminating knowledge on securities market to the public in the period of 2006-2010 approved by the Ministry of Finance. 3.2. The measures to make securities market really being the channel to supply longterm capitals to the enterprises, investors and the economy. As mentioned in the part 1, the effective securities market is a place where the organizations can mobilize longterm capital for the manufacturing and business activities through the selling stocks to the public. To have an effective securities market, it needs some core conditions as the following: - In terms of macro factors: the stability of political environment and macro economic to promote investment and savings of the public; the inflation rate is curbed at the reasonable rate to maintain the development of the economy; the budget deficit in the safe limitation, the economic development strategies, poverty reduction and job creations have been implemented effectively. - In terms of micro factors: + Consistent and complete legal framework with the full and clear legal documents regulating all activities of the securities market to help the securities market to be safe, protect the rights and legal interests of the entities participating into the market. + The network of the middle organizations operating in the securities market such as stock companies, investment fund management companies,… plays a role as a bridge among investors, implementing the work of the stock middle men in the concentrated market, providing other supporting services to the investors such as lending, information provision, and services relating to stock transactions to the investors such as stock investment consultation,… + Providing a mechanism for effective transactions through organizal setting and operations of the stock exchange centers and departments including the 23 transaction, monitoring, information announcement system. The system’s operations have significant effect to the development of the market through the quick and exact treatments for the market transactions, helping to increase the speed of circulating capital in the market. + The organizations support to the market development, as midle institutions such as credit rating organizations, auditing organization, consultations, payment banks,… Besides, the market needs the participation of the professional investors playing the roles of leading and intervening the market at the time of unbalance for the supply and demand relationship. In the last time, the securities market was not really a channel to mobilize midterm and longterm capital for the economy due to some causes as the following: . The barriers from the state policies for issuing stocks to the public, the procedures are too complicated, lacking legal bases for the issues resulting from the stock issuing process. . The difference between lending interests from the banks and expected divident of the stockholders is not high. Therefore, capital mobilization through the securities market is rather expensive and difficult to implement. . The information announcement in the market has a lot of shortages such as: information is not exact and timely,… . The OTC market is formed without management. Therefore, the transactions in the OTC market taken place under many forms and having high risks for the investors. From above analyses, to make Viet Nam securities market really becoming a capital mobilization channel for the economic development, it needs to solve the following issues: - Strengthening the management and supervising mechanism for announcing information in the market, creating a transparent market helping investors be able to make decisions based on the full, exact and systematic information. - Continuing to perfect the legal corridor for the market, forming the stable and consistent legal environment for the stock business. Strengthening the efficiency of the legal documents in the stock business area. Pushing forward the auditing and monitoring works and punish strongly for the violations. - Establishing an attractive environment for the investors, listed companies, fund management companies, stock companies through the build of stable 24 economic environment, avoiding the frequently changes of policies which will create the negative attitude to the government. Besides, the SSC should not intervene too deep into the operations of the members in the markets. - Developing the OTC market by improving experiences of the market participants, the level of paying attention and understandings of the public. On the other hand, re-organizing the market to increase stock supply for the investors, facilitating for the companies which are not able to list to have a chance to access the market. However, the OTC market development must be accompany with the close management, such as: + Asking all public companies (including those not listed yet) to register to the Stock Center; organizing for train, listing openly, in the same time require to audit, announcement information and corporate governance under the rules of the Law on Securities. Applying the measures to punish violations according to the new regulations for the cases which do not register and comply with the current rules. + Implementing concentrated deposit and register for the public companies to reduce payment risks in the free market. + Applying the Proposal for transactions to stocks which are not listed yet, using stock companies as clues, shifting transactions to the Hanoi SEC and implementing deposit payment though Center of Stock Deposit. Step by step making the free market’s activities open and gradually attaching to the official market. + Submitting the government to promulgate solutions on separate issuing and free transaction, in which suggesting the Ministry of Planning and Investment and the Ministry of Finance to issue the Decree to guide the Law on Enterprises on separate issuing and release on the website the financial situation of the company,... - In fact, in the both transaction floors Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi, the amount of listed stocks has reached nearly 200 codes. However, the amount of the listed companies which have large chapter capital are still moderate. 3.3 The measures to mitigate risks, guarantee stability and avoid big and sudden changes of the securities market Firstly, the governement plays a role as a person to direct information and lead the market. The government should not use administrative measures to interfer into the securities market, but should provide to the public timely and objective information through the media to adjust the securities market’s behaviours. 25 Secondly, adjusting the market by relevant tools. One function of the State Capital Investment Coporation to mobilize domestic and foreign capital sources in order to supplement business capital through issuance of corporate bonds or project bonds, or setting up of investment trust funds can be used as a tool to interfer into the securities market. Thirdly, Guaranteeing safety for the whole system. The development of the securities market always relates closely with the other parts of the financial market, especially the banking system. Therefore, it’s necessary to tie the measures to make sure safety for the entire banking system. Fourthly, developing and implementing the derivative tools on securities. These derivative tools include: options, swap and futures. However, the development of these tools requires the support of the advanced and modern technology. In the development condition for the Vietnam securities market at present, applying gradually the derivative tools are possible and relevant. 26