Table of contents Introduction .................................................................................................................... 4 Methodology .................................................................................................................... 5 An historical outline of diplomacy ................................................................................ 8 The resident embassy ............................................................................................................... 8 The French system .................................................................................................................. 10 The ministry of foreign affairs ................................................................................................. 11 Public diplomacy .......................................................................................................... 11 Goals of public diplomacy ....................................................................................................... 13 Public diplomacy and propaganda .......................................................................................... 14 The established diplomacy and public diplomacy .................................................................. 14 Three dimensions of public diplomacy ................................................................................... 16 News management ............................................................................................................. 16 Strategic communications ................................................................................................... 17 Relationship building ........................................................................................................... 18 Nation branding ............................................................................................................ 19 On branding............................................................................................................................. 20 Limits to nation branding ........................................................................................................ 21 Planning branding campaigns ................................................................................................. 22 Cultural diplomacy ....................................................................................................... 22 Theory ............................................................................................................................ 24 Soft Power ............................................................................................................................... 25 Power .................................................................................................................................. 25 The three chessboards of power......................................................................................... 28 Growing importance of soft power ..................................................................................... 30 1 Soft power and public diplomacy........................................................................................ 31 Neorealism .............................................................................................................................. 33 Human behavior .................................................................................................................. 34 State structure..................................................................................................................... 34 International anarchy .......................................................................................................... 35 The international political system ....................................................................................... 36 On anarchy .......................................................................................................................... 38 On socialization ................................................................................................................... 38 Constructivism......................................................................................................................... 39 The Hobbesian culture ........................................................................................................ 40 The Lockean culture ............................................................................................................ 43 The Kantian culture ............................................................................................................. 44 The socialization of international relations......................................................................... 48 Summary ............................................................................................................................. 49 Analysis .......................................................................................................................... 50 Application of soft power ........................................................................................................ 50 New ways of conducting diplomacy.................................................................................... 51 More efficient in reaching foreign policy goals ................................................................... 52 Breakthrough in international relations.............................................................................. 52 Summary ............................................................................................................................. 53 Application of neorealism ....................................................................................................... 53 New ways of conducting diplomacy.................................................................................... 54 More efficient in reaching foreign policy goals ................................................................... 54 Summary ............................................................................................................................. 55 Application of constructivism.................................................................................................. 55 New ways of conducting diplomacy.................................................................................... 56 2 More efficient in reaching foreign policy goals ................................................................... 56 Breakthrough in international relations.............................................................................. 57 Summary ............................................................................................................................. 57 Conclusion ..................................................................................................................... 58 Abstract of “The New Era of Diplomacy: The Effects of Public Diplomacy, Nation Branding and Cultural Diplomacy” ........................................................................... 64 3 Introduction During my internship at the Danish Embassy in Tokyo in 2007 I learned that public diplomacy is one of the most important concepts in the Danish Ministry of Foreign Affairs at the moment. This is underlined by the recent opening of the public diplomacy division in the ministry, who orchestrates the total public diplomacy effort by the foreign ministry in close cooperation with the representations abroad. (Ministry of Foreign Affairs of Denmark) At the embassy public diplomacy was mentioned on a daily basis, but when asked directly nobody could really give a fulfilling answer for what it constituted and what aspects it included. There I later found out it was often mixed up completely with nation branding initiatives and advertisement in general. This lack of complete understanding for a topic everybody talked about but nobody seemed to be able to define completely sparked my interest to go deeper in the topic. This tendency is not restricted to Denmark alone. Public diplomacy is increasingly gaining importance in several ministries of foreign affairs especially in the more economically developed countries – notably Canada, Norway and the United States all have a very well developed public diplomacy. The United States has it for quite obvious reasons as it has the biggest foreign service and because they are often engaged deeper with several different areas around the world than many other states. Norway and Canada on the other hand are more interesting in this relation as they both have comparatively smaller foreign services yet they have chosen to become among the leading trend setters in relation to public diplomacy. Furthermore France is noteworthy as they have the world’s largest funding for cultural diplomacy – which is a close relative of public diplomacy. The reason for the increasingly central placement of this former niche area of the diplomatic effort has been the recognition of the value of winning the hearts and minds of the people and the growing importance of civil society in international relations. So the ministries of foreign affairs have to widen their focus and not just concentrate their efforts on foreign government offices and the multilateral diplomacy. (Melissen 2007: xvii-xxii) 4 A concept linked to, yet very different from, public diplomacy is that of nation branding. This is an approach where governments and the foreign services have been inspired by modern marketing concepts such as brand creation. The thought is that it is possible to mould people’s perception of a state or organization by using some of the same tools as commercial enterprises use to sell their products. Even though the approach seems increasingly popular amongst western states it is difficult to come by solid proof that it is working or that it is beneficial to use commercial approaches like this in politics. It is quite symptomatic that focus to a higher extent Is moving away from the traditional approaches of the ministry of foreign affairs. There is a wide tendency to ‘think outside the box’ in conducting foreign relation policies – with very varying degrees of success. Furthermore the ministries of foreign affairs in a wide range of countries are trying to combat previous stigma of being closed, secretive and elitist and there seems to be an increasing awareness of the importance of mass media and public opinion. The thesis will try to uncover why these new approaches to conducting diplomacy and maintaining or creating good foreign relations have emerged and how significant a role they are and will be playing in international relations. Furthermore it will be explored whether the importance of the ministries of foreign affairs can be deemed as increasing or decreasing. The problem formulation of the thesis will be as follows: “Why have several ministries of foreign affairs lately made moves to reinvent themselves and have been introducing several new ways of conducting diplomacy? Is the increased focus on mass media and public relations more successful in reaching foreign policy goals compared to the traditional means of diplomatic practice and can this constitute a breakthrough in international relations?” Methodology This chapter will describe in what way the main problem will be approached – including which theories will be used and what role they play in the thesis, which data will be used and the analytical approach. It is the hope that this chapter will help give a 5 logical framework for the thesis, will help clarify why the thesis is structured the way it is and why this is a suitable way to reach a conclusion. The theories which will be used to analyze the problem are all based in quite conventional theories within international relations – neorealism, neoliberalism and constructivism. The latter two theories have been chosen because they can both be conducive to the analysis of the problem instead of dismissing the importance of public diplomacy, nation branding and similar concepts right away – which a theory like neorealism would have a tendency to do. Within neoliberalism the main concept used will be Joseph S. Nye’s soft power, which stresses the existence and importance of other power factors than military and economic might – which he terms hard power. The acknowledgement of the power of attractiveness being just as military and economic power and worth competing over will help justify the existence and growing importance of public diplomacy, nation branding and other communicative strategies of conducting foreign affairs and will ultimately – it is hoped – provide a path to understanding whether these approaches signify a more effective way of achieving foreign policy goals compared to traditional diplomatic tools. Constructivism will be used as it can possibly attribute even more importance to the increased focus on dialogue and communication in international relations than neoliberalism and soft power can. The reason for this being that constructivism is more open to the potential change of the most basic of mechanisms in international relations. Therefore it will be explored whether the new approaches might be a tool of states to change the most basic premises of the community of states in the world of today. The final theory utilized in the thesis will be neorealism. The choice has fallen upon this theory to maintain a critical view of the new communicative approaches to diplomacy and international relations and question the importance of it altogether. Furthermore it will pose counter arguments to the other two theories and thereby help driving forth the analysis and discussion of the problem. 6 It is standing out that the choices of theories are all very state-centred which might be considered as quite old-fashioned, but taking the problem formulation in to account this is the most obvious way to approach the problem. As focus is on the traditional diplomacy and its utilization of these new concepts the theoretical focus will therefore also need to be centred on state agents. Even though international organizations, NGOs, big business and civil society in general all can be involved in both public diplomacy, nation branding or cultural diplomacy in one way or the other focus remains on state institutions and their views on international relations. After this chapter of methodology the empirical chapters will follow. These will include a short outline of the development of traditional diplomacy and ministries of foreign affairs which will set the setting from where the new concepts will have to be viewed in relations to the scope of the thesis. The short outline will be followed by a presentation of the three communicative aspects of the new way of conducting diplomacy, namely – public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy. The main focus will be on the concept of public diplomacy as this must be deemed the most significant new approach to diplomacy and foreign affairs. Cultural diplomacy is not a new concept in international relations but will be presented together with public diplomacy and nation branding nonetheless as it is so closely related to these and overlaps the two other concepts in several areas. After the empirical chapter the three theories mentioned above will be presented and discussed after which the analysis will follow. In the analysis the explanatory models of the three theories above will be applied to the empirical evidence and will be poised against each other. The analysis will generally be quite heavy on the theoretical side as the new public diplomacy in particular still is a fairly new phenomenon and difficult to measure in general so undisputable empirical evidence is generally limited and difficult to come by. Furthermore it is the theoretical discussion which is truly the most interesting aspect of the possibilities of public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy, as this cannot be answered unless one has a clear understanding, or rather belief, of how the dynamics of international relations truly work and whether the mechanisms are static or not. As an extension to this, the data which will be used in the thesis will be of a secondary character. 7 An historical outline of diplomacy As the main premise of this thesis is involving the changed focus of the traditional diplomatic institutions an outline of how diplomacy was established and evolved is essential to maintain the relevance of the problem itself. Furthermore expanding this historical outline to cover diplomacy in general is thought to provide a fundamental basis of understanding for how public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy potentially might benefit from the diplomatic machinery already in place – i.e. the contacts and reputation of the embassies and to a lesser extent the consulates might have. Diplomacy is as old as civilization itself, with the first signs of rudimentary diplomatic activity taking place as long ago as possibly the fourth millennium BC in the near and middle east. At this time the diplomatic activity was quite sporadic as communication over long distances by traders and messengers was very slow and unpredictable. In antiquity diplomatic practice began to evolve both in frequency and in mutually accepted norms – such as diplomatic immunity. This can possibly be attributed to the multitude of small – usually coastal – Greek city states compared to the large inland empires of the ancient Near and Middle East. (Berridge 2005: 1-2) The resident embassy During the middle ages the diplomatic system had entrenched itself into two main types of envoys – the nuncius and the plenipotentiary. The plenipotentiary was travelling as the direct representative of his liege usually of high nobility and had full negotiation powers whereas the nuncius was limited to delivering a message. Sending off an embassy each time negotiations between states would take place became very expensive and troublesome due to the pomp and often quarrels between the negotiators about precedence and ceremony. Partly due to this the resident embassy was born in the Italian city states in the late fifteenth century. It was also soon discovered that not only was having a resident embassy within a state cost effective but also beneficial in the creation of contacts, creating a better understanding of the state and thereby creating an invaluable source of information. (Berridge 2005: 108-109) 8 Contemporary of the creation of the resident embassy was the infamous political philosopher and career diplomat Niccolo Machiavelli and, although he didn’t spend much time theorizing about diplomacy as such, he had some interesting opinions on diplomatic practice which illustrate the crossroads of which Italy around 1500 can be seen. Machiavelli believed in permanent diplomacy within all courts important to a country – both with friends and foes, as you never could know when a friend turned into a foe. Even though Machiavelli was in favor of the new modern resident diplomacy his ideas were in many ways far from what would later become the widely accepted diplomatic norms. For one he was in strong favor frequent use of deception and bribery to achieve goals – which in later diplomatic practice would be advised against as it in the long run would ruin the reputation and credibility of the embassy and in turn their home government. Also, he didn’t see the diplomat as being part of an international system but rather merely serving selfish interests for the diplomat himself and for the state he served in what he saw as the almost continuous state of war between states. (Berridge 2001: 21-24) A later but very important diplomatic thinker was the de facto ruler of France 16241642 – Cardinal Richelieu. He was a strong proponent of diplomacy and preferred it much to the use of brute force, particularly Richelieu is known for his concept of continuous negotiation. By this he means that the state must have diplomatic representations in all courts – even where it doesn’t seem worthwhile. Furthermore the representations shall not be limited to gathering information but must conduct negotiations at all times to reach objectives even where the objective seems difficult if not impossible to reach or where no interesting objectives are to be found. Negotiations doesn’t necessarily have to take place along the established channels either they can be done in secrecy too if that is preferable. But the most important goal for Richelieu is the reputation of the state and the sovereign – who is the embodiment of the state. Through the vast network of diplomatic representations France in this case would have a large amount of diplomatic agents speaking the case of their home country in all countries. The continuous negotiation is therefore in many cases only secondarily intended to achieve specific political or economic goals, but primarily a way of advocating the viewpoints of the French state and increase awareness and perhaps in time support for these causes. (Berridge 2001: 71-82) 9 Richelieu can in this regard be seen as much ahead of his time as much of his continuous negotiation concept can be seen as a form of proto-nation branding or public diplomacy centuries before these concepts were even coined. The French system As the diplomatic practice became more ingrown it began to be institutionalized. As Richelieu had recommended diplomatic representations had become more widespread and permanent and the role of the resident embassy gradually increased its status – where it previously primarily was the occasional special envoys that had the highest status it was now the ambassador. This institutionalization of diplomatic practice created a sense of professionalism and collegiality between the diplomats in the different capitals – the notion of the diplomatic corps was created. The diplomatic corps became a valuable source of information for all involved diplomats as well as having some similarities with a trade union as all the diplomats had some similar interests, such as maintaining the diplomatic immunity. (Berridge 2005: 112) Another development introduced with the French system of diplomacy was that of secrecy. Negotiations generally began to be held in secrecy in order for both parties to have a bit more leeway in the process without having too much interference from the negotiators home governments or from public sentiment. This secret style of negotiation was favored because usually both parties of a negotiation would need to give in on some areas to reach a deal. This would be easier to present to their government and in turn the public after the deal had been struck. Unfortunately this also stigmatized the diplomatic corps as being closed and unapproachably, which is a reputation that might limit their success in public diplomacy unless the image undergoes a change. As the diplomatic practice had become institutionalized some dilemmas became visibly. One of the main dilemmas was the tradeoff between experience and loyalty. The longer time a diplomat was stationed at a location the larger chance he had of establishing an invaluable network of contacts and gains a deeper understanding of the place he was stationed. On the other hand, diplomats who were stationed at the same location for long stretches of time ran the risk of going native. This means that the diplomat can 10 begin to have more sympathetic views of the policies and viewpoints of the place he is stationed rather than his home government. To avoid this, ministries of foreign affairs generally imposed a time limit for how long a diplomat could be allowed to be stationed at the same location, which still is in effect to this day. (Berridge 2005: 110-114) The ministry of foreign affairs The ministry of foreign affairs is a fairly new invention in the world of diplomatic practice. Even though the first ministry of foreign affairs was created by Cardinal Richelieu in France it didn’t spread that much before the end of the eighteenth century, when the ministries were opened in countries such as United Kingdom and the newly independent United States. It wasn’t until the nineteenth century real importance can be put on the ministry. The reason for the creation of the ministries has primarily been to standardize diplomatic procedures, create consistency in policies and provide analysis of reports received from the diplomatic representations. In many countries there has been a sharp distinction between the work of the ministry at home and the work of the representations abroad – often separate career paths within each sector. Smaller countries tend to have the areas mixed though. (Berridge 2005: 5-8) Ministries of foreign affairs are usually the entity organizing and planning strategies of public diplomacy though they will also include several other organizations, institutions and other groupings. Below follows a more in depth presentation of public diplomacy and how it is practiced. Public diplomacy As it has been made clear above, diplomatic practice has always been centered on official bilateral or multilateral channels of communication between states and has usually been shrouded in secrecy. While this traditional diplomacy will continue to be essential for states to conduct their foreign relations, several governments have begun to realize that it is necessary not only to target foreign governments in their efforts to reach foreign policy goals. One of the most notable products of this realization has been the 11 growth of public diplomacy – i.e. diplomacy targeted not at foreign governments but rather at selected segments of foreign publics. The practitioners of public diplomacy will utilize several tools in their efforts to clarify the policies of their government to avoid misunderstandings based on propaganda or lack of information in the hope of eventually winning the hearts and minds of foreign publics. This chapter will go in depth with the exploration of public diplomacy goals and tools. (Ross 2002: 75-77) New public diplomacy is based on a number of principles which distinguishes it clearly from other related topics. These principles can help to give a basic overview of the concept and are as follows: 1. “dialogue, not monologue. To awaken understanding and wanting to understand 2. integration in the other diplomacy from the beginning 3. cooperation with non-state partners 4. work after the network method, not the hierarchical method 5. coherence between the public diplomacy work at home and abroad 6. tailored solutions for assignments: “There is no common definition or common behavior which fits everyone.” 7. honest and reliable information, not propaganda 8. observer role, i.e. registration of other countries’ behavior in the area with later reporting back to the home country.”1 (Andreasen 2007: 38-39) This diverse concept occupying the crossroads between communication strategy, propaganda, cultural diplomacy and traditional diplomatic practice will be presented and explored in further detail in this chapter. The aim of the chapter is to provide a thorough basis for a later analysis of this and related diplomatic/communicative 1 Translated from Danish: 1: dialog , ikke monolog. At vække til forståelse og at ville forstå 2: integration i det øvrige diplomati fra startfasen 3: samarbejde med ikke-statslige partnere 4: arbejde efter netværksmetoden, ikke den hierarkiske metode 5: sammenhæng mellem public diplomacy-arbejdet i hjemlandet og udland 6: skræddersyede opgaveløsninger: ”Der er ingen fælles definition eller fælles adfærd som passer alle.” 7: ærlige og pålidelige informationer, ikke propaganda 8: observatørrolle, dvs. registrering af andre landes adfærd på området med efterfølgende indberetning til den hjemlige instans. 12 practices in order to conclude whether it is a more effective means of reaching foreign policy goals or not. Goals of public diplomacy Public diplomacy can make impacts on several levels depending on how successful the public diplomacy initiatives are conducted, for how long they run and how many resources are invested in them. The possible achievements for public diplomacy are listed below in a hierarchical order: “Increasing people’s familiarity with one’s country (making them think about it, updating their images, turning around unfavourable opinions) Increasing people’s appreciation of one’s country (creating positive perceptions, getting others to see issues of global importance from the same perspective) Engaging people with one’s country (strengthening ties – from education reform to scientific co-operation; encouraging people to see us as an attractive destination for tourism, study, distance learning; getting them to buy our products; getting to understand and subscribe to our values) Influencing people (getting companies to invest, publics to back our positions or politicians to turn to us as a favoured partner)” (Leonard 2002: 9-10) So the goals of public diplomacy can span a vast area from basically introducing the country to targeted audiences or dispelling any misperceptions they might have about it to actively engaging people with the country by attracting people there for sightseeing, studies or making investments or political deals. The hopes of what to expect of public diplomacy initiatives relies on how the relations already are and in which areas mainly are sought strengthened – be it political, economic or cultural relations. 13 Public diplomacy and propaganda It can be tempting to see public diplomacy as a more easily digestible term for what has always gone under the name of propaganda. Although the concepts are related in that they both seek to affect the opinions of foreign publics they are, needless to say, very different too. Generally speaking, propaganda seeks to narrow down the horizon of people by trying to mould their minds through any means necessary while public diplomacy strives to open the minds of people through information and education. Public diplomacy of course has the motives to broaden the minds of people in what they see as the right direction and has a specific agenda but it can be more helpful to see it as counter-propaganda or the breaking down of prejudices the receiver has of the sender. Public diplomacy has furthermore borrowed crucial experiences from the conventional diplomacy – namely lies and disinformation is in the long run very counter-productive and should never be done. As soon as diplomatic practitioners are caught in spreading disinformation in any area it undermines all their work and the messages they have been trying to send out. (Melissen 2007: 16-19) A final distinction between propaganda and public diplomacy is, while propaganda continuously spreads messages to its targeted audiences public diplomacy utilizes a two-way communication strategy. Practitioners of public diplomacy has to listen to what their audiences thinks and has to say about them and their governments, since this will provide them more credibility and opportunity to continuously tailor the messages they are sending out to have the biggest positive impact. The key is not the amount of information sent out but rather finding out the most effective way to deliver the correct message by the right means to achieve the best result. An understanding of the situation and general viewpoints of different segments of the target population has to be developed in order to achieve these results. (Leonard 2002: 46-49) The established diplomacy and public diplomacy The emergence of the new public diplomacy has created a vast array of conundrums for the established diplomatic community and their ministries of foreign affairs. One of the biggest challenges in this regard is how to integrate this new area in the diplomatic 14 organization. The very nature of public diplomacy is to seem open and outreaching which historically has not been one of the strongest suits of the diplomatic corps – who always has had an aura of secrecy and inapproachability about it. This is because as mentioned earlier partly because it has previously been necessary for them to conduct negotiations with counterparts and to investigate situations of the countries they are stationed in – neither of which is an area conducive to a culture of openness. (Hocking 2007: 35-40) The reason openness is a necessity for successful public diplomacy is not only that it targets foreign publics but also that it is useful to include other organizations in parts of the public diplomacy strategies. Cooperation with NGOs, the private sector (including mass media) or other state organizations (i.e. ministries of education, trade/economy or culture) are all obvious means of enhancing the impacts of the strategies as the ministries of foreign affairs will inevitably have limited resources and connections. (van Ham 2003: 432-433) These groupings and organizations are necessary to include in any public diplomacy strategy as they have expertise knowledge in areas the ministry of foreign affairs and their staff lacks. Furthermore the incorporation of NGOs and civil society can give an aura of credibility to public diplomacy initiatives which government officials would never be able to do – especially towards potentially hostile population segments. The involvement of non-governmental actors should both include people and organizations in the sending and receiving countries and could include journalists, universities, individual academics, businessmen or artists just to mention a few. The most interesting for public diplomacy planners are to get people and organizations involved with the strategy in the receiving country, but it will often be necessary to recruit people in the sending country first to give the initiative credibility. One of the big challenges for the traditional diplomacy will therefore be to include more actors and begin to show more openness. (Riordan 2007: 90-91) 15 Three dimensions of public diplomacy Public diplomacy activities can roughly be divided in to three dimensions depending on the specific needs in different scenarios. These three dimensions are reactive, proactive and relationship building – and can be directed towards the political/military, economic or societal/cultural areas or any combination of these. The reactive variation of public diplomacy practice centers on news management and is a very short term strategy to spread the official opinion of the government about any news affecting it in any way. The proactive approach is a medium term strategy to actively create positive news regarding any messages governments want to send out – for example through the organization of events and activities. Finally the relationship building approach is the long term strategy to create, maintain and improve relations between foreign people and the sending country. This takes years of funding of programs of for example scholarship sponsoring. Below follows a more in depth presentation of the three dimensions. (Leonard 2002: 10-11) News management This dimension of public diplomacy includes a short term rapid response strategy. The main idea behind this approach is that when something happens in the world which might affect people’s perception of a government it is necessary to react fast and ensure the government’s official positions are explained and clarified to the public. One major obstacle for this approach is that it is very difficult to tailor a message to a certain group of people as most people around the world will have access to more or less the same information and will also hear what government officials has to say about an issue. This can be illustrated very well with following quote of Colin Powell about his time in the Gulf War where he told his staff: “’Remember, when we are out there on television, communicating instantaneously around the world, we’re talking to five audiences.’ One, the reporters who ask the question – important audience. Second audience, the American people who are watching. The third audience, 170 capitals who may have an interest in what the subject is. Fourth, you are talking to your enemy. It was a unique situation to know that your 16 enemy was getting the clearest indication of your intentions by watching you on television at the same time you were giving that message. And fifth, you were talking to the troops. Their lives were on the line.” (Leonard 2002: 12-13) This illustrates the dilemma practitioners of public diplomacy faces when confronted with conventional mass media. It is problematic to convey a message in a rhetoric which will not be misconstrued by some of the audience. The public diplomacy plans can easily be scrapped in favor of pleasing domestic crowds. A way to direct the correct communication to a chosen foreign public or grouping in another country to the fullest effect is to increase support and potentially funding for local media. By funneling the messages which is in correlation with the public diplomacy strategy through local media with a limited audience, it is easier to tailor a message which will provide a satisfactory result in relation to this local audience. This approach can be enhanced further if one of the locals convey this message as the audience will believe more in one of their own than in foreign government representatives – especially in areas hostile towards the sending government. (Hoffman 2002: 91-93) Strategic communications This dimension of public diplomacy represents the medium-term strategy which lasts for months at a time. This approach emphasizes on setting the news agenda instead of just responding to what is happening and can be done through events or organizing advertisement campaigns – where public diplomacy begins to overlap towards its related concept of nation branding. The strategic communication strategy can be aimed at improving relations in either political, economical and cultural areas or any combination of these. Events could be anything from hosting the Olympics or a summit on global warming depending on what image a country would like to promote. The main difference from the first dimension here is thereby that it in the second dimension is possible for the actor to put more planning and consideration in to the messages they send out and can more easily target the people and organizations they would like to affect with the message or image they send out. A problem within this 17 area in the meantime is that different state organizations will often have diverging interests in what image they want to promote. An example here could be whether to promote a country’s more traditional sides to promote tourism or the more modern sides to promote investments. (Leonard 2002: 11, 14-17) A first hand example of this was the dilemma the commercial section of the Danish embassy in Japan was standing in when they had they were publishing the magazine Hello Denmark to the Japanese public. As the two main interests for the Danish strategy towards Japan was to attract investments and to increase tourism, they had to promote an image of an idyllic country with small villages and a highly technologically modern country well worthwhile investing in. Relationship building The third and last dimension of public diplomacy is relationship building – this is the most long term strategy used and is potentially the most significant. The relationship building programs stretches over years and is aimed at giving deep insight to a select group of people of one’s country through various schemes such as scholarships and network creation. A notable element to this approach is that the planning governmental organization plays a secondary/facilitating role as the approach is mainly focused on establishing networks between likeminded people across borders – be it politicians, academics, artists or businessmen. A truly successful relationship building public diplomacy effort will be very costly as it will have to administer, plan and sponsor the exchange of a significant amount of people in order for it to have a decent impact. (Leonard 2002: 18-20) Probably the most important relationship building scheme is educational exchange. If governments set up beneficial conditions for foreigners to come to their country to study for months or years they are sure to get a nuanced picture of the country they are staying. These will possibly then function as de facto ambassadors for the country they had been towards their friends or families. An added bonus is that some of these people who had been enjoying the benefits of such an exchange program might rise to prominent positions within their own countries. It is estimated that 1500 cabinet-level 18 ministers and 200 current and former heads of state has been participating in the American International Visitors Program. (Ross 2003: 27) A potentially very important area to create ties and foster communication is between political parties across borders. Facilitating meetings between members of similar political parties and not just government officials and cabinet members will likely provide increased understanding both between politicians but could secondarily affect the message these politicians send out to their respective constituencies. An example of this is Konrad Adenauer Stiftung which is a German organization which promotes contact between Christian Democrat parties in different countries and is funded by the state. (Leonard 2002b: 55) Nation branding Branding has for years been a buzzword in the business world and companies – big and small alike – has channeled significant funds into the creation of their own brand and increase brand-recognition. Before long this marketing approach has begun to spread to the state sphere and the practice of location branding has arisen, with states hiring branding consultants from the private sector. This new tendency has arisen at the crossroads of public relations and international relations and for this reason ought to be viewed together with the other communicative approaches of dealing with international relations. (van Ham 2002: 249) The increasing globalization has created a sharper competition between states as it has become increasingly difficult to stand out from the others and governments have therefore sought ways to increase their own relative competitive edge in relation with their neighbors. Nation branding has here been a welcomed way to try to stand out from other comparable countries. This chapter will go more in depth with how nation branding originated and how it is practiced. (Cerny 2007: 272-273) The idea of nation branding and the brand state is in a way not that new a concept. In a way the creation of nations in itself is a kind of branding. When states began to be transformed to nation-states primarily in the nineteenth century many strategies similar 19 to branding strategies were utilized. The creation of a national flag, a national anthem or a constitution all helped setting the country apart from the others and created a kind of national identity both for people viewing the state from the outside as well as its citizens. (van Ham 2002: 259-260) One of the main differences between the creation of nations in the 19th century and the nation branding of the 21st century is that the creation of national ideas were primarily planned to affect the inhabitants of the state whereas the nation branding initiatives are directed towards foreign publics and corporations. On branding Before moving on it is necessary to explore the concept of branding in itself before putting it in a national and international context. Branding is in its origin a part of an advertisement terminology. Advertisement tries to deliver a message that a certain product has a certain quality or promotes awareness about the product. Branding is taking this a step further by adding some emotional value to the product and making the product tell a story. This does not necessarily have to have anything to do with the primary product function as such and the quality does not necessarily have to be better than similar products. People’s perception of the product is what counts and by adding some sort of emotional value to it will make it stand out from the rest as it has its very own story to tell the consumer. With successful branding strategies and increased brandrecognition there will be an added value to it. The idea behind nation or location branding is to give an added value to a country, to a region or to an organization. The added value comes from the general perception people around the world has about the country. They might see it as an environmentally friendly country, technologically developed country or a very artistic country. Nation branding is the conscious effort of state officials to define/redefine peoples’ understanding and view of their country. (van Ham 2004: 2-3) It is suggested that there are four main reasons why it is a good idea to consider creating a brand and they are as follows: 20 “…(1) products, services and locations have become so alike that they can no longer differentiate themselves by their quality, reliability and other basic traits. Branding adds emotion and trust to these ‘products’, thereby offering clues that make consumers’ choices somewhat easier; (2) this emotional relationship between brand and consumer ensures loyalty to the brand; (3) by creating an aspiration lifestyle, branding offers a kind of Ersatz for ideologies and political programmes that have lost their relevance; and (4) the combination of emotions, relationships and lifestyle (values) allows a brand to charge a price premium for their products, services and locations, which would otherwise hardly be distinguishable from generics.” (van Ham 2002: 251) So in short these reasons for embarking on brand creation campaigns are to set the location apart from so many other similar locations and through this making people’s perception of the location more favorable than to any other place and making sure they will consider the place if they are planning a holiday, considering where to invest or any other possible interaction with the place. By tying values to the locations the added value will also come out of it and people will suddenly pay much more to go to one holiday island instead of the neighboring one because of its brand recognition. Limits to nation branding It is not possible for a state to completely freely decide on what image they want to show to the outside world as people around the world will likely already have some perceptions of the country. These perceptions cover both countries people might know a lot about such as ideas of Germany being a strict and efficient country or United Kingdom being a conservative and traditionalist country or countries people might just have a faint idea about. Estonia has for example struggled with getting rid of the stigma of being a post-Soviet state through trying to brand itself as a pre-EU or Scandinavian state. These mainstream views of a country can either be good or bad for a country and the state can therefore try to get rid of or enhance the image. The German brand for example has been good economically for the automotive sector as the cars made in Germany will have a higher perceived value than the car made in Ukraine – it matters less if the German car really is better than the Ukrainian one. The United Kingdom on the other hand has generally had a bad brand economically resulting in for example 21 British Airways and British Telecom changing their names to BA and BT in an effort to hide their country of origin. (van Ham 2002: 261-263) Planning branding campaigns The planning of nation branding campaigns poses several areas which are necessary to consider. One main point is considering which interests a country and its inhabitants have primarily. Even though nation branding campaigns could be designed to promote a country’s art or cultural activities, three main areas tend to be in focus when considering a nation branding campaign – namely the promotion of foreign direct investments, exports or tourism. The strategy aimed primarily at increasing export usually promotes a branding campaign which will increase the values of its major industries – be it cars, agricultural products or the entertainment industry. A campaign focused on attracting more foreign direct investments will likely be more state centered through advertizing campaigns using relevant media. Finally a tourism centered brand creation campaign will often have a very different approach than the export oriented campaign as it would want to signal other values. When considering how to orchestrate a nation branding campaign it will most likely be very unsuccessful if it is only based in state institution but should rather be planned by both the public and private sector alike as well as inclusion of any cultural venues/organizations will be of significant interest. (Olins 2007: 172-179) Cultural diplomacy The third and final communicative diplomatic approach to be explored is that of cultural diplomacy. Cultural diplomacy stands out from the other two concepts – public diplomacy and nation branding – in that it is not a fairly new concept like the others, but it is just as old as traditional diplomacy itself. When relations were maintained between states there would always have been an exchange of ideas, language, art and religion taking place to mention but a few. (Arndt 2005: 1-2) Cultural diplomacy is in short the official effort to facilitate exchange and spread of culture around the world whether it is within music, art, philosophy or values. The effort 22 to spread one’s culture can have several different causes such as economic promotion or the hope of transferring one’s values to people in other countries and thereby create better relations. Of this reason cultural diplomacy can be seen as overlapping public diplomacy significantly. (U.S. Department of State 2005: 1-7) Different governments attribute very different importance to cultural diplomacy but often it has been a quite neglected niche area compared to the more traditional diplomatic activities. In the United States for example it has since the end of the Cold War been a much neglected area despite rhetoric stating otherwise – cultural diplomacy saw several significant budget cuts throughout the 1990s and the cultural diplomacy organization USIA was even closed down. Other countries have practiced a more successful cultural diplomacy than the United States – amongst these United Kingdom, Germany and the former Soviet Union. Most noteworthy though is France with an annual spending on cultural diplomacy of more than one billion US dollars and postions in the French cultural diplomacy is very prestigious. (Schneider 2007: 156-158) An important note on cultural diplomacy and cultural exchange is that cultural exchange does not necessarily constitute cultural diplomacy. The key word in this relation is diplomacy – the cultural exchange has to take its basis in an official initiative for it to be classified as cultural diplomacy. The reason for this being that non-official cultural exchange might bring the same or better benefits than the officially planned and funded exchanges, but they are too erratic and unpredictable to include in measuring the success or failure of cultural rapprochement. (Andreasen 2007: 62-63) Following quote finely describes the definition and importance of cultural diplomacy as follows: “Cultural diplomacy may be defined as the use of various elements of culture to influence foreign publics, opinion makers, and even foreign leaders. These elements comprehend the entire range of characteristics within a culture: including the arts, education, ideas, history, science, medicine, technology, religion, customs, manners, commerce, philanthropy, sports, language, professional vocations, hobbies, etc. and the various media by which these elements may be communicated. Cultural diplomacy seeks to harness these elements to influence foreigners in several ways: to have a 23 positive view of the United States, its people, its culture, and its policies…” (Lenczowski 2007: 196) This signifies how very diverse the area of cultural diplomacy is and how vast an area it is used to influence. Furthermore it gives a better idea of how closely related this area is with that of public diplomacy. They do clearly overlap in several areas even if they are not the same. After these presentations of public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy an in depth presentation of the three theories used in the analysis will be presented – namely soft power, neorealism and constructivism. Theory In this chapter the three theories which will be used as tools of the analysis will be presented and discussed. The first neoliberalism will be presented and more specifically the concept of soft power, which has been developed by the prominent neoliberal theorist Joseph S. Nye. This section will explain how public diplomacy possibly can work as a tool of the state to promote its soft power – the power of attractiveness – and how this power is just as relevant as the hard power of military and economy. The second theory which will be presented will be neorealism primarily on the basis of Kenneth Waltz. The use of neorealism is primarily intended as a way to keep a critical approach towards public diplomacy and maintain a counterargument towards the other two theories which are more positive to public diplomacy. Neorealism will not attribute much importance to public diplomacy – at best it will be a decent appendix to real power politics. The third and final theory presented will be constructivism as it has been developed by Alexander Wendt. This theory will break away from both neoliberalism and neorealism and be able to deliver the most positive approach to public diplomacy as constructivism possibly is the most open theory of international relations towards potential change in the most basic mechanisms of international affairs. 24 After the presentation of the three theories the analytical chapter will follow where each theory will be attempted applied to the areas of public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy. Soft Power One of the central concepts developed by Joseph S. Nye, who is amongst the most prominent theorists within the Neoliberal theory, is soft power. This concept was for the first time presented in 1990 in Bound to Lead and has since been developed into its final form as presented in Soft Power – the means to success in world politics from 2004. Soft power is best explained when contrasted against its counterpart – hard power. Where hard power is signified by the utilization of sheer force and coercion to reach certain objectives, the more indirect soft power is a way of reaching the goal through persuasion and cooperation – soft power uses carrots rather than sticks so to speak. One thing the two have in common though is the term power. (Nye 2004: xi, 5-6) Joseph S. Nye is educated from Princeton, Oxford and Harvard Universities and has been publishing works related to theory of international relations since the 1970s and is to this day very productive with several published articles and chapters in books every year – 45 in 2008 alone. Non-academic positions he has held include Assistant Secretary of Defense for International Security Affairs, Chair of the National Intelligence Council, and Deputy Under Secretary of State for Security Assistance, Science and Technology. (Harvard – Kennedy School) Power The central term power is very difficult to give a concrete definition of. An attempt to make the term power seem more objectively measurable would be by looking at power resources of a state – this could include military and economic strength, size of territory and population or abundance of natural resources. This can be a useful approach when power is defined as the ability to get what you want. This approach to try to understand and measure power seems flawed though. Some countries which excel in many of these measurable parameters don’t have the power which they ought to on the basis of their resources – an example of this could be Japan since the 1960s. Japan having the second 25 largest economy in the world, a large population and advanced technology has oftentimes been termed an economic giant but a political dwarf. On the other end of the spectrum some countries seem to be more powerful than what their objectively measurable resources would justify. Reasons for these discrepancies can explained by different abilities of deception or by convincingly acting more powerful than what the resources justify. Another factor which has to be taken into account is to see the resources as potential power and this has to be mobilized into realized power. Before resources are used specifically to increase the power of a state it does not really signify power. (Nye 1991: 26-27) Traditionally the real test of a country’s power would be its ability to wage war. The basis of this ability has changed over time though. In the pre-industrialized society of the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries the ability to wage war was primarily based on a large population which would provide manpower and a basis of taxation in order to hire mercenaries – this is why France was the leading power in Europe in this period. This is best illustrated during the reign of the Sun King Louis XIV and culminating with Napoleon Bonaparte where the most important power resources started to change with the dawning industrial revolution. As industrial production capacity and efficient administration became more important than population size and sheer manpower as a basis of power the centers of power changed to the British Empire and slightly later Germany. In the middle of the twentieth century the industrial capacity of USA and USSR had far outgrown the traditional powers of the old world and another power factor was now nuclear weapons as well the delivery methods of these. Since then the traditional understanding of power as the ability to wage war has been significantly modified. The horrifying destructive capacities of nuclear weapons were one of the reasons of this as it had become too costly and risky for great powers to sort their disputes on the battlefield. Other reasons include that high casualties are much less acceptable to domestic populations in the post-industrialized society, territorial expansion is much more difficult in a more nationally awakened world and economic growth is often depending on a state’s reputation and relations with others. (Nye 2002: 5-7) 26 This change in power resources are finely illustrated in the table below where the leading states of each century are lined up and the different resources of power these utilized to achieve this status. Joseph S. Nye has furthermore included his prediction for the 21st century. An interesting detail in this table is the gradual entrance of different forms of soft power as a major resource of power: Period State Major Resources Sixteenth century Spain Gold bullion, colonial trade, mercenary armies, dynastic ties Seventeenth century Netherlands Trade, capital markets, navy Eighteenth century France Population, rural industry, public administration, army, culture (soft power) Nineteenth century Britain Industry, political cohesion, finance and credit, navy, liberal norms (soft power), island location (easy to defend) Twentieth century United States Economic scale, scientific and technical leadership, location, military forces and alliances, culture universalistic and liberal international regimes (soft power) Twenty-first century United States Technological military and leadership, economic scale, soft power, hub of transnational communications 27 (Nye 2002: 13) Understanding that merely resources will not necessarily determine whether a state is powerful or not there ought to be other ways of viewing and determining power in international relations. This can be to look at as a way of achieving one’s goals. The most direct way of doing this is by forcing your will through by the use of military force or the threat thereof. Another way to get what you want would be through utilizing a state’s economic strength through threat of sanctions, bribery etc. The final and more subtle way to get what you want and make other agents change their behavior is not to coerce them but rather to convince them. Persuade them to think that your goal is identical with their goal. This is the background of the division between hard power – military and economy2 – and soft power which is the power of attraction so to speak. (Mead 2004) To see power as getting another agent to do what he/she/it otherwise would not have done is a helpful way to explain both hard and soft power although it has one inherent trapdoor. What if the target for this exercise of power – be it hard or soft – already would have done what they are trying to be coerced or convinced to do? Then it is all of a sudden very difficult to determine whether or not the attempt to wield the tools of hard and soft power has been the deciding factor for reaching the result achieved and thereby difficult to determine whether or not the wielder truly possess power over the other agent. This is especially the case for soft power which in its nature is more subtle than the tools of hard power. (Nye 2004: 2) The three chessboards of power Joseph S. Nye has made a model to understand the power relations of international relations better while incorporating soft power. This model is to see the international struggle of power as a game of chess – but played on three interrelated boards rather 2 The two sides of hard power have later been sought divided between sharp (military) and sticky (economic) power by Walter Russell Mead in America’s Sticky Power – but this further distinction has limited relevance to the topic of the thesis, and will therefore not be developed further. 28 than just one. The top board is the classical struggle between states for military dominance and centers itself on security policy, alliance building, maintenance of a balance of power etc. On the second board the game of economic growth is played where issues can be anything within the financial and the economy policy realms – trade agreements, anti-trust laws etc. The bottom board game of power is dedicated to a multitude of international issues such as international crime, climate change or for example the Olympics. It’s on this board soft power comes into play. Some political actors fail to acknowledge other spheres than the classical power game of military muscle though3 – a blunder that can have severe repercussions for the state’s standing in the two other spheres. (Nye 2004: 4-5) On table 1 seen below the tripartite division of the forms of power Joseph S. Nye describes are illustrated keywords attached to each in relation to type of behavior, primary currencies and government policies. Here it is seen how soft power really is markedly different from the other two. Where military and economic power both utilize very direct means to gain power, soft power uses more subtle and difficult to evaluate means. Where the two types of hard power is signified by terms such as coercion, deterrence, sanctions and threats the soft power keywords include attraction, values and culture. The thing which is possibly most important to notice in the table the vast amount of primary currencies soft power is spanning – values, culture, policies and institutions – while the government policies are limited to diplomacy. This is an area which will be explored more thoroughly later in this chapter. Behaviors Primary Currencies Government Policies Military Power coercion threats coercive diplomacy deterrence force war 3 This point is illustrated well by the famous Joseph Stalin quote: “The Pope? How many divisions has he got?” Stalin apparently only recognized military power here and not the vast amount of soft power held by the papacy. 29 protection Economic Power alliance inducement payments aid coercion sanctions bribes sanctions Soft Power attraction values public diplomacy agenda setting culture bilateral policies multilateral institutions diplomacy and (Nye 2004: 31) As mentioned above there is an interplay between the three chessboards of power. Using hard power without analyzing possible impacts on its soft power can be very counterproductive. Even if a state actor has significantly more military power than any potential opponents, the unrestrictive use of force will possibly lead to mistrust, alienation of allies and neutrals and in turn restrict the freedom of action for the state actor in the long run to restore goodwill, avoid possible sanctions or boycotts and ultimately avoid unfriendly alliance building to create a balance of power. The classic illustration of some of these points is the American invasion of Iraq in 2003. Another of the many examples of a time where a state actor ignored the importance of soft power which in turn led to repercussions in other areas was China after the Tiananmen Square massacre in 1989, through which event China destroyed its power of attraction and was hit hard in the economic realm through trade embargoes and boycotts. (Nye 2004: 2529) Growing importance of soft power As mentioned above, soft power has gradually increased its importance to states struggle for power. This tendency is like to increase exponentially in the dawning global information age where access to the most and widest channels of information will be a determining factor for who will experience the fastest growth in soft power. The access to the most and widest channels of information will not be the sole determining factor in 30 relations to growth in soft power though – two other general factors are also very important. The first of these is that a state with an ideological background of their dominant culture which is closest to the general predominant global norms and values of a certain time will command a vaster soft power than a state with a dominant culture far away from the global standard norms. Key values in the world of today include terms such as pluralism and liberalism – it is therefore unlikely to see a state far away from these values being successful in the realm of soft power as it will not seem very attractive to the broad global public. If a state is not a genuine supporter of these values at least it will have to pretend to support these if it has any interest and acknowledgement of the importance of soft power. The second factor important to a state in order to be successful in the realm of soft power is enhancing one’s credibility – which can be done both through domestic as well as international actions. If a state generally lives up to expectations and practice what it preaches its chances of gaining soft power in the long run significantly increases. (Nye 2002: 69-73) Soft power and public diplomacy Now after having dealt with the presentation of the concept of soft power, its interplay with the two forms of hard power and the growing importance of soft power in the global age of information it has yet to be explored further from what sources soft power actually stems and what direct tools can be conducive to the growth of soft power for a state. It will be explored to what extent the state actually is able to directly control its progress in soft power or lack thereof. In the two main forms of hard power – military and economic – the state has a very large direct impact on the development of power resources through diverse economic policies, beneficial trade agreement, subsidies to reach technological breakthroughs or development of more efficient military doctrines to give but a few examples. Soft power is not as straightforward though as this encompasses fairly uncontrollable terms such as culture and values. Much of any country’s soft power resources have little or nothing to do with the state, be it anything from famous writers, painters, architects or singers, natural beauty, important mass media or well known brands. Many of the sources of soft power are therefore not determined by direct actions of the state apparatus but rather of the people and the land they inhabit. (Mead 2004: 51) 31 With this being said it seems as if the state has little to do with how much soft power it has which of course is not the case. Soft power is more than just a matter of which states got lucky to have the most sides that attracts people from around the world. Soft power has more to it than just culture, and it is a mistake to think of soft power as a direct result of culture although culture is conducive to the growth of it. The two other main sources of soft power include foreign policy and general political values. (Nye 2004: 11) General political values and foreign policy can both be linked to governmental policies. These policies can, as mentioned earlier, diminish the soft power of a state – for example through committing atrocities or displaying arrogance towards the opinions of others. The opposite can also be true though. Both domestic as well as foreign government policies can help increase the country’s soft power if these policies help increase its attractiveness to population segments. Examples of these could be comparably generous contributions of development aid, a strong profile in peacekeeping operations or a tolerant and fair treatment of domestic minorities. Also the more general political values reflect on the growth or decline of soft power – a clean record of democracy and rule of law will for example generally benefit a growth of soft power. (Nye 2004: 13-15) One of the seemingly most effective tools to increase soft power and which would probably be a big mistake to overlook is public diplomacy. While public diplomacy is not a primary source of soft power itself, it is one of the most direct tools a state has to market itself for the foreign public. Even if a state tries to act in a way that would increase its soft power the attempt might not be successful or there might be more attention on negative actions the same state. Here the role of public diplomacy is to attract focus on the positive sides of a country, not through mere propaganda which is hopelessly obsolete but rather through dialogue. (Nye 2004: 105-107) To sum up, the logic behind include the concept of soft power is that this exact concept is vital to the success and in the end the very existence of public diplomacy. Soft power is the raison d’être of public diplomacy because public diplomacy seeks to increase the attractiveness of a country, signifying that attractiveness is important i.e. worth 32 competing over. If attractiveness is worth competing for it must contain a certain amount of power – soft power. Neorealism The next theory to be presented and used in this thesis will be that of neorealism. In theories of international relations, realism has the most longstanding tradition going back to the likes of Thucydides and Machiavelli which first developed from the observation of statecraft and diplomatic conduct. (Gilpin 1986: 307) The scope of this presentation will be that of Neorealism though, which is – as the name implies – a newer branch of realism which is more scientifically minded compared to its older counterpart and has a wider scope than solely security policy as it also takes in aspects such as economic factors or social theory. (Ashley 1986: 260-261) The theorist mainly used in this section will be Kenneth N. Waltz (1924-) who is the founder and most prominent proponent of the Neorealist approach. His works primarily centres around nuclear deterrence and the causes of conflict within the international system – a field he has been occupied with for the past five decades. He has been active in teaching in Columbia University, Berkeley, Brandeis and Swarthmore as well as visiting positions at London School of Economics, Harvard and Peking University. He has controversially maintained his realist standpoint during his career and has put forth controversial remarks regarding the positive impacts of the gradual proliferation of nuclear weaponry. (Columbia University News) In his earlier work Man, the State and War – a theoretical analysis originally from 1959 he examines the causes of war between states which forms the foundation of his entire theoretical structure. He divides the main explanatory models of the causes of war into three so called images – (a) human behavior, (b) the internal structure of states and (c) international anarchy. A short introduction of these three explanatory models will follow here, before the wider implications of this fundamental view will be explored. (Waltz 2001: 1-15) 33 Human behavior The first image Waltz presents in his work is human behavior – that is the thought that the reason for the existence of conflict and war lies within human nature itself. The reason springs from the evil and sometimes irrational behavior of human beings. Among the supporters of this strand there are pessimists and optimists. The optimists believe that it is possible to create a peaceful world by changing human behavior. Depending on which theorist or philosopher this could be through education, religious awakening or political indoctrination. The pessimists on the other hand are more skeptical as to how much it is possible to create a peaceful world as it can be impossible to change human nature itself. (Waltz 2001: 39-41) Both the pessimists and especially the optimists are quite incorrect according to Waltz – as they focus too much on individual itself instead of its setting. They disregard the arena in which the actors are found and how big a role this is playing – whether it can be the structure of states or the entire system of international relations. Interestingly enough by optimists it is generally suggested that to change the individuals in order to create a more harmonious world it would take some changing of the setting the individual acts within – this in itself proves the human behaviorists wrong as they themselves partly suggests that the causal effects are to be found in the system and not in the agent as such. (Waltz 2001: 75-79) State structure The second image Waltz presents as the explanation for how conflict and war come into existence in international relations is the internal structure of states. This means the thought that the cause of conflict for example lies in the form of government a state has. Some believe if all countries were democracies the cause of armed conflict would disappear, some think the same about communist countries and still others has thought enlightened absolutism has been the right way to go. The list can go on in infinity but all share the same fundamental thought that it’s the wrong kind of governance which causes the misery in the world. 34 Waltz stresses in his presentation of the second image that conflict still has existed between democracies or between communist states contrary to the ideas of the supporters of the second image. Furthermore it is underlined that even if the internal structure of the state will have a big say in how the state is acting, it cannot be assessed as if it wasn’t part of the international environment of states. It is, so to speak, a matter of looking at the international environment more than at the internal structure of the state itself which is the important factor in the search for the causes of conflict – this will therefore lead us on to the third image in Waltz’ analysis. (Waltz 2001: 120-123) International anarchy The third image Waltz presents as the cause of conflict in international relations is international anarchy. The international anarchy of states exists because there is no world government or supreme entity which can control the behavior of state actors. This entails states will do what’s in their power to ensure their interests such as survival and increasing power – including the possible use of force. With the following decrease in the common perception of security an anarchical environment will not end until a superior power keep state actions in check. This is not too different from anarchy on the national level which Waltz assumes will exist if there was no state to control the people. In this view it is a common superior entity which will prevent the use of force between actors. Where the actors are individuals it is the state where the actors are state it will be a world government. (Waltz 2001: 159-161, 173) As a concluding remark in Man, the State and War Waltz sums up his position as follows: “Each state pursues its own interests, however defined, in ways it judges best. Force is a means of achieving the external ends of states because there exists no consistent, reliable process of reconciling the conflicts of interest that inevitably arise among similar units in a condition of anarchy. A foreign policy based on this image of international relations is neither moral nor immoral, but embodies merely a reasoned response to the world about us. The third image describes the framework of world politics, but without the first and second images there can be no knowledge of the forces 35 that determine policy; the first and the second images describe the forces in world politics, but without the third image it is impossible to assess their importance or predict their results.” (Waltz 2001: 238) So in this early work of Waltz he does not discard the first and second images completely in favor of the third image. Rather the first and second images resemble the contents which will require action and reaction among the states – whether this is the nature of a head of state or the changes in the domestic political setup of a state. The third image does constitute the machinery of the theory though and it is within this area the real theoretical analysis comes into place. No matter what the ideas of a Napoleon or a Bismarck are or what political party wins an election or brings about a revolution it is the international context of anarchy and self-help which must be the real subject for analysis. The international political system To clarify the neorealist view of international relations it will be helpful to use a few graphs. The first one shows how most people view international relations/politics. Here N1, 2, 3 represents what is happening in the states domestically which will create an impact on its international behavior. The international behavior of the states is shown in X1, 2, 3 which represents their external actions towards each other and how this influence the other actors. N1 X1 N2 X2 N3 X3 36 (Waltz 1986a: 95) This graph is a good visualization of how a supporter of the above mentioned images 1 and 2 would view the world – seeing the main importance in for example either state leaders or domestic structures. N1 X1 N2 X2 X3 N3 X3 (Waltz 1986a: 96) The second graph shows how Neorealists see international relations and exemplifies the X3 third image. Here the main difference is the role of the international political system as an entity in itself – shown in the graph as the big circle which affects the external behavior of states as well as influencing the decision-making process domestically in the states. It thereby gives the highest significance to the environment in which the states act. 37 On anarchy As the importance of the concept of anarchy in international relations has been established, it is necessary to elaborate some further on this notion as well as its opposite – hierarchy. Where anarchy is signified by the absence of government, hierarchy is signified by the organized presence of government. Two points are important to mention in relation to these concepts: (a) anarchy and hierarchy or the outer points of a spectrum of organized order and there are a multitude of shades of gray between the two extremes, and (b) anarchy does not necessarily entail complete chaos and barbarism – just the absence of organized order.4 Since anarchy only means the absence of government and nothing more; claims stating that international relations is signified by a modified anarchy due to the presence of alliances, international organizations, civil society etc. will be rejected by the neorealists. Even though these institutions are a reality, they will not alter the basic fact that anarchy is the foundation of international relations – even if they seem to alter. (Waltz 1986b: 113) On socialization A question still left unanswered in relation to why it is the third image which is so determining for how international relations play out is how this system of international anarchy not only was created but also remains unchanged. According to Neorealists such as Waltz, the system will not change because rule-breakers will be punished automatically and forced to conform or perish in the process. Even if the anarchical international environment is as old as the state system itself it would not be unthinkable that this could possibly change in time as some actors vanish throughout history and others appear newly on the stage. To this Neorealism would argue: as the international anarchy signifies a kill or get killed system, states trying to reinvent their approach to their neighbors would ultimately suffer as they would not be prepared to defend themselves properly against the states still trying to survive and increase their power. 4 i.e. government 38 The exception to this automatic prevention of rule-breakers is states which are outside the competitive struggle for survival or dominance. This could for example be states that are quite isolated from the communications with other states – whatever the reason might be. Examples of this could be the United States in the 19th century or Japan in the 17th and 18th centuries. (Waltz 1986b: 128-129) A way this unchanging anarchical system is explained further is through the tyranny of small decisions. This means that the states will act to what is in their immediate best interest in the short term even though the reality created through such action is not what the state would prefer if it could choose. Waltz exemplifies this as follows: “If one expects others to make a run on the bank, one’s prudent course is to run faster than they do even while knowing that if few others run, the bank will remain solvent, and if many run, it will fail. In such cases, pursuit of individual interest produces collective results that nobody wants, yet individuals by behaving differently will hurt themselves without altering outcomes.” (Waltz 1986b: 104) The same thing is the case of the state acting in its environment amongst other states. The state will make the decision which secures itself and is in its short term interest, even if they know that the culture developing from these actions will not be in the best interest of any of the states. Several rational decisions will add up and create one irrational culture of state behavior. (Waltz 1986b: 105) A recent illustrative example of this idea could be the Kyoto Protocol or other summits and agreements aiming at reducing emissions to decrease global warming. Even if the states know that it is in everyone’s best interest to secure the environment, they will be very watchful about not losing any relative competitive edge compared to their fellow states – primarily in the economic/industrial realm. Constructivism The third and final theory used in this thesis to shed light on the potential, roots and possible evolvement of public diplomacy will be constructivism. The theory will be presented and developed primarily on the basis of Alexander Wendt’s version of 39 constructivism as it was presented in his 1992 article Anarchy is what States Make of it: The Social Construction of Power Politics and further developed in his book from 1999 titled Social Theory of International Politics. Alexander Wendt is professor of international security at the Ohio State University and specializes in social theory, theory of international relations and philosophy of social science. He has published several books and articles on theory of international relations during the 1990s and especially in the years after the turn of the century. His first published article is Anarchy is what States Make of it: The Social Construction of Power Politics. (Mershon Center for International Security Studies) The point of departure for the chapter will be the three different cultures which according to Alexander Wendt’s constructivist approach can evolve in international relations – these include the Hobbesian, Lockean and Kantian cultures. After the presentation of these three main cultures states can exist in in international relations the chapter will move on to explaining how states are becoming socialized and through this establish or help maintaining a specific culture in international relations. It is this final mechanism which is at the core of the theory and why this theory is completely different from neorealism because it is open to change. The Hobbesian culture The first of the three different kinds of cultures the world of international relations can socialize itself into is the Hobbesian culture. This is named after the English philosopher Thomas Hobbes, who lived between 1588 and 1679 and who’s most famous work probably is the Leviathan published in 1651. It was written during the English Civil War as Hobbes was a royalist by heart; he was promoting a strong state which should toil the otherwise uncontrollable egoism of human nature. Without a strong government he thought a war of all against all would evolve. What especially stands out is the memorable front page resembling the sovereign (the embodiment of the state) containing the individuals of the population. (Martinich 2005: xiv-18) 40 The views of Hobbes on human nature and the devolvement of society during the lack of presence of a centralized power can crudely be boiled down to the following quote from Leviathan: “… [I ]t is manifest that during the time men live without a common power to keep them all in awe, they are in that condition which is called war, and such a war as is of every man against every man.” (Hobbes 1994: 76) Hobbes goes on to explain how this war of all against all can be ended through creating a common power which can keep the peace: “The only way to erect such a common power as may be able to defend them from invasion of foreigners and the injuries of one another… is to confer all power and strength upon one man, or upon one assembly of men, that may reduce all their wills, by plurality of voices, unto one will” (Hobbes 1994: 109) According to Hobbes this is done only when every man relinquishes his individual rights and freedom in exchange of protection from the sovereign as well as peace of mind through knowing all other men likewise have relinquished their rights and ambitions. When this is done Hobbes does not accept any form of reversing the oaths 41 people has pledged to the sovereign – with the sole exception of when the sovereign does not prove able to provide safety and security from violence: “…[T]hey that have already instituted a commonwealth, being thereby bound by covenant to own the actions and judgments of one cannot lawfully make a new covenant amongst themselves to be obedient to any other, in any thing whatsoever, without his permission. And therefore, they that are subjects to a monarch cannot without his leave cast off monarchy and return to the confusion of a disunited multitude, nor transfer their person from him that beareth it to another man, or other assembly of men…” (Hobbes 1994: 111) When the ideas of Hobbes are taken from a domestic to an international level a quite depressing world emerges which follows the lines of kill or get killed strategy in international relations. This is the hardest case for constructivism to explain but has nonetheless existed at several points in history. The main term to explain the relationship between self and other would in this case be enemy. Alexander Wendt explains the term enemy as follows: “Enemies are constituted by representations of the Other as an actor who (1) does not recognize the right of the Self to exist as an autonomous being, and therefore (2) will not willingly limit its violence towards Self… this is a narrower definition than one normally finds in IR, where “enemy” is often used to describe any violent antagonist” (Wendt 2007: 260) The reason Wendt utilizes a narrower definition of enemy than the norm is that it is important not to confuse enemy with rival – which is the characteristic term of the relationship between self and other in a Lockean culture. As the Hobbesian enemy does not recognize their counterparts rights to exist and will therefore not limit itself. The only things which can limit the aggression will be the eventual lack of capabilities to destroy the other or the intervention of the Leviathan if there were a form of international government in the world. Rivals of the Lockean culture on the other hand recognize the right to exist of their counterparts but will at times seek to revise their behavior or gain possession of their property – e.g. land, natural resources etc. The main 42 difference between the two is therefore the non-existence of self-restraint in the Hobbesian culture. (Wendt 2007: 259-261) The Lockean culture The second potential culture of international relations which Alexander Wendt describes is based on the thoughts of the English philosopher and contemporary of Thomas Hobbes - namely John Locke. Locke lived from 1632 to 1704 and was one of the major British empiricists and thus worked a lot with human understanding and experience for which he is most famous. He also delved into political philosophy with his Two Treatises of Civil Government from 1689. (Locke 1980: vii) Locke was strongly influenced by Hobbes but there were several areas where he departed completely from the position of Hobbes. The two most striking examples are the view of human nature and the right to revolution against an illegitimate government. The Lockean culture as used by Alexander Wendt in his constructivist approach is characterized by the live and let live approach instead of the Hobbesian kill or get killed. The view of the other is in this culture as a rival and not as an enemy. There is in general a mutual acknowledgement between states of their rights to exists. This can for example be seen since the Westphalian system came into being in 1648, since when the death rate of states has been very small compared to earlier times – this even goes for the tiniest states. Even if a mutual recognition of states’ rights to exist and sovereignty is in place, it doesn’t mean the use of violence has disappeared. There will still be disputes over for example territory and resources – even to the extent of leading to war. But as mentioned above, the wars will be limited wars mainly aimed at revising borders or gaining concessions from the losing part and not as a struggle of life and death between the states. The effect of a Lockean culture is not limited to how and how often wars are waged. Since the sovereignty of other states are generally respected and wars become less frequent, states no longer have to focus solely on security and short term gains but can – or have to, in order to keep up with their rivals – focus on longer term goals in a wider range of areas. Furthermore the mutual recognition of sovereignty and the increased 43 focus on longer term goals give way to a degree of trust between allies. (Wendt 2007: 279-282) Since the Westphalian Peace in 1648 and partly since the Peace of Augsburg hundred years before that, the Lockean culture has been the one signifying the international relations at least at regional levels until the decolonization when the culture become more entrenched and all-embracing. The question is then how this culture came in to being and how it became so entrenched that it persisted major ‘rule-breakers’ such as Napoleon or Hitler. The root of the culture has to be found in coercion – after the protracted Thirty Years War which brought nothing but misery and poverty in itself it became in the interest of the involved great powers and the German principalities to respect each other’s sovereignty. As this was a newly introduced norm it had to be effectuated by coercion in the beginning. An example could be England and the Netherlands’ intervention in the conflicts between Denmark-Norway and Sweden, where the latter was prevented in annexing the first. (Wendt 2007: 286) After this first phase of coerced Lockean culture the culture becomes more entrenched as a norm. This means that the state-actors are beginning to get used to that it is expected they respect other states’ sovereignty – or at least seemingly respect. By recognizing other’s sovereignty can bring them benefits while not doing so can bring them harm. In other words the states will respect each others’ sovereignty as long as they believe it’s in their interest to do so. The third and final step of an entrenched Lockean culture is when the recognition of others’ sovereignty becomes such a habit and value in itself that the states will automatically adhere to the norm even if it might not be in their direct interest to do so. (Wendt 2007: 287-289) The Kantian culture The last of the three cultures of international relations Alexander Wendt outlines is that of the Kantian culture which is based on the ideas of Prussian philosopher Immanuel 44 Kant (1724-1804) in his treatise Perpetual Peace. Where the Hobbesian culture was based on enmity and the Lockean culture based on rivalry – the Kantian culture operates with the concept of friendship. Perpetual Peace is a short pamphlet which contains six preliminary and three definitive articles which would, if followed, transform international relations completely. It is one of the most essential works of cosmopolitanism in history although it is quite utopian. The six preliminary articles are: “1: No Treaty of Peace Shall Be Held Valid in Which There Is Tacitly Reserved Matter for a Future War… 2: No Independent States, Large or Small, Shall Come under the Dominion of Another State by Inheritance, Exchange, Purchase, or Donation… 3: Standing Armies (miles perpetuus) Shall in Time Be Totally Abolished… 4: National Debts Shall Not Be Contracted with a View to the External Friction of States… 5: No State Shall by Force Interfere with the Constitution or Government of Another State… 6: No State Shall, during War, Permit Such Acts of Hostility Which Would Make Mutual Confidence in the Subsequent Peace Impossible: Such Are the Employment of Assassins (percussores), Poisoners (venefici), Breach of Capitulation, and Incitement to Treason (perduellio) in the Opposing State” (Kant 2007: 7-11) And the three definitive articles are: “1: The Civil Constitution of Every State Should Be Republican 2: The Law of Nations Shall be Founded on a Federation of Free States 3: The Law of World Citizenship Shall Be Limited to Conditions of Universal Hospitality” (Kant 2007: 13-21) 45 In Kant’s vision of a peaceful world a few things stand out. Most importantly from the theoretical point of view are the preliminary articles which try to prevent suspicion or animosity between states such as article 1 or 6. This view in itself entails that there is a possibility to change the way states interact and view each other – it doesn’t have to be an anarchical society for eternity. This particular point also explains why Wendt has found Kant’s thoughts intriguing enough to incorporate them into his theoretical framework. Two other curious points in Kant’s Perpetual Peace is that he goes to great lengths to explain the differences between a republican and a democratic form of government as he is quite skeptical of democracy but supports the division of power and meritocracy. Not surprisingly he strongly recommends that philosophers should be taken in on counsel in any government decision. In his view of a peaceful future he doesn’t envision a world government as he thinks it will be too lax and lose its legislative dynamics. On the other hand he advocates a loose federation of states which guarantees safety for all people traveling among them – as can be seen in the definitive articles 2 and 3. Turning to Wendt’s version of Kant’s ideas and the Kantian culture again - an example which is difficult to explain within the logic of neither the Lockean nor the Hobbesian cultures is the close cooperation seen between the NATO countries. In a Hobbesian culture this would never have happened whereas in the Lockean culture it could have been explainable as long as the Warsaw Pact and the USSR still existed. After the fall of the USSR and the disappearance of a perceived common enemy of the NATO member states, rivalry between the member states should have reignited and the alliance slowly dissolved. Instead the alliance has persisted and there are still areas with close cooperation between member states which in instances goes beyond national egoism. (Wendt 2007: 297) The term friendship which this culture involves is signified by two rules – namely that conflicts or disputes will be resolved without war or threat of war and they will both engage in a conflict if one of the two is attacked – i.e. work as a team. This can resemble an alliance but, in a friendship the notion of war between the friends are unthinkable in an alliance the notion of war is only unthinkable as long as the alliance exists – in other words a kind of friendship limited by time. Furthermore it is important 46 to note that the term friendship in the Kantian culture is regarding security areas only – friends can still compete economically for example. Examples of friendships in international relations in our contemporary world could be the special relationship between USA and UK or between the Nordic states. The relations between these countries are characterized by it being inconceivable for a state of war to evolve. (Wendt 2007: 299) Using the notion of friendship in international relations must also signify a degree of selflessness since state A might help its friend state B with a problem even if this doesn’t directly benefit state A. If a state is not necessarily egoistic and selfish and a degree of trust can evolve between states it is a possibility to escape the international anarchy characterizing Hobbesian and Lockean ideas – if not on a global level then on a regional level. Alexander Wendt gives the example of the Unites States and Canada. Even if these two neighboring countries have several disputes over for example fishing rights and the United States is much more powerful than its northern neighbor it would never consider using force to its own benefit towards Canada. The same situation could be seen within for example the European Union. A culture has developed here which has made military power obsolete within the sphere. Furthermore it’s worth mentioning that the constructivism deviates from for example neorealism in the approach to the difference between anarchy and hierarchy. Where the neorealist sees anarchy as a result of the absence of a centralized authority – i.e. a Hobbesian leviathan or world government – the constructivist doesn’t necessarily see anarchy being the necessary product of the absence of a centralized authority. If the Kantian culture develops sufficiently amongst a community of states on a global or regional level, it is possible for anarchy to vanish in a decentralized arena. (Wendt 2007: 306-308) An important aspect when looking at the contents of the Kantian culture in international relations is looking at how this culture can develop and eventually become entrenched. It is some conundrum how the former enemies of the Hobbesian world or rivals in the Lockean world can become friendly towards each other. This will certainly not happen from one day to the other but will be a long process which can be split up in three major phases. The first phase would be an extension of what can be seen in a Lockean culture 47 – if the prevention from killing other states in time increases to become a norm of not attacking the foundation for the Kantian culture is in place – where coercion maintains the nonviolence. From here it can develop with the norms becoming more entrenched and cooperation increases. You will in this second phase see states cooperating and seemingly act selflessly – this will not be genuine though. The norms are here to act friendly, and as this is the expected way of communication the state is acting this way because it knows this is how it achieves its goals and avoids becoming the victim of sanctions. The idea behind the third and final phase is that the actions will eventually become more genuine and less fundamentally based on egoism. (Wendt 2007: 303-306) The socialization of international relations After having explored the different cultures which can develop in international relations and how they can become entrenched, it is time to discover the most important aspect of the constructivist theory – the ability of states to learn and affect one another. The core of constructivism is that interests and identities are created and are continuously modified through interactions with others. Wendt tries to explain this through his example of Alter and Ego meeting each other for the first time. Both are focused on survival and have material force to try to back up that interest – but apart from this they haven’t created any common interests or expectations. At this first meeting every single gesture and movement is important to signal peacefulness, animosity or outright threatening behavior. As soon as Alter decides to act one way, Ego will begin to interpret that action and respond to this behavior. Ego might misinterpret Alter’s intentions and act unaccordingly to this, causing Alter to change its stance. In any event, a common history is starting to write itself for the two and each of them will begin developing opinions of the other and also develop behavioral patterns in relation to other entities in general based on its recent experiences. The understandings and expectations of others will therefore be the major part of the formation of the actor’s interests and identities. (Wendt 1992: 404-407) Below is a figure showing the formation of states identities and interests through interaction: 48 State A with identities and interests (1) Stimulus requring action (2)State’s A definition of the situation Intersubjective understandings and expectations possessed by and constitutive of A and B (3) State A’s action (4) State’s B interpretation of A’s action and B’s own definition of the situation State B with identities and interests (5) State’s B’s action As seen in the figure the process of state socialization is seen in a limited arena of only two states – the formation of state identities and interests are here visually explained. A state encounters an issue and begins analyzing it from the perspective of its previous experience (i.e. it’s previously created identities and interests) and decides on what it deems to be an appropriate action. Other states will begin analyzing this action and will try to figure out what reaction it might require and acts upon it – and so it continues. These state actions all add up to the common history of the states and are the fundamental building blocks of the mutual expectations of each other’s actions and in turn formation of own identity and interest. Summary The constructivist theory is distinguished from the other theories presented and utilized in this thesis as more dynamic and somewhat more unpredictable than the others. 49 Instead of explaining behavior in international relations as static – as in neorealism – or following more predictable rules – such as in neoliberalism – constructivism is more open-ended. What matters is the interaction between the actors and their shared history. A history of violence and a high death rate among states will result in a justified paranoia amongst them and a devolvement into a Hobbesian culture of kill or be killed, while a history of cooperation and mutual respect of sovereignty can lead to a Lockean or eventually even a Kantian culture. Wendt therefore see the anarchy of international relations as a product of the state socialization and therefore possible to change – or as his article is titled: “Anarchy is what states make of it” (Wendt 1993: 391) Analysis In this chapter it will be attempted to provide an analysis of the topic of the thesis in order to reach a conclusion and as clear an answer for the problem formulation as possible. The analytical chapter will be divided in four main sections. The first section will attempt to analyse the problem through the application of the soft power theory, the second section from the perspective of neorealism and the third from the perspective of constructivism. In the fourth section the findings of the three preceding sections will be held up against each other and discussed. This final analytical discussion will in the end provide a basis for the final conclusion of the thesis. Application of soft power This chapter seeks to provide an explanatory model for the problem formulation through the lens of soft power. As the problem formulation is divided in to three steps so will this chapter. At first it will be explored why ministries of foreign affairs have made moves to reinvent themselves through the introduction of rather new concepts such as public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy. After this it will be explored whether or not these new approaches signify a more efficient way of reaching foreign policy goals. Finally it will be explored whether this constitutes a breakthrough in international relations from the viewpoint of soft power theory. 50 New ways of conducting diplomacy When considering why these new communicative and open approaches to conducting diplomacy towards a wider group than traditional diplomacy it is necessary to look at the basic motivations of the states behind the diplomacy. Throughout time the areas of competition between states have been moving from the core hard power areas of economic and military affairs to increasingly include soft power areas as well – this has to especially be seen in the light of wars generally has become too destructive. If it is becoming more difficult to coerce other states in to doing what you want then it is possible to utilize the more subtle approach to power mentioned in the theoretical section – namely to persuade them to think that your goal is identical with their goal. Public diplomacy and cultural diplomacy can then be seen as tools of increasing other publics understanding and sympathy of one’s cause and thereby in turn make these people pressure there governments to act favourable towards the sending state – or at least not hostile. As mentioned in the theoretical presentation of soft power, it is necessary for a government to increase its credibility to increase its soft power and that is exactly the same case as with public diplomacy and how public diplomacy is distinguishable from its cousin propaganda. The same goes for the necessity to listen to what others has to say and be focused on the dialogue instead of just the monologue. All these points suggest that the new approaches to conducting diplomacy have come in place because of the recognition of the value of soft power. A final note to this area is why the initiatives primarily have been introduced in Europe and North America. It could likely be because there are directed more resources in to trying out new approaches in these countries’ ministries of foreign affairs but there could also be another cause of this. As mentioned in the theoretical presentation of soft power that states which are closer to the predominant values and ideologies in the world will command a vaster soft power than countries further away from the predominant ideologies. Since the end of the Cold War these values has generally been dictated by the United States – why it is namely this and fairly similar countries which focus on these new approaches to conducting foreign relations. 51 More efficient in reaching foreign policy goals In accordance with the theory of soft power the increased focus on public diplomacy can signify a more efficient way of reaching foreign policy goals assuming that these goals are fairly standard ones such as improving one’s economy, international standing and political positioning. As mentioned in the theoretical chapter these initiatives cannot stand alone as it is just one part of a bigger soft power picture and one could fear that this is not always realized. Complementary areas to increase soft power could include generous contributions of development aid, strong profile in peacekeeping operations or a tolerant and fair treatment of domestic minorities. Areas such as these will more often be guided by either domestic or hard power (economic) concerns rather than soft power concerns – development aid will be cut due to budget concerns, domestic minorities will experience high levels of intolerance in order to increase support amongst more nationalist minded segments of the electorate etc. This can easily result in public diplomacy not being able to achieve results to its fullest potential as it does not receive the backing it needs in other areas. Furthermore the concept of nation branding could pose a problem to the success of public diplomacy. As nation branding is quite focused on commercial principles and has the attention of the private sector its primary goal is to benefit the area of economic power – i.e. the second chessboard. This can be unfortunate for the possibilities for success in the area of public diplomacy. The reason for this is that nation branding in itself does not have to follow the complete truth – rather it is about creating images and artificially awaken emotional attachments to a location. In this way it diverges from one of the basic principles of soft power and public diplomacy – namely to stick to the truth and increase credibility. In this way the concept of nation branding is counter productive to public diplomacy and thereby to increase soft power. Breakthrough in international relations As it has been established that public diplomacy cannot reach its potential due to other factors such as remaining hard power concerns, domestic concerns and the counter productive element of nation branding, the introduction of public diplomacy does not 52 constitute a breakthrough in the basic principles in international relations – it rather seems like an initiative taken with all the best intentions but to limited effect. If it is assumed that public diplomacy did not have these current hindrances – would it then plausibly signify a change in the basic principles of international relations? I.e. if all the necessary support was in place for the public diplomacy efforts and the main attention of foreign relations policy was on soft power. In a way it a change would be plausible in that major armed conflict has grown increasingly rare and obsolete but then again the focus on soft power is basically just taking the international competition to another chessboard and states will remain as competitive as always. The introduction of public diplomacy would therefore signify yet another tool of power rather than a way to increase cooperation. Summary When viewing public diplomacy through the lens of the theory of soft power it explains that public diplomacy has come to existence because the state actors see soft power as real power and therefore worthwhile competing over. But as public diplomacy often will stand alone without the necessary support of other policy areas, it does not at the moment signify a more efficient means of reaching foreign policy goals or constitute a fundamental breakthrough in international relations. If public diplomacy at one time receives the necessary backing of other areas and focus on soft power will rise to prominence alongside economic, domestic and military concerns it can potentially be a very important competitive tool of power between states. It is still unlikely though that there will be any significant change in the basic principles of international relations. Application of neorealism This chapter will aim at analyzing the topic of interest from the perspective of neorealism in order to reach an attempt of an answer for the problem formulation. The structure of this chapter will be similar to that of the preceding one with one exception. 53 As the analysis at hand will reach a quite different conclusion than the one reached previously the subchapters, of whether or not the new approaches to diplomacy are more efficient at reaching foreign policy goals and whether the concepts signify a fundamental change in international relations, will be merged. After the main analytical sections of the chapter there will be a short summary of the conclusions reached through the analysis from the neorealist perspective. New ways of conducting diplomacy From the neorealist perspective the rise of concepts such as public diplomacy is quite puzzling at best and utterly nonsense at worst. As the only entity which truly matters in international relations is the state and the state will act rationally and not change its basic behavioural patterns as long as there is no world government in place the rise of public diplomacy is a mistake. The assumption that by creating close relations between one’s own population and foreign populations or by seeming more open to dialogue will change other states behaviour towards oneself is a miscalculation as state behaviour will never change due to the anarchic conditions states exist under. Since it is a fact that public diplomacy initiatives has been established in a wide range of countries the reason must lie in the wrong perception that the reason for conflict lies in the evilness of man and the unpredictable behaviour of the individuals in power – i.e. the first image. In other words the public diplomacy initiatives has been started because it is hoped that one can directly or indirectly affect the future leaders of a country to have a good impression of one’s own country and thereby increasing the security of that country because it will have postponed possible conflict with this state. More efficient in reaching foreign policy goals Following the argument of the preceding paragraph the rise of public diplomacy does not signify a more efficient way of reaching foreign policy goals as the basic interests of a state is static and communication with foreign publics will not to any significant extent result in increased security for the sending state rather it will likely be a waste of 54 resources giving a competitive edge to the states not wasting funds on these illconceived concepts. Regarding nation branding though, this can be a good initiative as such from the viewpoint of neorealism in that it can affect a state’s economic strength positively and thereby increasing its power and security. Nation branding as such does not really have anything significant to do with international relations as such though since it only is of importance as an export-enhancing initiative and won’t change the approach towards other states fundamentally. Since the concepts are not really of any significant use in the competition between states or affecting the relationship between states in any real way, the rise of public diplomacy does not constitute any fundamental change in the way international relations are taking place. Summary Since neorealism view state behaviour as rational and the international environment as anarchical and static, the new concepts of public diplomacy does not have any relevance to international relations at all and has probably arisen to prominence lately by the mistake of seeing human behaviour as the source of conflict and therefore the way to limit direct conflict is to create beneficial views of one’s state among foreign publics. Even though nation branding can be seen as beneficial indirectly to a state’s security by proposing a way to increase the economic strength of a state it does not have anything to do with international relations as such but is merely an advanced advertisement campaign. Application of constructivism Like the two previous chapters, this chapter will aim at providing an explanatory model in order to give some answers in relation to the problem formulation. It will do this through the application of constructivism as it was presented in the corresponding theoretical chapter. This current chapter will generally be structured in the same way as the preceding two chapters by exploring the three levels of the problem formulation one at a time. First it will look in to why the communicative approaches to diplomacy has 55 arisen to prominence the last years followed by an investigation on whether it can signify a more efficient way of reaching foreign policy goals from a theoretical approach. Finally it will be explored whether or not this can be deemed as constituting a significant breakthrough in the way international relations generally are conducted. After this chapter the final analysis and conclusion of the thesis will follow. New ways of conducting diplomacy From the constructivist point of view the reason why public diplomacy and other communicative approaches to conducting diplomacy has arisen can be manifold as it is a quite flexible theory so to speak – international relations is what states make of it after all. One interpretation can be developed by looking at the general world history since World War II. In World War two the dominant culture must be deemed to have been a Hobbesian culture – a kill or be killed culture. This was reverted back to a Lockean culture as the Allies or the status quo powers won the war. During the post-war period and the Cold War the Lockean culture became increasingly entrenched – this was partly due to coercion, as the theory proscribes, since it became too costly to engage in war partly due to the nuclear bomb. Major wars were rare, borders hardly moved and a quite significant amount of respect for sovereignty of states – at least for the most part. Even as the major rivalry in the world between the United States and the Soviet Union ended with the Cold War alliances persisted and grew closer even though an increased competition should have been expected. As this did not happen the Lockean culture must be deemed to have reached one of its most entrenched phases. Since the culture is that entrenched there is no serious fear that the status quo should not be maintained and it is becoming increasingly desirable to increase dialogue and understanding between countries. More efficient in reaching foreign policy goals As the Lockean culture can be deemed to have reached its most entrenched phase it gives room to sew the seeds of friendship between peoples and states among the world. So when seeing whether a state becomes more efficient at reaching its foreign policy goals through the use of public diplomacy or not, this might not be the right question to ask in this relation. If the Lockean culture has reached its final stages and has begun to 56 approach other countries through increased dialogue, openness and honesty, this can signify the move from a Lockean to a Kantian culture. If the culture of international relations are changing from a Lockean to a Kantian it would entail a change of foreign policy goals which in turn makes the question obsolete in itself. The emergence of public diplomacy can therefore more be seen as a tool to increase socialization between states with foreign publics as the medium. By affecting foreign publics through openness, sincerity and dialogue these will in turn affect their governments increasing the prospects of possible friendship between the two states in question. Breakthrough in international relations If the culture of international relations are changing from Lockean to Kantian partly due to the effects of public diplomacy this signifies an enormous potential change in the fundamental ways international relations are taking place. The reason for this is that it changes how states are socialized – from seeing each other as rivals they will begin to see each other as friends instead. This can in turn make room for a previously unheard of degree of cooperation in international relations. In the early stages after a new culture has been introduced in international relations, it will be severely fragile though. The slightest break of trust between the former rivals turned friends could potentially revert the culture back – at least until it has become more entrenched. In short, the rise to prominence of public diplomacy does not in itself signify a big fundamental change in the conduct of international relations but rather plays an important part in this potential change. Summary Since constructivism is a very flexible theory, several different scenarios could be plausible according to the theory. The explanation mentioned here have been chosen as it resonates well with the theory as presented in the theoretical chapter as well as providing a distinct third way – meaning that it is quite different from the explanatory model used both in the chapter of soft power and of neorealism. Throughout the past 57 sixty years the Lockean culture has grown increasingly entrenched as the primary culture of international relations. There have been few wars due to the costly nature of it after the invention of the nuclear bomb, a high degree of respect for sovereignty and maintenance of the status quo. This has especially been true for the post-Cold War era and can be deemed as signifying a highly entrenched Lockean culture. The rise of public diplomacy can therefore be interpreted as a sign that the culture of international relations are on the verge of a change from the Lockean to the Kantian culture with an increased focus on communication, openness and dialogue – key tools to socialize the states into seeing each other as friends rather than rivals. Conclusion In this chapter the final conclusion for the problem formulation will be sought. This will be done through a critique of the previous three analytical chapters which took their basis in soft power, neorealism and constructivism. In relation to the theory and analytical chapter of neorealism, this theory is in its very nature quite conservative and static. Because of its firm view that the basic ways states are relating to one another never changes – there will always be anarchy and states will always secure themselves, even if it means attacking others. This leaves no room for analysis of concepts like public diplomacy or nation branding, but it rather dismisses these outright. Furthermore a puzzling aspect to this theory is that if the state is a rational actor and public diplomacy initiatives equals nonsense – how can a state then rationally choose to organize and fund significant public diplomacy strategies. As for the analytical approach of constructivism – this theoretical approach leaves plenty of room to speculate about the causes and effects of public diplomacy strategies. As it potentially attributes quite a significant amount of importance to public diplomacy initiatives, it thereby also makes it more understandable why so much time, effort and resources are channelled into public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy initiatives. Furthermore it leaves open room for the most positive explanation of why these public diplomacy initiatives have been initialized around the world. This is 58 explained in the analytical chapter as because there is a change of culture taking place or about to change place in the international environment which will affect how states are reacting towards one another. One of the more problematic areas of the explanatory model this theory offers is also why it is ultimately rejected as usable in achieving a satisfactory answer to the problem formulation is that the theory is too open-ended. Basically the theory leaves room to explain any and all state behaviour towards other states. Some firm standpoints of the theory would make it easier to utilize efficiently. As the theory stands now, the only firm standpoint it has is that international relations is what states make of it. As it stands, state actions and behaviour is completely dependable on how states are socialized towards one another in the international environment. If the international environment does not see armed conflict for a significant amount of time the states inhabiting this environment will ultimately stop even considering armed conflict in the future. With regards to the theory of soft power and its analytical approach to the present problems it occupies a middle-ground between the stance taken by the constructivist approach and the stance taken by the neorealist approach. The explanatory model used with this theory attributes a certain amount of potential towards the public diplomacy initiatives seen around the world. Even though attributes much significance to what the initiatives are aimed at achieving it promotes some scepticism towards whether it will succeed or not. The reason for this scepticism is that presently it seems like most states are prioritizing other areas before considering soft power – namely economic, military or domestic issues. As the theory of soft power estimates that it is necessary to act on a large front in order for soft power to rise to any significance – even if it means taking unwise decisions in relation to economic growth or domestic support. A point of interest is especially with regards to nation branding. As nation branding is a close cousin of public diplomacy one would assume that they would complement each other but that is not the case as it was discovered. Rather the false or idealized images promoted through nation branding campaigns diverts quite a bit from several of the basic principles of public diplomacy – namely to promote openness, dialogue and most importantly increase credibility and honesty. 59 Finally, to address the problem formulation with some concluding remarks – the reasons why public diplomacy initiatives has gained prominence in the last years can be attributed to an increased recognition of soft power. It is currently not deemed to be of much importance though, as the area still has a secondary priority despite praising words from ministries of foreign affairs around the world. Since it is only a secondary priority and does not receive the kind of all round support it needs, it is not likely to foreign policy goals more easily attainable. In relation to the last part of the problem formulation – whether or not the focus on public diplomacy constitutes a breakthrough in international relations – the answer must be no. 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(2007) Social Theory of International Politics, Cambridge University Press: Cambridge 63 Abstract of “The New Era of Diplomacy: The Effects of Public Diplomacy, Nation Branding and Cultural Diplomacy” The topic on which the thesis is centered is on concepts of public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy – especially public diplomacy is in focus. The aim of the thesis is why these concepts has rised in prominence amongst several ministries of foreign affairs in Europe and North America lately and has become an integrated part of their diplomatic strategy. Furthermore it seeks to explore whether these concepts will contribute to an increased efficiency in reaching foreign policy goals and if they signify a fundamental change in the way international relations are viewed. The first parts of the thesis gives a short outline of the history of traditional diplomacy, followed by a presentation of public diplomacy, nation branding and cultural diplomacy. The biggest significance is given to the presentation of public diplomacy as it is the most analytically interesting concept in relation to the problem formulation. These questions are explored from the viewpoint of three theories namely Joseph S. Nye’s theory of soft power, Kenneth Waltz’ view of neorealism and Alexander Wendt’s version of constructivism. Where the analysis from the neorealist perspective dismisses the importance of public diplomacy and partly nation branding the constructivist are more enthusiastic in its approach – accepting the possibility of fundamental change in international relations, partly due to the significance of public diplomacy. The theory of soft power occupies a middle-ground between the other two theories and is cautiously optimistic of public diplomacy but very sceptical towards nation branding. Regretably the analysis from the soft power approach deems public diplomacy to have limited relevance in international relations at the moment as most state initiatives to increase their soft power are at best half-hearted. In the conclusion the analytical results of the soft power approach are deemed more realistic than both constructivism and neorealism. The methodological approach of the thesis is very theoretically centered and a significant effort has been put in presenting the three theories thoroughly with use of both the works of the theorists themselves as well as several works of philosophers often cited by them – including Immanuel Kant, Thomas Hobbes and John Locke. 64