Initial Surveillance Briefing Scenario Daily Report – 16 March 2005 Situation First Infected place detected 28 February 2005: Dairy farm near Palmerston North 308 milking cows Milk production reduced 20% 25th February, 50% by 28th 16 cows with lesions Oldest lesion estimated to be 4 days old 123 Infected places at 4pm 16 March: 7 clusters around Palmerston North and Wanganui Estimate 50-60 new IPs per week for the next 2 weeks Appear to have reached peak of epidemic1587 farms are under surveillance, 916 visits due 17 March Nationwide movement ban remains in place: See Controlled Area Notice Surveillance activity: See Surveillance Policy Initial Surveillance Briefing Scenario, continued Daily Report – 16 March 2005 Team tasks for 17 March 2005 Our team will be conducting inspections on farms in the Protection Zone around IP #119, detected on 17 March IP #119 is a dairy farm o 180 cows, 30 calves o 10 lesioned calves o Oldest lesion approximately 3 days old at 17 March o Received milk from IP # 57 (detected 11 March) on 10 March that was fed to calves on 11 March IP # 119 is in a new area o First visit for most farmers will be today o Check details on visit documents Names, addresses, telephone numbers Animal numbers Maps o Discuss and advise on biosecurity measures to reduce risk Decide Whether to Escalate Scenarios Foot and mouth disease - Case definition: IP 3 animals with typical clinical disease (vesicles, temperature > 41.0oC): or SP confirmed with positive laboratory results (VVI, PCR) SP 1 or 2 animals with typical clinical disease (vesicles, temperature > 41.0oC): or 1 or more animals with suspicious clinical disease o to be confirmed by laboratory tests (VVI, PCR) Case 1 (Typical FMD) Visit: 5 cows from a herd of 320 with ruptured vesicles in mouths, lame on four feet, temperatures 40.2, 40.5, 41.3, 41.3, 41.5. Herd milk production reduced by ~20% yesterday. Case 2 (Suspicious FMD, lab results required to confirm) Visit: 3 ewes in a group of 100, lame all 4 feet, depressed, mouths and feet no obvious clinically detectable lesions, temperatures 39.8. 40.2, 40.6. Case 3 (Typical BVD – not FMD) Visit: Group of 12 month old steers ~10% with ulcers in mouth, temperatures 39.0 – 40.5, no lameness. Older cattle in same paddock healthy.