smith - Environmental Statistics Group

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EVALUATING THE BARRIER EFFECT OF A MAJOR HIGHWAY ON MOVEMENT AND GENE FLOW OF
THE NORTHERN FLYING SQUIRREL
Principle Investigators:
Joe Smith
Steven Kalinowski
Robert Long
MAY 2009 – MAY 2011
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ABSTRACT
To be completed.
INTRODUCTION
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This study will employ radio-telemetry and genetic techniques to describe the barrier
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effect of a major highway corridor on a gliding arboreal rodent, the Northern flying squirrel
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(Glaucomys sabrinus), in the Cascade Mountains in western Washington.
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Landscape permeability and connectivity between populations of organisms is a major
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focus of conservation biology. Habitat fragmentation, a process driven primarily by human
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activities, is thought to be one of the top causes of species extinction. Fragmentation of large,
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contiguous patches of habitat into numerous smaller, isolated patches may increase the risk of
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local extinction via several mechanisms including reduced or altered connectivity between
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populations and negative edge effects (Mills 2007). Roads and other transportation infrastructure,
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such as railroads, are pervasive source of habitat fragmentation around the world, affecting, for
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example, some 19% of the land area of the coterminous United States (Forman 2000).
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Many studies have shown either direct or indirect negative effects of transportation
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infrastructure on wildlife populations (see Spellerberg et al 1998 for review). A major direct
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negative effect is the ability of roads to limit movement of animals across the landscape. Roads
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may pose barriers to individual movements through direct mortality, behavioral avoidance, or by
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acting as an impassable physical obstacle in the landscape (Forman and Alexander 1998;
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Balkenhol and Waits 2009). At the population level, this can result in the fragmentation of large
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habitat patches into smaller, isolated fragments between which gene flow is limited or
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nonexistent. This so-called barrier effect has been demonstrated for species from multiple taxa
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using a variety of techniques including field-based techniques such as mark-recapture and
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telemetry and, more recently, molecular genetic approaches (e.g., Gerlach and Musolf 2000,
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Keller and Largiader 2003, Epps et al 2005, Riley et al 2006, Kuehn et al 2007, Marsh et al
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2008). Population genetic theory predicts that small, isolated populations have a greater risk of
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losing genetic diversity and suffering the effects of inbreeding depression. Inbreeding and
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reduced genetic diversity in small populations can lead to reduced fitness and increased
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susceptibility to demographic and environmental stochasticity (Crnokrak & Roff 1999, Hedrick
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and Kalinowski 2000, Reed and Frankham 2001). Therefore, a population consisting of many
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small subpopulations restricted to isolated patches of habitat is at greater risk of extinction than a
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single large population of equal size (Frankham et al 2002).
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Molecular genetic techniques have shown great potential in describing fine-scale
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population structure and are increasingly being used to detect population-level effects of habitat
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fragmentation (Keyghobadi 2007). Genetic techniques may be the most effective tools available
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for detecting barrier effects and evaluating applications of wildlife crossing structures. Highly
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variable genetic markers such as microsatellites can be used to address road effects at recent
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temporal and fine spatial scales. Genetic studies involving roads constructed as recently as 20
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years ago have been successful in detecting barrier effects (Balkenhol and Waits 2009).
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Molecular techniques also allow comparison between roads of differing characteristics (e.g.,
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Gerlach and Musolf 2000, Marsh et al 2008) and between roads and other landscape features that
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may affect genetic structure such as topography or gradients in habitat quality (e.g., Cushman et
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al 2006). Detectable population structuring inferred from neutral markers may also be a
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forerunner of reduced genetic diversity, as genetic variation usually responds more slowly to
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habitat fragmentation (Keyghobadi 2007).
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Growing concern over wildlife-vehicle collisions (WVCs) and the barrier effect has led to
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the construction of various kinds of crossing structures designed to facilitate the safe movement
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of animals across roads. A growing body of studies has shown that a wide variety of species use
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these structures (e.g. Clevenger et al 2000, Clevenger and Waltho 2003, Mansergh and Scotts
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1989, McDonald and St. Clair 2004, Ng et al 2004). Use alone, however, does not indicate that
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these structures are successful in mitigating the fragmenting effects of roads at the population
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level and the majority of studies lack a comparison of pre- and post-construction movement or
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gene flow (Roedenbeck et al 2007, Corlatti 2009).
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In terms of conservation value, the need for wildlife crossing structures should properly
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be evaluated at the level of population demographic rates. The important conservation functions
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of crossing structures are to reduce road mortalities and maintain migration between otherwise
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divided subpopulations. It is desirable to know both the relative importance of the different
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mechanisms by which roads affect the species of interest as well as the circumstances under
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which mitigation measures can be used with success (Roedenbeck et al 2007). If crossing
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structures are deemed necessary to either reduce mortality or facilitate movement, then the
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success of these mitigation measures should properly be measured at the population level, that is,
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in terms of decreased road mortality and/or increased gene flow. To rigorously test the
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effectiveness of wildlife crossing structures, a before-after study design is needed. Although
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studies of crossing structures have documented animals using the structures and suggested that
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inter-patch movement and gene flow should theoretically increase (e.g. Dodds et al 2004), to my
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knowledge, this has not yet been tested empirically.
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This study aims to address specific questions regarding the need for and efficacy of
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wildlife crossing structures in increasing the movement and genetic exchange of a species that
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managers have identified as a species of conservation interest in the Washington Cascades. As
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part of a multi-phase renovation project, a 15-mile section of a major 4-6 lane interstate highway
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(I-90) bisecting the Cascades in West-central Washington will be retrofitted with a variety of
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wildlife crossing structures over the next two years, thus representing a unique opportunity to
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gather baseline data that can later be used to evaluate the success of such mitigation measures in
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increasing the permeability of roads to wildlife. I propose to 1) test for a pre-construction barrier
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effect of a major highway on Northern flying squirrels, 2) compare the barrier effect of the
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highway with other linear features such as rivers and smaller roads, and 3) establish baseline data
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that can later be used to compare pre- and post-construction genetic differentiation across I-90.
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The goal of this study—which is part of a larger study looking at a suite of different
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organisms including fish, amphibians, forest mesocarnivores, bears, and small mammals—is to
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describe how a species with a novel mode of movement responds to a major highway and to
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document the degree to which the highway has posed a barrier to genetic exchange for this
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species. The data obtained from this study are intended to provide a baseline with which to
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compare future data collected after crossing structures are implemented. Very few studies of
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wildlife crossing structures have included pre-construction measurements of animal movement or
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genetic subdivision. After construction is completed and wildlife crossing structures are in place,
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managers can use our results to conduct a rigorous evaluation of the effectiveness of the crossing
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structures in increasing the permeability of the highway to gene flow for flying squirrels.
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LITERATURE REVIEW
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Road Effects
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Transportation networks, including roads, railroads and canals, are one of the most
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ubiquitous forms of human-induced landscape alteration worldwide, and road effects probably
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impact the majority of ecosystems in developed countries. In the United States, for example,
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Forman and Alexander (1998) estimate that 15-20% of the coterminous land area is ecologically
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affected by roads, and Riitters and Wickham (2003) estimate that only ~18% of the land area is
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more than 1 km from a road. Road densities in other developed countries are significantly higher
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than in the United States. Populations and ecosystems unaffected by roads may be the exception
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to the rule. Transportation networks have a variety of effects on animals and populations, and
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research on these effects has increased dramatically in the past decade. So-called road effects
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include direct effects in the form of mortality from vehicular collisions, modification of animal
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behavior, alteration of habitat via pollution and edge effects, loss of habitat, and fragmentation of
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formerly continuous habitat into isolated patches. Indirect effects of roads on ecosystems are
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numerous and include the facilitation of spread of noxious species, increased use and alteration of
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areas by humans, and increased availability of carrion from road kills (see Spellerberg 1998,
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Forman and Alexander 1998, and Trombulak & Frissell 2000 for review). I focus here on the
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barrier effect and resulting population subdivision.
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Roads are barriers to movement for many taxa, dividing formerly continuous populations
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into smaller, partially isolated subpopulations. The relative importance of the different
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mechanisms by which roads impact populations is critical information for managers attempting to
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mitigate road effects (Jaeger and Fahrig 2004, Roedenbeck et al 2007). Forman and Alexander
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(1998) suggest that although an estimated one million vertebrates are killed on roads every day in
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the United States, the barrier effect of roads is likely a more serious threat to most populations
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than is direct mortality associated with traffic.
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Field-based Road Ecology
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The tendency of roads to affect animal population structure through the barrier effect
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traditionally involved either mark-recapture methods or closely tracking marked individuals to
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characterize animals’ movement or abundance in relation to roads and detect crossings.
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Studies that have compared various road characteristics such as width, surface, and traffic
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amount have returned mixed results. Oxley et al (1974) conducted extensive mark-recapture
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studies of small and medium sized mammals and found that small mammals including white-
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footed mice (Peromyscus leucopus), eastern chipmunks (Tamias striatus), and eastern gray
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squirrels (Sciurus carolinensis) avoided crossing all roads in the study area but that road
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clearance (total gap in vegetation associated with the road corridor) strongly influenced rates of
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crossing, with clearances >20 m severely restricting crossing. They concluded that a four-lane
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divided highway may represent as great a barrier to dispersal of small forest mammals as a body
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of water twice as wide (Oxley et al 1974). Mader (1984) measured movement of several species
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of Carabid beetles (Carabidae) and forest-inhabiting mice (Apodemus flavicollis and
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Clethrionomys glareolus) near four roads of varying widths in Germany. Of over 10,000 marked
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beetles, only a handful were recaptured on the opposite side of the road of their capture and one
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species, an interior-forest associated species, was never detected to have even penetrated the
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roadside vegetation (Mader 1984). Although mice were never detected to have crossed 2-lane
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paved roads of their own volition and strongly avoided crossing even a closed, unpaved road, two
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of 14 mice translocated to the opposite side of a smaller paved road were detected to have crossed
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back to their side of origin (Mader and Pauritch 1981, in Mader 1984). McGregor et al (2008)
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conducted controlled translocation experiments in eastern chipmunks and white-footed mice and
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found that each intervening road across which animals were translocated reduced the probability
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of return by about 50%. Traffic volumes did not have a significant effect on return probability,
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leading the authors to conclude that these species avoid the road surface itself rather than noise or
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other emissions associated with vehicle traffic (McGregor et al 2008). Contrasting results were
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seen in another mark-recapture translocation study of bank voles and yellow-necked mice
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(Apodemus flavicollis) in the Czech Republic; though neither species crossed either a 2-lane or a
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busier, divided 4-lane highway without provocation, translocated animals would return across the
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2-lane road but not the divided 4-lane highway (Rico et al 2007). Using mark-recapture
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techniques, Baur & Baur (1990) found that land snails (Arianta arbustorum) very rarely crossed a
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paved road and avoided crossing even a 3 m wide unpaved road. Swihart & Slade (1984) studied
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prairie voles (Microtus ochrogaster) and cotton rats (Sigmodon hispidus) on either side of an
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infrequently used two-track dirt road that was later widened and paved. The road strongly
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inhibited movement for both species and upgrading the road did not increase this effect (Swihart
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& Slade 1984).
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Another high-priority research area in road ecology seeks to understand the mechanisms
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underlying the variability in species’ vulnerability to road effects. Our knowledge of how the
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majority of species respond to roads is entirely lacking, but the limited number of species that
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have been examined have demonstrated the breadth of variability among species—even within
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the same taxon—in behavioral response and population vulnerability to roads. Hence, a number
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of studies have examined differences in the barrier effect between species or taxonomic groups in
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an attempt to improve our ability to correctly predict which species may be particularly
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vulnerable.
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Theory predicts that larger, wider-ranging animals with high dispersal capability may be
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less inhibited by roads than smaller animals and those restricted to a specific habitat type
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(stenotopic). Indeed, Hornocker and Hash (1981) found that wolverine home ranges in
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northwestern Montana, which averaged 422 and 388 km2 for males and females, respectively,
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were not affected by highways. Grizzly bears (Ursus arctos), however, have been shown to avoid
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roads and preferentially select habitats with low road density (McLellan and Shackleton 1988,
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Mace et al 1996, Ciarniello et al 2007). Compared to small mammals (Peromyscus, Tamias,
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Sciurus), Oxley et al (1974) found the barrier effect was generally lower for medium sized
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mammals such as raccoons (Procyon lotor), porcupines (Erethizon dorsatum), skunks (Mephitis
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mephitis), and groundhogs (Marmota monax), some of which crossed 4-lane highways. The
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magnitude of barrier effects may be especially high in animals with low mobility such as turtles
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(Shepard et al 2008).
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Differences in life history, morphology, and ecology may also explain interspecific
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differences in the barrier effect of roads. Laurance et al (2004) found that Amazonian forest birds
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differed in their willingness to cross a 30-40 m wide road; frugivorous and edge and gap species
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moved relatively freely across the road compared to forest insectivores, which rarely crossed the
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road, and solitary understory species, which avoided even overgrown sections of the road. Kerth
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and Melber (2009), studied two species of bats in northern Bavaria, Germany, using mark-
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recapture and telemetry and found that barbastelle bats (Barbastella barbastellus), which forage
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in open spaces and have pointed wings adapted for pursuing insects in flight, were uninhibited by
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a 4- to 6-lane highway and frequently crossed overhead or through underpasses whereas
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Bechstein’s bats (Myotis bechsteinii), which glean insects from foliage and have wing
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morphology adapted to be highly maneuverable, rarely crossed the highway and always used
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underpasses.
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Molecular Road Ecology
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Recent improvements in molecular genetic approaches to population biology provide a
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powerful tool for measuring population structure and the number of applications of molecular
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techniques in road ecology in peer-reviewed journals has surged in the past several yeas
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(Balkenhol and Waits 2009). Recent studies have used genetic approaches to investigate the
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barrier effect of roads in small mammals, invertebrates, reptiles and amphibians, mesocarnivores,
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and ungulates.
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Gerlach and Musolf 2000 measured allele frequencies, genetic distance, and genetic
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diversity at seven microsatellite loci in bank voles (Clethrionomy glareolus) and compared
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unfragmented populations to populations divided by a country road, a railroad, and a highway.
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Significant population subdivision was found for populations on either side of the highway, but
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not the smaller country road or railroad. The authors also found an isolation-by-distance pattern
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and concluded that the Rhine River acted as a barrier equivalent to approximately 7 km of
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geographic separation (Gerlach and Musolf 2000). An interstate highway represents a barrier to
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gene flow in Red-backed salamanders (Plethodon cinerius) in the Appalachian mountains, but
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significant genetic differentiation was not detected across any of five smaller roads (Marsh et al
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2008). Ground beetles (Carabus violaceus) in isolated patches separated by roads built as recently
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as 31 years prior exhibited significant population differentiation as well as reduced genetic
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diversity, in contrast to generally insignificant amounts of subdivision between populations in the
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same patch (Keller and Largadier 2003). Kuehn et al (2006) found that differentiation between
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populations of roe deer separated by anthropogenic barriers (a fenced motorway and local roads
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or railroad) was significantly greater than between populations on the same side of the barriers,
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but did not detect reduced genetic diversity as a result of isolation.
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Riley et al (2006) combined radio-telemetry and genetic techniques to assess the barrier
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effect of a major freeway and a busy secondary road in southern California on bobcats (Lynx
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rufus) and coyotes (Canis latrans). Although rates of migration inferred from telemetry
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observations and genetic assignment tests were high enough to counteract drift, significant
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differentiation was found between populations of both species divided by the freeway, and
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between populations of bobcats, but not coyotes, divided by the secondary road. The authors
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hypothesize that this discrepancy may reflect a lack of reproductive success for migrants resulting
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from territory “pile-up” at the edge of major roads creating an additional social and behavioral
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barrier (Riley et al 2006). This study illustrates the importance of actually measuring genetic
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differentiation as opposed to inferring it from observations of movement and demonstrates the
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utility of combining techniques to learn about the mechanisms underlying a barrier effect.
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Landscape genetics approaches (see Manel et al 2003, Storfer et al 2007) have also
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provided some insight into the barrier effect of transportation infrastructure, and allow the
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importance of anthropogenic barriers to be weighed against other landscape features such as
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topography, land use, and natural landscape heterogeneity. Liu et al (2009) examined factors
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influencing population structure in Yunnan snub-nosed monkeys (Rhinopithecus beiti), which are
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restricted to forested habitat in the Tibetan plateau. Five distinct subpopulations were inferred
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from microsatellite analysis and habitat discontinuities, including anthropogenic habitat gaps such
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as cultivated land and roads, explained a greater proportion of the genetic variation than
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geographic distance (Liu et al 2009). Though the effect of roads on population genetic structure in
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black bears (Ursus americanus) in northern Idaho was equivocal (Cushman et al 2006), roads and
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associated development were a significant factor in isolation of subpopulations of grizzly bears
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(Ursus arctos) in the northern Rocky mountains (Proctor et al 2005). Because of the large
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geographical scale of these studies, it may be difficult to separate the effects of roads per se from
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general anthropogenic land use and disturbance, which is often correlated with road presence.
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…
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In comparison, populations of white-footed mice in Indiana separated by 500 to 2000 m
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of agricultural matrix showed no higher population differentiation than populations separated by
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similar distances in continuous habitats (Mossman and Waser 2001).
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Flying Squirrels as a model species
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The Northern flying squirrel, Glaucomys sabrinus, is found in forested landscapes across
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much of North America. Hall (1991) recognized 24 subspecies of G. sabrinus over its range.
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Subspecies in the western United States and Canada are associated with coniferous forest, and
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some have suggested that they are an indicator or possibly a keystone species for late-seral (“old-
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growth”) forest communities (Carey 2000, but see Smith et al 2005). This notion is supported by
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several aspects of flying squirrels’ecology. First, their diet consists largely of hypogeous
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mycorrhizal fungi, which are important for nutrient uptake and growth of conifers and which
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flying squirrels likely help to disperse (Carey 1995, Carey 2000, Lehmkuhl et al 2004). Second,
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flying squirrels are an important prey species for old-growth obligate carnivores such as fishers,
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martens, and Northern Spotted Owls (Carey 2000). Finally, several studies have shown densities
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of flying squirrels to be significantly higher in late-seral forests than in younger forests (Carey
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1995, Carey et al 1999, Waters and Zabel 1995).
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Dispersal ability of northern flying squirrels is poorly documented. Dispersal and
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movement habits with regard to habitat configuration have been studied, however, in a very
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similar gliding mammal, the Siberian flying squirrel (Pteromys volans), in Eurasia. Gliding
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ability of the two species is very similar. Vernes (2001) measured gliding ability of northern
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flying squirrels in a 50-70 year old 2nd growth mixed hardwood-coniferous forest stand in New
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Brunswick. Glides for males and females combined (n = 100) had a mean of 16.4 m, and ranged
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from 3.2 to 45 m. This is similar to the gliding performance of P. volans, found in forests of
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northern Eurasia and Japan (Asari et al 2007).
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In Scandinavia, dispersal ability of P. volans in fragmented habitat was examined by
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Selonen and Hanski (2003, 2004). Dispersing juveniles tended to disperse through preferred
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habitat (breeding habitat) and 74.1% ± 25.7% of movements during dispersal were in preferred
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habitat (2004). Matrix composed of good movement habitat and poor movement habitat were also
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crossed, but open areas that could not be crossed in a single glide were almost always avoided
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(2004). During 90-minute tracking periods, adults traveled short distances and spent little time in
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matrix habitat, although males tended to cross more edges, travel longer distances in matrix
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habitat, and spend more time in matrix habitat than females (2003). One male was observed to
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cross a field 70 m wide in a single glide several times, and only one female crossed a gap wider
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than 50 m. In general, dispersing juveniles were able to disperse long distances through
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fragmented forests by staying mainly in preferred habitat and crossing matrix habitat only when it
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was narrow (<150 m) or difficult to circumvent and gaps (nonhabitat) only if they could be
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crossed with a single glide or by moving through scattered trees or bushes (2004).
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APPROACH
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Question 1) To what degree does I-90 currently represent a barrier to movement for individual
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squirrels?
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Radio Telemetry Approach
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To examine the effect of I-90 on the movement of individual squirrels, I will use radio-
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telemetry to track nightly movements and describe the home ranges of squirrels living near the
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highway. Telemetry will enable us to test the null hypothesis that squirrels move randomly with
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respect to the highway against the alternative hypothesis that squirrels avoid crossing the
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highway. If crossings are observed, telemetry will also provide information about how squirrels
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are moving across the highway (i.e., in culverts, gliding across, running across) and will enable us
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to roughly assess the frequency of such events. If consistent patterns emerge, a rough model
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could be developed to predict points along the highway corridor where crossings are likely
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occurring. This sort of model would be especially helpful for managers if genetic analysis
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indicates a need for mitigation measures for this species.
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To the extent possible using a homing technique with ground-based radio-telemetry, we
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will record locations of tracked squirrels at one-hour intervals during each tracking session. The
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resulting data will consist of several “bursts” of 1 hr-spaced locations clustered temporally by
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individual tracking sessions but spread evenly over the 2-3 month monitoring period. A straight
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line drawn between a sequential pair of locations during a tracking session can be thought of as a
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movement vector. If we are able to record, for example, 4 locations per squirrel per night on 10
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nights over the monitoring period, we will have 30 separate movement vectors per squirrel. A test
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for crossing avoidance will compare the null hypothesis, H0: squirrel movements are random with
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respect to the highway, to the alternative hypothesis, HA: squirrels avoid crossing the highway. If
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squirrels tend to avoid crossing the highway, then we would expect that the number of vectors
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crossing the highway would be smaller than if the same vectors were arranged randomly within a
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“null home range,” a space with a center at the squirrel’s day den and a radius of the maximum
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distance the squirrel was observed from the day den.
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Data obtained from telemetry will also function as a corroborator for the genetic analysis.
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Riley et al (2006) combined these techniques in their study of bobcats and coyotes in a southern-
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Californian landscape fragmented by a major freeway. While telemetry data suggested a
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moderate rate of movement across the freeway, genetic analysis revealed a substantial degree of
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population subdivision consistent with much lower crossing rates. The researchers hypothesized
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animals crossing the freeway were not breeding—and therefore not contributing to gene flow—
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because of territory ‘pile-up’ at the edges of the freeway creating an additional and associated
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social and behavioral barrier to gene flow (Riley et al 2006). Thus, combining techniques can
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uncover biologically significant phenomena that a single technique might fail to reveal.
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Question 2) Has I-90 represented a barrier to gene flow for Northern flying squirrels in the
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Cascades and, if so, to what degree are populations on either side of the highway genetically
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differentiated?
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Genetic Approach
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We will address the issue of gene flow by estimating population subdivision in the study
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area on either side of I-90. Models of genetic drift predict that allele frequencies among isolated
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subpopulations will, over time, diverge due to drift acting randomly and independently on each
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finite subpopulation. Rate of genetic differentiation among subpopulations is determined by the
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rate of gene flow or migration—the two terms used interchangeably and usually denoted by m,
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generation time for the organism, and the effective population size (Ne) (Wright 1940).
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Several parameters are used to describe genetic differentiation between subpopulations
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including FST (Wright 1951) GST (Nei 1973), RST (Slatkin 1995), and θ (Weir and Cockerham
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1984). These parameters are all somewhat analogous in what they describe, but each makes a
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slightly different set of assumptions regarding the genetic and demographic processes occurring
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in the populations of interest and the sampling method used (see Holsinger and Weir 2009 for a
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review). In reality, it is often difficult to ascertain which statistic is most appropriate for a given
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organism or study system because the aforementioned processes are unknown. Simulation studies
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have generally shown that the various estimators perform similarly for most data sets (e.g.,
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Kalinowski 2002) so for the sake of brevity I will only make reference to FST in the following
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sections although in the analysis of my data I will calculate values for each of these related
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statistics for comparison.
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Briefly, the parameter FST is defined as the proportion of total heterozygosity that is due
to differences in allele frequencies among subpopulations and is calculated as follows:
FST 
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HT  H S
HT
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where HT is the expected heterozygosity in the total population assuming no structure, HS is the
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mean of expected heterozygositiesover all subpopulations. For a single locus,
HT  1  2 pii2
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n
 k

2
H

c
and S  j 1   p ij 
 i1 

j 1
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where there are k alleles (i=1, …, k), n subpopulations (j=1, …, n), cj is the relative proportion of
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the jth subpopulation, and p
ij denotes the frequency of the ith allele in the jth subpopulation. The
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second term in the equation for HS is the expected heterozygosity in the jth subpopulation.
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To calculate FST using multiple loci, HS and HT can be determined separately for each
locus and averaged together to produce HS and HT . Then the multilocus version of FST is
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

FST 
HT  H S
HT
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FST ranges from 0 to 1—0 indicating a perfectly panmictic population and 1 indicating
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fixation for different alleles atevery locus (no shared alleles), which could hypothetically occur
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between completely isolated subpopulations of finite size with no gene flow. Sewall Wright, the
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pioneer of so-called F-statistics, demonstrated that very little gene flow is needed to counteract
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the tendency of genetic drift to differentiate subpopulations regardless of the size of the
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population (1969). Genetic markers should therefore be highly variable, mutate rapidly, and
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should be free of selective forces to detect fine-scale or recent differentiation between large
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populations. Microsatellites are therefore ideal markers for detecting population differentiation
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from even fairly recent disruptions in gene flow and have generally replaced other markers for
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this purpose (Halliburton 2004).
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Our sampling scheme for genetic data is a paired control-impact design. We will obtain
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genetic samples from squirrels at three or more paired trap sites, each pair consisting of one trap
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site on either side of the highway. This paired trapping design will allow us to compare genotype
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samples among trap sites on the same side as well as on opposite sides of the highway.
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Comparison among sites on the same side will function as a control for geographic distance.
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Analysis of multilocus microsatellite genotypes will proceed as follows. Genotypes will
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be analyzed for deviations from Hardy-Weinburg equilibrium, linkage equilibrium, and presence
358
of null alleles using methods described in Raymond and Rousset (1995). Genetic differentiation,
359
FST, between all pairs of sites will be estimated using Weir and Cockerham’s (1984) statistic θ.
360
Two regression analyses will be conducted to test for spatial relationships of genetic distance. To
361
test for a simple isolation-by-distance effect, genetic distance FST or, alternatively, FST/(1-FST) as
362
recommended by Rousset (1997) will be plotted against the log of geographic distance between
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sites. The second regression will include in the independent variable a binary term for the
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presence or absence of the highway between pairs of sites such that the slope of the regression is
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FST/(1-FST) = β1log(geographic distance) + β2(presence of highway) + c
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where the presence of the highway between two sites is denoted by a 1 and its absence denoted by
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a 0 in the second term of the right-hand side of the equation. The term c is a constant (y-
368
intercept). If the highway does act as a barrier, the coefficient β2 will be positive and significantly
369
different than 0.
370
MEASUREMENT METHODS
371
Trapping methods
372
We will trap flying squirrels at six to eight locations representing three or four pairs of
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sites along the east-west highway corridor. Within the selected sites, trapping will be
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opportunistic, the goal being merely to gather a sufficient number of genetic samples and to
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distribute collars among individuals with home ranges directly adjacent to the highway. Suitable
376
trap sites will be selected in places with favorable conditions for Northern flying squirrels within
377
2 km of the highway along the 15-mile project area. We will first establish a loose trap grid or
378
trap line (depending on dimensions of the site) with an approximately 40 m spacing between
379
points that generally covers the favorable habitat at each site. We will place a maximum of thirty-
380
six trap points at each site. Pairs of Tomahawk 201 live traps (Tomahawk, WI, USA) will be set
381
at each grid point—one trap will be placed on the ground and the other fastened to the bole of a
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tree at approximately chest-height (1.5 m). Traps will be covered with a close-fitting waxed
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cardboard sleeve and bark or other forest floor debris to conceal the traps and provide entrapped
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animals some thermal cover and protection from predators and precipitation. A handful of
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polyester stuffing in each trap will provide nesting material. Traps will be baited with a mixture
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of rolled oats, peanut butter, and molasses.
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We will set traps shortly before dusk and check open traps the following morning. For
388
each flying squirrel captured we will record sex, age class (young of the year, young adult, or
389
mature adult), breeding status, weight, geographic coordinates of the trap (UTM, NAD83),
390
processing time, a unique identifier for the envelope containing the genetic sample, PIT tag
391
number, and, if applicable, collar frequency.
392
DNA samples will come from epithelial cells from cheek swabs. Two samples will be
393
collected from each individual—one using a synthetic swab and one using a cotton swab. Swabs
394
will be inserted into the mouth and scraped along the inner cheek with a twisting motion. Both
395
swabs will be placed in the same sealed sample envelope and stored in an airtight container with
396
desiccant as soon as possible following trapping.
397
We will use 4-gram PD-2C VHF neck collar transmitters manufactured by Holohil
398
Systems Ltd. (Carp, Ontario, Canada). Attachment will be around the neck following standard
399
procedures provided by the manufacturer. Antenna cables will be trimmed to avoid interference
400
with the squirrels’ tails.
401
Telemetry methods
402
I will restrict capture effort to within a typical home range length of the highway so
403
transmitters are placed on squirrels who’s movement is likely to be affected by the highway
404
corridor. I will deploy ten transmitters each year of the study for a total of twenty radio-collared
405
individuals. I will attempt to distribute transmitters in such a way that 2-3 squirrels with
406
overlapping or adjacent home ranges can be monitored simultaneously at each site.
407
Trapping for transmitter deployment will take place during late spring 2009 and 2010,
408
from late May until mid to late June. Tracking will commence as soon as a sufficient number of
409
animals are collared—probably around mid June. Each squirrel will be tracked periodically until
410
30-40 locations have been recorded including night activity locations and day-den locations.
411
Observers with handheld telemetry receivers and yagi antennas will select 2-3 squirrels on a
412
given night and attempt to locate each squirrel at one-hour intervals throughout their activity
413
cycle. The tracking schedule will emphasize obtaining an even distribution of locations over the
414
duration of the nightly activity cycle to minimize any major gaps due to rythmicity in the
415
squirrels’ movement patterns—for example, where the squirrel tends to visit a particular area at a
416
certain time of night.
417
Observers will be trained to home in on collared squirrels until they are able to either i)
418
establish visual contact with the squirrel or identify the specific tree in which the squirrel is
419
located, ii) home in to within an estimated 20 m of the squirrel, or iii) home in to within an
420
estimated 40 m of the squirrel. Location quality will be classified as 1, 2, or 3 corresponding to
421
these three situations. The latter classifications will likely be warranted where signal bounce is a
422
problem, when squirrels are high up in trees, or when observers are unable to follow a squirrel
423
into an area and must triangulate a location. Observers will record for each location the date,
424
time, transmitter frequency, location quality, UTM coordinates, bearing-to-signal (if triangulation
425
is used), and a location description and other relevant notes.
426
Microsatellite Methods
427
428
Need to consult S. Kalinowski. and N. Vu.
Statistical Methods: Radio Telemetry
429
To evaluate the degree to which the highway affects individual squirrels’ movements, I
430
will test the null hypothesis H0: squirrels move randomly with respect to the highway, against the
431
alternative hypothesis HA: squirrels avoid crossing the highway using methods modified from
432
those of Shepard et al (2008).
433
First, all location data for each squirrel will be converted into movement vectors with a
434
starting point and ending point corresponding to sequential locations (locations measured
435
approximately 1 hour apart during the same night). These vectors can then be simplified further
436
by specifying only the origin (coordinates of the starting point), angle (from true North or another
437
reference direction), and length (Euclidean straight-line distance between starting point and
438
ending point).
439
These simplified vectors will be plotted on a map and overlaid with the location of the
440
highway. The proportion of vectors crossing the highway will be used as a test statistic. A
441
randomization procedure will be used to derive a distribution of this test statistic under the null
442
hypothesis of random movement with respect to the highway. The randomization procedure will
443
use real vector lengths from the data, but will randomize angles. To simulate random movement
444
under the constraints of biological reality, starting points will also be chosen randomly, but will
445
be restricted to a “null home range” with a radius equal to the greatest distance a the squirrel was
446
observed from a day den during telemetry.
447
The probability of the observed number of highway crossings under the null hypothesis
448
will be obtained by measuring the area of the random distribution equal to or less than the test
449
statistic (Manly 1991).
450
Statistical Methods: Microsatellite Analysis
451
Significance of the genetic distance-geographic distance regression will be evaluated with
452
a simple Mantel test (Mantel 1967) and the significance of partial correlations in the multiple
453
regression will be evaluated with a partial Mantel test (Smouse et al 1986) using Pearson’s
454
product-moment correlation coefficient as the test statistic and assigning α levels using sequential
455
Bonferroni adjustments (Rice 1989). Mantel tests are used to test for significant correlation
456
between two or more matrices. The coefficients from a multiple regression are compared to those
457
generated by many random permutations of the predictive variables. The response matrix, Y,
458
contains some measure of genotypic or phenotypic “distance” between pairs of individuals or
459
populations and the predictive matrices, X1, X2…Xn contain some measure of environmental
460
distance between these same pairs. The predictive distances I am interested in are a) geographic
461
distance, Xg and b) presence of barriers between pairs of sites, Xb. The response matrix Y is
462
composed of pairwise FST values between sites. Partial Mantel’s tests (Smouse et al 1986) are
463
used to evaluate the relative contributions of more than one predictive matrix (e.g., the amount of
464
variation explained by the presence of a barrier after controlling for geographic distance). A
465
correlation coefficient, rYX, between the predictive matrix (or matrices) and response matrix is
466
obtained through calculations described in Mantel (1967) and Smouse et al (1986) and the
467
significance level is tested with a Monte Carlo randomization method by randomly permuting the
468
values in the Y matrix and calculating rYX values many times to obtain a null distribution of the
469
test statistic (Manly 1991).
470
471
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