Preliminary Programme: Infrastructure and Growth – Theory, Empirical Evidence and Policy Lessons Speaker John Luiz Topic Day 1: 29 May 2006 Registration & Coffee: 8:00 – 9:45 Welcome and Opening Remarks: 8:45 – 9:00 The Aggregate Background: Infrastructure Development in South Africa, and its Productivity Impact Economic Infrastructure Stocks and Investment in South Africa, 1870 – 2000 Wits Business School University of the Witwatersrand Peter Perkins Infrastructural Investment in Long-run Economic Growth: South Africa, 1875-2001 School of Economic and Business Sciences University of the Witwatersrand Lawrence Edwards Time 9:00 – 12:00 (Includes tea break) South Africa’s Export Performance: Determinants of Export Supply School of Economics University of Cape Town David Canning Keynote The Effect of Infrastructure on Long-Run Economic Growth 12:00-13:00 School of Public Health Harvard University Zeljko Bogetic Lunch: 13:00 -14:00 The International Comparative Perspective International Benchmarking Of South Africa's Infrastructure Performance World Bank Vivien Foster World Bank Katharine Gratwick Management Programme in Infrastructure Reform & Regulation University of Cape Town Johannes Fedderke Economic Research Southern Africa University of Cape Town Ibrahim Bu Kamara Infrastructure, public enterprise performance and poverty reduction: experiences and lessons from Latin America Investment conundrums and solutions: a survey of independent power projects in Africa Day 2: 30 May 2006 Estimation Opportunities and Pitfalls Isolating the Productivity Impact of Infrastructure Investment: South African Panel Evidence Isolating the Productivity Impact of Infrastructure Investment: African Panel 14:00-17:00 (Includes tea break) 9:00 – 12:00 (Includes School of Economics University of Cape Town Evidence Chandana Kularatne Social and Economic Infrastructure Impacts on Economic Growth in South Africa: placing the ASGISA framework into context Keynote New cross-country analysis of the links between infrastructure and growth: accounting for the quality of infrastructure and the business climate Lunch: 13:00 -14:00 Electricity The Electricity Sector in South Africa: Issues & Reform Options South African National Treasury Ioannis Kessides World Bank Ioannis Kessides tea break) 12:00-13:00 World Bank Harald Winkler National Integrated Energy Planning Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town Grove Steyn Bruno Merven Investment and uncertainty: historical experience with power sector investments in South Africa and its implication for current challenges Electricity Expansion Planning 14:00-17:00 (Includes tea break) Energy Research Centre University of Cape Town Zeljko Bogetic & Johannes Fedderke Day 3: 31 May 2006 Forecasting Infrastructure Needs and Policy Challenges Forecasting Investment Needs in South Africa’s Electricity And Telecom Sectors World Bank & Economic Research Southern Africa University of Cape Town Emmanuelle Giovannetti Infrastructure regulation: European Perspectives School of Economics University of Cape Town John Kruger 9:00 – 12:00 (Includes tea break) The 2010 Football World Cup: planning challenges and approaches South African National Treasury Reviewing the Policy Implications Panel: Andrew Donaldson Ioannis Kessides Christopher Loewald Discussion of the policy implications to emerge from the discussion. Lunch: 13:00 -14:00 12:00-13:00