Management Summary
Background
Section 1 Aimhigher 2008/09 Cohort Participation and Achievement
1.1 Introduction
1.2 Destination of pupils aged 17 in 2008/09
1.3 Achievement against estimated potential at 16 in 2008/09
1.4 Percentage of 2008/09 Pupils achieving Level 2 by ages 16-19
1.5 Percentage of 2008/09 Pupils achieving Level 3 by ages 17-19
Section 2 Performance Tracking of Cohorts post 16
2.1 Introduction
2.2 Impact of Widening Participation Attendances on Progress
Performance
2.3 Percentage of Pupils in Ethnic Groups achieving Level 2 by ages
16-19
2.4 Percentage of Pupils in Ethnic Groups achieving Level 3 by ages
17-20
2.5 Level 2 and Level 3 Achievement of Learners with Physical
Disabilities
2.6 Level 2 and Level 3 Achievement of Learners with Learning
Disabilities
Conclusion
Appendices:
Appendix A 2008/09 Aimhigher Cohort Profile
Appendix B Analysis by Ethnic Group
Appendix C Analysis by Type of Disability
CM Dean
Learning & Skills Council
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The 2008/09 Aimhigher cohort was selected centrally on behalf of the schools as per the HEFCE criteria. The selection did not include occupational background of parents/carers as this information was not available, and although schools were presented with a suggested list of
Aimhigher members, schools and colleges were allowed to change or add members based on their personal knowledge of the learners. A
Core Aimhigher group was identified as members who have attended
Aimhigher funded widening participation activities.
The report analysed the continued participation of the Aimhigher group in fulltime education and training at the age of 17; the achievement of learners still in education or training in 2008/09 in Level 2 and Level 3 qualifications; and tracked progress of learners from their GCSE year, to the age of 19, whether still in education or not. Aimhigher results are compared to non-Aimhigher results in each of the reporting groups.
Participation:
The percentage of the 17 year old Area Aimhigher cohort staying on in fulltime school or college education increased at around 2 percentage points each year from 81.5% in 2007 to 85.3% in 2009. City Aimhigher learners staying on in fulltime education increased from 81.1% in 2008 to 86.5% in 2009, an increase of 5.4% compared to an equivalent increase of 2.6% for all City learners.
Overall performance for Learners in Education in 2008/09:
In 2008/09, 64.5% of the Aimhigher GCSE learners performed equal to or better than expected for Level 2 at 16. This performance is a 4 percentage points improvement over 2007/08.
Level 2 achievement of the 2008/09 Aimhigher cohort and core group is consistently higher than that of the non-Aimhigher group in the City.
The County Aimhigher cohort is underperforming compared to their non-Aimhigher counterparts, although catching up by the age 18 and overtaking by the age of 19.
A Year on year comparison of the performance for each age group since 2005/06 indicates a steady increase in Level 2 performance of
Aimhigher members aged 16 and 19 in 2008/09, and for all age groups for Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities.
The 2008/09 Aimhigher group performed marginally better in Level 3 at
18 and 10.7 percentage points better than their counterparts by 19. The
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Aimhigher core group performed better than Aimhigher and non-
Aimhigher groups at all ages and significantly better at 93.1% compared to 57.3% of the Aimhigher and 46.6% of the non-Aimhigher groups by the age of 19.
Overall performance for Learners tracked by GCSE cohort groups:
Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities (Core group) performed significantly better than other groups: 75% or more achieved Level 2 by
16, more than 90% by the age of 17 and close to 100% by 19.
60% plus of Core Aimhigher learners achieved Level 3 by the expected age of 18 and more than 90% by the age of 19, significantly better than the 51% national average and non-Aimhigher learners by 19.
A higher proportion of Aimhigher learners, whether they have attended
WP activities or not, continue with their Level 3 studies to age 19 than either non-Aimhigher learners or the national average. In the 2005/06 cohort (aged 19 in 2008/09), 11.5 percent additional Aimhigher learners achieved Level 3 at 19 compared to an additional 5.5% of non-
Aimhigher members and 8% of national average improvement.
Members with barriers:
Aimhigher members in all ethnic groups, aged 19 in 2008/09 (GCSE in
2005/06), outperformed the non-Aimhigher learners by the age of 19, and the improved performance started at the age of 16. This increased performance over non-Aimhigher learners is especially significant in the
Black and Mixed groups.
For all ethnic groups the Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities, performed significantly better in both Level 2 and Level 3 than either the Aimhigher learners who have not attended recorded WP activities, or the non-Aimhigher learners.
Aimhigher learners with medical or other disabilities tend to perform better in Level 2 than the full group of disabled learners at all ages.
Aimhigher members with emotional disability however performed lower.
Learners with disability who have attended WP activities performed significantly well at all ages, although the numbers are very low.
By the age of 18, 60%+ of Aimhigher learners with learning difficulties achieved a Level 2, compared to less than 50 percent of the whole group with learning difficulties. Aimhigher members with learning difficulties who attended WP activities achieved at least 78% level 2 by age lf 17, and in most cases, 100%. This achievement is repeated for
Level 3.
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Background
Performance by the Leicestershire Area Aimhigher members have been tracked and reported for the past five years. During the first two years the members were selected by the schools and their performance was compared to non-member performance for GCSE and A-Level exam results. For the past three years the selection was done centrally according to the criteria required by HEFCE and the recommended lists passed to the schools. This allowed more consistent selection and reduced the workload of the teachers involved.
Performance reporting focused on the achievements of the Aimhigher learners compared to non-Aimhigher learners who were in learning during the reporting year. A disadvantage of this reporting method is that the numbers of learners still in full time education are low for the higher ages of 18 and 19 as many of the learners would already have left for higher education or work. Comparative impact of Aimhigher involvement for this group was therefore restricted to learners achieving at a later age. Over the past five years it was however possible to compile a comprehensive list of all the learners who were members of Aimhigher at some stage during their learning experience, and also whether they attended a recorded widening participation (WP) activity during that time.
This allowed Aimhigher versus non-Aimhigher learners to be tracked and analysed as GCSE groups from the age of 16 regardless of where they studied or when they left fulltime education. This change affected the format of the 2008/09 report.
Report Format
In order to gain the most benefit from the availability of the consolidated list of Aimhigher members, the report is split in two sections.
The first section reports on the Aimhigher versus non-Aimhigher learners who were in fulltime learning during 2008/09:

Participation at 17 reports on the type of training or education attended by Aimhigher and non-Aimhigher learners six months after their GCSE exam (January 2010).

Achievement at GCSE compares the actual versus the estimated performance of the learners at 16, a factor which was used as one of the selection criteria for potential to succeed in higher education.

Performance post 16 compares the Level 2 and 3 achievements of 2008/09 Aimhigher members by age, against non-Aimhigher and previous year cohorts in order to detect trends in performance.
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The second section tracks and reports on cohorts of learners and
Aimhigher members from their GCSE year at 16 to their age of 19, regardless of how they moved since last recorded as a member. This approach is in line with the government national indicators of monitoring the percentage Level 2 and Level 3 by 19, and better comparisons can therefore be made even to national level. The year in which the members were in GCSE are used to identify the base cohort for tracking.
This section also includes the analysis of vulnerable groups, such as ethnic groups and learners with disabilities or learning difficulties.
Where available, three sets of results are provided for comparison: non-
Aimhigher members, Aimhigher members who have not attended recorded WP activities, and Aimhigher members who have attended WP activities (Core group).
Sources, Assumption and Presentation Notes
Various standard databases and sources were used for analysis of participation and performance.

The school and further education college census datasets were used to select the Aimhigher cohorts. School census data was matched to the FFT dataset for estimates used as one of the selection criteria. The 2008/09 Aimhigher cohort set was merged with previous Aimhigher cohorts to create the consolidated set used in section 2.

The January 2010 Connexions destination dataset provided a snapshot view of ongoing participation of the Aimhigher 2008/09 cohort

The Widening Participation dataset provided information on WP activities attended by Aimhigher members, both for the 2008/09 and the consolidated cohorts

The Young Person merged dataset (YPMAD 2008/09) provided performance progression information for learners post GCSE.
Information is as accurate as the contents of the databases as at the end of the 2008/09 academic year.
Colour coding is used to show the difference between non-Aimhigher,
Aimhigher and Core Aimhigher groups. A higher or lower reading should be interpreted as such and does not automatically mean better or worse performance.
.
The Aimhigher figure is higher than non-Aimhigher figure
The Aimhigher figure is lower than non-Aimhigher figure
The core Aimhigher cohort figure is higher than Aimhigher cohort figure
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Section 1 Aimhigher 2008/09 Cohort Participation and Achievements
1.1 Introduction
The 2008/09 Aimhigher cohort is analysed with respect to their continued participation in education and training for the group that wrote GCSE in 2009; the achievement of this group in their GCSE exams compared to their estimated achievements; and their progress post 16. Comparative trend results are given with earlier year cohorts.
1.2 Destination of pupils aged 17 in 2008/09
The most up to date source of information for post 16 participation is the Connexions destinations as reported in 2010 for the GCSE learners of 2008/09. Table 1 provides the percentages of the Aimhigher learners in each destination for the Leicestershire Area, City and County compared to all the learners. It was not possible to compare the
Aimhigher group to the non-Aimhigher group as the latter information was not available. The Aimhigher 2007 and 2008 leaver groups are also provided as a comparison to the 2009 leaver group. Note that this is a snapshot and changing continuously as young people change their destinations.
Area
Full Time (FT) Education
Employment incl. Apprentices
FT Training
NEET
Unkown/othe r
City
% of all Learners in Authority
2007
Not
Available
2008
85.3
5.0
3.7
5.0
1.0
2009
87.9
2.5
4.2
3.8
1.6
% of Aimhigher Cohort
2007
81.5
7.1
1.9
7.8
1.7
2007 2008 2009 2007 2008
Full Time (FT) Education
Employment incl. Apprentices
FT Training
NEET
Unkown/other
County
Full Time (FT) Education
Employment incl. Apprentices
FT Training
Not
Available
2007
Not
Available
84.0
3.0
5.0
7.0
1.0
2008
86.0
6.0
3.0
86.6
1.6
5.0
4.9
1.7
2009
88.6
3.0
3.8
82
6.2
1.8
8.1
1.8
2007
80
9.8
2.0
NEET 4.0 3.2 6.7
Unkown/other 1.0 1.2 1.5
Source: AH cohort matched to 2009 School/College census plus Connexions Destinations
Table 1: Destination of 2009 GCSE Learners in 2010.
81.1
4.4
4.3
6.7
3.5
2008
86.6
6.2
2.1
4.1
1
2008
83.3
5.2
3.5
5.7
2.3
2009
86.5
2.8
4.5
4.9
1.3
2009
85.3
3.9
4.5
5.1
1.2
2009
82.4
6.7
4.5
5.5
0.9
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Fulltime (FT) education includes learners in sixth form schools and colleges, or attending further education colleges on a fulltime basis.

For the full Aimhigher cohort the percentage staying on in FT
Education increased at around 2 percentage points each year from 81.5% in 2007 to 85.3% in 2009, in line with the increase observed for the all learners.

The 85.3% Aimhigher learners continuing with FT education in
2009 is however still lower than 87.9% for all learners.

City Aimhigher learners staying on in fulltime education increased from 81.1% in 2008 to 86.5% in 2009, an increase of
5.4% compared to an increase for all the learners of 2.6% between 2008 and 2009.

Participation of the Aimhigher 2009 GCSE learners staying on in fulltime education in the County showed a drop of 4% between 2008 and 2009, resulting in this percentage being significantly lower than for all the County learners at 88.6%. It is however still higher than 80% recorded in 2007 for the County.
FT Employment includes learners in employment, whether as apprentices or as employees in companies with or without training opportunities.

The percentages of the Area Aimhigher group as well as individually for the City and County cohorts, are higher than for all the learners in 2008 and 2009. 2.8% of the Aimhigher group left for fulltime employment in the City in 2009 versus 1.6% of all learners and 6.7% of the County Aimhigher group versus 3.0% of all learners.

This group however includes learners selecting apprenticeships.
2.9% of the County and 1.4% in the City Aimhigher learners selected apprenticeships in 2009.

The year on year trend indicates a reduction in Aimhigher learners in fulltime employment in the City from 6.2% in 2007 to
2.8% in 2009, and from 9.8% in 2007 to 6.7% in 2009 in the
County.
FT training refers to learners attending non-qualification courses such as foundation courses, entry to employment (E2E) or other part time training at colleges, or work based learning (WBL) training at approved
WBL providers.

The year on year trend for Aimhigher learners continuing their fulltime training, increased for the Area cohort as well as in the
City and County to 4.5% in 2009.

This percentage is lower than the 5% for all learners in the City, but higher than the 3.8% in the County all learner group.
NEET refers to learners not in education, employment or training.

The percentage of Aimhigher members going NEET (not in education, employment or training) is higher than for all the learners in the County at 5.6% versus 3.2%. Aimhigher NEET
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percentage is similar to all the learners in the City at approximately 4.8%.

The NEET percentage in the City for both Aimhigher and total learners dropped significantly at approximately 2 percent points from the 2008 results.
FT Education
NEET
FT Employment
Unkown/other
FT Training
4
3
2
1
0
9
8
7
6
5
2007 2008 2009
Figure 1 Trend of Destination of Aimhigher Learners at age 17
Figure 1 shows the trend of Aimhigher destinations for the full area cohort from 2006/07 to 2008/09. Based on these trends, full time education increased significantly between 2007 and 2008 and at a lower rate in 2009. Full time employment and NEET percentages dropped, with an increase in full time training at providers (work based learning) or at colleges in preparation for employment.
1.3 Achievement against estimated potential at 16 in 2008/09
One of the selection criteria for Aimhigher membership is a potential to succeed in higher education, based on the learner’s potential to achieve Level 2 (5+ A*-C grades) at the age of 16, as estimated by
Fisher Family Trust (FFT) for GCSE performance. The analysis compared the performance of the Aimhigher members who wrote their
GCSE exams in 2009 to the performance of the GCSE Aimhigher group of 2007/08.
Comparative performance against potential was not possible for years earlier than 2007/08 or to compare to other non-Aimhigher groups.
Earlier year analyses and reports compared the actual numbers of A-C grades estimated and achieved by the learners. Since 2007/08 this changed to the estimated potential of the learner to achieve Level 2 at
84
83.5
83
82.5
82
81.5
81
80.5
80
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GCSE, being closer to the criteria used during the selection process.
Each yeargroup is split into the number of learners in the cohort with less than 40% chance of achieving Level 2 at GCSE, 40-60% chance or more than 60% chance at GCSE.
Both <40
40-60
>60
Total
Aimhigher performance against Potential
2007/08
Number % L2
357
33
1129
1519
7.5
48.5
77.6
60.5
2008/09
Number % L2
524
243
1864
2631
9.5
49.4
81.9
64.5
City <40
40-60
>60
Total
292
29
664
985
8.2
51.7
84.2
60.7
317
230
1328
1875
13.3
51.3
85.9
69.4
County <40
40-60
>60
65
*
465
4.6
25
68.2
207
13
536
3.9
15.4
71.8
Total 534 60.1
Source: 2008 and 2009 merged datasets updated with FFT potential
756 52.3
Table 2 Percentage of Aimhigher Learners achieving L2 versus potential
Performance against potential is presented as the percentage of the year cohort who achieved Level 2 at 16 within each category as to their chance of achieving Level 2 at 16.

The general performance in 2008/09 was higher than 2007/08, except the border groups (40-60% chance) in both the City and
County, and the lowest group (<40% chance) in the County.

The group with less than 40% chance to achieve Level 2 in the
County, being significantly more in number than in 2007/08, resulted in the total performance of the Aimhigher group in the
County to be lower in 2008/09 than in 2007/08 (52.3% versus
60.1%).

Performance in 2008/09 for the full area Aimhigher group is 4 percentage points better than in 2007/08.
1.4 Percentage of 2008/09 Pupils achieving Level 2 by ages 16-19
Selection of the Aimhigher cohort for 2008/09 to be in the 40% most deprived areas as per the index of multiple deprivation (IMD), reduced the need to analyse the Level 2 and Level 3 performance by IMD category. Performance is therefore only compared by age for the City,
County and the Leicestershire Area in total. The Aimhigher Core group have attended wider participation activities.
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Table 3 presents the percentage of each age group still in fulltime education in 2008/09 who have achieved Level 2 by age. This table reports of the performance in the full Leicestershire area.
% Learners achieving L2 by age of:
Age in
2008/09
16
17
18
19
16
17
18
19
Grand
Total
8066
7135
6546
2903
2647
2308
1932
780
%L2 by
16
%L2 by
17
%L2 by
18
Area non-Aimhigher Learners
59.4
%L2 by
19
64.7
65.5
44.1
75.7
76.5
59.6
Area Aimhigher Cohort
85.9
71.4 80.9
64.1
60.1
68.0
37.8
80.1
84.0
70.0
92.3
87.1 94.9
16
17
18
704
358
191
Area Aimhigher Core Cohort
85.2
87.7
81.7
93.9
90.1 96.3
19 29 79.3 93.1 100.0 100.0
Source: YPMAD datasetr 2008/09 flagged with Aimhigher cohorts
Table 3: % Achievement of Level 2 by age for groups aged 16 to 19 in 2008/09
Performance by age is calculated as a percentage of the number of learners in the relevant age group.

Both the Area Aimhigher cohort and the Aimhigher core group performed better than the non-Aimhigher members for the comparable age groups in 2008/09.
Table 4 presents the same information split by local authority.
Age in
2008/09
16
17
18
19
16
Grand
Total
6474
5118
4534
1542
757
% Learners achieving L2 by age of:
%L2 by %L2 by %L2 by %L2 by
16 17 18
County non-Aimhigher Learners
19
63.1
71.9
73.1
49.5
83.3
83.5
66.2
County Aimhigher Members
91.0
77.9
51.9
85.7
Grand
Total
1592
2017
2012
1361
1890
% Learners achieving L2 by age of:
%L2 by %L2 by %L2 by %L2 by
16 17 18
City non-Aimhigher Learners
19
44.2
46.3
48.4
37.9
56.5
60.6
52.2
City Aimhigher Members
69.0
74.5
64.1
75.5
17
18
19
16
17
18
19
774
552
215
259
115
51
3
51.8
64.1
46.5
75.5
82.1
75.3
90.0
90.2
County Core Aimhigher Members
87.6
81.7
86.3
66.7
90.4
92.2
100.0
96.1
100.0
94.9
100.0
Source: YPMAD dataset 2008/09 flagged with Aimhigher cohort and core members
1534
1380
565
445
243
140
26
64.2
69.5
34.5
82.5
84.7
68.0
93.3
85.8
City Core Aimhigher Members
83.8
90.5
80.0
80.8
95.5
89.3
92.3
96.4
100.0
Table 4: percentage of City and County Learners achieving Level 2 by age.
94.9
100.0
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16
17
18
19
Aimhigher
16
17
18
19
Core AH
16
17
18
19
Table 5
Performance by local authority shows differences in City and County achievements.

The performance of the Aimhigher cohort and core group at
Level 2 is consistently higher than that of the non-Aimhigher group in the City except for the percentage of 19 year old learners achieving L2 in the City at the age of 16.

County Aimhigher cohort is however underperforming compared to their non-Aimhigher counterparts, although catching up by the age 18 and overtaking by the age of 19.

Aimhigher Core learners have performed better than either the full Aimhigher cohort or the non-Aimhigher learners by all ages.
Table 5 provides a year on year comparison of the performance of the three cohort groups since 2005/06. Performance of the Core group, as members who have attended WP activities, could only be added for the past two years.
Age in Year
Non-AH
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
55.6
64.2
68.7
71.6
54.0
71.3
90.4
87.8
60.5
67.3
73.5
74.5
53.4
75.3
87.9
86.8
58.8
77.6
88.4
87.0
63.0
83.7
92.4
93.2
85.1
90.3
95.5
100.0
Year on Year Achievement of % L2 by age
59.4
75.7
85.9
80.9
64.1
80.1
92.3
94.9
85.2
93.9
96.3
100.0
Performance highlighted in blue indicates higher percentage than the previous year.

A Year on year comparison of the performance for each age group since 2005/06 in table 2.4 indicates a steady increase of performance of Aimhigher members at ages 16 and 19.

This is encouraging as the trend for the non-Aimhigher learners in 2008/09 at ages 17 to 19 showed a 2-3% downward trend over 2007/08.

The Aimhigher cohort has also performed better than the non-
Aimhigher group at every age in 2007/08 and 2008/09.

Similarly the Aimhigher Core group performed better than the
Aimhigher cohort at every age in 2007/08 and 2008/09.
Figures 2 and 3 present the trend of non-Aimhigher and Aimhigher members in achieving Level 2 by age between 2005/06 and 2008/09.
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Non-Aimhigher % L2 trend
75
70
65
60
95
90
85
80
Age 16
Age 17
Age 18
Age 19
55
50
Figure 2
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Percentage of non-Aimhigher learners by age since 2005/06
The performance of the Aimhigher groups by age since 2005/06 showed a steady increase, instead of the jump in 2007/08 followed by a decrease again in 2008/09 perceived for the non-Aimhigher group. The performance of the 16 year olds shows a significant year on year increase since 2005/06.
Aimhigher % L2 trend
70
65
60
85
80
75
100
95
90
Age 16
Age 17
Age 18
Age 19
55
50
Figure 3
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Percentage of Aimhigher learners by age since 2005/06
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1.5 Percentage of 2008/09 Pupils achieving Level 3 by ages 17-19
Learner achievement of Level 3 qualifications is split by age. The number of learners achieving their Level 3 by the age of 16 is negligible and has been excluded from the analysis.
% Learners achieving L3 by age of:
Age in
2008/09 Grand Total
Area non-Aimhigher
Learners
17
18
19
7135
6546
2903
Area Aimhigher Cohort
17
18
19
17
Area Aimhigher Core
Cohort
2308
1932
780
358
%L3 by
17
29.1
32.6
10.5
21.9
26.0
3.8
%L3 by
18
38.8
58.0
28.7
19.7
%L3 by
19
58.5
46.6
57.3
18 191 25.7 55.5
19 29 34.5 65.5 93.1
Source: YPMAD dataset 2008/09 flagged with Aimhigher Cohort
Table 6: % Achievement of Level 3 by age for groups aged 17 to 19 in
2008/09
Table 6 compares the 2008/09 Leicestershire Area performance of non-Aimhigher, Aimhigher, and Core Aimhigher learners with respect to achievement of Level 3 by age.

The Aimhigher group aged 17 in 2008/09, performed lower than the non-Aimhigher group by 7 percentage points.

Both Aimhigher groups aged 18 and 19 years of age, performed marginally better at 18 and significantly better (10.7 percentage points) than their counterparts for the 19 year group.

The Aimhigher core group performed better than the Aimhigher groups at age 17 and 19. The performance of the 19 year old group in 2008/09 is significantly better at 93.1% achievement of
Level 3.
Table 7 provides a breakdown of the performance of the 2008/09 learners in Level 3 by local authority.
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Age in
2008/09
17
18
19
% Learners achieving L3 by age of:
Grand %L3 by %L3 by %L3 by
Total 17 18
County Non-Aimhigher Learners
19
5118
4534
33.6
39.2
1542 11.3
County Aimhigher Cohort
67.0
32.0
51.8
% Learners achieving L3 by age of:
Grand %L3 by %L3 by %L3 by
Total 17 18
City Non-Aimhigher Learners
19
2017
2012
17.4
17.7
1361 9.6
City Aimhigher Cohort
37.7
25.0
40.9
17
18
19
774
552
215
15.4
21.6
5.6
55.6
21.4
County Aimhigher Core Cohort
56.3
1534
1380
565
25.2
27.8
3.2
City Aimhigher Core Cohort
17
18
19
115
51
3
36.5
45.1
0.0
68.6
66.7
100.0
243
140
26
39.9
18.6
38.5
Source: YPMAD dataset 2008/09 flagged with Aimhigher cohort and core members
59.7
19.1
50.7
65.4
57.7
92.3
Table 7: % Achievement of Level 3 by age for groups aged 19 in 2008/09
Level 3 performance by local authority calculates the number of learners who have already achieved a Level 3 by specified age, as a percentage of that age group.

In line with their performance at Level 2, the City Aimhigher cohort is outperforming their non-Aimhigher counterparts, after sometimes a slow start.

The point score gap between Aimhigher learners with Level 3 in
2008/09 is 8% for the 17 year olds, 22% for the 18 year olds, and 17% for the 19 year olds. It confirms the trend that learners in the City stay on to achieve their Level 2 at a later age than their non-Aimhigher counterparts, and then stay on to achieve
Level 3, outperforming the non-Aimhigher learners.

This performance trend is not repeated in the County where the
Level 3 performance of Aimhigher members tends to lag behind their non-Aimhigher counterparts, although catching up and outperforming by the age of 19.

The Core groups have outperformed other groups.
Table 8 provides a year on year comparison of Level 3 performance in the area.
Age in Year 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Non-AH
17
18
19
Aimhigher
17
18
19
Core AH
17
18
19
Table 8
21.0
39.1
47.3
17.2
57.0
24.1
39.0
48.7
24.7
47.8
29.3
61.5
52.2
28.0
59.2
67.7 45.1 54.8
41.2
84.8
76.5
Year on Year Achievement of % L3 by age
29.1
58.0
46.6
21.9
58.5
57.3
38.8
55.5
93.1
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Considering the year on year trend of the percentage of learners achieving level 3 by age since 2005/06:

There was a general downwards trend in 2008/09 results with the exception of the Aimhigher and Core Aimhigher groups who were 19 in 2008/09.

This lower performance is especially significant for the Core group who were 18 in 2008/09.
Figures 4 and 5 provide a visual presentation of the trends of non-
Aimhigher and Aimhigher learners who achieved Level 3 by age as reported since 2005/06.
Non-Aimhigher Trend - % L3 by Age
50
40
30
70
60
Age 17
Age 18
Age 19
20
10
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Figure 4 Non-Aimhigher trend in achieving L3 since 2005/06
The trend graph on non-Aimhigher learners shows a significant increase in the percentage of the learners with Level 3 by the age of 18 in 2007/08 followed by a decrease for learners aged 18 in 2008/09. 19 year old learners also indicate a drop between 2007/08 and 2008/09
Learners aged 17 maintained a steady increase since 2005/06, though levelling off in 2008/09.
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Aimhigher Trend - % L3 by Age
70
60
50
40
30
20
Age 17
Age 18
Age 19
10
2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09
Figure 5 Aimhigher trend in achieving L3 since 2005/06
The achievement of the percentage of learners with Level 3 by age of
Aimhigher learners increased since 2006/07 for all age groups except the 17 year old group. Learners aged 17 in 2008/09 had a lower percentage achieving Level 3 than for the previous two years. This drop is more significant than for the non-Aimhigher 17 year old group in
2008/09. The improved achievement and trend for the older yeargroups support the findings that Aimhigher learners tend to achieve at a later age than their non-Aimhigher counterparts.
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2.1 Introduction
Section 2 tracks non-Aimhigher, Aimhigher and Core Aimhigher groups from the age of 16 (GCSE) to the age of 19, regardless of where they studied or whether they were Aimhigher members for the full period.
GCSE tracking cohorts are determined as the learners who were in the
Leicestershire Area in their GCSE year. Learners within each GCSE group have been flagged as Aimhigher members if they have been selected as a member at any age since they became eligible for selection at the age of 14. Similarly, learners within this Aimhigher group were flagged as a core group if they have attended widening participation activities at any time, even before GCSE.
This method of cohort analysis has a few advantages. This is the comparison used nationally for measuring Level 2 and Level 3 performance of learners and a more direct comparison can be made between local and national performance. The method furthermore includes learners who left school before the age of 19 and performance at ages 18 and 19 will not only be based on learners still in fulltime education, but for everyone in the GCSE group of the identified year.
This method also allows all Aimhigher members and attendees of widening participation to be included in the analysis with respect to their performance in Level 2 and Level 3 post 16.
The section presents the analysis findings of Area Level 2 and Level 3 performance, including the impact of the number of widening participation (WP) activities recorded for the core group of the
Aimhigher members. It has to be noted that attendances on WP activities have been recorded since 2004/05, but the numbers in the early years were low to allow for the system to be fully introduced. In addition, these WP activities only refer to the official activities financially supported by Aimhigher, and do not include activities initiated and offered by the schools or colleges.
In addition the section presents the performance progress of the different year groups split by ethnic group, as well as the performance of disadvantages learners with disabilities or learning difficulties. The learners with disababilities have been included in Aimhigher selection regardless of whether they showed the potential of succeeding in higher education or not.
In all presentations, except for the learners with disabilities, the performance of the Aimhigher Core group is compared to the
Aimhigher members who have not attended WP activities, as well as the non-Aimhigher group and the published national average performance for equivalent cohorts.
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2.2 Impact of Widening Participation attendance on Progress
Performance
The first analysis compares the percentage of learners achieving Level
2 by age for each of the GCSE cohorts between 2004/05 and 2008/09.
Only learners who were in GCSE in 2005/06 and 2004/05, and therefore aged 19 and 20 in 2008/09, can be compared on performance by all ages until the age of 19. Later GCSE groups are still only aged 16, 17 or 18 in 2008/09, and the first two of these groups are therefore still likely to be at school.
Table 9 presents the achievement of these groups for both levels 2 and
3 achievement. The performance of Core Aimhigher members who attended 1 to 3+ WP activities is compared to Aimhigher without WP activities, the non-Aimhigher learners and the national average for each
GCSE groups. Note that the number of Aimhigher members with recorded WP attendances in the 2004/05 GCSE group is very low, as this was the first year that attendances were officially recorded on a central dataset.
GCSE
Year
2008/09
Area L2 and L3 Achievements
No. WP attended Learners L2 by 16 L2 by 17 L2 by 18 L2 by 19 L3 by 17 L3 by 18 L3 by 19
1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
552
124
43
2966
7198
637000
83.2
93.5
90.7
55.9
59.6
63.9
2007/08
2006/07
2005/06
2004/05
1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
337
46
3371
*
7036
659000
195
15
3069
*
7545
662000
127
10
2897
7784
656000
24
*
1627
8813
645000
85.2
89.1
100.0
50.8
60.4
60.9
76.9
93.3
100.0
56.3
58.6
59.0
89.8
100.0
55.3
55.7
57.7
79.2
0.0
42.5
56.7
55.5
91.1
93.5
100.0
67.0
69.2
70.6
86.2
93.3
100.0
70.6
67.3
68.2
94.5
100.0
69.7
64.1
66.7
95.8
100.0
62.7
64.9
64.4
92.8
100.0
100.0
78.8
74.9
76.7
96.1
100.0
79.5
70.2
74.7
100.0
100.0
75.4
71.0
72.2
97.6
100.0
82.7
73.5
78.7
100.0
100.0
81.8
73.7
76.5
20.5
46.7
50.0
20.2
25.8
17.0
34.7
43.5
50.0
17.6
25.3
17.5
47.2
50.0
20.0
25.1
17.2
29.2
0.0
8.4
24.4
16.0
82.7
100.0
43.5
42.2
43.4
75.0
50.0
24.3
45.0
42.1
48.7
60.0
75.0
43.5
44.8
44.8
88.2
100.0
55.0
47.7
51.4
87.5
50.0
44.8
49.7
49.8
Source: 2008/09 YPMAD dataser flagged for Aimhigher and Core Aimhigher members
Table 9 Percentage of learners achieving L2,3 grouped by Aimhigher and Number of WP activities attended
Achievement of Level 2 and Level 3 is calculated as a percentage of the GCSE cohort in the applicable year.

By the age of 17, more than 90% of learners attending WP activities have achieved their Level 2 qualification, significantly
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726893680 higher than the 60-70% achieved by either Aimhigher members who have not attended WP activities, or non-Aimhigher learners.

This high performance trend continued for Level 3 achievement, especially for Aimhigher learners attending more than 1 WP activity.

By the age of 18 and 19, 60% plus of the Aimhigher Core group have achieved a level 3 qualification compared to the 40% plus for the Aimhigher group not attending WP activities or the non-
Aimhigher learners.

Comparing the two cohorts who were 19 and 20 in 2008/09, that is, the GCSE groups of 2005/06 versus the GCSE group of
2004/05, shows an improvement for the Aimhigher groups at each age in the 2005/06 group over the previous year for achievement in both Levels 2 and 3.

Comparison of the GCSE cohort performances at the expected years for achieving Level 2 in order to succeed in higher education (age 16), shows that although the Aimhigher group not attending WP activities performed lower than the non-
Aimhigher counterparts as well as the national average,
Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities performed significantly better, with 75% or more actually achieving Level 2 by 16.

Members who attended WP activities and not yet achieved Level
2 by 16, do carry on to achieve 90% plus Level 2 by the age of
17 and achieved close to 100% by the age of 19.

A similar trend can be detected for learners attending WP activities and achieved Level 3 by the expected age for higher education, or staying on to achieve at a later age.

Except for the 2006/07 GCSE cohort attending one WP activity,
60% plus of Core Aimhigher learners achieved Level 3 by the expected age of 18, significantly better than either non-
Aimhigher learners or the national average.

Also significant is that a higher proportion of Aimhigher learners whether the have attended WP activities or not, continue with their Level 3 studies at age 19 than either non-Aimhigher learners or the national average. In the 2005/06 cohort 11.5 percent additional Aimhigher learners achieved Level 3 compared to an additional 5.5% of non-Aimhigher members and
8% of national average improvement. This gap for the 2004/05
GCSE group was 20.5 percent additional Aimhigher learners achieving Level 3 at 19 versus 4.7 non-Aimhigher and 7.7 national increase.
Table 10 splits the analysis on the impact of widening participation separately for the City and County GCSE cohorts.
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1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
2008/09
2007/08
2006/07
2005/06
2004/05
344
77
33
1758
1323
637000
City L2 and L3 Achievements
81.7
93.5
87.9
60.8
44.3
63.9
238
22
1951
*
1324
659000
145
11
2066
*
1382
662000
100
9
1950
1585
656000
16
*
1066
2532
645000
87.4
90.9
100.0
52.4
44.4
60.9
76.6
90.9
100.0
56.7
42.8
59.0
88.0
100.0
52.6
40.0
57.7
81.3
0.0
40.5
49.2
55.5
92.4
95.5
100.0
67.5
52.0
70.6
86.2
90.9
100.0
70.3
50.1
68.2
93.0
100.0
67.1
49.5
66.7
93.8
100.0
63.2
57.3
64.4
93.8
100.0
100.0
79.0
60.1
76.7
95.0
100.0
77.4
54.2
74.7
100.0
100.0
75.9
63.2
72.2
97.0
100.0
81.1
59.0
78.7
100.0
100.0
83.2
65.1
76.5
16.6
27.3
33.3
20.8
17.1
17.0
37.4
45.5
0.0
18.0
17.7
17.5
49.0
55.6
18.8
16.3
17.2
37.5
0.0
7.9
19.8
16.0
80.0
100.0
40.8
29.1
43.4
81.3
100.0
24.0
41.2
42.1
44.8
45.5
66.7
44.4
31.8
44.8
GCSE
Year
2008/09
2007/08
2006/07
2005/06
2004/05
County L2 and L3 Achievements
No. WP attended Learners L2 by 16 L2 by 17 L2 by 18 L2 by 19 L3 by 17 L3 by 18 L3 by 19
1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
208
47
10
1208
5875
85.6
93.6
100.0
48.8
63.0
National
1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
637000
99
24
1420
5712
*
63.9
79.8
87.5
100.0
48.7
64.1
87.9
91.7
100.0
66.4
73.2
28.3
41.7
66.7
17.0
27.0
National
1
2
3+
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
AH-No WP
Non-AH
National
1
2
AH-No WP
Non-AH
659000
50
1003
6163
947
6199
561
6281
*
*
662000
27
*
656000
8
*
60.9
78.0
100.0
100.0
55.6
62.1
59.0
96.3
100.0
60.8
59.7
57.7
75.0
0.0
46.3
59.7
70.6
86.0
100.0
100.0
71.2
71.2
68.2
100.0
100.0
75.0
67.8
66.7
100.0
100.0
61.7
68.0
90.0
100.0
100.0
78.4
78.2
76.7
100.0
100.0
83.8
74.2
74.7
100.0
100.0
74.5
74.1
100.0
100.0
86.0
77.3
78.7
100.0
100.0
79.1
77.1
17.5
32.0
100.0
100.0
18.8
27.7
17.0
40.7
0.0
22.5
27.3
17.2
12.5
0.0
9.3
26.3
60.0
100.0
100.0
41.6
47.7
44.8
92.6
100.0
49.0
45.5
43.4
62.5
0.0
25.0
46.5
92.6
100.0
59.5
51.0
51.4
75.0
0.0
42.6
51.5
National 645000 55.5
64.4
72.2
76.5
16.0
42.1
Table 10 Percentage of learners achieving L2,3 grouped by Aimhigher
49.8
and Number of WP activities attended
Table 10 presents the performance for the three groups, split by local authority for Leicester County and City.
87.0
100.0
52.8
34.4
51.4
93.8
100.0
46.0
45.3
49.8
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
The numbers of Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities in the County are significantly lower than the numbers in the
City. The numbers however have increased significantly for the
GCSE group of 2008/09, signifying a greater awareness and participation by the County schools during recent years.

The Level 2 and Level 3 performance for both City and County are higher for Aimhigher members attending WP activities compared to the other groups, and in the County also higher than national average. This is relevant for all GCSE groups since 2005/06. The numbers of County Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities in the 2004/05 group is less than 10.

Most Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities achieved level 2 or 3 qualification by the expected age. In the City the trend is to achieve one year later than the expected age year.
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2.3 Percentage of Pupils in Ethnic Groups achieving Level 2 by ages
16-19
Due to the low numbers of some of the ethnic minority groups by age in the County, the analysis for the County will not be producing robust results and the analysis was therefore only performed for the
Leicestershire Area as a whole. The percentage achievement of Level
2 by age is presented for each of the major ethnic groups. Because of the concentration of Asian Indian in the City, the Asian group was split into Asian Indian and Asian Other. A full table of the results is provided in Appendix B and presented graphically below.
Cohort GCSE in 2004/05 - Performance of L2 by Ethnic Group
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
non-
AH
AH
Asian Indian non-
AH
AH
Asian Other non-
AH
AH
Black non-
AH
AH
Mixed non-
AH
AH
Other non-
AH
AH
Unknown non-
AH
AH non-
AH
AH
White British White Other
At 19
At 18
At 17
At 16
Cohort GCSE in 2005/06 - Performance of L2 by Ethnic Group
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
non-
AH
AH
Asian Indian non-
AH
AH
Asian Other non-
AH
AH
Black non-
AH
AH
Mixed non-
AH
AH
Other non-
AH
AH
Unknown non-
AH
AH
White British non-
AH
AH
White Other
Figure 6: Percentage learners achieving Level 2 by age and Ethnic group
At 19
At 18
At 17
At 16
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Figure 6 presents the achievement of Level 2 by age to the age of 19 for the two groups who were in GCSE in 2004/05 and 2005/06.
Comparing the percentage of learners achieving Level 2 by age for the two cohorts who were in GCSE in 2004/05 (aged 20 in 2008/09) and
2005/06 (aged 19 in 2008/09) show a significant difference in performance by age per ethnic group.

The non-Aimhigher ethnic groups for the two GCSE groups, show a consistent spread of percentage Level 2 achievements by age for all ethnic groups except for Black, Mixed and White
Other groups. For these ethnic groups the achievement at age
16 seems similar for the two year groups, but the pattern of achievement at the other ages changes, resulting in overall higher percentage achievements for each of these groups by the age of 19.

Aimhigher members over the same two yeargroups were not only outperforming the non-Aimhigher learners by the age of 19, but this improved performance started at the age of 16 for the
2005/06 GCSE group. This increased performance over non-
Aimhigher learners is especially significant in the Black and
Mixed groups.

The performance of the Asian Indian and Asian Other groups improved significantly at the age of 16. This increase is significant as it is based on an Aimhigher cohort which is twice the size in 2005/06 than in 2004/05.

Referring to the table in Appendix 2, the performance of the cohorts of learners younger than 19 in 2008/09 show a similar pattern for the 18 year old group, although Aimhigher learners who were 17 in 2008/09 performed lower than their non-
Aimhigher counterparts at ages 16 and 17.

In all cases the Core Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities, performed significantly better than either the
Aimhigher learners who have not attended recorded WP activities, or the non-Aimhigher learners.
2.4 Percentage of Pupils in Ethnic Groups achieving Level 3 by ages
17-20
Figure 7 presents the performance of learners who were in GCSE in
2004/05 and 2005/06 and their performance in achieving Level 3 by age, to the age of 19. Similar to figure 6, the performance is split by ethnic group, and compares Aimhigher performance versus the non-
Aimhigher learners within the same yeargroup. Appendix B contains a table with the performance results for all the age groups by ethnic group, including the performance of learners who have attended WP activities.
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100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
Cohort GCSE in 2004/05 - Performance of L3 by Ethnic Group
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
non-
AH
AH
Asian Indian non-
AH
AH
Asian Other non-
AH
AH
Black non-
AH
AH
Mixed non-
AH
AH
Other non-
AH
AH
Unknown non-
AH
AH
White British non-
AH
AH
White Other
At 19
At 18
At 17
Cohort GCSE in 2005/06 - Performance of L3 by Ethnic Group
At 19
At 18
At 17
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
non-
AH
AH non-
AH
AH non-
AH
AH non-
AH
AH non-
AH
AH non-
AH
AH non-
AH
AH non-
AH
AH
Asian Indian Asian Other Black Mixed Other Unknown White British White Other
Figure 7: Level 3 progression for learners aged 19 in 2008/09 and 2007/08
Achievement of level 3 by ethnic group compares Aimhigher and non-
Aimhigher groups between the GCSE groups aged 19 and 20 in
2008/09:

The difference in achievement for Level 3 of the Aimhigher cohort who were in GCSE in 2004/05 (aged 19 in 2008/09) and the non-Aimhigher learners is more pronounced compared to the previous yeargroup, than the achievement for Level 2.

The Aimhigher cohort in all ethnic groups performed better than the non-Aimhigher learners in the same group, and significantly better than the Aimhigher group who attended GCSE in
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2004/05. The only exception is the
‘Other’ groups, which were small – only 19 in 2005/06 and 10 in 2004/05.

This improved performance at Level 3 for the Aimhigher groups did not only apply to learners at the age of 17, but most groups matched or improvement on the performance of the non-
Aimhigher learners by the age of 18, which is the normal age for completing Level 3 in order to attend higher education.

This comparison in achievement was not possible to observe in the previous format in which all the ages in each year were compared to the performance at the similar age in the previous year as that method ignored the learners who were not anymore in fulltime learning by the age of 18 or 19.

The table in Appendix 3 provides additional information about yeargroups not yet 19 in 2008/09 as well as the group aged 20 in 2008/09 and their performance as a 20 year old group.

With respect to the learners aged 20 in 2008/09, 10% of the
Aimhigher learners stayed on and achieved Level 3 at the age of
20. This compares well to a general points increase of between
1 and 2 percentage points for the non-Aimhigher group. This again confirms the earlier findings that the Aimhigher groups tend to continue with full time training and education in order to achieve Level 3 results even after the age of 19.

Except for learners who attended GCSE in 2006/07 (aged 18 in
2008/09), all the Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities significantly outperformed both the Aimhigher learners who did not attend WP activities, as well as the non-Aimhigher learners.
Although the numbers are relatively low for the 2005/06 and
2004/05 cohorts, between 67 and 100 percent achieved their
Level 3 by the age of 19.
2.5 Level 2 and Level 3 Achievement of Learners with Physical
Disabilities
Learners with disability were selected for inclusion in the Aimhigher cohort regardless of their potential to succeed in higher education. For this reason the analysis was restricted to the performance of Aimhigher members with disabilities who have attended WP activities compared to the Aimhigher members with disabilities who have not attended WP activities. In addition to the expectations of learners with disabilities to perform less when compared to all the learners, there were differences in the recording of disabilities at school and for a post 16 year group at college or sixth form schools. Learners at college self-declare their disability whereas the schools rely on medical proof or approved acceptance of learning difficulties. Learners may therefore have been selected on one method of recording, but their progress reported against the self-declared list.
The table in Appendix C provides a full list of the level 2 and Level 3 achievements of this group by physical disability. Since the numbers in
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GCSE
Year some categories of physical disability are low, only the emotional and medical categories are shown in tables 11 and 12 with the other categories grouped together in a category called Other.
Disability
Aimhigher Members who attended WP Activities
Learners %L2 by 16
%L2 by
17
%L2 by
18
%L2 by
19
Aimhigher Members not recorded for WP activities
Learners %L2 by 16
%L2 by
17
%L2 by
18
%L2 by
19
2008/09 Emotional
Medical
Aimhigher
Other
Disability total
2007/08 Emotional
Medical
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
2006/07 Emotional
Medical
Aimhigher
Other
Disability total
2005/06 Emotional
Medical
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
2004/05 Emotional
Medical
Aimhigher
Other
Disability total
311
9
99
579
1082
264
69
122
614
1198
187
86
89
451
1143
149
98
91
423
1212
84
38
40
195
1043
19.6
44.4
31.3
26.6
25.7
17.8
36.2
29.2
29.4
26.1
20.9
51.2
32.6
33
24.1
24.8
50
49.5
40.4
27.5
17.9
50
32.5
29.2
22.5
4.8
10.5
14.6
9.8
6.8
1.5
2.9
4.9
5.7
6.5
30.7
62.3
6.6
37.5
37.5
32.1
69.8
55.1
48.6
34.7
36.2
65.3
60.4
54.6
37.9
35.7
68.4
50
48.2
32.8
12.3
34.9
29.2
23.9
16
42.2
79.1
66.3
58.5
45.5
45
83.7
72.5
67.6
47.1
44
92.1
67.5
61
41.7
49.7
85.7
74.7
70.7
51.7
46.4
94.7
75
66.2
44.7
45
6
63
1082
9
5
24
45
1198
*
7
*
19
1143
*
5
*
11
1212
*
*
5
1043
9
5
24
45
1198
*
7
*
19
1143
73.3
75
80
100
81.8
27.5
0
57.1
75.3
25.7
50
80
29.2
45.6
26.1
50
57.1
66.7
52.6
24.1
33.3
20
22.5
0
40
20.8
20
6.5
25
14.3
0
15.8
6.8
75
100
100
90.9
37.9
100
77.8
80
33.3
53.3
37.5
50
57.1
100
73.7
34.7
100
100
32.8
25
28.6
33.3
31.6
16
75
85.7
100
89.5
45.5
100
100
100
100
47.1
100
100
100
41.7
100
100
100
100
51.7
100
100
100
44.7
Table 11 Level 2 achievement of learners with Physical disabilities
Aimhigher Members not recorded for WP activities Aimhigher Members who attended WP Activities
GCSE
Year
2007/08 Emotional
Medical
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
2006/07
Aimhigher
Disability Learners L3 by 17
Emotional
Medical
Other
Disability total
264
69
122
614
1198
187
86
89
451
1143
L3 by 18 L3 by 19 L3 by 20 Learners L3 by 17 L3 by 18 L3 by 19 L3 by 20
2005/06 Emotional
Medical
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
2004/05 Emotional
Medical
Aimhigher
Other
Disability total
149
98
91
423
1212
84
38
40
195
1043
10.1
17.3
16.5
14.4
8.7
2.5
3.6
6
0
0.7
20.1
37.8
35.2
31.4
19.8
13.1
21.1
12.5
14.9
1.5
26.2
50
47.3
41.8
26.2
23.8
44.7
40
32.8
2.1
31
68.4
52.5
44.6
2.4
*
5
*
11
1212
*
*
5
1043
25
20
100
27.3
8.7
0
0
0
0.7
75
100
100
90.9
19.8
100
100
100
1.5
100
100
100
100
26.2
100
100
100
2.1
100
100
100
2.4
Table 12: Level 3 achievement of learners with physical disabilities
Tables 11 and 12 compare the performance of Core Aimhigher learners, Aimhigher learners and the total performance of learners with disabilities within the cohorts.

Learners with medical or other disabilities tend to perform better in Level 2 than the full group of disabled learners in all GCSE groups and at all ages, except for the group attending GCSE in
2007/08 (aged 17 in 2008/09).
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
Aimhigher members with emotional disability however performed significantly lower than in the other disability groups as well as the total groups with disability.

Learners with disability who have attended WP activities performed significantly well at all ages, although the numbers are very low. Numbers less than 5 have been marked as * in the tables.

Excluding the Aimhigher group attending GCSE in 2006/07
(aged 17 in 2008/09) who have not attended WP activities, all
Aimhigher learners, whether they attended WP activities or not, performed significantly better in Level 3 than the full group with disabilities.

Again, although low in number, learners attending WP activities managed to achieve Level 3 by the age of 18 or 19.
2.6 Level 2 and Level 3 Achievement of Learners with Learning
Difficulties
Appendix C contains full tables of achievement of learners with learning difficulties for the different GCSE groups by age. Similar to learners with physical disabilities, the learners with learning difficulties are selfdeclared in college, but rated at different levels of statemented difficulties in schools. Because of low numbers, the learning difficulty groups were restricted to learners with dyslexia, with moderate learning difficulties and the rest in tables 13 (level 2) and 14 (level 3).
Aimhigher Members not recorded for WP activities Aimhigher Members who attended WP Activities
GCSE
Year
Learning disability
2008/09 Dyslexia
Moderate
Aimhigher
Other
Disability total
2007/08 Dyslexia
Aimhigher
Moderate
Other
Disability total
2006/07 Dyslexia
Aimhigher
Moderate
Other
Disability total
2005/06 Dyslexia
Moderate
Aimhigher
Other
Disability total
2004/05 Dyslexia
Moderate
Aimhigher
Other
Disability total
149
263
89
501
1751
97
178
33
308
1670
Learners L2 by 16 L2 by 17 L2 by 18 L2 by 19
229 24.9
456 22.1
112
797
2100
244
25.9
23.5
24.2
25.1
46.0
473
156
873
2043
149
16.3
34.6
22.0
21.4
34.5
38.9
50.0
42.9
38.3
55.8
325
69
543
1938
14.5
38.0
23.0
19.7
32.9
55.7
42.1
34.7
68.0
45.5
64.0
54.1
49.7
37.6
13.7
50.2
27.3
17.2
23.7
14.0
13.9
17.1
15.1
54.4
28.9
62.4
42.4
30.5
44.3
32.6
41.5
37.2
28.3
71.1
48.3
79.0
60.5
43.3
67.0
50.6
59.0
56.6
41.0
74.5
55.5
61.0
62.1
50.9
76.3
64.6
76.1
69.5
46.9
6
5
8
19
1751
*
4
*
*
1670
Learners L2 by 16 L2 by 17 L2 by 18 L2 by 19
24 58.3
45 57.8
6
75
2100
10
66.7
58.7
24.2
100.0
100.0
7
9
26
2043
9
57.1
77.8
80.8
21.4
77.8
85.7
77.8
88.5
38.3
77.8
10
*
23
1938
60.0
25.0
60.9
19.7
80.0
100.0
82.6
34.7
88.9
90.0
100.0
91.3
49.7
33.3
60.0
85.7
62.4
17.2
50.0
0.0
0.0
25.0
15.1
50.0
80.0
100.0
78.9
30.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
28.3
50.0
100.0
100.0
84.2
43.3
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
41.0
66.7
100.0
100.0
89.5
50.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
46.9
Table 13 Learners with Learning Difficulties achieving Level 2
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Aimhigher Members not recorded for WP activities
GCSE Learning
Year disability Learners
2007/08 Dyslexia 244
L3 by 17
5.4
Aimhigher Members who attended WP Activities
L3 by 18 L3 by 19 L3 by 20 Learners L3 by 17 L3 by 18 L3 by 19 L3 by 20
10 40.0
Moderate
Other
AimhigherAimhigher
Disability total
2006/07 Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
AimhigherAimhigher
473
156
873
2043
149
325
69
543
4.0
12.5
5.9
5.1
5.4
4.3
5.0
4.7
23.2
11.7
33.6
17.6
7
9
26
2043
9
10
*
23
28.6
66.7
46.2
5.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
66.7
30.0
0.0
39.1
Disability total
2005/06 Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
AimhigherAimhigher
Disability total
2004/05 Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
AimhigherAimhigher
Disability total
1938
149
263
89
501
1751
97
178
33
308
1670
3.8
10.7
1.5
16.3
6.9
4.7
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.6
3.4
14.0
33.6
10.6
50.6
24.6
13.2
10.3
5.1
10.1
7.3
10.7
43.0
21.7
62.8
35.3
19.9
40.2
24.7
27.5
29.9
18.3
54.6
36.0
41.3
1938
6
5
8
19
1751
*
*
*
42.4
4
22.0
1670
3.8
16.7
20.0
71.4
40.6
4.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.4
14.0
50.0
40.0
85.7
62.4
13.2
50.0
100.0
100.0
75.0
10.7
50.0
80.0
100.0
78.9
19.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
18.3
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
22.0
Table 14 Learners with Learning Difficulties achieving Level 3
The achievement of learners with learning difficulties in Level 2 and
Level 3 compare the Aimhigher group to the total GCSE group with the declared learning difficulty.

Aimhigher learners with learning difficulties have performed better than the overall performance of learners with learning difficulties in the area, except for learners with moderate learning difficulties in the 2008/09 and 2006/07 GCSE groups.

By the age of 18, 60%+ of these learners achieved a Level 2, compared to less than 50 percent of the whole group.

Aimhigher members who attended WP activities achieved at least 78% level 2 by age of 17, and in most cases, 100%.

The level 3 achievement of Aimhigher learners with learning difficulties follow a similar pattern to the level 2 performance.

By the age of 19, 40% plus of learners with dyslexia achieved
Level 3 and 25%+ of the other groups, compared to less than
20% of learners with learning difficulty in the whole area.

Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities also performed well in Level 3 with 50%+ achieving Level 3 by the age of 19.
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Conclusion
Participation:
The percentage of the 17 year old Area Aimhigher cohort staying on in fulltime school or college education increased at around 2 percentage points each year from 81.5% in 2007 to 85.3% in 2009, in line with the increase observed for the all learners. City Aimhigher learners staying on in fulltime education increased from 81.1% in 2008 to 86.5% in 2009, an increase of 5.4% compared to an increase for all the learners of 2.6% between 2008 and 2009.
The percentage of 17 year old Aimhigher members not in education, employment or training (NEET) is higher than for all the learners in the
County at 5.6% versus 3.2%. The percentage NEET in the City for both 17 year old Aimhigher and total learners dropped significantly at approximately 2 percent points from nearly 7% to 5% between 2008 and
2009.
Overall performance for Learners in Education in 2008/09:
In 2008/09, 64.5% of the Aimhigher GCSE learners performed equal to or better than expected for Level 2 at 16. This performance is a 4 percentage points improvement over 2007/08.
Level 2 achievement of the 2008/09 Aimhigher cohort and core group is consistently higher than that of the non-Aimhigher group in the City. The
County Aimhigher cohort is however underperforming compared to their non-Aimhigher counterparts, although catching up by the age 18 and overtaking by the age of 19.
A Year on year comparison of the performance by age since 2005/06 indicates a steady increase in performance of Aimhigher members aged
16 and 19 in 2008/09, and for all age groups for Core Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities.
The 2008/09 Aimhigher group performed marginally better in Level 3 at 18 and 10.7 percentage points better than their counterpart by 19. The
Aimhigher core group performed better than Aimhigher and non-Aimhigher groups at all ages and significantly better at 93.1% compared to 57.3% of the Aimhigher and 46.6% of the non-Aimhigher groups by the age of 19.
Overall performance for Learners tracked by GCSE cohort groups:
Achievement of Level 2 and Level 3 is calculated by tracking each full age group from the year they were 16 (GCSE year), and using this count at 16 as the denominator to calculate percentages.
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Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities (Core group) performed significantly better than other groups: 75% or more achieved Level 2 by
16, more than 90% by the age of 17 and close to 100% by the age of 19.
60% plus of Core Aimhigher learners achieved Level 3 by the expected age of 18 and more than 90% by the age of 19, significantly better than the
51% national average or as achieved by non-Aimhigher learners by 19.
A higher proportion of Aimhigher learners, whether they have attended WP activities or not, continue with their Level 3 studies to the age of 19 than either non-Aimhigher learners or the national average. In the 2005/06 cohort (aged 19 in 2008/09), 11.5 percent additional Aimhigher learners achieved Level 3 at 19 compared to an additional 5.5% of non-Aimhigher members and 8% of national average improvement.
Members with barriers:
Aimhigher members in all ethnic groups, aged 19 in 2008/09 (GCSE in
2005/06), outperformed the non-Aimhigher learners by the age of 19, and the improved performance started at the age of 16. This increased performance over non-Aimhigher learners is especially significant in the
Black and Mixed groups.
For all ethnic groups the Aimhigher learners who attended WP activities, performed significantly better in both Level 2 and Level 3 than either the
Aimhigher learners who have not attended recorded WP activities, or the non-Aimhigher learners.
Aimhigher learners with medical or other physical disabilities tend to perform better in Level 2 than the full group of disabled learners in all
GCSE groups and at all ages. Aimhigher members with emotional disability however performed lower than in the other disability groups as well as the total groups with disability. Learners with disability who have attended WP activities performed significantly well at all ages, although the numbers are very low.
By the age of 18, more than 60% of Aimhigher learners with learning difficulties achieved a Level 2, compared to less than 50 percent of the whole group with learning difficulties. Aimhigher members with learning difficulties who attended WP activities achieved at least 78% level 2 by age lf 17, and in most cases, 100%.
The level 3 achievement of Aimhigher learners with learning difficulties followed a similar pattern to the level 2 performance.
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Appendix A 2008/09 Aimhigher Cohort Profile
A1. School Participation and Indices of Multiple Deprivation
For the 2008/09 cohort selection, Leicestershire Aimhigher area provided a centrally selected shortlist of cohort to each school, based on the following recommended HEFCE criteria:

Reside in the 40% most deprived area based on the learner postcode of residence

Potential for higher education based on estimate to achieve
Level 2 at 16

Learners with disability or in care, regardless of potential or where residing.
Information about the occupation of main carer or history of family participation in higher education was not available and therefore not considered for the initial shortlist. All 79 schools and colleges were included although the numbers for some schools in the County are very low. The schools are ranked in descending order of the percentage of the learners in the school residing in high deprivation areas, as calculated by Aimhigher East Midlands Data Group.
Selection of Aimhigher Cohorts based on % Deprivation in Schools
Cut-off % IMD40 0809% AH Poly. (0809% AH)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76 79
Figure A1a Selection based on Areas of Multiple Deprivation 2008/09
Aimhigher as % of Learners compared to % Learners in top 40% IMD
40% cut-off %AH-y7 % IMD40 Poly. (%AH-y7)
120
100
80
60
40
20
0
1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 64 67 70 73 76
Figure A1b Selection based on Areas of Multiple Deprivation 2007/08
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A comparison of the 2008/09 cohort selection to the 2007/08 selection, which was the first to be done centrally, shows that the 2008/09 cohort has more learners from the higher deprived areas. More than 70% of the learners in schools situated in high deprivation areas were selected in 2008/09 as opposed to less than 60% in 2007/08.
The polynomial trendline shows that the selection of the cohorts follow a similar trendline as the IMD based school selection. Differences to the trendline can be ascribed to the following:

Institutions with significantly higher numbers than expected are the FE colleges where the selection catered for learners who may have just missed L2 at 16.

Schools in the City tend to have a higher number than the trendline selected to cater for borderline potential

Schools in the County tend to have lower numbers than the trendline except where the school requested more members.
A2. Selection on Potential
The guideline by which Aimhigher members were selected was at least a 60% chance of achieving 5+ A*-C grades (Level2) at GCSE, ensuring a potential for progressing to higher education, although this was reduced to 40% chance for learners in areas of very high deprivation.
Vulnerable groups with disabilities and in care, were included regardless of potential and additional teacher discretion was allowed on all selection. The percentage of the Aimhigher cohort yeargroups meeting this requirement is provided in the table below, stated by their expected year of GCSE exam (2009
– yeargroup 11; 2010 – yeargroup 10; 2011 – yeargroup 9; and 2012 – yeargroup 8).
Selection of the 2007/08 cohort Potential to Higher Education
Area of Residence by
Index of Multiple
Deprivation
Total AH cohort
% estimate to achieve L2 at 16
<40% City
40-59%
60%+
Total number of City AH cohort members
County Total AH cohort <40%
40-59%
60%+
Total number of County AH cohort members
Yeargroup
11 - GCSE
2008
Yeargroup
10 - GCSE
2009
Yeargroup
9 - GCSE
2010
Yeargroup
8 - GCSE
2011
Potential for yeargroups
8 to 11
AH Area cohort potential
25.5
8.4
66.0
1,128
20.9
7.6
71.5
1,175
15.4
26.1
58.5
1,604
13.4
25.1
61.6
1,790
17.9
18.5
63.6
5,697
17.4
14.2
68.4
7,840
11.7
1.8
86.3
556
18.1
2.3
79.5
469
18.6
3.7
77.7
539
16.8
3.1
80.1
579
16.2
2.8
81.0
2,143
Table A2a 2007/08 Cohort selection by yeargroup based on potential for HE
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LEA Select IMD
County60% affluent
0 Total
1 Total
2 Total
4 Total
Unknown
99 Total
Total 855
855 Total
City 60% affluent
0 Total
1 Total
2 Total
4 Total
Unknown
99 Total
Total 856
856 Total
Total Cohort
< 40%
40-60%
>60%
40-60%
>60%
40-60%
>60%
40-60%
>60%
40-60%
>60%
< 40%
40-60%
>60%
< 40%
Unknown
40-60%
>60%
Unknown
40-60%
>60%
Unknown
40-60%
>60%
Unknown
40-60%
>60%
< 40%
Unknown
40-60%
>60%
< 40%
Unknown
40-60%
>60%
0.8
13.1
49.8
518
10.7
3.0
19.1
67.2
50.0
50.0
62
28.4
6.9
64.7
5183
36.3
10.4
14.1
75.5
375
19.5
4.7
75.8
3194
75.2
7.8
36.2
1021
12.3
13.8
74.0
334
5.0
33.7
13.5
47.8
341
11.9
4.7
17.0
2371
13.2
3.4
18.4
65.0
2456
10.3
4.6
16.1
69.0
6552
66.4
12238
17421
4
68
258
518
253
72
453
1593
31
31
62
1472
359
3352
5183
188
39
53
283
375
624
149
2421
3194
768
80
370
1021
41
46
247
334
17
115
46
163
341
1454
575
2078
2371
323
84
453
1596
2456
673
300
1058
4521
6552
8131
12238
17421
30
12.5
4.2
83.3
24
7.2
1.3
91.4
374
8
79.3
5.5
15.2
145
10.0
0.0
90.0
8.0
0.0
20.0
72.0
25
17.1
4.6
15.6
19.3
54.3
311
12.4
4.7
15.4
67.5
1248
62.7
1950
2523
79
24.4
5.9
15.7
54.0
287
22.2
4.2
25.8
2.4
71.7
573
46.8
1.3
3.8
48.1
39
24.2
0.0
75.8
33
17.7
1.4
80.8
496
9
70.4
5.1
24.5
196
33.3
0.0
64.1
5.6
11.1
16.7
66.7
18
17.5
6.8
15.2
17.8
54.4
338
14.6
7.5
14.9
63.0
1215
60.4
1944
2708
105
17.5
6.3
16.4
59.7
268
21.0
6.8
32.3
2.2
65.3
764
41.9
0.0
7.6
50.5
31
34.5
0.0
65.5
29
16.7
3.4
79.9
443
10
68.5
8.0
23.5
200
32.3
0.0
67.7
5.7
37.3
8.3
48.7
193
17.0
4.3
11.8
13.6
59.5
316
12.5
0.8
12.2
74.6
1160
66.9
2018
2813
91
22.5
0.4
14.0
63.2
258
25.6
1.3
28.8
1.9
69.3
795
52.7
0.0
3.3
44.0
8.3
25.0
8.3
58.3
12
16.9
9.7
18.2
18.2
50.7
351
12.3
10.0
18.4
59.3
1216
55.3
1997
2700
98
20.3
10.3
20.0
49.4
320
21.9
9.1
32.9
4.4
62.7
703
45.9
3.1
10.2
40.8
24
13.9
0.0
86.1
36
14.3
1.1
84.6
538
11 yr 8-11
72.6
72.2
4.6
22.8
5.8
22.0
197
16.7
0.0
83.3
738
24.2
0.0
75.0
124
21.3
0.8
77.9
122
14.4
1.8
83.8
1851
248
17.1
6.3
15.2
61.3
7909
10744
5.8
15.3
66.0
4839
6.0
31.0
10.1
52.8
56.1
1133
22.6
5.5
17.2
54.6
1316
12.9
30.2
2.7
67.1
2835 Total
46.6
1.1
6.4
45.8
373
21.2
6.0
16.7
956
4
148
628
1736
294
72
499
1840
2705
362
84
506
1879
2831
1297
300
1207
6942
9746
17
115
77
194
403
2926
575
2437
11483
17421
Total all ages
55.1
0.2
8.5
36.2
1736
10.9
2.7
18.4
68.0
2705
12.8
3.0
17.9
66.4
2831
13.3
3.1
12.4
71.2
9746
4.2
28.5
19.1
48.1
403
16.8
3.3
14.0
65.9
17421
Table A2b 2008/09 Cohort selection by yeargroup based on potential for HE
66% of the total Area yeargroups 8 to 11 are expected to achieve Level
2 at GCSE. This percentage increases to approximately 70% for members in the 10% to 40% most deprived residential areas, but then drop to 36% in the most affluent areas. The numbers in the affluent areas are low and mostly from disadvantaged groups, therefore less strictly controlled on potential.
By numbers of selection, the City selected only 518 out of a total of
12,238 members from affluent areas and the County 1021 out of 5183 members. Members from the residential areas of high deprivation show
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an approximate 60%+ potential for higher education in the City and
80%+ in the County, in line with the selection criteria.
City Selection by IMD and Potential
< 40% Unknown 40-60% >60% Numbers
County Selection by IMD and Potential
< 40% Unknown 40-60% >60% Numbers
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
6000
5000
4000
3000
2000
1000
0
60%
50%
40%
30%
20%
10%
0%
100%
90%
80%
70%
5% most deprived 10% most deprived 40% most deprived 60% affluent 5% most deprived 10% most deprived 40% most deprived 60% affluent
Figure A2a Aimhigher member selection by Potential and IMD 2008/09
City - Potential by IMD category
< 40% 40-59% 60%+ Numbers
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
5% most deprived 10% most deprived 40% most deprived 60% affluent
4,000
3,500
3,000
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,000
500
0
County - Potential by IMD category
< 40% 40-59% 60%+ Numbers
100.0
90.0
80.0
70.0
60.0
50.0
40.0
30.0
20.0
10.0
0.0
5% most deprived 10% most deprived 40% most deprived 60% affluent
Figure A2b Aimhigher member selection by Potential and IMD 2007/08
The potential for 575 out of the 12,348 Aimhigher cohort learners in the
City were not available at the time of selection. These learners were given the benefit of the doubt if they met the other selection criteria of living in a deprived area or were from vulnerable groups. Greater emphasis on the potential to succeed in higher education.
2,000
1,800
1,600
1,400
1,200
1,000
800
600
400
200
0
600
400
200
0
1200
1000
800
2000
1800
1600
1400
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A3 Ethnic Profile of Aimhigher cohort
Attention to ethnic minority groups where feasible, was one of the selection criteria for the Aimhigher cohort, although equality, when considering other factors like areas of deprivation, was more important.
School Ethnic Profile - City
School AH Ethnic Profile - City
39%
4%
32%
2%
6%
0%
3%
9%
Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black Somali
Black Other
Chinese
Mixed
Other/Unknown
White British
White Other
35%
4%
35%
2%
6%
0% 3%
5%
10%
Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black Somali
Black Other
Chinese
Mixed
Other/Unknown
White British
White Other
School Ethnic Profile - County
86%
2%
0%
2%
Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black Somali
Black Other
Chinese
Mixed
Other/Unknown
White British
White Other
School AH Ethnic Profile - County
86%
1%
1%
3%
2%
Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black Somali
Black Other
Chinese
Mixed
Other/Unknown
White British
White Other
FE College Ethnic Profile AH Ethnic Profile - FE Colleges
62%
2%
19%
0%
3%
4%
6%
0%
4%
Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black Somali
Black Other
Chinese
Mixed
Other/Unknown
White British
White Other
39%
2%
34%
5%
4% 0%
7%
0%
9%
Figure A3: Aimhigher member selection by Ethnic Group
Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black Somali
Black Other
Chinese
Mixed
Other/Unknown
White British
White Other
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The ethnic profiles of the Aimhigher cohort in the City and County schools are in line with the overall school profiles.
The profile of the FE college Aimhigher cohort shows a higher proportion of Asian Indian learners (34% versus 19% in the colleges as a whole) as well as an increase in other ethnic minority groups such as
Black at 7% versus 4% and a slight increase of Mixed (4% versus 3%), and Unknown/Other (5% versus 4%). The selection of post 16 learners in FE colleges does however not only include learners already in possession of a Level 2 qualification, but those that did not achieve
Level 2 at 16 but plan to complete their Level 2 at the college and then
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continue with Level 3 and potentially higher education. Analysis of post
16 performance indicated a stronger trend for ethnic minority groups to follow this route of education, and can therefore explain the difference in ethnic profiles in FE colleges.
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Appendix B Analysis by Ethnic Group
GCSE
Year
Ethnic
Group
2008/09 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
White Other
2008/09 total cohort
2007/08 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
White Other
2007/08 total cohort
2006/07 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
Learners
Non-Aimhigher
%L2 by 16
%L2 by 17
%L2 by
18
680 65.9
188 55.3
142 34.5
223 60.5
73 57.5
142 32.4
5582 60.6
166 47.6
7196 59.6
631 70.5 80.0
187 49.2 62.0
97 29.9 42.3
163 52.8 62.6
54 55.6 68.5
256 55.1 63.7
5485 61.1 69.4
163 47.9 59.5
7036 60.4 69.2
635 68.3 78.7 83.9
179 50.8 67.6 75.4
84 44.0 53.6 65.5
184 51.1 64.1 75.5
36 58.3 69.4 75.0
213 56.8 64.8 71.4
6059 58.3 66.6 74.3
%L2 by
19 Learners
730
195
117
135
27
35
1666
61
2966
208
157
135
22
87
1889
65
2563
846
232
152
132
33
65
1551
Aimhigher - no WP Aimhigher - WP
%L2 by
16
74.1
76.4
61.5
%L2 by
17
56.3
88.9
48.6
44.8
50.8
55.9
58.2
45.2
50.4
50.0
33.3
44.0
52.3
77.4
68.2
60.7
63.6
54.0
59.1
70.8
%L2 by 18
45.5
69.1
65.9
44.1
53.8
57.6
46.2
50.4
61.4
83.6 89.7
79.3 86.6
63.8 74.3
69.7 80.3
69.7 84.8
61.5 78.5
64.0 72.5
%L2 by 19 Learners
168
41
50
24
5
10
719
%L2 by 16
%L2 by 17
89.3
82.9
84.0
87.5
80.0
5 100.0
416 83.9
90.0
85.4
102
27
16
17
87.3
88.9
100.0
88.2
96.1
96.3
100.0
82.4
5 100.0 100.0
* 100.0 100.0
213 82.6 87.8
* 100.0 100.0
%L2 by 18
387
61
20
6
7
*
*
111
85.8
77.0
85.0
83.3
87.5
66.7
50.0
79.3
91.2
91.8 98.4
95.0 95.0
83.3 100.0
87.5 87.5
66.7 100.0
50.0 50.0
84.7 91.0
%L2 by 19
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White Other
2006/07 total cohort
2005/06 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
White Other
2005/06 total cohort
2004/05 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
White Other
155 58.1 63.2 69.7
7545 58.6 67.3 74.9
645 64.0 77.1 80.9 83.3
176 52.8 65.9 72.7 75.6
99 38.4 49.5 50.5 55.6
184 52.7 59.2 65.2 69.6
46 65.2 76.1 78.3 80.4
189 56.6 62.4 68.8 70.4
6316 55.2 63.0 69.4 72.9
129 54.3 68.2 72.9 74.4
7784 55.7 64.1 70.2 73.5
1103 70.7 81.8 85.7 87.0
269 58.7 71.7 77.3 78.4
120 39.2 58.3 65.0 66.7
244 51.2 61.1 66.0 67.6
35 60.0 80.0 82.9 82.9
210 56.2 62.4 66.7 71.4
6669 54.8 62.1 68.7 71.7
163 56.4 63.8 69.3 69.3
37.9
56.3
62.6
55.6
44.2
56.0
73.7
65.5
52.3
47.4
55.3
46.7
35.9
34.1
44.3
50.0
63.2
41.0
50.0
58
3069
803
214
165
116
19
29
1513
38
2897
443
103
82
79
10
19
863
28
55.2 60.3
70.6 78.8
78.3 85.8 89.2
75.2 85.5 88.3
68.5 80.0 84.2
69.8 81.9 86.2
78.9 84.2 84.2
79.3 89.7 89.7
64.4 75.0 77.9
57.9 76.3 78.9
69.7 79.5 82.7
73.8 85.1 91.0
69.9 85.4 95.1
62.2 75.6 87.8
64.6 74.7 79.7
100.0 100.0 100.0
73.7 84.2 84.2
54.9 68.5 74.5
75.0 85.7 92.9
2004/05 total cohort 8813 56.7 64.9 71.0 73.7 1627 42.5 62.7 75.4 81.8
Source: Young Person Merged dataset (YPMAD) for 2008/09, flagged for Aimhigher membership
Table B1 Percentage Level 2 by age and ethnic group
*
213
33.3
78.5
66.7 100.0
86.9 93.5
63 92.1 95.2 98.4 98.4
15 93.3 100.0 100.0 100.0
5 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
7 85.7 100.0 100.0 100.0
* 100.0 100.0 100.0 100.0
42 88.1 90.5 90.5 95.2
*
137
66.7
90.5
100.0 100.0 100.0
94.9 96.4 97.8
11
*
12
81.8 100.0 100.0 100.0
66.7 100.0 100.0 100.0
66.7 91.7 100.0 100.0
26 73.1 96.2 100.0 100.0
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GCSE
Year
Ethnic
Group
2007/08 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
White Other
2007/08 total cohort
2006/07 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
White Other
2006/07 total cohort
2005/06 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
White Other
Learners
Non-Aimhigher
%L3
%L3 by 17
%L3 by 18
631 35.7 by
19
187 19.3
97 9.3
163 23.9
54 29.6
256 22.7
5485 24.9
163 18.4
7036 25.3
635 40.8 61.1
179 28.5 46.9
84 16.7 32.1
184 22.8 38.6
36 36.1 55.6
213 23.9 45.1
6059 24.4 43.4
155 23.2 44.5
7545 25.8 44.8
645 36.4 57.2 65.1
176 25.6 43.8 51.1
99 10.1 29.3 35.4
184 22.8 37.5 41.8
46 32.6 60.9 69.6
189 28.0 45.0 49.2
6316 24.2 40.7 45.9
129 20.9 43.4 50.4
%L3 by
20 Learners
208
157
135
22
87
1889
65
2563
803
214
165
116
19
29
1513
38
846
232
152
132
33
65
1551
58
3069
27.1
22.4
14.5
13.8
26.3
20.7
16.9
18.4
31.3
30.6
13.2
20.5
30.3
3.1
14.1
8.6
20.2
Aimhigher - no WP
%L3
%L3 by
17
%L3 by
18 by
19
23.1
14.0
14.8
18.2
9.2
12.9
10.8
13.7
60.0
55.6
38.2
43.9
39.4
32.3
34.3
27.6
43.5
52.7 65.0
45.8 60.3
37.0 57.0
40.5 54.3
52.6 57.9
65.5 69.0
38.8 48.6
36.8 50.0
%L3 by
20 Learners
Aimhigher - WP
%L3 by 17
%L3 by 18
102 44.1
%L3 by 19
27
16
17
5
66.7
25.0
23.5
80.0
* 33.3
213 28.6
* 25.0
387 35.7
61
*
*
*
213
63
19.7
20 25.0
6 33.3
7 12.5
0.0
0.0
111 26.1
0.0
22.9
52.4
15 60.0
5 20.0
7 71.4
47.5
60.0
66.7
37.5
33.3
50.0
51.4
0.0
50.1
85.7 92.1
86.7 93.3
80.0 100.0
85.7 100.0
* 50.0 100.0 100.0
42 33.3 81.0 81.0
* 66.7 66.7 66.7
%L3 by 20
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2005/06 total cohort
2004/05 Asian Indian
Asian Other
Black
Mixed
Other
Unknown
White British
White Other
7784 25.1 42.2 47.7
1103 35.8 66.4 73.1 74.3
269 27.5 57.2 63.2 65.1
120 20.0 41.7 45.8 47.5
244 19.7 38.9 44.7 46.3
35 34.3 60.0 71.4 71.4
210 24.3 49.5 53.8 55.7
6669 22.5 41.0 45.3 47.6
163 30.7 47.2 50.9 52.1
2897
443
103
82
79
10
19
863
28
20.0
12.6
4.9
2.4
3.8
20.0
15.8
7.5
0.0
43.5 55.0
34.8 59.8 68.2
20.4 48.5 57.3
18.3 47.6 61.0
20.3 43.0 50.6
30.0 60.0 60.0
47.4 57.9 68.4
20.3 36.5 44.8
10.7 32.1 42.9
2004/05 total cohort 8813 24.4 45.0 49.7 51.8 1627 8.4 24.3 44.8 53.4
Source: Young Person Merged dataset (YPMAD) for 2008/09, flagged for Aimhigher membership
Table B2 Percentage Learners achieving L3 by age and ethnic group
137 47.4
11 45.5
* 0.0
12 16.7
26 26.9
83.9 89.1
90.9 100.0 100.0
66.7 66.7 66.7
58.3 75.0 75.0
73.1 84.6 84.6
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Appendix C Analysis by Type of Disability
C1 Physical Disability
Aimhigher Members who attended WP Activities Aimhigher Members not recorded for WP activities
GCSE Year
2008/09
Disability Learners %L2 by 16 %L2 by 17 %L2 by 18 %L2 by 19 Learners %L2 by 16 %L2 by 17 %L2 by 18 %L2 by 19
Emotional 311 19.6 45 73.3
Hearing
Medical
Mental
31
9
37
58.1
44.4
24.3
*
*
100.0
100.0
Aimhigher
Other
Physical
Visual
Disability total
2007/08 Emotional
99
64
28
579
1082
264
31.3
34.4
32.1
26.6
25.7
17.8 30.7
6
5
*
63
1082
9
57.1
80.0
100.0
75.3
25.7
50.0 77.8
Hearing
Medical
Mental
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
Physical
Visual
50
69
37
122
40
32
614
1198
44.0
36.2
48.6
29.2
47.5
43.8
29.4
26.1
66.0
62.3
59.5
6.6
62.5
56.3
37.5
37.5
5
*
24
*
*
45
1198
80.0
75.0
29.2
50.0
100.0
45.6
26.1
80.0
75.0
33.3
50.0
100.0
53.3
37.5
2006/07 Emotional
Hearing
Medical
Mental
Other
Physical
187
21
86
15
89
35
20.9
42.9
51.2
33.3
32.6
40.0
32.1
57.1
69.8
46.7
55.1
57.1
42.2
66.7
79.1
60.0
66.3
65.7
*
*
*
*
*
7
50.0
100.0
57.1
0.0
66.7
100.0
50.0
100.0
57.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
75.0
100.0
85.7
100.0
100.0
100.0
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Aimhigher
Visual
Disability total
2005/06 Emotional
Hearing
Medical
Mental
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
Physical
Visual
18
451
1143
149
28
98
10
91
32
15
423
1212
50.0
33.0
24.1
24.8
53.6
50.0
50.0
49.5
40.6
46.7
40.4
27.5
61.1
48.6
34.7
36.2
71.4
65.3
50.0
60.4
65.6
80.0
54.6
37.9
66.7
58.5
45.5
45.0
75.0
83.7
70.0
72.5
90.6
93.3
67.6
47.1
19
1143
* 49.7
78.6
85.7
70.0
74.7
93.8
93.3
70.7 11
51.7 1212
*
5
*
2004/05
Aimhigher
Emotional
Hearing
Medical
Mental
Other
Physical
Visual
40
8
8
195
84
15
38
*
17.9
40.0
50.0
0.0
32.5
50.0
0.0
29.2
35.7
53.3
68.4
50.0
50.0
87.5
25.0
48.2
44.0
60.0
92.1
50.0
67.5
87.5
37.5
61.0
46.4
60.0
94.7
100.0
75.0
87.5
75.0
66.2
Disability total 1043 22.5 32.8 41.7 44.7 1043
Source: Young Person Merged dataset (YPMAD) for 2008/09, flagged for Aimhigher membership
Table C1 Percentage Learners with disability achieving Level 2
5
*
*
*
52.6
24.1
75.0
100.0
80.0
100.0
81.8
27.5
0.0
0.0
33.3
20.0
22.5
73.7
34.7
75.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
90.9
37.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
32.8
89.5
45.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
47.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
41.7
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
51.7
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
44.7
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Aimhigher Members not recorded for WP activities Aimhigher Members who attended WP Activities
GCSE Year
2007/08
Aimhigher
Disability total
Disability Learners L3 by 17 L3 by 18 L3 by 19 L3 by 20 Learners L3 by 17 L3 by 18 L3 by 19 L3 by 20
Emotional 264 1.5 9 0.0
Hearing
Medical
Mental
Other
50
69
37
122
22.0
2.9
10.8
4.9
5
*
24
40.0
0.0
20.8
Physical
Visual
40
32
12.5
9.4
*
*
50.0
100.0
614
1198
5.7
6.5
45
1198
20.0
6.5
2006/07
Aimhigher
Emotional
Hearing
Medical
Mental
Other
Physical
Visual
Disability total
2005/06 Emotional
Hearing
Medical
Mental
Other
Physical
Visual
187
21
86
15
89
35
18
451
1143
149
28
98
10
91
32
15
4.8
19.0
10.5
13.3
14.6
14.3
11.1
9.8
6.8
10.1
32.1
17.3
0.0
16.5
12.5
6.7
12.3
28.6
34.9
26.7
29.2
31.4
44.4
23.9
16.0
20.1
42.9
37.8
30.0
35.2
40.6
40.0
26.2
60.7
50.0
30.0
47.3
53.1
60.0
*
*
7
*
*
*
19
1143
*
*
5
*
25.0
0.0
14.3
0.0
0.0
100.0
15.8
6.8
25.0
0.0
20.0
100.0
25.0
100.0
28.6
0.0
33.3
100.0
100.0
31.6
16.0
75.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
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Aimhigher
Disability total
2004/05
Aimhigher
Emotional
Hearing
Medical
Mental
Other
Physical
Visual
423
1212
40
8
8
195
84
15
38
*
14.4
8.7
6.0
6.7
0.0
0.0
2.5
0.0
0.0
3.6
31.4
19.8
13.1
20.0
21.1
0.0
12.5
12.5
12.5
14.9
41.8
26.2
23.8
33.3
44.7
0.0
40.0
37.5
37.5
32.8
31.0
33.3
68.4
0.0
52.5
75.0
37.5
44.6
Disability total 1043 0.7 1.5 2.1 2.4 1043
Source: Young Person Merged dataset (YPMAD) for 2008/09, flagged for Aimhigher membership
Table C2 Percentage Learners with disability achieving Level 3
11
1212
5
*
*
*
27.3
8.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.7
90.9
19.8
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
1.5
100.0
26.2
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
2.1
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
2.4
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C2 Learning Disability
GCSE Year
2008/09
Aimhigher Members not recorded for WP activities Aimhigher Members who attended WP Activities
Learning disability Learners L2 by 16 L2 by 17 L2 by 18 L2 by 19 Learners L2 by 16 L2 by 17 L2 by 18 L2 by 19
Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
229
456
112
24.9
22.1
25.9
24
45
6
58.3
57.8
66.7
Aimhigher
Disability total
2007/08
Aimhigher
Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
Disability total
2006/07 Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
2005/06 Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
2004/05 Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
Aimhigher
797
2100
244
473
156
873
2043
149
325
69
543
1938
149
263
89
501
1751
97
178
33
308
23.5
24.2
25.1
16.3
34.6
22.0
21.4
34.5
14.5
38.0
23.0
19.7
37.6
13.7
50.2
27.3
17.2
23.7
14.0
13.9
17.1
68.0
45.5
64.0
54.1
49.7
71.1
48.3
79.0
60.5
43.3
67.0
50.6
59.0
56.6
46.0
38.9
50.0
42.9
38.3
55.8
32.9
55.7
42.1
34.7
54.4
28.9
62.4
42.4
30.5
44.3
32.6
41.5
37.2
74.5
55.5
61.0
62.1
1938
6
5
8
19
50.9 1751
76.3 *
64.6
76.1
*
*
69.5 *
75
2100
10
7
9
26
2043
9
10
*
23
Disability total 1670 15.1 28.3 41.0 46.9 1670
Table C3 Percentage of Learners with Learning difficulty achieving Level 2
34.7
50.0
80.0
100.0
78.9
30.5
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
28.3
100.0
85.7
77.8
88.5
38.3
77.8
80.0
100.0
82.6
19.7
33.3
60.0
85.7
62.4
17.2
50.0
0.0
0.0
25.0
15.1
58.7
24.2
100.0
57.1
77.8
80.8
21.4
77.8
60.0
25.0
60.9
66.7
100.0
100.0
89.5
50.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
46.9
49.7
50.0
100.0
100.0
84.2
43.3
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
41.0
88.9
90.0
100.0
91.3
726893680
45
13/04/2020

Aimhigher Members not recorded for WP activities Aimhigher Members who attended WP Activities
GCSE Year
2007/08
Learning disability Learners L3 by 17 L3 by 18 L3 by 19 L3 by 20 Learners L3 by 17 L3 by 18 L3 by 19 L3 by 20
Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
Aimhigher Aimhigher
Disability total
244
473
156
873
2043
5.4
4.0
12.5
5.9
5.1
10
7
9
26
2043
40.0
28.6
66.7
46.2
5.1
2006/07
Aimhigher
Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
Aimhigher
Disability total
2005/06 Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
Aimhigher Aimhigher
Disability total
2004/05
Aimhigher
Dyslexia
Moderate
Other
Aimhigher
149
325
69
543
1938
149
263
89
501
1751
97
178
33
308
5.4
4.3
5.0
4.7
3.8
10.7
1.5
16.3
6.9
4.7
0.0
1.1
0.0
0.6
23.2
11.7
33.6
17.6
14.0
33.6
10.6
50.6
24.6
13.2
10.3
5.1
10.1
7.3
43.0
21.7
62.8
35.3
19.9
40.2
24.7
27.5
29.9
54.6
36.0
41.3
42.4
9
10
*
23
1938
6
5
8
19
1751
*
*
*
*
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.8
16.7
20.0
71.4
40.6
4.7
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
3.4
66.7
30.0
0.0
39.1
14.0
50.0
40.0
85.7
62.4
13.2
50.0
100.0
100.0
75.0
10.7
50.0
80.0
100.0
78.9
19.9
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
18.3
100.0
100.0
100.0
100.0
22.0 Disability total 1670 3.4 10.7 18.3 22.0 1670
Table C4 Percentage of Learners with Learning Difficulty achieving Level3
726893680
46
13/04/2020