Dioscuri Research Project Eastern Enlargement – Western Enlargement Cultural Encounters in the European Economy and Society after the Accession DIOSCURI Final Conference Institute for Human Sciences, Vienna April 20-22, 2007 Janos Matyas Kovacs BEYOND THE BASIC INSTINCT? On the Reception of New Institutional Economics in Eastern Europe Work in Progress Please do not cite or circulate without permission of the author Only for conference discussion I owe special thanks to Dragos Aligica and Horia Paul Terpe, Roumen Avramov, Vojmir Franicevic, Aleksandra Jovanovic and Aleksander Stevanovic, Jacek Kochanowicz, Alice Navratilova and Tjasa Zivko for their cooperation. 2 „True, I did not use the word ’institution’ in every second paragraph in a way it has became fashionable by now. I believe, however, that I understood what the notion of ’system’ and what the difference between capitalism and socialism were.” (Janos Kornai, 2000)1 „Even the Ponzi schemes could be considered as ’schools’.” (An interview excerpt from Bulgaria) We did not have a large choice but were looking forward to exploring an exciting, new and quickly growing research field. In planning our project on East-West cultural encounters in economics, we were looking for a school of thought that is popular enough in our region to provide us with a sufficient amount of empirical information for a meaningful comparative analysis; and, at the same time, identifiable enough to target our inquiry as precisely as possible. Moreover, it was plausible to focus on a subdiscipline which also plays an important role at the other two research sites, the economics departments and the think tanks. Neoclassical economics enjoying an extremely friendly reception in Eastern Europe over the past two decades would have easily satisfied the requirement of popularity. Nevertheless, given its two voluminous branches, micro- and macroeconomics, that have become less and less separable, this choice would have gone beyond our research capacities. Conversely, any of the applied fields such as labor, finance or industrial organization, although managable as research tasks, would have offered too little to compare if we had examined them individually. Taken together, however, they do not show a high degree of cohesion. Thus, we were tempted to choose from among the heterodox schools. Selecting any sort of radical political economy promised an inevitable failure because of its lack of popularity in the region due to a general suspicion inherited from the old regime toward anything illiberal, Marxist, leftist, you name it. In terms of ideological predisposition, picking the (neo)Austrian school (nota bene, Friedrich Hayek rather than Joseph Schumpeter) would have offered more success but I am afraid that we would have had to face a similar shortage of comparable scientific results at the local level as in any field of applied economics. New institutional thought, however, seemed to guarantee an identifiable set of scientific theories of rapid expansion and strong methodological cohesion, which are „doomed” to flow in the region in large quantity. Thus, we did not have to fear from a lack of research materials. By new institutional thought we meant first of all what is usually called „new institutional economics” (NIE), i.e., a large variety of rapidly expanding research programs ranging from property rights theory, through public choice and the theory of incentives, all the way down to evolutionary economics and the analysis of social capital. Owing to the fact that NIE is famous for a profound interpenetration of economics with other social sciences, interdisciplinary fields such as economic history, economic policy, economic sociology, law and economics even economic psychology are also indispensable components of the supply of scientific knowledge generated by the given school.2 A broad and rapidly expanding „Western” supply does not necessarily have to produce an upsurge in „Eastern” demand. Why did we nonetheless expect to explore an „exciting, new and Janos Kornai, Tíz évvel a Röpirat angol nyelvű megjelenése után. A szerző önértékelése (Ten Years after Publishing “the Pamphlet” in English. A Self-Assessment by the Author) Közgazdasági Szemle, 2000/9, p. 654. 1 2 3 quickly growing research field” in our region? The answer has to start with a substantial dose of self-criticism, recalling a prediction of mine made back in the early 1990s (and sustained up until the beginning of our project) that proved dismally wrong. Actually, NIE has proven to be a new and exciting field, it did grow quickly but its upswing turned into stagnation after some years. Working hypotheses: abundant imports, rivalry and hybridization In 1993, I portrayed the logic of East-West encounters in economic institutionalism as a largescale venture of importation accompanied by a rivalry of two Western paradigms (ORDO liberalism and NIE) for the hearts and the minds of Eastern European economists3. Witnessing the popularity of the concept of Soziale Marktwirtschaft (coupled, in a peculiar fashion, with Austrian liberalism) in political discourse after communism, and the proliferation of new institutionalist notions such as transaction costs, path dependency or social capital in the economic analysis of the transition to capitalism, I presumed to see an ongoing competition between old („German”) and new („American”) patterns of institutionalist thought in economics. This open-ended scenario with two possible outcomes rested on the following four assumptions: 1. Both major schools of economic science under communism, i.e., official political economy (textbook Marxism) and reform economics will disappear: the former virtually collapsed before 1989 while the latter will merge with old and new institutionalist theories prevailing in the West. The merger may be facilitated by the fact that socialist reformism (including self-management programs) developed quasi-institutionalist techniques of criticizing the planned economy as well as of engineering its reforms.4 2. The institutionalist explanations for severe market distortions in the planned economy (shortages, campaigns, investment cycles, overcentralization, plan bargaining, informal economy, etc), which were put forward by the reform economists between the 1950s and 1980s, can easily be incorporated in the Western literature on the evolution of property rights, government failures, bargaining games, etc. (of course, following a major analytical improvement).5 3. The communist reformers will become capitalist “transformers” studying the postcommunist economy and designing large-scale deregulation and privatization schemes. Hence, they will badly need reliable know-how for understanding and initiating institutional change. 4. A good part of that know-how is available in the West, the Big Unknown of scientific development is on the demand side. In leaving reformism behind, the Eastern European economists will face, by and large, two rival institutionalist traditions: an essentially verbal-historical one offered by ORDO liberalism, and another one based on neoclassical-style formal analysis and offered by NIE. Which of the two will be their choice? To put it simply, the former relies on holistic concepts such as economic order, and stresses social responsibility and the need to correct the market from outside whereas the latter prefers methodological individualism, and trusts in the ultimate justice-making and self-correcting power of the market. The former is closer to the intellectual and political traditions of the ex-reformers, offers an activist role to the scholars, and is Which Institutionalism? Searching for Paradigms of Transformation in Eastern European Economic Thought, in: Hans-Jürgen Wagener (ed): The Political Economy of Transformation, Physica-Verlag, Heidelberg, 1993. 3 4 5 4 justified, especially in the eyes of the older generations, by the European success story of the welfare state between the 1950s and the 1980s. The latter is superior in terms of scientific precision and academic strength due to its intimate links to neoclassical economics, probably more attractive for the younger generations of economists in the region, and gains legitimation from the comparative advantages of the “American model” vis à vis most of the European ones during the past two decades. To put it bluntly, the former is assisted by the boring but reliable past of moderate sophistication whereas the second represents the music of the future full of risks and perhaps of Grand Discoveries. Shortly after 1989, my predictions were rather cautious, I avoided guessing who the winner could be. Without revealing my own preference for either paradigm on the supply side, I only expressed a certain fear from a possible combination of the old-new propensity of the transformers for state interventionism with resurgent nationalism in the region under the auspices of a statistconservative interpretation of the ORDO program. Thus, part of the latter’s liberal constituents would be suppressed, and the concepts of the ex-reformers (or even of the textbook Marxists) would find refuge in the theoretical construct of a new kind of social market economy, a NationalSoziale Marktwirtschaft somewhere between the new Eastern-European types of “hard” socialism (post-communism) and “soft” nazism.6 Indeed, it was terribly difficult to forecast the winner (or to define the terms of an incidental – local -- cohabitation between NIE and ORDO7) but it seemed evident that if there were a winner it would emerge from the rivalry of these two. I did not expect to see a sweeping victory of any of the rivals. Instead, I could well imagine a hybrid solution, according to which the reformist tradition would be affected by certain features of both Western paradigms, perhaps alternately, with no clear trend of evolution. Be as it may, these expectations were contingent on a deep-going methodological and discoursive change in the economic profession throughout the region. Any East-West convergence in institutionalism (even on the basis of ORDO liberalism) depended on a considerable rapprochement between the Western languages of economics and the local ones. To put it less politely, Eastern European economists could not hope, I believed, for success on the international scene if they continued to insist on their homegrown “quasi-institutionalism, or, more exactly, "speculative institutionalism" (think of the amorphous “plan-and-market” and selfmanagement discourses used by the reformers even in the late 1980s8). Normally, this kind of institutionalist research program was less empirical and, at the same time, less abstract-axiomatic than its major counterparts in the West. With the rise of a new East-West combination in institutional economics, the theory of postcommunist transformation (a potential hotbed of institutionalist discoveries) could improve a lot, I presumed. Learning might become a two-way street: economic sciences in the West would also borrow scientific ideas from our region. For instance, Eastern Europe seemed capable of delivering, via the economics of communism, the institutionalist theory of an unfeasible economy, which could play a similar role to the one assumed by the perpetuum mobile in physics. The same applied, I thought, to the institutions that came into being in the course of dismantling the communist system: if described and analysed in a language understandable for Western scholars, these institutions, together with their predecessors, might enrich some of NIE’s core 6 7 8 5 concepts such as fuzzy property rights, informal institutions, incomplete contracts, informational asymmetries, rent seeking, path dependency, etc. These expectations reflected a rather cooperative and frictionless scholarly exchange with the West. What we want to come in will arrive, and what actually comes in is the same as what we originally intended to receive. Also, to use the language of political correctness, the institutionalist economists in the region were portrayed not as handicapped or disabled but as differently abled scholars who may have authentic products to sell. These products only need to be recycled, repackaged and marketed intelligently. In optmal case, the Eastern and Western cultures of institutionalism will complement each other and/or converge, that is, the incoming culture will not eradicate and replace the indigenous one. Besides the “discoursive turn”, I argued, the sociological context of economic sciences should also change in Eastern Europe to promote convergence in institutionalist research programs. Presumedly, party congresses, censored journals and politically embedded scholars will not determine scientific progress any longer. At the same time, “secular” research communities, peerreviewed publications and the faculty library (or the faculty club for that matter) will become the main vehicle of scholarly evolution. Eastern European experts will be subjected to the same kind of rivalry in the academic market (locally and globally) as their Western colleagues, the patterns of recruitment, promotion and mobility will also be similar, a good part of scholarly output will come from private institutions of research and education, etc. To sum up, the cast was presumed to include two “collective actors” (schools, paradigms) on the Western side, while on the Eastern one I saw the vanishing textbook Marxists, the ex-reformers (actually, at least two generations of them) and the “innocent youth” just appearing on the scene of economic research. It was also quite reasonable to assume that generational differences would matter. The younger you are, the greater your chances for receiving proper education in neoclassical economics – a sine qua non of absorbing new institutionalist ideas (provided you want to pursue institutionalist research anyway). Here two kinds of frustration may coincide. Both the inexactitude of the verbal research techniques applied by the older colleagues, and the sterility of certain just-acquired neoclassical models can prompt the young scholars to switch to NIE. While being pushed by the former two, they are pulled by new institutional economics, a fresh and fashionable subdiscipline that promises the best of old institutionalism and the mainstream without making the researcher suffer from their alleged imperfections. If that prognosis is not flawed, the neoclassical paradigm needs to be included in the group of Western actors. Probably, the spread of this paradigm – so went my argument – would also accelerate the diffusion of new institutional economics as an unintended by-product (or collateral damage). However, at that time, I disregarded three other options: a) ORDO would smoothly withdraw from the competition but NIE would not become a real winner due, among other things, to its own poor performance. b) Neoclassical theory would not produce its “Eastern dissidents” for quite some time, moreover it would distance itself from NIE in certain respects. c) Under post-communism, the economic profession would face an “anything goes” (more exactly, an “any theory can melt into another”) situation, in which even hybridization might turn out to be a too courageous working hypothesis. 6 What was disregarded ten-fifteen years ago, has become reality, and a veritable surprise to me today in reading the case studies on Bulgaria, Croatia, the Czech Republic, Poland, Romania, Serbia and Slovenia, and making the one on Hungary.9 A few words on methodology The surprise could not originate, I believe, in sloppy research techniques used by the authors of the case studies. We did our best to gain a comprehensive picture of the reception of a large variety of new institutional ideas in the region in both scientific research and higher education, moreover, we did not disregard entirely how those ideas have been applied in the course of postcommunist transformation. In mapping NIE and its interdisciplinary environment, old institutional ideas were not overlooked either. We avoided to base our conclusions on anecdotal evidence, ideological prejudices and the like occuring so frequently when it comes to assessing post-1989 developments in Eastern European economic thought. Instead of bashing neoliberalism and shock therapy under the pretext of discussing NIE, or, on the contrary, mocking at the survival of old-style research programs and the methodological imperfections of the new institutional thinkers, we collected and cross-checked an unprecedented array of empirical material by means of in-depth interviews (their number amounted to more than 50)10, curricula analysis, literature review and participant observation. Of course, the individual case studies vary in both depth of empirical scrutiny and explanatory force. However, no economic subdiscipline has undergone such an intense research into its post1989 evolution in the region thus far. Although most of the authors were extremely committed to the project and the interviewees ready to cooperate, the cultural encounters were almost exclusively narrated from the perspective of the local experts. In the absence of Western partners, the mirror image of the exchange of scientific cultures had to be constructed with the help of circumstantial evidence. Another deficiency stems from the freedom enjoyed by the case study authors in selecting the interviewees and composing the structure of the in-depth interviews.11 The interviews were not based on representative samples, the authors are in most cases members of the scientific community, and the conversations did not follow a detailed questionnaire. Actually, we conducted a kind of life history interview starting with the respondents’ first encounters with „the West”. They were asked about their surprises/frictions/conflicts, the way of coping with them, the ensuing compromises and the lessons they drew in the wake of the encounters. We were interested in both the strictly scientific and the sociology of knowledge type aspects of the encounters. In the end, our interview partners were asked about what they think their Western colleagues may learn from them. As far as the case studies are concerned, they focus on the structure and the sequence of the cultural encounters, and – possibly -- provide a preliminary typology of the final outcomes. To sum up, we preferred giving our interview partners much freedom in reconstructing their life histories, and relying on the insider knowledge of the interviewers, to applying the established rules of impartial and strictly structured interview-making. In a mapping-style project like ours, such a deviation from the formal recipes is, in my view, acceptable, especially if the authors of the case studies carefully compare the information gained from the interviews with the publications and education programs of the research community in the respective countries. A regular survey based on a standardized questionnaire and representative sampling can hardly be conducted by skipping our mapping exercise. 9 10 11 7 Three surprises „Have Polish economists noticed institutionalism?”– asks Jacek Kochanowicz with a skeptical undertone in his case study. The title of my own paper on Hungary („Missing a chance?”) reflects similar doubts. Another author, Roumen Avramov says the following: „NIE’s presence in the Bulgarian landscape of economic science is incoherent and lacking a critical mass. It can hardly be considered as a compact current, able to counter-weight the dominant influence of neoclassical economics … NIE is rather an archipelago of heterogeneous components with differing weight, impact and institutional support.” Vojmir Franicevic speaks of „soft” institutionalism (i.e., using NIE concepts when they „fit the story well”) and a passive reception of new institutional economics in Croatia. According to Tjasa Zivko, „judging from Slovenian economic reviews, we were able to identify only one economist who deals with NIE.” In Bulgaria there is only one consistent curriculum of new institutional economics. In presenting the case of CERGE in Prague, one of the most „Westernized” institute of research and education in Eastern Europe, Alice Navratilova writes about the marginal role NIE plays in its programs. Kochanowicz says NIE was crowded out by neoclassical theory in his country. Horia Paul Terpe and Dragos Aligica warn the reader that „the many signals that may indicate a new institutionalism rhetoric should not be confused with the adoption of the real thing. Romanian institutionalism ... has different roots and sources of inspiration.” Finally, Aleksandra Jovanovic and Aleksander Stevanovic complain about „second best solutions” in the reception of NIE in former Yugoslavia, and contend that „the Serbian academic community is still far away from accepting” that school of economics. Institutionalism has not been institutionalized yet -- quite a few authors play with the words (without knowing each other’s papers) in drawing their final conclusions. First surprise The first surprise I had to digest was related to the origin of the melancholy bordering on skepticism which permeated the individual case studies without exception, although only one or two authors have some vested interest in developing new institutional economics in their countries. Of course, no one could reasonably expect a high-quality breaktrough of the school but some kind of a massive breakthrough seemed to be a safe prognosis in Eastern Europe. In fact, expecting a series of original discoveries at the local level to be published by first-rate journals in the US, or organizing departments of economics, research institutes, foundations and scientific journals around the concept of NIE would have been a vast exaggeration underestimating the minimum requirements of the intellectual gestation and institutionalization of scientific ideas. However, slow infiltration, aborted takeover, eclectic borrowing, simulated appropriation, etc, i.e., patterns of scholarly importation described by the case studies at great length, would have been regarded as predictions of excessive pessimism one or two decades ago. Indeed, the first pages of the case studies reflect the same lack of pessimism (or rather, cautious optimism) as my above-mentioned prognosis on the affinity (resonance, to quote the Croatian author) of Eastern European research traditions with the general thrust of new institutionalism. The authors reiterate similar assumptions, according to which NIE would attract the attention of the economists throughout the region because that school offers a paradigm they badly need, can respect, understand and believe in, not to speak of the fact that the scholarly supply is wellmarketed. A special advantage of NIE is that it may serve as a „proxy theory”, says Avramov, that can substitute other theories, fill the „gaps left by conventional economic thinking”, thus, it can please even specialists of diametrically opposing persuasions.Also, adds Franicevic, it delivers a language of radical change, creating cultural cohesion in the research community. 8 The encounters with new institutional theories (and theorists) in the West began in Hungary, Poland and Yugoslavia back in the 1980s or a little earlier. Initially, the demand was instinctive, sporadic, accidental and issue-dependent. Typically, the Eastern European economist was searching for a solution of a given problem (e.g., simulating private property in Hungary, comparing economic systems in Poland, reshaping the federal system in Yugoslavia); browsed through a small part of the Western literature; was enchanted by the cutting-edge results of some of the new institutional thinkers (Armen Alchian and Harold Demsetz, Oliver Williamson and Mancur Olson respectively)12 whose arguments he/she could (almost) follow by means of mathematical knowledge attained, for instance, through studying the economics of planning and self-management before. Although normally NIE (arriving in the region hand in hand with the Austrian school)13 was packaged in radical libertarian rhetoric, it promised many local experts a balanced view of government and market failures, a historical approach to the evolution of institutions, multi-disciplinary analysis, etc, that is, scholarly cultures they were socialized in. The economists in the region were filled with satisfaction in experiencing that at last they can put in precise (yet spectacular) scholarly terms what they had only felt or presumed earlier, not to mention the possibility of measuring the variables, testing the conclusions, etc. NIE’s sporadic infiltration (through e.g., the publication of a volume on law and economics in Hungary, a fellowship of Leszek Balcerowicz in Germany, and a visit by Steve Pejovich in Belgrade) grew into a regular marketing campaign and a simultaneous buying boom in the late 1980s and the early 1990s. The campaign was operated mainly by North-American universities, think tanks and foundations (George Mason, Texas, Atlas, Fraser, Liberty Fund, Coase Institute, Bradley, etc.) in all countries of the region, mediated by joint research projects, seminars, conferences, university courses, summer schools, translation programs and the like, and reinforced by the prestige of the first Nobel Prizes given to some of the founding fathers of new institutional thought.14 (Our non-institutionalist respondents do not miss a chance for dropping sarcastic remarks on the snobbery of the new NIE fans in the region, and their „conspicuous consumption” of scientific ideas.) The overall climate of reception became especially favorable when the World Bank, the EBRD and some other international organizations and NGOs replaced their Washington Consensus-style policies with the one using the „institutions matter” rhetoric. Thereby, a large window of opportunity was opened for all those economists in Eastern Europe who were disappointed with the first moves of radical liberalization after communism including shock therapy and mass privatization, or just with the free-market phraseology accompanying them. The institutions-centered message from the West got considerably strengthened by the EU accession, that is, by the very program of a comprehensive transfer of institutions as well as by the contents of the acquis communautaire expressing a quintessence of European capitalism. Consequently, in the Eastern Europe of the middle of the 1990s, you could join the NIE universum with a middle-of-the-road social-democratic commitment, and you did not have to quit it even if you cherished arch-libertarian views. NIE is a „tolerant discipline”, say the Romanian authors. As a matter of fact, new institutional theories lost much of their critical „otherness” by that time, and merged with neoclassical thought. Therefore, even those economists began to flirt with them who were keen on not dirtying their minds with research programs resembling reformist speculations under the old regime. A new paradigm entered the economic sciences in the region, a small scientific revolution was in the making, one could add with a bit of an exaggeration. This change was not forced upon the „natives”. If it has begun to colonize them, then that was rather a sort of self-colonization. As 12 13 14 9 Franicevic suggests, the push and pull effects complemented each other. The local economists were prepared to leave the first stage of intellectual development, in which it was primarily their „basic instinct”, originating under the old regime, that drove them to opt for new institutional analysis. By passing through the stage of writing the first review articles and organizing the introductory seminars to popularize the school of thought, they launched their first real research projects to adapt and test foreign models of privatization, anti-trust regulation, corruption and the like. The case studies contend that NIE got stuck in this introductory phase in many respects, in other words, the rite de passage was interrupted or slowed down. The narration of a steady inflow of new institutional economics stops in most case studies rather soon, to be continued by a description of a stagnation process that has not reached its end yet. With the exception of a few small islands of NIE at a university department or in an NGO (such as the Department of Law and Economics at the Law Faculty of the Belgrade University or the Institute for Market Economy in Sofia), one sees lonely scholars scattered all over the region without any regularity. More exactly, there is a rule: no country in the region shows extraordinary achievements (high or low) in developing new institutional economics, no matter if in a given country economic sciences encountered the West earlier or later, more or less frequently, profoundly or superficially, etc. Apparently, stagnation has an egalitarian nature. As years go by, the inhabitants of the islands are happy if they can survive. They cannot hope for dominating, not even strongly affecting their own research environment soon or ever. The typical NIE specialist continues to popularize its own school, writes in domestic journals and apply already existing (Western) knowledge. (As a Romanian respondent complains, „we are the measurement guys at the end of the chain”). None of the case studies reports on an article published by a local expert of new institutionalism in a Western journal of high reputation. University courses of new institutionalism do not offer a comprehensive picture of the school, instead they focus on a narrow selection of „famous” authors. Just a few classic volumes written by leading theorists of new institutionalism were translated in each country, however, their local adherents normally do not publish books. In Serbia the NIE specialists are regarded as members of „a minority with great credibility” as Jovanovic and Stepanovic assert. Nevertheless, in most countries of the region their professional authority dwarfs even by that of the average mainstream economists. Similarly, a renowned institution such as the Institute of Economics in Budapest or the CERGE in Prague can easily afford to operate basically without any contribution by the school’s local representatives. Second surprise Interestingly enough, the NIE scholars in Eastern Europe do not have to face the usual dilemma of inclining to the neoclassical paradigm per se or rather to the old (or new-old) institutionalist schools because the latter are so weak in the region – yet another surprise to someone like me who expected Ordo liberalism to flourish in our countries after 1989. Under post-communism, however, NIE has no Western rival inside institutionalism as well as no ally outside. The American-type old institutional thought ranging from Thorstein Veblen, through John Galbraith all the way to Geoffrey Hodgson has never been too popular in Eastern European economic thought. However, the German/Austrian tradition influenced the economists in EastCentral Europe (less in Serbia, Romania and Bulgaria, of course) even under communism, no matter how ambivalent that tradition may be. Despite their heated controversies, the German historical school, part of the old and new Austrian economics, and ORDO15 are similar in pursuing research programs that prefer verbal to formalized approach, dynamic to static analysis, 15 10 and historical to abstract-axiomatic methods to understand the evolution of economic institutions of capitalism. Moreover, the ideas of the „social market economy” or Hayek’s and Schumpeter’s theories of the market, entrepreneurship, economic knowledge, etc., arrived in Eastern Europe around 1989 in large waves. Yet, only a few of our case studies portray these schools as important actors of economic sciences in the region today. ORDO is cultivated only in small conservative universities in Hungary; one finds in most countries Hayek societies, clubs, institutes but they are noisy rather than strong in scholarly production. The marginal role played by the libertarian wing of old institutionalism is evidenced by the example of the neo-Austrians in Romania who, believe it or not, flirt with the Orthodox religion. The initial attraction of the German/Austrian tradition has faded, and the enthusiastic rhetorical appropriation at the turn of the 1980s and 1990s was not converted into deep-going research activities. Hence, in contrast to my expectations, the rivalry for the minds and the hearts of the Eastern European economists does not take place between two kinds of institutionalism but between new institutional and neoclassical economics. Why do I speak of a rivalry? In principle, their cooperation could also be frictionless due to the neoclassical foundations of NIE. The latter can’t help associating itself with the former but why is the mainstream reluctant to identify itself with new institutional thought in Eastern Europe? (More exactly, why is it more reluctant to do so here than in the West?) First of all, the representatives of mainstream economics contend that they have already identified with NIE by incorporating many of its discoveries into the main body of neoclassical thought or its applied subdisciplines. Secondly, they claim that there are no significant new results produced by new institutional economists on the basis of past or present experiences in Eastern Europe to incorporate. Thirdly, they tend to discover some dark spots in the genealogy of NIE in the region. Providing easy refuge for former textbook Marxists and reform economists (that is, „speculative”, „soft”, „quasi-” institutionalists, to cite the case study authors) to survive after 1989, and offering a good pretext to avoid renewing their research techniques constitute the two main resons for suspicion. (As one of my interviewees exclaimed, „when will they learn at last to set up an equation?” Or to quote a Czech respondent, „they do not know the stuff”.) Ironically, in organizing NIE into a professional association in some of the countries, its protagonists were exposed to the goodwill of ex-Marxist converts, too. Who among the mainstreamers would then be willing to cooperate with (or, horribile dictu, leave the mainstream behind to join) such partners/competitors without scruples even if he/she were not content with the local quality of neoclassical economics? That quality is, by the way, a frequent target of criticism by the NIE specialists who are convinced that the mainstream invaded the region not in its „high culture” version but as a mass commodity reminding the observer of the produce of third-rate American universities, with a neophite commitment to model-building, excessive abstraction and neoliberal dogmatism. Third surprise Mutual recriminations are not completely unfounded in a larger context of post-communist scholarship in economics (and most of the social sciences) either. Our case studies suggest that currently in Eastern Europe virtually any paradigm/discourse/rhetoric can couple with any other. That was the third – probably most shocking – surprise to me in this project. Of course, as a Hungarian citizen, I am most impressed (to be sure, negatively) by the story of „Karl Marx learns microeconomics”, which demonstrates a strange coalition of thoughts and interests between a very old professor of the history of economic thought, an old expert of verbal-style international economics, a former party apparatchik in the Central Committee (today a professor of public 11 choice) and a young specialist of micro-economics who has strong Marxist/anti-globalist views; a coalition cemented in an opposition to teaching modern neoclassical theories. Unfortunately, this is by no means an exotic example, just like the above-mentioned oxymoron of „Hayekian orthodoxy” in Romania is not either. Let me stress that all this is happening almost two decades after the Eastern European revolutions. To be sure, the „first push” confounding German social liberalism, Austrian evolutionary thought and new classical liberalism was also a perplexing venture. Another Romanian invention, namely, combining the German historical school, structuralism, nationalism, old-style development theory and new institutionalism, also gives birth to an interesting creature. Concepts come and go, and the rate of fluctuation of their representatives is rather high: talented young experts may leave the scene overnight. Franicevic brings the example of his colleague who after having done interesting research on the informal economy in the spirit of new institutional economics, jumped into studying the sociology of sexuality. One of the Croatian respondents calls himself a „survivalist”, another one an „eclecticist by default”. Kochanowicz considers new institutional economics a „passing interest” in Poland. One of our Bulgarian interview partners says this: „There is no inconvenience in declaring yourself a follower of one and later another theory. A wise man keeps under control the instruments and the concepts he uses.” In sum, much of the limited success of NIE in the region may be attributed to its own weak performance (that was partly unavoidable), the fact that its potential ally turned into a rival in certain respects, and to the „anything goes” situation of the economic profession as a whole. There are, however, quite a few other reasons for the stagnation that followed the promising start. Part of them is to be found in the field of the sociology of science. Did Western supply diminish and/or become less attractive for the Eastern European economists? Did the wheels of the mediation mechanism start to squeak? Or did local demand ebb? I think all these factors were in a sense instrumental in the slowdown of reception of new institutional ideas. Obviously, the potential supply of NIE theories did not decline (just the opposite is the case) but the attraction stemming from the novelty of exchange of ideas and the fact that the school became fashionable in the region around 1989 definitely decreased. On the supply side, the scholarly interest shrank owing to the gradual consolidation of economic sciences in Eastern Europe, which followed certain Western norms, nonetheless did not result in breath-taking discoveries. The „missionary” stage of exporting new institutional ideas to the „savages” was continued by the rather boring process of piecemeal – and partly unsuccessful -- construction and legitimation in the second half of the 1990s. The Western think tanks, foundations, specialists, etc., began to withdraw from the region, leaving the new „converts” behind. The latter had to prove how one does institutionalist research without experiencing long-term institutional change in the region – a contradictio in adjecto revealed by many case studies. On the demand side, the desire to borrow new theories diminished due to the declining interest of the agents of post-communist transformation in system-wide institutional change, the competition by the surviving old institutionalists, and the ensuing frictions in establishing NIE as an integral part of the research community. As a consequence, new institutionalism became less attractive for the neoclassical scholars as well. They are also on an exciting learning curve, exploring the secrets of the Grand Theory with its numerous booming applications that, as mentioned before, have already included NIE-type solutions. „If I use nice rhetorical twists like „path dependency”, do I learn anything tangible about the economy, will I be able to make rational predictions?”, asked one of my interview partner, a macro-theorist by profession. Furthermore, what had been an advantage in the beginning, namely, the closeness of NIE to the politics of the transformation, apparently turned into a disadvantage. Neoclassical experts in 12 Eastern Europe were always inclined to talk about a low level of sophistication and a high level of contextuality of even the most celebrated new institutional theories in the West (a Czech interviewee speaks of a „blind spot” of institutional analysis). Today, witnessing how the postcommunist governments improvise large-scale institutional change using old and new institutionalist rhetoric, these experts also challenge the pride of institutional thinkers who like to contrast the „realism” of their teachings with the „sterility” of neoclassical thought. In the Czech Republic, for instance, the voucher privatization scheme based on Austrian evolutionary principles triggered sarcastic remarks on the part of neoclassical scholars. For them the stagnation of NIE in our region did not come as a surprise at all, and today they think twice before joining that „ghetto” after having been released from their own one called euphemistically „mathematical economics” some years ago. In the neoclassical research community „the saturation point has not been reached yet”, says one of the Polish respondents. A reason for optimism? In the light of the eight case studies, this is how I see the pessimistic logic of the slowdown/stagnation in receiving NIE in the region: 1.) The enhanced expectations about a successful breakthrough by NIE coupled with the modest scholarly results of the school at the local level and the dubious fame of some of its representatives led to a frustration in the economic profession as a whole. 2.) Therefore, NIE did not receive the necessary support from the local experts of neoclassical economics to either improve the methodology or solidify the institutional position and prestige of the school in the framework of joint ventures. 3.) As a result, NIE was unable to go beyond its introductory phase: the institutional instincts of the Eastern European economists could not develop into authentic new research programs yielding important results thus far. They are marking time somewhere between old and new institutionalism. As stated by the authors of the Croatian, Hungarian and Romanian studies, NIE did not manage to build up its own epistemic community in the region. Is there an optimistic logic as well? Most case study authors presume there may be one. Their skepticism is combined with an implicit assumption that in Eastern Europe new institutional economics is in a state of silent accumulation, it is like a subterranean river that may burst out soon. They refer to NIE specialists (predominantly young ones) who make huge efforts to launch new university courses that will result in new experts and publications with some delay. They also call the readers’ attention to other social sciences such as sociology (Poland, Bulgaria, Hungary), law (Serbia), political science (Croatia), psychology and history, which often apply new institutional concepts in their borderlands to economics. Frequently, new institutional arguments are used in scientific debates without referring to their original sources. In other words, the case studies speak of an „invisible proliferation” of NIE in the academia and beyond without calling it so. Public policy and corporate governance are highlighted in particular as fertile grounds for the diffusion of the whole philosophy of the school and for the mushrooming of NIE models ranging, for instance, from deregulation of public health care to devising the incentives of an intrapreneurship scheme. What did not work well in the academia, might do so in everyday economic life. Of course, the results vary: while new institutionalist concepts were successful in the pension reform, says Kochanowicz, they did not fare well in reshaping health care in Poland thus far. The Croatian case study reports on the success story of public finance. 13 I am talking here about presuming an optimistic scenario because our project did not envisage a systematic study of cultural encounters in the field of „practical institutionalism”. It may well be that Western-born institutionalist ideas are borrowed by the local actors at a much larger scale and greater speed in the daily practices of business and government than in the academia. In this case the mediation of cultural exchange rests on private for-profit organizations (consulting firms, transnational companies, etc.) and powerful international agencies (EU, World Bank, EBRD, etc.). Lengthy selection processes geared by academic deliberation are frequently replaced in practice by an almost automatic takeover of certain institutionalist concepts no matter if one has to deal with a franchising scheme, a regulation model of public utilities or a privatization deal. Of course, many of these concepts are adjusted to become applicable under local circumstances. Unfortunately, the huge number of such exciting cases of cultural encounters surpass the boundaries of the present study. Nevertheless, the papers on the think tanks (such as the CASE in Poland and the IMAD in Slovenia) may give an insight in how NIE ideas travel from the realm of science to the real world. In any event, following system-wide transformations such as constitutional changes or privatization, in which new institutionalism was often confined to play an auxiliary/ideological role, Eastern Europe entered a stage in which the tasks of fine-tuning and smart selection of institutions are among the first priorities. Cultural encounters: changing structures and sequences Let me recapitulate the current history of new institutional economics in the region using the language of our project. I will start with the structure of encounters, that is, the configuration of the key actors, the loci of their encounters and the major cultural components exchanged in the course of encounters. Then the sequences of the encounters will be put under scrutiny. Finally, I will venture to construe a tentative typology of the outcomes. Key actors of the encounters An extraterrestrial observer would probably witness, landing in Eastern Europe, a general breakthrough of standard neoclassical thought (in the younger generations) and the continuation of quasi-institutionalist research (by the older ones). The cast of the post-communist play of economic sciences in the region would therefore include one foreign and two indigenous collective actors.16 From inside, however, we may see a much larger cast: 16 17 There were indeed radical changes, in particular, in university education where mainstream neoclassical theory crowded out textbook-Marxism, driving many of their representatives out of the profession, or into subdisciplines (such as public policy or comparative economic systems) that enabled them to drift toward the speculative institutionalism of the reformers, or even NIE. (Proficiency in mathematics proved to be a very efficient hurdle in joining the mainstream whereas new institutionalism was more permissive.)17 In the wake of the neoclassical breakthrough there appeared a small number of devoted NIE specialists who were preoccupied by self-legitimation, understandably so, writing promotion-style papers and initiating basic courses to introduce the school rather than initiating pioneering research projects. They were surrounded by a broad belt of 14 symphatizers, fellow-travellers (coming from other institutionalist tendencies, even outside economics) who protect but also loosen up the paradigm. Indeed, speculative institutionalism has remained the main genre of economic research although speculation became less and less tantamount to analytic imprecision, shaky realism, wishful thinking and self-censorship imprinted in reformist thought under communism. The “role model” of the older generations of economists throughout the region, Janos Kornai who has superseded most of his colleagues in systematic description and accurate analysis, opened up, albeit in his proverbially cautious manner, toward Western institutionalist paradigms at the turn of the 1980s and 1990s. By and large, he borrowed from both ORDO and NIE, less instinctively than before, and paid a great deal of attention to non-subscribing to any of them wholeheartedly. In words, he has kept equal distance to them until now, in deeds, however, especially as far as the choice of methodology is concerned, he showed propensity for using verbal/historical schemes and modelling whole systems instead of testing established NIE models or inventing new ones in the world of the post-communist transformation.18 This overall refinement in institutionalist research was less of an imported than homegrown nature, it was due to an endogeneous “cleaning process”, stemming from the fall of the ideological walls of reformism, rather than to learning from the Western colleagues.19 Apparently, this image differs in substance from the one formed by the extraterrestrial observer. In terms of the present configuration of collective actors, the case studies shed light on changes in traditional institutionalist research programs, and NIE is also seriously reckoned with. Loci of encounters The studies offer a large variety of places/occasions, in/at which Eastern European economists have been meeting “the West”. The massive inflow of scientific ideas in- and outside institutionalism reflected an unequal exchange insofar as, on the whole, the local partner was not able to “pay” for the import commodities with a sufficient amount of domestic products of similar value/quality. However, the fact that the power relations between the exporter and the importer were clearly asymmetric (in particular, in mainstream economics) did not mobilize the conventional tropes of cultural imperialism in the minds of the interviewees. On the contrary, they remembered events that demonstrate a low grade of Westernization in their own professional career with some sense of shame. They spoke of self-Westernization rather than Westernization to emphasize the intentionality of the process. Most of them regarded selfWesternization as a mission: it is them who wanted to take over Western ideas; in other words, they invited the West instead of being occupied by it. Consequently, they regard the diffusion of economic science from the West with satisfaction instead of suffering from exclusion and depreciation. According to their narratives, the loci of encounters were primarily determined by them (under local political and/or financial constraints, of course) instead of being forced by the Western partners onto them. The encounters were therefore not spontaneous: to exaggerate a little in the style of the older respondents, the East picked and chose from the Western menu, following its own scientific 18 19 15 taste. It was not a “take it or leave it” situation; one could borrow the “good” West while leaving the “bad” one in the shop of foreign ideas, as one of my interviewees remarked20. In that imaginary shop the commodities were often earmarked with a country or city name: German social liberalism, Austrian economics, French theory of regulation, Chicago School, etc. The respondents were referring to this diversity rather frequently, thereby challenging that the encounters would represent an essentially two-person game: the East meets the West.21 This geographical challenge led the respondents living under the more liberal communist regimes to recalling quite a few events (study trips, conferences, guest-professorships, etc.) – all serving as an evidence for the multitude of the loci of cultural encounters already back in the 1960/70s. In contrast to the thesis of self-Westernization, these memories reveal the accidental nature of some of the early encounters and the rigidities of the later ones, especially in the pre-1989 period. Initially, personal ties, common nationality, even a blank letter of invitation to a conference could lay the foundations for a long-time scientific cooperation with the Western partner.22 Frequently, the Eastern European scholar entered that particular room in the imposing building of Western economic thought, the door of which was first opened for him/her by the partner. (A Polish interviewee mentions the Ford Fellowships in this context.) In the lack of alternative encounters and rivalry for his/her mind, this kind of initiation may have had lasting consequences. (For one of my interlocutors from the middle generation, it was the mere view of the abundance of books on NIE in an open-shelf library of a state university in the US that gave the last push to engaging in that subdiscipline.23) This circumstance becomes telling in a comparison with the members of the younger generations who have had the privilege to face the entire academic market (both the market of ideas and the labor market, including the market for higher education) in the West. Although in their case once-for-all enchantment is less frequent24 and one particular locus is not so decisive, the younger respondents did refer to major influences exerted by their Western professors as well as their first co-authors, project partners, etc. surprisingly often. Today, many of these Western professors, co-authors and project partners can also be encountered in the capitals of the region (for instance, in CERGE, CASE and the CEU, or in a joint EU research project managed by an old Academy of Sciences institute). To complicate the issue, the Western professor can actually be a repatriate or an Easterner who was educated in the West. There he/she may have been taught by an Easterner, or, vice versa, the professor may be a Pole teaching a Czech student, say, standard macroeconomics at the Moscow University. Hence, the geographical place of the encounter has become relativized. What really matters is the intellectual origin of the given cultural good, whereas the national origin of the person by whom (or the place in which) it is transmitted is of secondary importance. (Cf. the large network of CASE in the ex-Soviet republics, or the Russian NIE textbook at the Sofia University.) Nevertheless, the “mass exodus” by students to the West in our days demonstrates that the direction of cultural importation did not change substantially. More importantly, the interviews suggest that higher education has become the primary locus of encounters. Maybe, the number of joint East-West projects in economic research, as well as of study trips by Eastern European scholars, has grown nearly at the same pace as that of the attendance of foreign universities by students from the region during the past two decades but their net intellectual impact dwarfs by the formative experiences gained in the course of university education. Probably, it is only the longer guest professorships (or research stays) that compete with higher learning in terms of the intensity of appropriation of scholarly cultures. In other words, scientific coexistence matter as 20 21 22 23 24 16 much as the openness of “young brains” if it comes to cultural exchange. (As mentioned above, the thousands of encounters that take place in economic practice, where the scholar puts on the hat of the advisor, are not dealt with in this study.25) The distribution of the Western places mentioned in the interviews show a peculiar balance between Europe and America. In contrast to my expectations, neither a special attraction by German scholarship (e.g., Freiburg or Marburg, i.e., centers of ORDO liberalism) nor the dominance of the NIE strongholds (George Mason University, University of Texas, Washington University, St. Louis, etc.) are noticeable. With the exception of the ex-Yugoslav colleagues (and one Bulgarian respondent), just a few of the institutionalist authors in the region were taught/influenced by a prominent Western expert of NIE, and the number of joint projects with them is also very small.26 As a rule, the local experts interested in institutional economics met second-rate members of the school (e.g., in the framework of training programs, summer schools, etc.), and encountered the top scholars in the subdiscipline at international conferences or guest lectures delivered by them in the region.27 As mentioned above, the encounter need not be physical; cultural imports take place in a much larger quantity and higher quality “spiritually”, in reading a journal article or a book without meeting their authors in person. The interview narratives as well as the references in the literature reviews and the university syllabi display a virtual reading list, in which Friedrich Hayek is on the top followed by leading American scholars (many of them Nobel Prize winners) such as James Buchanan, Ronald Coase, and Douglass North whereas the names of ORDO liberals like Walter Eucken and Wilhelm Röpke are hardly ever cited. At the same time, Alchian, Demsetz, Furubotn, Olson, Pejovich, Williamson and others also pop up in the interviews. It goes without saying that such rankings are affected by intellectual fashions, scientific prestige and the contingencies of publishing. Reading original texts is a rare exception, as Franicevic remarks “textbooks are the main locus of encounter”. Although important readings can be identified by means of solitary detective work, they are usually suggested to the scholar by other members of the research community. Certain research and education institutions provide a larger room for cultural encounters than others (in no necessary correlation with the size of the institution). Also, with the same openness for cultural exchange, different institutions mediate/promote different encounters. In the international universities of the Eastern European capitals, for example, the frequency and depth of physical encounters with Western scholars are by definition greater than in the national ones, and currently it is more likely that the Belgrade University will host a NIE-type course while in the German-language Andrássy University in Budapest, ORDO will be preferred by the professors.28 Components of the encounters What are those elements of scientific culture, which have been offered by the local economists for transnational exchange in institutionalist research or received by them through that exchange during the past two decades? If we had decided to examine in depth also the sociology of knowledge-type aspects of the encounters, we could find quite a few elements in the interviews, which demonstrate the takeover of publication patterns, career routes or ways of research organization (cf. the Croatian and Hungarian case studies). I seriously doubt, however, that these would include a single case of cultural transfer from the East to the West. Probably, the same 25 26 27 28 17 applies to the inherent scholarly attributes. In the lack of mirror interviews, it is hard to know whether or not Western scholars could make use of the research hypotheses, methods and results growing out of the tradition of speculative institutionalism, or – recently -- of an almost nonexistent East-West dialogue within the NIE paradigm. In any event, the Eastern European respondents seem extremely uncertain about the impact of the local profession upon economic sciences as a whole in the West. “We are still in the phase of imitation”, as one of them stated with some indignation in his voice29. In Hungary, under the pressure of the closing question on mutual learning, there were only two interviewees who mentioned, with full conviction, the name of Janos Kornai and his works on the post-communist transformation as “export goods”30. Typically, our interlocutors talked, in a self-critical fashion, about data gathering (i.e., empirical studies) and the adjustment of a small number of models borrowed from the West as the main contribution of the local research community to the development of new institutional economics at the moment.31 The literature review provides the same modest picture showing rather few and rather small indigenous discoveries in and around NIE. It may well be, however, that authentic ideas/models of universal importance are already hiding in an unpublished PhD dissertation written by a young Slovene or Bulgarian expert in a foreign university, or in a paper submitted to a leading English-language journal of the profession (e.g. the Journal of Law and Economics or The Journal of Institutional and Theoretical Economics). The choice of those scholarly components, which are taken over by institutionalist experts in the region from the West in the course of the cultural encounters is considerably larger (though not as large as we originally expected). Undoubtedly, learning the know-how of writing a research proposal, designing and testing a mathematical model, or structuring a scientific paper can be rather tedious. Interestingly enough, on the whole the respondents did not have reservations about abstract-analytical components of the NIE models per se. Nonetheless, some of them found the models they borrowed still too sterile, verbally simplistic, i.e., being almost as “far from our real world” as neoclassical models are normally.32 Obviously, the old idea of a specific “Central European wisdom”, based on both the ironic complexity of the region’s history and a traditional all-social-science approach developed in the region to understand that complexity, has not vanished entirely. That is what Avramov aptly calls “old institutionalist imperialism” that applies the logic of social sciences to economics. The respondents also contended that an exciting research question that cannot be proved yet, may be worth more than an impeccable standard model built around a boring problem. “We hated the ‘garbage in – garbage out’ schemes already in the Stalinist political economy, didn’t we?”, asked one of my interviewees.33 Preciseness, even if coupled with complex mathematical procedures cannot substitute for “real” relevance. I could almost grasp the tacit wish of some of my interlocutors: “lend us the basic concepts of NIE and let us bother about their application”. In the project’s language that would mean a selective appropriation of a cultural package. The respondents (above all those belonging to the older generations) tended to assume that they can open the package of new institutional economics and choose one or two notions from it. Moreover, in the case of the selected notions they thought they would have an opportunity to contract, expand, recombine or reinterpret them at will. According to their narrative, what they really wanted to have were the subdiscipline’s fundamental notions such as transaction costs, principals and agents, property rights regimes, social cost, rent seeking, etc., that is, the basic raw 29 30 31 32 33 18 materials, and were convinced that they would be able to process them, especially if it comes to research on their own economy, at least as finely as their Western colleagues do. The literature reviews show a similar picture: one can hardly find one-to-one transfers in the articles, the borrowed models are frequently transformed (often simplified even dulled and, occasionally, totally distorted) while being transferred.34 The university curricula tend to suffer from the usual dichotomy: they include some of the classical fields of NIE on the one hand, and (what is partly overlapping) present the recent Nobel Prize winners of the school on the other.35 Meanwhile, most of them disregard the burning question of how NIE could contribute to the understanding of communist and post-communist economies. Sequences of cultural encounters What kind(s) of cultural dynamics can one expect to unfold from the interplay of actors in the above structure of encounters? The case studies demonstrate a rather uniform sequence, ironically, however, with a great variety of outcomes. When asked about the first encounters with the West, the interviewees recall their preliminary expectations as a blend of benevolence, ignorance and fear from inferiority. The first surprises/shocks were due to that mixed attitude. As regards the world of economic ideas, the older respondents clearly remember an intense admiration of the methodological rigor (axiomatic approach, meticulous testing, etc.) and objectivity of their Western partners as well as the instinctive reservations they felt over methodological individualism, the models of high abstraction, the concept of pure rationality, etc. While during the 1960s and 1970s, the members of the older generations of experts (the “pioneers”) were more ignorant about economic science in the West than their younger colleagues later, they were more skeptical as well, and also less fearful. They still trusted in some sort of convergence between communism and capitalism (and between their political economies), cast doubts upon the universal nature of Western theories36, and were convinced that they enter the joint venture with a precious asset, the science of “real” planning. Thus, the “I have never thought that I am so uneducated”-type surprise was partly compensated by the certitude of “I know something they don’t ”. This conviction was complemented by presuming other intellectual advantages that range from historical awareness, through skills in multi-disciplinary studies to greater realism in economic thinking. The members of the younger generations of Eastern European economists, however, who met Western economic sciences during the 1980s and 1990s, knew them much better, and converted the utopia of convergence into the much less self-confident program of catching-up. Meanwhile, they feared from getting stuck in the inferior state of a junior partner for a lengthy period, who copies/applies Western scientific models and, in exchange, delivers empirical data to the West. Hence, the older specialists experienced a whole series of surprises in the beginning, I mean, surprises that basically stemmed from ignorance, and the shock(s) came later, parallelly with the fading of the scholarly interest of the Western colleagues in their (instinctive, speculative) institutionalist achievements in reforming central planning. No matter if the reforms aimed at the optimization of the planning procedures or at combining them with the market, the representatives of both reformist schools (ironically, the “plan doctors” and the “reform mongers”37) complain that they suffered from exclusion and marginalization after 1989 the latest. 34 35 36 37 19 They were not listened to and/or left out from important scientific encounters with the West, and neglected or ignored by the rapidly solidifying “domestic West”, dominated by the “neophytes”, as they say, among their younger colleagues. The coping strategies have changed accordingly. The initial surprises resulted in a great variety of adjustment techniques, rather pro-active ones, which aimed at a gradual and selective incorporation of Western ideas while hardly anything happened in adapting the sociological conditions of science to Western standards. “We were sitting in our offices in the Academy of Sciences institute, reading a lot, writing one unreasonably long, politically loaded paper every three year, and did not really care for publishing it”, said one of my interlocutors38. Despite conscientious learning during the period between the mid-1960s and the mid-1980s, the half ameliorist – half oppositionist core of the research program of the pioneers proved to be a vast obstacle at the end of the 1980s when the objective of improving real socialism lost its remaining legitimacy. In their case, the ensuing successive marginalization could lead to a sort of intellectual paralysis, passive resistance, a petering out of the Westernizing fervor, a “leben und leben lassen” attitude or even resentment producing mildly anti-Western attitudes. The least one can say is that in the long run no obsessive adjustment to the West can be observed in this group. With time, it is rather a passive combination of indigenous and foreign research methods, and a natural slowdown of innovation that characterize the oeuvre of the older generations. The fact that the radicals among the reformers had an opportunity to continue promulgating reformist ideas as “transformers” after 1989 both in the government and in the organization of academic life, largely contributed to the peacefulness of this cultural compromise. The narratives of their younger colleagues display a different kind of adaptation strategy but a rather similar compromise. Their initial Westernizing fervor was largely home-made, that is, it was due to what they called a “wishy-washy” takeover of Western economic ideas by the pioneers, including the speculativeness of the dominant institutionalist research programs. As a rule, the younger scholars were not so much surprised by the richness of economic sciences in the West, or by the way in which their institutions operate, as by the fact of their own insignificance in the international market of ideas.39 An important – sociological – difference that may explain this attitude is that they usually met the West at an early stage of their scholarly career, typically as graduate students, who did not receive the same respect in the Western academia as their predecessors (whom they thought to have overtaken in the meantime) had received. In addition, they were/are exposed to global competition, and -- in contrast to the older colleagues -- they cannot withdraw behind the Iron Curtain any longer to feature as “local heroes” there. Although, unlike their predecessors, they did not put faith in making universal discoveries on the basis of communist planning or market socialism, they also trusted in some value of their specific empirical knowledge gathered under late communism and the post-communist transformation. According to a widespread view in the 1980s and 1990s, the coupling of that knowledge with a general devotion to Western scholarship (essentially, to the neoclassical paradigm) would be the winning combination; a devotion that is possibly not too rigid in terms of methodology but, at the same time, less permissive than the “pick and choose” mentality of the older colleagues. Thus, they did not completely renounce the beliefs of the pioneers in the (exotic) uniqueness of economic thought produced by the communist and post-communist world. The illusion of a specific -- Eastern European -- ability to make scientific discoveries begins to backfire in our days when the novelty of the post-communist transformation is petering out, and 38 39 20 the great inventions based on the “Great Transformation”, including institutionalist discoveries, are hardly to be seen. The ex-communist economies are becoming “boringly normal”, and the younger generations have to decide whether they want to adjust to the “grayness”. In any event, insisting on the thesis of exoticism/exceptionalism may also be derived from the vested interests of the majority of the research community. To the satisfaction of the pioneers (they hardly conceal their gloat in the interviews), their younger colleagues have eventually arrived at the same crossroads: either they make further steps in the dead-end street of “Eastern exceptionalism” or put up with the “universal boredom” of economic sciences all over the world. “What you call boredom is of much higher scientific quality than the one you have ever achieved”, the members of the new generations respond angrily. However, with quite a few of them, this response has by now got permeated by slight doubts about the excellence of economic thought in the West. Skepticism may stem from the fact that, although the massive inflow of Western economic ideas, including institutionalist ones, helped comprehend and control quite a few processes of the post-communist transformation, it has not resulted yet in a coherent set of research hypotheses concerning the new economic order. On top of it, the takeover of Western ideas did not offer the younger economists either as prestigious (heroic) social roles in their own countries as the ones played by their predecessors some time ago, or a more profound scholarly emancipation in the West. All in all, the strategies of coping with the unpleasant surprises seem to have led in both generational groups to a selective reception of Western ideas, a combination of imported knowledge with the local one, to processing and reprocessing. With learning, the intellectual surprises receded, which did not exclude greater personal culture shocks occasionally. As a rule, however, the surprises were not followed by heated and lasting conflicts between the two worlds of ideas. Instead of culture wars one sees unilateral adjustment (by the East) up to a point, in Hirschman’s terms, weak voice and rare exit. Although peace is not unconditional and eternal, utopian expectations that usually serve as sources of conflict slowly disappear, as do frustrations in their wake. Since the early 1960s, neither Eastern exceptionalism nor an uncritical emulation of the West have ever been all-exclusive options in Eastern European economic thought but the cultural compromises between them have changed considerably. If one examines the sequences of adaptation in terms of old versus new institutionalism, then the lack of harsh cultural conflicts between the East and the West become even more transparent. For the radicals among the pioneers, an elegant switch from the world of the socialist market economy to that of the social market economy (i.e., a switch between two types of old institutionalism) did not cause enormous intellectual pains. Those of them who were well versed in mathematical analysis, even a next step leading to new institutional economics, was feasible. Ironically, for their younger colleagues it has been almost equally difficult to reach NIE. They came too late to be enchanted by Hayek, Eucken and others and probably too early to consider NIE as the greatest attraction. In their scholarly development, the formative experience was the neoclassical breakthrough that has continued to promise them exciting and lucrative expeditions to the unknown. To cite a Hungarian respondent, “If the neoclassical paradigm is a cage, it is a very large and beautifully equipped one”.40 40 21 „Irregularities” To sum up, the East-West encounters in new institutional economics display a great number of peculiar traits, that is, irregularities as compared to a simplistic scheme consisting of two actors of different cultural assets and a linear sequence leading the Eastern actor from his/her preliminary expectations, through the first surprise/friction/conflict and the process of coping with them, to the final cultural compromise. The case studies demonstrate a multiple locality of the encounters within the individual countries (not to speak of the whole region). Different encounters or different phases of the encounters unfold at different places often simultaneously, mobilizing different subsets of actors. Place can also be a relatively neutral, virtual and even almost irrelevant factor. A case with multiple locality provides the actors with the possibility of learning from each other and with a larger selection of roles in cultural exchange, that is, with more flexibility to pursue ambiguous strategies of cultural adaptation, represent hybrid solutions, even to simulate adjustment (or non-adjustment). As to the time frame, important processes of cultural exchange may have taken place before the case came into being. Preliminary adjustment may in turn determine even the final outcome of the cultural encounter in advance. The encounter may include different activities performed by different actors at same time. In other words, diachronic and synchronic developments may alternate, upsetting any linear sequence that would connect the initial recognition of cultural difference with a final compromise. Similarly, time is not “even”: normally, encounters have large gaps and dense intervals, and sometimes move in cycles. The point at which a given encounter seems to end may be just a break in the sequence or a beginning of a new cycle. As regards the main actors, the case studies display a large diversity of configurations, much larger than expected. The foreign and indigenous actors are not separated by a Chinese Wall (local advisors, assistants, cultural brokers, repatriates, etc.) The main actors may change phase by phase or place by place of the encounter, while learning from each other in their own group as well. The partners can also be virtual/imagined but actual coexistence and a community of interests matter. Occasional meetings and “remote control” may result in rigid frontlines and simulation while cohabitation helps forge actual compromises. From among the usual sociological indicators (profession, age, sex, locality, etc.), it is the age and the previous experience of the actor gained in the realm of the partner which shape the encounter the most. The learning and adjustment process may get stuck or derail, the partners can skip certain stages, starting new cycles, etc. The expectations can be high and low, negative and positive, the conflicts can be soft and hard, the partners can be passive and pro-active, the coping strategies can be instinctive and conscious, the conflict resolution can be spontaneous and mediated/institutionalized, etc, not to speak of a great number of intermediary types. The case studies reveal many more irregular sequences and also more spontaneity than originally expected. The initial expectations can be extremely fragmented and/or do not inevitably conflict with the first experiences in the course of the encounter (say, the West meets the “most Westernized East”). If nonetheless a cultural gap emerges, and coping strategies are formulated (instead of sheer improvization) then the gap will not necessarily disappear forever after a compromise was found. Anyway, the compromises are shaky and renegotiable, simulated solutions and relapses may occur rather often. The instability of the compromises notwithstanding, most of the sequences of cultural adjustment point to a partial convergence of economic cultures between East and West. For us the fact of convergence was no original discovery. The same applies to its partial nature. Among 22 our working hypotheses, hybridization, that is, limited convergence has always had a prominent place. However, hybridization may have many faces, and we were interested precisely in the differences between the hybrid types. We have hardly met fierce conflicts (“clashes of civilizations”) between the partners, and lasting difficulties with no hope for improvement. Yet, even if one witnesses voluntary takeover rather than imposition, the adaptation processes are lengthy. Returning to the real world of NIE’s reception in Eastern Europe, the following „irregularities” could be discerned (following the above logic): 1.) By and large, the place of encounters proves to be neutral as far as the individual countries or subregions (East-Central Europe and South-Eastern Europe) and the virtual character of the exchange of ideas are concerned. 2.) Adjustment is a one-way street (it rests on imitation and recombination rather than invention) but it has its own limits. At its Eastern end, the local actors hardly learn from each other across the country line. 3.) Open resistance and dedicated emulation are rare, eclectic and simulated adaptation is fairly frequent. 4.) Preliminary adjustment is crucial, diachronic processes are typical, the period of highintensity encounters is followed by stagnation with a slight hope for a new upswing. 5.) The cast of main actors changes a few times in the course of the encounters. 6.) The encounters are basically geared by „remote control”, actually, a rather weak one challenged by powerful local pressure in- an outside the academia. With the consolidation of the economic profession, the configuration of the agents of mediation has changed substantially. 7.) The age of the actors is a highly relevant parameter, especially due to the fact that the adjustment process took new dimensions in 1989. 8.) Similar sequences of adjustment lead to different outcomes. 9.) Part of the initial expectations (suspicions, stereotypes) survive even after the compromise has been forged. Deviations from the compromise are just mildly punished. 10.) For the time being, the emerging compromise seems to be closer to the Eastern point of departure (old institutionalism) but a parallel compromise, the takeover of the neoclassical school is rather near to the Western one. Supported by the neoclassical constituents of new institutional economics, the NIE hybrid may „go West” in the future, and the current encapsulation may turn into a new opening. 11.) The chance for a smooth evolution from old to new institutionalism has not been exploited. The old epistemic community began to disintegrate but remained strong enough to prevent the consolidation of a new one. Its strategy was involuntarily assisted by the fading interest of NIE’s Western core in the development of the schools at the periphery and by the suspicion felt by the potential local ally. The strength of the first push evaporated, and the outcome of the stagnation (silent accumulation?) is uncertain at the moment. 23 On the outcomes of encounters: understanding cultural hybrids For the time being, the case studies are rather far from offering a meaningful typology of the emerging cultural compromises. The following preliminary types rest as much on thought experiments as on a rough analysis of the studies. It seems, however, clear already at this point that one cannot expect to arrive at an extremely asymmetric dual scheme, on the one side of which, we would see a small homogeneous group of specialists devoted to new institutional economics, while on the other a vast number of economists of neutral or even hostile persuasions would throng. I hope the following metaphoric designations (originating to a large extent in my case study on Hungary) will contribute to constructing a more sophisticated typology featuring also other mixed cases (the list displays no ranking order). Refuge seekers. They “escape into” NIE from textbook Marxism and moderate reformism (or, for that matter, from structuralism) as half-converts („we always have been institutionalists in a sense“); resist the neoclassical theory by accusing it of formalism, lack of social relevance, excessive trust in rational choice, legitimizing neoliberal policies, etc.; are not familiar with its mathematical methods; interpret/distort and teach rather than develop the subdiscipline; may use NIE in its diluted (quasi-liberal) form as a cover discourse to prove innovative spirit and survive in the academia; a group that has become rather small by now. Intransigent verbalists. Arriving from the camp of (radical) reform economists, they improve the research program of speculative institutionalism; borrow some of the core concepts of NIE (or the shells of these concepts) for the sake of description and explanation; have mild reservations about the neoclassical paradigm; may understand the mathematical gist of its models but do not engage in building them; their choice is to be explained by intellectual inertia and taste rather than hostility toward NIE; use NIE rhetoric against the Washington Consensus; still constitute the majority of the institutionalist research community in Eastern Europe. While the refuge seekers simulate adjustment, the verbalists may resist adaptation openly. ORDO rearguard. This tiny group consists of a.) former reform economists who continue to trust in the pragmatic concept of Soziale Marktwirtschaft but ignore ORDO’s (neo)liberal message; b.) scholars who subscribe to the Christian-Socialist interpretation of the school and also ignore the (neo)liberal message; c.) evolutionary economists who embark upon a Hayekian extension of ORDO41; with the exception of the latter, they do not overlap with NIE and acknowledge its methodological virtues. Indifferent “mainstreamers”. A large group of neoclassical economists, emerging as a research community in the 1990s, overwhelmingly young and middle-aged experts, who are immersed in (teaching) their own discipline; are happy to swim in the mainstream; watch NIE as a “little brother” with some condescension or disinterest/ignorance, not to mention the suspicion of logical impurity due to its closeness to the real world and other institutionalist traditions; they may become a reservoir of the next type in the future. At the moment, they keep a distance to the whole game of adjustment played by NIE. Pragmatists (practical institutionalists). They are also neoclassical experts, ready to experiment with NIE models without scurples; their number is growing in government and business organizations (in particular, in the advisory boards and analytical departments of these); applying existing models is their main contribution but the experiments may well result in scientific discoveries, too. 41 24 “Neophytes”. A name given both by old institutionalists and neoclassical theorists to a small group of dedicated followers of new institutional economics; they do not rebel against the “imperialism of the mainstream” but would feel uneasy if they had to work with models of very high abstraction; are in close contact with new classical liberals working in other social sciences as well as with moderate neoclassical economists; in their case, the task of establishing and protecting the identity of the school in the region may take away energy from innovation within the subdiscipline. Transdisciplinary supporters/challengers. As doing institutionalist research is no privilege of the economists, and as the post-communist transformation inspires economic sociologists, economic historians and experts of law and economics 42 to take part in the discussion on privatization, liberalization, etc., several NIE concepts such as property rights, networks, hierarchies, social capital, path dependency, etc. have also appeared on the scene of East-West encounters in their interpretation. As regards methodology, they often remind the observer of the innovative wing of the “verbalists”. Potential synthesizers. This is a small group of middle-aged economists who came from the vicinity of radical reform economists but missed logical precision and empirical depth in the research programs of the leading reformers, and found many of their institutionalist concepts parochial, speculative and politically ambiguous. In learning the neoclassical paradigm during their thirties, they did not cease to be interested in the institutional aspects of the post-communist transformation (e.g., capital and labor markets) and lose their ability to make verbal analysis in a multi-disciplinary context either. Their neoclassical-style research projects are not devoid of NIE concepts but whether or not these concepts will find a privileged place in their scientific work is yet to be seen.43 Western “free riders”. The designation is probably too provocative. I think of those neoclassical or new institutional scholars in the West who fill the market niche emerging as a result of the imperfections of the work of the local NIE specialists. Rather often, the division of labor is still traditional: to put it simply, the Westerners bring theoretical skills and bargaining power in the academic market while their Eastern European colleagues deliver data, local knowledge and “exoticism” needed to justify the project. The usual caveat applies: if filled up with names, the above typology would become more nuanced, yielding a few additional types, especially if we apply a muddling-through (improvization, bricolage) hypothesis to the reception of new institutional economics in the region. Also, one can be persuaded to abandon any attempt at classification. The latter alternative would rely on a pessimistic view of the current state of economic sciences in Eastern Europe, to which I alluded already on the introductory pages of this paper. Accordingly, the economic profession is confronted with a situation, in which practically any theory can melt into another without special difficulty. If that became the basic instinct of the local experts, repressing their institutionalist propensities, it would be too easy to write papers on current intellectual history of economic sciences in the region. But would it then make any sense to deal with current history any longer? 42 43