Annex 8.1.4: Public-Private Partnerships for Neglected Diseases Opportunities to address pharmaceutical gaps for neglected diseases Priority Medicines For Europe and the World "A Public Health Approach to Innovation" Background Paper for Review Public-Private Partnerships for Neglected Diseases: Opportunities to address pharmaceutical gaps for neglected diseases A summary of the AIDS Pandemic by Geographical Region By Elizabeth Ziemba, JD, MPH 5 August 2004 Please send comments to: Elizabeth Ziemba: E.Ziemba@comcast.net Dr Richard Laing: laingr@who.int 8.1.4-1 Annex 8.1.4: Public-Private Partnerships for Neglected Diseases Opportunities to address pharmaceutical gaps for neglected diseases A summary of the AIDS Pandemic by Geographical Region From the IAVI website, http://www.iavi.org/need/aboutepidemic.asp, accessed 26 May 2004. The human toll of AIDS is staggering • At the end 2003, UNAIDS estimates that more than 40 million men, women and children worldwide are living with AIDS or HIV, the virus that causes AIDS. • From the first case recorded in June 1981 through the end of 2002, more than 20 million people have died of AIDS. Although there are powerful medicines now available to treat HIV infection, these drugs are not cures, and they remain out of the reach of most of those who could benefit from them. • Counting both those who have died and those currently living with the virus, in the past two decades more than 60 million people have been infected. HIV's spread shows no signs of slowing • In 2003, 5 million people were newly infected with HIV. There were an estimated 14,000 new infections daily, or nearly 600 infections every hour every day. • More than 95% of new infections are occurring in developing countries. • Best current projections suggest that tens of millions more people will become infected with HIV by the end of the decade, mostly in developing countries—unless the world succeeds in mounting a drastically expanded, global prevention effort. While southern Africa is hardest hit, large scale epidemics are emerging elsewhere Asia and the Pacific 7.4 million 1.0 million adults and children are living with HIV of these HIV infections occurred in 2003 India's national adult HIV prevalence rate of less than 1% offers little indication of the serious situation facing the country. An estimated 4 million people were living with HIV at the end of 2003—the secondhighest figure in the world, after South Africa. New behavioral data suggest that prevention efforts directed at specific populations, such as female sex workers and injecting drug users, are paying dividends in some states, in the form of higher HIV/AIDS knowledge levels and condom use. However, HIV prevalence among these key groups continues to increase in some states, underlining the need for well-planned and sustained interventions on a large scale. There remains considerable potential for the epidemic to grow in India. HIV/AIDS in China shows no signs of abating. Official estimates put the number of people living with HIV in China at 1 million. Unless effective responses rapidly take hold, a total of 10 million Chinese will have acquired HIV by the end of this decade—a number equivalent to the entire population of Belgium. 8.1.4-2 Annex 8.1.4: Public-Private Partnerships for Neglected Diseases Opportunities to address pharmaceutical gaps for neglected diseases Eastern Europe and Central Asia 1.5 million 230,000 of adults and children are living with HIV/AIDS these infections occurred in 2003 SubSaharan Africa 26.6 million 3.2 million adults and children are living with HIV/AIDS of these infections occurred in 2003 Although still in its early stages, the epidemic in Eastern Europe and Central Asia is advancing rapidly. In recent years, the Russian Federation has experienced an exceptionally steep rise in reported HIV infections. In less than eight years, HIV/AIDS epidemics have been discovered in most major cities and almost all regions. Most of the registered infections have been attributed officially to injecting drug use, reflecting the fact that young people face high risks of HIV infection as occasional or regular drug injectors. By far the most affected region, sub-Saharan Africa is now home to two-thirds of the worldwide HIV/AIDS caseload. The worst of the epidemic clearly has not yet passed, even where rampant epidemics are under way. In some southern African countries, national adult HIV prevalence has risen higher than thought possible, nearing 40%. A tiny fraction of the millions of Africans who are living with HIV and in need of treatment are receiving it, be it antiretroviral medicines to slow HIV's progression to AIDS or other drugs that can care for the opportunistic illnesses that people with HIV develop because their immune systems are compromised. About twice as many young women as men are infected in sub-Saharan Africa. Ignorance about sexual and reproductive health is widespread among young women. In countries with generalized epidemics, majorities of women age 15–24 have been shown to lack sufficient knowledge about HIV/AIDS. Additionally, the combination of women's economic dependence on and social subordination to men can make it very difficult for girls and women to demand safer sex, even from their husbands, or to end relationships that carry the threat of infection. Millions of people are at risk of starvation in six sub-Saharan African countries. Where the lack of access to affordable food is greatest, the prevalence of HIV is also alarmingly high. Latin America and the Caribbean of these infections occurred in 2003 Twelve countries in this region have an estimated HIV prevalence of 1% or more. In several Caribbean countries, adult HIV prevalence rates are surpassed only by the rates experienced in sub-Saharan Africa— making this the second most affected region in the world. Middle East 600,000 adults 55,000 of and children are these infections and North living with occurred in 2003 Africa HIV/AIDS Systematic surveillance remains inadequate, making it very difficult to deduce accurate trends. It is possible that hidden epidemics could be spreading in this region. Highincome countries While HIV/AIDS was once considered a "white gay man's disease," a larger proportion of new HIV diagnoses in several Western European countries is occurring through heterosexual intercourse. For example, more than half of the new HIV infections diagnosed in the UK in 2001 resulted from heterosexual sex, compared with 33% of new infections in 1998. (Western Europe, North America, Australia, New Zealand and Japan) 2.0 million adults and children are living with HIV/AIDS 1.6 million adults and children are living with HIV/AIDS 200,000 80,000 of these infections occurred in 2003 In the US, latest available data show that the epidemic's shift into poorer sections of society is continuing. African-Americans accounted for an estimated half of new HIV infections in 2003, but constitute only 12% of the population. 8.1.4-3