Societal-Environmental Research & Education (SERE) Lab Publications
Interim Report
1 July 2007
TOTALS: Refereed, 54; non-refereed, 34 = 88
With university co-authors: 26
With external co-authors: 27
NCAR only authors: 36
Bold = university;
* = non-NCAR, non-university
Refereed
Barlow, M., *H. Cullen, *B. Lyon, and O. Wilhelmi, 2006: Drought disaster in Asia. Chapter in
Natural Disaster Hotspots Case Studies (*M. Arnold et al., eds.). Washington, DC: World
Bank Publications, 1 –19.
Barsanti, K.C., W. Luo, L.M. Isabelle, J.F. Pankow , and H.H. Peyton, 2007: Tobacco smoke particulate matter chemistry by NMR. Magnetic Resonance in Chemistry , 45 (2), 167 –170.
Barsanti, K.C., and J.F. Pankow , 2007: Thermodynamics of the formation of atmospheric organic particulate matter by accretion reactions – Part 3: Carboxylic and dicarboxylic acids.
Atmospheric Environment, 40 (34), 6676 –6686.
Barthe, C., *J.-P. Pinty, and *C. Mari, 2007: Lightning-produced NOx in an explicit electrical scheme tested in a Stratosphere-Troposphere Experiment: Radiation, Aerosols, and
Ozone case study. Journal of Geophysical Research, 112 , D04302, doi:10.1029/2006JD007402.
Barthe, C., and *J.P. Pinty, 2007: Simulation of a supercellular storm using a three-dimensional mesoscale model with an explicit lightning flash scheme. Journal of Geophysical
Research, 112 , D06210, doi:10.1029/2006JD007484.
Borbor-Cordova, M. et al., 2006: Nitrogen and phosphorus budget for a tropical watershed impacted by agricultural land use in Guayas, Ecuador. In: Nitrogen Cycling in the
Americas: Natural and Anthropogenic Influences and Controls (L. Martinelli and R.
Howarth, eds.). New York: Springer, 135 –161.
Bulkeley, H.
and S.C. Moser, 2007: Responding to climate change: Governance and social action beyond Kyoto. (Special issue on “Responding to climate change: Governance and social action beyond Kyoto, ” H. Bulkeley and S.C. Moser, eds.) Global Environmental
Politics , 7 (2), 1 –10.
*Carter, T., R. Jones et al. (including L.O. Mearns), 2007 : New assessment methods and the characterization of future conditions. Chapter 2 in Climate Change 2007: Impacts,
Adaptation and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to IPCC Fourth
Assessment Report . Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, PAGE NUMBERS.
*Christensen, J., B. Hewitson et al. (including L.O. Mearns), 2007 : Regional climate projections.
Chapter 11 in Climate Change 2007: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of
Working Group I to the Fourth Assessment Report of the IPCC.
Cambridge, UK:
Cambridge University Press.

Corbosiero, K.L., J. Molinari, A.R. Aiyyer , and *M.L. Black, 2006: The structure and evolution of
Hurricane Elena (1985). Part II: Convective asymmetries and evidence for vortex Rossby waves. Monthly Weather Review , 134 (11), 3073 –3091.
Desai, A.R., P.R. Moorcroft, P.V. Bolstad, and K.J. Davis , 2007: Regional carbon fluxes from an observationally constrained dynamic ecosystem model: Impacts of disturbance, CO2 fertilization, and heterogeneous land cover. Journal of Geophysical Research , 112 ,
G01017, doi:10.1029/2006JG000264.
Dilling, L.
and S.C. Moser, 2007: Introduction. In Creating a Climate for Change: Communicating
Climate Change and Facilitating Social Change (S.C. Moser and L. Dilling, eds.).
Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK, 1 –27.
Gattuso, J.-P., B. Gentili, C.M. Duarte, J.A. Kleypas, J.J. Middelburg, and D. Antoine , 2006:
Light availability in the coastal ocean: Impact on the distribution of benthic photosynthetic organisms and their contribution to primary production. Biogeosciences , 3 , 489 –513.
Hacker, J., J. Hansen, J. Berner, Y. Chen, G. Eshel, G. Hakim, S. Lazarus, S. Majumdar, R.
Morss, A. Poje, V. Sheremet, Y. Tang, and C. Webb, 2006: Future scientific directions:
Predictability. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society , 86 , 1733 –1737.
Harriss, R., 2007: An ongoing dialogue on climate change: The Boulder Manifesto. In: In Creating a Climate for Change: Communicating Climate Change and Facilitating Social Change
(S.C. Moser and L. Dilling, eds.). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 485 –
486.
Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) (including S.C. Moser, contributing author),
2007: Coastal systems and low-lying areas. Chapter 6 of Climate Change 2007: Impacts,
Adaptation and Vulnerability, Contribution of Working Group II to IPCC Fourth
Assessment Report.
Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
IPCC Working Group II (including P. Romero-Lankao), 2007: Summary for Policymakers. Climate
Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability.
Contribution to IPCC Fourth
Assessment Report. Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press. 22 pp.
Kelman, I., and J.C. Gaillard , 2007: Disaster diplomacy in Aceh. Humanitarian Exchange , 37 ,
37 –39.
Kelman, I., and *E. Karnes, 2007: Relocalising disaster risk reduction in Boulder, Colorado.
Australian Journal of Emergency Management , 22 (1), 18 –25.
Kelman, I., 2006: Island security and disaster diplomacy in the context of climate change. Les
Cahiers de la Sécurité , 63 , 61 –94.
Kelman, I., *M. Davies, *T. Mitchell, *I. Orr, and *B. Conrich, 2006: Island disaster para-diplomacy in the Commonwealth. The Round Table: Commonwealth Journal of International Affairs ,
95 (386), 561 –574.
Kennedy, J.
, *J. Ashmore, *E. Babister, and I. Kelman, 2007: Post-tsunami transitional settlement and shelter: Field experience from Aceh and Sri Lanka. Humanitarian
Exchange , 37 , 28 –31.
Kleypas, J.A., 2007: Constraints on predicting coral reef response to climate change. Chapter 12 in Geological Approaches to Coral Reef Ecology (R. Aronson, ed.). New York, Springer-
Verlag, 386 –424.

Kleypas, J.A., 2006: Predictions of climate change in the tropical oceans, and how that should shape our conservation efforts. Proceedings of the World Maritime Technology
Conference , held 6 –10 March 2006. London: IMAREST Publications. On CD-ROM,
ISBN 1-902536-54-1.
Kleypas, J.A., and *C.M. Eakin, 2007: Global and regional threats to coral reefs: Results of a survey of coral reef researchers. Bulletin of Marine Science , 80 , 419 –436.
Kleypas, J.A., and *C. Langdon, 2006: Coral reefs and changing seawater carbonate chemistry.
Chapter 5 in Coral Reefs and Climate Change: Science and Management (*J. Phinney,
O. Hoegh-Guldberg, J. Kleypas, W. Skirving, and A. Strong, eds.). Coastal and
Estuarine Studies 61 . Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union, 73 –110.
Kleypas, J.A. (Lead Author); J.-P. Gattuso (Topic Editor), 2006: Coral Reefs, Encyclopedia of
Earth (C.J. Cleveland, ed.). Washington, DC: Environmental Information Coalition,
National Council of Science and Environment. On line at www.eoearth.org/article/Coral_reefs .
Lee, G.W., 2007: Sources of errors in precipitation measurements by polarimetric radar:
Sensitivity of polarimetric parameters to drop deformation. Journal of the Korean
Meteorological Society , 43 , 41 –57.
*Lee, C.K., G.W. Lee, and *K.-E. Kim, 2007: Variability of the raindrop size distributions within a storm. Journal of the Korean Meteorological Society , 43 , 1 –16.
Lei, J., R.G. Roble, W. Wang, B.A. Emery, and S.-R. Zhang , 2007: Electron temperature climatology at Millstone Hill and Arecibo. Journal of Geophysical Research , 112 , A02302, doi:10.1029/2006JA012041.
Lei, J., R.G. Roble, *S. Kawamura, and S. Fukao , 2007: A simulation study of thermospheric neutral winds over the MU radar. Journal of Geophysical Research , 112 , A04303, doi:10.1029/2006JA012038.
Lu, J., G.A. Vecchi, and T. Reichler , 2007: Expansion of the Hadley cell under global warming.
Geophysical Research Letters, 34 , doi:1029/2006GL028443.
McKelvey, R.
, *P.V. Golubtsov,* G. Cripe, and K.A. Miller, 2007: The incomplete information stochastic split-stream model: An overview. In Advances in Fisheries Economics (T.
Bjorndal, D. Gordon, R. Arnason and U.R. Sumalia, eds.). Malden, MA: Blackwell
Publishing.
McNeeley, S. and *O. Huntington, 2007: Postcards from the (not so) frozen North: Talking aobut climate change in Alaska. In: In Creating a Climate for Change: Communicating Climate
Change and Facilitating Social Change (S.C. Moser and L. Dilling, eds.). Cambridge,
UK: Cambridge University Press, 139 –152.
*McPhaden, M.J., *S.E. Zebiak, and M.H. Glantz, 2006: ENSO as an integrating concept in earth science. Science , 314 (5806), 1740 –1745. doi:10.1126/science.1132588.
Miller, K.A., 2007: Climate variability and tropical tuna: Management challenges for highly migratory fish stocks, Marine Policy , 31 (1): 56 –70. doi:10.1016/j.marpol.2006.05.006
.
Miller, K.A., 2007: Fish stew: Uncertainty, conflicting interests and climate regime shifts. In
Advances in Fisheries Economics (T. Bjorndal, D. Gordon, R. Arnason and U.R. Sumalia, eds.). Malden, MA: Blackwell Publishing.

Moreno-Sanchez, R ., M.H. Hayden, C. Janes , and *G. Anderson, 2006: A web-based multimedia spatial information system to document Aedes aegypti breeding sites and dengue fever risk along the US-Mexico border. Health and Place , 12 (4), 715 –727.
Moser, S.C., 2007: More bad news: The risk of neglecting emotional responses to climate change information. In Creating a Climate for Change: Communicating Climate Change and
Facilitating Social Change (S.C. Moser and L. Dilling, eds.). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge
University Press, 64 –80.
Moser, S.C., 2007: In the long shadows of inaction: The quiet building of a climate protection movement in the United States. (Special issue on “Responding to climate change:
Governance and social action beyond Kyoto,” H. Bulkeley and S.C. Moser, eds.) Global
Environmental Politics , 7 (2), 124 –144.
Moser, S.C., and L. Dilling , 2007: Toward the social tipping point: Conclusions. In Creating a
Climate for Change: Communicating Climate Change and Facilitating Social Change
(S.C. Moser and L. Dilling, eds.). Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press, 491 –
516.
Moser, S.C., and L. Dilling , 2007: Creating a Climate for Change: Communicating Climate
Change and Facilitating Social Change . Cambridge, UK: Cambridge University Press.
549 pp.
National Research Council (including R.E. Morss), 2006: Completing the Forecast: Characterizing and Communicating Uncertainty for Better Decisions Using Weather and Climate
Forecasts . Washington, DC: National Academies Press. 124 pp.
NECIA (Northeast Climate Impacts Assessment) Synthesis Team (including S.C. Moser), 2006:
Climate Change in the Northeast . Cambridge, MA: Union of Concerned Scientists.
Available on line at www.climatechoices.org/ne/resources_ne/nereport.html
. 52 pp.
Parsons, E.A.
et al. (including L.O. Mearns), 2007: Global Change Scenarios: Their
Development and Use . Report by the US Climate Change Science Program (CCSP) and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research. Washington, DC: CCSP Product
Development Advisory Committee. 117 pp.
*Phinney, J.T., O. Hoegh-Guldberg, J. Kleypas, *W. Skirving, and *A. Strong (eds.), 2006: Coral
Reefs and Climate Change: Science and Management . Coastal and Estuarine Studies
61 . Washington, DC: American Geophysical Union. 244 pp.
*Sain, S.R., *J. Jagtap, L.O. Mearns, and D. Nychka, 2006: A multivariate spatial model for soil water profiles. Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics , 11 , 462 –
480.
Seager, R., M. Ting, I. Held, T. Kushnir, J. Lu, G. Vecchi, H.-P. Huang, N. Harnik , *A.
Leetmaa, N.-C. Lau, C. Li, J. Velez , and N. Naik , 2007: Model projections of an imminent transition to a more arid climate in southwestern North America. Science , doi:10.1126/science/1139601.
Spence, R ., I. Kelman, *A. Brown, G. Toyos , *D. Purser, and P. Baxter , 2007: Residential building and occupant vulnerability to pyroclastic density currents in explosive eruptions.
Natural Hazards and Earth Systems Sciences , 7 , 219 –230.
*Tilmes, S., *R. Muller, *J.-U. Grooss, *R. Spang, *T. Sugita, *H. Nakajima, Y. *Sasano, 2006:
Chemical ozone loss and related processes in the Antarctic winter 2003 based on

Improved Limb Atmospheric Spectrometer ILAS-II observations. Journal of Geophysical
Research , 111 , D11S12, doi:10.1029/2005JD006260.
*Tilmes, S., *R. Muller, *J.-U. Grooss, *H. Nakajima, Y. *Sasano, 2006: Development of tracer relations and chemical ozone loss during the setup phase of the polar vortex. Journal of
Geophysical Research , 111 , D24S90, doi:10.1029/2005JD006726.
*Tilmes, S., *R. Muller, A. Engel , M. Rex, J.M. Russell , 2006: Chemical ozone loss in the Arctic and Antarctic stratosphere between 1992 and 2005. Geophysical Research Letter , 33 ,
LK20812, doi:10.1029/2006GL026925.
Tribbia, J., 2007: Stuck in the slow lane of behavior change? A not-so-superhuman perspective on getting out of our cars. In: In Creating a Climate for Change: Communicating Climate
Change and Facilitating Social Change (S.C. Moser and L. Dilling, eds.). Cambridge,
UK: Cambridge University Press, 251 –265.
Waite, M.L., P. Bartello , 2006: The transition from geostrophic to stratified turbulence. Journal of
Fluid Mechanics , 33 , LK20812, 89 –108. doi:10.1029/2006GL026925.
Non-Refereed
Barkley, M.P., P.S. Monks, A.J. Hewitt , *T. Machida, A. Desai, *N. Vinnichenko, T. Nakazawa ,
*M.Y. Arshinov, *N. Fedoseev, and *T. Watai, 2007: Assessing the near surface sensitivity of SCIAMACHY atmospheric CO2 retrieved using (FSI) WFM-DOAS.
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics Discussions , 7 , 2477 –2530.
*Brito, A.T., M. Borbor-Cordova, *P. Gagliuffi, and *M. Riofrio, 2007: A monitoring programme for the Admiralty Bay Antarctic specially managed area. In: 30th Antarctic Treaty
Consultative Meeting , 30 April –11 May 2007 in New Delhi, India. Proceedings on line at http://www.atcm2007.gov.in/ .
Fransen, T. and O. Wilhelmi, 2006: Increasing societal resilience to winter weather. Extended abstract presented in San Antonio, Texas, at 8 7th Annual Meeting of the AMS , 16th
Conference on Applied Meteorology, No. 3.10. Available on line at AMS in PDF at http://ams.confex.com/ams/pdfpapers/119780.pdf
.
Glantz, M.H. (ed.), 2007: Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate, Water and Weather .
Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press. 173 pp.
Glantz, M.H., 2007: How about a spare-time university? WMO Bulletin , 56 (2), 126 –129.
Glantz, M.H., 2007: Prototype Training Workshop on Water Affairs. Proceedings of workshop held 4-7 December 2006 in Hanoi, Vietnam. Boulder, CO: NCAR. 33 pp.
Glantz, M.H., 2007: Hurricane Katrina: Good forecast, poor response. In Heads Up! Early
Warning Systems for Climate, Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University
Press, 30 –33.
Glantz, M.H., 2006: Hurricane Katrina rekindles thoughts about fallacies of a so-called "natural" disaster. In Natural Disasters: Management and Preparedness (P.S. Ranade, ed.), 138 –
147. Hyderabad, India: ICFAI University Press.

Glantz, M.H., L.M. Cavanaugh, R.E. Morss, E. Gruntfest, and J. Tribbia, 2006: Will recent “super” storms lead to seasons of superstorms? Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society ,
87 , 1173 –1174.
Hayden, M., 2007: Vector-borne disease. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate,
Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 67 –68.
Herrmann, S., 2007: Drought in Africa. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate, Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 111 –118.
Herrmannn, S., 2007: Remote sensing for early warning. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate, Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 22 –24.
Kelman, I., 2007: Volcano early warning systems. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for
Climate, Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 151 –154.
Kelman, I., 2007: Disaster diplomacy: Hope despite evidence? Worldwatch Institute Guest Essay . http://www.worldwatch.org/node/4733 .
Kelman, I., 2007: Review of Marshall Frech’s “The Water’s Edge.” Weather and Society Watch ,
1 (2), 9.
Kelman, I., 2007: Weather-related disaster diplomacy. Weather and Society Watch , 1 (3), 4 –9.
Kelman, I. and S.H.M. Fakhruddin, 2007: Tsunamis. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for
Climate, Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 146 –150.
Kelman, I., 2006: The myth of 9/11. Disaster and Social Crisis Research Network Electronic
Newsletter , 28 , 4.
Kelman, I., *E. Karnes, *M. Brownlee, and *L.M. Hanthorn, 2006: Relocalisation as a disaster risk management education tool. RiskPost (New Zealand Society for Risk Management),
6 (2), 4 –5.
Kleypas, J.A., 2007: Coral reef bleaching. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate,
Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 133 –136.
McNeeley, S., 2007: Climate change and variability in interior Alaska: An interdisciplinary approach to data integration for understanding regional patterns relevant to stakeholders.
Prepared for Amsterdam Conference on the Human Dimensions of Global Environmental
Change – Earth System Governance: Theories and Methods for Sustainability , held 24 –
26 May 2007. Amsterdam: Institute for Environmental Studies.
Morss, R., 2007: Severe weather. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate, Water and
Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 69 –74.
Moser, S.C., 2007: Training a cavalry of “1,000 voices for climate change” – Observations and recommendations for ongoing support and future trainings. Report to Vice President Al
Gore and The Climate Project , Boulder, Colorado.
Moser, S.C., 2007: Nor’easters. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate, Water and
Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 57 –60.
Moser, S.C., 2007: Sea-level rise. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate, Water and
Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 137 –142.

Moser, S.C., 2006: Talk of the city: Engaging urbanites on climate change. Environmental
Research Letters , 1 (1), doi:10.1088/1748/9326/1/1/014006. Available on line at http://www.iop.org/EJ/toc/1748-9326/1/1 .
Moser, S.C., 2006: Viewpoint. Natural Resources Forum , 30 , 330.
Moser, S.C., 2006: Climate Scenarios and Projections: The Known, the Unknown, and the
Unknowable As Applied to California . Synthesis Report of a workshop held at Aspen
Global change Institute 11 –14 March 2004 in Aspen, Colorado. Aspen: Elements of
Change Series, AGCI.
Moser, S.C. and L. Dilling , 2007: Preface. In Creating a Climate for Change: Communicating
Climate Change and Facilitating Social Change (S.C. Moser and L. Dilling, eds.), ix –xii.
Moser, S.C. and J. Tribbia, 2007: Vulnerability to Coastal Impacts of Climate Change: Coastal
Managers’ Attitudes, Knowledge, perceptions, and Actions. Report prepared for the
California energy Commission, Public Interest Energy Research Program. Sacramento,
CA: California Environmental Protection Agency.
Moser, S.C. and J. Tribbia, 2007: Vulnerability to inundation and climate change impacts in
California: Coastal managers’ attitudes and perceptions. (Special issue on Reducing the
Costs of Coastal Inundation to Coastal Communities, Ecosystems, and Resources .)
Marine Technology Society Journal , 40 (3), 4 –13.
.
Wilhelmi, O., 2006: GIS in Weather, Climate and Impacts . Report of Second Workshop on GIS at
NCAR. On line at www.gis.ucar.edu/05workshop/pdf/summary.pdf
.
Ye, Qian, 2007: Dust and sandstorm early warning. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for
Climate, Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 87 –90.
.
Ye, Qian, 2007: China’s 1998 Great Yangtze River floods. In Heads Up! Early Warning Systems for Climate, Water and Weather . Beijing, China: Tsinghua University Press, 95 –98.