Managing in times of disorder by Mitchell P. Koza Professor of International Strategic Management and Director of the Centre for International Business Challenging times for the global multi-business company demand a new managerial logic which encompasses elements of animating and assembling - techniques distilled from the practices of several leading edge companies to help businesses adapt to increasing disorder in their environment - in a major departure from the conventional wisdom of international management. Managers are frequently heard to say business is more difficult today than it has ever been before. Afterall, when have managers ever reported discontent because the business world is too comfortable or that the marketplace is not challenging enough? In a world where both the pace and direction of change have become increasingly uncertain and unpredictable, it is safe to say that an increase in turbulence and volatility is the most likely continuing trend. In today’s competitive environment, discontinuous transitions are the norm as companies are forced to evolve from the ‘Industrial Era’ and adapt to the emerging ‘Information Age’. The macro forces driving these changes and contributing to this transformation include globalisation of markets, interdependence of economies, falling trade barriers, the cyber revolution, massive population movements, deflation and the like. Big changes they may be, but they are not unique. In the transitions which led up to the Renaissance and the second Industrial Revolution, similar discontinuities were the order of the day. The mid to late 19th century saw the invention of railroads, telegraphs and telephones, massive population movements, war in Europe between France and Germany and the American Civil War, as well as the emergence of the modern multi-divisional corporation. The political, economic and technological forces propelling the transition to the Information Age, which are producing the dramatic changes in contemporary competitive environment, may be different from those that fuelled the transition to the Industrial Age, but they are hardly unique in terms of their impact. While the challenges to adapt are not new, the difference lies in the required strategic and organisational solutions. To produce winning strategies, perception of the environment and establishment of an environmental ‘fit’ are no longer enough, whereas silver bullet solutions, such as building in ‘customer value’ or infusing ‘stretch’ into companies, have often proved elusive in practice. Assembling and animating the global organisation Involvement with companies from a range of industries and every continent has shown that managing in times of increasing disorder requires a new managerial logic - one that recognises the importance of firstly assembling the global company, and secondly animating the total enterprise’s capacity for self-renewal. Assembling the global organisation means recognising that the modern large global company consists of what Jack Welch, chairman of General Electric (GE) in the US, calls ‘multi-businesses’. These new business assemblies are very different from the old multinationals or their modern variant - the ‘transnational’ corporation. The first addressed the need for diversification; the second responded to the problem of crossdivisional co-operation. The new challenge of strategic assembly refers to the imperative of simultaneously accessing geographic and product markets or market segments, managerial competencies and skills, and technologies and brands. It involves the traditional vehicles of internal development and acquisition, as well as the full range of strategic alliances, partnerships, networks, and inter-company relationships necessary for success in the global marketplace. However, the fundamental difference involves the managerial task. In the old multinational corporation and the traditional conglomerate form, the focus was on the allocation of capital across the various business units. In the transnational form, the new focus was on the transfer of learning and capabilities across the global enterprise. Managing the global multi-business, however, involves the need to continuously animate self-renewal of the total enterprise. Leaders must firstly execute the assembly choices but, even more important, infuse the whole organisation with the life force necessary for institutionalising change. Animating the global organisation means implanting and nurturing the ideal of continuous self-renewal. Historically firms seem to have followed the inevitable life cycle of growth, maturation, decline, rejuvenation and the return to growth. Rejuvenation, as distinct from transformation, has entailed restructuring, rationalisation, re-positioning, cost reduction, and diversification. The anticipated new growth trajectory was expected to result from the redirection of resources into new opportunities, mostly through mergers and acquisitions, augmented by new internal investments. These restructurings were intended to achieve economies of scale and scope. In the new environment, a reliance on rejuvenation, once decline has already set in, risks being too late to avoid extinction. The managerial challenge is to animate the firm’s internal rate of change to match or exceed the rate of change in its environment. This is the keystone strategy for countering the build up of structural inertia, which is the root cause for the growth, decline and rejuvenation life cycle trap. Animating change as a way of life But how does a firm animate change as a way of life and develop the capacity to compete on what complexity theorists call the ‘edge’? For the past 20 years, managers have been inundated with a barrage of management fads from total quality management and reengineering to leaders as entrepreneurs and free agents, and companies as jazz bands and football teams. A succession of management gurus have exhorted companies to become hyper-competitors, learning organisations, intelligent enterprises, network organisations and, most recently, knowledge-based organisations. However, companies like Germany’s Daimler Benz and General Electric have clearly eschewed the search for the silver bullet, learning instead to manage by adopting the new counterintuitive maxim: ‘if it ain’t broke, fix it anyway’. The logic of the new global multi-business company Growth Logic Managerial task Control mechanism Leadership Multi-business Multinational Transnational Diversification Leveraging competencies Strategic assembly Capital allocation Interdivisional co-operation Balancing exploitation & exploration Financial controls Behaviour controls Enabling emergent process Command and control Coaching Animation Animating change begins with the fundamental insight that rationalisation and transformation must be simultaneously balanced as ongoing intertwined and co-evolving actions. This requires balancing exploitation and exploration initiatives. Exploitation refers to the never ending opportunity to improve, extend, refine, elaborate and reduce the costs associated with existing products, technologies, skills and competencies. Exploration, however, refers to prospecting new landscapes and investing in new opportunities, generating new innovative products, technologies and markets, and supplanting existing competencies. Managers practising this balancing act also understand that, in the long run, above average returns cannot be realised from over reliance on exploitation, as advantages gained from sources of efficiency can invariably be copied and competed against. Sadly, the ability of managers to sustain this ongoing balance has generally proved elusive. The primary cause is the asymmetric reward structure of the financial markets, which leads managers to prefer the more assured immediate returns achieved through exploitation efforts and avoid the risks of the more variable returns associated with exploration activities. These preferences are self-reinforcing when companies experience negative returns associated with the typical ‘off and on’ exploration behaviour of most firms, which tend to explore when times are good and hold back exploration activities when times are tight. However, animating change as a way of life goes beyond learning to simultaneously balance exploitation and exploration. It also requires constant attention to managing the rate of change in these activities by, for example, benchmarking competitors’ rates of change, with the strategic aim of getting one step ahead of them. It requires managing all available sources which can induce change, such as managing strategies of disruption and surprise, instituting flexible formal structures, keeping bureaucracy in check, nurturing emergent processes and practising leadership based on trust. Self-organisation at every level Sustained self-renewal requires leadership that understands the importance of anticipating and initiating new directions which does not mean embracing every new management fad and changing for change’s sake. For example, in the 17 years that Jack Welch has been CEO of GE, he has unleashed a new change initiative at a rate of one every three years. These initiatives extended and reinforced earlier ones, emphasising the importance of not standing still. In addition, he also directed GE onto new strategic landscapes, such as investing in Asia following the expansion into Eastern Europe, or most recently, directing the move into e-business. Overall, the objective should be to pace change and to institutionalise anticipation for change. The new leadership logic accepts the tenet of selforganisation requiring leaders and managers to focus on articulating and teaching the frameworks that constrain and enable self-organisation at each and every level of the organisation. Stimulating and nurturing emergent processes represents the most under-utilised source of change and self-renewal. It implies the leveraging and supplanting of past competencies to create new markets or new products - such as when Mercedes Benz introduced the A Class model and the Smart Car. It involves nurturing and supporting improvisation, encouraging rule breaking and rewarding change agents. It also requires the need to train and select leaders who are comfortable not only with managing ambiguity, but also with the democratic implications of accepting and supporting emergent outcomes. Moreover, the new managerial logic requires that managers be trained and become proficient in articulating and establishing the boundaries and process controls that stimulate and enable emergent action. Contingencies The principles of managing the internal rate of change, balancing exploitation and exploration, and utilising emergent processes are universal. However, the specific adaptation practices, and the character and direction of self-organisation that companies pursue, will be contingent on and reflect such attributes as administrative heritage, industry, social and political context, and national identity and culture. In companies with an administrative heritage of strong top down management or in cultures where small managerial elites exercise hegemony, stimulating and nurturing self-organising emergent processes will represent an especially major challenge. Similarly, in a culture characterised by individualism, self-reliance and high mobility, realising the cumulative benefits of collective self-organisation could be a limiting constraint. Managing the global multi-business company in times of increasing disorder represents a major departure from the conventional wisdom of international management. The traditional multinational followed the logic of diversification, centralised capital allocation, strong financial controls and command and control leadership. The transnational form emphasised leveraging competencies, fostering inter-divisional cooperation, applying complex behavioural controls, and expected managers to mentor and coach. In contrast, animating the global multi-business organisation requires a strategic assembly perspective, adaptation through the simultaneous and continuing balancing of exploitation and exploration, process controls that stimulate and enable emergent processes and self-organisation, and most importantly, depends on leadership without control. This feature is adapted from an article which originally appeared in the Financial Times and was co-written by Mitchell P. Koza and Arie Y. Lewin, Professor of Business Administration and Sociology at the Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, USA. Suggested Reading: In Search of Strategy, Special Issue of the Sloan Management Review, Vol 40 No 3 (1999). Co-evolution of Strategy and New Organizational Forms, Special Issue of Organization Science, Vol 10 No 5 (1999).