Transit Revenue/Cost Ratio-Additional Information Recommendation: That the May 9, 2008, Transportation Department report 2008TD4833 be received for information. Report Summary This report provides additional information on Transit’s Revenue/Cost Ratio, specifically demographics, social or environmental policy objectives and extent that land use patterns affect the efficiency of transit service delivery. Previous Council Action: At the December 2007 City Council Budget meeting, the following motion was passed. That the Transit Revenue/Cost Ratio report due to Council in spring 2008 include: a. Demographic projections for revenue risk of an aging population vis-à-vis the fare scheduled. b. An accounting mechanism for forgone revenues for pricing and service strategies designed to achieve social or environmental policy objectives (triple bottom line). c. Analysis, with input from Planning and Development Department, of the extent to which our land use patterns (both overall, nodal and corridor density, as well as nonresidential drivers) affect the efficiency of transit service delivery. Report Demographics The revenue risk of an aging population vis-à-vis the fare schedule will be somewhat offset by large growth in the 30-39 and 50-64 age demographics. By the year 2041, Edmonton’s population is forecast to grow by 65.6% and people aged 65 and over will account for 20% of the overall population as opposed to 12% in 2006. Traditionally the 65+ age group take advantage of discounted seniors fares, however within the fare schedule the overall effect on the Revenue/Cost (R/C) ratio is forecast to be offset by the higher paying regular transit ridership. The risk is that, to offset the expected growth in the 65+ age market, we must maintain or grow revenues from our commuter market. The higher revenue from these riders helps ensure that we maintain a healthy R/C ratio. If we do not adequately market to this group to maintain and grow market-share we could negatively affect our R/C ratio due to diminishing returns from a growing senior subsidized market. A second risk that must be considered is an imbalance between fares that will cause disparity amongst our riders. Increasing transit fares for some to cover subsidized deep discounts to others, without increasing the value of transit for those who pay more poses the danger of undermining customer satisfaction as well as result in increasing fare evasion. As fares increase, low income groups and individuals who do currently qualify for ROUTING - City Council | DELEGATION – R. Boutilier/C. Stolte WRITTEN BY – P. Waisman/D. Mulloy | May 9, 2008 – Transportation Department 2008TD4833 Page 1 of 3 E 2 Transit Revenue/Cost Ratio-Additional Information concession fares will become more vocal about this perceived inequity. Accounting Mechanism With regard to an accounting mechanism for forgone revenues for pricing and service strategies designed to achieve social or environmental policy objectives (triple bottom line), Edmonton Transit has no specific strategies designed to achieve social or environmental policy objectives. By its nature, these objectives are a byproduct of public transit. Our current fare structure allows us to gain a better understanding of the revenue impact on our overall R/C ratio by providing certain subsidies but does not detail the elasticity effects on that same R/C ratio if the subsidies did not exist nor does it take into account the social impact of not providing such subsidies. Environmental benefits are realized by maintaining and increasing transit ridership. Examples of the environmental benefits of choosing to ride public transit over driving a standard automobile are the reduction of Green House Gas emissions. For an average length commuter trip, a transit commuter emits 15.1% less CO2 gas into the environment than an automobile commuter. With every vehicle that is taken off the road by people switching to public transit, the net effect of that alone could have a positive effect on the environment. Increased use of public transit also has positive effects on overall air quality, reduced noise pollution, and decreased energy consumption. The social benefits of public transit that provides affordable transportation to all groups and accessibility to everyone, results in improving the quality of life for Page 2 of 3 the community overall. Groups that further benefit from accessibility across the city and to City services are seniors, youths, students and low-income individuals. These groups are less likely to own a car. Our current Fare Policy supports these groups by providing subsidized fares to ensure that we maintain affordability relative to income levels and demographic travel needs. All transit commuters share the added economic benefits of reduced travel and parking expenses, reduced costs associated with automobile ownership as well as the benefits of a healthier lifestyle which often includes less travel related stress and more walking. Promoting active transportation, such as walking or cycling, is a key element of Health Canada’s national strategy to encourage physical activity. Together, public transit and active transportation complement each other, and offer a “suite” of travel alternatives that help individuals adopt multimodal lifestyles and minimize their automobile use. While there are no forgone revenues associated with the benefits mentioned above, there are programs currently offered by Edmonton Transit that further contribute to these benefits and have positively impacted Edmonton Transit’s bottom-line by growing ridership and increasing revenues. From surveys of students, The U-Pass program, which made transit available to 40,000 post secondary students, resulted in 4% new riders. Surveys of employees that signed onto the ETS@Work program show that 1/3 of those that signed up are new to transit. Transit Revenue/Cost Ratio-Additional Information Land Use Patterns The extent to which our land use patterns (both nodal and corridor density, as well as non-residential drivers) affect the efficiency of transit service delivery have not been quantified, however common initiatives such as Transit Oriented Development (TOD) and regional planning can improve mobility and the efficiency of transit by optimizing service delivery. TOD defined as high-density urban development within walking distance of high capacity transit terminals or stops is characterized by compact, mixed-use development, a high-quality walking environment, and easy access to transit facilities. TODs that promote the use of transit and the decreased use of singleoccupant vehicles have clearly established environmental benefits and combat urban sprawl. Areas which incorporate TOD land use development polices that create more compact, mixed, multi-modal, walkable communities often drive 25-30% less and use non-motorized modes two to four times more often than residents of more conventional, automobileorientated communities. An environmental benefit to the community is the contribution to the conservation of prime agricultural land. Urban sprawl has a significant negative impact on surrounding agricultural areas, and strategies such as infill and TODs prevent sprawl and preserve agricultural spaces. TODs improve urban water drainage and conserve water due to less Page 3 of 3 construction of paved surfaces to handle increasing traffic flow and congestion. They also help conserve and protect sensitive and fragile areas such as wetlands. Compact and planned development, including TODs, destroys far less fragile lands than sprawl development. Studies have shown that planned compact development reduces consumption of fragile environmental lands by almost one-fifth when compared to trend (sprawl-like) development. Policy Edmonton Transit System Fare Policy C451D Focus Area Social and Cultural Environment Economic Development Governance