SHORT COURSE
ON
APPLIED ROBUST ENGINEERING DESIGN
BY – RELIABILITY WITH EMPHASIS
ON MECHANICAL COMPONENTS & STRUCTURAL RELIABILITY
BY
PROFESSOR DIMITRI B. KECECIOGLU. PH.D., P.E.
OVERVIEW
This short course represents new approaches to Designing Specified Reliabilities into
components at desired confidence levels, including the Design by Reliability approach;
i.e., the stress and strength distributions interference approach.
Participants will compare the Conventional Design Techniques with the Probabilistic
Design by Reliability methodology; determine the failure-governing stress and strength
distribution; compute the associated Reliability of components and structural members
subjected to static and/or fatigue loads; and design a specified Reliability at a desired
confidence level into all types of components, including electronic, electrical, and
mechanical components, and structural members.
BENEFITS
Learn practical methods and tools to:

Review practical methods for designing mechanical components, structural
members, and equipment with the desired Reliability and at the desired
confidence level.

Learn how to size components and select materials that will perform with the
desired Reliability.

Learn how to apply these techniques to electric components as well.

Interact with other course participants; share ideas, approaches, and the
management of design practices; and discuss solutions to each other's Reliability
problems.

Receive over 500 pages of very comprehensive and up to date lecture notes.
WHO SHOULD ATTEND AND TECHNICAL LEVEL
This short course is designed for engineers of all ranks including reliability engineers and
managers; product assurance engineers and managers; design and test engineers and
managers; quality control engineers and managers; manufacturing, sales and service
engineers and managers; staff engineers, project engineers, statistical engineers, industrial
engineers; R and D engineers, and all other engineers; statisticians; and government and
industry representatives.
The knowledge of statistics, probability and undergraduate college mathematics is
desirable to better benefit from this course, but it is not required.
FACULTY
Professor Dimitri B. Kececioglu, Ph.D., P.E., is a Fulbright Scholar and an
internationally recognized lecturer and consultant in all aspects of Reliability and
Maintainability Engineering, Reliability Life Testing, and Product Assurance. He is
considered to be the Deming of Reliability Engineering. He has lectured in over 400
Institutes, seminars and short courses, and exposed over 12,000 people to Reliability and
Maintainability Engineering, worldwide. He has consulted for over 96 highly rated, and
leading companies and government organizations internationally. He has been granted 5
patents. As a Professor of Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering at The University of
Arizona, he is in charge of a unique 10-course Reliability Engineering Program, which
leads to the Master of Science Degree in Reliability Engineering. He is the Director of the
Reliability Testing Institute; the Director of the Reliability Engineering and Management
Institute; the Director of the Applied Reliability Engineering and Product Assurance
Institute for engineers and Managers; and the Director of the Tucson, Arizona Chapter of
the Society of Reliability Engineers, which he founded.
Dr. Kececioglu has published more than 152 papers and articles. He has contributed to
eight (8) books and has published the following fourteen books:
1. "Bibliography on Plasticity-Theory and Applications", Dr. Dimitri B. Kececiogtu,
published by The American Society of Mechanical Engineers, United Engineering
Center, New York, 191 pp., 1950.
2. "Manual of Product Assurance Films on Reliability Engineering and
Management, Reliability Testing, Maintainability and Quality Control," Dr.
Dimitri B. Kececioglu, published by Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, 7340 N. La Oesta
Avenue, Tucson, Arizona 85704-3119, 178 pp., 1976.
3. "Manual of Product Assurance Films and Videotapes," Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu,
published by Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, 7340 N. La Oesta Avenue, Tucson,
Arizona 85704-3119, 327 pp., 1980.
4. "Reliability Testing Techniques," Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, published by
Shanghai Institute of Process Automation Instrumentation, 103 Cao Bao Road,
Shanghai 201103, China, 115 pp., 1982.
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5. "Reliability-Key to Industrial Success," Proceedings of the ASM International
Conference, Los Angeles, California, Edited by Mr. S. Sundaresan and Dr.
Dimitri B. Kececioglu, Metals Park, Ohio 44073, 206 pp. March 24-26, 1987.
6. "The 1992-1994 Reliability, Maintainability and Availability Software
Handbook," Dr. Dimitri Kececioglu and Pantelis D. Vassiliou, published by Dr.
Dimitri B. Kececioglu, 7340 N. La Oesta Avenue, Tucson, Arizona 85704-3119,
118 pp., November 1992.
7. “Reliability Engineering Handbook,” Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, DEStech
Publications, 1148 Elizabeth Ave., #2, Lancaster, PA 17601-4359, Vol. 1, 720
pp., 2002.
8. “Reliability Engineering Handbook,” Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, DEStech
Publications, 1148 Elizabeth Ave., #2, Lancaster, PA 17601-4359, Vol. 2, 568
pp., 2002.
9. “Reliability & Life Testing Handbook,” Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, DEStech
Publications, 1148 Elizabeth Ave., #2, Lancaster, PA 17601-4359, Vol. 1, 960
pp., 2002.
10. “Reliability & Life Testing Handbook,” Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, DEStech
Publications, 1148 Elizabeth Ave., #2, Lancaster, PA 17601-4359, Vol. 2, 900
pp., 2002.
11. “Environmental Stress Screening – Its Quantification, Optimization and
Management,” Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu and Dr. Feng-Bin Sun, DEStech
Publications, 1148 Elizabeth Ave., #2, Lancaster, PA 17601-4359, 546 pp., 2003.
12. “Maintainability, Availability and Operational Readiness Engineering
Handbook,” Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, DEStech Publications, 1148 Elizabeth
Ave., #2, Lancaster, PA 17601-4359, Vol. 1, 814 pp., 2003.
13. “Burn-in Testing – Its Quantification and Optimization,” Dr. Dimitri B.
Kececioglu and Dr. Feng-Bin Sun, DEStech Publications, 1148 Elizabeth Ave.,
#2, Lancaster, PA 17601-4359, 650 pp., 2003.
14. "Robust Engineering Design-By-Reliability," Dr. Dimitri B. Kececioglu, DEStech
Publications, 1148 Elizabeth Ave., #2, Lancaster, PA 17601-4359, 919 pp., 2003.
Dr. Kececioglu has been the recipient of over 70 prestigious awards, including the
following:

The Ralph R. Teetor Award of the Society of Automotive Engineers as
"Outstanding Engineering Educator" in 1977.
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
ASQC-Reliability Division "Reliability Education Advancement Award" for his
"Outstanding Contributions to the Development and Presentation of Meritorious
Reliability Educational Programs," in 1980.

The ASQC Allen Chop Award for his "outstanding contributions to Reliability
Science and Technology," in 1981.

The University of Arizona, College of Engineering Anderson Prize for
"engineering the Master's Degree Program in the Reliability Engineering Option,"
in 1983.

"Five Star Faculty Award" top three nominee at The University of Arizona for
"excellence and notable teaching ability," in 1983.

He was in the top 10% of all lecturers at the University of California in Los
Angeles (UCLA) short courses during 1990.

He was in the top 13% of all faculty at the National Technological University,
Fort Collins, Colorado, during 1989-1992.

The University of Arizona inducted Dr. Kececioglu into its PRESIDENTS CLUB
in 1989, for conceiving and raising the funds for "The Dr. Dimitri Basil
Kececioglu Reliability Engineering Research Fellowships Endowment Fund,"
established in 1988, which supports up to eight graduate students in Reliability
Engineering.

The University of Arizona Foundation's Scholarship Development Office
presented Dr. Kececioglu a beautiful plaque " in grateful recognition and
appreciation for the establishment of the Reliability Engineering Research
Fellowships Endowment Fund," May 9, 1991.

The American Hellenic Educational Progressive Association (A.HEPA), an over
60,000 member international organization, bestowed on Dr. Kececioglu their
highest "Academy of Achievement Award in Education" in 1992.

On the occasion of "The 30th Annual Reliability Engineering and Management
Institute," a milestone, held on November 16-20, 1992, in Tucson, Arizona, Dr.
Kececioglu was presented a beautiful plaque by Dr. Ernest T. Smerdon, Dean,
College of Engineering and Mines and Vice Provost of The University of
Arizona, at the Awards Banquet of this Institute on Thursday, November 19,
1992, with a congratulatory letter from Dr. Manuel T. Pacheco, President, The
University of Arizona and inscribed in summary as follows:
"Your reputation as an outstanding teacher and advocate of Reliability and Quality.
Engineering is well established in the international community. In your capacity as
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Director of this Institute, as well as the Reliability Testing Institute, you have
provided the forum in which many hundreds of our nation's engineers and students of
engineering have received training in reliability and quality engineering.
I particularly acknowledge your efforts in establishing and developing the funding
for, the endowment which bears your name and which will support worthy students in
the future. The "Dr. Dimitri Basil Kececioglu Reliability Engineering Research
Fellowships Endowment Fund 'will help to ensure that The University of Arizona
remains in the forefront of engineering education and continues to provide
engineering graduates to support our nation's industries. In this highly competitive
world the quality, and the reliability of American products are essential to retaining
our position of world economic leadership. The University of Arizona is proud to be
an important part of that effort and can take justifiable pride in your own very
significant contribution. "

Was presented a beautiful plaque by The University of Arizona Chapter of the
Society of Reliability Engineers at the Awards Banquet of "THE 30TH ANNUAL
RELIABILITY ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT INSTITUTE," on
Thursday, November 19, 1992 inscribed as follows: "In recognition of 30 years of
service to the Reliability Community and as the Director of the Reliability
Engineering and Management Institute."

Was presented a 33-page album of testimonial letters form his graduate students
and industry executives worldwide at the Awards Banquet of "THE 30th
ANNUAL
RELIABILITY
ENGINEERING
AND
MANAGEMENT
INSTITUTE," on Thursday, November 19, 1992, extolling his exemplary
achievements and outstanding contributions to the Reliability Engineering and
Management Science Community worldwide.

Was presented a plaque by the VIDEOCAMPUS organization of The University
of Arizona Extended University on the occasion of the 20-Year Celebration of
VIDEOCAMPUS on April 26, 1993, for having taught the most courses on
VIDEOCAMPUS, inscribed as follows: "VIDEOCAMPUS Recognizes and
Expresses our Sincere Appreciation to Dimitri B. Kececioglu, Ph.D. for Your
Enduring Commitment and Dedication to VIDEOCAMPUS and Distance
Learning--1972-1993."

Dr. Kececioglu was made a FELLOW of the Society of Automotive Engineers
(SAE) in 1996, and of the American Society for Quality (ASQ) in 1999.

He was given the Society of Automotive Engineers' "Distinguished Probabilistic
Methods Educator Award for having demonstrated Excellence in Teaching
Probabilistic Methods in Engineering Design by Reliability, Reliability and
Maintainability Engineering, and Life Testing for Reliability," in 1997.
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
He was presented two Certificates for outstanding service to The University of
Arizona" as a "Faculty Mentor" and a "Graduate Advisor" by The University of
Arizona Graduate and Professional Student Council in 1999.

On May 16, 2002 he was presented a special Certificate by the President of SAE
for over 25 years of exemplary service to and membership in SAE.

On April 16, 2003 Dr. Kececioglu was honored by President Peter Likins and
George H. Davis, Senior Vice President, Academic Affairs and Provost at an
Awards luncheon for his 40 years of service to The University of Arizona as an
outstanding professor, initiating, developing and directing the world renowned
Reliability Engineering Graduate Program special coursework and research, and
was given a special, very valuable clock imprinted with “THE UNIVERSITY OF
ARIZONA.”

On May 2, 2003, on the occasion of THE 40TH ANNUAL RELIABILITY
ENGINEERING AND MANAGEMENT INSTITUTE, Dr. John McGrath, Head
Aerospace and Mechanical Engineering Department of The University of
Arizona, gave Dr. Kececioglu a special plaque stating “ CERTIFICATE OF
APPRECIATION is hereby presented to DR. DIMITRI B. KECECIOGLU, P.E.,
Institute Director, The 40th Annual Reliability Engineering and Management
Institute for advancing Reliability Engineering and Product Assurance excellence
through commitment to research and education."

Dr. Kececioglu is listed in Who's Who in America, American Men of Science and
Engineering, Who's Who of the West, Who's Who of Greek Origin in the United
States and Canada, Who's Who of Greece, American Hellenic Who's Who in
Business and Professions, Who's Who in Engineering, American Men and
Women of Science, Who's Who in Science and Engineering biographical
directories.

He received his M.S. in industrial Engineering and his Ph.D. in Engineering
Mechanics from Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana.

He is an honorary member of the Golden Key National Honor Society, an
Honorary Professor of Shanghai University of Technology; an Honorary Member
of the Operations Research Society of Greece, and an Honorary Professor of Phi
Kappa Phi. He is a member of SRE, IEEE -Reliability Society, ASQ - Reliability
Division, ASME, SAE, SESA, IES, ASEE, Tau Beta Pi, Sigma Xi, Phi Kappa
Phi, and others.

He is a registered Professional Quality Engineer.

Dr. Kececioglu received his B.S.M.E. from Robert College, Istanbul, Turkey; his
M.S. in Industrial Engineering and his Ph.D. in Engineering Mechanics from
Purdue University, West Lafayette, Indiana.
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AGENDA
This short course meets from 8:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. each day.
MONDAY
Morning

Course objectives.

Comprehensive definitions of the Design by Reliability methodology.

Failure-governing stress and strength distributions used for predicting Reliability.

Component Reliability determination at a desired confidence level.

Differences between Probabilistic Design by Reliability and classical design
methodologies.

Relationship between design safety factors and designed-in reliability.

Material and. weight savings using the Probabilistic Design by Reliability
Methodology.

Fifteen-step methodology for predicting the Reliability of all types of
components.

Identification of design factors in the stress equations.

Reasons for distributional design factors and stresses.

Failure-governing stress and strength distribution determination.

Applications and examples.
Afternoon

Component Reliability determination after the failure-governing stress and
strength distributions are determined.

Use of the normal, lognormal Weibull, and extreme value distributions to
determine the failure-governing stress and strength distributions.
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
Component and structural member Reliability determination when stress and
strength are normally distributed.

Actual Reliability given the safety factors.

Avoiding underdesign and overdesign methodologies.

Safety Factor and Reliability concepts unified.

Applications and examples.
TUESDAY
Morning

Component and structural member Reliability when stress and strength are
lognormally distributed.

The safety factor when the stress and strength distributions are lognormal;
relationship to Designed-in Reliability.

Reliability when the stress and strength distributions are neither normal nor
lognormal.

Numerical integration methods for calculating the Designed-in Reliability.

The Mellin transform method for calculating the Designed-in Reliability.

Applications and examples.
Afternoon

The Monte Carlo simulation method for determining the Designed-in Reliability.

Sampling the stress and strength distributions.

Number of simulations for desired accuracy.

The lower one-sided confidence limit on the true Reliability at the desired
confidence level.

Design variables and parameters affecting the failure-governing stress
distributions.

Binary synthesis, moments and Monte Carlo simulation methods of synthesizing
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the failure-governing stress distribution.

Case studies, applications and examples.
WEDNESDAY
Morning

Failure-governing strength distributions to use.

Design and material variables and parameters.

Synthesizing design, material, and parameter distributions.

Binary, moments and Monte Carlo simulation methods for synthesizing the
failure-governing strength distributions.

Applications and examples.
Afternoon

Design a specified reliability into mechanical, electronic and electrical
components and structural members.

Fatigue Reliability for a desired life and alternating stress level.

Fatigue Reliability with Weibull failure-governing stress and strength
distributions.

Reliability for a specified stress-life combination, and combined mean and
alternating stresses.

Conditional Reliability of successive missions or operating periods.

Designing specified Reliability and confidence levels into components and
structural members.

Weight savings through Design by Reliability.

Special design problems and solutions.

Applications and examples.
THURSDAY
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Morning

Reliability under multiple failure modes.

Electrical and mechanical components, and structural member, Reliability when
subjected to sequential, cumulative-fatigue loads.

Reliability determination under combined alternating and steady bending loads.

Applications and examples.
Afternoon

Reliability of statically loaded mechanical components and structural members.

Mechanical reliability data and sources.

Consultation workshop to solve participants' problems.

Course review and summary.
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