Towards sustainable shopping, cooking and eating in the Netherlands: a new strategy aiming at sustainable food consumption and production systems in future1 Jaco Quist Technology Assessment Group, Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, De Vries van Heijstpl. 2, NL-3028 RZ Delft, email: j.n.quist@tbm.tudelft.nl Abstract. This paper describes part of the project ‘Strategies towards the Sustainable Household – Sushouse’. The Sushouse project is concerned with developing and evaluating strategies for transitions to sustainable households. This paper presents results from the research on the Shopping, Cooking and Eating function in the Netherlands including the interactive construction and assessment of sustainable scenarios for 2050. It concludes that it is very well possible to involve stakeholders in multi-actor innovation processes towards sustainability using stakeholder workshops and scenarios. Keywords: sustainability, nutrition, scenarios, households, technological & cultural change 1. Introduction One of the major issues at the turn of the 20th century is how to achieve sustainable development in which the environmental burden will decrease while the world population is growing and global wealth increases. Some claim that we have to improve our environmental efficiency by a Factor 4 which would enable the world to double our wealth while halving the environmental burden (Von Weizsäcker et al. 1998). Others, among them the Dutch governmental programme for Sustainable Technological Development (STD) and the SusHouse project, stress that we will have to fulfil social needs in 2050 twenty times more environmentally efficiently - which means by a Factor 20 (Vergragt and Jansen 1993, Weterings and Opschoor 1992). Factor 20 in 2050 is based on a doubling of the world population combined with a fivefold increase of wealth per capita while halving the total global environmental burden. Applying an interactive and stakeholder-oriented approach at the STD programme combined with backcasting methodology, a number of examples of sustainable future need fulfilment were developed in need areas like nutrition, housing, and mobility (Weaver et al 2000). These example projects included radical technological innovations that met the factor challenge and the identification of cultural and structural conditions for implementation. One of the projects focused on the future development of Novel Protein Foods that could take over the dietary and cultural role of meat, but can be produced many times more environmentally friendly than present meat production (Quist et al. 1996). 1 Paper for the Shaping the Future Conference at the EXPO 2000 in Hanover, revised version April 2000. 1 Concerning the factor 20, it is assumed here that neither good housekeeping in companies, incremental technological innovation, eco-designed products, nor sustainable consumption alone will be able to attain a world-wide reduction of 90-95% of the environmental burden. From the viewpoint of sustainability it is also important to realise that production and consumption systems are interdependent and that they are connected to each other through distribution, retail and shopping. SusHouse (Strategies towards the Sustainable Household), a EU-funded research project concerned with developing and evaluating strategies for transitions to sustainable households, recognises these viewpoints (Vergragt 1998). The Sushouse project focuses on three household functions and shares with the STD programme the ambition to fulfil needs twenty times more environmentally efficiently in the future. This paper describes part of the Sushouse project and deals with the Shopping, Cooking and Eating function (SCE) which is being studied in Hungary, The Netherlands and the United Kingdom (see also Table 1) and focuses on results from SCE research in the Netherlands. 2. SusHouse background and methodology The starting point of the Sushouse project is that a combination of technological, cultural and structural changes is necessary to achieve Factor 20 through system innovations. Next to the Shopping, Cooking and Eating function, the Shelter function and the Clothing Care functions are studied in the SusHouse project. Every household function is being studied in three European countries (see Table 1), while six research groups in the five countries are involved. It is worthwhile to mention that the Project aims to develop strategies for sustainable household functions from the perspective of the household, without externalising the household’s unsustainabilities to the retailing, manufacturing or primary production industries. Table 1 Overview of the household functions and the countries were these are studied The Netherlands UK Italy Germany Hungary Shopping, Cooking, Eating (Nutrition) Clothing Care X X X X X Shelter X X X X The Project’s approach (Vergragt 1998) was applied earlier in the Sustainable Washing project (Vergragt and Van der Wel 1998) and is briefly as follows. With the help of stakeholders from industry, government, universities, and public interest groups (through interviews and creativity workshops), the project group formulates normative scenarios of possible developments of these household functions for the year 2050, including technological and cultural innovations. The scenarios will be evaluated as to whether they decrease the overall environmental burden, whether they are economically credible and whether they are acceptable to European consumers. Finally, the DOSs and the assessment results are discussed by stakeholders through a 2nd workshop focusing on strategies, policy recommendations and implementation proposals for moving households towards the scenarios. A more detailed discussion on the methodological background can be found elsewhere (Quist et al. 1999, 2000). 2 3. Shopping, Cooking and Eating The SCE function is a complex one. It covers agriculture, and the inputs to agriculture, through food processing, shopping, home storing, cooking, eating, to the disposal of waste and of consumer durables. The food industry, including primary agricultural production, is a major employer in all countries considerably contributing to the economy, but also a phenomenal user of energy and other inputs (Tansey & Worsley 1995), what is definitely the case in the Netherlands. It involves issues of nutritional balance and adequacy, and incorporates strong cultural and emotional aspects. It includes decisions of household members influencing consumption and purchasing patterns, determining (Quist et al. 1998): the balance between eating-in and eating-out/home delivery/take-away; the timing and types of meals eaten; the balance between pre-prepared and unprepared food; the organisation of cooking and shopping; and, how much food is grown in hobby gardens and how much is bought. These decisions of household members have direct implications for (Quist et al. 1998): the food service sector (eating-out versus take-away and home delivery); the retailing sector (purchase from supermarkets or smaller food retailers, direct purchase from wholesalers, direct purchase from growers); and, the food-processing sector (different patterns of household eating will change the balance between different processing methods). Based on all these observations, the SCE-research group defined a four-level Food Consumption and Production System. This definition of the SCE supply chain is in general terms because the precise structure of each level will differ between the three countries. However, the precise structure will not only depend on the country but in some cases on intranational differences (e.g. between town and countryside). Considering the reduction of the environmental impacts of the Food Consumption and Production System, several approaches can be distinguished including (Quist et al. 1998): decreasing the environmental burden of food products in the production chain; improving the performance of (new) kitchen equipment (for households and the food service sector), especially decreasing energy usage; changing human behaviour at home (heavily) influencing the usage of inputs and the volume of (food) waste produced; adding value by adding service can be an interesting strategy to decrease environmental burdens. 4. Sustainable scenarios for SCE in the Netherlands Scenario construction was based on the results from the stakeholder creativity workshop for SCE in the Netherlands (Quist and Maas 1999, Quist 2000) and followed the Design Orienting Scenarios (DOS) methodology developed by Manzini and Jegou (1998). The aim of the stakeholder creativity workshops was to bring together experts and representatives from the different stakeholder groups including companies, public interest groups, government, researchers and possible future stakeholders in order to generate ideas and concepts for sustainable function fulfilment in future (Quist et al. 1999, 2000). DOS type scenarios for the 3 fulfilment of household functions include a vision describing the general atmosphere and the main characteristics of sustainable function fulfilment. Additionally, it contains proposals for product-service systems that contribute to the realisation of the sustainable function fulfilment and a snapshot living in that particular scenario in the year 2050 encompassing all the proposals in that DOS while supported by visualisations. For SCE in the Netherlands the following DOS were developed (Quist 2000): 1. Intelligent Cooking & Storing (ICS). This DOS is about a household that can be characterised by high-tech, convenience, do it your self and acceleration of life. Kitchen and food management are optimised with help of intelligence, water and energy are reused where possible and the intelligence helps ordering (electronically) and delivery. Meals are either based on a mixture of sustainable ready-made and pre-prepared components (including vegetarian or novel protein foods replacing meat) or ready-made meals having a chip communicating with the microwave how to cook it properly. Packaging is biodegradable and contains a chip with relevant consumer information about origin and treatment and preparation. 2. Super-Rant (SR, Neighbourhood food centre). This DOS combines elements from the present supermarket and restaurants in a neighbourhood food centre in a compact city where you can go for having your meal (e.g. by a subscription to the neighbourhood cook), food shopping, purchasing a take-away meal or eating together for different prices. In many households only the microwave, a water cooker and a small fridge are left. Waste is collected and used for local energy production. Foods are grown sustainable. 3. Local Green Diet (LGD). In this DOS household members buy and eat seasonal foods that are locally grown and purchased at local shops, small supermarkets, from the grower or the hobby garden as ‘fresh’ unprocessed ingredients. Imported products are still available but limited and expensive due to the incorporation of environmental costs. 5. Assessment of DOSs Three assessments of the DOSs have been conducted to investigate how sustainable they are, whether they are attractive for consumers and whether they are economically credible. The first is the consumer acceptance analysis using consumer focus groups to evaluate the acceptability of the scenarios to European consumers. The environmental assessment uses indicators to assess if the scenarios achieve a Factor 20 reduction in household environmental impacts. Finally, the economic assessment uses a questionnaire to assess each scenario for economic credibility in areas of competition, employment, etc. Results are only briefly described here, while more detailed elaboration of the assessment results can be found elsewhere (Quist 2000). Focus group research revealed that consumers consider the DOS ‘Intelligent Cooking and Storing’ to be the most probable one, fitting very well to young people. Nevertheless, some elements were rejected especially when people thought they would run out of control. The DOS ‘Local Green Diet’ was rather popular too, especially due to the garden and the focus on local small scale production systems, while the restricted supply of varieties did not seem to be a large barrier. The DOS ‘Super-Rant met most criticism, mainly related to the elements ‘minimising the kitchen’ and ‘group-wise eating’, though the service component was appreciated. 4 Preliminary results from the environmental assessment indicate that environmental benefits stem from the use of sustainable grown ingredients in all DOSs, while additional benefits stem from biodegradable packaging and kitchen optimisation (cascade usage of resources) in the DOS ‘Intelligent Cooking and Storing’, local up-scaling of meals and addition of service in the DOS ‘Super-Rant’ and last but not least local production, home composting and unprocessed foods in the DOS ‘Local Green Diet’. The economic analysis indicates roughly that the DOS ‘Intelligent Cooking and Storing’ offers opportunities for kitchen appliance and system manufacturers, supermarkets increasing their service and co-operating with mail house delivers and producers of biodegradable packaging, while the influence of primary agricultural producers will decrease. The DOS ‘Super-Rant’ is attractive for both the catering sector and the supermarket sector, while eventually the two sectors might merge. The DOS ‘Local Green Diet’ is attractive for local and regional producers including farmers, though the regional orientation and low levels of processing will strongly affect the existing food system. 6. Conclusions This paper has illustrated a methodology which was developed as part of the Sushouse project having both a ‘constructive’ participatory design component and an assessment component. It presents results of research on the SCE function in the Netherlands. The results of the application of this methodology illustrated that stakeholders from different societal groups were willing not only to participate in workshops but also to share and develop ideas for sustainable shopping, cooking and eating in future. The numerous and variable ideas could be grouped in Design Orienting Scenarios and assessment results indicate that all DOS have definitely an environmental gain, that consumers were very capable of evaluating these future scenarios and have preferences (and rejections) for specific scenarios and scenario elements and that each DOS offers specific economic opportunities and threats. However, the Sushouse project does not aim to develop the most sustainable scenario but supports the development of more sustainable alternatives to present lifestyles. In future it is very likely that the developed DOSs, which can also be seen as lifestyles, will exist at the same time, while it is also possible that elements will be rearranged, resulting in other DOSs and lifestyles. However, such combining should not lead to a decrease of the environmental efficiency gain. A second stakeholder workshop scheduled for early 2000 was supposed to deal with this when giving feedback on the results, but to focus on realisation and implementation of (elements of) the developed DOS as well. Results included necessary technological and cultural changes, suggestions for improving the DOSs, implementation proposals and supporting policy recommendations. This is relevant as development and implementation by stakeholders is necessary for realising the environmental improvements. Finally, the Sushouse methodology has also been conducted on SCE in the United Kingdom and Hungary and on the other two SusHouse functions, namely: Shelter and Clothing Care. Hence, the methodology has been applied nine times in five European countries and next steps include international cross cultural comparisons possible not only within each function but for the different assessments as well. This is scheduled for mid 2000, though some preliminary comparisons for SCE have been presented (Green et al. 1999, Young et al 2000). 5 acknowledgement The SusHouse project is a collective endeavour of six research groups in five European countries which are: Technology Assessment Group, Delft University of Technology, (the Netherlands); Szeged College of Food Industry (Hungary); Dept. of Industrial Design, Politecnico di Milano (Italy), Avanzi (Milano, Italy), Manchester School of Management, UMIST (UK), Lehrstuhl Markt und Konsum (Universitat Hannover, Germany). The contributions of all involved researchers to the project methodology and discussions have been essential to the work described in this paper. This research has been supported by the EU DG 12 Environment and Climate RTD Programme, Contract no. ENV4-CT97-446. References Green K., Quist J., Szita Toth K., Toth L. and Young W. (1999) Scenarios for Shopping, Cooking and Eating in 2050: a three-country study, paper 8th GIN Conf. Ways of Knowing Stream, November 1999, Manzini E. & Jégou F. (1998), ‘Scenarios for sustainable households’, in: Brand, E. de Bruijn, T. & Schot, J. (eds.), Partnerships and Leadership Building Alliances for a Sustainable Future, Proceedings, Greening of Industry Network Conference, Rome November 15-18. Quist J, Knot M, Young W, Green K, Vergragt P. (2000, forthcoming), ‘Strategies Towards Sustainable Households Using Stakeholder Workshops and Scenarios’, submitted the Int. Journal of Sustainable Development’s special issue on sustainable household consumption. Quist JN, Vergragt PJ and Young CW (1999). Demand Side Innovations Towards Sustainability Using Stakeholder Workshops, 5th Int. 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