Last Name ________________________ First Name ________________________ ID __________________________ Operations Management II 73-431 Summer 2002 Odette School of Business University of Windsor Final Exam Solution Tuesday, August 16, 12:00 – 3:00 pm ED Gym Area 1-3 Instructor: Mohammed Fazle Baki Aids Permitted: Calculator, straightedge, and 3 one-sided formula sheet. Time available: 3 hours Instructions: This exam has 26 pages including this cover page and 6 pages of table Please be sure to put your name and student ID number on each page. Show your work. Marking Scheme: Question 1 3 5 7 9 11 13 15 Score /15 /4 /8 /4 /5 /3 /5 /2 Question 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 Total Score /6 /8 /14 /10 /6 /5 /5 /100 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 1: (15 points) 1.1 For which of the following should we use an X control chart to monitor process quality? a. Windshield cracked or not b. Flash lights work or not c. Number of flaws in a paint job d. Weight errors in cans of soup e. All of the above f. None of the above 1.2 For which of the following should we use an R control chart to monitor process quality? a. The volume of scrap parts b. Lengths of boards cut in a mil c. The ounce of beer poured in a can d. Errors in the length of pencils produced e. All of the above f. None of the above 1.3 You want to develop a three-sigma X control chart with subgroup size 4. You know that the standard deviation of the sample means is 4 and the average of the sample means is 24. Which of the following is the resulting UCL a. 40 b. 36 c. 30 d. 24 e. 12 f. 4 1.4 Consider the problem of economic design of X control chart. If k is increased keeping n unchanged a. Searching cost increases b. Searching cost decreases c. Cost of operating in out-of-control state increases d. Cost of operating in out-of-control state decreases e. a and d f. b and c 1.5 Which of the following is sampling cost? a. Personnel cost for scrap or repair b. Personnel cost for the fixing the problem c. Cost of item d. Cost of warranty claims e. All of the above f. None of the above 2 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ 1.6 Consider a single sampling plan with sample size n and acceptance number c . The producer’s risk increases if a. only n increases b. only c increases c. both n and c increase proportionately d. a and c e. all of the above f. none of the above 1.7 What is AOQ? a. Proportion of good items in the outgoing lot b. Proportion of defective items in the outgoing lot c. The maximum proportion of good items in the outgoing lot d. The maximum proportion of defective items in the outgoing lot e. Proportion of items inspected f. Proportion of items replaced by the good items 1.8 Reliability increases if a. the components are in series and the number of components increases b. the components are in series and the number of components decreases c. the components are in parallel and the number of components increases d. the components are in parallel and the number of components decreases e. a and d f. b and c 1.9 The average life is called a. Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) if the system is repairable b. Mean Time Between Failure (MTBF) if the system is non-repairable c. Mean Time To Failure if the system is repairable d. Mean Time To Failure if the system is non-repairable e. a and d f. b and c 1.10 Failure rate a. decreases during the normal operating period b. is the inverse of average life c. is constant during the wear-out period d. increases during the infant-mortality period e. all of the above f. none of the above 1.11 Process layout is used if a. product is standardized b. volume is high c. efficiency is more important than flexibility d. demand is fluctuating e. all of the above f. none of the above 3 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ 1.12 a. b. c. d. e. f. Cellular layouts group machines into cells that resemble small assembly lines based on part families identify families of parts with similar flow paths may provide poorly balanced cells all of the above a and b none of the above 1.13 a. b. c. d. e. f. In a job shop every job visits all the machines in the same order special purpose equipment is used scheduling is part of line balancing aisles are narrow all of the above none of the above 1.14 a. b. c. d. g. h. A scheduling problem is called stochastic if jobs are processed on two or more machines in series jobs are processed on two or more machines in parallel all the jobs are not available for processing at time zero processing times are not known at time zero a and d b and c 1.15 a. b. c. d. e. f. A critical path is the longest path one along which ES = LS for every activity one along which EF = LF for every activity one along which slack time = 0 for every activity all of the above none of the above Question 2: (6 points) An amplifier has a constant failure rate of 4% per 500 hour. a. (2 points) What is the probability that the amplifier will survive 2000 hours? Plife 2000 1 1 0.04 0.8493 t 4 b. (2 points) What is the average life? 1 1 25 in 500 hours = 12,500 hours 0.04 4 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ c. (2 points) What failure rate is required to have a probability of survival of 95% at 2000 hour? 1 4 0.95 or, 1 0.951 / 4 or, 1 - 0.951 / 4 0.0127 Hence, the failure rate is 0.0127 1.27% per 500 hour Question 3: (4 points) Two components A and B are used to make a subassembly in a circuit board. The reliabilities of A and B are 0.60 and 0.75 respectively. a. (2 points) Find the reliability of the subassembly, if the components are in parallel. R p 1 1 0.601 0.75 0.90 b. (2 points) Find the reliability of the subassembly, if the components are in series. Rs 0.60 0.75 0.45 Question 4: (8 points) The next-door neighbours are currently installing a new cistern that will provide water for their household. The different components for the system and their reliability are described in the diagram below. Determine the reliability of the system. 0.65 0.80 0.75 0.50 0.95 0.75 0.70 0.85 0.85 0.75 0.60 0.70 Consider the following subsystems: 3 0.80 7 0.65 1 4 0.75 0.75 0.95 0.50 6 5 2 0.85 0.85 0.75 0.70 0.60 0.70 5 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ R1 0.75 0.75 0.5625, R2 0.85 0.85 0.7225 R3 1 1 0.651 R1 1 R2 1 1 0.651 0.56251 0.7225 0.9575 R4 0.95 0.751 0.95 0.9875 R5 1 1 0.701 0.70 0.91, R6 0.60 R5 0.60 0.91 0.546 R7 1 1 0.501 R6 1 1 0.501 0.546 0.773 Rsy stem 0.80 R3 R4 R7 0.80 0.9575 0.9875 0.773 0.5847 Question 5: (8 points) In one of the acceptance sampling plans, 15 items were to be tested for 100 hours with replacement and with an acceptance number of 2. Plot an Operating Characteristic curve showing probability of acceptance as function of average life. Consider average life, = 250, 500, 1000, 2500, and 5000 hours. For each average life compute and plot the probability of acceptance. T 15100 1,500 hours, n 15, c 2 250 1 0.004 T 1 PNumber of defective c 1 3 | T 1 p where p is obtained from Table A - 3 for x' 3, m T 1500(0.004) =6 500 0.002 1500(0.002) =3 1000 0.001 1500(0.001) =1.5 2500 0.0004 1500(0.0004) =0.60 5000 0.0002 Pa PNumber of defective c 2 | T 1500(0.0002) =0.30 Pa PNumber of defective c 2 | 6 1 PNumber of defective c 1 3 | 6 1 0.9380 0.0620 where 0.9380 is obtained from Table A - 3 for x' 3, m 6 Pa PNumber of defective c 2 | 3 1 PNumber of defective c 1 3 | 3 1 0.5768 0.4232 where 0.5768 is obtained from Table A - 3 for x' 3, m 3 Pa PNumber of defective c 2 | 1.5 1 PNumber of defective c 1 3 | 1.5 1 0.1912 0.8088 where 0.1912 is obtained from Table A - 3 for x' 3, m 1.5 Pa PNumber of defective c 2 | 0.60 1 PNumber of defective c 1 3 | 0.60 1 0.0231 0.9769 where 0.0231 is obtained from Table A - 3 for x' 3, m 0.60 Pa PNumber of defective c 2 | 0.30 1 PNumber of defective c 1 3 | 0.30 1 0.0036 0.9964 where 0.5768 is obtained from Table A - 3 for x' 3, m 0.30 6 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Probability of acceptance, Pa Operating Characteristic Curve, Question #5 1.2 1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.2 0 0 2000 4000 6000 Average life Question 6: (14 points) A film processing service monitors the quality of the developing process with light-sensitive equipment. The accuracy measure is a number with a target value of zero. Suppose that an X chart with subgroup of size four is used to monitor the process and the control limits are UCL = 1.10 and LCL = -1.10. Assume that the process mean is zero and the process standard deviation is 0.80. a. (2 points) What is the Type I error probability, for this control chart? 1.1 0 2 P X 1.1 | 0, 0.8, n 4 2 P z 2 Pz 2.75 20.50 0.4970 0.006 0.8 / 4 b. (3 points) Suppose that the process mean shifts to 1.00. What is the probability that the shift is detected on the first subgroup after the shift occurs? 1.1 0 1.1 0 P 1.1 x 1.1 | 1, 0.8, n 4 P z 0.80 / 4 0.80 / 4 P 5.25 z 0.25 P 5.25 z 0 P0 z 0.25 0.5 0.0987 0.5987 Pshift is detected 1 1 0.5987 0.4013 c. (2 points) Suppose that there is a probability of 0.05 that the process shifts from an in-control state to an out-of-control state in any period. What is the expected number of periods per cycle that the process remains in control? Assuming each search costs $10, compute the expected searching cost per cycle. 1 1 0.05 19 0.05 Search cost per cycle a 2 1 E T 101 0.006 19 $11.14 E T 7 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ d. (2 points) Assume that when the process shifts out of control, the process mean shifts to 1.00. What is the expected number of periods per cycle that the process remains in an out-of-control state until a detection is made? If the cost of operating in an out-of-control state is $100 per period, what is the expected cost of operating in out-of-control state per cycle? E S 1 1 2.4919 periods 1 1 0.5987 Cost of operating in out-of-control state = a3 E S 1002.4919 $249.19 e. (3 points) What is the expected number of periods per cycle? If the cost of sampling is $10 per unit, what is expected cost of sampling per cycle? What is the expected total cost of sampling, searching, and operating in out-of-control state per period? E C E T E S 19 2.4919 21.4919 periods Sampling cost per cycle a a nE c 10 4 21.4919 $859.68 Total cost per period 11.14 249.19 859.68 1120.01 $52.11 per period 21.4919 21.4919 f. (2 points) Find the UCL and LCL based on three-sigma control limits. UCLX 3 LCLX 3 n n 03 03 0.80 4 0.80 4 1.2 1.2 Question 7: (4 points) An R chart is used to monitor the variation in the weights of packages of chocolate chip cookies produced by a large national producer of baked goods. An analyst has collected a baseline of 200 observations to construct the chart. Suppose the computed value of R is 5.068. a. (2 point) If subgroups of size six are to be used, compute the value of three-sigma limits for the R chart. n6 UCLR d 4 R 2.00 5.068 10.136 LCLR d 3 R 0 5.068 0 b. (2 points) If an X chart based on three-sigma limits is used, what is the difference between UCL and the LCL? (You can compute UCL X LCL X without knowing X ) UCLX X 3 LCLX X 3 n n R 5.068 Hence, UCLX LCLX X 3 X 3 6 6 6 4.8990 n n n d2 n 2.534 6 Question 8: (10 points) 8 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Consider a single sampling plan with n 20 , c 2 , AQL=0.01, and LTPD=0.2. a. (2 points) Compute producer’s risk . Use Poisson probability table. Producer’s risk = PRejection | p AQL 0.01 = Pc 1 or more defective | n 20 items are drawn, p 0.01 = P3 or more defective | np 20 0.01 0.20 = 0.0011 (Table A-3 gives Poisson cumulative probabilities for x' or more defectives. The value 0.0011 is obtained from x' 3, m np 0.20 ) b. (3 points) Compute consumer’s risk . Use Normal probability table. Consumer’s risk = PAcceptance | p LTPD 0.2 = Pc or fewer defective | n 20 items are drawn, p 0.20 = P 2 or fewer defective | np 20 0.20 4, 20 0.20 0.80 1.7889 2.50 | 4, 1.7889 (continuity correction) = P z 2.50 4 P z P z 0.84 P z 0 P 0.84 z 0 0.5 P0 z 0.84 1.7889 0.50 - 0.2995 (From Table A-1) = 0.2005 The following questions refer to the sampling plan stated above: n 20 , c 2 . c. (4 points) Compute the probability of acceptance, Pa at proportion of defective, p 0.3 . Use Binomial probability formula. Pa = P2 or fewer defective | n 20 items are drawn, p 0.30 = P0 defective | n 20 , p 0.30 + P1 defective | n 20 , p 0.30 + P2 defectives | n 20 , p 0.30 20 0 20 0 20 1 201 20 2 20 2 = 0.30 1 0.30 + 0.30 1 0.30 + 0.30 1 0.30 0 1 2 20! 0.300 1 0.30200 + 20! 0.301 1 0.30201 + 20! 0.302 1 0.30202 = 0!20 0! 1!20 1! 2!20 2! 20! 0.300 0.7020 + 20! 0.301 0.7019 + 20! 0.302 0.7018 = 0!20! 1!19! 2!18! 1 19 0 20 2 18 = 10.30 0.70 + 200.30 0.70 + 1900.30 0.70 =0.000798+0.0006839+0.027845873 = 0.0355 d. (1 point) Use the result of part c. Compute AOQ at p 0.3 if the lot size, N is 500. AOQ pN nPa 0.30500 200.0355 0.01022 N 500 9 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 9: (5 points) A large national producer of cookies and baked goods uses a c chart to monitor the number of chocolate chips in its chocolate chip cookies. The company would like to have an average of six chips per cookie. One cookie is sampled each hour. The results of the last 12 hours were: Hour Number of chips per cookie Hour Number of chips per 1 7 7 3 2 4 8 6 3 3 9 3 4 3 10 2 5 5 11 4 6 4 12 4 a. (2 points) Using the above data, set up a c -chart with z 3. c 7 4 3 3 5 4 3 6 3 2 4 4 48 4 12 12 UCL c c 3 c 4 3 4 10, LCL c c 3 c 4 3 4 2 0 (negative) b. (2 points) A purchaser of a bag of chocolate chip cookies discovers a cookie that has no chips in it and charges the company with fraudulent advertising. If the expected number of chips per cookie is four, what is the probability that a cookie would have no chips? Use Poisson probability table. Px 0 | 4 1 Px 1 | 4 1 0.9817 (from Table A - 3 for x' 1, m 4) 0.0183 c. (1 point) Suppose that the company produces 300,000 cookies per year. How many cookies baked each year would have no chips? E X np 300,000 0.0183 5,490 cookies Question 10: (6 points) Frank Brown, an independent TV repairman, is considering purchasing a home in Ames, Iowa, that he will use as a base of operations for his repair business. Frank’s primary sources of business are 5 industrial accounts located throughout the Ames area. He has overlaid a grid on a map of the city and determined the following locations for these clients as well as the expected number of calls per month he receives: Client Grid Location Expected Calls per Month 1 (6,4) 6 2 (8,3) 4 3 (5,9) 5 4 (4,5) 3 5 (7,8) 2 Find the optimal location of his house, assuming the goal is to 10 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ a. (3 points) minimize weighted squared of the Euclidean distances. Client, i ai bi wi wi ai wi bi 1 6 4 6 36 24 2 8 3 4 32 12 3 5 9 5 25 45 4 4 5 3 12 15 5 7 8 2 14 16 w i w a = 119/20 = 5.95 w w b = 112/20 = 5.60 w X* i w a 20 i i 119 w b i i 112 i i Y* i i i Optimal location = (5.95, 5.60) b. (3 points) minimize the maximum rectilinear distance to any client. Client ai bi ai bi ai bi 1 6 4 10 -2 2 8 3 11 -5 3 5 9 14 4 4 4 5 9 1 5 7 8 15 1 Min c1 9 c3 -5 Max c2 15 c4 4 c5 max c 2 c1 , c 4 c3 max 15 9,4 5 max 6,9 9 x1 c1 c3 / 2 9 5 / 2 7.0 y1 c1 c3 c5 / 2 9 5 9 / 2 6.5 x 2 c 2 c 4 / 2 15 4 / 2 5.5 y 2 c 2 c 4 c5 / 2 15 4 9 / 2 5.0 Any point along (7.0, 6.5) and (5.5, 5.0) is optimal. 11 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Question 11: (3 points) Activities of a project and their immediate predecessors are shown below: Activity Time (Weeks) Immediate Predecessors A 5 --- B 7 A C 3 A D 2 B,C E 6 C F 5 B,E Construct a network for the project. Use activity on arc methods. D 4 6 B 1 A F 2 C 5 3 E Node 1 = starting node Node 6 = finish node Question 12: (5 points) Following network shows PERT time estimates (a,m,b) in weeks: 4 (2,5,9) C a. (3 points) Determine a critical path based on most likely times. What is the mean and standard deviation of the length of the critical path? There are only 4 paths from the start node 1 to the finish node 7. These paths ad their lengths are listed below: Path ACEG ABEG ABDG ABFH Length 6+5+7 +3=21 6+12+7 +3=28 6+12+1 1+3=32 6+12+5 +6=29 The longest path, ABDG is the critical path. 12 (5,7,9) E 1 A (4,6,8) 2 5 P1 (1,3,7) G D (10,11,12) B (9,12,14) 3 F (3,5,7) 6 7 H (4,6,9) Name:_________________________________________________ Critical activity ID:_________________________ a 4m b 6 2 4 46 8 6 6 A B b a 2 8 42 14 92 10 411 12 11 6 12 102 36 0.6944 0.1111 36 1 43 7 3.33 6 G 0.44 36 9 412 14 11.83 6 D 36 7 12 6 6 11.83 11 3.33 32.16 1.0 2 0.44 0.69 0.11 1.0 2.25 2 2.25 1.5 b. (2 points) Assuming that the critical path is the one identified in a, find the probability that the project will be completed in 35 days. 35 32.16 P x 35 | 32.16, 1.5 P z P z 1.89 1. 5 P z 0 P0 z 1.89 0.50 0.4706 0.9706 Question 13: (5 points) Shop starts at 8:30 am. Following are the information about two jobs. Job Time when the job arrives Time when the job is completed Time when the job is due A 8:30 am 12:30 pm 1:30 pm B 11:30 am 4:30 pm 2:30 pm Find a. (1 point) completion time of each job. Set t 0 at 8:30 a.m. C A 12 : 30 8 : 30 4 hours C B 4 : 30 8 : 30 8 hours b. (1 point) flow time of each job. FA C A rA 4 0 4 hours FB C B rB 8 3 5 hours c. (1 point) tardiness of each job. 13 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ TA max 0, C A d A max 0,4 5 0 hours TB max 0, C B d B max 0,8 6 2 hours d. (1 point) total completion time. C C A CB 4 8 12 hours e. (1 point) makespan. Makespan = max C A , CB max 4,8 8 hours Question 14: (5 points) Jobs processed through Percy’s machine shop pass through milling, grinding and turning in the stated order. The hours required for each of these operations is as follows: Job Milling Grinding Turning A 7 2 2 B 2 1 7 C 4 1 1 D 5 2 6 E 3 1 8 a. (2 points) Determine a sequence to minimize makespan. First, consider the following fictitious 2-machine problem: Job Machine 1’ Machine 2’ A 7+2=9 2+2=4 B 2+1=3 1+7=8 C 4+1=5 1+1=2 D 5+2=7 2+6=8 E 3+1=4 1+8=9 Iteration 1: Min{processing times} = 2 for Job C on Machine 2’. Assign Job C to Position 5 (near end). Eliminate Job C. C Position 1 Position 2 Position 3 Position 4 Position 5 Iteration 2: Min{processing times, except Job C} = 3 for Job B on Machine 1’. Assign Job B to Position 1 (near beginning). Eliminate Job B. B C Position 1 Position 2 Position 3 Position 4 Position 5 Iteration 3: Min{processing times, except Jobs B,C} = 4 for Job A on Machine 2’. Assign Job A to Position 4 (near end). Eliminate Job A. B C Position 1 Position 2 Position 3 Position 4 Position 5 Iteration 4: Min{processing times, except Jobs A,B,C} = 4 for Job E on Machine 1’. Assign Job E to Position 2 (near beginning). Eliminate Job E. B E A C Position 1 Position 2 Position 3 Position 4 Position 5 Iteration 5: Assign Job D to the only remaining position 3. B E D A Position 1 Position 2 Position 3 Position 4 14 C Position 5 Name:_________________________________________________ ID:_________________________ Final sequence: B, E, D, A, C. b. (2 points) Draw a Gantt chart illustrating your solution. Milling B E B Grinding D E Turning A A D B 2 4 C C E 6 8 10 12 Time A D 14 16 18 20 22 24 C 26 28 30 c. (1 point) What is the optimal makespan? 27. Question 15: (2 points) A production facility assembles inexpensive telephones on a production line. The assembly requires 7 tasks with precedence relationships and activity times in minutes are shown below: 5 E 5 A 3 G 7 C 6 B F 8 D 12 a. (1 point) Consider a solution with station 1: {A,B}, station 2: {C,D}, station 3: {E,F,G}. Is the solution feasible? If so, find the cycle time given by the solution. Yes. Cycle time = max 5 6,7 12,5 8 3 max 11,19,16 19 min b. (1 point) Using eye inspection, provide a line balancing solution with cycle time at most 23 minutes and minimum number of workstations. Station 1: {A, B, C, E}, time = 5+6+7+5 = 23 min Station 2: {D, F, G}, time = 12+8+3 = 23 min Cycle time = max{23, 23} = 23 min as required. 15