Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan Nutritional Focus Mahoko Kamatsuchi Nutrition Specialist Health, Nutrition, Population Unit Human Development Network (HDNHE) The World Bank May 2006 M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 1 Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan Nutritional Focus I. SUMMARY ______________________________________________________________________ 3 II. OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE_________________________________________________________ 3 III. TRENDS AND CHARACTERISTICS OF MALNUTRITION IN UZBEKISTAN __________ 4 1. Child Undernutrition in Uzbekistan __________________________________________________ 4 2. Regional and Geographic Comparisons_______________________________________________ 6 3. Overweight and Obesity among Adults _______________________________________________ 7 4. Micronutrient Deficiencies ________________________________________________________ 8 a) Iron Deficiency Anemia ____________________________________________________ 8 Anemia among Children _______________________________________________________ 8 Anemia among Women of Reproductive Age _____________________________________ 9 b) Vitamin A Deficiency _______________________________________________________ 10 c) Iodine Deficiency __________________________________________________________ 10 IV. POSSIBLE CAUSES OF MALNUTRITION IN UZBEKISTAN ________________________ 11 V. COST-BENEFIT CONSIDERATIONS FOR INVESTING IN NUTRITION______________ 14 1. Economic losses due to malnutrition ________________________________________________ 14 3. Economic losses if no investments are made in nutrition _________________________________ 15 4. Economic gains from investing in nutrition___________________________________________ 17 5. Cost-benefit analysis _____________________________________________________________ 17 6. Long-term effects of not investing in nutrition _________________________________________ 17 VI. NUTRITION ACTIVITIES IN UZBEKISTAN ______________________________________ 19 a) Iron-folate supplementation – Anemia reduction and prevention for women and children_____ 19 b) Flour fortification – Anemia reduction and prevention among women and general population _ 20 c) Vitamin A Supplementation – Vitamin A deficiency control and prevention _______________ 20 d) Salt Iodization - Iodine deficiency control and prevention _____________________________ 20 e) Breastfeeding Promotion – Overall malnutrition prevention for infants ___________________ 21 f) Integrated Messages at the Community Level _______________________________________ 21 g) Growth monitoring Promotion (GMP) _____________________________________________ 21 VII. INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS FOR NUTRITION IN UZBEKISTAN __________ 21 VIII. RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS ___________________________________ 22 M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 2 Marcroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan Nutritional Focus I. SUMMARY Uzbekistan’s economic situation has improved significantly, where GDP growth averaged 2.9% between 1998 and 2003, and accelerating to 7.7% in 2004.1 The 2002 Uzbekistan Demographic and Health Survey reports that overall underweight status among young children has decreased from about 18%2 in 1996 to about 8% in 2002. However, alarming rates of micronutrient malnutrition, especially among children under 2 and women in reproductive age, need closer attention. Improving nutrition is in itself an MDG target, and the key indicator used for measuring progress as an nonincome poverty goal is the prevalence of underweight children under the age of five.3 The prevalence of moderate and severe stunting among Uzbek children under-five is 21%4. Micronutrient deficiencies among the same age group are even higher. Micronutrient malnutrition peaks especially among children between 12-23 months, where 70% of the children in that age group are anemic with iron deficiency, and 61% with vitamin A deficiency. Uzbekistan also has one of the highest prevalence of anemia (over 60%) among women of reproductive age in Central Asia. In addition, Uzbekistan suffers from an upward shift of overweight and obesity among the adult population, and the trend is likely to be further aggravated by the ongoing changes in lifestyles and an increasingly aging population. Better nutritional status in childhood has been shown to be strongly associated with improved physical health and labor productivity, and improved cognitive development and school performance, both enhancing incomeearning potential later in adulthood5. Productivity losses from malnutrition ranges between 0.5% to 2.9% of total GDP, totaling over $53 million to $292 million. If no investments were made to improve the nutritional situation of the population in Uzbekistan, economic losses would be much higher if the nutrition status did improve for the next six years. Due to the decease in the prevalence rate, the economic loss due to stunting would be 1.1 % of GDP without the improvement, and 2% in anemia among under-five. The total loss from undernutrition (anemia, iodine deficiency, stunting and underweight) shows more than 4% reduction in GDP growth. Each two or three years delay in getting nutrition programs to pregnant women and children under two means another cohort of children whose physical and mental development is stunted for life. Because nutrition programs are fairly inexpensive to implement, cost-benefit ratios for many interventions are low. Nutrition investments, especially in micronutrients, are shown to be one of the ‘best buys’ that developing countries could make in reducing poverty ($0.02 for vitamin A supplementation, $0.06 for breastfeeding promotion) and improving economic growth.6 The need to address malnutrition has been recognized by the government of Uzbekistan. Several activities and nutrition interventions targeting young children and pregnant women have been carried out at different scales with various partners7. At the central level, the Ministry of Health is seeking technical support to elaborate a coherent nutrition policy with active programs, with a focus on integrating nutrition activities into a comprehensive national framework to work towards a common goal and to go to scale to rapidly reduce and prevent malnutrition problems, especially among children and pregnant women. II. OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE The overall objective of the review is to examine the nutritional situation in Uzbekistan to assist the government to formulate a national nutrition policy framework and to improve the Bank’s investment on ongoing and planned health, nutrition and population (HNP) operations in the country. The analysis will help the government finalize its nutrition strategy, to be discussed in a second in-country partner roundtable meeting M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 3 in late 2006,1 as well as lay the groundwork for the preparation of the Bank’s Analytical and Advisory Assistance (AAA) for Uzbekistan, in particular in the area of health which will include a nutrition component. The following review will provide: a) an enhanced understanding of the prevalence of undernutrition across demographic and subregional groups, as well as those of overweight and risk factors for non-communicable diseases; 2) a review of actual interventions in nutrition; 3) evidence of how malnutrition and improved nutrition could impact the country’s socioeconomic development; and 4) some cost-effective program options for interventions in nutrition. III. TRENDS AND CHARACTERISTICS OF MALNUTRITION IN UZBEKISTAN 1. Child Undernutrition in Uzbekistan2 22.6% of children under-three years are moderately and severely stunted8; 6.1% are moderately or severely wasted, and 8.8% are moderately or severely underweight (Table 1). In Table 1, both indicators of children under three and children under five are provided to facilitate comparative analysis later throughout the paper. Table 1: Percentage of Children Under 3 and Under 5 Years of Age Malnourished MALNUTRITION TYPES Children Under-THREE Moderate/Severe (<-2SD) Children Under FIVE Moderate/Severe (<-2SD) Stunted Low height-for-age Wasted Low weight-for-height Underweight Low weight-for-age 22.8 6.1 8.8 21.1 7.1 7.9 Source: UHES 2002 The overall underweight status among young children has decreased from about 19%3 in 1996 to about 9% in 2002 (Figure 1) among children under three years old.4 The overall proportion of children under three who are stunted declined by one-third, while the proportions wasted and underweight declined by one-half. 1 The first nutrition round-table meeting was held on February 17, 2006 in Tashkent, Uzbekistan at the Ministry of Health called upon the initiative by Dilnara Isamiddinova, Operations Officer at the World Bank Uzbek Office upon the visit of Mahoko Kamatsuchi, Nutrition Specialist from HDNHE. 2 The first UN Millennium Decade Goal is: To reduce underweight in Uzbekistan from 8.8% in 2000 to 4.4% by the year 2015. United Nations Millennium Development Goals resolution adopted by the UN General Assembly at the 8 th plenary meeting in Sources: UDHS 1996, UHES 2002 September 2000. 3 Macro International, Uzbekistan Demographic Health Survey 1996. UDHS 1996 only measured children’s underweight prevalence among children aged three (18.8%) and not among children under-five as done in the 2002 Uzbekistan Health & Education Survey. 4 In the 1996 UDHS, children under the age of three years were measured in households selected for the nationally representative sample. In the 2002 UHES, children under the age of five in the households were selected and measured. Since both surveys were designed to be representative of the entire country, comparisons can be made between the indices of nutritional status obtained in the two surveys for all children under the age of three years. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 4 Unde r-3 Malnutrition Tre nds Uz be kistan be twe e n 1996 & 2002 Chidre n unde r-thre e . (<-2 SD) Stunted 31.2 Wasted (<-2 SD) 22.8 18.8 Underweight (<-2 SD) 11.6 Figure 1 35 Prevalence (%) 30 25 20 15 10 8.8 6.1 5 0 1996 2002 Sources: UDHS 1996, UHES 2002 If we take the poorest 40% and compare them with the top 40%, we see that the children in the poorest income groups are twice as much at risk of being underweight than those in the highest income groups9. However, anemia rates do not necessary show the same trends as with underweight, as anemia prevalence tends to increase towards the upper quintiles (Figure 2). Malnutrition Trend by Wealth Quintiles Children Under-five, Uzbekistan Prevalence rate (%) 40 38.8 35.7 32.4 35 33.9 28.5 30 25 19.5 20 20.6 18.3 15.3 16.1 11.7 15 16 15.4 8.2 10 10.1 5 ig he st M id Stunting Underweight H dl e d Se co n Lo w e st 0 ur th 2 Fo Figure Wealth Quintiles Anemia Source: World Bank (2003) It is important to note that children aged 10-23 months are more malnourished than children in other age groups in underweight and stunting indices (Figure 3). Moderate to severe stunting rises rapidly over the first year, reaching a peak at age 10-11 months (35%). It remains elevated through age 36-37 months following with a dip at 48-59 months. Undernutrition among Children under 5 by Age Groups Figure 3 40 35 35 27.1 25 25.2 Stunted 23.5 Wasted 20 16.1 15 10 8 7.1 5 3 5.9 3.4 6.1 12 -2 3 11.6 10 -1 1 Prevalence (%) 30 15.2 13 7.3 8.9 8.4 7.8 4.8 Underweight 8.4 6.1 48 -5 9 36 -4 7 24 -3 5 69 <6 0 Age (months) Source: UHES 2002; MICS2 Uzbekistan (2000) M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 5 2. Regional and Geographic Comparisons5 In Uzbekistan, there are urban-rural differences in rates of malnutrition. Stunting and underweight in children are 1.5 times higher in rural areas compared to urban. Approximately 23.8% are stunted and 9.1% are underweight in rural areas in comparison to 16.3% and 6.7% in urban areas (Table 2). Comparing the 1996 and 2002 national surveys, the situation in both urban and rural areas has improved, where we find a 65% decline in urban areas in underweight in comparison to 53% in rural areas. Also, the improvement in stunting has decreased dramatically by 50% in urban areas between 1996 and 2002, while it only decreased by 22% in rural areas over the same period. The possible reasons why urban children are better off nutritionally could be due to better access to healthcare, sanitation facilities, information and than what children in rural areas have access to10. More research will be required in this area to find out the actual reasons for these urban-rural differences in Uzbekistan. Table 2: National Prevalence of Undernutrition in Children <5 years in Urban and Rural Areas Urban Rural Stunted (low height for age) Moderate & Severe (<-2SD) 1996 2002 32.6 16.3 30.7 23.8 Source: UDHS 1996 & UHES 2002 Wasted (low weight for height) Moderate & Severe (<-2SD) 1996 2002 10.2 6.7 12.2 7.9 Underweight (low weight for age) Moderate & Severe (<-2SD) 1996 2002 16.6 5.8 19.7 9.1 If analyzed by geographical breakdown, stunting is highest in the East (Namangan, Ferghana and Andijan Oblasts) (25.7%), and underweight is highest in the East-Central region (Samarkand, Dzhizak, Syrdarya and Tashkent Oblasts) (13.4%) (Figure 4). The eastern-central region has almost twice the rate of underweight compared to all the other regions in the country. The high indicator of wasting in Tashkent City is questionable, since underweight (which is only 3.5%) is an immediate measure of malnutrition that combines wasting and stunting figures. Figure 4: Undernutrition in Children Under 5 years-old by regions (%), Uzbekistan Undernutrition of children under-five by regions 30 25.7 23.2 Prevalence (%) 25 19.5 20 17.3 Children Stunted (<2SD) 15.3 13.4 15 9 10 5 Children Wasted (<2SD) 11.6 5.6 3.9 6.8 7.2 5.75.5 3.8 Chidren Underweigh t (<-2SD) 0 Western Central EastCentral Eastern Tashkent City Source: UHES 2002 5 Uzbekistan is a landlocked country located in Central Asia, with a territory covering 448,900 km2. The country consists of 12 administrative regions (oblasts), one Autonomous Republic of Karakalpakstan, and Tashkent City. Each region is divided into administrative districts (rayons), totaling 162 districts, and 118 cities and towns. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 6 As for comparison with other Central Asian countries, Uzbekistan is at similar levels with other countries in the Central Asian region in terms of stunting rates, but shows the highest in wasting which reveals the current malnutrition situation of children (Table 3). Table 3: Comparison of Prevalence of Stunting and Wasting Rates in Children under-three in Uzbekistan with other Central Asian Countries Country Kazakhstan11 Kyrgyz Republic12 Tajikistan13 Turkmenistan14 Uzbekistan15 % Stunting (<-2SD) 9.4 24.8 30.9 22.3 22.8 % Wasting (<-2SD) 1.7 3.4 4.9 5.7 6.1 % Underweight (<-2 SD) 4.7 11.0 n.a. 12.0 8.8 3. Overweight and Obesity among Adults Underweight among women (BMI <18.5) (See Box 1 for BMI explanation) does not seem to be a problem in Uzbekistan where only 6% fall in the category of being undernourished16. On the contrary, there is a tendency of overweight and obesity in the adult population. However, even though the tendency shows adult women being more overweight, they show extremely high anemia prevalence with 60.4% among women of reproductive age (15-49) (See section on Iron Deficiency among Women, p. 8.) Between 1996 and 2002, there was an upward shift of overweight and obesity among women in Uzbekistan (Figure 5). 3 out of 10 women and men are either obese or overweight (28% and 32% respectively). 54% of women aged 45-49 years are overweight/obese in comparison to only 8% of women 15-19 years old, which is an increase of six-folds. Most overweight or obese adults are in Tashkent City (34%) compared to the next highest region in East-Central (28.9%) (Figure 6). Conditions which are possibly related to being overweight or obese are growing in the country. Though the reliability of the self-reported data could be biased and can result in higher levels of hypertension17, hypertension levels were higher among overweight/obese subjects compared with those of normal weight18. The hypertension rate among overweight/obese women (BMI ≥ 25) was 16% as compared with 3-4% among women who were thin or normal weight (BMI < 18.5-24.9).19 Where high prevalence of underweight among children exist, as in the East-Central region (13.4%), high prevalence of overweight/obesity among adult women also exists (29.1%) (Figure 6). There are currently no data available on overweight /obesity prevalence among Uzbek children to be able to conduct a comparative analysis of overweight and underweight children in the same regions. Figure 6 Figure 5 Overweight/Obese Women & Underweight Children by Regions 40 Women of reproductive age (15-59 yrs.) 35 Prevalence (%) 30 27.5 29.1 34.1 29.1 25 23.5 20 15 Overweig ht/ Obese (B M I >25) Wo men (15-59) 13.4 10 5 9 5.5 5.6 3.8 0 Western Central East-Central Eastern Tashkent Underwei ght (<2SD ) C hildren under-5 City M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 7 Box 1. Consequences of Overweight / Obesity Overweight and obesity are leading risk factors for multiple chronic diseases, including hypertension, type 2 diabetes, coronary heart diseases, and certain forms of cancer (WHO, 1998). The body mass index (BMI) is a measure of a person’s energy reserves (thinness or obesity) and is defined as weight in kilograms divided by the square of height in meters (kg/m2). A BMI value of less than 18.5 is considered an indication of chronic energy deficiency among non-pregnant women and men, based on cutoffs set by the WHO (WHO, 1995). Values of 25.0-29.9 indicate that a person is “overweight,” while values of 30.0 and higher indicate “obesity.” In a woman with a BMI of 26, the risk of coronary heart disease is twice the risk compared to women with a BMI of less than 21. The risk of diabetes is 4 times higher in obese men and 8 times higher in obese women; and the risk of hypertension is 2-3 times higher in obese individuals. It has been estimated that about 64% of male and 77% of female cases of maturity-onset diabetes could possibly be prevented if no person had a BMI over 25 (CDC, 2005) In Uzbekistan, 28% of women and 32% of men are overweight or obese. 4. Micronutrient Deficiencies a) Iron Deficiency Anemia [Goal: Reduce the prevalence of anemia (including iron deficiency) by one-third by 2010. (Declared at the UN General Assembly during the Special Session on Children, May 20026)] Anemia among Children Iron deficiency anemia is high among Uzbek children under age of five (49.2%), and it is especially high among children in the 12-23 month age group (70.2%)78 (Figure 7). Prevalence of anemia is considered a moderate public health problem if prevalence is more than 20% in any group; while it is considered a severe public health significance when the prevalence is more than 40%20. In comparison to other countries in Central Asia, Uzbekistan shows an overall high rate of anemia among children under five in level with Kyrgyz Republic and Tajikistan (Table 4). Anemia and Vitamin A deficiency among chlidren (6-59 months) by Age, Uzbekistan 80 Figure 7 70.2 70 Prevalence (%) 60 58.6 50.6 47.7 50.2 50 40 38.1 61.4 55.4 54.5 44.5 38.1 53.1 49.2 35.5 Vitamin A deficiency (<20 µg/dl) 30 20 Source: UHES 2002 Anemia (Hb <12g/dl) 10 0 6-9 10-11 12-23 24-35 36-47 Age (months) 48-59 TOTAL 6 Declared at the UN General Assembly in the Special Session on Children, May 2002. The renewed micronutrient goals set out in May 2002 aim to achieve the sustainable elimination of iodine-deficiency disorders by 2005 and vitamin A deficiency by 2010; reduce by one third the prevalence of anemia, including iron deficiency, by 2010; and accelerate progress toward the reduction of other micronutrient deficiencies through dietary diversification, food fortification, and supplementation. 7 Severe anemia is considered a public health problem if prevalence is >20% in any group 8 UHES data uses hemoglobin levels below 120 g/l as cut off points to indicate children aged 6-59 months as being anemic, while WHO’s standards uses Hb <110 g/l as presence of anemia among the same age group (WHO/UNICEF/UNU, 2001). M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 8 Table 4: Anemia in Children under-five and Women in Central Asia (Sources: DHS Surveys) Prevalence (%) among Children under-five (Hb<12g/dl) Prevalence among Women (15-49 years) (Hb<12g/dl) 36.3 49.8 48.0 35.8 49.2 35.5 38.0 44.0 47.3 60.4 Kazakhstan21 Kyrgyz Republic22 Tajikistan23 Turkmenistan Uzbekistan9 Anemia among Women of Reproductive Age Uzbekistan has one of the highest prevalence of iron deficiency anemia among women of reproductive age (15-49 years old) in Central Asia with 60.4% (Table 4). Though no nationwide anemia surveys were conducted for women in 2002, we can presume to take this figure as representative especially where no anemia reduction interventions were conducted since 1996. Anemia rates among women are extremely high in the West and in the East regions (Figure 8). The explanations of the causes of the high rates require further research. Data of the various malnutrition measurements for children and women are plotted together on the below graph (Figure 8) to portray the different malnutrition prevalence existing within the regions. Undernutrition of children under-five & Women of reproductive age by Regions 90 Figure 8 80 Prevalence (%) 70 60 C hildre n S t unt e d ( <2SD ) 50 40 C hildre n Wa s t e d ( <2SD ) 30 C hidre n Unde rwe ight ( <- 2 S D ) 20 10 A ne m ia in wo m e n ( H b <12 g/ dl) 0 Western Central East- Eastern Central Tashkent City A ne m ia in C hildre n ( H b<12 g/ dl) Source: UDHS 1996, UHES 2002 Box 2. Consequences of Iron Deficiency Iron deficiency causes anemia and reduces activity levels and productivity in whole populations. Iron is necessary for the production of hemoglobin—the source of the red pigment in blood—which carries oxygen to the tissues. Because less oxygen is delivered to cells, people with iron deficiency anemia are easily fatigued and become more susceptible to infection. Iron in the body is regulated mainly by absorption. There are some substances that inhibit absorption of iron into the body, such as tea and coffee, as they contain an iron absorption inhibiting element called tannin. Children 6 to 24 months of age and pregnant women are most at risk for iron deficiency anemia, followed by all women of reproductive age. Anemia among children between 6 to 24 months disrupts the normal development of the brain. Effects on children include stunting, sickliness, poor school attendance, and lower levels of concentration and memory. Anemia among pregnant women increases the risk of hemorrhage and overwhelming bacterial infection during childbirth. These women may give birth to babies who suffer from infections, weakened immunity, learning disabilities, and impaired physical development and, in severe cases, death. Infants will be anemic if they do not receive important iron stores from the mother during pregnancy and during delivery. Due to iron deficiency anemia in Uzbekistan, 60% of the nation’s 6 to 24 month-old children are at risk of disrupted brain and physical development. 9 For women, UDHS 1996 figures are used. For children, UHES 2002 figures are used. Approximately 5,000 Uzbek infants a year are at increased risk of death in the period immediately before or after birth. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 9 b) Vitamin A Deficiency [Goal: Achieve the sustainable elimination of vitamin A deficiency by 2010. (UN General Assembly declaration, May 2002)24] Currently, over half of the children under five (53.1%),10 or 2 million Uzbek children, suffer from vitamin A deficiency (VAD) in Uzbekistan. VAD rate peaks among children aged 12-23 months (61.4%). This peak also coincides with the high anemia rates among the same age group (Figure 7). Children in the 12-23 month age group are a high priority for nutrition interventions to prevent and treat any type of malnutrition since this is the age when any form of malnutrition does the most irreparable damage to the child25. Box 3. Consequences of Vitamin A Deficiency Vitamin A deficiency damages immune systems among young children so that illness and infections becomes more common, and the children’s ability to resist diseases such as diarrhea, measles and acute respiratory infections is greatly hampered. Lack of vitamin A can also cause eye disease and can lead to blindness. Increasing the vitamin A intake of populations with vitamin A deficiency (VAD) can decrease childhood deaths from such illnesses by 23%, or nearly a quarter of childhood deaths. Half of Uzbekistan’s children (53%) are growing up with lowered immunity, leading to frequent ill health and poor growth due to vitamin A deficiency. c) Iodine Deficiency [Goal: Achieve the sustainable elimination of iodine deficiency disorders by 2005. (UN General Assembly declaration, May 2002.)] Currently, 50% of the population in Uzbekistan suffers from iodine deficiency. Iodine deficiency disorder (IDD) is a severe health problem in the most parts of the country, evidenced by inadequate urinary excretion of iodine (<10 mcg/l),26 and the prevalence of goiter (15%) among the population. Thyroid goiter due to iodine deficiency was prevalent as high as 40% in the Surkhandaria, Khoresm and Karakalpakstan regions.27 In 2002, among the five prompted conditions of self-reported illnesses28, goiter was by far the most frequently reported by women (13.6%), followed by anemia with 11.2%29. The Western region outnumbers the percentage of women who self-reported goiter in comparison with other regions (Figure 9). In Uzbekistan, only 19% of households consume adequately iodized salt30. The 80% of Uzbek households which are not consuming iodized salt include 400,000 newborns that are not protected from brain damage each year. Self-reported goiter among Women by regions Figure 9 Percentage of goiter reported Source: UHES 2002 45 40.2 40 35 30 25 20 14.2 15 12.8 6.4 10 7.8 5 0 Western Central East- Eastern Central Percentage of goiter reported Tashkent City 10 The study conducted limited to only Ferghana Oblast, a province in Uzbekistan where fruits and vegetables are particularly abundant. If a problem with vitamin A were found in Ferghana Oblast, it was assumed that VAD problem exists elsewhere in the country. UHES (2002). M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 10 Box 4. Consequences of Iodine Deficiency Iodine deficiency is the world’s leading cause of mental retardation and brain damage, having the most devastating impact on the brain of the developing fetus and young children in the first few years of life. Pregnant women are most at risk because of the tragic effects of iodine deficiency on the developing fetus which may cause brain damage to the unborn child. Some children born to iodine-deficient mothers suffer from extreme physical and mental retardation manifesting in goiter (an enlarged thyroid gland), speech defects, deafness and cretinism. These children, however, represent only the tip of the iceberg. Most children born to iodine-deficient mothers appear normal but may have also suffered from brain damage and loss in an average of 10-15 IQ points, affecting their ability to develop to their full potential. These seemingly normal children may have difficulty learning in school. Iodine deficiency disorders (IDD) can be prevented with just one teaspoon of iodine—consumed in tiny amounts on a regular basis over a lifetime through universal salt iodization (USI). In Uzbekistan, an estimated 400,000 Uzbek babies are born each year with intellectual impairment caused by iodine deficiency in pregnancy. Where goiter rate is estimated between 25-40%, more moderate forms of iodine deficiency are estimated to be so widespread as to lower the average national IQ by 10 to 15 percentage points among schoolaged children. Due to iron and iodine deficiency combined, an estimated 1.2% of GDP is lost due to lowered productivity of the adult work-force in Uzbekistan (MI/UNICEF. VAM Damage Assessment Report, Uzbekistan, 2004.). IV. POSSIBLE CAUSES OF MALNUTRITION IN UZBEKISTAN The high prevalence of micronutrient malnutrition among young children and pregnant women can be due to multiple factors, such as diseases due to diarrhea, infectious diseases, inadequate feeding practices, limited access to water, hygiene and sanitation, and lack of education, especially among women. The country’s socioeconomic situation, leading to poverty and non-access to sufficient resources, could also be basic factors. The conceptual framework of the causes of malnutrition were used for the analysis (See Annex. Figure 13. Conceptual Framework). 1. Possible immediate Causes As for infectious diseases, diarrhea and acute respiratory infections (ARI) are not common in Uzbekistan. ARIs are extremely low and controlled, with only less than 1% of children under five with acute respiratory infections, and only 5% had diarrhea in the preceding two weeks before the national survey31. 94% of children with diarrhea received one or more of the recommended home treatments (oral rehydration solution or a recommended home fluid), so home-based care can be considered adequate according to the household survey32. In dietary intake, as there are no nation-wide information on this, this factor cannot be analyzed. The low levels of exclusive breastfeeding for 6 months, or other substances that young children are consuming could be a triggering factor for the high levels of iron and vitamin A deficiency, but this needs to be further investigated when dietary intake data are available. 2. Possible Underlying Causes There does not seem to be a problem in access to food by looking at the food supply data from FAO. Food supply per capita dietary energy supply is reported as 2,270 kilocalories per person per day (October 2005)33, M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 11 which is above the daily average requirements of healthy adult individuals.11 Information on what the family eats, especially young children and women, on a daily basis, is not available. In terms of care for mothers and young children, low birth weight among newborns is not a significant concern. (Low birth weight babies reveal the nutrition status of the mother.) Only 6% of new-borns are estimated to weigh less than 2,500 grams at birth.34 In terms of breastfeeding and complementary feeding practices, here is where the analysis could be highlighted as being one of the major concerns and possible causes of the high micronutrient malnutrition among children under two. Almost all newborns are universally breastfed in Uzbekistan (99%). However, by the age of 2 months old, exclusive breastfeeding with only breastmilk drastically decreases to 42% (Figure 10), depriving the infant from receiving the vital nutrients, energy and protein which can be sufficiently obtained from just providing pure breastmilk alone. There was a slight improvement of exclusive breastfeeding rates from 2000 to 2002, however, where only 4.8% of children under 6 months of age were exclusively breastfed in 200035, while in 2002, this rate improved to 9%. Box 5. Infant and Young Child Feeding Recommendations The internationally recommended practice is to exclusively breastfeed babies up to 6 months of age, and continue breastfeeding up to two years of age and beyond. To exclusive breastfeed means to give nothing but breastmilk to the child until s/he is 6 months old. When complementary foods are being introduced after 6 months of age, on-demand and frequent breastfeeding should be continued to ensure that infants receive all the benefits of breastfeeding. Promotion of practice of exclusive breastfeeding alone contributes 58%-87% reduction of neonatal mortality (Lancet, March 2005). WHO estimates that 1.5 million deaths a year could be prevented by effective breastfeeding protection (1993). Bottle feeding with nipples is discouraged at any age. The artificial nipple enables faster flow of milk to the child than suckling and may discourage the baby to breastfeed. Breastfeeding in general is a very common practice in Uzbekistan, as can be seen with the relatively long median duration of breastfeeding which is practiced up to 20.4 months. Breastmilk is provided in addition of other liquid or foods36. However, paediatricians and primary healthcare workers are said to frequently advise the use of breastmilk substitutes (formula milk) or early introduction of other liquids and foods37 even for children younger than 6 months old if women consult them on the slightest problems with breastfeeding38. Figure 10 6-months Exclusive Breastfeeding by Age: Uzbekistan 120 Rate (%) 100 Exclusive breastfeeding 6 months 99 80 60 42 40 14 20 9 3 2 A 89 67 45 23 <2 tb irt h 0 Months 11 The daily average requirements for healthy adult individuals are 2,000 Kcal/person/day, WHO, Geneva. Healthy Food and Nutrition for Women and their Families (2001). M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 12 Table 5: Infant and Young Child Feeding Status by Age Age in months Exclusively breastfed At birth <2 2-3 4-5 6-7 8-9 99.0 42.0 14.5 9.0 2.5 1.5 TOTAL <6 months 9.0 Source: UHES 2002 Supplement to Breastfeeding Water-based Plain water liquids/juice 24.7 23.5 36.7 29.1 21.6 29.4 8.0 32.0 6.3 17.7 27.3 27.8 0 0 8.1 22.2 43.5 57.4 Percentage using a bottle with a nipple -26.9 41.3 37.8 34.6 24.9 -- -- Complementary Foods The percentage of the usage of the bottle with a nipple is also elevated in Uzbekistan. 41.3% of mothers use bottles with artificial nipples to feed their infants when the child is only 2-3 months old (Table 5). In August 2004, the Ministry of Health issued an Order (Pirkaz 378) in line with the International Code of Marketing Breastmilk Substitutes to prohibit the free distribution and advertising of breastmilk substitutes in obstetric and children's health care facilities (Box 6). However, monitoring the compliance of the Code does not seem to be fully reinforced. As large-scale multi-national breastmilk substitutes industries are prevalent in the country, surveillance of the Code compliance needs to be closely monitored. Box 6. What is the Code? (from IBFAN www.ibfan.org) The Code is an international law that enforces: No advertising of breastmilk substitutes in the health care system or to the public. No free samples, subsidized supplies or gifts to be given to mothers, pregnant women, health workers or to health facilities. No contact between the infant formula company marketing personnel and mothers. Materials for mothers to be non-promotional and to carry clear and full information and warnings on the negative impact on using infant formula feeding. Materials for health workers to contain only scientific and factual information. No pictures of babies or other idealizing images on infant formula labels. Complementary foods are introduced to children at 22.2% already at the age of 4-5 months. The data available do not provide sufficient information as to evaluate the nutrient content of the complementary foods provided to the young children. It is worthy to note that exclusive breastfeeding rates are very low, and there is a high consumption of tea among women and children at an early stage in their life (See Box 7 on Tea Drinking in Uzbekistan). Box 7. Cultural characteristics of tea drinking in Uzbekistan In Uzbekistan, tea is introduced to children at an early age: almost half of infants 0-3 months are given tea, and by 4-7 months 85% of infants are receiving tea. By age 8-11 month, the most common food/liquid item given to children is tea (98%). (UDHS 1996). Uzbek children were often found to consume tea at meals (40% to 78%). Parents served tea to over 40% of children under one, and about 40% of children aged 1 to 3 years old during meals in Karakalpakstan (UNICEF, 2002). Tea inhibits iron absorption in the body due to the tannin present in both green and black tea. The high intake of tea decreases the absorption of iron in the diet by 40%. Pregnant women especially should be aware that tea inhibits iron absorption for the body and consequently to the baby. Tea should be taken one or two hours after eating especially during pregnancy. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 13 Lack of water, sanitation and hygiene could also be a determining factor for the causes of malnutrition. Only 29% of households in rural areas have piped water in their residences (54% overall; 85% in urban areas,) whereas 23% utilizes the public tap as their water source. In the rural areas, the most common sources of water is a public tap (33%), piped water (29.3%), and protected wells in their residence (11%).39 Pit toilets are the most common sanitary facility, where up to 89% of rural households possess one, while 93% of urban households have either a flush or pit toilet. Hand-washing before meals and after toilet usage and other information on hygiene behavior are not available. Information on intestinal worm prevalence among children under-five, school-aged children and pregnant and women of reproductive age would be useful to determine a common cause of anemia among those groups. In general, access to healthcare services is high, where 90% of children are born in maternities or hospitals. 85% of children are reported to have received all 8 recommended vaccinations in the first year of life40, and DPT3 vaccination coverage is high with 94%. 3. Possible Basic Causes Basic factors which underlie causes of malnutrition can be due to the lack of access to education, or lack of resources to a country or community; and/or political, cultural, and social factors that affect utilization of those resources12. Analysis on these issues will not be portrayed here due to the extensive work that will be required to further investigate into each of these factors. As for education, Uzbekistan has high literacy rates (97% of total population), and virtually all Uzbek adults have gone to school, with the median number of years of schooling being nine41. V. COST-BENEFIT CONSIDERATIONS FOR INVESTING IN NUTRITION The cost analysis required in this section was conducted by Dr. Yoko Ibuka from Rutgers University. Some sections of the study was extracted to facilitate the reading of the work. A more detailed report will be available upon the finalization of the study. 1. Economic losses due to malnutrition Possible economic losses due to malnutrition were calculated from the following six types of malnutrition and micronutrient deficiencies, which are currently prevalent in Uzbekistan: stunting in children under fives, underweight in children under fives, anemia in children under fives, anemia in women of reproductive age, vitamin A deficiency, and iodine deficiency. Table 7 shows the present values of productivity losses due to malnutrition and each micronutrient deficiency with a 3% discount rate. All values except for (4) are shown in the present values after discounted by the discount rate as well as survival rate. The ratio to GDP and per capita loss are also shown for each category in the table. These values in the table should be interpreted with the greatest caution regarding the large uncertainties involved in input data and model design. In the table, the total loss was also calculated by summing up the losses due to each category between (1) and (6) for reference. However, notice that the total should not be interpreted as the total economic losses in the economy, because the losses from (1) through (6) are not mutually exclusive. For example, stunting and underweight in children are obviously related to the micronutrient deficiencies. The productivity loss ranges between 0.53% and 2.90% of GDP in 2002, totaling $53.11 million and $ 292.95 million respectively. The smallest burden is vitamin A deficiency, and the largest burden is iodine deficiency. One reason why vitamin A deficiency yields the smallest burden is the low mortality rate under five in Uzbekistan. The calculation of the economic loss due to vitamin A deficiency is based on the number of 12Based on UNICEF’s Conceptual Framework on the causes of malnutrition (1990). M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 14 deaths under-five, and therefore low mortality rate is associated with small number of deaths due to vitamin A deficiency.13 The loss per capita from vitamin A deficiency is $2.08, and $11.46 from iodine deficiency. Iodine deficiency causes large productivity loss in the economy. The goiter rate in Uzbekistan is high14 and it affects the productivity through intellectual impairment. Only the loss by goiter is estimated in our model, but the loss would be larger if more moderate forms of iodine deficiency is also counted in the analysis. Anemia among children under-fives is also a big burden in the country in terms of productivity losses in the future. The prevalence rate in children is still seriously large15, and it would cause productivity losses in the future through deterioration of cognition in childhood. Underweight in children is another cause of large productivity losses. Underweight is associated with high mortality in children, and the value shows the fact that the future productivity loss from the lost lives due to malnutrition is not negligible, considering that the prevalence of underweight is considerably large, though under-five mortality rate is not so. Sensitivity analysis Table 7 shows the results from the sensitivity analysis. The table contains both the result with 3% discount rate and 10% discount rate for comparison. The present value of productivity losses with 10% discount rate is much smaller than those with 3 % in each case, and it ranges from 0.10 % to 0.44 % as ratio to GDP, and per capita losses are between $0.39 and $1.75. The total loss is also shown. The total loss is now 2.22% of GDP, which is less than one third of the result with 3% discount rate. 3. Economic losses if no investments are made in nutrition If no investments were made to improve the nutritional situation of the population in Uzbekistan, economic losses would be much higher if the nutrition status did improve for the next six years. Due to the decease in the prevalence rate, the economic loss due to stunting would be 1.11 % of GDP without the improvement, and 2.02% in children anemia. The total loss from the four categories shows more than 4% reduction in relation to the GDP (Figure 11). Figure 11: Comparison of economic losses of 2002 to those simulated with 1996 prevalence rate Source: Ibuka calculation, May 2006 12.00 10.56 10.00 8.00 (%) 6.39 6.00 4.83 4.00 2.00 2.59 1.11 0.73 1.12 2.90 2.02 1.64 Simulation with 1996 data Total of (1), (2), (3) and (6) (6) Iodine deficiency (3) Anemia under fives (2) Underweight under fives (1) Stunting under fives 0.00 2002 13 Under-five mortality rate is 69 per 1,000 live births and infant mortality rate is 57 per 1,000 live births in 2003. The estimate of total goiter rate varies among resources. The lower bound (24%) is used for our estimation so that overestimation could be avoided. 15 49.2 % for any anemia, and 23% for severe and moderate anemia (UHES2002). 14 M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 15 Table 6: Economic losses due to malnutrition (Level, per capita and ratio to GDP) (1) (2) (3) (4) Anemia in women of reproductive ages (5) Vitamin A deficiency under fives Stunting under fives Underweight under fives Anemia under fives Estimated productivity loss (million $) 73.71 113.55 Loss per capita ($) 2.88 4.44 165.33 104.41 6.47 4.08 Loss / GDP (%) Source: Y. Ibuka calculation, May 2006 0.73 1.12 1.64 1.03 (6) Iodine deficiency Total of (1) to (6) 53.11 292.95 803.06 2.08 11.46 31.41 0.53 2.90 7.95 Table 7: Sensitivity analysis (Discount rate 3% and 10%) (1) (2) (3) (5) (6) Stunting under fives Underweight under fives Anemia under fives Vitamin A deficiency under fives Iodine deficiency Total of (1) to (6) 3% 73.71 113.55 165.33 53.11 292.95 715.02 10% 12.83 21.29 31.00 9.96 44.72 224.23 3% 2.88 4.44 6.47 2.08 11.46 27.97 10% 3% 0.50 0.73 0.83 1.12 1.21 1.64 0.39 0.53 1.75 2.90 8.77 7.08 10% 0.13 0.21 0.31 0.10 0.44 2.22 Discount rate Estimated productivity loss (million $) Loss per capita ($) Loss / GDP (%) Source: Y. Ibuka calculation, May 2006 M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 16 4. Economic gains from investing in nutrition Table 8 shows the economic gains from investing in nutrition interventions. In each intervention, the gains from three coverage levels are presented. The gains depend on (1) maximum attainable benefit, (2) coverage of program, and the (3) effectiveness (which consists of compliance and efficacy) of the activities. Maximum attainable benefit is an increasing function of current malnutrition-prevalent rate and the size of population where micronutrient deficiency is prevalent. Therefore, a larger gain is obtained when: 1) the current prevalence rate of the malnutrition is larger (i.e. the current burden of the malnutrition is heavier), 2) the intervention has larger coverage, and 3) the intervention is more strictly enforced, and 4) the efficacy of each intervention is higher. The maximum attainable benefit ((1) in table 6) is high in salt iodization ($293 million), iron supplementation of pregnant women and/or women of reproductive age ($ 270 million), and breastfeeding promotion ($ 222 million). As goiter rate in Uzbekistan is high, and it places huge economic burden on the country. Therefore, the potential benefit from the reduction in iodine deficiency prevalence would also be large. As for flour fortification with iron, the total economic loss (or the maximum attainable benefit) is large. Breastfeeding promotion would potentially yield a large benefit because of the current inadequate and incomplete breastfeeding practices, particularly among children under six month of age16. The gains from the interventions range from $38 million to $ 86 million when the program coverage is 95%. In the case of 50% coverage, the values reduce by almost half in each case. 5. Cost-benefit analysis Table 9 shows the benefit per cost in US dollars for the different nutrition interventions. Since both benefits and costs are constant with respect to the size of programs, cost-benefit ratios are constant across the coverage levels of programs. Fortification for iron is the most cost-effective among five interventions shown here. The cost-benefit ratio is 119, and it outperforms iron supplementation. The reason is the unit cost for supplementation is more than 10 times as high as for fortification. Vitamin A supplementation is relatively cost-effective because the unit cost is less than iron supplementation, and the total cost for vitamin A supplementation is the lowest among the five interventions. Salt-iodization is less cost-effective than flour fortification with iron because of the higher unit cost, although the gains from salt iodization are almost the same in both fortification interventions. Table 9: Cost-benefit ratio Benefit / Cost Breastfeeding promotion 36 Vitamin A supplementation 73 Iron supplementation 8 Flour fortification with iron 119 Salt iodization 35 Source: Y. Ibuka’s calculations, May 2006 6. Long-term effects of not investing in nutrition (To be reported late May 2006) 16 Kamatsuchi, Uzbekistan Nutritional Analysis (2006) M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 17 Table 8: Economic gains from interventions Maximum attainable benefit (million $) Coverage (%) Effectiveness (%) Gains from intervention (million $) (1) (2) (3) (4)=(1)*(2)*(3) 95% 222.04 95 24 50.62 80% 222.04 80 24 42.63 50% 222.04 50 24 26.64 95% 53.11 95 75 37.84 80% 53.11 80 75 31.87 50% 53.11 50 75 19.92 95% 104.41 95 67 66.46 80% 104.41 80 67 55.96 50% 104.41 50 67 34.98 95% 269.74 95 33.5 85.84 80% 269.74 80 33.5 72.29 50% 269.74 50 33.5 45.18 95% 292.95 95 30 83.49 80% 292.95 80 30 70.31 292.95 50 30 43.94 Program coverage Breastfeeding promotion Vitamin A supplementation Iron supplementation of pregnant women and/or women of reproductive age Flour fortification with iron Salt iodization 50% Source: Ibuka’s calculations, May 2006 M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 18 VI. NUTRITION ACTIVITIES IN UZBEKISTAN Some key interventions in nutrition will be highlighted in following. See Table 12 in the Annex for a listing of the current nutrition activities ongoing in Uzbekistan. The percentage coverage of the on-going interventions are summarized in Table 13. Some spaces are kept blank in the table due to the lack of information. The program coverage was obtained by the number served for vitamin A supplementation and iron and folic supplementation. The value for the program coverage in flour fortification with iron shows the possible attainable coverage, given the project budget. a) Iron-folate supplementation – Anemia reduction and prevention for women and children Uzbekistan initiated weekly iron-folate supplementation for pregnant women, children 1-2 years old, and girls aged 12-14 since 2002 in three oblasts, which now expanded to 6 oblasts with the financial support from UNICEF and JICA. With the World Bank-supported Health II project, the Government of Uzbekistan intends to expand its coverage to the remaining 4 oblasts by the end of 2007. Though weekly supplementation (rather than a daily supplementation) is still not recommended as a public health measure, Uzbekistan follows the Central Asian agreed-upon protocol of weekly supplementation determined by the Kazakh Academy in Almaty: weekly doses of 60 mg of iron and 400 μg of folic acid (in a combined tablet) for all women of reproductive age; 120 mg of iron and 800 μg of folic acid per week (2 pills) for pregnant women. It was originally recommended that 30 mg of iron and 200 μg of folic acid to be given to children 1-2 years of age every week in syrup form; but as there are no more syrups available, 1 tablet of 60 mg of iron and 400 μg of folic acid are provided to them on a weekly basis. WHO recommends daily supplementation—not weekly--for three months for pregnant and all women for iron deficiency prevention (See Table 10). Iron tablets are available to pregnant women free of charge in the antenatal care visits. The World Bankfunded Health I project has provided hematocrit machines, of high quality, to measure anemia. However, HemoCues may be easier to use at the SVP levels rather than the highly technical and specialized machines. It was noted that if the trained doctors or laboratory technicians transfer or leave the facility, the other SVP level staff may not have the capacity to use the highly technical machines. More microcuvettes, which are used with the anemia measuring HemoCues machines, appear to be high in demand42. Several other small scale anemia control activities have been implemented by other institutions in previous years, such as ZdravPlus (by USAID), but most international NGOs have closed down in the last few months in the country. Documentation of these initiatives was not available to make further assessments of these initiatives. Table 10. Dosage schedules for Iron Supplementation to Prevent Iron Deficiency Anemia Age groups Indications for supplementation Children from 6 to 23 months of age Where the diet does not include foods fortified with iron or where anemia prevalence is above 40% Where anemia prevalence is above 40% Children from 24 to 59 months of age School-aged children (above 60 months) Women of childbearing age Anemia rate in Uzbekistan 60% 43.5% Where anemia prevalence is above 40% Not known Where anemia prevalence is above 40% > 60% Internationally Recommended Dosage schedule43 Iron: 2 mg/kg body weight/day from 6 to 23 months of age Iron: 2 mg/kg body weight/day up to 30 mg for 3 months Iron: 30 mg/day Folic acid: 250 μg/day for 3 months Iron: 60 mg/day Folic acid: 400 μg/day for 3 months Actual Target Group Dosage Given in Uzbekistan Children 12-24 months: Iron: 60 mg. Folic acid: 400 μg/week/3 months None Only girls 12-14 years: Iron: 60 mg. Folic acid: 400 μg/week/3 months Iron: 60 mg. Folic acid: 400 μg/week/3 months M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 Coverage 2002-2004: Ferghana 2003-2005: Karakalpak Rep, Khorezm, Andijan 2004-2006: Namangan 2005-2007: Djizzak, Syrdarya, Kashkadarya, Surkhandarya 2005: Health 19 Pregnant women Universal supplementation > 60% Lactating women Where anemia prevalence is above 40% > 60% Iron: 60 mg/day Folic acid: 400 μg/day as soon as gestation starts, no later than 3rd month and continue until rest of pregnancy. Iron: 60 mg/day Folic acid: 400 μg/day for 3 months post-partum Iron: 60 mg. Folic acid: 400 μg/week/3 months II: Navoi, Tashkent, Samarkand, Bukhara None b) Flour fortification – Anemia reduction and prevention among women and general population Flour fortification was initiated at 14 government managed mills, fortifying grade 1 flour17, with iron and other micronutrients, using a premix (KAP 1) developed by the Kazakh Academy in Almaty. The funds and technical support are provided by the World Bank-managed GAIN grant. Fortified flour logo is stamped on the packages to designated fortified flour. The initiative is supported by various partners, such as the World Bank, GSAIN, UNICEF, ADB, under the coordination of the Government of Uzbekistan. UNICEF implements the communication activities under a Grant Agreement signed with the Bank to promote the consumption of fortified flour to the public. The Uzbek flour fortification initiative is advancing well in comparison to the rest of the countries in the Central Asia region according to experts attending the regional flour fortification meeting. According to the wheat flour market study conducted in 2005, the maximum coverage where the fortified flour can reach 30% of the general population44. c) Vitamin A Supplementation – Vitamin A deficiency control and prevention Vitamin A supplementation for children 6-59 months is being conducted through Healthy Child Weeks, with vitamin A capsules support from UNICEF through the Micronutrient Initiative/CIDA. Nationwide vitamin A supplementation was carried out in February and August 2005. Coverage of supplementation of children aged 6-59 months was 94.3–96.8 %. These events use social mobilization activities (through TV, radio, health system) to advertise that children need to be brought to the health facilities to obtain vitamin A. One time dosing of women shortly after birth is effective in raising vitamin A levels in breastmilk, and improving the vitamin A status of the infant for at least 6 months. Supplementation of women after delivery should be encouraged. d) Salt Iodization - Iodine deficiency control and prevention Asian Development Bank has provided technical assistance grants to Uzbekistan for universal salt iodization with an initial contribution to purchase equipment for most large scale salt producers in the country. In 1998, only 8% of salt was iodized at the retail level; then in 2001, though 50% of salt was iodized, only 6.5% has adequate levels of iodine. Local governments in Karakalpakstan, Samarkand, Surkhandarya and Fergana oblasts have issued decrees prohibiting the sale of un-iodized salt. Though the promotion of consumption of iodized salt is still being carried out by the Institute of Health, it is essential to obtain adequate iodized salt production in the country before further dissemination activities continue. Current household coverage for consumption of adequately iodized salt is 19%45. In Uzbekistan, universal salt iodization legislation is yet to be adopted. All countries in Central Asia, except Uzbekistan (Azerbaijan, Kyrgyz Republic, Kazakhstan, Mongolia, Tajikistan) have adopted a Universal Salt Iodization Law. 17 Superior grade flour is the highest grade of flour in the country. Grade 1 is below superior grade in quality. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 20 e) Breastfeeding Promotion – Overall malnutrition prevention for infants More attention has been given to the promotion of exclusive breastfeeding at the rural health care (SVPs), but this does not seem to be enough judging by the low rates of exclusive breastfeeding of children under 6 months old. Though the MOH approved the national policy on breastfeeding practice and key experts were trained on lactation management since 1999, breastfeeding policies are still not clear throughout the country, even within the Ministry of Health. Exclusive breastfeeding practices are only focused on the first 1 or 2 months of life, and upon questioning in the field and with the Health Ministry staff themselves, it was evident that they were not fully aware of the recommended duration of breastfeeding nor the importance of continuing breastfeeding up to 2 years of the child’s life. Medical students at 16 major medical schools are currently being trained on lactation management. To date, 32 health institutions have been certified as “Baby Friendly.”46 Rather than merely focusing on hospitals, health institutions should be targeted to be baby friendly. Greater emphasis will be placed on pre-service training on lactation management at medical schools, rather than training pediatricians as there are too many to train (over 12,000) in the country. The current coverage of the activities fall less than 10% of the entire health facilities. f) Integrated Messages at the Community Level Currently, mid-level health workers go door-to-door to provide iron-folate tablets to pregnant women and young children and provide key health messages. Whether this practice is continued or the effectivity of this approach can not be verified as there are no assessment to enable us to make a judgment. The usage of midlevel health worker provide an excellent opportunity for overall heath and nutrition counseling, but motivation of these workers and overburdening them with multiple tasks may pose a problem in sustainability. A local women-based NGO is promoting key family practices under the Family Empowerment Program initiated in May 2003, though the coverage is still small (6 districts in 3 oblasts). The main strategy is to promote integrated, key family practices in rural communities, mobilizing the communities through the service providers, parents and community educators (community workers to educate the community on key family practices, who are paid by the government). Integrated education and training materials for care practices for children 0-6 are developed based on the UN agency supported Facts for Life47. The materials will be now catered for children 0-3 and 3-6 years old with targeted messages, including promotion of breastfeeding, immunization, childhood illnesses prevention, water and sanitation and early learning. WHO has supported the training of healthy dietary intakes at the national level (rational nutrition). The intended objective was to change the overall dietary behaviors of the population. Central level ministry staff were trained, but this has not yet expanded to the periphery. g) Growth monitoring Promotion (GMP) Growth monitoring promotion will be further expanded by the Government in 2005. Weights of children under one year old are noted in the health books which are kept at the SVPs, and are not taken home by the parents. There were no signs that children older than 1 year old were regularly weighed. Given the low rates of underweight in the country, more emphasis should be placed on providing key nutritional counseling on anemia prevention, and promotion of exclusive breastfeeding practices within the GMP sessions, in addition to monitoring the growth of children. VII. INSTITUTIONAL ARRANGEMENTS FOR NUTRITION IN UZBEKISTAN Nutrition activities are dealt by different departments within the Ministry of Health (Annex. Figure 12). The Sanitary Epidemiological Surveillance Department in the Ministry of Health sets standards for micronutrient M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 21 fortification in food fortification (salt and flour) and gives recommendations on dietary allowance to the general population. The Institute of Hygiene and Nutrition deals with food safety issues of fortified products. The Department of Hematology and Blood Transfusion oversees iron supplementation and flour fortification issues. Department of Pediatrics deals with breastfeeding, while the Medical Academy oversees vitamin A supplementation. Institute of Health deals with the communication aspects of nutrition activities. Different departments manage the donor-driven projects in a seemingly isolated matter, neither without much coordination nor between the different departments. Most of the nutrition activities exist in certain districts only and do not cover a large scale to make a national impact. Common indicators for baseline and impact assessment for the nutrition interventions are not yet defined nor understood within the Ministry of Health. There seems to be a better understanding of the overall objectives of reaching reduction of malnutrition goals as a non-income goal set forth among the Millennium Decade Goals. VIII. RECOMMENDATIONS AND CONCLUSIONS To accelerate progress towards the MDG goals, using different combinations of available and known-to-beeffective methods should be deployed, not as stand-alone efforts, but as part of a comprehensive plan with a common vision of reducing undernutrition and micronutrient deficiencies across the country. As noted by the World Bank Office in Tashkent, the Ministry of Health could benefit from a national nutrition framework and a master plan of action to lay out the framework of where the country needs to head towards in regards to focusing on malnutrition reduction and focus on priority interventions. Existing and future investments should be targeted to specific target populations within an overall national plan. It was formally agreed in a nutrition round-table meeting held in Tashkent, Uzbekistan on February 17, 2005, that a national nutrition framework is needed, and that all the actors and departments involved in nutrition interventions work together to form a Nutrition Task Team. This would consist of all the departments working on nutrition within the MOH, as well as the donors and technical agencies such as the World Bank, UNICEF, WHO, Asian Development Bank, CDC and USAID and others. It was noted in the same meeting that a nutrition coordinator at the central government will soon be appointed to serve as the focal point for all nutrition interventions for the country. This would facilitate better communication and coordination between the different departments, as well as with the donors and agencies which all have different agendas of work. For Uzbekistan, some of the following specific points should be noted as priority recommendations, in addition to some of the generic key notes which need to be considered to deal with overall malnutrition strategies (Box 8): 1. There is an urgency to tackle high rates of malnutrition, namely anemia, vitamin A and iodine deficiency, especially among children under 2 years old with focus for all children under-five and pregnant women. 2. Promotion of exclusive breastfeeding needs to be taken up nationwide to provide a “good start in life” for all children. This needs to be prioritized and speed up the process to save the current infants from entering the malnutrition cycle. 3. Focus should be on nation-wide coverage interventions and go to scale with successful initiatives. 4. Compile a systematic master plan to combat malnutrition, especially micronutrient malnutrition, with the various departments within the Ministry of Health and other sectors. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 22 5. Ccommunity level workers must be key partners in communicating and monitoring the behavior change interventions, since sustainable behavior change cannot rely just on health system communication alone. Box 8. Key facts to know regarding malnutrition strategies Major damages caused by malnutrition take place in the womb and during the first two years of life. Any damage caused to the child during this time is irreversible. Malnutrition results in lower intelligence and reduced physical capacity; which results in the reduction in productivity, therefore slowing down economic growth. Malnutrition passes from generation to generation from mothers to the child. To break this cycle, the focus must be on preventing and treating malnutrition among pregnant women and children aged 0 to 2 years, though the overall programmatic target population could cover children under five. Evidence suggests that the origins of obesity and non-communicable diseases, such as cardiovascular heart disease and diabetes may also lie in early childhood. Uzbekistan has an advantage over many developing countries in that the majority of its adult population is literate and able to read and understand educational messages about nutrition. Another advantage is that there is high utilization of the health services. It is possible to deliver essential nutrition messages and interventions to the majority of the population of women during pregnancy and immediately after delivery and children, particularly in their first year of life through the health system, as well as through the community networks and through written and visual media coverage. The key is to address malnutrition successfully is to focus on short, medium and long-route framework (Table 11). Short route interventions have an immediate effect and they should aim to reach the largest coverage as possible in the shortest amount of time. The short routes include nationwide promotion and/or campaign of one or two key behavior messages, Child Health Weeks conducted annually or biannually, with distribution of key micronutrients, such as iron, vitamin A and possibility deworming tablets (if worm prevalence among women and children are verified). The set-backs of these nationwide approaches are mainly of sustainability, and the short, one time contact with the nutrition intervention and the target population. These shorter routes should be combined with medium route approaches, such as with food fortification, routine coverage with iron and vitamin A supplementation, in combination with periodic targeted message communication to the target groups. Longer routes are also required, usually to set policies and standards, and to enforce compliance to the various decrees. Uniting the development assistance agencies and the various divisions within the Ministry of Health and other Ministries around a common nutrition agenda to drive its own investment agenda is essential. Accelerating the move from nutrition activities to a more coordinated program approach would offer an opportunity to scale up nutrition. Reorienting some of the large-scale investments in the country to improve the implementation quality addressing malnutrition prevention towards younger children and pregnant women or would-be mothers are recommended as effective program approaches. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 23 Table 11 Nutrition Approaches – Short, Medium and Long Route Options for Uzbekistan Necessary for all Underweight / Stunting Iodine Deficiency Short route Medium route 6 months exclusive breastfeeding; and BF up to 2 years Promotion of exclusive breastfeeding; BF up to 2 years Promotion of exclusive breastfeeding Appropriate complementary feeding after 6 months Targeted messages on complementary feeding Targeted messages on complementary feeding Growth monitoring Salt iodization; Passing of the salt iodization law 6 months exclusive breastfeeding; and BF up to 2 years Salt iodization Long route Nutrition education: change of dietary habits; Enforcement of compliance to The Code of Breastmilk substitutes Trade and agricultural policy reform; Research Growth monitoring Enforcement of flour fortification law Appropriate complementary feeding after 6 months Vitamin A Deficiency 6 months exclusive breastfeeding; and BF up to 2 years Vitamin A supplementation: Child Health Weeks/Campaign Vitamin A supplementation: routine 6 months exclusive breastfeeding; and BF up to 2 years Iron-folate supplementation (pregnant women) Flour fortification; Passing of flour fortification law. Appropriate complementary feeding after 6 months Iron for children; Iron-folate supplementation (women) Appropriate complementary feeding after 6 months Iron Deficiency Overweight / Obesity 6 months exclusive breastfeeding promotion & BF up to 2 years Appropriate complementary feeding after 6 months Deworming (after worm prevalence is assessed) Targeted messages Exclusive breastfeeding promotion & BF up to 2 years Targeted messages Targeted messages Nutrition education Nutrition education on dietary intake; Agricultural reform; trade policy reform; research Nutrition education on dietary intake; agriculture; Enforcement of flour fortification law Nutrition education on healthy eating habits and exercising; Adjusting pricing policies for processed foods, etc. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 24 Breastfeeding Promotion ANNEXES: Table 12 Activities for Malnutrition Control and Prevention in Uzbekistan Activity Coverage / Years of Activity - Issuance of the Code; - Lactation Management & BF training 2004: National level - Drafting of the Code of Marketing Breastmilk Substitutes legislation - Introduction of Lactation management into pre-service curricula 2005: 6 maternities + 13 policlinics certified as Baby Friendly Health Institutions, 32 total 2006: 70% of maternities/policlinics targeted in 6 oblasts 2002-2004: Ferghana 2003-2005: Karakalpak Rep, Khorezm, Andijan 2004-2006: Namangan 2005-2007: Djizzak, Syrdarya, Kashkadarya, Surkhandarya 2005 - : Health II: Navoi, Tashkent, Samarkand, Bukhara 2005-2010: Ferghana, Khorezm, Djizzak, Karakalpakstan, Andijan, Namangan, Jizzakh, Syrdarya, Kashkadarya, Tashkent city Baby Friendly Health Institutions Initiative Executing Govt Body in Min. of Health Dept Pediatrics Supporting Agencies/Donors UNICEF UNICEF UNICEF: training, communication materials; JICA (ironfolate) (2002-2005); World Bank Health II, ZdravPlus (40 rayons for 2005-2008) Entire population. -Purchase of lab equipment - Establishment of standards (under revision) - Public awareness raising - Children 6-11 months (100,000 IU) - Children 12-59 mos; - Women post-partum (200,000 IU) Dept Mother & Child Health), Dept Hematology & Blood Transfusion; Endocrinology Dept; Medical Academy; Institute of Health. Medical Academy GAIN (World Bank; UNICEFCommunication), ADB (initial set up) Food Fortification of wheat flour with iron & folic acid (KAP1) Vitamin A Supplementation: - Protocol development - Training of medical personnel nationwide - Communication 2003-present: Nationwide; twice a year Salt iodization: - Elaboration of legislation – Development of standards – Communication. – Supply purchase Ferghana, Khorezm, Djizzak, Karakalpakstan oblasts, Tashkent city Entire population Sanitary Epidemiological Surveillance; Institute of Hygiene and Nutrition ADB, UNICEF. ADB waiting the endorsement of legislation to release funds in 2006. - Promotion of Healthy Nutrition: training 2006: National level MOH staff Surkhandarya, Kashkadarya oblasts (HOPE) with focus on anemia prevention. WHO focus on national level. Institute of Health WHO; Project HOPE (2003-2005) - Development of integrated monitoring & evaluation for iron and folic acid deficiency Foreseen in 2006 Integrat ed Monitor ing System Promot ion of Ration al Nutriti on (Dietar y Intake) Iron Deficiency Anemia Dept. of Hematology & Blood Transfusion. Dept Mother & Child Health Devt Vitamin A Deficiency - Children 12-24 months - Girls 12-14 years - Women 15-40 yrs - Pregnant women - Anemic children Iodine Deficiency Iron-folate supplementation Target Group / Element M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 UNICEF / CIDA (Vit A capsules) CDC 25 Table 13: On-going programs and their coverage in Uzbekistan Years Breastfeeding promotion Vitamin A supplementation Target population Number served Coverage of the program in the entire period (%) Children 6-59% months of age, mothers at their first 6-8 weeks after childbirth All oblasts of Uzbekistan 100 2000-2009 2003-2005 2003-2008 4,315,403 466,503 in the Republic of Karakalpakstan (20032005) 415,875 in Khorezm (2003-2005) 45 661,923 in Andijan (2003-2005) Women of fertile age, girls 12- 14 years old and infant 6-24 months of age Iron and folic acid supplementation 378,661 in Namangan (2004-2006) 837,528 in Fergana (2005-2007) 296,163 in Djizzak (2005-2007) 60,961 in Syrdarya (2005-2007) 671,171 in Kashkadarya (2006-2008) 526, 618 in Surhandarya (2006-2008) 2003-2005 All population of target groups 2005-2009 Women of fertile age (15-49), children under 59 months 2003-2005 All population of target groups Flour fortification with iron Salt iodization 74 Source: M.Kamatsuchi, Field-derived information from Uzbekistan. Table made by Y. Ibuka. M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 26 Annexes Figure 12. Institutional Arrangements for Nutrition, Uzbekistan The Cabinet of Ministers World Bank / GAIN Ministry of Health Expert Commission NA TIONA L UNICEF Department of Hematology ADB Women’s Committee of Uzbekistan, IFSAU, Mahkhallya Kamolot Foundation WHO CDC/CAR Joint Projects Implementation Bureau (JPIB) Department of Endocrinology Center of State Sanitary Epidemiological Surveillance (RCSSEI) Nutrition Coordinator Institute of Food Hygiene & Nutrition Medical Academy Institute of Health - Rayon Khokimiats of CRH - Rayon departments of popular schooling, - Working groups, - Rayon level Coordinators Provincial (oblast) branches of the Health Institute and others; Oblast dispensaries RAYON (DISTRICT) Women’s Committee, Makhallya Fund, Kamolot Foundation, etc - Oblast Health departments - JPIB Health-2 - “Women and Child Health development” - Oblast departments of popular schooling & working groups OBLAST (PROVINCE) Branches and oblast departments of Uzbekistan Women’s Committee, IFSAU, Mahkhallya Kamolot Funds, etc. District Health Centers (rayons) Makhalla Committees Makhallaya/community Primary Healthcare Facilities leaders (SVPs) - Religious leaders - Women Committee leaders M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 27 COMMUNITY - Figure 13. Conceptual Framework of the Causes of Malnutrition M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 28 The first draft has been revised or commented by: Dr. Meera Shekar, Senior Nutrition Specialist, HDNHE Dr. James Garrett, Senior Economist, HDNHE The Cost-analysis Section Outline has been reviewed by: Dr. John Langenbrunner, Senior Economist (Health), ECSHD Dr. Andriy Storozhuk, Senior Economist, ECSHD 1 IMF (April 2005). Data available at: www.imf.org/external Macro International, Uzbekistan Demographic Health Survey 1996. UDHS 1996 only measured children’s underweight prevalence among children aged three (18.8%) and not among children under-five as done in the 2002 Uzbekistan Health & Education Survey. 3 The World Bank, Repositioning Nutrition as Central to Development: A Strategy for Large-scale Action, Washington DC, 2006. 4 Macro International, Uzbekistan Health & Education Survey (UHES) 2002. 21% is the stunting level of children under 5 years of age. 5 World Bank, Repositioning Nutrition (2006). 6 JR Behrman, H. Alderman and J. Hoddinott, “Copenhagen consensus-challenges and opportunities: Hunger and Malnutrition.” Copenhagen Consensus Challenge Papers (May 7, 2004). 7 Key partners include: World Bank, UNICEF, ADB, WHO, JICA, CDC 8 Macro International, Uzbekistan Health & Education Survey (DHES) 2002. 21% is the stunting level of children under 5 years of age. 9 World Bank, Socio-Economic Differences in Health, Nutrition and Population, 2 nd Ed. (2003). 10 Lisa C. Smith, Marie T. Ruel, and Aida Ndiaye (March 2004) ‘Why is child malnutrition lower in urban then rural areas? An assessment from 36 countries’, International Food Policy Research Institute, FCND Discussion Paper No. 176. 11 DHS Kazakhstan (1999). Children <3 years old. 12 DHS Kyrgyz Republic (1997). Children <3 years old. 13 DHS Tajikistan (2002). Children 6 months – 5 years. 14 DHS Turkmenistan (2000). Children <3 years. 15 UHES (2002). Data of children under 3 derived from dataset of children under 5. 16 UDHS (1996) 17Cem Mete and Stefania Cnobloch, working paper. World Bank (Feb 2006). 18 UHES 2002. 19 UHES 2002, p. 144. 20 WHO/UNICEF/UNU, Iron Deficiency Anemia--Assessment, Prevention, and Control. A guide for programme managers, WHO, Geneva, 2001. 21 DHS Kazakhstan (1999). 22 DHS Turkmenistan 1997. Data of children < 3 years. 23 DHS Tajikistan 2003 24 UN General Assembly, May 2002. 25 Shrimpton, Roger, Cesar G. Victora, Mercedes de Onis, Rosangela Costa Lima, Monika Blossner, and Graeme Clugston. “The Worldwide Timing of Growth Faltering: Implications for Nutritional Interventions.” Pediatrics 107: e75 (2001). 26 UNICEF website statistics. 27 National survey conducted in 1997-98. 28 Self-reported data on illness are found to be highly susceptible to respondent error. Various cultural, gender, and community factors can affect the accuracy of such data. Faulty respondent recall could result in underreporting of illnesses—a problem most apt to occur in the case of the spontaneously reported illnesses. Additionally, a respondent may have been unaware of an illness that presented only mild symptoms—again resulting in underreporting of the illnesses. There is also the possibility that in communities that have the reputation of being unhealthy, such as the Aral Sea Environmental Disaster Area, respondents may attribute minor symptoms to chronic illness and over report illness. Thus, self-reported illness data must be interpreted cautiously and reported rates should not be considered as prevalence estimates for specific illnesses. (Mete, Cnobloch (2006) 29 Institute of Endocrinology, Uzbekistan, 1999-2000. 30 UNICEF, Multiple Indicator Cluster Survey (MICS) Uzbekistan (2000). 31 UHES 2002. 32 UHES 2002. 33 FAO. ESSA, Food and Agricultural Indicators <fao.org/countryprofiles> (October 2005) 34 UNICEF, MICS2, Uzbekistan. 35 UNICEF MICS2 2000 Uzbekistan. 2 M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 29 36 UHES 2002. UNICEF, Baby-Friendly Institutions Proposal, August 2005 38 UNICEF, Proposal (2005). 39 UHES 2002. 40 UNICEF, Uzbekistan MICS2 (2000). 41 UHES 2002 42 Interview with Deputy Minister of Health in Karalpakstan, February 2005. 43 WHO/UNICEF/UNU, Iron Deficiency Anemia (2001) 44 Anna Crole-Rees, Analysis of the wheat, flour and bread sub-sectors : Perspectives for universal flour fortification in Uzbekistan (March 2006). 45 UNICEF CEE/CIS website, <www.unicef.org> 46 UNICEF Proposal, August 2005. 47 UNICEF, Facts for Life, New York (2002) 37 M. Kamatsuchi, Macroeconomic Growth Barriers in Uzbekistan: Nutritional Focus, May 2006 30