Terms of Reference Rural – Urban linkages: Implications for action on undernutrition May 2011 Morwenna Sullivan Introduction There has been unprecedented growth of cities and towns in recent history. In 2008, the world reached a tipping point, for the first time in history more than half the world’s population was classified as living in urban centres as opposed to rural areas. Urbanisation rates in developing countries are particularly high. According to UN HABITAT (2008) cities of the developing world will absorb 95% of urban growth in the next two decades, and by 2030, will be home to almost 4 billion people, equivalent to 80% of the world’s urban population. Sub-Saharan Africa has both the highest annual urban growth rate and the highest slum growth rate in the world, 4.58% and 4.53%, respectively, more than twice the world average. Contrary to popular belief, much of this growth will not happen in the mega cities, rather growth is expected to be concentrated in secondary urban centres which are closer to rural contexts. As urban centres expand, and as more people will migrate from rural to urban areas, the number of urban poor will rise. Indeed, some commentators go as far as to highlight demographic expansion, (including migration and urbanisation) as the number one factor that will condition West Africa’s vulnerability to humanitarian crisis over the next generation.1 As populations become increasingly mobile, so it is becoming increasingly important for ACF to understand the interactions between rural and urban components of households and transform this understanding into concrete, action oriented programme and policy recommendations. It is well known that households, whether urban or rural, are reliant, in varying degrees, on the market to cover their food needs. They are therefore vulnerable to price fluctuations. Analysis of the food price crisis and price volatility is not new. Much macro level analysis exists on the causes and consequences of the recent crisis of 2008 on undernutrition. What is less well known is the extent to which the geography of individual households determines the severity of impact of price volatility or the degree to which the existence of strong links across the geographical divide mitigates impact of high prices. In other words, to what extent are urban households able to draw on assets and resources of their rural counterparts in times of stress? This piece of work will provide an insight into how households have coped with volatile markets, highlighting the differences and similarities between urban households and their rural counterparts through comparative analysis. By incorporating both urban and rural components of the household, it aims to build up a more complete gender sensitive picture of the household economy. Traditionally ACF and other humanitarian/development agencies has targeted rural populations, paying little attention to the fact that migration to urban centres (previously perceived as a coping mechanism in times of crisis) has now become an integral part of livelihoods. The numbers speak for themselves; there is demonstrable need to shift our attention to the needs of a rapidly expanding urban population. Rationale & Main Objectives Population growth rates and urbanisation levels are likely to remain high in the coming decades. Added to this is the declining importance in absolute terms of the agricultural sector in the economic base of many regions. Furthermore, in many places, there is no longer a clear cut distinction between rural and urban livelihoods. Rather, they are interconnected on many levels. Recognising that this rural urban gap no longer exists, and that households often have one foot in the rural economy and another in the urban economy, implies that ACF needs to understand the system as a whole rather than focussing exclusively on the rural sector. It is clear that rural urban linkages and 1 See http://www.humanitarianfutures.org/sites/default/files/Beyond%202020%20Crisis%20Drivers.pdf interactions play an increasingly significant role in local economies and in the livelihoods of a large number of people. Understanding these rural urban linkages and their impact on (the causes of) undernutrition will be key. This research will provide a critical analysis of rural urban linkages; it will seek to ascertain what these linkages mean for undernutrition and how they can contribute to addressing the underlying causes of undernutrition. Existing field based research demonstrates the complexity of livelihoods in both rural and urban environments. However, lessons have rarely crossed over into the mainstream thinking of nutrition and livelihood analysis. Households will engage in a wide variety of activities in order to generate income and provide food for their families. The geography of livelihoods is changing; in many cases, this will involve the migration of one or more family members to an urban centre in the search for work. Understanding the increasing spatial and occupational complexity of livelihoods is key if we want to ensure that activities intended to tackle the underlying causes of undernutrition are relevant to today’s household. ACF has already moved beyond the assumption that households are spatially homogenous. Indeed it is well recognised that engaging in diverse activities across wide geographical areas is a means of spreading risk for many households. In many contexts of chronic and seasonal malnutrition circular migration is no longer a “coping mechanism” for bad years but part of every day life. For example in large parts of the Sahel, seasonal migration in search for income opportunities leaves whole villages and regions virtually empty of the male population. Women, children and elderly are left to their own devices to endure the dry hunger season. Understanding the impact of migration (Is movement always seasonal and circular? Or does it become more permanent? What determines this?) on household economies will enable ACF to identify appropriate entry points for interventions. Analysis of the causes of migration will also be important. By their nature, urban populations are more reliant on the market to access food. As such it is assumed that they are more vulnerable to vagaries of the world market and to sudden price fluctuations. A critical analysis of the ways in which urban households and their rural counterparts respond to food price rises will enable ACF to determine the extent to which this is the case. To what extent are urban households able to draw on assets and resources of their rural cousins in times of difficulty? How do urban households change their expenditure patterns when faced with price rises? How is this different to their rural counterparts? And how do these changes potentially impact upon undernutrition (in terms of healthcare, dietary diversity)? This piece of work aims to go beyond existing reactive analysis. It will identify the main issues relating to urban rural linkages that both policy makers and programmers will need to take on board. It aims to point out opportunities for ACF and other NGOs to incorporate lessons learned in their programme interventions (for example strengthen links between rural producers and urban food markets). It will enable us to build up a detailed understanding of the household economy including both rural and urban elements of livelihoods and most importantly, how the two interact. ACF will then be in a position to put forward concrete action oriented recommendations for both policy and programming. Scope & Coverage Research will provide a critical analysis of rural urban linkages. Rural urban migration will be an integral element of this; research will also analyse the extent to which understanding rural urban linkages could mitigate the impact of food crises/price crises on urban populations. Both urban and rural economies react in very different ways to seasonal and externally determined food price volatilities. Rural food markets are dominated by large variation of prices between post harvest and dry season. Urbanisation in itself is a response strategy against seasonality. Urban dwellers face a new set of access constraints to food commodities such as high prices, dependency on cash income, low skill set and generally higher cost of living. This research will strive to assess the full circle of urban-rural livelihoods and analyse the impact on mother & child health, child feeding and undernutrition. Key question #1: Are households with strong linkages less likely to have children suffering from undernutrition? To what extent do linkages exist between rural and urban households in ‘non crisis’ years, and how well can these be used in times of a crisis? In what way are links maintained? Are goods/people/capital flowing mainly from rural to urban areas? To what extent do goods/people/capital flow in the opposite direction? Seasonality. Are remittances sent home? Is a child’s nutritional status an incentive to remit? How are links maintained? Does the dietary diversity and nutritional density of HH and >5year old change due to rural -urban migration? In what way? Are supplies of staple foods and e.g. vegetables sent with the migrant for use or sale in urban areas? What role does access to land for agriculture (within the urban perimeter) have on the nutritional outcome of the >5year old child for urban households? Connections between producers and consumers: Do rural communities with higher seasonal migration have better market access for their products? Can rural households take advantage of urban markets by having one member of the household living in the town? Key question #2: Is migration an effective strategy to prevent undernutrition in children under 5?What, if any, effect does migration have on dietary diversity? Key question #3: Is tackling undernutrition in an urban area a question of health/care practises rather than food security? Understanding the urban economy – are urban households likely to have a more diverse diet? Female income generation activities – impact on nutrition Are urban households likely to have better understanding of care and feeding practises? Key question #4: Food price crises: How have urban/rural households been affected by recent price rises? How can strengthening our understanding of rural urban linkages mitigate impact of future price crises? What are the main differences in which urban and rural households respond to recent price rises? Do rural households support urban households who are more reliant on the market? In what way? Significant differences in impact of food price rises between urban and rural areas? This project will be managed by ACF Policy Advisor. An external consultant will be contracted to co ordinate field work and write the final report. The consultant will also be responsible for carrying out fieldwork in at least one case study area, and for writing the final report. The consultant will develop the methodology (including identification of appropriate indicators of undernutrition), in consultation with the Policy Advisor. The Policy Team will conduct fieldwork for the two remaining case studies. The consultant will actively contribute to the finalisation of the scope of research, on the basis of the findings of desk research conducted in preliminary stages. ACF missions will provide secondary information where necessary and will facilitate research needs during fieldwork. They will be instrumental in providing leads for possible field work locations, and key informants to interview. Their knowledge will be essential in identifying ‘typical’ households to profile. METHODOLOGY The suggested conceptual framework merges the UNICEF nutrition causal analysis (UNICEF, 1990), the sustainable livelihoods framework (Chambers, 1991) and the Lancet maternal and child nutrition framework (Black et al., 2008).2 Methodology will include three steps: desk research, field work and analysis: Desk research Mapping ACF urban programmes Literature review – NGO, UN, academic journals, media Field work To include at least three locations – to be determined but likely to be drawn from Central African Republic, Liberia, Zimbabwe, Sierra Leone, Chad. Profiling households with urban – rural dimension Using PRA techniques, such as key informant interviews and focus group discussions, and oral testimonies, combined with household economy profiling, the consultant will build up a picture of the extent to which households with strong R-U linkages are more resilient to undernutrition. Understanding dietary diversity through 7 day recall at the household level will be integral to this. Analysis This will incorporate analysis of desk research, field work and of the wider political landscape (e.g. G20 in order to set research within context) Report writing One briefing paper (8 pp) per case study. One report (12-24 pp) bringing together evidence from case studies with analysis of desk research and wider political economy. See below for more detail. 2 See ACF (2010) ‘The threats of climate change on undernutrition: A neglected issue that requires further analysis and urgent actions’, in SCN, 2010. Newsletter #38 – Climate Change: Food and Nutrition Security Implications. See also exchanges with the ACF/TUFTS-FIC team leaders who developed a standard Nutrition Causal Analysis methodology. Suggested timetable/work plan Recruitment Desk review Mission mapping Field work Report writing Publication Dissemination May June July August Sept Oct Nov Dec x x x x x x x x x x x x x x EXPECTED OUTCOMES REPORTS Briefings Three briefing papers (one per case study) will be produced in English. They will present evidence from each context. The emphasis will be on household profiling. These briefings will provide the content for the main report. These will be approx 8-12 pp in length. Report The main report will be submitted in English, and will be approximately 20- 30 pages only. It will combine analysis of the desk research, with evidence from the field set within the wider political economy. The main report will have the following format: Cover Page Table of Contents Executive Summary Main Body: The suggested structure for the main body of the report is as follows: o Background Information – set research within context o Methodology – outline methodology used o Findings & Discussion – based on analysis of desk research, case study material and analysis of wider political economy o Conclusions o Recommendations – these must be practical and action-oriented with the aim of achieving policy change and programming o Bibliography (rigorous and complete - Harvard reference logic) o Annexes The report will contribute to policy discourse on undernutrition highlighting the need to recognise the complex nature of household economies. It will also contribute to raising the profile of ACF as a reference organisation on undernutrition. Internally, case study reports will be used to inform messages for ACF advocacy strategy, providing the essential link between field evidence and policy makers. Outcomes of the research are intended to inform programme design and to provide concrete recommendations for policy and programming. DISSEMINATION Briefings and reports will be distributed both internally and externally. The following provides an idea of target audience. Internally, three briefings and one report will be disseminated to ACF HQs and to the field. It will be diffused through the AMAI and the West African advocacy strategy. Externally, they will be disseminated to policy makers such as EC and DFID, think tanks/research institutions and NGOs through forums such as the Hunger Alliance. Reports will also be disseminated to UNSCN, the High Level Task Force and any other relevant institutions. Dissemination will be via email and distribution of hard copies and via email. Key stakeholders will be invited to an event to launch the report, which will be in the form of a roundtable or interactive panel discussion. Key dates Expected Start Date: Project End Date: Submission of Draft Report Submission of Final Report July 2011 December 2011 September 2011 October 2011 ANNEX 1: DEFINITIONS Food security Food security exists when all people, at all times, have physical, social and economic access to sufficient, safe and nutritious food that meets their dietary needs and food preferences for an active and healthy life (FAO, 2002). Nutrition security Nutrition security exists when food security is combined with a sanitary environment, adequate health services, and proper care and feeding practices to ensure a healthy life for all household members (UNSCN, 2010). Figure 1. Distinction between food security and nutrition security, considering the conceptual framework of the nutritional status at household level Source: Gross et al., 2000 Vulnerability Vulnerability within social systems is, at its simplest, concerned with the degree to which systems have the ability to cope with, resist and recover from the impact of a shock or a stress (Jones et al., 2010). Definitions of vulnerability vary, but all incorporate ‘lack of means to cope’. Vulnerability is a state as well as a process, and only gives meaning when described in relation to something: for example hazards or changes in climate and environments. Vulnerability is a function of the character, magnitude, and rate of a shock or stress to which a system is exposed, its sensitivity, and its capacities to cope and adapt. Causes of vulnerability relate both to the assets people own and to the accountability and effectiveness of institutions and, for many population groups, long-term processes of social, economic and political marginalisation. Coping and adaptive capacity Coping and adaptive capacity is defined as the ability of a system to cope with and adjust to shocks and stresses, to moderate potential damages, to take advantage of opportunities, or to deal with the consequences. One of the most important factors shaping the coping and adaptive capacity of individuals, households and communities is their access to and control over natural, human, social, physical, and financial resources. Access to and control over the resources necessary for adaptation varies within countries, communities and even households. It is influenced by external factors such as policies, institutions and power structures. Coping and adaptive capacity can vary over time based on changing conditions, and may differ in relation to particular shocks and stresses. In general, the world’s poorest people are also the most vulnerable to shocks and stresses. This is often because they have limited access to those resources that would facilitate coping and adaptation strategies. For instance, women are often particularly vulnerable to the impacts of climate change due to their responsibilities in the home and their limited access to information, resources and services. Coping and adaptation strategies are the behavioural strategies and choices adopted by people to cope with and adjust to shocks and stresses; in others terms, they refer to the ways in which households utilize and combine their assets to cope and adapt. The strategies adopted by households are a response to a variety of triggers (IDS et al., 2009). Outcomes of these strategies can be both positive and negative over different lengths of time (IDS et al., 2009). Some responses lock households into patterns of depleting assets and lead to greater pressure on natural resources, with knock-on effects for peoples’ options to cope adapt over the long term (IDS et al., 2009). Still, other responses open up new opportunities, make households more resilient to shocks and stresses (IDS et al., 2009). The terms “adaptation” and “coping” are sometimes used interchangeably, leading to confusion about the similarities and differences between these two important concepts. The following table suggests some of their characteristics. Characteristics of coping and adaptation strategies Source: CARE, 2009 Further reading ACF 2010 The threats of climate change on undernutrition – a neglected issue that requires further analysis and urgent action ACF and TUFTS-FIC, 2010. NCA Protocol – (draft 10 31 10) ACF 2006 La Faim dans les Villes