Alaska Sustainable Salmon Fund Statement of Work I. Project Title: Karluk Lake Limnology II. Project Number: 44528 III. Principal Investigator Heather Finkle, Fisheries Biologist II ADF&G, Commercial Fisheries Division 351 Research Court Kodiak, AK 99615 Phone: (907) 486-1848; Fax: (907) 486-1841 Email: heather.finkle@alaska.gov IV. Project Period: 7/1/11 – 2/28/14 V. Project Description 1. Synopsis This project will continue collection and evaluation of high-resolution spatial and temporal data on abiotic and biotic water quality components of freshwater habitats that affect the distribution and production of wild juvenile sockeye and Chinook salmon in Karluk Lake. Using spatial data models, this information will allow the detection and evaluation of the effects of changing climatic and rearing conditions that influence the productivity and maintenance of these important subsistence stocks. This project continues work begun in AKSSF projects 45854 and 45884. 2. Introduction This project will collect and evaluate high-resolution baseline water quality data for Karluk Lake on Kodiak Island using standard water quality sampling procedures and an Autonomous Underwater Vehicle (AUV). PCSRF Objective: RM&E Water quality data include physical data (temperature, light penetration, dissolved oxygen content, pH), nutrient data (concentrations of nitrogen, phosphorous, and chlorophyll a), and zooplankton abundance and biomass estimates. Each of these components can offer a snapshot of how trophic levels interact, which in turn can point to a limitation in a rearing environment or to a sustainable level of production. Physical data can indicate when freshwater conditions change relative to climatic or seasonal changes, geological events, or other stochastic events. For example, seasonal increases in water temperature may affect growth rates of rearing salmon and also zooplankton reproduction rates. Nutrient data can indicate if phosphorous and nitrogen are adequately available for photosynthesis, and therefore phytoplankton production, and thus the ability of a lake to sustain a salmon forage base of zooplankton. Zooplankton data can indicate forage limitations for rearing juvenile salmon caused by overgrazing, which is revealed by small zooplankton size and low biomass or limitations in phytoplankton (the food of zooplankton) production. Each factor warrants monitoring as substantial changes to any one of these factors can Karluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 1 of 9 2/10/2016 affect the rearing and migratory behavior of a rearing juvenile salmon, and thus their survival. With respect to Karluk Lake salmon, these data may indicate or rule out factors that have contributed to recent run declines that were low enough to restrict subsistence fishing. Since 1985, water quality data have been intermittently collected by ADF&G to serve as components of management recommendations, restoration projects, and habitat assessments for Karluk Lake. However, a paucity of sufficient, descriptive biological data still exists to detect and evaluate critical migration or rearing habitats and assess stock productivity for Karluk Lake salmon, let alone to provide accurate baseline water quality data for the lake itself. Specifically, water quality data were not collected from 1995 to 2003 and from 2007 to 2008 and therefore lack the continuity to reflect temporal trends relative to current declines in sockeye or Chinook salmon productivity and climate change that have negatively affected subsistence, commercial, and sport fishing harvests. In 2009, an AUV was run successfully in a feasibility study consisting of monthly summer missions in Karluk and Frazer lakes. This free-swimming robot efficiently collected geo-referenced (latitude, longitude, and depth) data on water temperature, dissolved oxygen concentration, pH, chlorophyll-a, and blue-green algae fluorescence. In addition, the AUV simultaneously collected bathymetry information and detected substrate quality and fish presence with side scan sonar. Preliminary comparisons of these data to traditionally collected data sets indicated a substantial improvement in data quality and in its ability to identify within-lake habitat variability. For example, AUV lake bathymetry indicated a presence of deep pockets, which may act as nutrient sinks, as opposed to being homogenous across bottom depths as depicted in the existing bathymetric map that was created using a fathometer over limited transects. Similarly, monthly dissolved oxygen profiles accurately reflected changes to whole lake conditions over time as opposed to extrapolating data from two miniscule points to cover the whole lake. This AUV data, because they are geo-referenced, allows identification of specific habitat conditions that may affect rearing juvenile salmon. Because the life cycle of a salmon can last from four to eight years, salmon-related data sets need multiple years of data to provide sufficiently meaningful information. In order to successfully evaluate how fresh water rearing conditions affect juvenile salmon, the water quality data must also encompass the same freshwater rearing time frame, which can be up to four years for Karluk Lake sockeye salmon. To adequately detect and evaluate the effects of climate change and lake rearing conditions on more than one brood year of salmon would require the collection of seven years of data to provide three data points relative to brood year returns. With the additional two years of data collection provide by this project, Karluk Lake will have a total of five consecutive years of high resolution data, which encompasses the freshwater rearing time of three brood years of sockeye salmon. Karluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 2 of 9 2/10/2016 Limited data sets hinder the development of robust models to assess production, let alone provide sufficient information to protect and manage the resource. Catch and escapement data are often the only available data for assessing escapement goals and estimating adult returns. Although these data sets span many years, they are often confounded by a lack of contrast in the data or an inability of the data to fit well with standard spawner-recruit models for escapement goal reviews or sibling relationship regression models for forecasting. Additionally, adult return data alone often fail to describe why stock production fluctuates. Therefore, ancillary data have become increasingly valuable in those assessments as new relationships must be found to assess these relationships. Thus, the long-term collection of water quality data has become increasingly valuable to ADF&G on multiple levels for providing costeffective information to describe salmon survival and production. To date, temperature data have already been employed in linear regression analyses for Westward Region forecasts. Similarly, nutrient and light penetration data have been modeled to provide estimates of optimal escapement. Zooplankton biomass levels have been used to provide inseason recommendations for targeting levels of escapement. Increasing the collection of three-dimensional limnology data in these lake systems will lead to better modeling and stock estimation capabilities which will aid managers in establishing harvest and escapement strategies that protect and provide for maximum sustained yields of Karluk Lake’s salmon stocks. The AUV technology allows autonomous and rapid mapping of whole-lake conditions, not just the extrapolation of conditions from a few dispersed data points. The purchase of a safety tow float retrieval system for the AUV which protects this piece of equipment was unavailable at the time of the AUV’s purchase. The AUV data is a valuable high-resolution suite of data providing a greater understanding of the factors that drive salmon life history strategies and production. This data may also be compared to water quality data collected by standard collection methods to indicate data accuracy and possibly to model lake-wide trends over space and time for systems limited to less than three sampling stations. These data are valuable for salmon fisheries management because they describe the dynamic ecological conditions of lake systems over space and time. In turn, this information can be used to estimate escapement levels, improve forecasting confidence, and provide information for maintaining salmon populations by describing conditions which may affect the rearing strategies, growth, or mortality of juvenile salmon. With the increased awareness of global climate change, water quality data are also valuable as a fairly simple and cost-effective means of collecting a substantial amount of descriptive information for monitoring and gauging changes to local climate in addition to critical salmon rearing habitat. 3. Location Latitude: 57.374114 N Longitude: 154.050825 W 4. AKSSF Objective Westward: 1C-1 VI. Objectives 1. Project Objectives Karluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 3 of 9 2/10/2016 The objectives are to describe the following: a. physical characteristics that include substrate, pH, temperature, dissolved oxygen and light penetration profiles b. nutrient availability c. available zooplankton forage base d. distribution of juvenile salmon within the lakes as imaged with the hi-resolution side-scanning sonar e. relationships among the collected data to indicate trends or conditions that may affect rearing salmonids 2. Methods Travel to Karluk Lake will occur each month by float plane. Traditional water quality and AUV sampling will occur on the same day to allow for data comparison. In May 2012, sampling stations will be established on the lake. Each station’s location will be logged with a global positioning system (GPS) and marked with a buoy. Water and zooplankton sampling will occur once every four weeks from May through September during 2012 and 2013. Dissolved Oxygen, Light, and Temperature: Water temperature (°C) and dissolved oxygen (mg/L) levels will be measured with a YSI dissolved oxygen/temperature meter. Readings will be recorded at half-meter intervals to a depth of 5 meters (m), and then increased to one-meter intervals. Upon reaching a depth of 20 m, the intervals will be increased to every 5 m up to a depth of 50 m. A mercury thermometer will be used to ensure the meter’s calibration. Measurements of photosynthetically active wavelengths (kLux) will be taken with a photometer. Readings begin above the surface, at the surface, and proceed at half-meter intervals until reaching a depth of 5 m. Readings will be recorded at one-meter intervals until the lake bottom or 0 kLux light penetration is reached. The mean euphotic zone depth (EZD) will be determined for the lake and incorporated into a model for estimating sockeye salmon fry production. One-meter temperature and dissolved oxygen measurements will be compared to assess the physical conditions in the euphotic zones of the lake. Secchi disc readings will be collected from each station to measure water transparency. The depths at which the disc disappears when lowered into the water column and reappeared when raised in the water column will be recorded and averaged. Water Sampling: Four to eight liters of water will be collected from each station with a Van Dorn bottle from the epilimnion (depth of 1 m) and from the hypolimnion (depth of ≥ 29 m depending on lake morphometry). Water samples will be stored in polyethylene (poly) carboys and refrigerated until initial processing. One-liter samples will be passed through 4.25-cm diameter 0.7-m Whatman GF/F filters under 15 to 20-psi vacuum pressure for particulate N and P analyses. For chlorophyll-a analysis, one liter of lake water from each depth sampled will be filtered through a 4.25-cm diameter 0.7-m Whatman GF/F filter, adding approximately 5 ml of MgCO3 solution to the last 50 ml of the sample water during the filtration process. Upon completion of filtration, all filters will be placed in Karluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 4 of 9 2/10/2016 individual Petri dishes, labeled, and stored frozen for further processing at the Near Island Laboratory in Kodiak. The water chemistry parameters of pH and alkalinity will be assessed with a pH meter. One hundred milliliters of refrigerated lake water will be warmed to 25 C and titrated with 0.02-N sulfuric acid. All filtered and unfiltered water samples will be stored and frozen in clean polyethylene bottles. Water analyses will be performed at the ADF&G Near Island laboratory for total phosphorous (TP), total ammonia (TA), nitrate + nitrite, chlorophyll a, and phaeophytin a. Total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TKN) will be processed by the Olsen Biochemistry Lab at South Dakota State University. Nutrient data will be analyzed via linear regression and compared to published ratio values. Zooplankton: One vertical zooplankton tow will be made at each limnology station with a 0.2-m diameter, 153-micron net from one meter above the lake bottom to the surface. Each sample will be placed in a 125-ml polyethylene bottle containing 12.5 ml of concentrated formalin to yield a 10% buffered formalin solution. Samples will be stored for analysis at the ADF&G Near Island laboratory. Subsamples of zooplankton will be keyed to family or genus and counted on a Sedgewick-Rafter counting slide. This process will be replicated three times per sample; counts will then be averaged and extrapolated over the entire sample. For each plankton tow, mean length (0.01 mm) will be measured for each family or genus with a sample size derived from a student’s t-test to achieve a confidence level of 95%. Biomass will be calculated via species-specific linear regression equations between weight and unweighted and weighted length measurements. AUV sampling: The AUV will be deployed on five sampling events between May and September in Karluk Lake in 2012 and 2013. All AUV missions will be plotted and logged on geo-referenced images. Upon each deployment, physical parameters will be measured along a sampling grid throughout each lake. In addition, bottom profiles and fish presence or absence will be obtained by the side-scanning sonar. Deployments of the unit will be coordinated with ADF&G lake surveys to minimize flight cost and ensure data comparability. Data will be downloaded and reviewed following each mission. Data analysis: All data will be compared graphically by month and by station. Correlation and linear regression analyses will be used to compare historical and recent data in an attempt to identify temporal trends and possible climatic influences; analysis will compare physical, nutrient, and zooplankton data for the time series of data. Data will be compared by location, time, and depth using multivariate analysis to indicate spatial and temporal trends. AUV-collected data will be mapped against sample station data to assess data variability. Ratios of nitrogen to phosphorous will be compared by station and on average for each lake to indicate nutrient limitations. Physical, zooplankton, and nutrient data will also be compared to available adult return data using linear or multiple regression to assess trends related to productivity and escapement. Fish presence as indicated by side scan sonar data and all AUVKarluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 5 of 9 2/10/2016 collected data will be mapped together to indicate potential areas of preferred habitat or rearing conditions. Prior to commencement of project activity, PI will obtain ADF&G Fish Collection, Fish Resource, Fish Transport, and/or other required permits, as appropriate. VII. Benefits This project will establish water quality baselines that will help to better understand the interdependencies of different trophic levels in the freshwater salmon rearing environment. Project results will assist in efforts to efficaciously manage Karluk salmon fisheries towards the maximum sustainable yield of the resource, which in turn will allow ADF&G to assess and recommend escapement goals and management strategies based on biological data. The subsistence user groups that rely on this resource should realize a benefit from improved management. VIII. Products, Milestones, and Timelines July 2011 – April 2012: Purchase and install safety tow float for AUV May - September 2012: Run monthly AUV missions in Karluk Lake and collect water quality data October 2012 – April 2013: Edit, analyze, and report data; process water samples; prepare for 2013 field season May - September 2013: Run monthly AUV missions in Karluk Lake and collect water quality data October 2013 – June 2014: Process water samples; edit, analyze, and report data* *Costs incurred for activities outside the project period are funded separately. PI will submit PCSRF performance metrics, semiannual, and project completion reports according to the AKSSF schedule, as well as copies of any other report/product/ deliverable produced with this funding. All invoices will be submitted for payment within 30 days of the project end date in accordance with the current AKSSF invoicing P&P. Any report or product distributed as a result of this funding will include the following language: This [report/video/website] was prepared by [recipient/author name] under award NA09NMF4380373 from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, U.S. Department of Commerce, administered by the Alaska Department of Fish and Game. The statements, findings, conclusions, and recommendations are those of the author(s) and do not necessarily reflect the views of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, the U.S. Department of Commerce, or the Alaska Department of Fish and Game. Any displays produced (e.g., signs, interpretive displays, posters) must include logos from both the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration and the Alaska Karluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 6 of 9 2/10/2016 Department of Fish and Game (please contact AKSSF staff for graphics and relevant language). IX. Partners The Kodiak Regional Aquaculture Association (KRAA) will assist with funding for personnel and air charter contracts. The USFWS will assist with lodging and provide skiffs at Karluk Lake. X. Project Budget ADF&G 100 Personnel 200 Travel 300 Contractual 400 Supplies 500 Equipment Total Direct ADF&G 3% Project Total FY12 $6,950 $0 $4,380 $3,295 $6,000 $20,625 FY13 $27,795 $0 $10,300 $3,020 $0 $41,115 FY14 $21,515 $0 $7,420 $575 $0 $29,510 Total $56,260 $0 $22,100 $6,890 $6,000 $91,250 $2,738 $93,988 Budget Narrative: Line 100: Personnel ($56,260) Fishery Biologist II (Darin Ruhl; PCN 11-1447): This position will collect limnology samples from stations in Karluk Lake and assist with AUV missions, process samples, and maintain limnology databases. A total of eight man months for all fiscal years is calculated for this position based on a 37.5 hour work week plus 10 hours of overtime per month using the state salary calculator. FY12: 1 month @ $6,950/month = $6,950 FY13: 4 months @ $6,950/month = $27,795 FY14: 3 months @ $7,172/month = $21,515 Line 300: Contractual ($22,100) Freight for shipping samples from Kodiak to the University of South Dakota and for shipping the AUV to YSI Integrated Systems and Services for annual maintenance: FY13: $600 FY14: $600 Routine AUV servicing to be performed by YSI Integrated Systems and Services: FY12: $1,500 FY13: $1,500 FY14: $1,500 Processing of samples for total Kjeldahl nitrogen (TKN) by the Olsen Biochemistry Lab at South Dakota State University: FY13: $1,000 Karluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 7 of 9 2/10/2016 FY14: $1,000 Air charter to collect samples from Karluk Lake: FY12: 4.8 hours @ $600/hour = $2,880 FY 13: 12 hours @ $600/hour = $7,200 FY14: 7.2 hours @ $600/hour = $4,320 Total FY12 Contractual: $4,380 Total FY13 Contractual: $10,300 Total FY14 Contractual: $7,420 Line 400: Supplies ($6,890) Spare AUV parts Calibration standards Field camp groceries Whatman filters Reagents Rite-N-Rain paper Rain gear/boots/PFDs Fuel Batteries AA Labels Total FY12 $500 $580 $400 $195 $400 $50 $600 $500 $20 $50 $3,295 FY13 $500 $300 $750 $70 $180 $50 $600 $500 $20 $50 $3,020 FY14 $0 $0 $375 $0 $180 $0 $0 $0 $20 $0 $575 Line 500: Equipment ($6,000) FY12 YSI safety tow float: $6,000 Budget adjustments between line items are allowed for amounts equal to or less than 10% of the total award without prior AKSSF approval; any amount above 10% requires prior AKSSF approval. All costs in lines 100-500 must represent actual cash expenditures. All direct and match expenses shall be adequately documented and filed. All invoices will be submitted for payment within 30 days of the project end date in accordance with the current AKSSF invoicing P&P. Invoices submitted after that deadline will not be reimbursed. Invoices for expenses incurred after the project end date will not be reimbursed. Karluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 8 of 9 2/10/2016 XI. Match Budget ADF&G 100 Personnel 200 Travel 300 Contractual 400 Supplies 500 Equipment Total FY12 $30,168 $0 $0 $0 $0 $30,168 FY13 FY14 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 Total $30,168 $0 $0 $0 $0 $30,168* *Match budget shows more match than is required for this project. Total required ADF&G match: $30,113 Match Budget Narrative: Line 100: Personnel ($30,168) Fisheries Biologist II (Heather Finkle; PCN 11-1332): This position is the project leader responsible for administrative functions such as budget tracking, hiring, training, and evaluating personnel and overseeing daily operations for Westward Region research projects. A total of 4.19 months of time spent on this project is calculated as match based on a 37.5 hour work week for one field season using the state salary calculator: FY12: 4.19 months @ $7,200/month = $30,168 Karluk Lake Limnology 44528 Page 9 of 9 2/10/2016